ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian dollar (AUD) tezi se chal raha hai! Paanchwan din tak, ye US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein qeemat haasil kar raha hai. Ye josh barhane ka sabab Australian maeeshat aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) mein izafa ho raha hai. TD Securities, aik bari maali idara, haal hi mein RBA ke agle interest rate hike ke liye apna taqreeban November 2024 se February 2025 tak tasleem kiya. Ye unka yakeen darust karta hai aik mazeed mazboot Australian maeeshat aur shayad kam aggressive rate hikes se RBA ke taraf se. Ye khabar, buland Australian government bond yields ke saath jin ne 21 hafte ki unchiyaan choo li hain, AUD ko barha raha hai. Buland bond yields ka bais bhi hosakta hai, is haftay pehle release kiye gaye mazeed mazboot Australia consumer price index data se, jo ke ishaarat de raha hai ke RBA ko monetary policy ko tang karna padega. Waqt ke sath, US dollar ka kuch izafi nuqta nazar a raha hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki quwwat ko aik currency basket ke sath qaim karti hai, gir raha hai. Ye market participants ki taraf se risk se bachne ki tehqeeqat ki taraf se hosakta hai. Mazeed, halqi US maeeshati data aam taur par, personal consumption expenditures ke izafi umeed se lekin Q1 2024 ke GDP growth ke kum umeed se, mixed tha. Investors ab US personal consumption expenditure data ka intezar kar rahe hain, umeed hai ke is se inflationary pressures aur unka US Federal Reserve policy par asar ka pata chale.

Jaise ke Jumeraat ko, AUD qeemat 0.6540 ke aas paas trading ho raha tha. Technical indicators jaise ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 50 se oopar hai, ishara dete hain ke uptrend ka potential jari hai. AUD/USD pair ke agle resistance level ko 0.6553 par dekha ja raha hai, jiska tora hone ke baad 0.6600 ke psychological level aur filhal ki price channel ke upper limit 0.6639 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, fori support ka intezar 0.6500 ke aas paas hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed giravat hosakti hai, agle ahem support zone ke qareeb 0.6443 par, bas April ke low 0.6362 ke ooper. Sir, AUD Australian maeeshat aur RBA ke inflation ke hawale se ek umeed bhari lahre par sawar hai, jabke USD investor sentiment mein tabdeeli aur mukhtalif maeeshati data ke rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Anay wale US data release dono currencies ke liye aane wale hafton mein unke rukh ka influencer hosakta hai.

AUD/USD

Kal, jaise maine kaha tha, AUD/USD ke market mein bechne walon ki dabawat thi. Ve bad mein 0.6480 ke level ko paar kar sakte hain. Ab, market meri nishchit nukta tak pahunch chuka hai aur bechne walon ka aaj sthir rahega. Sath hi, US JOLTS Job opening rate bhi aaj market par asar daal sakta hai. Is mukammal tajziya nevati tijarat ke faislon ko anchor banata hai, jo karobari faislon ko dheeraj aur agyaanta ke saath parvah karte hue pesh karta hai. Aur iske alawa, hum ek bechne wale taraf ka muqaam kholne ka tasawwur kar sakte hain. Ismein ek maal bechna shaamil hai jismein umeed ki jaati hai ke iski keemat ghat jayegi, jisse karobari baad mein usko kam keemat par phir se kharid sakein. Iske alawa, ek bechne wale muqaam ko prabhavi taur par anjam dene ke liye, karobariyon ko unke analysis ke hisaab se chhotey lakshya tay karna chahiye, jismein samarthan aur virodh ke star, trendlines, aur mukhya takneeki suchnaayen shaamil hain. Vaise, aaj bechne wale stabil lagte hain. Lekin 0.6509 ke star par ek pravesh karani kharidaron ko jald hi sab kuch hasil karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

