ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian dollar Wednesday ko positive territory mein hai. European session mein, AUD/USD 0.6607 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ke waqt likhne par 0.16% upar hai. Pehle, Australian dollar 0.6633 tak bhi gaya (0.48%) lekin phir peeche chala gaya. Australian employment growth bohot acha hai lekin unemployment bhi zyada hai. July ke employment report ka mix reaction hai.

58.2 hazar naukriyan economy mein add hui hain, June mein 52.2 hazar naukriyon ka revised increase, aur 20 hazar ka alarming figure. Part-time jobs 2.3 hazar kam hui hain aur full-time employment 60.5 hazar tak badh gayi hai. Lekin, unemployment rate 4.2% tak pahuncha hai, jo June ke 4.1% se upar hai aur market estimate bhi tha.

Yeh highest unemployment rate hai January 2022 ke baad se, lekin isme zyada labor force participation ka bhi asar hai. Overall performance report positive hai aur Reserve Bank ke hawkish rate policy ko support karti hai. Pichle hafte, RBA Governor Bullock ne kaha tha ke agle 6 mahine mein rate cut mushkil hai. Markets thodi dovish hain aur rate cut ka intezaar hai saal ke end tak.

Lekin markets ne November rate cut ke chances ko 45% se 55% tak kam kar diya hai jo job release ke pehle tha. Inflation ke maamle mein, consumer prices August mein 4.5% aur July mein 4.3% tak pahunche hain, jo April ke highest levels hain.

Yeh release bhi yeh case support karti hai ke RBA apni “higher for longer” rate policy ko tab tak chalaye rakhega jab tak inflation 2% se 3% ke target band ke nazdeek na pahunche. Agli RBA policy meeting 24 September ko hai.

AUD/USD 0.6612 par resistance test kar raha hai. Upar 0.6628 weak resistance line hai, phir 0.6659. 0.6581 aur 0.6566 agle support levels hain.

AUD/USD currency pair, jo ke abhi 0.6586 pe trade kar raha hai, aik zyada bearish trend ka shikaar hai, jo ke Australian dollar (AUD) ki qeemat ke US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein girawat ko darshata hai. Ye niche ki taraf chalne wala trend kai interrelated factors ke zariye ho raha hai, jo ke market ke pessimistic outlook ko janam de rahe hain.

Is bearish trend ke sabse bade drivers mein se ek Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka fark hai. Fed ne US mein inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko aggressively barhaya hai, jo ke USD ko un investors ke liye zyada attractive bana raha hai jo higher yields ki talash mein hain. Dusri taraf, RBA ne apni rate hikes mein zyada ehtiyaat barte hai, jo domestic economic growth aur inflationary pressures ke hawale se concerns ko reflect karta hai. Is monetary policy ke fark ke bawajood interest rate differential barh gaya hai, jis se USD ko faida ho raha hai aur AUD ko nuksan.

Global economic conditions bhi AUD ki kamzori ko barhate hain. AUD ek commodity-linked currency hai, jo ke global raw materials ki demand ke liye sensitive hai, khaaskar China se, jo Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. China ki economy ke slow hone ke nishan, jisme kamzor industrial production aur retail sales figures shamil hain, Australian exports ke liye demand ko kam kar rahe hain, jis se AUD pe pressure hai. Is ke ilawa, ongoing geopolitical tensions, khaaskar China aur US ke darmiyan, uncertainty ko barhate hain, jo AUD ko less attractive bana dete hain jab global risks barh jaate hain.

USD ki strength ko safe-haven currency ke tor pe bhi support mil raha hai, khaaskar jab global economic uncertainty barh jaati hai. Investors market volatility ke barhne par USD ki taraf jhuk jaate hain, jo ke inflation, recession risks, aur geopolitical instability jaise concerns se driven hota hai. Ye safety ki taraf ka rawani AUD/USD pair ko aur bhi pressure de rahi hai, kyunki investors riskier assets jaise ke AUD ko kam karte hain aur zyada stable USD ko pasand karte hain.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Currency pair key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke strong bearish momentum ko darshata hai. 50-day moving average ne 200-day moving average ko neeche ki taraf cross kar diya hai, jo ke ek "death cross" bana raha hai, ek bearish signal jo aksar zyada girawat ke pehle hota hai. Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold levels ke qareeb hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke halanki short-term bounce aa sakta hai, overall trend abhi bhi downward hai.

