ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian dollar (AUD) filhaal $0.6655 ke ird-gird ghoom raha hai, jo foreign exchange market mein neutral trend ko reflect karta hai. Yeh daily charts par bhi zohar se dikhayi deta hai, jahan AUD/USD pair ek rectangular pattern ke andar stuck hai, jo consolidation ko darshata hai na ke clear direction ko. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki taraf dekh rahe hain hints ke liye. Yeh technical indicator abhi 50 par hai, jo ek neutral market ko signify karta hai. Is level ke oopar ya neeche ek decisiveness move clearer picture provide kar sakta hai ke AUD/USD kis taraf headed hai.

AUD/USD do key levels par support dhoondh sakta hai. Pehla hai 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) jo abhi $0.6612 par hai. Yeh average ek floor price ke tor par kaam karta hai, jahan pehle dips ne buyers ko willing paaya tha step in karne ke liye. Dusra support level $0.6585 par hai, jo aforementioned rectangle formation ki lower boundary ko mark karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh signal de sakta hai ke AUD aur neeche ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, AUD ko resistance face karni par sakti hai jab yeh climb karne ki koshish karta hai. Pehla hurdle rectangular boundary ke upper side par hai jo ke $0.6700 hai. Ek sustained move is level ke oopar potential bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek resistance level $0.6714 par hai, jo highest point hai jo AUD/USD ne January se reach kiya hai. Pichle kuch dino se back-and-forth trading dekhi gayi hai, jahan sellers ne successfully price ko Friday ke low ke neeche push kiya. Jabke buyers ne kuch ground regain karne ki koshish ki, unki koshish limited rahi hai, aur price abhi $0.6645 ke neeche hai. Buyers ke liye key $0.6583 level ko defend karne mein hai. Ek successful defense buying opportunity signal de sakta hai, jo ek potential rebound aur upward momentum continuation suggest karta hai. Even ek false breakout $0.6630 ke oopar, followed by reversal, ek buying chance present kar sakta hai.

### Trading Recommendations in the AUD/USD

Mujhe AUDUSD market mein sell entry signals dekhne ka mashwara dena chahiye, kyunke mere khayal mein trend situation bullish se bearish trend ki taraf reverse ho sakti hai mapping ke mutabiq jo maine banayi hai. Lekin ek sell entry signal ke liye, behtar hai ke seller ke successful push ka intezar kiya jaye jahan AUDUSD price neeche jaye aur MA100 indicator ko successfully penetrate kare. Seller ka MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne mein kamyab hona yeh validate karega ke trend reversal ho chuka hai. Mera estimate yeh hai ke seller continue karega AUDUSD market ko control karna aur AUDUSD price ko neeche push karna, zyada se zyada resistance area tak na pohanchne dete hue jo MA100 indicator aur support trend line ke neeche hai.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz AUD/USD currency pair ki real-time price action ka tajziya hai. Aaj, mein AUD/USD currency pair ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Short positions ke liye current conditions favorable hain. Abhi price 0.66583 par hai, jo ek acha point hai sell karne ke liye, shayad thoda upar bhi. Jab tak bearish pressure barkarar rahe aur bulls koi significant resistance na dikhayein, shorting advisable hai. Mera target aaj ke liye lower support level 0.66289 hai. Mein stop loss ko thoda 0.66589 ke upar set karunga. Agar price 0.66289 ke neeche dip kare aur volatility barhe, to mein apni short position ko extend kar sakta hoon.

Charts ka review karne ke baad, mujhe support levels 0.66401 aur 0.66069 ne meri tawajju kheench li. Mein dekhunga ke price kaise 0.65928 ke qareeb aata hai aur agar mujhe is level ke qareeb bullish signals milte hain to mein market mein enter karne ka sochunga. Halanki price neeche jaari reh sakti hai, mein recovery ki umeed rakhta hoon aur bullish movement ki confirmation dekhunga.

### Chart Insights

AUD/USD pair ek turning point par hai. Critical resistance level 0.6667 hai, aur daily candle ka close is level ke mutabiq trading decisions ko guide karega. Agar daily close 0.6667 ke neeche nahi hota, to mein support level 0.6657 par return ki umeed rakhta hoon, jo indicate karta hai ke 0.6659 - 0.6667 resistance zone hold kar raha hai, aur shayad yeh 0.6590 tak drop hone ka lead kare. Hal filhal, AUD/USD pair 0.6656 par trade kar raha hai.