Nirvaachak drishtikon se, FOMC sadasya Master ka bhashan aur JOLTS JOb opening rate aaj jaari kiya jayega. Isliye, apne khate ko iske anuroop prabandhit karen. Yaad rakhen ki AUD/USD ke bazar bhavna ko samajhna ek lagatar seekhne ki prakriya hai jo takneeki tajziya, chart vyakhyana, aur mukhya suchnaayon ke gyaan ka mishran aavashyak karta hai. Bechne ki sthitiyon ka dhyaan se moolyaankan karke, alag alag charts ko prabhavi taur par istemaal karte hue, aur MACD aur Fibonacci phir aana ko sahayak upkaran ka upyog karke, karobariyon ko bazar mein jaankaariyon par adharit faisle lene ki kshamata ko badha sakte hain. Aam taur par, yah saptah samachar karobariyon ke liye mahatvapurn hai. Kyunki samay ke saath, bahut saare US dollar se sambandhit samachar data jaari kiya jayega. Isliye, apne AUD/USD par tijarat yojana ko usi anupat mein nishchit karen.

AUD/USD: price behavior

Aaj ke forex market mein, traders AUDUSD currency pair ke aas paas gup shup mein masroof hain, jo Asian trading session mein apne shuruaati shumari 0.6535 tak pahunch kar aik ahem manzil ko haasil kiya hai. Is upar ki taraf rawana hui uthaal puthaal AUDUSD mein aik ahem lamha ko nishanah deti hai, jo market ki jazbaat aur momentum mein aik numaya tabdeeli ki nishani hai. 0.6535 target ki kamiyabi sirf aik adad ki kamiyabi nahi hai balkay forex manzar mein mofassal dynamics ka aks bhi hai. Is manzil ko gehri samajh ke liye, zaroori hai ke AUDUSD ko is level tak puhanchane wale factors ko tajziya kiya jaye, khaaskar Australia mein inflation ke hawale se hal haal ki taza developments par tawajjo deni chahiye. Australia se aane wali inflation ki khabron ka asar AUDUSD ke rukh par asar par nahi hone ki tawilat nahi ki ja sakti. Inflation data ka khulaasa be shak investors ke jazbaat ko uthaane mein madadgar sabit hua hai, jo forex market mein fa'aliyat aur maharatmandi mein izafa kar raha hai.



Traders is pair ko tawajjuh se nigrani karte hain kyunki ye Australian ma'ashiyat ke mustaqbil ko Amreeki ma'ashiyat ke nisbat ka aks dikhata hai. Is currency pair ki raah ka tajziya kuch factors par mabni hota hai, jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, siyasi o geosiyasi waqiat, sood dar, aur market ki jazbaat. Market ke raastay ko durust taur par samajhne ke liye, traders ko bunyadi aur takneeki tajziya ka sahi ilm hona zaroori hai. Bunyadi tajziya ma'ashi indicators jaise ke GDP ki izafa, rozgar ki shumari, inflation dar, aur central bank ki policies ka jaiza lena shamil hai takay mukhtalif ma'ashiatain ke sehat ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Maslan, agar Australia ka GDP izafati umeedo ko par kar jaye, to ye Australia ki dollar ko Amreeki dollar ke muqablay mein mazbooti de sakta hai, jo AUDUSD pair ko qadron mein barhne ka sabab bana sakta hai. Takneeki tajziya, doosri taraf

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) filhal apne interest rates ke moqif ko barqarar rakhne ka rujhan rakhta hai, fori hikes se gurez karta hai. Magar, RBA abhi bhi chaukanna hai, yeh darust hai ke inflation ki tawaqoat mein behtari dekhne ke baad hi rate cuts par ghaur kiya jaye ga. Isi doran, US Dollar Index (DXY) mein kami dekhi gai, jo buniyadi tor par US Treasury yields mein kami ki wajah se hai. USD ki islah bhi navid farokht aur investors mein mojooda risk se bachao ki fiza ki wajah se ki ja sakti hai.



Jaise ke market sentiment ehtiyat ka shikaar hai, investors be sabri se din ke baad hone wali ahem data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein weekly unemployment claims aur existing home sales ke figures shamil hain. Yeh data releases US economy ke haalat par qeemti basirat faraham karne ki tawaqo rakhte hain aur USD ki rah dikha sakti hain.