Aakhir mein, AUD/USD currency pair ka current bearish trend monetary policy divergence, kamzor global economic conditions, aur USD ke safe-haven appeal ka combination hai, jo ke market ke negative outlook ko janam de raha hai.

Australian Dollar US Dollar Ke Muqable Mein Mazbooti Barqarar Rakhta Hai

Jumeraat ko, Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apni mazbooti dikhayi, jo ke lagbhag teen haftay ke uchai par 0.6640 ke qareeb tha. Is achi performance ka tajziya kai factors se hai, jin mein kamzor US dollar aur Australia ke mazboot economic data shamil hain.

Kamzor US Dollar Ke Asraat

US dollar ki kami us waqt shuru hui jab US ke retail sales aur jobless claims ke data achi aayi, jisse Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rate cut hone ki umeed barh gayi. Magar, market ka jazbaat mushkil se optimistic raha, investors ne rate cuts ke sath aane wale economic faide pe zyada dhyan diya.

Mazboot Australian Economic Data

Dusri taraf, Australian dollar ne apni taqat Australian economic data ki madad se hasil ki, jahan employment figures ne ummeed se zyada behtari dikhayi. Is behtari ka matlab hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko shayad apni hawkish stance barqarar rakhni padegi taake inflationary pressures ko address kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD Pair Ka Technical Tajziya

AUD/USD pair ne ek mazboot upward trajectory dikhayi, lekin yeh 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke 0.6635 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh level ek aham rukawat ban gaya hai jo pair ko apni gains barhane se rok raha hai. Technical indicators mixed signals de rahe hain; Stochastic oscillator overbought conditions dikhata hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh batata hai ke ab bhi kuch upar ka potential ho sakta hai.

Bullish Aur Bearish Forces Ka Taqablu

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan atka hua hai. Jabke Australian dollar ne strength dikhayi hai, pair ka 50-day SMA ko confidently break na kar pana uski upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat paida kar raha hai. Traders ko is critical level ke aas-paas pair ke performance ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye, kyunke kisi bhi taraf se decisive break future price movements ke liye clear direction de sakta hai. Traders ko fundamentals ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye taake trend line ke 0.6900 ke qareeb kisi bhi breach ke potential ko dekha ja sake.

Ab AUD/USD currency pair ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne main horizontal resistance level 0.6573 ke upar consolidate kar liya hai. Kayi koshishon ke bawajood, price phir se is level ke neeche nahi jaa paayi. Yeh dekhne mein lagta hai ke market upar ki taraf dekh raha hai. Agar aap puri pehle ki girawat par Fibonacci correction grid apply karein, toh yeh samajh aata hai ke growth 61.8 par ruk gaya hai. CCI indicator bhi yehi indicate kar raha hai ke hum aur zyada upar nahi jaayenge, aur yeh upper overheating zone se nikalne ke liye tayar hai. Chahay price upar ki taraf dekh rahi hai, lekin yahan top par buy karne ka mann nahi hai, khaaskar isi CCI indicator ki wajah se. Ho sakta hai top thoda update ho, aur phir ek corrective rollback expected hai.

Kal pehle activity low thi, hum sirf news ke aane ka wait kar rahe thay, aur jab news aayi toh price neeche chali gayi, lekin price ko zyada door neeche nahi jane diya, bilkul support level 0.6573 tak aayi aur phir se upar drag kar di. Indicators ne forecast se better perform kiya, jo ke US dollar ke strengthening ke liye favorable tha. Agar aap four-hour period par dhyan dein, toh agar hum day before yesterday ka top cross karte hain, toh MACD indicator par bearish divergence form ho jayega. Agar aap yeh consider karein ke daily par CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aana chahta hai, toh decline ka probability barh jata hai. Ab top ke beyond exit ka wait kar raha hoon. Agar yeh hota hai, toh chhote period par sale ke formation ko dekhna hoga, jese ke M15 par mirror level dekhna, takay support resistance mein change ho jaye.

