ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD M5


Ek haath par, neeche ki risk moujood hai, jaisa ke 0.6600 level par mukabla dekha gaya hai. Agar keemat is point se aage barqarar rehne mein na kaamyaab ho toh, yeh ek mukhtalif palat jaane ka ishara ho sakti hai. Magar agar khareedne wale is rukawat ko paar kar lein, to agla target 0.6625 ke aas paas ke supply zone par hoga. Kai factors is bullish outlook mein madad dene wale hain. Sabse pehle, mojooda keemat ke aas paas support levels ki zyada tadaad hai, jisme MA50 aur pehle ke swing lows shaamil hain. Yeh support clusters ek mazboot base darust kar rahe hain potential oopri movement ke liye. Iske alawa, MA50 se hilte hue hilne ka ishaara dete hue, yeh bhi darust karta hai ke bullish momentum ab bhi qayam hai, khareedne wale ahem levels ko bacha rahe hain. Iske alawa, bharosemand market dynamics bhi AUD/USD pair ki qeemat ko badhane ka faida dete hain. Behtareen khatra sentiment, global ma'ashi ubhaar ke aas paas umeedon bhari behtari ki roshni mein, aise currencies ke liye jaise Australian dollar, mein demand ko barha sakti hai. Iske alawa, Reserve Bank of Australia ki deshatmand nazriyat domestic economy ke liye, sath hi barhte hue commodities ki qeemat, Aussie ke liye madded bhi faraham karti hai. Technical nazar se, MACD indicator mein bullish mukhalifana signs hain, jisme MACD line signal line ke upar chali ja rahi hai, yeh ek mukhtalif palat jaane ki ishara deti hai. Iske alawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 level se oopar qayam rehti hai, yeh bullish momentum ki daleel hai. Magar, zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam kiya jaye aur ahem levels ko qareeb se dekha jaye. 0.6600 resistance level ko aage ki movement ke liye aik ahem rukawat samjha jata hai aur agar yeh naakaami se prabhavit na ho toh, ek pullback ko trigger kar sakta hai. Iske alawa, geopolitik tensions ya ghair mutawaqqa ma'ashi data releases jaise baahri factors market sentiment ko asar andaz kar sakti hain aur mojooda trend ko bigaard sakti hain. Ikhtitami taur par, jabke AUD/USD market bullish potential ki alamat dikhata hai, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem resistance levels se oopri rafat ka thos saboot ka intezar karna chahiye. Ek aqalmand risk management strategy qaim rakhna aur waqai market developments ke baare mein maloomat hasil karna, currency markets ke tabadlate manzar mein safar karne ke liye ahem hai.

AUD/USD ke rate mein ek tez muqabla 200-day simple moving average ke qareeb chal raha hai. MACD aur RSI indicators bullish bias ko reflect kar rahe hain. AUD/USD ne kafi kharidari karne wale ko apne sath khinchne ke liye kaafi nahi kiya jo tees mahine ke oonchaai par 0.6590 ke ooper shuru hui uptrend mein kuch nuksan dekha gaya. Takneeki taur par, chhoti-moti risk upar ki taraf mude hue hain. Keemat Ichimoku cloud ke bohot upar hai, jabki MACD indicator apna musbat momentum zero line aur signal line ke upar jama kar raha hai. Relative strength index bhi badh raha hai aur 70 ke level ke qareeb pahunch raha hai.

Maujooda bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, sawal yeh hai ke kya jodi 200-day moving average ke ooper toot sakti hai. Is level aur tees mahine ke oonche 0.6590 ke upar safal harkat, market ko aur mansoobe levels ki taraf le ja sakti hai jaise ke 0.6600, 0.6700, aur 0.6800, pehle se record ki gayi resistance ko saaf karne se pehle. Neeche chart dekhein:



D -1 Timeframe Analysis

Magar, agar market haal hi ke uchayiyo se baahar na nikal sake, to traders dobara keemat ko neeche le ja sakte hain aur Ichimoku chart ko, sath hi 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ko 0.6350 aur 0.6300 par test kar sakte hain. Mazeed nuksan ki darj zail halat mein bearish technical tasveer ko punah zinda kar sakta hai jab keemat 0.6340 aur 0.6270 ke levels ke qareeb stabilize hoti hai. Choti si baat hai, haal ki AUD/USD rally abhi tak traders ko encourage nahi ki hai. Ek tezi ko lamba karna ke liye 200-day moving average aur 0.6590 resistance ke upar phir se chadhav ki zarurat hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