Khulasa yeh hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) qareebi muddat mein interest rates ko istehkam dene ka rujhan rakhta hai, aur inflation ki tawaqoat mein behtari dekhne tak kisi bhi tarah ke adjustments par ghaur nahi kare ga. Isi doran, US Dollar Index (DXY) mein kami aayi hai, jo factors jaise ke US Treasury yields mein kami aur aam tor par risk se bachao ki fiza ke asar se hai. Ab investors anay wale data releases ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jinke intezar mein hai ke yeh figures US economy ki overall health par wazeh basirat faraham karein, jo ke USD ke rukh ko shakl de sakti hain.

AUD/USD TECHNICAL REVIEW:

1-HOUR TIME FRAME:



Hourly chart pay crude oil price ki current condition 75.70 pivot point line k ooper running karti hai. Chart pay macd indicator levels kooper overbought signal kliye crossed over honay k baad kuch bearish price correction ka signal show kar raha hai. If the present price upward movement continues, the chart pay price goal is 77.30, while the usk bad price resistance zone is 78.10.

Agar current price h1 time frame pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai, to chart pay price ki downward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 75.25 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 74.60 support levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka trend central point line k buy breakout k sath sell main start ho chuka hai, isliye possibilities yahi hain k price resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.
According to the 4-hour chart, the current crude oil price is 75.70, and the pivot point line is running. Chart pay macd indicator levels kooper overbought signal kliye crossed over honay k baad kuch bearish price correction ka signal show kar raha hai. If the present price upward movement continues, the chart pay price goal is 77.30, while the usk bad price resistance zone is 78.10.


Agar current price h4 time frame pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai, to chart pay price ki downward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 75.25 aur usk bad price mazeed 74.60 support levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka trend central point line k buy breakout k sath sell main start ho chuka hai, isliye possibilities yahi hain k price resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.

Hourly chart pay crude oil price ki current condition 77.10 pivot point line k ooper running karti hai. Chart pay macd indicator levels kooper overbought signal kliye crossed over honay k baad kuch bearish price correction ka signal show kar raha hai. If the present price upward movement continues, the chart pay price goal is 78.50, while the usk bad price resistance zone is 79.00.


Agar current price h1 time frame pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai, to chart pay price ki downward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 76.60 aur usk bad price mazeed 76.10 support levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka trend central point line k buy breakout k sath sell main start ho chuka hai, isliye possibilities yahi hain k price resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.

AUD/USD Price Overview:


Iss current level se AUD/USD pair ko 0.6485 ke resistance tak jaane ka anjaam dekha jaa sakta hai, aur phir wapas yahaan 0.6450 par aakar phir se is level se neeche giraavat ki koshish ki jaa sakti hai. Agar aisi giraavat 0.6450 ke neeche lautne mein asafal hoti hai, toh hum ek kaafi mahatvapoorn vruddhi ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jismein ek aur adha ya do anko tak ki vruddhi shamil ho sakti hai. Aaj ke liye meri chhoti si basharat mein, mein is trading instrument, AUD/USD ke liye vruddhi ka intezaar karta hoon. Lagbhag saare indicators ghante ke dauraan currency pair ki vruddhi ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Magar ek ghante ke liye mool trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai. Ek ghante mein, hum dekh rahe hain ki currency pair qeemat ki resistance level 0.6455 ke qareeb hai. Aaj mein is resistance level ko todne aur currency pair ko agle resistance level 0.6513 tak ki vruddhi ka todh pratiksha karta hoon. Jab ye resistance level haasil hota hai, toh mein currency pair ka rollback pratiksha karta hoon. Agar currency pair is resistance level 0.6513 ko tod sakta hai aur iske upar mazbooti se sthir ho sakta hai, toh mein currency pair ki aur vruddhi ki pratiksha karta hoon. Iss moor par, jab hum AUD/USD currency pair ko vichar karte hain, toh khariddaar ki book mein ek fayda hai. Mujhe lagta hai ki is currency pair mein neeche ki sambhavna hai. Iski pushti 0.6455 ke level par ek bade sankhya mein khariddaar hone se hoti hai. Ek sambhav trading vichar ke roop mein, mein currency pair ko 0.6455 ke daam par bechne ka vichar kar raha hoon. Munafa haasil karne ke liye pehla lakshya 0.6410 ke level par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop loss ko 0.6475 ke level par set kiya ja sakta hai. Agar daam 0.6475 ke level se oopar bandh ho jata hai, toh hum doosre scenarios ko vichar karenge.



