ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

**AUD/USD Mein Munafa Ka Potential**

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ke real-time evaluation ke around hai. AUD/USD chart ko analyze karte hue, kharidari ko tarjeeh dena behtar hai. MACD ek upward trend ko highlight karta hai, jo bullish dominance ko indicate karta hai. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo long positions ko support karta hai. SMA oscillators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, buyers ke liye ek favourable zone mein hain. Main is position ko tab tak barqarar rakhunga jab tak Fibonacci level of 61.8%, jo 0.6870 hai, tak nahi pohnchti. Agar price 0.6739 ke accumulation zone tak pohnchti hai aur wahan se rebound karti hai lekin 0.6776 ke upar nahi jaati, to ye 0.6625 ki taraf decline kar sakti hai, is level ko test karte hue aur naye trading opportunities create karte hue. Agar price 0.6739 se rebound hoti hai aur 0.6776 ke upar consolidate karti hai, to bearish trend ulat sakta hai aur bullish momentum barh sakta hai.

Pair pichle teen din se daily chart par sideways move kar raha hai. Aaj ke price action bhi is trend ko continue kar raha hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke kya yeh sideways movement barqarar rahegi ya koi aur trend emerge hoga. Filhaal, technical indicators aur moving averages neutral stance ko suggest kar rahe hain, jo sideways movement ki continuation recommend karte hain. Is movement ki boundaries upcoming data par depend karegi. Aaj ke essential news mein U.S. Treasury auction for 5-year notes aur Australia mein construction work par kam favourable data shamil hai. Jabke U.S. news negative hai, Australian data thoda behtar tha lekin still disappointing raha. Baki koi significant Australian news nahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke pair aaj bhi sideways movement continue karega. Main resistance level 0.6791 tak kharidne aur support level 0.6761 tak bechne ka plan bana raha hoon. AUD/USD pair ne recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar index ke wajah se downward shift dekha hai.

Mein iss waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko dissect kar raha hoon. Aaj ki trading mein pair ne naye local highs ko touch kiya lekin phir bearish retreat dikhaayi. Is movement ka natija ek aisi daily candle hai jis mein ek prominent upper shadow aur bearish body hai. Yeh price level teen dinon se hover kar raha hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech power balance ko dikhaata hai. Extreme daily candle pattern se potential bearish reversal ka imkaan hai. Chart par, 1/5 angle aur 0.6546 ke 25% support level se rebound karne ke baad, price abhi sirf 1/8 angle aur 0.6918 ke 50% resistance level ke neeche hai. Bulls ke liye is correction ke baad is resistance level tak pahunchne ka imkaan hai. Iss liye, mein daily time frame mein bullish trend ka forecast kar raha hoon.

Filhaal, price blue moving average se thoda neeche trade kar rahi hai. Din bhar bears ne price ko trading range ke average limit tak push karne ki koshish ki. Critical sawaal yeh hai ke bears yellow moving average ke neeche break kar sakte hain ya nahi, ya phir price iss movement ke beech mein reverse ho jayegi. Mujhe AUD/USD quotes mein decline continue hone ki ummeed hai yellow moving average ki taraf, jo ke 0.6751 par hai. Is level tak pahunchne ke baad, mein assess karunga ke price neeche break karke 0.6705 ke support level ki taraf move karti hai ya phir yellow average se rebound karke chaar-ghanti chart ke local maximum, jo filhaal 0.6815 par hai, par wapas rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Market entry ke hawalay se, sirf buy positions mein interested hoon agar 0.6705 level se rebound ho. Aaj mera focus daily time frame par hai jahan bulls recent highs par kuch technical resistance ke bawajood bhi uptrend ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Thursday ko, traders U.S. second-quarter GDP growth ke second estimate par bhi focus karenge, jo ke 2.8% tak barhne ki tawaqqu hai. AUD/USD pair ne mazboot upward momentum exhibit kiya hai, 0.6800 ke eight-month high tak pahunch kar aur long-term downtrend line ke upar break karke. Yeh pair 5 August ke bearish rally se 7% se zyada gain kar chuka hai. Technically, 20-day aur 50-day simple moving averages bullish crossover ke liye poised hain. Stochastic 80 level ke upar north ki taraf point kar raha hai, jabke RSI 70 area ke qareeb horizontal move kar raha hai. Aagey mazeed gains market ko aglay resistance level 0.6870 ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo December 28 ka high hai.

Yeh downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.

morning! Aaj hum AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.

Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

morning! Aaj hum AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.

Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

AUDUSD market aaj kisi khaas harkat ka zikar nahi kar raha hai, lekin subah se buyers ka dabdaba raha hai, halan ke harkat chhoti aur mehdood rahi hai. Monday ko daily open se price ne 0.6668 se upar chalte hue sab se qareeb resistance 0.6689 ki taraf raasta banaya. Lekin, resistance ko chhoo kar price bullish trend ko continue nahi kar paayi aur sirf uske ird gird fluctuate karti rahi. Is waqt ke frame mein bullish trend EMA 200 ke position ke base par dekha ja sakta hai jo price movement ke neeche hai. EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ka position kaafi qareeb hai aur dono support area 0.6612 ke paas cross karte hain. Dusri taraf, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 jo ke do bade EMAs ke upar hain, positive stretch kar rahe hain, jo H1 mein bullish price flow ko indicate karta hai.
Pichle trading din, Friday ko, bullish movement jo delay ho gayi thi, ek range mein continue hui jo ke wide nahi thi aur sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki. Buyers ka defense abhi bhi achha hai aur price ko phir se upar le jane mein madad kar raha hai, jisse EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke beech re-cross ban gaya. Aur high ko 0.6674 par achieve kiya gaya jo ke last week ka high tha. Ab price usse upar chal rahi hai aur higher increase ki possibilities hain. Friday ke price movement ne ek strong bullish candle create ki jo daily time frame mein price strengthening ke continuation ka signal hai. High aur low 0.6674 aur 0.6610 par formed hue. Daily mein price ab bullish period mein hai jahan price EMA 200 daily ke upar chal rahi hai. Halankeh, ab movement do bade EMAs ke beech flank ho gayi hai, jahan EMA 633 daily upar hai aur price ab uske qareeb ja rahi hai.

Aaj bhi bullish price continue kar rahi hai halan ke movement abhi bhi limited hai aur aaj dopahar mein temporary high price 0.6697 par hai. Agar ye trend continue hota raha, to price daily resistance 0.6712 aur thodi upar EMA 633 daily ke aas-paas 0.6728 tak jaane ki koshish karegi. Yeh buyers ke liye ek warning ho sakti hai jahan prices daily dynamic resistance, EMA 633, ke qareeb aane lagi hain, aur stochastic market saturation ka indication de raha hai, to yeh correction ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai jahan sellers in resistance areas mein limited Targets ke saath prepare ho

Understanding AUD/ USD Prices

Main is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko analyze kar raha hoon. Aaj ke trading mein yeh pair naye local highs tak pohoncha tha lekin phir bearish retreat dikhaya. Is movement ke natije mein daily candle par ek prominent upper shadow aur bearish body ban gayi. Price teen din se iss level par hover kar rahi hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance of power ko indicate karta hai. Extreme daily candle pattern se yeh lagta hai ke bearish reversal ho sakta hai. Chart par, 1/5 angle aur 25% support level 0.6546 se rebound hone ke baad, price ab 1/8 angle aur 50% resistance level 0.6918 ke thoda neeche hai. Bulls yeh resistance level tak pohonchne ki koshish karenge ek correction ke baad. Is liye main daily time frame mein ek bullish trend ka forecast kar raha hoon.



Filhal price thoda blue moving average ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Poore din ke dauran, bears ne price ko trading range ke average limit tak push karne ki koshish ki lekin woh asar mein nahi aaye. Ab critical sawal yeh hai ke kya bears yellow moving average ke neeche break karenge ya phir price is movement ke darmiyan reverse karegi. Main expect karta hoon ke AUD/USD quotes ka decline continue hoga towards yellow moving average, jo ke 0.6751 par hai. Is level par pohonchne ke baad, main assess karunga ke price neeche break karke support level 0.6705 tak jata hai ya yellow average se rebound karta hai aur phir se four-hour chart par local maximum, jo filhal 0.6815 par hai, tak rise karne ki koshish karta hai. Market entry ke hawalay se, sirf buy positions consider karunga agar price 0.6705 level se rebound karta hai. Aaj main daily time frame par focus kar raha hoon jahan bulls ab bhi uptrend ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, haalankeh recent highs par kuch technical resistance hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki streng th indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai. Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers

Yeh downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein

Good morning everyone.
Humein hamesha trading par dhyan dena aur tayyar rehna chahiye. Forex trading analysis karte waqt, humein AUD/USD pair ki halat ko objectively dekhna chahiye aur daily time frame par pair ke movement ko observe karna chahiye. Kal, AUD/USD ka price phir se barh gaya hai, jo ke pehle uthane ka raasta khol raha tha. Lekin, price ab bhi roknay wali daily resistance area par 0.6823x ke range mein tha aur decline bhi hua, lekin pehle ke support 0.6780x tak nahi pahuncha. Agar price support ko break nahi karti, to phir se girne ka imkaan hai aur daily support area 0.6440x tak pahuncha sakta hai. Lekin, price increase bhi dominant ho sakti hai, halankeh highest resistance tak nahi pahunchegi. Isliye, humein price ka resistance break hone ka intezaar karna chahiye aur next resistance 0.6865x tak uthane ki ummed rakhni chahiye, warna price phir se reject ho sakti hai aur purane level se zyada gir sakti hai. Filhal, price phir se barhane ka tendency dikhati hai, to AUD/USD pair ka mood buy hai jab tak seller’s pressure strong support ko break nahi kar leta.


Humein sellers ki dominance ko bhi dekhna chahiye jo AUD/USD pair par pressure daal rahe hain. Forex trading analysis ke liye M30 time frame par bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain jo achhi entry opportunities dhoondhne mein madadgar honge. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6798x se breakout karti hai, to hum buy kar sakte hain jiska target daily resistance area 0.6823x ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6790x ko break karti hai, to hum sell kar sakte hain jiska target daily support area 0.6780x ya next support 0.6740x ho sakta hai. Trading mein humein support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake optimum results mil sakein. Agar price pullback karti hai, to hum ek aur order add kar sakte hain agar price girti hai lekin nearest minor support area 0.6773x ya next minor support 0.6764x ko break nahi karti. Agar aisa hota hai, to AUD/USD sideways area ya range ban raha hoga, isliye price movements par nazar rakhni zaroori hai.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai. Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.
In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers

Buyers ne 23 August 2024, Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.

In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha

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Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai

Australian Dollar apni position barqarar rakhta hai Retail Sales ki report ke baad, jo July mein kisi taraqi ka izhar nahi karti. Australia ki Retail Sales mein July ke month-on-month koi izafa nahi dekha gaya, jabke 0.3% ka izafa expected tha.

US Dollar ko support mila hai US GDP data ke Q2 mein expect se zyada strong hone ke baad. Australian Dollar (AUD) apni jagah par barqarar hai stable US Dollar (USD) ke against, jabke Friday ki Retail Sales report mein month-on-month kisi taraqi ka izhar nahi hua, jo expected 0.3% aur pichle 0.5% ke izafe se kam tha. Lekin, Thursday ko release hone wale stronger-than-expected US GDP data ne AUD/USD pair par pressure dala hai.

AUD/USD pair mein mazid izafa dekha ja sakta hai, kyunke July ka Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) higher-than-expected aaya, jis ne ye ummed barhayi ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad ziada hawkish policy apnaye. Recent RBA Minutes ne bhi ye dikhaya ke board members is baat par mutafiq thay ke qareebi future mein rate cut ke imkaniyat kam hai.

US Dollar ko better-than-expected economic data se support mila hai, lekin Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments iske gains ko limit kar sakte hain. Thursday ko, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne ye kaha ke shayad "rate cuts ka waqt aa gaya hai" kyunke inflation kam ho rahi hai aur unemployment rate umeed se zyada barh raha hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets September meeting mein Fed ke taraf se kam az kam 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ke liye fully anticipating hain. Investors ko Friday ko release hone wale US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for July ka intezar hai, jisse US interest rates ke future direction ke hawale se clues milne ki umeed hai.

Technical Analysis: Australian Dollar apni position 0.6800 ke qareeb barqarar rakhta hai.

Australian Dollar Friday ko lagbhag 0.6790 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka tajziya karte hue, AUD/USD pair apne ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test karta nazar aata hai, jo ke bullish bias ke mazid reinforcement ki nishani hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi tak 70 mark ke neeche hai, jo ke ongoing bullish trend ko support karta hai.

Resistance ke hawale se, AUD/USD pair apne immediate barrier ko test kar raha hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary par hai, aur ye seven-month high 0.6798 ke qareeb hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, toh pair ke liye upper boundary of ascending channel ke region, jo ke 0.6920 ke qareeb hai, ko target karne ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, AUD/USD pair 0.6761 ke level par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb support pa sakta hai. Agar ye EMA ke neeche drop hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur downward pressure dal sakta hai, jo ke pair ko throwback level at 0.6575 par test karne par majboor kar sakta hai, iske baad doosra throwback level at 0.6470 ho sakta hai.