ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

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khareedari ki ijazat deta hoon. Bari tarah se, bilkul sab majors ab ek sath ek hi rukh mein hain, hamare joray ke liye, main technical analysis mein wahi timeframe H4 le leta hoon, jahan, asal mein, maine support ke tor par kaam karne wali lines draw ki hain, agar pehle case mein humne price movement ka tez rukh uttar ki taraf banaya, to ab ek correction hai. Aakhri kaam karne wale din - Jumma, sab kuch bohot zyada badal sakta hai, bunyadi analysis bohot simple hai - economic calendar mein, teen sitara darjat ke kisi bhi khaas news background ka na ho US dollar ke liye aur na hi Australian dollar ke liye, yaani, is lehaz se, kisi cheez ka thamne ka koi wasta nahi hai. Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, range 100 - 161.8 ab bhi apni ahmiyat dikhata hai; intraday pivot levels scalping ke liye, wazeh wajahon se, indicator ke zariye dobara draw kiye gaye hain, in ke darmiyan ki faasla kam hota ja raha hai. Be shak, Price Action method ki ahmiyat ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunki haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par, ek daily ya haftay ke candle ek pattern ke banne ka ikhtiyar dikha sakta hai."


"Adaab. Aur yahan, be shak, koi shak nahi, kyunki agar kisi Australian ke saath jora jaye, to sab kuch kaafi maza aata hai. Halankay yeh zaroori hai kay note kia jaye ke kuch zyada nahi badla, kyunki hamari rukh ko upar ki taraf jari rakha gaya hai, aur hum ne 67 figure ke upar chale gaye hain, haalankay hum ne wahan qaim rehne ka maqaam hasil nahi kiya, kam az kam abhi tak. Aur hum ne neeche jaane ya wapis lautne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh sab be maqsad tha, haalankay aaj unhain Australia ke rozi roti ke market par manfi data mila. Magar be shak, yeh ahem hai ke dollar kaise trade hoga, kal bhi shamil hai, kyunki hum haftay ke ikhtitam par hain. Magar mere liye kuch nahi badla, kyunki main khud bhi abhi bhi uttar ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Magar ek rollback ki zaroorat hai, aur isliye, agar hum phir se 0.66-0.6570 ke ilaqe tak neeche jaate hain, to main wahan bhi khareedari ki ijazat deta hoon.


"Adaab. Aur yahan, be shak, koi shak nahi, kyunki agar kisi Australian ke saath jora jaye, to sab kuch kaafi maza aata hai. Halankay yeh zaroori hai kay note kia jaye ke kuch zyada nahi badla, kyunki hamari rukh ko upar ki taraf jari rakha gaya hai, aur hum ne 67 figure ke upar chale gaye hain, haalankay hum ne wahan qaim rehne ka maqaam hasil nahi kiya, kam az kam abhi tak. Aur hum ne neeche jaane ya wapis lautne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh sab be maqsad tha, haalankay aaj unhain Australia ke rozi roti ke market par manfi data mila.
Magar be shak, yeh ahem hai ke dollar kaise trade hoga, kal bhi shamil hai, kyunki hum haftay ke ikhtitam par hain. Magar mere liye kuch nahi badla, kyunki main khud bhi abhi bhi uttar ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Magar ek rollback ki zaroorat hai, aur isliye, agar hum phir se 0.66-0.6570 ke ilaqe tak neeche jaate hain, to main wahan bhi khareedari ki ijazat deta hoon.
Bari tarah se, bilkul sab majors ab ek sath ek hi rukh mein hain, hamare joray ke liye, main technical analysis mein wahi timeframe H4 le leta hoon, jahan, asal mein, maine support ke tor par kaam karne wali lines draw ki hain, agar pehle case mein humne price movement ka tez rukh uttar ki taraf banaya, to ab ek correction hai. Aakhri kaam karne wale din - Jumma, sab kuch bohot zyada badal sakta hai, bunyadi analysis bohot simple hai - economic calendar mein, teen sitara darjat ke kisi bhi khaas news background ka na ho US dollar ke liye aur na hi Australian dollar ke liye, yaani, is lehaz se, kisi cheez ka thamne ka koi wasta nahi hai. Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, range 100 - 161.8 ab bhi apni ahmiyat dikhata hai; intraday pivot levels scalping ke liye, wazeh wajahon se, indicator ke zariye dobara draw kiye gaye hain, in ke darmiyan ki faasla kam hota ja raha hai. Be shak, Price Action method ki ahmiyat ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunki haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par, ek daily ya haftay ke candle ek pattern ke banne ka ikhtiyar dikha sakta hai."
Bari tarah se, bilkul sab majors ab ek sath ek hi rukh mein hain, hamare joray ke liye, main technical analysis mein wahi timeframe H4 le leta hoon, jahan, asal mein, maine support ke tor par kaam karne wali lines draw ki hain, agar pehle case mein humne price movement ka tez rukh uttar ki taraf banaya, to ab ek correction hai. Aakhri kaam karne wale din - Jumma, sab kuch bohot zyada badal sakta hai, bunyadi analysis bohot simple hai - economic calendar mein, teen sitara darjat ke kisi bhi khaas news background ka na ho US dollar ke liye aur na hi Australian dollar ke liye, yaani, is lehaz se, kisi cheez ka thamne ka koi wasta nahi hai. Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, range 100 - 161.8 ab bhi apni ahmiyat dikhata hai; intraday pivot levels scalping ke liye, wazeh wajahon se, indicator ke zariye dobara draw kiye gaye hain, in ke darmiyan ki faasla kam hota ja raha hai. Be shak, Price Action method ki ahmiyat ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunki haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par, ek daily ya haftay ke candle ek pattern ke banne ka ikhtiyar dikha sakta hai."