Ek chhota position 0.6610 ke local low se shuru kiya gaya hai, jismein ek suraksha order 0.6650 ke high ke peeche rakha gaya hai takay position ko surakshit kiya ja sake. Munafa haasil karne ka amal tab hota hai jab AUD/USD bikhar jaata hai, jahan shuruaati kadam yeh hota hai ki stocks ko turant nikal diya jaata hai. Iske baad, ek palatne ka intezaar kiya jaata hai, jismein pichhla palatne ko 0.6580 ke ek aur level ke saath joda jata hai. Yeh anumaan hai ki jab keemat 0.6550 tak lautti hai, tab bikhar jaane ki consolidation ki wajah se local high ki ahmiyat kam ho jayegi. Agar 0.6510 aur 0.6535 ke beech ki range barkarar rahti hai, toh hum 0.6575 se lekar 0.6595 tak ke bullish upper highs ko naye taza high ke taur par update karte rahenge, agar 0.6575 se lekar 0.6630 ki range sthir hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, aaj maine AUD/USD ko takneeki tajziyat ke liye chuna hai. Is waqt, keemat 0.6396 zone ke ird gird ghoom rahi hai. Maine is joray mein koi numaya tabdiliyan nahi dekhi. Keemat ab bhi support ke ilaqe mein chal rahi hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh kahan tak le jaati hai. Hum Ameriki session ka intezaar karte hain; shayad kam az kam kuch harkat ho. Takneeki tor par, oscillator midlines ke neeche 50 zone mein trade kar raha hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator madhya-30s mein bearish headlines dikhata hai, is liye indicator situation 0.6396 ilaqa mein ek manfi signal de raha hai. Isi doran, ab moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator pehle hi bechne wale zone mein kam ho raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche, haan jo ke ek giravat jaari rakhne ka ishara hai. Moving averages ek chhoti doran ki bearish trend ko dikhate hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke keemat meri strategy ke mutabiq chalay. Yahan hum 20 aur 50 moving averages ka bechne ke tasdeeq ke liye intezaar karte hain.


Is maamlay mein, AUD/USD 0.6457 ki taraf ja sakta hai, ibtidaai resistance level. Agar AUD/USD jora market 0.6457 level ko tor deta hai to targets 0.6552 aur 0.6640 hain jo ke 2nd aur 3rd levels of resistance hain. Dosri taraf, jora ne 0.6363 par support paya hai jo pehla level of support hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh tor kar ke mukhya maqsad, 2nd level of support ki taraf jaega. Is support level ko torne ke baad, market keemat jaldi se agle support level ki taraf ja sakti hai jo 3rd level of support hai. Main samjhta hoon ke shayad support level 0.6363 se 0.6457 ke aas paas ke level tak utaar chadhaav ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD ke rate mein ek tez muqabla 200-day simple moving average ke qareeb chal raha hai. MACD aur RSI indicators bullish bias ko reflect kar rahe hain.
AUD/USD ne kafi kharidari karne wale ko apne sath khinchne ke liye kaafi nahi kiya jo tees mahine ke oonchaai par 0.6590 ke ooper shuru hui uptrend mein kuch nuksan dekha gaya. Takneeki taur par, chhoti-moti risk upar ki taraf mude hue hain. Keemat Ichimoku cloud ke bohot upar hai, jabki MACD indicator apna musbat momentum zero line aur signal line ke upar jama kar raha hai. Relative strength index bhi badh raha hai aur 70 ke level ke qareeb pahunch raha hai.