Board of Governors ne persistent high inflation risks aur Australian economy ke slowdown ka potential acknowledge kiya. RBA ne confirm kiya ke agar inflation barhta hai to wo monetary policy ko tighten karna resume karenge. Prices ne last week's opening mark ko test kiya aur support paya, jo suggest karta hai ke quotes shayad 0.6717 tak rise continue karenge.

Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hamare paas aik developing trend hai jo bearish outcome ko favor kar raha hai. Sellers ne har resistance level par activity ko intercept kar liya hai aur buyer trends ko khatam kar rahe hain. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke lagataar downward movements ho rahi hain, jo ek strong bearish trend ko indicate kar rahi hain. Agar yeh activity barkarar rahi, to hum ek significant bearish decline dekh sakte hain jo ke 0.6529 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke AUD/USD ke liye ek essential support hai.

Isi dauran, upward movement ke doran lower highs banne ki umeed hai aur yeh 0.6722 resistance ke neeche rahega. Aaj Jerome Powell ka speech hai aur JOLTS report bhi due hai, jo ke potential significant moves suggest kar raha hai, jisme preference downward trend ke liye hai. Main AUD/USD ko small lots use karke trade kar raha hoon. Current flat se upward breakout anticipate karte hue main long positions open kar raha hoon. Abhi hum correction support zone 0.6651/0.6640 ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain.

### Chart Insights

AUD/USD pair ek turning point par hai. Critical resistance level 0.6667 hai, aur daily candle ka close is level ke mutabiq trading decisions ko guide karega. Agar daily close 0.6667 ke neeche nahi hota, to mein support level 0.6657 par return ki umeed rakhta hoon, jo indicate karta hai ke 0.6659 - 0.6667 resistance zone hold kar raha hai, aur shayad yeh 0.6590 tak drop hone ka lead kare. Hal filhal, AUD/USD pair 0.6656 par trade kar raha hai.

Board of Governors ne persistent high inflation risks aur Australian economy ke slowdown ka potential acknowledge kiya. RBA ne confirm kiya ke agar inflation barhta hai to wo monetary policy ko tighten karna resume karenge. Prices ne last week's opening mark ko test kiya aur support paya, jo suggest karta hai ke quotes shayad 0.6717 tak rise continue karenge.

Australian dollar (AUD) is waqt $0.6655 ke qareeb hai, jo foreign exchange market mein aik neutral trend ko reflect kar raha hai. Daily charts par yeh dikhayi deta hai ke AUD/USD pair aik rectangular pattern mein phansa hua hai, jo consolidation ko indicate karta hai na ke clear direction ko. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka sahara le rahe hain. Yeh technical indicator is waqt 50 par hai, jo neutral market ko signify karta hai. Aik decisive move above ya below is level ke ho, to yeh clear picture provide kar sakta hai ke AUD/USD kidhar headed hai.

AUD/USD do key levels par support pa sakta hai. Pehla level 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hai jo is waqt $0.6612 par hai. Yeh average aik floor price ka kaam karti hai, jahan previous dips ne buyers ko step in karne par majboor kiya. Dusra support level $0.6585 par hai, jo aforementioned rectangle formation ka lower boundary hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh AUD ke liye further decline ko signal kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, AUD ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai jab yeh climb karne ki koshish kare. Pehla hurdle rectangle ka upper boundary $0.6700 par hai. Aik sustained move above yeh level potential bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek resistance level $0.6714 par hai, jo highest point represent karta hai jo AUD/USD ne January se dekha hai. Guzishta kuch dinon mein back-and-forth trading hui hai, jahan sellers ne price ko Friday ke low se neeche successfully push kiya. Jab ke buyers ne aaj kuch ground regain karne ki koshish ki, unki efforts limited rahi, aur price is waqt $0.6645 se neeche hai. Buyers ke liye key lies $0.6583 level ko defend karna hai. Aik successful defense buying opportunity ko signal kar sakta hai, jo potential rebound aur continuation of upward momentum ko suggest karta hai. Even $0.6630 ke false breakout ke baad reversal, aik buying chance present kar sakta hai.

