ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

somwar ko asian session mein AUD-USD market mein tezi thi. Lekin, trend abhi bhi darust hai. Pichle Jumma ke trading mein, keemat kamzor hoti rahi, jahan keemat ko momentum dabata raha, jo Thursday raat se taqwiyat ke baad qayam rakhne wale musaddiq shirayat ko jaari rakhte hue kamzor shuruaat ko jari rakhta tha. Jumma ko asian session mein keemat ne apna tehleel ke liye harkat shuru ki jo kamzori ke saath jaari rahi. Yeh farokht karne wale dabaav ne aakhir mein EMA 36 ko qeemat ke neeche ek muqabla banane ke baad toota jab yeh keemat ke neeche ek rukawat ban gaya. Kamzori sirf jaari nahi rahi, keemat ko phir se chhote aur dheere dheere harkaton ke saath oopar ki taraf dabaaya gaya. America session mein dakhil hone tak yahan mazboot dabaav tha taake keemat 0.6594 se gir gayi EMA 633 H1 line ko nazdik karne ke liye jo EMA 200 H1 ke kareeb tha. Ek aur girawat hui lekin EMA ab bhi ek mazboot rukawat thi jo darust nahi kiya ja sakta tha. Yeh ilaqa yahan inkaar kiya gaya keemat ne rukh badal diya aur dheere dheere wapas Friday ke daily open ke aas paas oopar harkat ki jo keemat 0.6591 par bani thi. Keemat EMA 200 ke upar hote hue, is time frame mein trend abhi bhi bullish asar ke taht hai. Ek baar mein, bilkul confirm nahi hua ek negative harkat ke wajah se, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo EMA 200 ke upar mil rahe hain slope par hain.
15:30 ko, ek silsila ahem khabron ki izhar hogi, tajwez zyadatar be-naam hai. Kuch ahem khabron ki umeed hai Australia se; tajwez is waqt be-naam hai. Australian Business Confidence Index ko mangal ko 04:30 ko jaari kiya jayega, tajwez be-naam hai. Muhtasar taur par, agle haftay mein, main samajhta hoon ke kuch pairs ko dakshin ki taraf harkat ki umeed hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke farokht 0.6515 ke sahara darjat tak pohanch jaye gi. Kharidari 0.6625 ke rukh mein pohanch sakti hai. Toh, main dakshin ki taraf harkat ka intezar karta hoon aur zyadatar lateral rukh mein. Yahan ek halqa trading plan agle haftay ke liye hai.

AUD/USD Ka Technical Analysis
AUD/USD ek saal baad ek active downtrend line ko touch karne ke baad gir raha hai. Yeh ek mazboot resistance line ko test karna hoga taake downtrend ko ulta kar sake. Relative strength aur stochastics neeche ki qeemat ki taraf aur ishara dete hain.

AUD/USD currency pair February 2024 se shuru hui neeche ki trend ko jari rakhti hai jab 2023 khatam hone ke nazdeek hai. Is waqt yeh ek downward trend line ko test kar raha hai jo January ki unchai aur 50-week moving average se banaya ja sakta hai. Momentam indicators agle qeemat ke girne ka saath dete hain. RSI 50 ke aas paas equilibrium levels ki taraf ja raha hai, jab ke stochastic overbought zone mein ek bearish crossover (K% aur D% lines ke darmiyan) ki taraf ja raha hai.

Yeh dikhata hai ke bechne wale jald control mein aa sakte hain. Is surat mein, unka pehla rukawat 0.6320 ka ilaqa ho sakta hai, jo haal hi mein mahinon mein support aur resistance ke tor par kaam aaya hai. Is area ke breakout ka focus saalana kam par 0.6265 par hoga, jahan giravat ruki thi.



Dosri taraf, agar kharidar control mein wapas aa gaye aur ek saal ke andar active downtrend line ko cross kar sakein, to pair lambay arsay ke downtrend line, 100-week simple moving average par 0.6690 tak pahunch sakta hai. In rukawaton ke upar, mukhya 0.6700 level aur 200-week moving average 0.67500 ke mukhya rukawaton ko shakhsiyat de sakte hain, jo ke technical tasveer ko neutral bana sakte hain. Mukhtasir tor par, lambay arsay ki takniki tasveer fazool hai.

Sirf 0.6800 ke level ke upar se giravat ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Haal hi mein test ki gayi trend line se ek maqbool tajziya ke dobara aaghaaz ki tasdeeq hogi.