Maujooda bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, sawal yeh hai ke kya jodi 200-day moving average ke ooper toot sakti hai. Is level aur tees mahine ke oonche 0.6590 ke upar safal harkat, market ko aur mansoobe levels ki taraf le ja sakti hai jaise ke 0.6600, 0.6700, aur 0.6800, pehle se record ki gayi resistance ko saaf karne se pehle. Neeche chart dekhein:



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Magar, agar market haal hi ke uchayiyo se baahar na nikal sake, to traders dobara keemat ko neeche le ja sakte hain aur Ichimoku chart ko, sath hi 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages ko 0.6350 aur 0.6300 par test kar sakte hain. Mazeed nuksan ki darj zail halat mein bearish technical tasveer ko punah zinda kar sakta hai jab keemat 0.6340 aur 0.6270 ke levels ke qareeb stabilize hoti hai. Choti si baat hai, haal ki AUD/USD rally abhi tak traders ko encourage nahi ki hai. Ek tezi ko lamba karna ke liye 200-day moving average aur 0.6590 resistance ke upar phir se chadhav ki zarurat hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

AUD/USD H4 Australian Dollar - US Dollar. Sab ko achi din aur bohot sara munafa! Halqa-e-tijarat mein meri trading strategy jo ke Heiken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI indicators ki misal se mabni hai, batati hai ke mojooda waqt currency pair/instrument ko farokht karnay ka sahi waqt hai. Nizaam se aane wale signals ye zahir kartay hain ke sheeron ne behtar tor par situation ko control mein le liya hai, jis se farokht abhi fard kiya jana chahiye.

Heiken Ashi candles, jo ke qeemat ke hawalay se masawat aur average karte hain, waqt par ulte dayeeray ka pata lagane mein madad kartay hain, tajdeedi mukhalifat ko, tajziyat ke pheray ko, aur jaldi harkat ko pehchanne mein. Ye candles aam candles se mukhtalif hote hain aur unka istemal trendon ko asani se pehchane mein hota hai. Agar Heiken Ashi candles ne neeche ja kar pehli manzil ko chu liya hai, to ye farokht ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Triangular Moving Average (TMA) linear channel indicator. Agar TMA channel ka neeche wala hissa tor par zahir hota hai, to ye behtar waqt hota hai currency pair ko farokht karne ka.

Signals ko chhanne aur ek tehqiqi faisla ke baad trading mein dakhil hone ka ikhtiar karne ke liye, RSI oscillator istemal hota hai, jo masraf ki jori ke khareed-o-farokht ki overbought aur oversold zonat ki wazahat karta hai. Agar RSI oscillator 70 ke oopar hai, to ye ishara karta hai ke farokht ka waqt aya hai. Agar ye oscillator 30 ke neeche hai, to ye ishara karta hai ke khareed ka waqt hai.

In tamaam indicators ki madad se, aap asani se munafa bana sakte hain trading mein. Lekin yaad rahe ke har trading faisle ko tawajjuh ke saath liya jana chahiye aur har signal ki tasdiq ki jani chahiye. Iske ilawa, market ki umoomi halaat ka bhi tawajjuh diya jana chahiye. Agar umoomi halaat bullish hain, to farokht karnay ka moqa behtar hota hai. Lekin agar market bearish hai, to khareednay ka waqt behtar hota hai.

Is waqt, AUD/USD currency pair ki market mein bears ko control mein dekha gaya hai, isliye trading strategy ka focus farokht par hai. Lekin hamesha tawajjuh di jaye ke market ki tabdeel hote hue halaat ka bhi khyal rakha jaye, taake kamyabi hasil ho sake. Is liye, trading karte waqt tawajjuh aur qabliyat ka izhar karna zaroori hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis

H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, Australian dollar nay apni giravat ko barhane ki koshish ki, 0.6433 level ko dobara test karte hue, phir 0.6368 level par pohnch kar phir se downtrend mein dakhil hua, jahan mazboot support mila. Kharidardar is level tak pohanchne ke baad, qeemat tezi se barh gayi aur 0.6506 level ki taraf uthne lagi, peechle nuksano ka zyada hissa wapas le liya, jo keh raha tha ke kharidardar ne control haasil kar liya hai.