Aaj ke liye noteworthy news hai:
- 15:30 Moscow time par: The number of issued building permits in the USA.
- The volume of new home construction in the USA.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD
Pichlay trading week mai, Australian dollar ne apni decline ko continue kiya aur significantly local levels ko update kiya, trading karte huye 0.6368 level ke neeche sharp shock move mai. Magar, is level par price ko significant support mila, jo usay aage barhne se roknay mai kamiyab raha, aur price ne apne pichlay losses ko wapas le kar initial position mai return kar liya. Sath hi, price chart ab super-trend green zone mai move karna shuru ho raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ki activity kam ho rahi hai.

AUD/USD prices ko Thursday ko additional support mila aur better-than-expected US retail sales data se yeh pata chala ke US economy recession se bahar nikal rahi hai. AUD/USD 0.6630 tak barh gaya, jo pehle din ke close 0.6530 se zyada tha. Price Thursday ke din high of 0.6710 se gir kar trading low of 0.6520 tak aayi. Data ne market expectations ko defy kiya, jo pichlay ek week se keh raha tha ke US economy recession ki taraf ja rahi hai. Retail sales July mai 1.00% barh gayi, jo ke pehle 0.2% thi aur consensus 0.3% se zyada thi.



Pair slightly higher trade kar raha hai is week ke start se, weekly low ke baad. Key resistance area ko test kiya gaya aur neeche assess kiya gaya, jo downside vector ki importance ko dikhata hai. Downward move ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6573 level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone ki boundary hai. Agar successful retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound down hota hai, to aur negative continuation create ho sakta hai, jiska target area 0.6433 aur 0.6368 ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 0.6635 reversal level ke through break karti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

Australian Dollar US Dollar Ke Muqable Mein Mazbooti Barqarar Rakhta Hai

Jumeraat ko, Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apni mazbooti dikhayi, jo ke lagbhag teen haftay ke uchai par 0.6640 ke qareeb tha. Is achi performance ka tajziya kai factors se hai, jin mein kamzor US dollar aur Australia ke mazboot economic data shamil hain.

Kamzor US Dollar Ke Asraat

US dollar ki kami us waqt shuru hui jab US ke retail sales aur jobless claims ke data achi aayi, jisse Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rate cut hone ki umeed barh gayi. Magar, market ka jazbaat mushkil se optimistic raha, investors ne rate cuts ke sath aane wale economic faide pe zyada dhyan diya.

Mazboot Australian Economic Data

Dusri taraf, Australian dollar ne apni taqat Australian economic data ki madad se hasil ki, jahan employment figures ne ummeed se zyada behtari dikhayi. Is behtari ka matlab hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko shayad apni hawkish stance barqarar rakhni padegi taake inflationary pressures ko address kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD Pair Ka Technical Tajziya

AUD/USD pair ne ek mazboot upward trajectory dikhayi, lekin yeh 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke 0.6635 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh level ek aham rukawat ban gaya hai jo pair ko apni gains barhane se rok raha hai. Technical indicators mixed signals de rahe hain; Stochastic oscillator overbought conditions dikhata hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh batata hai ke ab bhi kuch upar ka potential ho sakta hai.

Bullish Aur Bearish Forces Ka Taqablu

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan atka hua hai. Jabke Australian dollar ne strength dikhayi hai, pair ka 50-day SMA ko confidently break na kar pana uski upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat paida kar raha hai. Traders ko is critical level ke aas-paas pair ke performance ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye, kyunke kisi bhi taraf se decisive break future price movements ke liye clear direction de sakta hai. Traders ko fundamentals ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye taake trend line ke 0.6900 ke qareeb kisi bhi breach ke potential ko dekha ja sake.

Jummah ke subah ke trading session mein, Australian dollar ne halki si rally ka samna kiya aur ek baar phir ek pehchani hui resistance barrier ko haqdaar banane ki koshish ki. 0.6650 ka level baar-baar ek ahem rukawat bana hai, isliye ye koi hairani ki baat nahi hai ke currency is point ke aas-paas mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai.

Ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar ne aik saal se ander kaafi volatility ka samna kiya hai, lekin ek well-defined range ke andar hi raha hai. Ye range, jo ke lagbhag 400 points ke aas-paas hai, kabhi kabhi break hui hai, lekin aam tor par ye kai price fluctuations ke bawajood barqarar rahi hai.