AUD/USD ek saal baad ek active downtrend line par pohanchne ke baad gir gaya hai. Isay downtrend ko ulta karne ke liye ek mazboot resistance line ko test karna hoga. Relative strength aur stochastics further price decline ko darust karte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair woh neeche ki taraf jaari trend ko jari rakhta hai jo February 2024 mein shuru hua tha jab 2023 ka ant ho raha tha. Is waqt woh ek downward trend line ko test kar raha hai jo January ki unchi aur 50-week moving average se draw kiya ja sakta hai. Momentum indicators mazeed price decline ko support karte hain. RSI 50 ke qareeb equilibrium levels ki taraf gir raha hai, jab ke stochastic bearish crossover (K% aur D% lines ke darmiyan) lines ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke overbought zone mein hai. Ye yeh sambhavna darust karta hai ke jald hee sellers ka control phir se barh sakta hai. Is case mein, unka pehla rukawat 0.6320 area ho sakta hai, jo ke hal hi mein support aur resistance ka kaam kar chuka hai. Is area ka breakout saalana low par 0.6265 par hoga, jahan giravat ruki hui hai. Yahan neechay chart diya gaya hai:

Dusri taraf, agar buyers ka control phir se barh jata hai aur ek saal ke andar active downtrend line ko cross kar lete hain, to pair lambe arse ke downtrend line tak pohunch sakta hai, 100-week simple moving average par 0.6690 par. In rukawaton ke oopar, 0.6700 ka ahem level aur 200-week moving average 0.67500 ke form karte hain, jo ke ahem resistance barriers ho sakte hain, jin ka torhne se technical tasveer be-nam ho sakti hai. Mukhtasir mein, lambi mudat ki technical tasveer tanha rahegi. Sirf 0.6800 level ke oopar ek torhne se downtrend kamzor ho sakta hai. Hal hil mein test ki gayi trend line se palatne se mojooda trend ka dobara shuru hona tasdiq karega.

AUD/USD market ka sahi raasta talash karna aik tez nigaah aur aik tajwezati tareeqa ka talabgar hai. Halat ke mutabiq, $0.6851 ke darja aik ahem rukawat hai, jo shayad currency pair ke kisi fori urooj ko rok sakta hai. Lekin agar AUD/USD is rukawat ko paar karne ka himmat jama kar sakta hai, to yeh mazeed bulandiyon ka rasta bana sakta hai, jahan maqsood mukaam 0.7430 ya phir 0.7993 tak pohanch sakta hai. Mutasarafan, neechay ki hifazat ahem hai, jahan $0.6187 ke darja aik qawi bunyadi nukta samne aata hai. Is had tak phounchna neechay ishare dene ki tarah ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye barhasti vulnerability ki alamat hosakti hai, mohtallik 0.5524 ya 0.4911 ke darjay tak. In dynamics ke mutabiq, ehtiyaat talabgaron ke liye ahem hai jo AUD/USD ke manzar ko samajhte hain. Market ki harkaat, khaaskar ahem khabron ke jawab mein, currency pair ke rukh ko gehra asar dal sakti hain. Tajarbaat aur maaloomaat se bharpoor strategy ka istemal karke inherent risks ko samajhna, AUD/USD ke trading mein kamiyabi ke liye lazmi hai. Ikhtesaar mein, jabke $0.6851 ki rukawat aur $0.6187 ki hifazati satah fori hawale pesh karte hain, AUD/USD ke liye zyada nazar hai, jo market sentiment aur bunyadi taraqqi ke saath mil kar mukhtalif hoti hai. Taraqqi kar rahe halat ka intezar karna aur parhezgari amal mein lana, AUD/USD trading mein kamiyabi ke liye klidi asool hain.
Australian dollar ka US ke sath taqat mein izafa ka umeedwar numainda yekidgar factors ke tasleem ki support mil rahi hai jo khareedari ke dor mein naye dabaav ka nashr kar rahi hai. Lekin, finansial markets mein shamil hone wali asalat aur khatre ko qubool karna zaroori hai. Buland trend ki taraf isharaat ke bawajood, anjaan waqiyat market dynamics ko bigad saktay hain, jo ghair mutawaqa ulat pher ya qeemat ke amal mein itefaqat ka nataija detay hain. Is liye, traders ke liye ahem hai ke munasib risk management strategies apnay aur market ki halaat ko muntazir taur par nigrani mein rakhen, khaaskar jab woh sangeen currency markets se guzarnay ke dor hain. Is ke ilawa, AUD/USD pair ke liye mazeed technical indicators aur chart patterns ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai takay maqboli bullish nazar andaazi ko tasdiq kiya ja sake. Ahem rukawat satah aur potensiyal buland mukaam ko tajziye karne se expected upar ki harkat ke munasib andaz ke bare mein mazeed maloomat mil sakti hai.