Technical analysis ke nazarie se, rozana bearish price curve ko H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern ke jariye negative asar ka saath mil raha hai, sath hi simple moving averages ke continued formation bhi negative pressure ko support kar rahi hai. Is tarah, aaj ka intraday downtrend zyadatar 0.6460 pehla target ke saath hai, 0.6480 official dekhnay ki station par aur baad mein 0.6500 tak ho sakta hai. 0.6600 ke upar stable reverse trade bearish scenario ko rok sakta hai aur pair ki recovery ka rukh 0.6640 ke aas paas ka shuruati target ke saath ho sakta hai, jise 0.6650 ke mukhtalif irtiqa ke sath jaari rakhne ka soch sakte hain.

Pair ab haftay ke uchayiyo par trade kar raha hai aur tezi se barh raha hai. Muqaddas resistance area ko dobara test kiya ja raha hai, lekin abhi tak, yeh qeemat ko todne se rok raha hai, neechay ki taraf vector ka faida dene ke liye. Isay update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 level (main resistance zone ka border) ke neeche wapas le jana zaroori hai. Is area se dobara testing aur uske baad is area se bounce milne se doosra downward movement anay ka mauqa mil sakta hai jiske target area 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance toot jati hai aur qeemat 0.6573 turning level ke upar uth jati hai, toh yeh signal hasil hoga ke mojooda halat ko mansookh kar diya gaya hai. Neechay diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

Forex trading strategy
AUD/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Karobari hafte ke aaghaz se hi US dollar ke muqable Australian dollar ki qadar me izafa ho raha hai. Is ki ooper ki harkat ko tezi ki islah ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Halankeh, mujhe ummid thi keh nuqsanat dobara shuru hone se pahle qimat sirf 0.6554 ki satah tak badhegi. Halankeh 30 pips ki qimat me tabdili aham nahin lagti hai, lekin yah tezi ki islah bahut zyada nazar aati hai. Is hafte, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dolllar ke kharidar badhat hasil karenge. Mumkena taur par greenback mukammal board par faide se lutaf andoz hoga. Aaj, Australian dollar/US dollar ka joda ya to girna shuru kar sakta hai ya 0.6615 ke ilaqe tak aage badh sakta hai.



Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, jodi kam az kam 0.6270 ki satah tak girne ka imkan hai, jo keh ibtedai hadaf hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

AUD ne pehle haftay mein taizi se ghata hui thi, lekin baad ke dinon mein taizi se barhne ka imkaan tha. Iske baad ek mazboot support level par aakar atka 0.6591 par, jahan se exchange rate thori dair ke liye consolidate hua aur is pabandhi ko toorna chaha. Ant mein, ye rebound hua aur barhna shuru hua, lekin 0.6731 par rukawat ka samna karke, wapas apne asal level par laut gaya. Keemat FOMC taqreer ke doran jhooti spike dene ki koshish ki, jis se keemat pehle wale ilaqe tak gir gayi, jahan ek mazboot sell pattern bana. Technically, keemat do candle stick patterns se barh gai hai. Ek to moving average hai aur doosra doji ya hammer candle hai. Magar keemat ka chart super trend ke green zone mein chala gaya hai, jo ke buyers ki taraf se dabao ko darust karta hai.



Halat ki ab maqami taraqqi ko lekar, pair bullish weekly dynamics dikha raha hai. Pehle wale price range ko banaye hue range ke andar qaim rakhta hai, jismein 0.6565 ka ek kam limit hai aur 0.6783 ka ek zyada limit hai. Magar, aakhri continuation scenario agle kam tak bhi mufeed hai. Yeh kisi maqami correction ke baad 0.6783 ke status ke saath 200 SMA tak pochne ke baad haqiqat mein sakht bunyadi hai aur ek din kisi pullback ke qareeb aayega. Ye moving average keemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. FOMC ne interest rate ko barha diya hai, jo ke long term ke major pairs mein bull trend ko darust karta hai. Is maamle mein, ek aur neeche ka impulse bana, jo 0.6591 aur 0.6565 ke darmiyan ilaqa ka nishana hai. Agar resistance level ko tor kar aur reversal level 0.6838 ke keemat ko tor kar naye sahoolat pe guzar jaye, to maujooda scenario ko mansookh karne ka signal milega.