Filhal, currency is range ke darmiyan nazar aa rahi hai. Halanki current candlestick mein thodi si positivity hai, lekin 0.6650 level par dekhne wali resistance ke wajah se halat mushkil hai. Agar Australian dollar is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to ye 0.6750 level ko target kar sakti hai. Lekin, iske liye market mein "risk-on" sentiment ki zaroorat hogi.

Zyada mumkin hai ke Australian dollar apne 50-day aur 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) ke aas-paas ghoomti rahe. Ye indicators recent price action mein pivotal rahe hain, jo ye darshata hai ke currency abhi bhi ek clear direction talash kar rahi hai. Neeche ki taraf, 0.6550 level par mazboot support milta hai, aur 0.6450 level par aage ka support nazar aata hai.

Kul mila kar, Australian dollar ka lagta hai ke apne established range ke andar hi rahega, aur kisi bhi significant movement ka ta'alluq broader market dynamics aur risk sentiment par depend karega. Filhal, traders ko upar diye gaye key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye currency ke agle move ko dictate karenge.

Australian dollar pichle trading haftay mein apni kami ko jaari rakha aur local levels ko kafi had tak update kiya, 0.6368 ke level ke bilkul niche trade karta raha, ek tez shock move mein. Magar is level par price ne significant support ka samna kiya, jo aage badhne ke maqsad ko rok raha tha, aur purane nuksan ko poori tarah se kam kar ke apne shuruati position par wapas aa gaya. Is waqt, price chart super-trend green zone mein move karne lag gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke buyers apni activity chhod rahe hain.

AUD/USD prices ko Thursday ko additional support mila aur behtar-than-expected US retail sales data ne dikhaya ke US economy recession se bahar aa rahi hai. AUD/USD 0.6630 tak ucha gaya, jabke pehle ke din ke close 0.6530 se. Price ne Thursday ko 0.6710 ke high se gir kar 0.6520 ke trading low tak ka safar kiya. Yeh data market ki ek haftay se zyada ki ummeedon ko defy kar raha tha ke US economy recession ki taraf ja rahi hai. Retail sales July mein 1.00% tak barh gayi, jo pehle ke 0.2% se zyada hai aur 0.3% ke consensus ko beat karti hai.

Jorha thoda ucha trade kar raha hai hafte ke shuruat se baad ek weekly low ke. Key resistance area ko test aur assess kiya gaya, jo niche ke vector ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai. Neeche chalne ke iraade ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6573 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone ka border hai. Agar successful retest aur baad mein neeche ki taraf rebound hota hai, to ek aur negative continuation create hogi jiska target 0.6433 aur 0.6368 hoga.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 0.6635 ko break karti hai, to is current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis

Australian dollar ne guzishta trading hafta apni girawat jari rakhi aur ek zabardast shock move ke zariye 0.6368 level ke neeche trade kiya. Lekin, is level par price ko aik aham support mila, jis ne mazeed girawat ko rok diya aur pehle wale losses ko recover karte hue price ko apni ibtidaai position tak le aaya. Is waqt price chart super-trend green zone mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ki activity kam ho rahi hai.

AUD/USD ko Thursday ke din mazeed support mila jab US ki retail sales data ne better-than-expected results dikhaye, jis se yeh andaza hua ke US economy recession se nikal rahi hai. AUD/USD ne 0.6630 tak izafa kiya, jo ke pehle din ke 0.6530 close se zyada tha. Thursday ko price 0.6710 ke high se gir kar 0.6520 ke low tak chali gayi. Yeh data market ki ek haftay se zyada ki umeedon ke bar-aks tha ke US economy recession ki taraf ja rahi hai. July mein retail sales 1.00% barh gayi, jo pehle ke 0.2% se zyada aur consensus ke 0.3% ko beat kar gayi.