AUD/USD

Kal, jaise maine kaha tha, AUD/USD ke market mein bechne walon ki dabawat thi. Ve bad mein 0.6480 ke level ko paar kar sakte hain. Ab, market meri nishchit nukta tak pahunch chuka hai aur bechne walon ka aaj sthir rahega. Sath hi, US JOLTS Job opening rate bhi aaj market par asar daal sakta hai. Is mukammal tajziya nevati tijarat ke faislon ko anchor banata hai, jo karobari faislon ko dheeraj aur agyaanta ke saath parvah karte hue pesh karta hai. Aur iske alawa, hum ek bechne wale taraf ka muqaam kholne ka tasawwur kar sakte hain. Ismein ek maal bechna shaamil hai jismein umeed ki jaati hai ke iski keemat ghat jayegi, jisse karobari baad mein usko kam keemat par phir se kharid sakein. Iske alawa, ek bechne wale muqaam ko prabhavi taur par anjam dene ke liye, karobariyon ko unke analysis ke hisaab se chhotey lakshya tay karna chahiye, jismein samarthan aur virodh ke star, trendlines, aur mukhya takneeki suchnaayen shaamil hain. Vaise, aaj bechne wale stabil lagte hain. Lekin 0.6509 ke star par ek pravesh karani kharidaron ko jald hi sab kuch hasil karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

Nirvaachak drishtikon se, FOMC sadasya Master ka bhashan aur JOLTS JOb opening rate aaj jaari kiya jayega. Isliye, apne khate ko iske anuroop prabandhit karen. Yaad rakhen ki AUD/USD ke bazar bhavna ko samajhna ek lagatar seekhne ki prakriya hai jo takneeki tajziya, chart vyakhyana, aur mukhya suchnaayon ke gyaan ka mishran aavashyak karta hai. Bechne ki sthitiyon ka dhyaan se moolyaankan karke, alag alag charts ko prabhavi taur par istemaal karte hue, aur MACD aur Fibonacci phir aana ko sahayak upkaran ka upyog karke, karobariyon ko bazar mein jaankaariyon par adharit faisle lene ki kshamata ko badha sakte hain. Aam taur par, yah saptah samachar karobariyon ke liye mahatvapurn hai. Kyunki samay ke saath, bahut saare US dollar se sambandhit samachar data jaari kiya jayega. Isliye, apne AUD/USD par tijarat yojana ko usi anupat mein nishchit karen.

H1, ya ghanta ke waqt frame, ek ahem lens ke tor par kaam karta hai jis se traders AUDUSD jodi ke qeemat ke aamal ko nazar andaaz karte hain. Yeh time frame ek dakhli nazar faraham karta hai jo short-term trends ko samajhne aur potential trading ke mauqe ko pehchanne mein madad deta hai. Haal hi ke trading session mein, AUDUSD jodi ke saath ek tasweer hai jo bearish sentiment ki taraf mael hoti hai, jaise ke ek makhsoos bearish candlestick pattern ke ubharne ke zariye. Aise patterns bazaar ke shirakat daron ke liye khaas isharaat ka kaam karte hain, aksar bechne ke dabao ki maujoodgi aur sellers ke ibrat angaiz banne par ishaarat karte hain.

Is bearish candlestick pattern ke ibtida hai ek surkhru raay jo neechay qeemat ke aamal ki taraf mael hoti hai. Bazaar ke shirakat daron ke liye, candlestick patterns ke tafseeli hawaale se, yeh formation sellers ki control ko samjha jata hai jo bazaar ke dynamics par asar daal rahe hain. Bearish candle, apni makhsoos neechay ki manzil ke safar ke sath, yeh darust karne ki aitimad ki kahani ko daryaft karta hai ke AUDUSD jodi ek kami ki taraf mael hai. Yeh ek afsana ko bayaan karta hai jahan sellers ne control ko qabza kia hai, qeemat ko neeche le jane ke liye bazaar ki karrwaiyon ka faida uthate hue.

Khaas tor par, sawal shudah bearish candle mein ek qaabil-e-ehtemaam oopar ki dandi hai, jo candle ke jism ke ilawa barh rahi hai. Is lambi oopar ki dandi ka mojud hona ek sakht moqaddar ki dalil hai jo ke trading session ke doran buland qeemat ka inkaar ko shumar karta hai. Is ke mojudgi se is inkar ka izhaar kiya gaya hai ke mukhtalif shoor machane walay ajzaa ke bais se. Yeh traders ke faida uthane ke mawqe par rokawat, nihayat baray muqablay ke darjaat, ya bas mojooda bazaar ki raaye ko zahir karne ka aks hai jo ke neechay ki qeemat ki manzil ko tay karta hai. Makhsoos catalyst ke bawajood, lambi oopar ki dandi bearish outlook ke liye maujooda haalat ko mazid mazbooti deta hai AUDUSD jodi ke liye.