Australian Dollar (AUD) ha haal hee mein ek rollercoaster safar guzara hai. Aik mazboot daur ke baad, yeh doosre mubarak session mein Jum'at ko dubara gir gaya, Australia aur uska markazi sauda karne wala shariqa China se mukhtalif ma'ashi signals ke dabao mein aya. China ke mukhtalif rozgar data ne bazaar mein tajawuz ka samna karwaya. Mazboot Australian ma'ashi ke saath China ki ma'ashi se milti julti hai, is liye kisi bhi China ki kami Australia tak asar andaz ho sakti hai. Niche girnay ka aur bhi dabao tha Australia ki apna be itminan rozgar data Jumairat ko zahir hua. Report ne pehle quarter mein be'waqoofi se sust urooj darj kya, jo bazaar ko yakin dilata hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rates ko barhane ke liye kam imkaanat rakh sakti hai. Yeh, inayat mein, AUD ko kamzor kar deta hai. Bond yield mein kami bhi aik aur kirdar ada karte hai. 10 saal tak ke Australian sarkari bond yield ne wage growth ki khabron ke jawab mein aik mahine ka record giraya. Kam bond yields aksar kamzor currency mein tabdeel hote hain.
Is haalat ke bawajood, AUD chaar mahine ke uroojon ke qareeb hai, 0.6660 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai. AUD/USD pair ka aik technical analysis ek mukhtalif tasveer pesh karta hai. Bullish fehrist mein, daily chart ek ascending triangle pattern ko zahir karta hai, jo aksar ek breakout ke pehle ki nishandahi ki jati hai. Mazeed, 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper baitha hai, jo mushtarka investors ke jazbat ko zahir karta hai. Yeh factors yeh ishara dete hain ke AUD mumkin hai ke triangle ke upper had se larna shuru kare aur mumkinah taur par 0.6750, aik ahem resistance level tak pohunch jaaye. Magar, bearish rawaaniyan bhi hain. Mojooda support 0.6634 par neeche girne ka ek mumkin naqsha aage ko la sakti hai, jahan agla support level 0.6610 par hai. Technical tor par, mukhtalif signals zahir hote hain. 20 din aur 50 din ke moving averages ka bullish crossover mazeed faiday ke liye sarguzisht kar raha hai. Magar, RSI ka beharward trend 50 ke ooper rehne ke bawajood mukhtalif tajziyat ka ishaara deta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ek aur nazar deta hai. Yeh musbat rehta hai, mazeed upri raftar ki tajweez karta hai. Aam tor par, AUD ka outlook ghaafil hai. 0.6730 ke ooper ek saar aana aur December 2023 ke 0.6870 tak chadhna ek bullish trend ko mazboot kar dega. Mukhtalif ma'ashi data aur technical indicators ke sath, ek lambi muddat kaar phase ko shuru kar sakti hai.

