ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Yeh downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD par humare paas mazeed purchasing ke moqe hain aur price baad mein 0.67622 zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hum ehtiyaat baratain aur high volumes se bachen, khaaskar news release ke dauran. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk barh sakta hai, jo trades ko manage karna mushkil bana sakta hai. News release ke doran market tez aur ghaflati harkaat ka shikaar ho sakti hai, jo agar sahi se manage nahi kiya jaye to bade nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, moderate volumes ke sath trading karna behtar hai aur risk management strategies, jese ke stop-loss orders aur predefined profit levels, ka istemal karna chahiye.

Aaj ke liye, ek buy order jo 0.68355 ke qareeb short-term target rakhta hai, yeh kaafi hoga. Aam taur par, apni trading strategy ko diversify karna high volatility se related changes ko manage karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Sirf ek strategy par depend karne ke bajaye, hum technical aur fundamental analysis ka mix istemal kar sakte hain taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Technical analysis mein price charts aur indicators ka use kar ke patterns aur trends ko identify kiya jata hai. Moving averages, jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, humein overall trend ke bare mein insights dete hain aur yeh pata lagane mein madad karte hain ke market bullish hai ya bearish. Trend lines support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain, jabke oscillators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), overbought ya oversold conditions ko indicate karte hain.

Fundamental analysis basic economic factors ko samajhne par focus karti hai jo market ko impact karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke tools ko combine kar ke, hum better trading decisions le sakte hain aur potential entry aur exit points ko identify kar sakte hain. Yeh approach humari trading strategy ko strengthen karti hai aur market ke dynamic conditions ko manage karne mein madad deti hai.

Kal market ne 0.6822 level ko test karte hue girawat dekhi aur daily chart ek seller-friendly situation ko darshata hai. Price ne 0.6804 level tak reach kiya, jo ke AUD/USD ka ek aham border hai, aur traders ke liye ek significant point hai. Ye level aksar ek psychological boundary ke roop mein dekha jata hai, jo market behavior ko prabhavit karta hai aur trading decisions ko guide karta hai. Week ke end ke nazdeek aate hi, Friday ka din traders ke liye bohot crucial ho jata hai, kyunki is din market uncertainty aur volatility barh jati hai. Friday’s trading sessions aksar unpredictable hote hain, aur price movements kabhi-kabhi seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar deti hain, isliye aise waqt mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.

Aaj selling pressure zahir hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders ko is baat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair aur gir sakta hai aur 0.6785 level ko test kar sakta hai. Ye level agla point of support hai, aur agar iske neeche break hota hai to market mein aur bhi gehra decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Current market conditions mein, sell entries ko patience ke saath hold karna advisable hai. Aise scenarios mein patience key hai, kyunki market ko decisive move karne mein waqt lag sakta hai. Apne trading strategy ko disciplined approach ke saath follow karna zaroori hai, jo market ki uncertainties ko navigate karne mein madad karega. Apni sell positions ko tab tak hold karein jab tak market clear exit signal na de, kyunki isse favorable outcomes milne ke chances hain.

Hamesha informed rahna aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna important hai. Ye aapko AUD/USD market mein advantageous position de sakta hai, khaaskar key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke around trading karte waqt aur unpredictable Friday sessions ke dauran. Best of luck!

**Market Indication: Bullish**

**EURUSD Currency Pair**

Pichle haftay EURUSD currency pair mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi kyunke dominant price apne bullish trend mein thi. Halankeh mahine ke aghaaz se aik lagataar girawat hui hai, lekin weekly market trend ab bhi bullish hi lagta hai. Iss haftay, jo price 0.6792 ke level se shuru hui thi, wo bullish trend ko aage barhane mein na kamiyab hui aur aaj dopahar se market ne niche girna shuru kar diya, jo ke 0.6795 ke level tak chala gaya hai.

**AUDUSD Currency Pair**

H4 timeframe chart ke mutabiq, AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi consistently bullish phase mein hai. Agle market trend ke liye, buyers ki army ko ummeed hai ke wo phir se upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish karegi, naya high price level target banaye ga. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ab bhi AUDUSD currency pair mein dominance banaye hue hain.

**Market Analysis**

Aaj ke analysis ke mutabiq, market ab bhi buyer ke control mein hai. Subah price ne bullish trend ko continue karne ki koshish ki, lekin dopahar tak market ne downward correction dikha diya jis wajah se bullish trend continue nahi kar paayi. Isliye, jab tak market trend ab bhi bullish nazar aati hai, market ko agle buyers ke response ka intezar karna padega, jo ke upward trend ko support karte hue bullish signal banayenge.