Bazaar ke shirakat daron, candlestick patterns aur unke tafseeli tabeerat ke ehmiyat ko samajhte hue, aise shanakhton ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hote hain. Bearish candle ki lambi oopar ki dandi ek moosbat saboot ka kaam karta hai, jo AUDUSD jodi ke liye ek kami ki raftar ki tawaqo ko mazboot karta hai. Is fahm ke sath, traders behtar taur par forex market ke complexities ko hal karne ke liye tayyar hote hain, jisme bazaar ki tez raftar se faida uthane ke liye apne aap ko strategically position karte hain. Jab trading landscape tarteeb deta hai, chalak traders candlestick analysis se hasil hui aise insight ko istemal kar ke inform decisions lene aur currency trading ke khatarnaak manzar se guzarne ke liye tayyar hote hain.

somwar ko asian session mein AUD-USD market mein tezi thi. Lekin, trend abhi bhi darust hai. Pichle Jumma ke trading mein, keemat kamzor hoti rahi, jahan keemat ko momentum dabata raha, jo Thursday raat se taqwiyat ke baad qayam rakhne wale musaddiq shirayat ko jaari rakhte hue kamzor shuruaat ko jari rakhta tha. Jumma ko asian session mein keemat ne apna tehleel ke liye harkat shuru ki jo kamzori ke saath jaari rahi. Yeh farokht karne wale dabaav ne aakhir mein EMA 36 ko qeemat ke neeche ek muqabla banane ke baad toota jab yeh keemat ke neeche ek rukawat ban gaya. Kamzori sirf jaari nahi rahi, keemat ko phir se chhote aur dheere dheere harkaton ke saath oopar ki taraf dabaaya gaya. America session mein dakhil hone tak yahan mazboot dabaav tha taake keemat 0.6594 se gir gayi EMA 633 H1 line ko nazdik karne ke liye jo EMA 200 H1 ke kareeb tha. Ek aur girawat hui lekin EMA ab bhi ek mazboot rukawat thi jo darust nahi kiya ja sakta tha. Yeh ilaqa yahan inkaar kiya gaya keemat ne rukh badal diya aur dheere dheere wapas Friday ke daily open ke aas paas oopar harkat ki jo keemat 0.6591 par bani thi. Keemat EMA 200 ke upar hote hue, is time frame mein trend abhi bhi bullish asar ke taht hai. Ek baar mein, bilkul confirm nahi hua ek negative harkat ke wajah se, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo EMA 200 ke upar mil rahe hain slope par hain. 15:30 ko, ek silsila ahem khabron ki izhar hogi, tajwez zyadatar be-naam hai. Kuch ahem khabron ki umeed hai Australia se; tajwez is waqt be-naam hai. Australian Business Confidence Index ko mangal ko 04:30 ko jaari kiya jayega, tajwez be-naam hai. Muhtasar taur par, agle haftay mein, main samajhta hoon ke kuch pairs ko dakshin ki taraf harkat ki umeed hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke farokht 0.6515 ke sahara darjat tak pohanch jaye gi. Kharidari 0.6625 ke rukh mein pohanch sakti hai. Toh, main dakshin ki taraf harkat ka intezar karta hoon aur zyadatar lateral rukh mein. Yahan ek halqa trading plan agle haftay ke liye hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, main ne aapko trend line ki dobarah tajziyat ke bare mein bataya tha. Keemat trend line tak chali gayi aur ulta hammer candle ke sath band hui. Yeh bear trend ka ishara tha, jo candlestick pattern ne tasdeeq kar diya. Keemat trend line se 0.6626 ke darje tak gir gayi. Australian dollar ne upar ki tehqiqat jari rakhi. Jo pichle trading week mein shuru hui, aur 0.6758 tak pahunchi. Muntazam izaafat na hone ki wajah se keemat gir gayi. Aaj, keemat 0.6650 ke rectangular ilaqe mein hai, signal zone mein gehri dakhalai ke sath. Ek saath, keemat ka chart super trend ke haree ilaqe mein hai, jo faaal kharidaron ki wujood ki daleel hai. Main phir se 0.6626 se 200 SMA (surkhi) tak kharid trend ko barqarar rakhta hoon. Tasweer neeche dekhein:



Jodi filhaal hafte ke unchiyon par thori si ziada hai. Pichli soorat-e-hal jari hai jari rehne ki bawajood mazboot dabaav. Ye buniyadi ilaqon mein dakhalai ki hai. Irada ye tasdeeq karega ke keemat 0.6658 ke status ke neeche laut jayegi. Ye mukhya satah ka moaziz ilaqa hai. Isay neeche se dobarah shuru kiya jayega. Iske baad, ek mushtahir girao aur girao hoga. Isay dobara niche ki taraf muhaidah karne ka mouka hoga jo 0.6426 aur 0.6490 ke darmiyan ke ilaqe ko nishana banayega. Tasleem hone ka ishara mojooda manzar ko mansookh karne ka hoga agar satah tor par tor par guzarna hoga. Achaal ke keemat ke balbodh hone ki surat mein tabdili 0.6687 se ooper ke ulta daur ki keemat se milaygi. Tasweer neeche dekhein:

