ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

H4 Price Action Assessment:

AUD/USD ke currency price mein yahan ek kaafi noticeable upward leap hua, 0.6540 ke horizontal resistance level ko tor kar. Yeh sirf ek chhote se rebound ke doran hua aur buyers ke dabaav ko rokne mein nakam raha. Sharton ke baare mein, main aapko yad dilana chahta hoon ke pehle harkat ek keemat ke range mein hui thi, aur hum ne trend lines kheenchin thi taake harkat ka ikhtitam maloom karen. Kharidne ke liye, aapko 0.6544 ke resistance level ke oopar band karna hoga, phir wapas aana aur maximum ko update karna hoga. Yeh sharton pooray hue hain. Mojudah keematon mein aane par, main entry point se 50 points door stop loss set karunga aakhri kam ke peeche. Agar support level qaim nahi hota aur dobara toota hai, to ummoomi rukh ko neeche ki taraf jari rakhne ka intezar hai kyun ke lahro ki tameer abhi tak nichli tarteeb mein bani hai aur MACD indicator ne bechnay ki zone mein hai. Bhoolna nahi chahiye ke yeh kaam ki hafta funda reports aur monetary policy ki khabroon se kaafi ameer hai. Aaj ahem khabrein aarahi hain US Federal Reserve ke chairman Powell ke report se, jis ke alfaz se market kahin bhi udh sakti hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh American dollar ke nuksan ke liye monetary policy ke khilaaf nahi hoga; bilkul ulta hoga, is liye hum Bollinger indicator support level 0.6528 ki moving average line ki taraf bhi ek harkat ka intezar kar sakte hain. Australia ke liye bhi, yahan sab stable hai maene mein ke hum izafa kar rahe hain aur mazeed behtar hone ka bhi maqam hai. Is ke ilawa, hum yeh bhi keh sakte hain ke neeche ki harkat mein break ke hints hain na sirf, balki ek maqami upri harkat bhi shamil ho sakti hai. Aur be shak, kal saara din dollar khud gir raha tha, magar ab bhi ahem hai ke dollar aaj kaise trade hoga, khaaskar ke statistics bhi honge.

H1 Study and Prediction:

To agle market trend ke liye, main chhota doran ke trade option ko pasand karta hoon kyun ke candle abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche jaane ka mauqa rakhta hai. Haalanki main mojooda market situation par nazar rakhta hoon, jo ab bearish taraqqi mein hai, main market mein keemat mein izafa ke bare mein bhi sard hoon. Agar baad mein candle 0.6505 zone ke neeche chale gaya, to main 0.6467 ke keemat tak ek bechnay ka position kholne ka iraada rakhta hoon. Main samajhta hoon ke agar market ki halat volatility mein izafa hua to keemat ab bhi ek bearish raftar mein chal sakti hai. H1 waqt chart par, hum dekhte hain ke market ke shirakat daar trends aur downtrend ke oopar band kar sake. Yeh pehle se upri raftar mein tha, jisme baad mein unchiyon ki nai updates hui. Magar phir hum ne aik correction ka samna kiya, aur sawaal uttha: kya yeh mukammal ho gaya, aur hum irtifa raftar ko jaari rakhenge ya wapas nichle rukh par lautenge, 0.6459 ke level ko update karke? Is par mabni, hum mojudah keemat 0.6583 dekhte hain, jo ek aagey ki upri raftar ki jariye jaari raftar ki jaari raftar ki taraf ishara karta hai aur resistance zone aur 0.6605 ke nafsiyati level ki taraf.

AUD/USD H-1:

Salam, pyare traders, mein aapko zyada munafa mand trading ki shifaarish karta hoon. Chaliye dekhte hain AUD/USD currency pair ko. Aaj aik acha support level 0.6490 ban gaya hai aur hum is support level se kharid kar paise kamane ka iraada karenge. Agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chalta hai, to faida aaj se 0.6580 ke yesterday ke high se shuru kar sakte hain. Magar agar hamara plan kaam na karta ho, to hume 0.6460 ke level par nuqsan darj karna padega. Mustaqbil mein nuqsan ke sath position band karte waqt, aap 0.6490 mirror level se bechnay ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Keemat ki harkat market mein sab se ahem cheez hai. Keematain ek jagah par nahi rehni chahiye, balke harkat karni chahiye. Markets ko volatility ki zaroorat hoti hai. Shuru mein hum khareedne ke plan par qayam rahenge, magar agar khareedna paisa nahi bana sakta, to hum farokht ke plan ko follow karenge.