Is haalat mein, AUDUSD bullish ehsaas dikhata hai, jo kharidar ke liye mumkinah mauqay ko darust karta hai. Magar zaroori hai ke mool raqam ke dynamics mein ghus jaya jaye, khaaskar ab tak ke US dollar par asar daalne wale haalat ko, kyunke ye uske kamzori ko kafi mutasir karte hain. Ye tafseelati tajziya darust karta hai ke AUDUSD market apni upar ki rukh ko barkarar rakh sakta hai, mohtaj 0.6686 darje ko nishana banate hue. US dollar ki kamzori is bullish nazariye ko chalane wala aham factor hai. Jab ke US dollar ke baray mein manfi khabrein saamne aati hain, to iski qeemat giraane se Australian dollar ki nisbat mein barhne wala panayi zyada hota hai. In dono currencies ke darmiyan ye taluqat forex markets ki complexities ko zahir karte hain aur trading faislon mein bunyadi factors ka dheyan se ghor karna kitna zaroori hai. AUDUSD pair mein safar karne wale traders ko dono currencies se mutaliq taraqqiyati maloomat ko nazar andaz karne mein ehtiyat mand rehna chahiye. US dollar ke baray mein manfi khabron ka dard ko, aur Australian dollar ki mazbooti ko mil kar, yeh mahol banate hain jo AUDUSD pair ke liye mazeed faida mand hota hai. In dynamics ke hawale se aagahi aur in par tawajju rakhne se, traders khud ko strategy se position kar sakte hain taake wo naye moujooda mauqon ka faida utha sakein. Mazeed is par, ye qabil-e-zikar hai ke market ka ehsaas qeemat ke harakat ko shakal dene mein kis had tak ka kirdar ada karta hai. Jab traders tabdeli paish kartay hain jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, jughrafiya'i taraqqiyan, aur markazi bankon ki policies par react karte hain, to sentiment ke tabdili trading patterns ko mutasir kar sakti hai. AUDUSD ke mamle mein, Australian dollar ke lehaaz se musbat ehsaas, US dollar ke lehaaz se bearish ehsaas, pair ke liye bullish case ko mazbooti deta hai. Is ke ilawa, technical analysis potential qeemat darjaat aur trend reversals ke liye qabil-e-ehsaas maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Chart patterns, moving averages, aur oscillators traders ko market ka ehsaas ka systematic framework faraham karte hain jahan wo market sentiment ka andaza lagane aur entry aur exit points ka pehchan kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ko bunyadi considerations ke saath integrate karna traders ki salahiyat ko barhata hai ke wo behtareen faislon ko ada karte hain aur volatile market shara'itaat ko effectively handle karte hain.


kar sakte hain taake wo naye moujooda mauqon ka faida utha sakein. Mazeed is par, ye qabil-e-zikar hai ke market ka ehsaas qeemat ke harakat ko shakal dene mein kis had tak ka kirdar ada karta hai. Jab traders tabdeli paish kartay hain jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, jughrafiya'i taraqqiyan, aur markazi bankon ki policies par react karte hain, to sentiment ke tabdili trading patterns ko mutasir kar sakti hai. AUDUSD ke mamle mein, Australian dollar ke lehaaz se musbat ehsaas, US dollar ke lehaaz se bearish ehsaas, pair ke liye bullish case ko mazbooti deta hai. Is ke ilawa, technical

Sure, here's the translation of the provided text into Roman Urdu:
"Aaj, hum is waqt frame mein tayyar kiye gaye chart ke baare mein baat karenge. Humara maqsad aaj hai ke aane waali taraqqi ko tay karen AUD/USD ke daam mein. Waqt likhne ke doran, AUD/USD 0.6635 par trade ho raha hai. AUD/USD is chart ke mutabiq, mazeed taqat ko nishaan deta hai. Agar hum AUD/USD ko dekhen to is chart ke mutabiq, is waqt AUD/USD mazboot ho raha hai. Taqneeki indicators ke mutabiq, is chart par, taqneeki indicators kharidne ki signals banana shuru karte hain, jo ke 4 ghanton ke chart par pehle se puri tarah se shakal le chuke hain. Masalan, is chart par, taqneeki indicators ne neeche diye gaye hain: Signal line ya slow line "Moving average convergence divergence (MACD)" ke zero line ya midline ke upar hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.4203 par hai aur ek bullish momentum ko dikhata hai. Sab se dilchasp baat ye hai ke dono indicators (MACD aur RSI) musbat readings dikhate hain, jo ke ishara karta hai ke AUD/USD ke daam mazeed barhne jaenge. AUD/USD 20 dinon ka exponential moving average ke thore se upar trade ho raha hai. Ussi waqt, AUD/USD ke daam abhi 50 dinon ke exponential moving average ke upar hain.

AUD/USD ke mojooda market ke daam ka resistance level 0.6649 hai. Agar AUD/USD ke daam ko ye resistance tor leta hai, to 0.6684 ke upar ek bohot mazboot resistance level hai jo ke doosra level hai. Uske baad, AUD/USD aur mazeed 0.6713 ke resistance level ki taraf barhega jo ke teesra level hai. Dosri taraf, mojooda market ke daam ka support level 0.6612 hai. Agar AUD/USD ke daam ko ye support tor leta hai, to neeche 0.6585 ke neeche ek bohot mazboot support level hai jo ke doosra level hai. Uske baad, AUD/USD aur mazeed 0.6560 ke support level ki taraf girna shuru karega jo ke teesra level hai. Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye. Muskurate rahiye."