AUD/USD pair mein, kal ke daur mein keemat mashriq ki taraf barhne mein nakam reh gayi aur lagta hai ke ek sudhaar karne wali chadhao shuru ho gayi hai, jo ek pooray bullish mombatti ki shakal mein saamne aayi hai jisne peechle din ke uchai ko update kiya aur local rukawat darjaat ko zameen se asman tak test kiya hai, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq 0.64428 par hai. Aaj, keemat mukarrar darjaat ko test karna jaari hai aur dekhte hue dilchaspi hogi ke din kis tarah band hota hai. Aam tor par, mojooda manzar ke teht, main ne iraaday se doori par nazar rakhni hai 0.64428 par rukawat darjaat aur 0.64809 par rukawat darjaat ke qareeb. In rukawat darjaaton ke qareeb do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar aik palat mombatti ki shakal banane ka hai aur dakshini harekat ko dobara shuru karne ka. Agar yeh mansoobah anjaam diya jata hai, to main umeed karonga ke keemat 0.63896 par support darjaat par wapas aa jayegi. Agar keemat is support darjaat ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to main mazeed neeche ki taraf mutawaqqa hun, 0.63386 par support darjaat tak. Is support darjaat ke qareeb, main trading setup ki shakal banane ka intezar karonga aglay trading rukh ko tay karnay ke liye. Beshak, door ki dakshini maqamat tak pohanchne ki mumkinat hai, jin mein se aik, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 0.62856 par waqai hai, lekin halaat ka nigrani karna hoga, keemat ki harekat ke doran khabron ke rawaana ho jaane aur keemat ko mukarrar door ki dakshini maqamat par kis tarah se react karti hai.
Aaj ke rukawat darjaat 0.64428 ya 0.64809 par mojood ke dauran keemat ki harqat ke liye ikhtiyaar shuda doosra mansoobah hoga jismein keemat in darjaaton ke ooper mazboot hoti hai aur mazeed bulandi tak pohanchti hai. Agar yeh mansoobah anjaam diya jata hai, to main umeed karonga ke keemat 0.65530 par rukawat darjaat ki taraf harqat karegi. Is rukawat darjaat ke qareeb, main dakshini signals ki talaash jaari rakhoonga, neeche ki aam trend ke andar keemat ki dobara giraawat ki umeed rakhtay hue. Mukhtasir taur par, aaj ke liye, main kuch dilchaspi wala nahin dekh raha. Aam tor par, main dakshini trend ki dobara shuru hone ki taraf mutawaqqa hun, is liye main qareebi rukawat darjaaton se ghulami signals ki talaash mein hun.

AUD/USD Price Action Overview:

Mujhe Aussie par takneeki tajziya kiya hai, aur lagbhag sab timeframes par short janae ke signals mil rahe hain, magar haftay ka timeframe thora alag hai. Main ab 5 ghanton ka timeframe par tajziya kar raha hoon taake meri analysis sahi ho. Main yeh bhi highlight karna chahta hoon ke price ka formation ka pattern hai, jise head and shoulders pattern kehte hain. Agar hum patterns par analysis karte hain, toh hum bearish disha mein confidently trade kar sakte hain, kyun ke agla izafa taqwiyati hoga. Yahan, toh ye nahi pata ke impulse kitna lamba chalega, magar mujhe lagta hai ke ye zyada lamba nahi chalega. Isliye, 5 ghanton ke timeframe par sell position kholne ki ki sikket hai. Abhi ke liye itna hi, trading mein kamiyabi ki duaen! AUD/USD 1D Rozana ka timeframe thora uljhan mein hai, lagta hai ke price ne resistance level ko tor kar majbooti hasil ki hai, magar Williams ke mutabiq, humein downtrend ki taraf divergence nazar aata hai, aur candle mein volume kaafi kam hai, isliye main yahan par bhi short position lena behtar samajhta hoon. Hamara mukhya Aussie nishana 1.6565 range mein hone ki umeed hai, mukhtasaran, humein pehle is range ko guzarna hoga, aur uske baad hum 1.6575 range ko dekhein ge. Zayada thos tasdeeq ke liye, humein is range ke upar qayam karna chahiye, phir hi bechna ki surat mein ghor karna chahiye.