Market mein AUDUSD ke liye trading recommendations yeh hain: main sell entry signals dekhne ki salah deta hoon AUDUSD market mein, kyun ke meri rai mein trend situation bullish se bearish trend mein reverse ho rahi hai according to the mapping that I make. Lekin sell entry signal ke liye, behtar yeh hai ke wait kiya jaye jab seller AUDUSD price ko neeche push karta hai aur successfully MA100 indicator ko penetrate karta hai. Seller ki success MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne mein validation hai ke trend reversal ho chuka hai. Meri estimate hai ke seller AUDUSD market ko control karta rahega aur AUDUSD price ko neeche push karega, jo resistance area ko touch karega jo MA100 indicator aur support trend line ke neeche hai.

US dollar, jo pehle kuch weakening experience kar raha tha, FOMC announcement ke baad apni losses recover kar gaya hai apne counterparts ke muqable mein. Rates ko steady rakhne ka faisla US economy ki resilience mein confidence ko signal karta hai, global uncertainties ke bawajood. Aage dekhte hue, market participants further economic indicators aur central bank actions ko closely watch karenge, jo aanay wale hafton mein currency movements ko impact kar sakti hain.



Australian dollar ka unexpected reaction to positive domestic data global currency markets ki complexities ko highlight karta hai, jahan economic fundamentals ke ilawa bhi bohat se factors exchange rates ko influence karte hain. Abhi ke liye, trading ke liye technical situation ideal nahi hai. Recent FOMC meeting ne US dollar par significant upward pressure dala hai, jiski wajah se AUD/USD pair ne downward movement experience ki. Aaj ke economic news during New York session naye pressures ko introduce kar sakti hain jab market activity increase hoti hai, jo potential trading opportunities present karti hain bearish candle ki form mein jo previous day's gains ko completely erase kar deti hai.

### Focus on Resistance Levels

Abhi ke liye, mujhe koi clear trading opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi hain. Main do key resistance levels par focus kar raha hoon: 0.66986 aur 0.67141. Jaise ke maine pehle mention kiya tha, in levels par do potential scenarios hain. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh potential breakout aur further northward movement ko signal kar sakta hai. Is case mein, main price ko next resistance level 0.68711 tak reach karne ka wait karunga

Doosri taraf, agar $0.6670 ke upar break hota hai aur subsequent consolidation hoti hai, to yeh AUD ki potential strengthening ko signify karta hai. Lekin, ek aur corrective fall ka possibility remains, jiske baad continued growth expected hai. AUD/USD is waqt consolidation phase mein stuck hai. Potential support aur resistance levels dekhne ke liye hain, lekin overall trend neutral hai. A defined range ke upar ya neeche breakout ek clearer directional signal provide karega. Jab tak consolidation persist karta hai, further downward movement ka chance rehta hai.

**AUD/USD ka Formal Tajaiza**

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke live dynamics ko analyze kar rahe hain. Iss stage par main girawat ka support nahi karta, kyun ke probability yeh suggest karti hai ke 0.6527 ka breakout zaroori hai. Main chart bullish direction indicate karta hai, aur European session ke end tak hum 0.6718 pohonch sakte hain. Growth block 0.6652 par hai, aur hum koshish kar rahe hain 0.6718 ko reach karne ki, jahan 0.678 is structure ko complete karega. Dopeher mein, is move ke shuru hone ka mauka hai jo bullish progress par khatam hoga. Yeh pair ek mahine aur aadhe se sideways trend mein hai, jo ke ek significant move ke imkanaat ko darshata hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ek clear selling advantage dikhata hai ek ghante mein. Aaj ke trading plan ka tafseeli breakdown yeh hai, focusing on short positions. Limit orders strategy ko guide karengi. Sab se favorable sell position resistance level 0.66903 se hai, stop order 0.66928 par hai. Target profit support level 0.66188 par hai.