Signal line ya slow line "Moving average convergence divergence (MACD)" ke zero line ya midline ke upar hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.4203 par hai aur ek bullish momentum ko dikhata hai. Sab se dilchasp baat ye hai ke dono indicators (MACD aur RSI) musbat readings dikhate hain, jo ke ishara karta hai ke AUD/USD ke daam mazeed barhne jaenge. AUD/USD 20 dinon ka exponential moving average ke thore se upar trade ho raha hai. Ussi waqt, AUD/USD ke daam abhi 50 dinon ke exponential moving average ke upar hain.

AUD/USD ke mojooda

Australian dollar (AUD) ko Jumma ko shuru ki gayi aghazati faydon ke bawajood farokht ki dabao ka samna karna pada, jo filhal 0.6530 ke aas paas musalsal hai. Ye iske bawajood aye ke kuch musbat tajziyaton ke douran ata hai, jese ke Chini Wazir-e-Azam ka Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mustehkam kar sakta hai. Magar, kul imaniyat aik taraf se United States dollar (USD) ki taraf mael hai, Federal Reserve ke sakht rukh ki wajah se. United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke dawrani in'dad ke mutabiq jo ke peer ko jari kiya gaya, mool Consumer Price Index (CPI) barqarar 0.4% aur 3.8% darust tor par barh chuka hai, jis se nisbatan is waqt kisi qisam ke daromadar ke ihtiyat nahi hain. CPI tamam asar angarezon aur khana peena ke ghair mohtaaj qeemat ko bata hai. Mazid consumer intehai umeeden mein izafa ke bais, ab kam tawaqo hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ziyada tawaqo par interest darat ko kam karde. 12 mahine ke doran intehai umeedon ke liye tawaqoat Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq aik pehle 4.3% ke figure se 4.6% tak barh gaya hai. Takneeki tor par, AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hua, jis se farokht ki taraf ho gaya. Currency 0.6477 ke aas paas asar angarezon ke darajat ke qareeb hai aur is ne apni 20-din ka aam miyaar ke nichle hawaale se gira hai, jis se kam faraham hone ki alaamat hain. Tawajju indicators bhi nazdeek-faele kam potential ko darust karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, to traders mukhtalif short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ki umeed ke saath. Magar, 0.6635 ke oopar nikal jana trend ke ulte ishaara ka sabab ho sakta hai, jis se jodi ko 0.6667 ya shayad 0.6700 ke qareeb chala jaye. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishaara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch had tak aik mumkin upward move ke ishaare deta hai. Agar musbat momentum banata hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb aasani se pahunch sakta hai. Kul mila kar, AUD/USD aik cheen-australia taluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin raah aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek khenchawar mein phansa hua hai. Jodi ka rukh mumkin hai ke aane wale dinon mein kon saa force zyada numaya sabit hota hai us par m.

AUDUSD Pair Analysis in the H-4 Time Frame

Mahine ke aakhir me market ki situation se ye baat wazeh hoti hai ke market ab bhi upward side par chalne ki koshish kar rahi hai. AUDUSD pair ke monitoring se pata chalta hai ke trend bullish side par move kar chuka hai. Agla price trip shayad upward ho sakta hai jo ke current position se door chale jaane ka imkaan hai. Pichle mahine ke shuruat mein trading period mein kafi zyada bullish travel ne prices ko ooper laane ka chance diya tha. Aaj subah market khulne par thoda sa bullish rally dekha gaya jisse price ab bhi 0.6651 zone ke upar hai.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istimaal karte hue analyze kiya jaye to signal line ki position level 80 ko touch karte hue nazar aati hai, jo ke aaj ke din ke liye increase ka moqa dikha rahi hai. Toh overall market condition candlestick ke sath ab bhi buyer control mein chal rahi hai, iska matlab ye hai ke rise ka moqa ab bhi hai kyun ke movement ab bhi bullish zone mein hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone ko bhi paar kar liya hai, jo ke buying interest ke ab bhi dominant hone ki nishani hai. Toh next market situation ke liye meri rai ke mutabiq, price ka rise hone ka moqa hai, buyers shayad consistently candlestick ko Uptrend side par le jaane ki koshish karen.



Bullish side par trip ke target ke liye prediction hai ke ye lagbhag 0.6692 positions tak jaa sakta hai jabke doosre buyers ke liye bhi price increase ko support karne ke moqe khul rahe hain. Comfortable trading position ke liye, meri rai mein sirf price ke 0.6662 position tak rise hone ka intezar karna chahiye. Halaanke is hafte prices uptrend side par move karte nazar aati hain, main aapko phir se yaad dilata hoon ke hafte ke shuruat mein market ke habits ka matlab ho sakta hai ke market correct downward ho.