Forex trading mein, AUD/USD currency pair ki movements hamesha hi tawajjo ka markaz rahi hain. Haal hi mein, is pair mein qawi bullish pressure dekha gaya, jo kharidaron ki aggresive rehnumai se saabit hua. Ye pressure mukhtalif price levels ko mutasir kar ke bullish trend ko barqarar rakha.


Is bullish momentum ka aik numainda asar support area mein dekha gaya, jahan kharidaron ne bearish sellers ki koshishon ka jawab diya aur support level ko mazbooti se bachaya. Ye stability bullish breakout ka sadaya ban gaya aur price ko upwards ki taraf lay gaya. Support area ka mazboot hona ek optimistic view create karta hai, jo traders ko confident banata hai ke bullish trend jaari rahega aur unke long positions ko barqarar rakhega.

Market psychology aur technical indicators ne bhi is bullish movement ko saath diya. Traders ne market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye technical analysis ka istemal kiya aur bullish momentum ko samajhne ke liye tools jaise moving averages aur relative strength index ka istemal kiya. In indicators ke zariye, traders ko bullish pressure ka andaza hota hai aur unhein entry aur exit points ko identify karne mein madad milti hai. Is ke saath saath, risk management ko bhi ahmiyat di gayi taake traders apni positions ko mazbooti se manage kar sakein aur nuqsan se bach sakein. Stop-loss orders aur position sizing jaise techniques ka istemal kiya gaya jis se traders apni positions ko protect kar sakein aur unka risk spread kiya ja sake.

Yeh bullish movement ki wajah se traders ko mawajahat mein naye opportunities nazar aayi, lekin unhein bhi samjhnay ki zarurat hai ke market dynamics hamesha badal rahe hain. Isliye, unhein hamesha market ke mukhtalif pehluon ko tawajjo se dekhna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye. Aurat faqat bullish ya bearish trend pe focus na karein, balki unhein market ke har mukhtalif scenario ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye. Overall, haal hi mein AUD/USD currency pair mein dekhi gayi bullish movement ne traders ko naye challenges aur opportunities ke samne rakh diya hai, jinhein samajhne aur istemal karne ke liye unhein tayyar rehna hoga.

AUD/USD lagbhag 0.6575 ke aaspaas karobar ho raha hai, jo ke market mein ek mandi trend ko darust karta hai. Haalaanki market dheere se chal rahi hai, lekin mujhe yakeen hai ke aane waale dino mein AUD/USD mein numaya harkat hogi.
Is mandi trend ke doran, traders ko keemat ke girne ko dekhte hue sabar aur ehtiyaat ka istemaal karna zaroori hai. Magar, susti ke doran bhi, bade harkat hone ki sambhavna hai.Maamooli data releases, central bank announcements, siyasi aur aam tor par market sentiment, AUD/USD ki harkat ko asar andaz bana sakti hain. In ilaqon mein ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyan tizi se tanazur mein izafa kar sakti hain.Technical analysis techniques ka istemaal bhi AUD/USD ki harkat mein insight faraham kar sakta hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur chart patterns ka tajziya karke traders potential entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakte hain aur mojooda trends ki quwwat ko samajh sakte hain.

Akhri mein, haalaanki AUD/USD abhi mazboot mandi trend mein hai, lekin traders ko tawajjuh mein rehna chahiye kyunke numaya harkat ki umeed hai. Traders ko siyasi aur maashiyati maamlat, market sentiment, aur technical analysis signals ko nazarandaz na karna chahiye taake wo aane waale dino mein mouqe ka faida utha sakein.
Mehsoos ki gayi jazbaati raai, jo ki global ma'aashiyati behtar hone aur vaccination ke iradon mein taraqqi ki umeed se bhari hai, aise risk-sensitive currencies jaise Australian dollar ke liye taleefah kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia ki qadeem ma'amlaat ke muta'alliq nisbatan umeed afza raay, jama kiye ja rahe asbaab ke qeemat mein izafa, Aussie ke liye mazeed support faraham karte hain. Technically dekha jaye to,