Main anticipate karta hoon ek limited sale ko execute karne aur profit goal ki taraf le jaane. Trade ke doran, main partially position ko close kar sakta hoon, aur baqi ko intended profit ki taraf aim karne doonga. Chart se yeh zahir hai ke currency pair ko sell karna buying se zyada justified hai. Moving average price ke upar hai, jo sellers ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Ek additional sell signal MACD se mil sakta hai, jo price par apna upward pressure lagata hai with its histogram bars. MACD signal ke change hone ka intezar karna zaroori hai sell karne se pehle. Dono indicators short trade ko confirm karte hain. Main plan karta hoon ke 0.6702 par sell karoon, profit ke aim ke saath, aur naye market entry points ko dekhoon. Loss limits ko yaad rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Stop loss 0.6722 par hai, jo losses ko 2% deposit par cap karega.

جولائی 5 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالرکے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر 0.6730 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر بڑھ گیا ہے، جس نے انٹرا ڈے ٹائم فریم پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ انحراف کی شرط کو پورا کیا۔ انحراف کے ریورس ہونے کی صلاحیت کو توڑے بغیر، قیمت اب بھی 0.6780 کی ہدف کی سطح تک بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



0.6780 سے اوپر مستحکم کرنے سے قیمت کو 0.6874 کے دوسرے ہدف کی سطح تک لے جائے گا، جو 28 دسمبر 2023 کی چوٹی کے مساوی ہے۔ اگر انحراف موجودہ سطحوں سے بڑھتے ہوئے رجحان پر قابو پاتا ہے، تو ایک بار جب قیمت 0.6690 پر سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے چلی جاتی ہے اور 0.6627، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 0.6467 تک پہنچ جائے گی۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 0.6730 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر ایک طرف حرکت کرتا ہے۔ ہم آج رات کے یو ایس لیبر ڈیٹا کی ریلیز کے بعد پتا چلیں گے کہ آیا اوکیلیٹر کے بعد اوپر کا رجحان کمزور ہو جائے گا یا یہ حقیقت میں نئی رفتار حاصل کرے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.
Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.
Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.
Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.
Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.
Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai.

Hum aik tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge.
Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.

Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 ko pohonch gaya, jiske baad uska growth ruk gaya aur steady decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument abhi current price level of 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Sab ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur consolidate ho jaenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level aur mazeed move karega down to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein entry ka saboot RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se puri tarah approve hai kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein Hum aik tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge.
Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.
Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 ko pohonch gaya, jiske baad uska growth ruk gaya aur steady decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument abhi current price level of 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Sab ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur consolidate ho jaenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level aur mazeed move karega down to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein entry ka saboot RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se puri tarah approve hai kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein

Hamara guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke ongoing live evaluation ke hawale se hai. M15 chart par, linear regression channel bearish trend dikhata hai, jo strong seller ka indication hai jo 0.66306 ko target kar raha hai. Bear sell zone channel ki upper border ke qareeb 0.66538 par hai. Yeh mark bulls ke liye crucial hai taake H1 trend break na ho. Is liye, 0.66538 par reversal signals dekhain taake sales enter kiya ja sake. Channel ka slope seller ki strength ko dikhata hai; steeper angle se bears ke H1 trend break karne ka imkaan barh jata hai. Agar 0.66538 cross ho jaye, to sell idea invalid ho jata hai aur buyers trend ko 0.66853 tak push kar sakte hain. H4 chart par, ek similar bullish indicator nazar ata hai, jo buy signal ka suggestion deta hai. Arrows screen par relevant points ko mark karte hain.



Yeh zaruri hai ke upcoming events ko consider kiya jaye, jin mein US Federal Reserve Chairman ka speech aur labor market job openings report shamil hain jo active US session ke dauran aayengi.

Agar bulls ne control na liya hota to ek deflection 0.6628 tak ho sakta tha. AUD/USD ne support 0.6645 ko break kiya lekin usay maintain karne mein nakam raha, jis se bulls ne pair ko wapas side channel mein push kar diya, jo ab strengthen ho gaya hai. Bearish move ka imkaan mukammal tor par nahi hai; agar bears strength gather karte hain to yeh price ko 0.6645 ke neeche push kar sakte hain, establishing a foothold aur ek sell entry point bana sakte hain. Agar aisa na ho to bulls price ko 0.6685 ke resistance level tak bullish move karenge. Side channel mein continue rehna realistic hai, halan ke changes possible hain. M15 chart par, linear regression channel bearish trend dikhata hai, jo strong seller ka indication hai jo 0.66306 ko target kar raha hai. Bear sell zone channel ki upper border ke qareeb 0.66538 par hai. Yeh mark bulls ke liye crucial hai taake H1 trend break na ho. Is liye, 0.66538 par reversal signals dekhain taake sales enter kiya ja sake

