سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai crude oil ne apne losses resume kiye hain, aik partial correction ke baad. Price ne resistance ko 75.99 pe test kiya, lekin aik short consolidation ke baad yeh level break nahi hua, jis k baad rebound hui aur price sharply fall karke 71.92 tak chali gayi. Yeh expected movement thi, aur intended direction bhi pura hua. Iss waqt price chart super-trend red zone mai wapas aagaya hai, jo ke yeh show karta hai ke sellers ne dubara control hasil kar liya hai.

Technically, hum bullish position mai hain, jisme simple moving average ka positive crossover hume support de raha hai, jo ke prices ki decline ko resume kar raha hai. Saath hi 14-day momentum indicator bhi positive signal de raha hai. Agar trading 70.60 support ke upar ho rahi hai, toh aaj ke trading session mai upside move expect hai, aur target 72.20 tak ho sakta hai. Agar 72.20 ka level break hota hai, toh bullish side pe aur strength add ho sakti hai, jisme aglay stops 72.80 aur 73.20 ke ird gird hain. Lekin yaad rahe, agar price 70.60 support level ke neeche stable ho jaye toh oil prices apne losses ko recover karna start karenge, jo ke pehla target 69.60 par ho sakta hai.



Abhi prices weekly lows ke kareeb hain aur significant decline show kar rahe hain. Main resistance zone test ho chuki hai aur apni integrity ko maintain kar rahi hai, jis ki wajah se quotes mai bounce aya hai, jo previous downward trend ko valid banata hai. Yeh trend maintain rehne ke liye, price ko 71.92 level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ke currently main resistance zone ka border hai. Agar is area ka retest hota hai aur wapas se rebound aata hai, toh yeh further decline ka chance de sakta hai, jisme aglay targets 69.79 aur 67.29 hain.

Current situation se reversal signal tab aaye ga jab resistance ka breakout ho aur price 74.28 ke upar move kare.

Crude Oil Price

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai. Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Crude Oil



Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
si growth dikhayi hai, aur filhal Tuesday ke European market hours ke dauran $71.60 per barrel ke aas-paas trade ho rahi hain. Lekin yeh upward movement OPEC+ ke oil production strategies mein tabdeeli ke concerns ke darmiyan aa rahi hai, jahan reports ke mutabiq agle quarter mein output barhane par ghoor kiya ja raha hai. **Geopolitical Disruptions aur OPEC+ ki Speculations: Oil Supply aur Prices par Asar** Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Libya se ek achanak supply disruption se oil ki availability mein kafi kami aasakti hai, jahan Rapidan Energy Group ke consultants ne andaza lagaya hai ke 1 million barrels per day ka potential loss ho sakta hai. Yeh figure global oil supply ka takreeban 1% hai, jo dikhata hai ke geopolitical events ka market stability par kitna bara asar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Indonesia ki state-owned Pertamina November ke delivery ke liye Russian oil ke 5 million barrels khareedne ki tayari kar rahi hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Yeh tamam challenges barh rahe hain jab ke ek Greek-flagged tanker, Sounion, abhi bhi Red Sea mein jal raha hai. Yemen ke Houthi rebels ne rescue operations ki ijazat di hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain. Oil prices ko affect karne wala central issue yeh hai ke OPEC+ ke aath member states ke baare mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke woh jald hi apne voluntary production cuts ko unwind kar sakte hain, jo pehle June mein announce kiye gaye thay. Ab tak market participants yeh maan rahe thay ke yeh countries production increase mein dair karengi, market ki halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Lekin jitni dair yeh cuts lage rahenge, oil prices utni zyada downward pressure ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hain. **Current Market Dynamics aur WTI Oil ke Key Price Levels** Thursday ke early European session ke dauran, WTI prices mein thoda positive bias dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh $71.50 per barrel mark ke upar hover kar rahi hain. Is minor uptick ke bawajood, market mein strong bullish momentum ki kami hai, aur prices year-to-date lows ke kareeb hain, jo ke $65.26 hain, jo sirf ek din pehle tak pohanch gayi thi. Yeh trend is baat ko darshaata hai ke pichlay do mahine mein jo downtrend dekhne ko mila hai, woh