0.6566 se 0.64514 tak girne ke baad, ye maali sazish apna niche girne ka andaza rakhta hai aur dheere dheere uthne lagta hai. Ab isne 0.65545 ke level tak pohancha hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ka tajziya kar ke, ek price izafa ki umeed hai, shayad ek mabain muddat ke muddat ke sath. Ye pattern bazaar mein ek mukhtalif trend ki mumkin umeed dikhata hai. Haal hi ke is instrument ki harkatein kaafi numaya hain, jo daldal ke baad sakhti dikhate hain. Dheere dheere oopar ki taraf ki trajectory mein tabdili ka andaza hai, bazaar ke shirkat daron mein izafa ke sath is instrument ki qeemat par barhne wale itminan ko darust karte hue. Iske ilawa, mojooda darajat par qeemat ka mustiqil qaim rehna mabain muddat mein izafa ki mumkin umeed dikhata hai.

AUDUSD Technical Anaylsis: Aaj kal Australian dollar US dollar ke muqabley mein neechay ki taraf jhok gaya hai, mukhtasir tor par Australia ki ma'ashiyati tajawuz aur haal hi mein Iraq se aaye nuqsan deh inkaari figures ke barhte hue shak ke bais. Ye manfi lehja ne AUD/USD dar mein neechay ki dabaavat paida ki hai, jis se traders Australian currency mein invest karne se mukhtalif ho rahe hain. Tawajju is taraf hai ke kya AUD/USD dar apni neechay ki raah par jaari rahe ga aur kya woh nafsiyati ehmiyat rakhta 0.6536 ke qareeb girne ki taraf jaari rahe ga, jahan 50-day aur 100-day moving averages milte hain. Agar dar is ahem technical level ke neeche gir jata hai, to yeh ek mazeed numaya farokht shuru kar sakta hai, mohtamim taur par aglay support levels 0.6594 ya mazeed neechay ki taraf nishana banane ke liye.

Aane wale dino mein ye levels dekhne ke liye ahem honge, kyun ke inke neeche girne se bearish trend ko tasdiq ho sakti hai aur mazeed giravat ki darwaza khol sakti hai. Mazeed numaya farokht taur par maqbool darjano darjano ke maqam pe hain, aur kisi bhi josh ki koshish ko mukhtalif rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Aik u-turn ho sakta hai agar australian dollar 0.6500 se phir se uth jata hai, utasalar agar yeh exponential moving average ke ooper jaata hai, jo ab aik ahem rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI 50 ke neeche aur ek kamzor MACD manfi ilaqe mein mazeed numaya farokht ko mazboot karte hain, is se taasur hota hai ke raftar mazeed giravat ki taraf mazbooti ke sath hai. 0.6400 ke darja ko chhoti positions ke liye ahem samjha jata hai, aur is level ke neeche girne se giravat ki raftaar ko barhane ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Janvari se March tak 0.6455 se 0.6430 ke darmiyan girtay hue channel aur 0.6259 se 0.6300 ke support zone ko qareebi dino mein dekhna ahem hoga, kyun ke yeh levels waqtan-fa-waqtan thori der ke liye sahara faraham kar sakte hain ya phir ek mukhtalif market Ke dynamics par rang khaelne ke liye tehalka faraham kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke liye challenges barqarar hain, jo ke ek choti si trading activity ke chand daur ke bawajood barqarar rahne ki koshish kar raha hai jo ke Jumeraat ko dekha gaya tha. Fikron ki hawadis financial markets mein gholte hue hain, jo investors ko risky assets se door rehne par majboor kar raha hai safer havens ki taraf. Ye apprehension ABC News ki ek report ke baad tezi se barh gaya jo ke ek Israeli missile strike ke bare mein tha ek Iranian site par, jo pehle se hi volatile Middle East region mein tensions ko aur bhi bhadka diya.

AUD ke mushkilat ko aur bhi zyada kar raha hai, Australian stock market (ASX 200) ne Jumeraat ko ek significant downturn ka samna kiya, jo ke do mahinay ke low 7,489 points ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Ye decline ek mushaba trend ko darust karta hai jo ke Wall Street par raat bhar dekha gaya, jo market ki be-cheeni ko badha raha hai.

AUD par dabao ko barhane mein ek aur wajah hai 10 saal ke Australian government bond ke yield mein pichle dino mein kami aayi hai, jo 4.3% ke neeche gir gayi hai. Ye kami investors ke cautious approach ka natija hai jab wo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke interest rate adjustments par dovish stance ko assess karte hain.

Aane waale dino mein, traders US Federal Reserve ke maqbool figures jaise ke Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic aur Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ke taqreeron ko nazar andaz karenge. Ye remarks riskier currencies jaise ke AUD ke lehaz se investors ki sentiment ko shape karne ka imkan dete hain aur US economic outlook ke baray mein insights provide karte hain.

Taza update ke mutabiq, AUD kareeb 0.6390 ke aas paas trading ho raha hai. Charts par key technical levels ke recent breach ne AUD ke khilaf USD ke muqablay mein ek zahir downward trend ko darust kiya hai (AUD/USD). Ye bearish sentiment AUD/USD ke liye 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke dwara bhi mazid reinforced hai, jo ke 50 mark ke neeche rehta hai, jo ek prevailing downtrend ko signal karta hai.