Week ke ibtidaai level ke baad pair ab thora zyada trade kar raha hai. Aham resistance area test ho chuka hai aur neeche ka andaza lagaya gaya hai, jo downside vector ki importance ko highlight karta hai. Price ko neeche ka trend barqarar rakhne ke liye 0.6573 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai, jahan par main resistance zone ki border hai. Agar successful retest hota hai aur price neeche rebound karti hai, toh is se mazeed negative continuation ka signal milega, jiska target 0.6433 aur 0.6368 ho sakta hai.




Agar resistance break ho jata hai aur price 0.6635 ke reversal level se upar chali jati hai, toh yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Friday ke trading session ke ibtidaai hours mein Australian dollar ne thori si recovery dikhayi aur ek baar phir familiar resistance barrier ki taraf barh raha hai. 0.6650 ka level kai dafa se ek bara obstacle sabit hua hai, is liye yeh herani ki baat nahi ke currency is point par thodi mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar achi khaasi volatility dikhata raha hai, lekin pichle aik saal se dedh saal ke dauran yeh ek well-defined range mein confined raha hai. Yeh range takreeban 400 points ki hai, jo kabhi kabhar breach hui hai, lekin overall, yeh kai price fluctuations ke bawajood mazbooti se barqarar rahi hai.

Is waqt, currency is range ke darmiyan mein hover kar rahi hai. Haal ke candlestick mein halka sa positivity dikhayi de rahi hai, magar 0.6650 ke level par mojood resistance ki wajah se situation abhi bhi kaafi neutral hai. Agar Australian dollar is resistance ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh 0.6750 level ko target kar sakta hai. Lekin, is kaam ko anjaam dene ke liye broader market mein ek significant "risk-on" sentiment ki zaroorat hogi.

Zyada mumkin hai ke Australian dollar apni 50-day aur 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) ke ird gird hi ghoomta rahe. Ye indicators recent price action mein aik aham kirdar ada kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke currency abhi tak ek wazeh direction talash kar rahi hai. Downside par mazboot support 0.6550 level par mojood hai, aur mazeed support 0.6450 level ke qareeb milta hai.




Mojooda surat-e-haal mein lagta hai ke Australian dollar apni established range ke andar hi rahega, aur kisi bhi significant movement ka daromadar broader market dynamics aur risk sentiment par hoga. Traders ko in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yehi levels aglay move ko dictate karne mein aham honge.

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

Market timeframe mein jo AudUsd pair Thursday ko observe kiya gaya, usmein sellers ne zyada taqat ke sath market mein daakhil hokar price ko niche bearish zone mein dhakel diya, lekin buyers ne mazbooti se support area 0.6590-0.6588 par price ko rok liya. Is wajah se price aur zyada neeche girne mein nakam raha, aur phir buyers ne control hasil karte hue price ko bullish zone mein le aaya.

Daily timeframe mein Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke buyers ne price ko Middle Bollinger Bands area (0.6570-0.6572) ke upar barqarar rakha. Ek mazboot Bullish Doji candlestick bani, jo yeh ishara deti hai ke AudUsd pair ka market ab bhi buyers ke qabze mein hai, aur wo mazeed buying pressure dal kar price ko Upper Bollinger Bands area (0.6660) tak le jane ka target rakhte hain, jo aaj ke trading ka main goal hai.

Friday ke Asian market session mein dekha gaya ke price ab bhi buyers ke qabze mein hai, jo mazeed bullish opportunities ko kaayam rakhte hue price ko upar le jana chahte hain. Wo seller's resistance area (0.6638-0.6640) ko test kar rahe hain, aur agar ye level break hota hai, toh higher bullish path khul jaye ga, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area (0.6695-0.6700) hoga, jo abhi tak sellers ke qabze mein hai.

Natija:

Agar seller nearest buyer support area (0.6606-0.6603) ko successfully breach kar lete hain, toh sell entry ki ja sakti hai, TP target area 0.6577-0.6575 par hoga.




Agar buyer nearest seller resistance area (0.6638-0.6640) ko successfully breach kar lete hain, toh buy entry ki ja sakti hai, TP target area 0.6668-0.6670 par hoga.