AUD/USD D-1:

Hum dekhte hain ke US dollar market ka engine aur locomotive hai. Tamam currency pairs, futures, qeemti securities, qeemti dhaat, aur doosre assets ki harkat U.S. dollar par mabni hoti hai. Agar aap AUD aur USD currency pair par nazar dalte hain, to humein ek neeche ki janubi raftar dekhne ko milti hai jo ek mazboot AUD aur ek kamzor USD ki wajah se khatam hui. Is par mabni, hum dekhte hain ke mojooda keemat 0.6578 par hai, jo dikhata hai ke janubi irtifa raftar resistance zone aur nafsiyati level 0.6600 ki taraf jaari rahegi. Bhoolna mat, is haftay ko fundamental reports aur monetary policy ki khabroon se bharpoor hai. Aaj ke Fed discussion leader Powell ke report se bari khabrein aayi hain, aur unke alfaaz ke mutabiq, market kisi bhi taraf ja sakti hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh monetary policy ke khilaaf nahi jayega kyunki dollar gir jayega aur ulta hoga, isliye hum 0.6523 par moving average ke saath support tree line indicator ka intezar bhi hai.

On Wednesday (March 6), Australian dollar ko kuch kamzor arzi data ke asar ne nahi mehsoos kiya, kyunki kul mila ke US dollar kaafi kamzor hua. Australian dollar ne dopahar ke muqable mein US dollar ke khilaf 0.94% izafa kiya, jo 0.6565 tak pahunch gaya.

Australia se aayi gayi data ne bataya ke chouthay quarter mein maeeshat sirf 0.2% se barhi, jisme zyada mortgage dar aur bulandi tax ka asar tha, jo consumer spending ko roka. Report ne yeh bhi zahir kiya ke chouthay quarter mein qarzi dabaao kam hua, aur mulki mehengai ke asar bhi kam hue, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko kuch aaram dene wala hai. Halankeh, market ko June mein 42% aur August mein 86% ke chances hai ke dar ko katein jayenge. Kul mila ke, market 2024 mein 43 basis points ki mukammal interest rate reduction ka intezar kar raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve ko umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia se pehle aur zyada margin ke saath interest rates ko kam karna parega, to umeed hai ke Australian dollar ko kuch support milega.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Daily chart par, raat bhar ki significant izafa ne AUD/USD pair ko Bollinger Bands channel ke darmiyan wali track ke upar le gaya. Is ka matlab hai ke Australian dollar trend ko zyada follow kar raha hai. Agar yeh Friday ko jaari hone wale US non-farm payroll data mutmain karne wala na ho, to umeed hai ke Australian dollar ko upri raftar mein izafa milta rahega. Mojudah mein, AUD/USD ke liye resistance February 22 ke unchi point par hai, jo 0.6595 hai, aur ghataav ka 38.2% retracement level December se February tak, jo 0.6606 hai. Ibtidaai support level 0.6525/30 ke aas paas hai, jahan 10- aur 21-day moving averages milte hain, jabke mazboot support low point for the year ke qareeb hai, jo 0.6450 hai.

AUDUSD Price Technical Analysis

Jab tak downside jaari hai aur "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern mazboot hota hai, Australian dollar ka US dollar ke exchange rate, yaani AUD/USD, ab bhi badal raha hai. Moving averages ek chhoti doran ki bearish trend ko zahir karte hain. Keematain signal lines ke darmiyan se neeche tooti hain, jisse currency pair ke sellers ka dabaav aur instrument ke muqable ki keemat mein mazeed kami ka izhaar hota hai. Jab tajziya jaari kiya gaya tha, to Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein 0.6520 ke qareeb keemati tha. Abhi waqt ke hisaab se, hum umeed kar sakte hain ke ek manfi correctiv ke ikhtiyaar ke saath saath 0.6470 ke qareeb resistance zone ka imtehaan bhi liya jayega.

Dusri taraf, AUD/USD currency pair ke liye mazeed izafa ke ek dusra indication relative strength indicator (RSI) ka support line se rebound hoga. Bullish channel ke neeche ke border se ubhar yeh doosra indication is scenario ke favor mein hoga. Yeh option rad ho jayega agar Australian dollar ke quotes forex market mein barh jate hain aur 0.6405 ke level par kami aur toot jati hai. Yeh support zone ka toot aur AUD/USD exchange rate mein mazeed kami ka izhaar karega, jahan ek mumkin maqsad 0.6245 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Agar resistance zone ko toota jata hai aur 0.6605 ke level ke upar quotes band kiye jate hain, to yeh pair ke izafay ki tasdeeq ka ishaara hoga.

Pair technical analysis ke parameters mein qayam rahega kyun ke Australia se koi ahem khabar nahi hai jo pair ke dar mein asar daal sakti hai. Is tarah, AUD/USD Forex tajziya aur analytics ke mutabiq 7 March, 2024 ke liye 0.6520 ke aas paas ke support level ka imtehaan karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, pair ke liye keematain abhi bhi 0.6655 ke upar badh rahi hain. Relative strength index ke trend line ka imtehaan ek aur ishaara dega ke pair upar ja raha hai (RSI). Agar 0.6405 area kam hota hai aur toot jata hai, to yeh darasal yeh ishara dega ke quotes girte rahenge, jahan ek maqsad 0.6245 ke neeche ho sakta hai.