اپریل 30 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

کل، آسٹریلوی ڈالر نے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور بیلنس لائن کو ان کے انٹرسیکشن پوائنٹ پر عبور کیا، جو بیلوں کی طاقت کو ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ مزید برآں، آسٹریلیا نے گزشتہ تین دنوں میں تجارتی حجم میں اضافہ پر طاقت کا مظاہرہ کیا۔ اس کے علاوہ، مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں مضبوط ہو رہا ہے۔



٠.٦٦٢٧ کی ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھنے کے لیے صرف ایک چیز غائب ہے - 0.6554 کی سطح سے اوپر کی قیمت کا استحکام۔ ایسا ہونے کے لیے، موجودہ یومیہ کینڈل کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر بند ہونا چاہیے۔ اگر ایسا ہوتا ہے تو، جمعرات تک، ہم توقع کر سکتے ہیں کہ قیمت پیر کی چوٹی کو عبور کر لے گی اور ساتھ ہی ساتھ اوپر کے رجحان کے تسلسل کو بھی۔

کل یورپی منڈیاں تعطیل کے لیے بند رہیں گی۔ تاہم، ین کے حوالے سے حالیہ واقعات، اور جاپان کل اپنی چھٹی منا رہا ہے، اس بات کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے کہ امریکی قیاس آرائیاں مارکیٹ کے پتلے حالات میں سرگرم ہونے کے لیے تیار ہیں۔

منفی علاقے میں سگنل لائن کے ساتھ، 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایک ڈائیورجن بن گیا ہے۔ یومیہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے قیمت کے مستحکم ہونے کا خطرہ ہے، ایسی صورت میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر کل کا بریک آؤٹ غلط سگنل ثابت ہوگا، اور قیمت 0.6410 سے نیچے آ سکتی ہے۔ ہم پتلی مارکیٹ میں کچھ وضاحت کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

1. Trading Week ke liye AUD/USD Ki Tadbeer

Trading week ke liye AUD/USD ki tadbeer currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkat par dalail aur market ke jazbat ke lehaz se mukhtalif harkat ko zahir karta hai. Traders aur investors aise tadbeeron ko tawaja se dekhte hain taake maloomati faislayat par amal kar sakein aur trading mauqe par faida utha sakein.

2. 0.6635 Ke Level Ko Test Karna

Tadbeer ke mutabiq, AUD/USD trading week ke doran kuch urooj darjaat ka samna kar sakta hai, jahan 0.6635 ke level ko imtehaan liya ja sakta hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke currency pair mein bullish momentum ho sakta hai, jis se tabadla darjaat ke saath jana ja sakta hai takay muqarara level ke taraf izafa ho. Traders isko aik mumkin khareedne ka mauqa samajh sakte hain, khaas tor par agar price action candlestick patterns ya dosri technical indicators ke zariye bullish bias ko tasdeeq karta hai.

3. Breakthrough Mumkinat aur Resistance Levels

Magar, tadbeer mein aik mazid darjaat ke qavi urooj ka bhi imkaan hai jo resistance level 0.6555 ko tod sakta hai. Aise surat mein, AUD/USD pair maqami harkat ko tawajo se dekh sakta hai, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq nahi gire ga, ye ishara karta hai ke resistance ko tor diya ja raha hai aur mazeed oopar jana jata hai. Ye taraqqi ko mukhtasir karne wale qabil traders ko apni tadbeer ko dobara dekhne aur naye market dynamics ke saath apne positions ko adjust karne ke liye jhatpat banane ke liye majboor kar sakta hai.

4. Breakout Ke Manzar

Agar AUD/USD haqeeqatan mein resistance level 0.6555 ko tor deta hai, to traders ko price action ko tajziya karna hoga taake breakout ki quwwat ko samajh sakein. Is level ko majbut bullish momentum aur barh rahi trading volume ke saath kamyabi se tor dena breakout ko tasdeeq kare ga aur oopar jata trend ka ishara dega. Aise surat mein, traders lambi positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain ya mojooda positions ko dhaalte hue mazeed umeed ke isharat par faida utha sakte hain.