AUD/USD H4 time frame ke baare mein baat kar rahe hain. Kal, ek chhoti southern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur confident bullish impulse ke saath north ko push hui, jiska nateeja ek poori northern candle tha, jo easily break through kar gayi aur resistance level ke upar confidently consolidate hui, jo mere markings ke mutabiq, 0.65591 par located tha. Maujooda situation mein, main poori tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj upward movement continue hoga aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko work out karenge. General mein, main resistance level ko dekhne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 0.66347 par located hai, aur resistance level jo 0.66677 par located hai. In resistance levels ke paas do scenarios ho sakte hain situation ke development ke liye. Pehla scenario price consolidation ke saath in levels ke upar aur further northward movement se related hai. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ka movement resistance level ki taraf dekhoonga, jo 0.67289 par located hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karoonga, jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main ye bhi maan leta hoon ke price ko further north push kiya ja sakta hai resistance level ki taraf, jo 0.68711 par located hai. Lekin agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke far northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals ko search karne ke liye nearest support levels se use karne ka plan bana raha hoon, renewed growth ke anticipation mein. Price movement ka alternative option jab resistance level 0.66347 ya resistance level 0.66677 ke paas approach hota hai, turning candle formation aur price movement ke resumption downwards ka plan hoga. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ke return ka intezar karoonga support level ki taraf, jo 0.65591 par located hai
AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai,

AUD/USD market ki detailed
As-salamu alaykum forum members! Ummeed hai ke aap sab theek honge. Aaj mein AUD/USD market ki detailed analysis provide karunga.

Australia ki economy mein izafaat ke dabaav mein reh rahi hai, jahan real GDP har quarter se start of 2023 se ghatey ya flat rahi hai. Sab se latest annualized figure 1.2% ki estimates ko miss kar gaya, aur 1.1% par aa gaya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barha. Household spending, jo approximately 50% Australian GDP ka hissa hai, thoda sa strong tha 1.3% par, lekin is spending ka bara hissa electricity aur healthcare jaise zarooriyat mein gaya, jabke ikhtiyari spending flat reh gayi.

Is lackluster growth ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair ko koi farq nahi pada. Currency ne New Zealand dollar ke khilaf thora sa giravat darj ki hai (is waqt likhne ke waqt), aur pair abhi 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai, jo March-Mei ke darmiyan ke prices ko support diya tha.



Aage ki taraf dekhte hue, market bearish continuation ke liye ek potential tripwire ka kaam karta hai, lekin haal ki harkat mein conviction ki kami hai. Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve dono interest rates ko kam karne ki soch rahe hain, lekin aisi faislon ki timing abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Magar, mazboot honewale US data ne Fed ko dono mumalik ke beech achi position mein daala hai. Aane waale US services PMI data mein bhi US dollar ke liye aur kamzorayi ki sambhavna hai, manufacturing sector mein ghatnayi ke baad.

Technical analysis ki nazar mein, yeh pair base bana sakta hai aur annual high price limit tak barh sakta hai jo lagbhag 0.6838 hai, aur pehle saal ke high area tak pohanch sakta hai jo 0.7157 ke aas paas hai. Magar, agar 0.6700 ke aas paas barhne mein bullish rejection conditions aayi toh yeh consolidation phase jaari rahega. Isse selling opportunities open ho sakti hain, jahan giravat ko target kiya ja sakta hai, jo 0.6600 ke aas paas hai.

Agar price 0.6576 ke aas paas support area ke neeche gir jaye toh sellers ke pravesh hone ka confirm ho sakta hai jo trend ke direction ko badalne ki koshish karte hain. Aur jab price 0.6550 ke aas paas 200-day moving average ke neeche gir jaye toh yeh bearish trend ke shuruaat ka confirm kar sakta hai, aur jab price 0.6516 ke aas paas crucial support area ke neeche jaaye toh downward movement ko validate kar sakta hai.

Yani, AUD/USD market abhi ek halat mein hai jahan bullish aur bearish scenarios dono ke potential hai. Traders aur investors ko arzi data aur central bank policies ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye taaki unki trading strategies par soch samajh kar faislay liye ja sakein.