Bhai, kal ke liye AUD/USD mein, chhote southern pullback ke baad, keemat ulta aur, ek news background ke khilaaf, bharosemand impulse ke saath, uttar ki taraf dhaakela gaya, jiske natije mein ek poori bullish candle bani, jo ki aasani se upar se uthi hui had tak jama ho gayi, jo meri marking ke mutabiq, 0.65420 par sthit hai. Moujooda surat haal mein, main puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke aaj uttar ki harkat jaari rahegi aur keemat agle uttar ki nishkriya karne ja rahi hai, jo meri marking ke mutabiq, 0.65950 ya resistance level par sthit hai, jo 0.66406 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb situation ke vikaas ke do mansubay hain. Pehla mansuba, in resistance levels ke upar qeemat jama karne aur aage uttar ki taraf rawana hone se juda hua hai. Agar yeh mansuba amal mein laya gaya hai, to main ummid karta hoon ke keemat resistance level par jaayegi, jo 0.67289 par sthit hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ka formation ka intezar karoonga, jo trading ki mazeed simat ka tay karega. Ek aur possibility hai ki door tak uttar ki nishkriya ke targets ko kaam karne ka mauqa hai, jo meri markings ke mutabiq, 0.68711 par sthit hai, lekin yahan par aapko situation ko dekhna hoga aur sab kuch us par depend karega ke keemat kaise nirdharit door tak uttar ke targets ke pratikriya karegi aur raste mein movements ke saath kis prakar ke news background add hoga. Resistance level 0.65950 ya resistance level 0.66466 ke paas jaane par keemat ki movement ke liye ek alternative mansuba ek palatne wale mombatti ke formation ke saath aur southern movement ko punah shuru karne ka hissa hai, ek global sideways pattern ke roop mein. Agar yeh mansuba amal mein laya gaya hai, to main ummid karta hoon ke keemat wapas support level par jaayegi, jo 0.64870 par ya support level par, jo 0.64428 par sthit hai. Main in support levels ke paas bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, keemat ki uttar ki harkat ko punah shuru karne ki ummid ke saath. Aam tor par, seedhe bhasha mein kahoon to, aaj main puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke keemat nazdeek ke resistance levels ko nishkriya karne ja rahi hai, aur phir wo market situation se aage badhegi, bullish mansubon ko ahamiyat dete hue, ek uttar ki trend ke sambhavnaon ke daayre mein.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis:
1. Current Situation:


AUD/USD pair ek uttar ki correction phase mein hai, chart ke upar bhag mein, 0.6588 ke karib.

2. Indicator Analysis:


Instaforex company ka indicator forum par dikhata hai ki kharidari ki adavat 69.94% ke beech hai, aur indicator ek uttar ki disha ko dikhata hai.


3. Expectations and Trading Plan:

1. Entry Point: Kharidari ka aarambh 0.6591 ke aas paas kiya jaayega.
2. Stop Loss: Stop loss order 0.6562 ke number ke baad lagaya jaayega.
3. Trade Management:
   • Trading kshetra ko teen hisson mein baanta jayega.
   • Pehla adha hissa 29 pips par close kiya jayega.
   • Dusra adha hissa phir se 29 pips par shuru kiya jayega.
   • Bachayi gayi saari sampatti ko 29:00 ke baad band kiya jayega.

4. Factors Influencing the Trade:


Aaj Australia se koi mahatvapurn ya rochak khabar ka intezar nahi hai, lekin United States se khabar hai: berozgaari dawaayein aur Fed chairperson Powell ka bhashan.



5. Long-term Outlook:


Jodi dakshin ki taraf 0.6475 liye ja rahi hai, lekin humein lagta hai ki jodi uttar ki taraf 0.6640 ke star tak badal jayegi.



6. Timeframe Analysis:


H1 samay kadi, saadhana AUD/USD chart ko kharidne ka sujhav de raha hai.

Is tarah se, humein kharidne ka vichaar hai AUD/USD pair par, lekin hum zaroori satarkta aur risk management ka palan karenge.

Australia ki situation mein tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, jo ke tasalsulati taraqqi ko darust karti hai sath hi behtar hone ki sambhavna bhi hai. Yeh darust kartay hain ke neechay ki harkat ko rokna ki nahi, balkay kuch local unchaai ka bhi aghaaz ho sakta hai. Pichlay din dollar ki kami nahi hui, lekin aaj ka trading bhi ahem hai, khaaskar agle stats ke leye. Aise mahol mein mera rukh wahi rehta hai, beshak main pehle khareed nahi saka, lekin main 0.65 ke qareeb lautne ki mumkin sambhavna ko naheen chorta aur mein zaroor wahan se kharidnay ki koshish karunga.