Australian dollar ne Wednesday ke trading session mein thodi si uthal puthal dikhayi, jo market ki uncertainty ko reflect karta hai ke agla rukh kya hoga. 0.6650 ka level ek aham resistance area sabit hua hai, aur yeh koi hairat ki baat nahi ke is area se price mein pullback dekha gaya, khaaskar jab ke US ka financial data expectations se zyada hot nikla. Halaanke recent rally hui hai, Australian dollar is point par pehle bhi depressed raha hai, jo is level ki ahmiyat ko underline karta hai.

Mojooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke Australian dollar mein mazeed appreciation ho, magar yeh slow aur unpredictable hoga. Aggressive price action traders ko galat side par phansne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo trading ko mushkil bana deta hai. Is fluctuation ke momentum khatam hone ka intezaar karna behtar hoga, qabl iske ke koi trade kiya jaye, kyun ke poore saal ka trading schedule volatile aur complicated nazar aata hai.

Australian dollar ko affect karne wale factors ko dekhte hue, yeh tabdeeliyan samajh mein aati hain. Currency ka Asia, global economic growth, aur commodity markets ke sath gehra taluq hai—aur in tamam areas mein is waqt kafi uncertainty hai. Is wajah se, meri position Australian dollar par neutral hai, aur main dekhne ko tarjeeh deta hoon bagair kisi specific position ke.




Khulasa yeh hai ke Australian dollar is waqt ek mushkil phase se guzar raha hai jahan bara resistance aur support levels khel mein hain. Global trends ke asar se currency apni volatile trajectory ko jari rakh sakti hai. Traders ke liye sabr aur ehtiyaat zaroori hai jo Australian dollar ke sath in uncertain halat mein deal karna chahte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke price upar ki taraf barh kar 0.6650 ke resistance level ko break karne ki koshish karegi.

24-Hour View:
“Kal humne umeed ki thi ke AUD mazeed mazboot hoga, magar humne yeh bhi kaha tha ke dekhna padega ke kya yeh 0.6660 ka level cross kar sakta hai ya nahi. Humne yeh bhi kaha tha ke ‘support 0.6615 par hai, aur agar 0.6600 breach hota hai toh yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke AUD mazeed mazboot nahi ho raha.’ AUD expected se kam barh kar 0.6643 tak gaya aur phir achanak gir kar 0.6595 ka low hit kiya. Yeh sharp pullback thoda zyada lag raha hai, aur lagta hai ke AUD mazeed zyada weak nahi hoga. Aaj hum expect karte hain ke AUD 0.6580 aur 0.6625 ke range mein trade karega.”

**1-3 Weeks View:**
“Do din pehle AUD ke barhne ke baad, humne kal (14 August, spot 0.6630 par) yeh kaha tha ke ‘upward momentum aur barh gaya hai.’ Humne yeh bhi kaha tha ke ab agla focus 0.6660 ke level par hoga. AUD phir 0.6643 tak barha magar phir achanak sharp pullback aaya. Ab momentum dheema ho raha hai. Ab agar AUD 0.6580 ke neeche break karta hai (jo ke ‘strong support’ ka level hai), toh yeh is baat ki taraf ishara hoga ke yeh abhi 0.6660 ki taraf nahi barhne wala.”

Daily chart analysis se lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair mazeed appreciate kar sakta hai, kyunke bullish bias dikhayi de rahi hai. 50-day EMA 0.6613 par aur lower boundary 0.6590 ke qareeb immediate support levels hain. Agar 9-day EMA 50-day EMA se upar cross karta hai, toh yeh buying opportunity de sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair ne apne pichle session ke recent losses ko recover kar liya hai aur Thursday ke European hours ke dauran 0.6620 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel mein positioned hai, jo bullish bias ko suggest karta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke thoda upar hai, jo bullish momentum ko reinforce kar raha hai. Support ke tor par, 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6613 ka level ek immediate support ban raha hai, jabke ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6590 ke qareeb hai, jo ke 9-day EMA 0.6587 ke sath aligned hai.

Agar ascending channel ka breach hota hai, toh yeh bearish bias ka signal de sakta hai aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6575 ke throwback level tak le ja sakta hai. Agar pair is support level ke neeche girta hai, toh bearish outlook aur mazboot ho sakta hai aur yeh 0.6470 ke next throwback level tak ja sakta hai.