**Future Market Outlook**

Dominant bullish market condition ke tehat price level range 0.6840 tak badh sakti hai. Agar market trend bullish lagti hai, to mai BUY trading position mein enter karne ke liye intezar karunga kyunke price movement phir se upar ja sakti hai.

**Market Indication: Bullish**

**EURUSD Currency Pair**

Pichle hafte mein, EURUSD currency pair mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi kyun ke dominant price bullish trend mein rahi. Halankeh mahine ke shuruat se lagatar girawat dekhi gayi, lekin weekly market trend ab bhi bullish nazar aata hai. Is haftay, price 0.6792 ke level se shuru hui aur bullish trend ko barhane ki koshish ki. Magar aaj dopahar tak, market girna shuru ho gayi, aur 0.6795 ke level tak poch gayi.

**AUDUSD Currency Pair**

H4 timeframe chart ke mutabiq, AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi consistently bullish phase mein hai. Aane wale market trend ke liye, ummeed hai ke buyers phir se upar ki taraf move karenge, naye high price levels ko target karenge. Lagta hai ke buyers ab bhi AUDUSD currency pair mein dominance banaye hue hain.

**Market Analysis**

Aaj ki analysis ke mutabiq, market ab bhi buyer control mein hai. Subah price ne bullish trend ko continue karne ki koshish ki, lekin dopahar tak market ne downward correction show kiya, jo bullish trend ko roknay ka sabab bana. Isliye, jab tak market trend bullish nazar aati hai, aane wale buyers ke responses ka intezar karna hoga, jo bullish signals generate karenge taake upward trend ko support mil sake.

**Future Market Outlook**

Halaanki dominant bullish market condition hai, price level 0.6840 tak barh sakta hai. Agar market trend ab bhi bullish rahta hai, toh mein BUY trading position lene ka intezar karunga kyunki price movement phir se barh sakti hai.

**Key Terms Explanation:**

- **Market Indication:** Market ke halat ka general observation (is case mein, bullish).
- **Bullish:** Market mein buying sentiment ko describe karta hai, jo ke prices ke barhne ki ummeed dikhata hai.
- **Currency Pair:** Do currencies ka pair jo ek dosre ke muqablay mein trade hota hai; for example, EURUSD Euro ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein represent karta hai.
- **Dominant Price:** Wo leading price trend jo market direction ko influence kar raha hai.
- **Weekly Market Trend:** Pichle haftay mein dekhi gayi overall price movement.
- **Downward Correction:** Ek temporary price decline jo overall bullish trend ke dauran hota hai; ye upward movement ke baad correct hota hai.
- **H4 Timeframe Chart:** Aisa chart jo price movements ko 4 ghanton ke period mein dikhata hai, traders ko trends aur patterns analyze karne mein madad karta hai.
- **Buyers' Army:** Traders ka collective group jo buy karne ke liye dekh raha hai, aam tor par prices ko barhane ka sabab banta hai.
- **Price Level:** Ek specific price jahan trading activity hoti hai; is context mein, ye potential buying opportunities ke liye ek significant point hai.
- **Dominance:** Market par buyers ka control, jo strong buying pressure ko indicate karta hai.
- **Market Analysis:** Market conditions ka study aur evaluation taake future price movements ko samjha ja sake.
- **Downward Correction:** Price ka girna jo overall upward trend mein pullback create karta hai.
- **Bullish Signals:** Indicators ya signs jo price ke barhne ki ummeed suggest karte hain.

**Market Analysis: AUD/USD Trading Insights**

**Recent Market Behavior**

Haal hi mein, market ne 0.6822 ka level test kiya, jo ke neeche ki taraf movement ko darshata hai aur yeh seller-friendly situation ko indicate karta hai. Price 0.6804 tak gir gayi, jo ke AUD/USD currency pair ke liye ek ahem threshold hai. Yeh level aksar ek psychological boundary ke tor par dekha jata hai jo market behavior ko kaafi asar انداز se prabhavit kar sakta hai aur trading decisions ko guide kar sakta hai.