Chalte huye unchaai ke rukh ka zikar karte hain, ek ahem cheez jo note ki jaani chahiye hai, wo yeh hai ke rozana ki mombati 0.65649 ke darjay ke oopar band hui hai. Yeh ek azaadi unchaai ke rukh ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Ghanton ke chart par bhi dekha gaya hai ke bazaar mein hissa lenay walay ne nucheelne wali rekhaon ke oopar bandh diya hai, jo ke ek unchaai ki taraf ishara karta hai. Halankeh, ek doran ne humein ek taqreeb ke samnaatay hain - kya yeh mukammal hui aur kya hum unchaai ke rukh ko jari rakhain ge ya neechay ke rukh ko apdate karenge, 0.64541 ke darjay ke oopar?

Maujooda unchaai ke movement ko dekhte hue, mera tawajjo kharidnay par hai, halankeh mein neeche ki harkat ka imkaan bhi qubool karta hoon aur bechnay ki bhi zaroorat ko shamil karta hoon. AUD/USD jodi ka ghanton ka chart dekhte hue, pehle se guftugu shuda shiraa'it shara'it zahir hui hain, jo mujhe kharidnay ki taraf raghib karta hai.

Dohraate hue, 0.6539 ke darguzar darjay ke oopar band honay ke baad, aik rollback aur naye oonchai par kharidnay ka daur tayyar hai. Aakhir mein, aakhri kam ke baad 25 darjay ke saath rok tok tay karna hamara muqarrar hai.

AUD/USD H1 TIME FRAME

AUD/USD pair ne aham support level 0.6478 tak gir kar apni trading ke lamhaat mein ahem mor par pohancha. Is doran, pair ne aik pattern dikhaaya, jahan bazar ke hissedar jald hi mazeed darust hone wale inflation data ka intezaar kar rahe thay. Magar aham support level 0.6469 ke baad mehsoos hone wala dabao bechare ko neeche le gaya jab inflation figures ka izhaar hua. Traders aur investors ne tawajju se AUD/USD pair ko dekha jab wo aham support zone 0.6443 ke qareeb pohnchta gaya. Is level ko aik ahem nukaat samjha gaya tha is ke tareekhi ahmiyat aur mustaqbil ke bazar dynamics par dabee asarat ke ahtimam ke silsile mein. Jab pair is aham mor par tawajju mein tha, to bazar ki jazbat ko mazeed ehtiyaat barhne lagi, jab ke traders ne mazeed data ka izhaar hone se pehle dekhte rehne ka tareeqa apnaaya. Trading session ke doran, AUD/USD pair ne range-bound rawayat dikhayi, jise umeedwar aur bearish momentum ke doraanon mein tabdeel hone wala tha. Ye ikhlaas phase bazar mein mojood tehqiqi ghabrahat ka asar tha, jab ke hissedar naye catalysts ka intezaar kar rahe thay jo pair ke qareebi rukh par wazehi faraham kar sakte thay. Is halat ke darmiyan, inflation data ka izhaar aik ahem waqiya ban gaya, jo bazar ki jazbat aur qeemat amal par faislaat ka decisive asar daal sakta tha. Jese hi intezar se bhari hui inflation data aakhir kar izhaar hua, traders currency markets mein mazeed tezi ka darrapayash mehsoos karne lage. In figures ka izhaar mojooda bazar ke umeedon ko tasdeeq ya anjane haalaat ke sath mubtala karne ka imkan tha. Is context mein, inflation data release ke baad aham support level 0.6339 ka tor phir se bazar mein raitay uchhalne par roshni dala, jo bazar mein farokht ki sargarmi ka toofan phaila.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis:


AUDUSD ne trading ko Thursday ko shuru hone ke baad mazbooti dikhayi hai jab wo daily time frame mein inside bar pattern ki projection par bounce hui jo ke 0.64870 ke qareeb hai. Is waqt yeh SMA5 dynamic resistance ki taraf ja rahi hai jo ke 0.65337 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh resistance ko tor leti hai, to mukhtalif dynamic resistances SMA100 se SMA200 tak ko test kar sakti hai, neeche ki mother bar ke 0.65541 ke qareeb. Dusri taraf, agar yeh SMA5 dynamic resistance ke neeche reject hoti hai, to yeh darust karta hai ke trend ab bhi neeche ki taraf hoga. Agar izafa SMA100 dynamic resistance se hua hai SBR area tak jo 0.65337 ke qareeb hai. Maqsad bullish opportunities dhundhne ki taraf mudabbir hoga jo SBR area ke qareeb 0.65874 hai. Isliye mawadah hai ke yeh phir se 0.64870 ke qareeb ki projection par gir jaye. Isi doran agle projection par jaane ka moqa bhi deta hai jo ke 0.64203 ke qareeb hai.