Ikhtisar mein, AUD ke samne mukhtalif challenges hain, jinmein geopolitical tensions, market downturns, aur cautious investor sentiment shamil hain. Jab ke short-term fluctuations ho sakte hain, overall outlook yeh suggest karta hai ke AUD ke khilaf USD ke muqablay mein continued pressure rahega, with technical indicators pointing towards a sustained downward trajectory in the near term. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye taake yeh challenging market conditions ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Subah bakhair sabko. Aaj ke trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hue, hamara mukhya dhyan daily time frame par hai, ek samay darshika jo lambi avdhi ke trends aur sambhavnaatmak keemat ke gati ko ek vyapak tasveer pradaan karta hai. Pichle kuch session mein, AUD/USD ne mahatvapurn mazbooti dikhayi, jo madhyam term mein bullish adhikar ko darshata hai. Daily time frame par, ham dekh sakte hain ki is currency pair ne pichle saptah mein kaafi samanantar keemat badhotri ka samna kiya hai. Halaanki, usi samay, keemat ko daily resistance kshetra ko todne mein kathinai ka samna hai jo lagbhag 0.6528 ke aas-paas sthit hai.

Yeh darshata hai ki us star par kaafi mazboot bechne ki dabav hai, jo AUD/USD ki aur adhik mazbooti ko rok sakta hai. Samarthan pratirodh tulanatmak vishleshan ke sandarbh mein, daily resistance kshetra ek mahatvapurn bindu hai jise dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye. Agar keemat is pratirodh ko ghusne mein asafal hoti hai aur neeche ki taraf badhne lagti hai, to agla daily samarthan kshetra jo lagbhag 0.6488 ke aas-paas sthit hai, ek sambhavatmak lakshya banta hai. Halaanki, is prakar ke gatividhiyon mein, yah bhi sambhav hai ki keemat daily samarthan ko todne ka prayaas kare aur ek gehri giravat jaari rakhe. Agar aisa hota hai, to agla lakshya lagbhag 0.6441 ke aas-paas sthit daily samarthan hai. Ek vyapari ke roop mein, hame sabse bura scenariyo ka vichar karna chahiye aur uska samadhan karne ke liye sahi strategy taiyaar karna chahiye.
technical analysis

AUD/USD ke liye kal, ek chhote se dakshini pullback ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur ek puri bullish mombatti bani, jo ki aasani se tor di gayi aur bharosa karke resistance level ke oopar consolidate hui, jo mere nishaankit ke mutabiq 0.64809 par tha. Vartaman sthiti mein, main poori tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj uttar ki gati jaari rahegi aur keemat resistance level ko kaam karne jaayegi, jo mere nishaankit ke mutabiq 0.65530 par sthit hai. Is resistance level ke paas, situation ka vikas ke liye do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pahla scenario ek palatne wali mombatti ke nirman se joda gaya hai aur neeche ke keemat ki taraf punarutthaan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh yojna kaam karti hai, to main keemat ka punarutthaan ka ummid karunga, jo 0.64809 par sthit hai. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche fix hoti hai, to main aage ki dakshin ki gati ka ummid karunga. Is mamle mein, main trading ke aage ki disha ka tay karna madad karne wali trading setup ka intezaar karunga. Bilkul, ek adhik door ki dakshini lakshya ka vikas ka bhi vikalp hai, lekin main ise abhi nahi dekh raha hoon kyonki maine iske turant lagu hone ki koi sambhavana nahi dekhi hai. Resistance level 0.65530 ke paas aate samay keemat ka alternativ vikalp ek yojna ke saath ho sakta hai, jismein keemat is level ke upar consolidate hoti hai aur aage uttar ki taraf badhti hai. Agar yeh yojna kaam karti hai, to hum keemat ka intezar karenge ki woh resistance level 0.66347 ya phir resistance level 0.66677 par pahunche. Main in resistance levels ke paas trading setup ka nirman ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke aage ki disha ka tay karna madad karega. Aam taur par, ise seedhe shabdon mein kahen to aaj main sthaniy roop se maan leta hoon ke keemat apni uttar ki gati ko aage badha sakti hai, aur phir, vishwaas ke saath, main bearish sanketon ka intezar karunga, keemat ko punah neeche ki taraf badhne ki disha mein punararambh hone ki aasha karta hoon.

trading strategy.
In sab factors ko madhya mein rakhte hue, is samay lagoo kiya ja sakne vali trading strategy ka yah hai ki keemat ki gatiyon ka pushtikaran ka intezaar karna. Agar keemat samarthan kshetra se 0.6441 ki taraf bahar nikal jaati hai aur yeh kriyavidhi kaafi bhaari transaction volume ke saath hoti hai, to yeh ek majboot sanket ho sakta hai bechne ka, jiska lakshya agle daily samarthan ki or hota hai. Halaanki, agar is star par parvaah hoti hai aur keemat disha badal deti hai, to yah hame ek lambe vyavdhan ko vichar karne ke liye sanket ho sakta hai, jiska lakshya pichle daily pratirodh kshetra ki or hota hai jo lagbhag 0.6528 ke aas-paas sthit hai.