MACD indicator mein bullish alagao ke nishaanat hain, jahan MACD line signal line ke oopar cross kar rahi hai, jisse moujooda raftar mein oopar ki taraf ek shift ka isha'ar hai. Iske alawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 ke level se oopar araam se maujood hai, jo bullish momentum ko darust karti hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se kaam lena aur ahem levels ko nazdeek se dekhna zaroori hai. 0.6600 resistance level mazeed oopar ki harkat ke liye aik ahem rukawat hai aur agar yeh saaf tor par paar na kiya jaaye to, aik wapas ki taraf ko shuru kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, siyasi tensions ya ghair mutawaqqa maashiyati data releases waise market sentiment ko mutassir kar sakte hain aur moujooda trend ko bigaar sakte hain. Aakhri mein, jabke AUD/USD market mein bullish potential ke nishaanat nazar aati hain, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem resistance levels ke oopar lambe waqt tak qaim honay ki tasdiq ka intezar karna chahiye. Aik prudent risk management strategy banaye rakhna aur maqbul market developments ke mutalliq muta'arif rehna currency markets ke tabdeel hone wale manzar mein safar karna ke liye ahem hai.

AUDUSD market ab 0.6517 ke ahem support level ke aas paas mojood hai. Is level ki ahmiyat ko kam nahi samjha ja sakta, kyunke ye market dynamics ke liye aik ahem juncture ko darust karta hai. Is juncture par, khareedne walon aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan taqat ka tole bhar par hai. Agar khareedne walay is range ke andar control ko barqarar nahi rakh sakte, to rasta farokht karne walon ke liye saaf ho jayega 0.6480 ke darje ko torne ke liye US trading session ke doran. Ye manzar ek silsile dar silsile farokht dabao ka shuru kar sakta hai, jo market mein mazeed neechay ki taraf liye jaa sakta hai. Magar, ahem hai ke market shiraa'een ko 0.6500 ke nafsiati darje ko pehchanne ka ehmiaat ko tasleem karna hai. Ye darja ek ahem had hai, neechay ki momentum ke khilaf aik bachao faraham karta hai aur buland jazbaat ke liye aik bunyadi bunyad faraham karta hai. Sarasar, market shiraa'een ke mojooda mahol mein zinda rehne ka mohtaj hai unki salahiyat par 0.6500 range ka intezaar hai. Is tarah, woh mojooda market shara'ait ke mushkilat ko kamyabi se guzarna kar sakte hain aur khud ko untaahi imkaanat ke liye qayam kar sakte hain jo aage a sakti hain. Main AUD/USD ko aik grow perspective se dilchaspi rakhta hoon, main is haftay pair ko khareedna chahta hoon, magar pehle mujhe aik andaruni pattern banane ki zarurat hai. Char ghanton ke time frame par pehle se hi aik pattern mojood hai, qeemat apni kamiyon par hai. Main ne ghaaton ke liye Fibonacci retracement banaya hai takay ek tasdeeqi pattern ko tay karon jo mujhe neechay darajaton se market mein dakhil hone ki ijazat dega. Pehli shirat pehle se puri ho chuki hai, qeemat 23.6% ke resistance tak pahunch gayi hai. Agar ye 9% tak gir jati hai, to aik pattern zahir hoga aur main zyada tar khareedunga. Aise aik sauda ka maqsad 50% darja hoga. Do so ghaanton ke moving average ko torne se, khareedne walon ki taqat barhegi. Jitni zyada qeemat, utni zyada imkaanat buland trend ka jari rehne ka. Aam tor par, mera mansooba hai ke char ghanton ke time frame par AUD/USD ko khareedna, aur aik tasdeeqi pattern ke zahir hone par sauda mein dakhil hona hai ghanto ke chart par.