Dinbhar ke tafseelat batati hai ke position H1 time frame mein SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ke upar bounce kar rahi hai, giravat RBS area ke upar ruk gayi hai jo 0.64939 ke qareeb hai. Isliye agar yeh dono curves ke upar rehti hai, to yeh apna izafa mukhtalif dynamic resistances SMA50 se SMA200 tak jari rakh sakti hai. Khaaskar agar yeh SMA100 dynamic resistance ko tor leti hai. Magar yeh mumkin hai ke agar yeh izafa SMA50 dynamic resistance ke neeche reject hota hai, to yeh phir se andar ki taraf gir sakta hai upar di gayi inside bar pattern ki projection mein, khaaskar agar position ne SMA5 dynamic support ke neeche slip kar liya hai.

AUDUSD FOUR HOURS ANALYSIS


Is support level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ka banawat ka intezar karta hoon jo mazeed trading rukh ko tay karega. Beshak, mein yeh bhi madda le raha hoon ke qeemat mazeed dakshin ki taraf push ki ja sakti hai support level 0.63386 ya support level 0.62856 ki taraf, lekin yeh surat haal par munhasar hai aur price ke movement ke doran khabar ka dhaar aur qeemat ka muqabil kaise karte hain, aur price muqarrar ultimate southern target ke samne kis tarah se react karta hai. Resistance level 0.65402 ki taraf qeemat ka manzar ke imkan ka ek doosra intizam yeh ho sakta hai ke is level ke upar qeemat ka giraftar kiya jaye aur aage ki taraf uttarward raftar ka intezam kiya jaye. Agar yeh intizam anjaam diya gaya, to mein qeemat ka intezar karoonga ke qeemat resistance level 0.65950 ya resistance level 0.66406 ki taraf chali jaye. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka banawat ka intezar karoonga ke mazeed trading rukh ko tay kare. Aam tor par, agar hum chand alfaaz mein baat karein to, mein khud ke liye agle haftay mein kuch dilchasp nahi dekhta. Aam tor par, mein samjhta hoon ke qeemat nazdeek ki resistance level ko test kar sakti hai, aur phir mein market ki surat haal ke mutabiq amal karunga, mutabiq ke tajurbaat par.

Hazir ki chart analysis ke mutabiq AUD/USD ki pehlu mutaghayyir trend hai. AUD/USD chart ko qareeb se dekhte hue, wazeh hota hai ke currency pair ek bullish candle ke ikhtitaam ke baad mustaqil nisbatan neeche ki taraf harkat kar raha hai. Is sair ko RSI-14 ke 46 darja par darust karne ke Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) ke zariye support mil rahi hai, jo ek halaat ki paishgoyi karti hai. Qeemat ka tajziya karte hue, wazeh hota hai ke market ek ahem mor par hai, jahan potential hai ke dono taraf harkat ki ja sake. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ek manfi crossover dikhata hai, jo ke chhoti ar

Kal AUD/USD ke baray mein, thori si wapas chalne ke baad, keemat ne ulta rukh liya aur khabron ke peechay taqatwar impulse ki taraf se ooncha gaya, jo ek mazboot bullish candle ki shakal mein nateeja diya jiska asani se upri had ke upar band ho gaya, jo ke, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 0.65420 par waqif hai. Mausam ke halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein bilkul tasleem karta hoon ke aaj urooj ki taraf chalne ka silsila jaari rahega aur keemat agle shumali hadaf ki taraf jaegi, jo ke, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 0.65950 ya 0.66406 ke resistance level par waqif hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar shamil hai ke keemat in resistance levels ke oopar musbat taur par mazboot ho aur mazeed urooj ki taraf chalay. Agar yeh mansooba safal hota hai, toh mein keemat ka intezaar karunga ke woh 0.67289 ke resistance level ki taraf barhaye. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga taake aage ka trading rukh tay kia ja sake. Ek aur shumali hadaf ko test karne ki bhi mumkinat hai, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 0.68711 par waqif hai, lekin yeh haalat par depend karega aur keemat ke designated shumali hadafon ke sath kis tarah se react karta hai aur khabron ke peechay uski harkat mein kya unfolds hota hai. Keemat ke qareeb pohnchne par keemat ke liye ek doosra mansooba jo ke 0.65950 ya 0.66466 ke resistance level ke sath muntazir hai, woh ek ulta candle ki shakal mein banne aur ek mubadala dakhil hone ki mansooba hai jo global taraf ki taraf ghatna ke andar phir se rukhne ki shakal mein hai. Agar yeh mansooba amal mein aata hai, toh mein keemat ka intezaar karunga ke woh 0.64870 ya 0.64428 ke support level par laut aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals talash karunga, upri keemat ke chalne ka intezar karte hue. Aam tor par, seedhay alfaz mein kaha jaye toh, ab mein bilkul tasleem karta hoon ke keemat aaj nazdeek ke resistance levels ko test karega, aur phir bazaar ki halat ke mutabiq faislay kiye jayenge, shumali trend ke mumkin tajurbaat ke andar tasaruf ko ahmiyat di jayegi.