AUD/USD pair ki jaari barhti hui rally ko RBA ki monetary policy ne support kiya jo ke interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakhta hai. Is ke saath hi reports bhi aayi hain ke US Retail Sales economic data mein girawat ho rahi hai. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab woh unke oopar hai aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar yeh upward rally consistent rahe toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake phir 0.6700 level tak jaari rahe. Lekin price pattern structure ab bhi confirmatiyan nahi deta hai. Kyunki pehle jo prices girne aur phir uthne ki koshish ki thi, unhone dono taraf se low prices 0.6593 aur high prices 0.6701 ko paar kiya tha. Is liye is structure mein ek break hona zaroori hai taake yeh determine kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?

Trend direction basically bearish condition mein hai kyunki humein EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se death cross signal nazar aa raha hai. Lekin bearish trend ab kamzor dikh raha hai jab ke price ne support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf apni girawat jaari nahi rakhi. Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye toh yeh ishaara hai ke upward price rally jald hi overbought point tak pahunchne waali hai. Overbought zone jo ke level 90 - 80 par hoti hai, usse parameters cross ho sakte hain jisse ke prices mein girawat ho sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke paas ya do Moving Average lines ke aas paas gir sake jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha. Yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke price movements ka tendency abhi bhi upward ho sakta hai.

Position entry setup:

Trading options mein price ka development ka intezaar karein ke wo resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pahunchega phir aap SELL entry position rakh sakte hain. Confirmation ke liye yeh ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke overbought zone cross kar chuke hain, woh level 80 se neeche hon. AO indicator ke histogram red mein ho ya bhi uptrend momentum dikha raha ho. Take profit ko do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke aas paas rakhein jabki stop loss ko high price 0.6716 ke 15 - 25 pips ooper rakhein

Es hafte ke shuruaat mein, buyers nazar mein the market movement ko control kar rahe the lekin phir Tuesday tak price mein ek tezi se kami aayi aur phir market band hone tak price gir gayi. Main khud abhi bhi ek floating loss mein phas gaya hoon kyunki ek BUY trade tha. Agar main June se July trading dour ke pattern ko dekhoon, toh waha buyer control ka signal nazar aata hai. Isliye main samajhta hoon ke price drop ek correction ka natija hai. Upar se, sellers ab tak prices ko 0.8900 zone tak girane mein kamyaab nahi ho paye hain, UsdChf pair mein bullish mauka aham lagta hai. Agar aap pichle haftay ke candlestick situation ko dekhein, toh wah bullish thi aur simple moving average zone ke liye 100 mah ki taraf guzar sakti thi, jo market ko buyers ke control mein dene ki reference ban gayi thi.
Kal raat ki correction journey shayad sellers ka ek prayatna tha ki unhe upper prices bharte hue rokein. Pichle haftay ke market trend mein bullish dikh raha tha, main kaafi yakeen rakhta hoon ke prices Uptrend ke saath trade ki ja sakti hain chahe kal raat wo neeche gayi ho. Is hafte ke market situation se maine technical roop se nazar andaz kiya ke prices abhi bhi 0.8923 zone ke upar trade ho rahe hain, isliye ye situation traders ke liye focus karne ki reference hai ki wo zyada se zyada bullish trend par dhyan dein. Mere nazdeek relevant aur kaafi ache Buy positions ke chunte hue hamein sabar se wait karna chahiye market mein dakhil hone ke liye mujhe hawa yaar trend ke mutabiq, kisi bhi fluctuating market condition se bachna chahiye jo badi nuksan ka baais ban sakta hai.