Chart ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke WTI Crude Oil filhaal ek range-bound pattern mein trade kar raha hai jahan price kuch specific resistance aur support levels ke beech mein move kar rahi hai. Is chart mein humein kuch important levels aur indicators dikhayi de rahe hain jo aane wale price movements ke bare mein kuch isharaat de rahe hain.
Sabse pehle, Resistance Levels** ki baat karein toh, chart ke upper side mein humein 73.80 aur 75.29 ke resistance levels dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price in levels ko breach karti hai toh yeh ek bullish sign ho sakta hai aur agla target 77.52 tak ho sakta hai. Iske baad, 80.42 ka level bhi ek strong resistance zone ho sakta hai jahan buyers ka pressure kam ho sakta hai aur price wapis neeche aa sakti hai. Dosri taraf, Support Levels** bhi important hain. Current support levels 69.88 aur 67.20 par hain. Agar price in levels ke neeche close hoti hai, toh ek aur bearish move ki umeed ki ja sakti hai jo price ko lower support zones 66 aur 63.30 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh levels wahan hain jahan buyers interest le sakte hain aur price wapis upar ja sakti hai.
Chart mein kuch Trend Lines aur Moving Average bhi hain jo current trend ke bare mein information de rahe hain. Price ka in moving averages ke aas paas move karna yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi clear direction mein nahi hai aur yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Moving averages ka crossover ek potential trend reversal ka sign bhi ho sakta hai. Akhir mein, Fibonacci Retracement Levels ke kuch points humein reversal areas indicate kar rahe hain. Jaise ke 73.80 aur 75.29 ke levels, jo ke resistance aur support ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain.
Trading ke liye, agar aap long position lena chahein toh resistance 73.80 ka breakout dekhna zaroori hai. Short positions ke liye, support level 69.88 ka breakdown ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Yeh analysis help karega ke aap ek safe entry aur exit plan bana saken aur price ke potential reversal points ko madde nazar rakhen.

Hamari mojooda tehqeeq mai hum crude oil ki keematain tafseel se daikh rahay hain jo is waqt consolidation phase se guzar rahi hain. Iska matlab hai keematain aik musalsal dairaay main hain jo market ke kharid aur farokht karnay walay afrad kay darmiyan tawazun ka izhar karti hain. Is waqt keematain Exponential Moving Averages (EMA-34 aur EMA-55) se neeche chal rahi hain, jo market ke liye short aur medium term mai ehtiyaat ke sath bearish rujhan ka ishara de rahi hain.

Ek ahem support level 69.67 par mojood hai, jo kai baar neeche janay ki koshishon kay bawajood mazboot saabit hua hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke is level par kharidari ka rujhan mazboot hai. Lekin, agar baar baar is support ka imtihan liya jaye, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke is ki taqat kam ho rahi hai. Agar 69.67 ka level tord diya gaya, to keematain 66.12 ke aas paas aglay support zone tak gir sakti hain. Yeh sorat-e-haal yeh wazeh karti hai ke daikhna zaroori hai ke keematain kaise harkat karti hain, kyon ke agar yeh level toot gaya to zyada gehra girawat dekhnay ko mil sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar kharidari ke liye dekha jaye, to resistance ka level 71.85 par hai jo kharidaaron ka markazi nuqta hai. Agar crude oil is resistance ko tor kar apni position barqarar rakh le, to is se bullish rally ka raasta 76.18 ki taraf khul sakta hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye, kyon ke 71.85 par kai bearish candlestick patterns bhi nazar aate hain, jo ye batate hain ke farokht ka dabbaw ab bhi mojood hai.

Yeh sorat-e-haal is baat par zor deti hai ke traders ko kisi bhi buy position lenay se pehle poori tehqiqat karni chahiye, kyon ke in key levels ke aas paas price dynamics mustaqbil ke rujhan ko mutasir karain ge. Is unexpected stockpile kami ka matlab hai ke consumers ka demand mazboot hai, jo oil keematain support kar sakta hai jab ke traders iqtisadi harkaton ko dekhte hue geopolitics ko bhi madde nazar rakhen. Aakhir mai, crude oil market aik pechida sorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai jahan technical levels aur wassi iqtisadi asraat mil kar keematain mutasir kar rahay hain. Traders ko in tabdeeliat ko samajh kar apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai taa ke wo is volatile market mai behtareen position le saken