AUDUSD technical/fundamental outlook:

AUD/USD ka chart jo hum dekh rahe hain (time-frame H4) mein, abhi waqt ke dauran, pehla darja ka regression line (soni dotted line) tezi se neeche ki taraf muda hai, jo ek mazboot trend ki harkat ko darust karta hai. Saath hi, ghair-linear channel ka oopri slope qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf kaafi nazar aanay wala hai. Ghair-linear regression channel ne linear channel ki soni line ko neeche se oopar se guzar diya hai aur quotes mein izafa dikhata hai.

Keemat ne ghair-linear regression channel ke surkhi rang ki muqablayati lakeer ko paar kar liya 2-nd LevelResLine, lekin 0.6536 ki zyada se zyada qeemat (HIGH) tak pohanchi, jis ke baad us ne apni izafa band ki aur qaaim taur par girne laga . Ab instrument 0.65258 ke keemat darjat par trading kar raha hai. Uper di gayi sab tafsiliyat ke bunyad par, mein tawajjo ke sath umeed karta hoon ke market ke keemat faraizat wapas aayengi aur 2-nd LevelResLine (0.64600) FIBO level 23.6% ke nichay dhaal jayengi, aur phir neechay zyada taqreeban 0 % Fibo level ke sath linear channel ka soni darmiyan line LR 0.6443 tak chale jayengi. Behtareen transaction karne ke liye ek mazeed argument ye hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi bechnay ke entry ka durust honay ko tasdiq karte hain, kyun ke woh overbought zone mein waqay hain.

Lekin, aam tor par ziyata risk wali currencies USD ke khilaf behtar kar rahi thi. Ye cheez mazeed US Dollar Index mein dekhi gayi, jo USD ki taqat ko shehron ki chhe mukhtalif currencies ke sath mawazna karta hai, aur thori si kamzori se 104.00 tak pohanch gaya. Daromadar dar ke umeed is liye hain ke hali mein tareekh mein sab se ziyata inflation ka rukh dikhane wale data ki wajah se. Saalana bunyadi inflation ki sharah ek mazeed saal tak 2.8% tak pohanch gayi hai, jo Fed ki policy mein ek tabdeeli ki umeedon ko mazboot kar gayi hai. Lekin, khud Fed apni interest rates par apni grip ko kamzor karne mein ehtiyaat aur hichkichahat rakhta hai.

Traders, trading strategies ke liye market trends ko behtar taur par analyze karna intehai ahem hai. Filhal, moving average indicator price ke neeche mojood hai, jo ke ek moqa hai buy transactions ke liye. Is buy signal ko mazeed tasdeeq ke liye, mein apni trading arsenal mein oscillator shamil karta hoon. Chart ka jaiza lenay par, yeh wazeh hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke oopar mojood hai, jo ke mere yeh kharidaron se munafa haasil karne mein mere iktiyar ko barhaata hai. Main AUD/USD daily M15 timeframe chart par bullish movement ki tawaqo rakhta hoon, jo ke aik shuruati keemat 0.6632 se hai. Jab hamara order activate hota hai, aik soch samajh kar profit strategy lagu hoti hai. Rishwat ko khatarnaak tor par nigrani karna zaroori hai; is liye mein aik stop implement karunga jo ke mukammal jamaa ke 4% ko mumkinah nuksanon se mehfooz rakhta hai. Profit lene ke liye, main nishana rakhta hoon. Yeh strategic kadam taqreeban 8% ke faide ko amal mein lana hai. Yaad rakhiye, trading ka aik mukammal tareeqa sirf potential munafa hasil karne ke liye nahi hota balke also safeguard ko samajhna zaroori hai.