5. Maqami Muaqqay aur Qeemat Darjaat

Agar aik kamiyab breakout hua, to AUD/USD pair buland qeemat darjaat ki taraf mukhtasir kar sakta hai, jo ke 0.6538 ke oopar pohanchne ki mumkinat hai. Traders ko zaroori hai ke unhe oopar jate waqt aham resistance levels aur nafsiyati rukawaton ka pata lagana chahiye jo pair ke mazeed bulandi ke doran a sakti hain. Isi tarah, unhe rastay mein anay wali kisi bhi pullback ya retracement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke market aksar seedhe line mein nahi chalta.

6. Khatra Nigari aur Ihtiyati Intizamat

Jaise kisi bhi trading strategy mein, khatra nigari bhi zaroori hai jab AUD/USD pair par tadbeer ki jati hai tadbeer ke mukhtalif manazir par. Traders ko wazeh dakhli aur kharij point tay karna chahiye, taake potential nuqsanat ko mehdood karein, aur achanak ulat pher ya inqilabi suraton mein nafa ko hifazat mein madad mil sake. Iske ilawa, changing market conditions ke liye aik ihtiyati intizamat rakhna bhi zaroori hai jo traders ko taqatwar se samna karne aur khatraat ko asani se kam karne mein madad faraham karta hai.

7. Ikhtitami Kalam

Aik tehqiqi tehqiq ke roop mein, trading week ke liye AUD/USD ki tadbeer aham maloomat faraham karta hai aur currency pair mein potential qeemat darjaat aur trading mauqe par roshni daalta hai. Traders ko tadbeer ke mutawaqay, aham support aur resistance levels ko tajziya karna chahiye, aur apni trading strategies ko faiziyatmand banane ke liye apne positions ko mawafiq taur par mutawajjah karna chahiye. Maloomati aur mizaj ke doran zayada imtiaz se aur sangeen doran, traders forex market mein kamiyabi ke chances ko barha sakte hain.

Trading week ki shuruat ne behtareen taraqqi ki hai!




Dekho kya ajeeb o ghareeb ajeeb o ghareeb cheezen market mein hoti hain, kuch naqabil-e-fahm ubharne ke baad jab market khulta hai, aur mein yahan baitha soch raha hoon ke yeh koi glitch hai ya phir keemat ke itne uchhal kyun rahi hai. AUD/USD jora apni buland rukh ko phir se shuru kar diya jab market khula aur maqam apni jagah 4 ghanton ke chart par neela harkat karte hue aam hain. Keemat 0.6551 ke level ke upar chadhi, jo ke dikhata hai ke harkat jaari rakhne ki mumkinat hain. Bullish hai tak pohanchne ke liye 78.6% Fibonacci resistance level, jo ke 0.6602 ke level ke tor par jaana jaata hai. Agar thoda aur aage dekha jaaye, toh 0.6602 ke level ka tootna chart par tasveer ko badal deta hai aur upar ki taraf ki harkat ko jaari rakhne ki mumkinat deta hai, na ke sirf mojooda maqami unchaai ko taay karta hai balki level ko tay karta hai.










Economic calendar mein koi taqatwar maqwi khabrein nahi hain, aaj tak jab tak German inflation statistics ko ghor se nahi dekha jaata hai, jo ke humare joray ke keematon par koi asar nahi dalenge, is wajah se mein aaj ke liye kam harkat ka intizaar karta hoon, halankeh harkat pehle se hi bohot mazboot hai. Ek doosre scenario ke tor par, main girawat ko dobara shuru hone aur keematon ko 0.6551 ke level ke neeche wapas lautne ki mumkinat ko manta hoon, jo ke stabilise hone ke liye doosri girawat ki sambhavna ko tasdeeq karega 0.6515 ke support level par. Raste mein dekhta rahunga ke kya aur kaise hota hai. Haan, dollar US dollar khulta hai sab pairs mein, siwaaye yen ke (well, baqi sab ke liye, be shak, euro jo 300 pips se buland hui, utna saaf nahi hota). Magar yeh koi indicator nahi hai. Federal Reserve ke do din ke interest rate meeting ke natije ko Budhwar ko Powell ke dabaav karne waali press conference ke zariye announce kiya jaayega, is wajah se chahe aap koi bhi tajwez kyun na banaayen, sab rational samagri aur khayalat Budhwar shaam ko giraft mein aa sakti hain.