AUDUSD Analysis

AUDUSD pair mein bullish trend aur higher high - high low price pattern structure ab bhi mutabiqat mein nazar aata hai. Is liye, price movement ka rukh apni upward rally ko jaari rakhta nazar aata hai. Aaj jo prices ooper gai hain, un par nazar dalen to lagta hai ke woh 0.6717 ke high prices tak pahunchne aur unhe paar karne mein nakam rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas hai aur jab woh bounce karti hai, phir bhi naya higher high banane mein kamyab nahi hoti, to price ke down correct hone ka chance hai. Phir bhi, break of structure hone ke liye invalidation level ab bhi current price se kaafi door hai, kyunke yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support ko paar nahi karta, chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche bhi ho, higher high - higher low structure ka potential ab bhi bullish trend ke rukh mein continue rehta hai.

Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi prices ko apni upward rally ko continue karne ke liye support karta hai. Kyunke parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf badh raha hai, jo ke matlab hai ke saturation point tak pahunchne se pehle ab bhi kaafi room hai. Magar, agar parameter level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hota hai ya crossing hoti hai aur wapas oversold zone mein chala jata hai, to downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche aur low prices 0.6649 tak chal sakta hai.



Trading plan yeh hai ke sabr se kaam lein aur BUY moment ka intezar karein kyunke trend direction ya break of structure mein koi tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi. Position entry ko nearest RBS area ke aas paas 0.6642 par rakha ja sakta hai. Confirm karen agar Stochastic indicator parameters dobara oversold zone mein cross kar rahe hon. Take profit ko high prices 0.6717 ke upar rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss ko support 0.6564 ke aas paas.

AUD/USD Forecast

Is hafte US Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales, aur Richmond Manufacturing Index AUD/USD market ko asar karenge. Is liye, strategically buy order place karna aur 20-25 pips ke darmiyan reasonable take profit point set karna current market climate mein ek aqalmandana move hai. Yeh approach na sirf market sentiment ka precise assessment karne mein madadgar hota hai, balki ek calculated entry aur exit strategy bhi allow karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, traders ko US dollar se mutaliq developments par bhi hoshiyar aur ba-khabar rehna chahiye, kyunke iski value mein shifts trading outcomes par ahm asar daal sakte hain. Aane wali US dollar related news data se umeed hai ke buyers 0.6667 zone ko jald ya baad mein cross kar lenge. Strategic entry aur exit points ke ilawa, stop-loss orders aur effective money management techniques ko implement karna trading profitability ko optimize karne aur potential losses ko mitigate karne ke liye nihayat zaroori hai. In bunyadi practices par mazbooti se amal kar ke, traders market ke complexities ko ziada efficiency aur confidence ke sath navigate kar sakte hain.

Is dinon AUD/USD ke market sentiment ke khilaf na jayen. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD market conditions ka samajhna yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers apni dominance barqarar rakne ke moqe par hain, aur resistance levels ko waqt ke sath surpass kar sakte hain. Magar, trading mein kamyabi sirf market analysis par nahi, balki trades ke strategic execution aur prudent risk management par bhi mabni hai.



Isliye, traders ko adaptive, disciplined, aur well-prepared rehna chahiye taake emerging opportunities ka faida utha sakein aur unforeseen risks se bachein. Market dynamics se ba-khabar rehna, news developments ko follow karna, aur sound trading principles par amal karna humein kamyabi ke liye position karega. Yaad rahe, fortune favors the prepared mind; sahi strategy aur mindset ke sath hum financial markets ko confidently navigate kar sakte hain. Dekhte hain agle dinon mein AUD/USD market mein kya hota hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) Recovery After Three-Day Slump

Teen din ke girawat ke baad, Australian dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko recovery ke asar dikhaye, jo ke shayad behtar risk appetite ki wajah se tha. Magar, yeh optimism zyada der tak nahi chala, kyunke Melbourne Institute ki taraf se jaari consumer inflation forecast ne AUD ko wapas pressure mein daal diya. Consumer expectations for inflation agle saal ke liye May mein 4.1% tak gir gayi, jo ke October 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Yeh April ke 4.6% se neeche aayi hai. AUD ke masail mein izafa karte hue, Judo Bank Comprehensive Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) se preliminary data ne economic growth mein halka slowdown indicate kiya. PMI reading April ke 53.0 se May mein 52.6 tak gir gayi, jo ke expansion mein moderation ka imkaan dikha raha hai. Service sector to grow kar raha tha, magar manufacturing output mein girawat pichle periods ke muqable mein kam hui.

Darmiyan, US dollar (USD) remained subdued tha US purchasing managers' data ke release se pehle. Magar, Wednesday ko FOMC meeting minutes ne USD ko mazboot banaya. Minutes se pata chala ke Federal Reserve policymakers ko inflation ke bare mein concerns hain, jo 2024 ke pehle se zyada thi. Is hawkish stance on interest rates ne USD ko strengthen kiya.