Jab ek mumkinah khareed ke baare mein ghor karte hain, mera strategy shohrat se intezaar karna shamil hai. Main ek buy position shuru karne ka iraada rakhta hoon jab market channel ke lower boundary tak utarti hai, khas taur par AUD/USD daily M15 timeframe chart par 0.6636 ke level par. Main tajwez karunga ke abhi market trend ke khilaaf na becho, khaaskar channel ke upward trajectory ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Ek correction ke dauraan market mein dakhil hona mujhe zyada theek lagta hai. Yeh approach trading mein mojood ek risk ko kam karne ke liye tajwez hai. Mera tawajjuh upper limit par hai uski tasdeeq ke liye. Upper channel segment ka kamiyabi se taluq, mujhe aik mazeed girawat ki mumkinat ka dhyaan se tajwez karna hai, jo ke aik correction ki zarurat ke sath strategic tor par mutabiq hota hai. Do mukhtalif impulse candles price chart par wazeh hote hain, jo ke woh ahem resistance level tak pohanchte hain. Ek janib se mutawazi price rebound ka tawaqo rakhte hue, mojooda currency corridor apni ahmiyat barqarar rakhti hai, khaaskar ke uske upper boundary ke qareebi prices ke sath. Aik jhooti breakout ki mumkinat qaim hai, jo ke price ko wapas le jaane ki mumkinat ka ishaara deta hai. Aaj ke candlestick patterns koi wazeh yaqeen nahi dete, jahan tak price ki marginal uptick se le kar slight downtrend ya phir currency pair mein badi tadaad mein decline tak k kai manazir ho sakte hain.

AUD/USD Ke Keemat Ka Tajarba

Moujooda tajarba ke mutabiq, AUD/USD currency pair ka keemat mein girawat ka imkaan hai. 0.6526 ki resistance ko test kiya gaya hai aur ek daramadi manazir ke sath ek girawati raasta ko madda nazar rakha ja raha hai jo 0.6462 ke support ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, agar 0.6526 ko paar kiya jaye, to upar ki taraf ke rukh ko ghoorna mushkil ho jaye ga.
AUD/USD pair ne mazid samundar ke sahil par se guzr kar apna downtrend line ko paar kar liya hai, lekin 200-day moving average par mukarar inkar ka samna kiya hai. Agar pair mukhtalif girao mein gira, to February ke support level 0.6467 pehla muqabla nisfayafti bhar sakti hai. Is level ke neeche girna, 0.6441 ka 2024 ka low ko doba sakti hai, jahan se mazeed girao pair ko August ke low 0.6363 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, ek upri trend ke dauraan keemat 0.6525 ke saath chadh sakti hai, jo aik area hai jo tareekh mein asal mein support aur resistance ke tor par kaam aata hai. Mazeed faida mojooda high 0.6593, aur resistance 0.6623 ke level se mehdood ho sakta hai.Agar AUD/USD pair is point ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh shayad resistance level 0.6689 ka challenge kar sake, jo mojooda bearish trend ka mukhalif darusti dikhata hai. Magar, jab tak aisi tasdiq nahi hoti, to traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur potential trading mauqay ke liye mukhya support aur resistance levels ko qareebi tor par mutaala karna chahiye.

AUD/USD analysis by indicators

AUD/USD market ka jaiza lene par maloom hota hai ke keemat H1 ki resistance 0.6540 ki taraf murattab hai, jahan se wapis lautna mumkin hai agar resistance tootay nahi. H1, H4 aur D1 par resistance levels aur din ka balance 0.6505, keemat ke husool ki taraf reh rahe hain.
Halqi tahqiq ke mutabiq, haalat mein mubahis karne wala sabab AUD/USD, 0.6628 par exchange ho raha hai, jahan bullish harkat ke imkaan ko dekha ja raha hai lekin musbat technical indicators se hosla afzaai hoti hai. Muamlaat ki tajziyaat 0.6787 aur 0.6524 ke maqsood levels pehlay se hain.
AUD/USD market mukhtalif signals dikhata hai, jahan bullish harkat ko technical indicators ke zariye se nuqsan ka imkaan bataya gaya hai. Overall Strength Index (RSI-14) 78.0212 par hai, jo ke overbought shiraa'at ki alaamat hai aur price ka mukhalif rukh dikhata hai. Isi tarah, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Oscillator musbat zone mein dakhil hai lekin girawat ki alaamat de raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka kamzor ho jana hai.
In indicators ke bawajood, moving averages bullish sign ko zahir kar rahe hain, jahan keemat EMA20 aur EMA44 moving average lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Magar, yeh moving averages bhi resistance levels ka kaam karte hain, jo ke 0.6787 aur 0.6524 jaise key levels ko highlight karte hain.Agar AUD/USD pair is point ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh shayad resistance level 0.6689 ka challenge kar sake, jo mojooda bearish trend ka mukhalif darusti dikhata hai. Magar, jab tak aisi tasdiq nahi hoti, to traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur potential trading mauqay ke liye mukhya support aur resistance levels ko qareebi tor par mutaala karna chahiye.