AUDUSD H4 TIME FRAME

0.6644 ke level se, AUDUSD par pehla acha wave of shorts shuru hua, jaise ke H4 chart se dekha ja sakta hai, aur yeh 0.6500 tak chala, baad mein quotes ne wapis roll kiya aur shorts dobara shuru hue - wave 2, jo ke 0.6460 tak chala, maine is level ko pehle se pehchana tha aur asal giravat mere assumption ke mutabiq thi. Is tarah, 0.6460 se quotes ke most likely wapis roll back honge 0.6482 tak, is ke baad phir se shorts ka ek wave hoga, jo 1 aur 2 se zyada taqatwar hoga, aur sirf 0.6270 ke level quotes ko girne se rok sakta hai 61 aur 60 figures par, haalanki kuch bhi ho sakta hai. H4 timeframe par ek tez giravat ka formation tha, jis ke mutabiq main AUDUSD ko sirf lambay arsay ke liye short karunga. Jab currency pair ke quotes 0.6482 ke neeche trade karte hain, toh yeh level toot gaya hai aur flat ka neeche ka kinara kaam karta hai, toh phir aapko Australian ko short karna chahiye.

AUDUSD pair par, hafta waise hi khatam hua jaise ke doosri direct majors par, yani, ek barhavane ki koshish ki gayi, lekin ant mein damini nichay ki gayi aur acha giravat hui. Theek hai, haan, RSI aur stochastic neeche dekhte hain achha, jisse uske agle mumkin hone ki sambhavna hai. Toh, naye haftay mein hum neeche Bollinger band par jayenge, yeh moment par 0.6435 par hai. Wahan dekhte hain, kyunke price is line se wapis mud sakta hai. Agar aisa hai, toh shuruat mein, uchhal is MA pair tak jaayega, yeh moment par 0.6540/60 ka ilaqa hai. In do lines ke paas, dekhte hain ke kya price uchaal sakta hai, ya phir kya woh dobara se kisi ek se neeche bounce hoga. Agar hum uchaal gaye, toh agla resistance middle Bollinger band hoga, yeh moment par 0.6607 par hai. Wahan se, price phir se neeche mud sakta hai. Agar hum aur upar jaate hain, toh hum aasani se upper Bollinger band tak ja sakte hain, jo moment par 0.6778 par hai.

AUDUSD mein neeche ki risk hone ke baare mein baat karte hue, 0.6606 level ka zikr kiya gaya hai. Ye level ek important support level hai aur traders ke liye crucial ho sakta hai. Is level ke neeche jaane ki possibility ko samajhna aur uska impact analyze karna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, 0.6606 level ke importance ko samajhna zaroori hai. Ye level previous price action mein support ki tarah kaam kar raha hai, jiske karan is level ko market participants kaafi closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar ye level breach ho jaata hai, toh ye ek bearish signal ho sakta hai aur further downside movement ka dar badh jaata hai. Iske saath hi, market sentiment ko bhi consider karna important hai. Agar overall market sentiment bearish hai ya fir AUDUSD specifically ke liye bearish factors present hain jaise ki weak economic data, geopolitical tensions, ya fir policy decisions, toh 0.6606 level ke breach hone ki probability aur bhi zyada ho jaati hai. Lekin, sirf technical analysis se kaam nahi chalta. Fundamental factors bhi consider karne padte hain. For example, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki monetary policy decisions, Australian economic indicators jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur trade balance figures, aur global events jaise ki US Federal Reserve ki policy decisions, trade tensions, aur geopolitical developments bhi market sentiment ko influence karte hain. Iske alawa, risk management bhi ek crucial aspect hai. Agar ek trader ne 0.6606 level ke neeche ki risk identify ki hai, toh usko apni trading strategy ko uss risk ke according adjust karna chahiye. Stop-loss orders lagana, position size ko adjust karna, ya fir hedging strategies ka istemal karna, ye sab risk management ke tools hain jo traders ko protect kar sakte hain. Overall, 0.6606 level par neeche ki risk ka hona AUDUSD ke liye important hai aur traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye. Market conditions ko closely monitor karna, fundamental factors aur technical analysis ka combination istemal karna, aur risk management ko prioritize karna, ye sab ek successful trading approach ke liye zaroori hai.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair, jo aksar Australian dollar ke mukablay mein US dollar ke tor par jana jata hai, halat-e-bazari ke chart par dilchaspi angaiz rawayat dikhata hai. Halat-e-hazra mein, pair apni qaim shuda trading range ke darmiyan mein trade kar raha hai. Ye rakhne ka matlab hai ke pair mukhtalif suraton mein ya to urooj (Northern) ya giravat (Southern) ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Is natije mein, traders ko dono suraton mein potential moqaat ke liye mutayyan rehna chahiye.
Is uttari manzar ke mutabiq, traders pair ke mustaqbil mein mazid mazbooti ka intezar kar sakte hain, jiske maqsad mein 0.6603 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ka irada ho. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye ek ahem resistance point ko darust karta hai jahan pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Agar pair is resistance ko todta hai, to ye mazeed faida mand rastay ko banane ka rasta saaf kar sakta hai, shayad trading range ke urooj had tak, jo kuch kareeb 0.6621 par hoti hai. Ye bullish trend ke jari rakhne ke liye behtareen nishan ho ga.