**Importance of Friday Trading**

Jese hi hafta khatam hota hai, Fridays traders ke liye zyada important ban jate hain. Is din, market ki uncertainty aur volatility badh jati hai, jis se price movements aksar unpredictable hoti hain. Aise sessions seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar sakte hain, isliye is period ke dauran ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

**Current Selling Pressure**

Aaj ke trading atmosphere mein zahir hai ke selling pressure hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market aage bhi gir sakta hai. Traders ko yeh possibility samajhni chahiye ke AUD/USD pair aur niche gir sakta hai aur 0.6785 level ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh level agla support point hai, aur agar price isse neeche girti hai, to market mein aur bhi gehra decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**Strategy Recommendations**

Maujooda market conditions mein, sell entries ko sabr ke sath hold karna behtar hai. Sabr is tarah ke scenarios mein bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke decisive market movements ko hone mein waqt lag sakta hai. Aik disciplined trading strategy ko follow karna zaroori hai jo market uncertainties ko effectively navigate karne mein madadgar sabit ho.

**Maintain Sell Positions**

Apni sell positions ko tab tak active rakhein jab tak market clear exit signal nahi deti. Yeh approach trading efforts mein behtareen outcomes hasil karne ke chances ko barhata hai.

**Key Trading Principles**

Market changes se waqif rehna aur adapt karna successful trading ke liye essential hai. Yeh adaptability aapko advantageous position de sakti hai, khaaskar jab aap key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke aas-paas trading kar rahe hon aur unpredictable Friday sessions ka samna kar rahe hon.

**Conclusion**

Aapki trading efforts mein behtareen kismet ki dua! Yad rahe ke vigilant aur strategic rehna aapko AUD/USD market mein apni trading potential ko maximize karne mein madad karega.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai. Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai. In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers

### Australian Dollar (AUD) Ka Samna Karne Wale Challenges

Australian Dollar (AUD) filhal kafi significant challenges ka saamna kar raha hai jo iski value mein izafa roknay mein rukhawat daal sakte hain. Ek badi wajah iski ye hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy ko tighten karne se inkaar kar raha hai, jo ke doosre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada numaya hai. Ye hesitance mukhiyatan mustaqil inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets ne August mein RBA ke interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kiya hai. AUD/USD pair abhi 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

### China Ki Economic Decline Ka AUD Aur RBA Ki Policy Pressure Par Asar

China ki economic mushkilat ne AUD ko negatively impact kiya hai. China ki economy ke girne se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, kam ho gayi hai jo ab teen haftay ke low par hai. Australia, jo ke duniya ka sab se bara iron ore exporter hai, is decline se nuqsan uthaa raha hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ki rate cuts se doori banaye rakhne ki azm, inflation ki baar-baar dekhayi dene wali high levels ki wajah se, shayad AUD ki aur girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA ka cautious stance yeh darshata hai ke ye shayad rate cuts ko implement karne wala aakhri central bank ban jaye, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is haftay, sabki nazar Friday ko release hone wale June ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke data par hogi. Ye key inflation gauge market expectations ko test karega, khaaskar un logo ke jo September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se interest rate reductions ki ummed kar rahe hain.

### Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels For AUD/USD

AUD/USD pair ke liye key resistance upper boundary of an ascending channel ke paas hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur psychological level 0.6900 ke baad aata hai. Agar AUD/USD pair phir se descending channel mein girta hai, to ye bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6788 ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ko break karne se pair ko descending channel ki upper boundary 0.6765 aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf le jaa sakta hai.

### Chart Analysis

Four-hour chart ka analysis ye darshata hai ke pair descending channel se niche gir gaya hai, jo bearish trend ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo is baat ki ishara hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye psychological support 0.6700 level par milta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par available hai.

### Conclusion

Summary mein, Australian Dollar ko internal aur external pressures ka samna hai, jo mukhiyatan RBA ki cautious monetary policy aur China ki economic developments se aati hain. Key technical levels ye darshate hain ke traders kahan support aur resistance dekh sakte hain, jo AUD/USD pair ke near future ke market movements ko shape karte hain.

**Market Analysis: AUD/USD Trading Insights**

**Recent Market Behavior**

Haal hi mein market ne 0.6822 ka level test kiya, jo ke seller-friendly situation ko darshata hai. Price ne 0.6804 tak niche aayi, jo ek ahem threshold hai AUD/USD currency pair ke liye. Ye level aksar ek psychological boundary ke tor par dekha jata hai jo market behavior ko kaafi had tak influence kar sakti hai aur trading decisions ko guide kar sakti hai.