AUD/USD technical analysis

AUD/USD market ka jaiza lene par maloom hota hai ke keemat H1 ki resistance 0.6540 ki taraf murattab hai, jahan se wapis lautna mumkin hai agar resistance tootay nahi. H1, H4 aur D1 par resistance levels aur din ka balance 0.6505, keemat ke husool ki taraf reh rahe hain.
Halqi tahqiq ke mutabiq, haalat mein mubahis karne wala sabab AUD/USD, 0.6628 par exchange ho raha hai, jahan bullish harkat ke imkaan ko dekha ja raha hai lekin musbat technical indicators se hosla afzaai hoti hai. Muamlaat ki tajziyaat 0.6787 aur 0.6524 ke maqsood levels pehlay se hain.
AUD/USD market mukhtalif signals dikhata hai, jahan bullish harkat ko technical indicators ke zariye se nuqsan ka imkaan bataya gaya hai. Overall Strength Index (RSI-14) 78.0212 par hai, jo ke overbought shiraa'at ki alaamat hai aur price ka mukhalif rukh dikhata hai. Isi tarah, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Oscillator musbat zone mein dakhil hai lekin girawat ki alaamat de raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka kamzor ho jana hai.
In indicators ke bawajood, moving averages bullish sign ko zahir kar rahe hain, jahan keemat EMA20 aur EMA44 moving average lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Magar, yeh moving averages bhi resistance levels ka kaam karte hain, jo ke 0.6787 aur 0.6524 jaise key levels ko highlight karte hain.

AUD/USD ready for downtrend

AUD/USD pair ne mazid neche guzr kar apna downtrend line ko paar kar liya hai, lekin 200-day moving average par mukarar inkar ka samna kiya hai. Agar pair mukhtalif girao mein gira, to February ke support level 0.6467 pehla muqabla nisfayafti bhar sakti hai. Is level ke neeche girna, 0.6441 ka 2024 ka low ko doba sakti hai, jahan se mazeed girao pair ko August ke low 0.6363 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, ek upri trend ke dauraan keemat 0.6525 ke saath chadh sakti hai, jo aik area hai jo tareekh mein asal mein support aur resistance ke tor par kaam aata hai. Mazeed faida mojooda high 0.6593, aur resistance 0.6623 ke level se mehdood ho sakta hai.
Agar AUD/USD pair is point ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh shayad resistance level 0.6689 ka challenge kar sake, jo mojooda bearish trend ka mukhalif darusti dikhata hai. Magar, jab tak aisi tasdiq nahi hoti, to traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur potential trading mauqay ke liye mukhya support aur resistance levels ko qareebi tor par mutaala karna chahiye.

Australian Dollar Rally: Tehseelat ki Tehqeeqat

Austrailian dollar ne qowat se palkon ko ooncha uthaya shrooaati peer ke trading session mein, jisey taqatwar rukh par takraar ki alaamat samjha jata hai Yeh

peshgoi traders ko ehtraaz mein mubtala karta hai, is khaas shanakht ke market mein aitihaasik challenges ka imtehan hai Market dynamics

indicate karte hain ke kharidari aur farokhtari ke darmiyan takraar ubhar rahi hai, aur is haalat ka mustaqbil ghaibi hai. Ahem nukaat hai

dekhne ke liye 0.6650 ke level ko, aur agar yeh rukh tor diya jaye, toh ye aik ahem aaghaz ki rasta saaf kar sakta hai

Magar, Juma ka aane wala jobs report nazdeek hone ke bawajood, market ke hissedar is surat-e-haal ko kuch ehtiyaat ke saath nazr andaaz kar rahe hain Ye

umeed ek ehtiyaat bhara rukh paida karta hai, bohot se log capital ke ineqadat se aagah hain jab tak performance ka izhaar nahi hota Agar market kamyaab ho kar level ko 0.6650 ke upar tor kar

aur Juma ko isay barqarar rakhta hai, toh ye is ka maana hoga

ghair mutasir ho jaayega, jo Australian dollar ke liye mazid kamiyabi ka rasta saaf karega

Magar, umeedain dobara tehqiq ki taraf ja rahi hain, shayad is silsile mein 0.6450 ke level ko wapas dekha ja raha hai, maazi ki

mumaaslat par ghor kiya ja raha hai. Jabke ek girawat bohot kam mumboli nazar nahi aati, ek short-term sudhar mumkin lagta hai

mojooda market ka phelao dekhte hue Jab tak amreeki dollar bech di jati hai

size, Australian dollar ka qareebi mustaqbil mein kisi bhi khass currency ke tor par ubharne ke asar ka imkaan nahi hai

Aham hai ke Austrailian dollar ka majboot talluq global trade, asbaaq-e-maa'ashiat aur asiaai economies ke saath hai. Ye

factors ke paicheedgiyon ka muzakra mohtaat management ko darkaar hai Aik

nafrat numayi apnaakar moatamad kar ke daurana taqaza hai. Agar Australian dollar asaasvi levels ko behtar tor par barqarar rakhta hai

Juma ke band hone tak, toh ye currency ke mojooda trend ko dobara set kar sakta hai aur aik

kashish afroz kharidne ka moqa paida karega