Magar, ye ahem hai ke doosri surat ko bhi ghor se mad e nazar rakha jaye jahan bail (sellers) market par phir se qabza kar lete hain. Agar pair 0.6552 ke level se neeche gir jata hai, to traders ko apni strategies ko mutabiq tarteeb dene ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise giravat ne market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka intezar darust kiya hai, aur shayad mojooda trading range ke niche had ka rukh le sakta hai, jo kareeb 0.6532 ke darja par hota hai.



Agar pair is had se neeche girne ke baad bhi girawat jari rakhta hai, to ye apne girawat ko mazeed barha kar 0.6514 ke support level ko test karne ke liye apna girao mazid barha sakta hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye traders ke liye aik potential dakhli mawqa faraham kar sakta hai jo ek ulatne ya khareedne ki mawqe ka faida uthane ke liye talash kar rahe hote hain. Aise kadam kaafi shayad girawat ke momentum mein waqtan-fa-waqtan rukawat aur amooman overall bullish trend ka jari rakhne ka ishara karte hain.

Mukhtasir tor par, jabke mojooda market shara'it AUD/USD pair mein urooj ke liye tas prefer karti hain, traders ko chaukanna aur narm rehna chahiye. Dono urooj aur giravat ke raaston par pair ke harkat ko qareeb se monitor karna zaroori hai taake maloomat par mabni faisley lene ke liye. Is tarah, traders market ko mufeed taur par samajh sakte hain aur munasib moqaat se faida utha sakte hain.

AUD ne pehle haftay mein taizi se ghata hui thi, lekin baad ke dinon mein taizi se barhne ka imkaan tha. Iske baad ek mazboot support level par aakar atka 0.6591 par, jahan se exchange rate thori dair ke liye consolidate hua aur is pabandhi ko toorna chaha. Ant mein, ye rebound hua aur barhna shuru hua, lekin 0.6731 par rukawat ka samna karke, wapas apne asal level par laut gaya. Keemat FOMC taqreer ke doran jhooti spike dene ki koshish ki, jis se keemat pehle wale ilaqe tak gir gayi, jahan ek mazboot sell pattern bana. Technically, keemat do candle stick patterns se barh gai hai. Ek to moving average hai aur doosra doji ya hammer candle hai. Magar keemat ka chart super trend ke green zone mein chala gaya hai, jo ke buyers ki taraf se dabao ko darust karta hai.

Halat ki ab maqami taraqqi ko lekar, pair bullish weekly dynamics dikha raha hai. Pehle wale price range ko banaye hue range ke andar qaim rakhta hai, jismein 0.6565 ka ek kam limit hai aur 0.6783 ka ek zyada limit hai. Magar, aakhri continuation scenario agle kam tak bhi mufeed hai. Yeh kisi maqami correction ke baad 0.6783 ke status ke saath 200 SMA tak pochne ke baad haqiqat mein sakht bunyadi hai aur ek din kisi pullback ke qareeb aayega. Ye moving average keemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. FOMC ne interest rate ko barha diya hai, jo ke long term ke major pairs mein bull trend ko darust karta hai. Is maamle mein, ek aur neeche ka impulse bana, jo 0.6591 aur 0.6565 ke darmiyan ilaqa ka nishana hai. Agar resistance level ko tor kar aur reversal level 0.6838 ke keemat ko tor kar naye sahoolat pe guzar jaye, to maujooda scenario ko mansookh karne ka signal milega.