Daily chart analysis yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke 9-day EMA 50-day EMA se upar cross kar sakta hai. Agar yeh crossover hota hai, toh yeh price momentum ke longer-term trend se tez hone ki nishani hogi, jo AUD/USD pair ko buy karne ka signal de sakta hai.




Uptick ke tor par, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6700 tak ja sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh pair 11 July ko achieve ki gayi six-month high 0.6798 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Daily Timeframe Movement:
AUD/USD chart ke daily timeframe par candlestick movement ka analysis kiya gaya hai, jisme pichle chand dino se bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain aur range kaafi wide rahi hai. Aaj ki trading mein bhi candlestick kaafi upar move karti hui nazar aayi, halaanke kal raat ko price mein correction dekhne ko mila. Market ka safar Monday se bullish movement ke sath shuru hua, jisme level 0.6571 se 0.6608 tak barh gaya. Phir Tuesday se lekar kal raat tak trading session ke dauran candlestick 0.6645 tak pahunch gayi. Buyers ne market ko dominate karte hue weekly movement ko bullish banaya, aur aisa lagta hai ke wo monthly upward trend ko jari rakhna chahte hain.




Indicators Ka Analysis:
Simple Moving Average (SMA) 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators upward direction mein point kar rahe hain, jo is baat ka andaza dete hain ke agar buyers apni market par dominance ko 0.6600 ke upar barqarar rakhein, toh yeh condition kal tak jari reh sakti hai. MACD indicator ke instructions ko monitor karte hue yeh saaf hai ke histogram bar ka size chhota hota ja raha hai aur zero level ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Yellow dotted MACD signal line bhi upwards bend kar rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) par lime line consistently 50 ke level par khel rahi hai. In tino support indicators ka monitoring ke baad yeh samajh mein aata hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha hai.

Good Morning Invest Social Members!
Umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge aur is site ka lutf utha rahe honge. Aaj main AUD/USD ke baare mein baat karne ja raha hoon, aur is dafa hum AUD/USD ke H4 timeframe par focus karenge.

Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) duniya ke sab se zyada traded currencies mein se hain. In dono currencies ka taluq aksar mukhtalif economic, political, aur financial factors ke asar mein hota hai. In mein interest rate ka farq, commodity prices (khusoosan Australia ke export sector jaise iron ore aur gold se related prices), aur broader market sentiment shamil hain. Ab tak ke analysis ke mutabiq, Australian Dollar mein US Dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat dikhayi de rahi hai. Ye trend sirf AUD/USD pair mein hi nahi, balki un tamam currency pairs mein dikh raha hai jahan USD involve hai.

Haal ki market situation yeh zahir karti hai ke US Dollar mein kamzori aa rahi hai, jo ke economic growth ki concerns, Federal Reserve ke policy expectations mein tabdeeliyan, ya global risk sentiment mein fluctuations ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Is context mein yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh macroeconomic factors AUD/USD pair par kis tarah asar daal rahe hain.

H4 chart par recent performance ne clear upward trajectory dikhayi hai, jo traders mein bullish sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Yeh bilkhusoos aakhri four-hour candle mein dikhayi diya hai, jo positive momentum aur buyers ki control ko zahir karti hai.

Technical Analysis:
Price action ka study karna chhoti timeframes par, jaise ke H4, traders ke liye ahem hai jo ke short-term movements se faida uthana chahte hain, lekin saath hi broader market trends ke sath aligned rehna chahte hain. H4 timeframe ko emerging trends aur trades ke entry ya exit points ko identify karne ke liye bhi istemal kiya jata hai.

Maujooda setup ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke AUD/USD short to medium term mein apni upward movement ko jari rakhega. AUD ke recent strengthening ko technical indicators aur price action dono support kar rahe hain. Key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, jab tak yeh bullish environment jari hai. Agar price apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhti hai, toh agla ahem resistance level traders ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai.




H4 timeframe par AUD/USD pair filhaal bullish trend ko zahir kar raha hai, jo ke recent price action aur broader market sentiment ke sath align hai, jahan USD weak hai. Magar traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyun ke market hamesha evolve hoti rehti hai aur naye developments pair ki trajectory ko affect kar sakte hain. Key economic indicators ka monitoring aur global market developments se waqif rehna trading mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hoga.