Is prakar, ek tathastu bazar sthiti ke saath chhote samay ke bearish parav ke saath, uchit trading strategy parivartit aur bhav ki gatiyon ke parivartanon ka pratikriya shaali hoti hai. Is case mein, main AUD/USD ke liye ek kharidne ki bhavana ki prashansa karta hoon, dhyan dete hue ki vyapariyon ko anya giravaton ke sambhavnaon par chaukanna rahna chahiye aur hamesha viksit bazar sthitiyon ke anusar strategies badalne ke liye taiyar rahna chahiye. Asha hai, yah upayogi aur sabhi ke liye vicharaneeya hoga. Kabhi bhi vyapar karte samay hamesha achchhe risk prabandhan ka palan karen ko bhool na jaayen.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ka haal hilafi damdar tareeqay se tajziya karwata hai. Kal, jodi ne rozana candles par engulfing pattern banae baghair izafa dekha, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke koi wazeh trend reversal abhi tak nahi hua hai. Balki, mojooda upar ki harkat zyada tar ek lambay arsay ke downtrend ke baad correction ke taur par nazar aati hai. Magar, budh ke bullish daily candle ne kharidaron ke liye umeed faraham ki, jo ke upar ki harkat ke momentum ka ek mumkin jari rahne ka ishara karta hai. Haal hi mein hasool shuda faiday ke bawajood, mojooda local trend abhi bhi niche ki taraf hai, jis mein mojooda izafa zyada tar ek temporary rebound ke taur par nazar aata hai, haalaanki woh kuch kamzor miqdaar mein hai. Aaj, jodi ne thora sa izafa kiya, daily range 30 points ka tha, jo ke average daily volatility ke qareeb so pips ke mukable mein nisbatan chhota hai. 1 ghante tak, hum dekh rahe hain ke currency pair qeemat ki resistance level 0.6455 ke qareeb hai. Aaj mujhe umeed hai ke is resistance level ka tor ho ga aur currency pair ka izafa agle resistance level 0.6513 tak hoga.

Pichle kuch trading sessions mein, exchange rate ne critical support level 0.6450 ke sath qeemat action dikhaya hai, jo ke ek ahem janubi rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Jab shuru mein lag raha tha ke trading week ki shuruaat mein downside ki taraf se nikal jaega, to do din pehle dekha gaya kami kal ke izafe se puri ho gayi. Aaj, maal dobara izafa hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Khulasa, jab ke chand short-term bullish jazbat ke ashar hain, lekin overall trend bearish hai. Mojudah upar ki harkat ko ek zyada bade downtrend ke andar ek tajziya phase ke taur par dekha ja raha hai. Traders market dynamics mein potential shifts ke liye key levels, jaise ke 0.6450 support, ko nazdeek se nazar andaz nahi kar rahe hain.

اپریل 24 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

متعلقہ بازاروں کے زیر اثر آسٹریلوی ڈالر نے 0.6480 پر ہدف کی سطح کی مزاحمت پر قابو پالیا ہے۔ زیادہ امکان ہے، آج کا سیشن ایک سفید موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہو جائے گا، جو قیمت کے اس سطح سے اوپر ہونے کی تصدیق کرے گا جو اس تک پہنچتی ہے۔ اگلا، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یہ 0.6553 کی سطح پر یومیہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی طرف بڑھے گا۔



صرف ایک عنصر قیمت کو مطلوبہ ہدف تک آسانی سے پہنچنے سے روک سکتا ہے - تیزی والے علاقے کی سرحد پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن میں تاخیر۔ اگر ہم آسیلیٹر کو الٹتے ہوئے دیکھتے ہیں، تو یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک نہیں پہنچ سکتا۔ لیکن ابھی کے لیے، صورت حال ایسی ہے کہ ہم ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر ایک غلط بریک آؤٹ دیکھ سکتے ہیں، جیسا کہ اپریل کے پہلے ہفتے یا 21 مارچ (سپائیک) میں ہوا تھا، اور مارلن کا جھوٹا بریک آؤٹ مثبت علاقے میں۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 0.6480 کے ہدف کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر اپ ٹرینڈ علاقے میں بتدریج بڑھتا جا رہا ہے۔ ہمیں امید ہے کہ اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر جوڑی مختصر مدت میں بڑھے گی۔



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