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) ko Jumma ko shuru ki gayi aghazati faydon ke bawajood farokht ki dabao ka samna karna pada, jo filhal 0.6530 ke aas paas musalsal hai. Ye iske bawajood aye ke kuch musbat tajziyaton ke douran ata hai, jese ke Chini Wazir-e-Azam ka Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mustehkam kar sakta hai. Magar, kul imaniyat aik taraf se United States dollar (USD) ki taraf mael hai, Federal Reserve ke sakht rukh ki wajah se. United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke dawrani in'dad ke mutabiq jo ke peer ko jari kiya gaya, mool Consumer Price Index (CPI) barqarar 0.4% aur 3.8% darust tor par barh chuka hai, jis se nisbatan is waqt kisi qisam ke daromadar ke ihtiyat nahi hain. CPI tamam asar angarezon aur khana peena ke ghair mohtaaj qeemat ko bata hai. Mazid consumer intehai umeeden mein izafa ke bais, ab kam tawaqo hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ziyada tawaqo par interest darat ko kam karde. 12 mahine ke doran intehai umeedon ke liye tawaqoat Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq aik pehle 4.3% ke figure se 4.6% tak barh gaya hai.

Takneeki tor par, AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hua, jis se farokht ki taraf ho gaya. Currency 0.6477 ke aas paas asar angarezon ke darajat ke qareeb hai aur is ne apni 20-din ka aam miyaar ke nichle hawaale se gira hai, jis se kam faraham hone ki alaamat hain. Tawajju indicators bhi nazdeek-faele kam potential ko darust karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, to traders mukhtalif short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ki umeed ke saath. Magar, 0.6635 ke oopar nikal jana trend ke ulte ishaara ka sabab ho sakta hai, jis se jodi ko 0.6667 ya shayad 0.6700 ke qareeb chala jaye. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishaara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch had tak aik mumkin upward move ke ishaare deta hai. Agar musbat momentum banata hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb aasani se pahunch sakta hai. Kul mila kar, AUD/USD aik cheen-australia taluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin raah aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek khenchawar mein phansa hua hai. Jodi ka rukh mumkin hai ke aane wale dinon mein kon saa force zyada numaya sabit hota hai us par mabni hoga.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis.

AUD/USD jodi ne ek mustaqil kami dekhi hai, jo ek haftay ke doran dekhi gayi aath haftay ki upri rukh se alag hai. Yeh downward movement 0.6500 par mojood aham support level ko tor kar highlight hua. Khaas tor par, haftay ke candlestick ne is ahem darja ke neeche trading shuru ki, jo market mein tawazun ki aik marhala ki nishandahi karti hai. Aise ek taraqqi ko bikri ke signal ki taraf ishara karta hai, jahan mojooda bechnay ki dabao ki mojoodgi se shayad pair ko mazeed neeche le jaya jaye, jo aglay support level par mojood hai jo 0.6470 par waqay hai. Walaupun ek waqti ijlaas ho sakta hai, magar mojooda market shirayon ki taraf mazid kami ko afzal banati hai. Isliye, bechnay ke mauqe ko pehchanne aur faida uthane ke liye ek ihtiyati approach zaroori hai. Halankeh raaste mein waqti tabdeeliyan aur choti pullbacks ho sakti hain, lekin mojooda market ke halat shirayon ki taraf shadeed nazar rakhti hain. Is tarah, karobariyon ke liye ek ihtiyati stance ikhtiyar karna aur nazdeek ki taur par aane wale bechnay ke mauqe par tawajjo barqarar rakhna munasib hoga. Raftar bhi ek bikri ki taraf ishara karta hai, jahan bechne ki dabao ki barhti hui mojoodgi jari rahegi. Raah ka rukh 0.6470 par mojood ek ahem support level ki taraf nazar aata hai. Halankeh raaste mein choti pullbacks ke moqe ho sakte hain, lekin mojooda market ke halat shirayon ki taraf mukhtalif nazar aate hain.
Is scenario mein karobari mauqe ke liye ehtiyaat bhari stance ikhtiyar karna mashwarah hai. Becho ki haisiyat ko aham karke aur bazar mein rahnumai mein ehtiyaat ke sath tijarat karne ke liye masroof rehna faida mand sabit ho sakta hai. AUD/USD jodi ke doran tabdeel hone wale dynamics ko mukammal taur par tajziya karna wazehi ke sath eham hai, kyunke yeh traders ko potential giravaton par faida uthane aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banane ki izazat deta hai. Australia aur United States ke majmooi markazon ke liye rozi data, mehngai ki sharah aur GDP ke shumar aham maloomat faraham kar sakte hain. In metrics mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqa tabdeeliyan currency markets mein shadeed halchal paida kar sakti hain, jo AUD/USD jodi ko mutabiq asar andaz hoti hain.