**Importance of Friday Trading**

Jaisay week khatam hota hai, Fridays traders ke liye zyada ahem ban jati hain. Is din market mein uncertainty aur volatility badh jati hai, jis se price movements aksar unpredictable ho sakti hain. Aise sessions seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar sakte hain, isliye is waqt zyada ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

**Current Selling Pressure**

Aaj ki trading atmosphere mein evident selling pressure nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market shayad aage bhi niche ja sakti hai. Traders ko yeh tayar rehna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair 0.6785 level ko test kar sakti hai. Ye level next support point hai, aur agar price isse niche girti hai, to market mein deeper decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**Strategy Recommendations**

Maujooda market conditions mein, sell entries ko sabr ke sath hold karna behtar hai. Sabr is waqt bahut zaroori hai, kyunki decisive market movements ko materialize hone mein waqt lag sakta hai. Aik disciplined trading strategy par amal karna zaroori hai jo market uncertainties ko effectively navigate kar sake.

**Maintain Sell Positions**

Apne sell positions ko tab tak active rakhein jab tak market clear exit signal na de. Ye approach aapki trading efforts mein behtareen outcomes achieve karne ke chances ko barhata hai.

**Key Trading Principles**

Market changes ke sath informed aur adaptable rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Ye adaptability aapko ek advantageous position provide kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab aap key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke around trading kar rahe hon, Friday ke unpredictable sessions ke doran.

**Conclusion**

Aapki trading efforts ke liye best of luck! Yaad rahe, vigilant aur strategic rehkar apne trading potential ko maximize karein AUD/USD market mein.

Australian Dollar (AUD) apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai Retail Sales report ke baad, jo ke July ke liye kisi growth ko nahi dikhata. Yeh ummed thi ke month-on-month 0.3% ki izafa hoga, lekin asal figure ne kisi tabdeeli ko nahi dikhaya.

US Dollar (USD) ko Q2 ki Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ke behtar hone ke baad madad mili. AUD USD ke muqablay mein stable hai, halankeh Retail Sales report ke mutabiq kisi growth ka nazar nahi aaya, jo ke 0.3% ke izafe ki umeed ke muqablay mein kam tha aur pichle mahine ke 0.5% ke izafe se bhi kam tha. Magar, Thursday ko released hui stronger-than-expected US GDP data ne AUD/USD pair pe pressure dala hai.

AUD/USD pair mein further izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai kyunki Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July umeed se zyada aaya, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke zyada hawkish policy ka imkaan barhata hai. RBA ke recent minutes ne yeh dikhaya ke board members ne unanimously agree kiya ke qareeb future mein rate cut ka imkaan kam hai.

Jabke USD behtar economic data ki wajah se support mil raha hai, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments iske izafe ko limit kar sakte hain. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne Thursday ko kaha ke "rate cuts ka waqt aa gaya hai" jab inflation kam ho raha hai aur unemployment rate ummed se zyada barh raha hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets puri tarah se September meeting mein Fed se kam se kam 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Investors US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hoga, jo US interest rates ke future direction ke baare mein clues provide kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, Australian Dollar apni position ko around 0.6800 pe barqarar rakha hua hai. Friday ko, AUD lagbhag 0.6790 pe trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka analysis karte hue, AUD/USD pair apne ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki mazid reinforcement ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 70 mark ke neeche hai, jo ongoing bullish trend ko support karta hai.

Resistance ke hawale se, AUD/USD pair filhal apne immediate barrier ko test kar raha hai, jo ke lower boundary of ascending channel ke qareeb 0.6798 pe hai, jo ke ek saptah ka high hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair shayad ascending channel ke upper boundary ko target kare, jo ke 0.6920 ke aas paas hai.

Downside pe, AUD/USD pair ko support mil sakta hai 0.6761 ke level pe, jo ke nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh EMA ke neeche girta hai, to bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai, jo downward pressure create kar sakta hai aur pair ko throwback level 0.6575 ko test karne ko majboor kar sakta hai. Baad mein, ek aur potential throwback level 0.6470 pe ho sakta hai.