Analysis ke waqt, AUD 0.6620 ke aas paas USD ke against hover kar raha tha. Technical analysis se daily charts pe pata chala ke AUD/USD pair mein weakening ka imkaan hai, jo ke bullish wedge breakout se established uptrend ko jeopardize kar raha tha. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar tha, jo ke buying momentum ko indicate karta hai, magar Momentum indicator mein further decline bearish bias ko confirm kar sakta hai. Psychological support level 0.6600 significant importance rakhta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to AUD par selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo usay 0.6470 support zone tak push kar sakta hai. Conversely, immediate resistance nine-day moving average (EMA) 0.6639 se aasakta hai, followed by key level 0.6650. Rising wedge ke lower boundary ke neeche decisive break AUD/USD pair ke liye bearish outlook ko solidify kar dega.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

Thursday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6600 ke four-month high ke qareeb steady rahi, jo ke China ke real estate market ko stabilize karne ke significant steps aur rising commodity prices ki wajah se tha. Halanke pair mein thodi decline dekhi gayi, hum Australian dollar ke liye optimistic hain, iski strong correlation commodity prices, yield differentials aur market sentiment ke saath dekhte hue jo China ki economic growth prospects se related hai. Government ki expansionary fiscal policy se umeed hai ke solid economic growth 2025 tak support hogi.

Intraday trading mein, AUD/USD pair neutral tend karti hai lekin 0.6585 ke neeche consolidation ka potential rehta hai. Jab tak support level 0.6515 intact rehta hai, further upside anticipated hai. Pehle mention kiya gaya tha ke 0.6850 se decline, jo 0.6320 tak three waves of decline face kar chuka hai, khatam ho chuka hai. Agar 0.6730 ke upar break hoti hai, to next target 0.6810 resistance level hoga. Magar, agar critical support 0.6531 break hota hai, to bullish perspective depressed hoga. 55 SMA (currently at 0.6531) ke neeche sustained trading decline ko 0.6311 support level tak extend kar sakti hai.



Broader perspective se dekha jaye to, price movement 0.6189 se ek medium-term corrective pattern consider kiya jata hai downtrend mein jo 0.8031 se start hui thi. 0.7144 se decline second leg consider kiya jata hai jo shayad 0.6222 ke aas paas khatam hua hai. Subsequent rise ko third stage dekha jata hai jo abhi 0.6845 resistance level recover karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Additional analysis yeh dikhata hai ke agar China's real estate market reforms aur rising commodity prices ka positive momentum continue karta hai, to yeh AUD/USD ko additional support provide kar sakta hai, bullish bias ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur pair ko medium term mein key resistance level tak pohchane de sakta hai.

AUD-USD Pair Analysis

0.6590 ka false breakout ho sakta hai lekin uske baad bhi growth continue karegi. Shayad 0.6667 ke break hone aur uske upar consolidate karne ke baad buy ka signal milay, phir aap buy kar sakte hain. Agar humein current level se thodi downward correction mile, to growth continue hogi.

Shayad hum 0.6655 ke range ka breakdown dekhen aur strengthening continue ho. Agar 0.6590 ka test milta hai, to test ke baad growth aur zyada hogi. Jab yeh 0.6590 ke range se break away karne mein kamyab hoti hai, to is case mein growth continue karegi.

Jab hum 0.6652 ke range ko break through karne mein kamyab hote hain, aur breakdown hota hai, to growth continue karegi. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke rate 0.6653 ke range ke upar strengthen ho, is case mein growth continue karegi. Agar humein 0.6590 pe resistance ka breakdown aur uske neeche consolidation milti hai, to yeh rate ke girne ka signal hoga. American session mein thodi correction ke baad, growth ab continue karegi. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke hum 0.6685 ke range ko break through karein aur uske upar gain karein, to yeh buy ka signal hoga.



Jaise hum dekh sakte hain, pehle unhone pehli ascending support line ko break kiya, aur kal dusri ascending line ka breakout mila. Overall, sab kuch is taraf ja raha hai ke hum price fall ka continuation dekhenge jahan ascending lines ke support points ko break karne ka goal hoga. Pehla point level 0.6579 hai. Dusra point level 0.6557 hai.

AUD-USD Pair Forecast

Hum current signals ki positive processing ka probability analyze karenge using Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator, jise RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke readings se confirm kiya gaya hai, aur ek detailed trading plan tayar karenge taake market mein entry ke most optimal points find kiya ja sake. Desired profit milne ke baad, hum Fibonacci grid ke nearest correctional levels ko detail se consider karenge jo timeframe ke extremes par stretched hain, taake correct aur profitable point select kar sakein for closing the worked position.