asar par mabni mukhalif mulaqat par lagayi ja rahi hai. Market momentum 112-muddati aasaan moving average ke neechay se ek farq dikhata hai, jo traders ko mustaqbil ki price action ka tawajjo denay par majboor karta hai. Candle ki doranayi harkaat 0.6524 ki taraf ek sakht market correction ka ishaara deta hai jo short- aur medium-term trading strategies ko mutassir kar raha hai. Ye tamam tafseelat pair ki chart mein wazeh nazar aati hain. Kharidne ke bajaye farokht ke liye muavzaati kaamon ko zyada faida mand samjha jata hai, jo doosre MACD indicator se zahir hota hai, jo buyers ko sellers par faiz dete hain, aur humain MACD se farokht ka signal muntazir rehne par majboor karta hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh aaj market mein dakhil hone aur munafa kamane ka acha mauqa hai. AUD/USD pair, jo keh chhota triangle figure pattern ka upper edge se neechay dakhil hua aur ab lower edge ke neechay jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, ab Time Frame-H4 mein downtrend channel ke neechay aake support zone 0.6498-0.6479 mein dakhil hua hai aur yehan par ek test kiya gaya hai. Pehla lower target hasil kar liya gaya hai, jiska theek se fix hona humein downward movement ka jari rakhne ki sochne ki ijaazat dega lower volume zone 0.6457-0.6436 tak. Aur yehan se jab market test zone se rebound karega, to figure ka upper edge ki taraf jaane se resistance zone 0.6518-0.6537 tak ka uthna hai. Do shiraa'it ka melaap, jaise keh intersection aur cloud ke neeche rehna, ek taqatwar bechnay ka signal hai. Mujhe mili hui maloomat se yeh nateeja nikalta hai keh bechna munafa bhara ho sakta hai.
Aam tor par, ek taqatwar signal ke saath, main lower indicator stochastic oscillator ka istemal nahi karta, lekin zyada sahi dakhil hone ke liye, aap jab yeh upper part mein level 80 ke neeche ho, tab dakhil ho sakte hain. Bechnay walay nakam ho jayenge agar market cloud ke saath consolidation ke saath upar chalega. Is liye, zaroori hai keh Ichimoku cloud ke hawale se market price 0.6497 ko control kiya jaye; dushman ki raftar mein bhi hawa mein tezi aane se maamooli taur par bhi mazeed barhne ki tajweez hai.

• USD

AUD/USD H4 Timeframe.

AUDUSD pair ne ek waziha tor par bearish jazbat ki taraf rujoo kiya, jo ke ek khaas bearish candlestick pattern ke zahir hone ke zariye kiya gaya. Aise patterns market participants ke liye ahem nishaan hote hain, jinse aksar bechne ke dabao aur bechne wale ki hukoomat ke price movements mein izafa ko ishaara karte hain.
Is bearish candlestick pattern ke banne ka matlab hai ke prevailing sentiment ne neeche ki qeemat ki taraf rujoo ko zahir kiya hai. Market participants, candlestick patterns ke intricacies par mutawajjeh hote hain, is formation ko market dynamics ko influence karne mein bechne wale ki dominance ka izhar samajhte hain. Bearish candle, apni waziha neeche ki manzil ki taraf rawani se, traders ke darmiyan ek ittefaq ka aik nishan hai ke AUDUSD pair ka ek girawat ka silsila hai. Is mein woh kahaani bayaan hoti hai jahan bechne wale ne control ko apne qabze mein le liya hai, market movements ko samajhte hue prices ko neeche le jaane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai.