Isliye hamein zyada ehtiyaat se planning karni hogi taaki trading activities agle market situation se zyada se zyada faida utha sakein. UsdChf market mein price movements ne pichle teen din se niche jana shuru kiya hai, jahan prices ka potential hai ke agar bearish market 4-hour time frame mein 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar nahi kar paati to fir se bullish trend mein lautne ka samay aa sakta hai. Technical taur par, price decline ne hafte ke beech mein shuruat ki hai, agle hafte mein ek uchalan ka mauka ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD ANALYSIS 06 JULY 2024

Haftay ke shuru mein, buyers ne market ke movement ko control mein rakha tha jab tak ke Tuesday tak, lekin phir price mein ek drasti se kami aayi jo market band hone tak chali gayi. Main khud bhi ek BUY trade ke saath phans gaya hoon aur abhi bhi floating loss mein hoon. Agar main June se July trading period ki market pattern dekho toh wahan buyers ka control ka signal hai. Isliye main ye maan leta hoon ke price drop ek correction ki wajah se hua hai. Aur iske alawa, sellers ne price ko 0.8900 zone tak nahi girne diya hai, isliye UsdChf pair mein bullish opportunity reliable lag rahi hai.

Agar main pichle hafte ke candlestick situation ko dekho toh woh bullish rahi hai aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone ko paar kar sakti hai, jo market ko buyers ke control hone ka reference ban gaya hai.

Kal raat ki correction journey shayad sellers ki koshish thi ke unhone higher prices ko rokne ka prayas kiya. Pichle hafte ke market trend mein bullish trend nazar aa raha tha, mujhe bahut yakeen hai ke prices uptrend ke saath trade kiye ja sakte hain, chahe kal raat mein down bhi raha ho.

Is hafte ke market situation se, maine technical taur par notice kiya hai ke prices abhi bhi 0.8923 zone ke upar trade ho rahe hain, is halat ko traders ke liye bullish trend par zyada focus karne ka reference maana ja sakta hai. Relevant aur bohot acchi Buy positions ke liye select karne ke liye, meri raay mein patience se wait karna chahiye ke market mein current trend ke hisaab se ideal momentum aaye, jisse fluctuating market conditions badi nuksaan pahuncha sakte hain.

Isliye zaroori hai ke aap trading activities ko zyada careful planning ke saath plan karen taaki agle market situation se maximum results mil saken. UsdChf market mein price movements ne pichle teen dinon se continued decline confirm kiya hai, jahan prices ka potential hai ke bullish trend mein wapas aa sakte hain agar bearish market 4-hour time frame mein 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar nahi kar paata. Technical taur par, price decline is week ke beech mein shuru hui hai, agle hafte mein ek increase ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

Yeh sab analysis ke mutabiq, maine apne trading decisions ko guide kiya hai aur umeed hai ke aapko bhi yeh insights helpful saabit honge apne trading strategies mein.

AUD-USD PAIR FORECAST

Haftay ke shuru mein, kharidarain seema ko control kar rahay thay market ki harekat tak mangalwar tak, lekin phir qeemat mai zeyada kami tak bari. Mein khud bhi abhi bhi ek BUY trade ki wajah se floating nuqsan mai phansa hua hoon. Agar mein June se July tak ke trading doraan market ke pattern ko dekhu, toh kharidar ki qabzay ki ek ishara nazar aati hai. Is liye mein yeh samajhta hoon ke qeemat girawat ek sudhar hai. Mazeed is ke, bechne walay ne 0.8900 zone tak qeemat ko kam karne mein kamyabi nahi haasil ki, jis se UsdChf pair mein bullish mumkinat pur-aitemaad nazar aati hai. Agar aap pichle haftay ke mombatti ki surat haal dekhein, toh yeh bullish thi aur 100 muddat simple moving average zone ko guzri hai, jo kharidarain ke control karne ke liye ek hawala ban gaya hai.

Kal raat ki sudhar yatra ho sakti thi, jis mein bechne walay ne unchai se rokne ki koshish ki ho. Pichle haftay ke market trend mein abhi bhi bullish nazar aata tha, mujhe yaqeen hai ke qeemat barhne ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, walaqah kal raat wohi kharij huwa. Is haftay ke bazaar ki surat haal se mujhe takneeki taur par nazar aaya hai ke qeemat abhi bhi 0.8923 zone ke ooper trade ho rahi hai, is liye yeh surat haal kharidarain ke liye bullish trend par zyada tawajjo dene ka hawala hai. Mere khayal mein, relevant aur bohat acha BUY positions ke liye intekhab karne ke liye, lekin humain mustaqbil ki surat haal ke mutabiq bazar mein dakhli ke liye ideal junoon ke intizar mein sabar karne ki zaroorat hai, yeh na ho ke almi halat ke ghair mustwabit ho.