Selected time frame (H4) ke chart par linear regression channel ka slope upward direction mein hai, jo market mein ek strong buyer ki maujoodgi ka clear sign hai, jo sellers par kaafi significant pressure daal raha hai. Chart par nonlinear regression channel bend complete kar chuka hai, golden line of the upward trend ko bottom se top tak cross kar chuka hai, aur ab upward direction mein hai.



Price ne linear regression channel ki red resistance line (2-nd LevelResLine) cross kar li, magar maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.67146 ko reach karne ke baad apni growth roknay lag gayi aur steadily decline hone lagi. Filhal, instrument ka trading price level 0.66135 hai. Upar di gayi tamam information ke basis par, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes return karenge aur 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke neeche consolidate karenge 50% FIBO level par, aur further movement down to golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide kar rahi hai. Yeh add karna zaroori hai ke filhal RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators persistently signal kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai, kyunke yeh zone mein hain jo profitable selling transaction ka invitation de rahe hain.

Australian Dollar (AUD) Analysis

Australian dollar (AUD) ko chaar din se lagataar girawat ka samna hai, jo market mein risk aversion ke wajah se hai. Yeh risk aversion US dollar ke mazboot hone se bhi coincide kar raha hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish signals se fuel ho raha hai. Fed ka iraada hai ke interest rates ko lambay arsay tak high rakha jaye, jiski wajah se investors cautious hain. AUD ki musibat mein izafa ho raha hai kyunki Australia mein consumer expectations for inflation apne lowest level par hain October 2021 se. April mein 4.6% se gir kar May mein 4.1% par aane se yeh concerns uth rahe hain ke inflation lambi muddat tak high reh sakti hai. Is concern ko Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke latest meeting ke minutes ne aur barhaya hai. Minutes reveal karte hain ke policymakers cash rate ke future trajectory ke saath mushkil ka samna kar rahe hain, aur potential increases ya decreases ka faisla karna mushkil hai.

Dusri taraf, Pacific ke us par, US dollar positive Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data release hone ke baad momentum gain kar gaya. Yeh data US ki economic strength ko suggest karta hai, jo Fed ko interest rates ko lambay arsay tak high rakhnay par majboor kar sakta hai. Is wajah se US Treasury yields bhi upar chal gaye hain. FOMC meeting ke latest minutes bhi reveal karte hain ke Fed ko inflation ke bare mein fikr hai. Minutes se pata chalta hai ke policymakers ko inflation ko control karne mein kami ka samna hai, aur early 2024 mein potential rise ke expectations hain. Ab investors upcoming US economic data releases, especially Durable Goods Orders aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index par nazar rakhe hue hain. Durable Goods Orders manufacturing activity ka insight dete hain, jabke Consumer Confidence Index consumers ki financial aur income conditions par sentiment ko gauge karta hai.

Agar price 0.6585-0.6605 support zone mein hold karne mein naakam rehti hai aur girawat continue karti hai, to yeh bearish trend ka continuation signal karega. Is case mein, AUD/USD pair chart ke niche ek naya local range establish kar sakti hai. Is decline ke next targets 0.6465-0.6495 ke lows ho sakte hain. Agar yeh levels breach hoti hain, to pair apna next significant support 0.6370-0.6400 levels par dhoond sakti hai. Yeh extended decline broader market sentiment shift ko reflect kar sakta hai, jo economic data releases, commodity prices mein changes, ya monetary policy expectations mein shifts ke wajah se ho sakta hai between RBA aur Federal Reserve.



Traders ke liye, yeh samajhna ke support zones ke ird gird dynamics kya hain, bohot zaroori hai. AUD/USD pair ki ability ke current levels se rebound karna ya decline continue karna trading strategies ko shape karega. Jo log bullish reversal ki umeed kar rahe hain, wo current support par buy kar sakte hain with tight stop-losses below 0.6585. Conversely, traders jo further declines anticipate kar rahe hain, wo current support ke neeche confirmed break ka wait kar sakte hain before shorting the pair, targeting aforementioned lower support levels.

Maujooda Baat Cheet Trading Ke Hawale Se

Aaj, Australian Dollar (AUD) ne United States Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik zor daar zakhmi kha liya, aur saptah ke tamam waqt ke sab se kam level tak gir gaya. Is girawat ka do badi asraat hain. Pehla, USD doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein thori taqat hasil kar raha hai. Yeh USD ka fardh bandhata hai, jo ke doosri currencies jaise AUD ko kam kashish banata hai. Dusra, maal o asbaab ke markets mein mahaul udasi hai, jo ke AUD par neechay dabao dalta hai. Australia ki maeeshat maal o asbaab ki iksport par mabni hai, is liye is sector mein kami ki soorat mein currency kamzor hoti hai. Ab sab nazrein Amreeki majmooe makaanati market ke anay wale statistics par hain. Aaj raat ko 9:00 PM PST par, Amreeki maqami makaanati market ke statistics zaahir kiye jayenge. Yeh data ahem hai kyunkay makaanati market Amreeki maeeshat ke kull sehat ka ek ahem ishara hai. Mazboot makaanati market mazboot maeeshat ki alamaat hai, jo ke USD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Agla barahin event AUD/USD pair ke liye raat ko 10:00 PM PST ko ata hai, jab akhri Federal Reserve meeting ke minutes jaari honge. Yeh minutes interest rates aur mustaqbil ki maali siyasat ke faislon par Federal Reserve ki rai dene wale hain. Minutes ki tone ke mutabiq, AUD/USD mazeed inteshar ka samna kar sakta hai.