Khaas tor par, mawjooda bearish candle mein ek numaya upper tail hai, jo candle ke jism se aage tak phela hai. Is lambi upper tail ka mojood hona buland qeematon ke inkaar ka sakht nishaan hai trading session ke doran. Is ki mojoodgi yeh isharah karti hai ke is resistance ke peeche mukhtalif factors ho sakte hain. Yeh traders ke liye faida uthane ka moqa, mukablay karne wale resistance levels, ya bas prevailing market sentiments ko reflect karte hain jo neeche ki taraf rujoo ki taraf maujood hain. Kisi bhi khas shahkar ke baghair, lambi upper tail ki qeemat ke ittefaq se AUDUSD pair ke liye prevailing bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai.

AUD/USD pair ne apni position ko Thursday ko 0.6587 ke aas paas banaye rakha. Is position ki wajah se market participants ko kai factors ka dhyan rakhna padta hai. Pehle toh, AUD/USD pair ki current trend ko samajhna zaroori hai. Iske alawa, global economic indicators aur geopolitical events bhi is pair par asar daal sakte hain. AUD/USD pair ki trend analysis se pata chalta hai ke ismein bearish ya bullish sentiment ka dominance hai. Agar trend bearish hai, toh traders ko sell positions ko consider karna chahiye jab tak koi strong reversal signal na mile. Wahi agar trend bullish hai, toh buy positions ko prefer kiya ja sakta hai. Global economic indicators, jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur central bank policies, bhi AUD/USD pair par asar dalte hain. For example, agar Australia ki GDP growth rate expected se zyada ho, toh AUD strengthen kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar US Federal Reserve interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh USD strong ho sakta hai compared to AUD. Geopolitical events bhi currency pairs par asar dalte hain. For instance, trade tensions between Australia and China can affect the AUD, as China is one of Australia's largest trading partners. Similarly, political instability in the US or Australia can also impact the respective currencies. Iske alawa, technical analysis bhi traders ke liye important hai. Support aur resistance levels ko identify karna, moving averages ka istemal karna aur oscillators jaise ki RSI aur MACD ki madad se momentum ko analyze karna traders ko market ke direction ke liye guidance provide karta hai. Is tarah ke analysis ke baad, traders apne risk tolerance aur trading strategy ke hisab se positions lete hain. Kuch traders short-term fluctuations par focus karte hain, jabki doosre long-term trends ko follow karte hain. Overall, AUD/USD pair ke positions ko analyze karte waqt, traders ko market fundamentals, global events, technical analysis, aur apne risk management strategies ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Ye sab factors milakar ek holistic approach provide karte hain jo traders ko successful trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai.

مئی 10 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

یومیہ چارٹ پر، آسٹریلوی ڈالر ایک مضبوط اوپر کی پوزیشن میں دکھائی دیتا ہے، کیونکہ یہ دونوں اشارے لائنوں سے اوپر رہتا ہے جبکہ مارلن مثبت علاقے میں ہے۔ لیکن ایک ہی وقت میں، قیمت بھی ایک طاقتور مزاحمتی سطح کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے، جس پر وہ سال کے آغاز سے اب تک پانچ بار سے زیادہ قابو پانے میں ناکام رہی ہے۔



اب، بنیادی پہلو پر، پچھلے پانچ مہینوں میں قیمت کے 0.6627 سے اوپر مضبوط ہونے کا بہت کم امکان ہے۔ اور مارلن آسکیلیٹر کمزور ہوتا جا رہا ہے۔ ہمیں یقین ہے کہ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (0.6545) کی حمایت پر واپس آجائے گی اور 0.6480 اور 0.6410 کے اہداف کو دوبارہ جانچنے کی کوشش کرے گی۔

اس کوشش کے لیے ایک اچھا اشارہ ہے جب آسٹریلیا 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر قابو پا لیتا ہے، 0.6589 کی سطح، جو 29 اپریل کی بلند ترین سطح کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن ڈاون ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری کی سرحد کے قریب ہے اور قیمت کو اپنے پیچھے کھینچنے کے لیے تیار ہے۔ ہم مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



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