Hamare paas AUD/USD par zyada kharidari ke moqe hain aur lagta hai ke baad mein iska daam 0.67622 zone ko paar kar sakta hai. Yaad rahe ke AUD/USD ko trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab news announcements hone wale hon. High trading volumes market ki volatility ko barha sakte hain aur risk ko bhi. News announcements ke doran market tez aur ghaflati harkatein de sakti hai, jo agar sahi tareeqe se manage na ki jaye to bade nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakti hai. Isliye, moderate volumes ke sath trade karna aur risk management strategies, jaise ke stop-loss orders aur predetermined profit-taking levels, ka istemal karna behtar hai. Aaj ke liye, 0.68355 ka short target ke sath ek buy order sahi rahega. Aam taur par, trading strategy ko diversify karna high volatility se related changes ko manage karne mein madadgar hota hai. Sirf ek strategy par depend karne ki bajaye, technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Technical analysis mein price charts aur indicators ka analysis shamil hai taake patterns aur trends identify kiye ja sakein, jabke fundamental analysis market ko impact karne wale economic factors ko samajhne par focus karta hai. Technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal karke entry aur exit points identify kiye ja sakte hain. Moving averages, jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, market ke general trend ko samajhne mein madad karte hain aur bullish ya bearish stage determine karne mein madadgar hote hain. Trend lines support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karti hain, jabke oscillators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought ya oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. In tools ko price action analysis ke sath mila kar trading decisions ko behtar banaya ja sakta hai.

اگست 30 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جمعرات کو، نہ تو مارلن آسیلیٹر اور نہ ہی آسٹریلوی ڈالر 0.6801 پر مزاحمت کو توڑنے کے بعد اپنے فوائد کو بڑھا سکے۔ مارکیٹ تھکا ہوا لگتا ہے اور 0.6691 کی ہدف کی سطح کے قریب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت کی طرف درست ہوسکتا ہے۔



جوڑے نے آج کے سیشن کو 0.6801 کی سطح سے دو پِپس نیچے کھولا، اس لیے سیاہ موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہونے کا مطلب یہ ہوگا کہ قیمت اس سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو جائے گی، جس سے بیئرش آؤٹ لک کو تقویت ملے گی۔

سونا، تیل، اور دونوں بنیادی اور قیمتی دھاتیں دن کا آغاز گراوٹ کے ساتھ کر رہی ہیں۔ اجناس کی منڈیوں میں یہ رجحان آسٹریلوی ڈالر کو بھی متاثر کرے گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں قیمت لیول اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائنن سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی منفی علاقے میں داخل ہو گیا ہے۔ 0.6727 پر قریب ترین سپورٹ تک پہنچنے کا امکان اب 65% ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.

Australian dollar abhi US dollar ke muqablay mein consolidation phase mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek positive business activity report ke baad aya hai. Market AUD ke liye mazeed gains ki umeed kar rahi hai, kyunki Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) apni monetary policy par hawkish stance banaaye hue hai. RBA ke August meeting ke recent minutes se ye saaf hua hai ke central bank shayad interest rates ko lambi muddat ke liye unchanged rakhe. Yeh faisla RBA ki inflation se ladein aur economic growth ko support karne ki ongoing koshish se aligned hai. Is ke bawajood, Australian Judo Bank composite purchasing managers' index (PMI) August mein 51.4 tak barh gaya, jo ke teen mahine ka sabse tez expansion darshata hai. Yeh growth zyada tar services sector ke strong performance ki wajah se hui, jab ke manufacturing output mein contraction dekhne ko mili. Doosri taraf, US dollar ko rising US Treasury yields se support mil raha hai. Lekin, greenback ko challenges ka samna hai, kyunki July mein Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes se yeh pata chala ke zyada tar Fed officials September mein rate cut ki taraf lean kar rahe hain, provided inflation moderate rahe. Traders bhi Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole symposium mein Friday ko hone wali speech ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Powell ke remarks Fed ke future monetary policy path ke bare mein valuable insights de sakte hain aur US dollar ke direction ko impact kar sakte hain. **Technical Analysis:** Technically, AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke upward bias ko suggest karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI abhi 70 level ke thoda niche hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko support karta hai. Lekin, agar price aur barhti hai to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair overbought zone mein hai, jo ke correction lead kar sakta hai. Upside par, AUD/USD 0.6798 ke 7-month high ko sakta hai. Agar is level ko break kar diya, to pair ko 0.6860 ke aas-paas ke area tak kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke ascending channel. ki upper boundary hai. Downside par, pair ko 0.6700 ke paas support mil sakta hai, aur iske baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6683 par bhi support dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Nine-day EMA ke niche girne par further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jahan potential support levels 0.6575 aur 0.647