Magar, central bank ne kaha ke maeeshat mein tawanai ke umeedwar the, jo ke traders ko kuch halka kar diya aur umeedwar kiya ke Reserve Bank of Australia agle baar darakht kardar hoga. Market garam hoti hai. Market December mein darakht kardar hone ki 50% imkaan aur agle saal April mein darakht kardar hone ki 85% imkaan ke umeed rakhta hai, jo ke Australian dollar ke halqayat ko rok deta hai. Magar, Australian dollar ke neechay ki jagah ka izafi samaan mehdood taqwa kiya gaya hai, kyunkay Australian central bank ki interest rate ki position doosri baray central banks se mukhtalif hai. Australian dollar ke buland interest rates ko doosri central banks se zyada lamba samajha jata hai, aur maal o asbaab ke prices mein taza taraqqi bhi Australian dollar ko barhava deti nazar aati hai.



AUD/USD currency pair 0.665 par trading ho raha hai aur pair chaar ghante ka chart dekhte waqt 50-period moving average (MA50) ke neeche hai magar 200-period moving average (MA200) ke ooper hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke chand muddat ka ittefaq hai, magar lambi muddat ka trend abhi bhi qaim hai. Support aur Resistance Levels: Support levels ko 0.660 ke aas paas paaya ja sakta hai, aur resistance levels ko 0.670 ke aas paas paaya ja sakta hai. Resistance level ko torne se mazeed qeemat barhne ka rasta khulta hai, jabke support level ko torne se qeemat mein girawat ka ishaara hota hai. MACD abhi tak lambi muddat ke bullish signals ko tasdiq kar raha hai. Trading Strategy: Maujooda haalat ke hisaab se, maqami harkat ko tasdiq karne par long positions ko kholne ka mowqah liya ja sakta hai. Nakaami ke khadshat se bachne ke liye stop loss ko kareeb 0.660 ke aas paas set kiya ja sakta hai. Ikhtitam: Char ghante ke chart par technical analysis dikhata hai ke AUD/USD market lambi muddat ke trend ko qaim rakhta hai, halankeh chand muddat ki taabir mein unsar hoti hai. Traders ko qeemat ki harkat par nazr rakhte hue apni tehqeeqat ko jaari rakhne aur stop losses ka istemal karke is currency pair ko trade karte hue khatron ko control mein rakhna chahiye.

AUD/USD H-1 Timeframe Tafseeli Jaiza:

Main ye samajhta hoon ke wo support 0.65989 ko tor dega, support 0.66388 toot gaya tha. Pair is tori hui support par lauta aur saaf ho gaya ke farokht karne wala volume barh raha tha. Ab karobaari fa'alat par data aaya hai, dollar ki taraf se ye data acha nikla. Dollar ne is data ka acha jawab diya, is ne is par izafa kiya aur main ye samajhta hoon ke girawat mazeed barqarar rahegi support 0.65558 tak. Yani ke 0.6605 par aik jhoota breakthrough ho sakta hai aur is ke baad bhi izafa hota rahega. Agar, 0.6667 ko tor kar us par mazboot ho gaya aur us ke ooper jam ho gaya, to yeh aik signal hai ke kharidai ka waqt hai, to phir aap kharid sakte hain. Shaid ab hum ko hali dino mein aik chhota niche ke saath correction milay, phir izafa mazeed hota rahega. Shaid hum 0.6685 ka range torne ka samna karenge aur izafa jari rahega. Shaid hum 0.6615 ka test kar lenge, to phir test ke baad, izafa mazeed ho sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke 0.6610 ke range se alag ho jayenge aur is case mein, izafa hota rahega. Jab hum 0.6667 ke range ko tor lenge aur torne ke case mein, izafa mazeed hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke darakht ke ooper 0.6685 ke range mein izafa ho, is case mein, izafa hota rahega. Shaid hum 0.6606 ke resistance ko tor denge aur is ke neeche jam kar lenge, yeh rate girne ka signal hoga. Amreeki session mein thori tabdeeli ke baad, izafa ab mazeed hota rahega. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 0.6685 ka range tor denge aur us ke ooper pakad jayenge, yeh kharidne ka signal hoga.