Crude Oil (CL) H4 timeframe ke chart ke mutabiq, yeh kuch detail analysis hai jo market ki recent movement aur indicators par base karta hai:
Chart mein hum Bollinger Bands aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka istemal dekh rahe hain, jo humein price ki volatility aur momentum ka eham idea dete hain. Pichle kuch dino mein price ne lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb se bounce kiya hai, jo bullish reversal ka signal hai. Ab price gradually upper Bollinger Band ki taraf move kar rahi hai, aur agar yeh upper Band ko cross karti hai, toh market mein strong buying momentum expect kiya ja sakta hai.
Bollinger Bands Analysis:
Bollinger Bands ne price ke liye ek range define ki hai jismein abhi tak fluctuations ho rahi hain. Is waqt price upper Band ke qareeb hai, jo ek resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai. Bollinger Bands ka middle line, jo moving average hota hai, ek support ki tarah bhi act kar raha hai agar price correction mein jata hai. Upper Band ke break hone par market mein strong bullish trend aane ke chances hain, lekin agar price middle line se neeche girta hai, toh bearish sentiment wapas aa sakta hai. RSI Indicator Analysis:
RSI ka current value 60.95 hai, jo neutral se upar hai, lekin overbought zone (70+) mein nahi hai. Yeh ek positive signal hai ke abhi tak market mein bullish pressure continue ho sakta hai aur RSI ke 70 ke qareeb aane tak upside ka potential hai. Lekin agar RSI overbought zone mein enter karta hai toh selling pressure bhi aasakta hai.
Current Price Level:
Chart par abhi price $70.83 ke qareeb hai. Ahem resistance level $71.00 hai; agar yeh level break hota hai aur price uske upar sustain karti hai, toh aur growth expect ki ja sakti hai, jis se price $72.00 ya usse upar ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level ko cross nahi kar pati aur neeche girti hai, toh lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb support check karna zaroori hoga. Summary:
Overall, agar price $71.00 ke resistance ko cross karti hai, toh bullish trend ka continuation ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche girta hai, toh Bollinger Bands aur RSI ki positions par focus karna hoga, jo support aur reversal points indicate karenge.

Crude Oil

Chart ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke WTI Crude Oil filhaal ek range-bound pattern mein trade kar raha hai jahan price kuch specific resistance aur support levels ke beech mein move kar rahi hai. Is chart mein humein kuch important levels aur indicators dikhayi de rahe hain jo aane wale price movements ke bare mein kuch isharaat de rahe hain.
Sabse pehle, Resistance Levels** ki baat karein toh, chart ke upper side mein humein 73.80 aur 75.29 ke resistance levels dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price in levels ko breach karti hai toh yeh ek bullish sign ho sakta hai aur agla target 77.52 tak ho sakta hai. Iske baad, 80.42 ka level bhi ek strong resistance zone ho sakta hai jahan buyers ka pressure kam ho sakta hai aur price wapis neeche aa sakti hai. Dosri taraf, Support Levels** bhi important hain. Current support levels 69.88 aur 67.20 par hain. Agar price in levels ke neeche close hoti hai, toh ek aur bearish move ki umeed ki ja sakti hai jo price ko lower support zones 66 aur 63.30 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh levels wahan hain jahan buyers interest le sakte hain aur price wapis upar ja sakti hai.
Chart mein kuch Trend Lines aur Moving Average bhi hain jo current trend ke bare mein information de rahe hain. Price ka in moving averages ke aas paas move karna yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi clear direction mein nahi hai aur yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Moving averages ka crossover ek potential trend reversal ka sign bhi ho sakta hai. Akhir mein, Fibonacci Retracement Levels ke kuch points humein reversal areas indicate kar rahe hain. Jaise ke 73.80 aur 75.29 ke levels, jo ke resistance aur support ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain.
Trading ke liye, agar aap long position lena chahein toh resistance 73.80 ka breakout dekhna zaroori hai. Short positions ke liye, support level 69.88 ka breakdown ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Yeh analysis help karega ke aap ek safe entry aur exit plan bana saken aur price ke potential reversal points ko madde nazar rakhen.

Crude Oil Price

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai. Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Oil prices pichlay haftay takariban half losses recover karnay mai kamiyab rahi hain. 71.92 per support milny k baad aik choti si consolidation hui, jisme price ne niche settle nahi kiya aur rebound kar k phir se upar chali gayi, aur akhri mein 75.99 ki resistance ko touch kiya. Iske natije mein pehlay ka plan expected hasil ko nahi paa saka aur cancel ho gaya. Filhal, price chart wapas supertrend k green zone mein hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke buyers ne situation par control le liya hai.

Technically, aaj hum dekhte hain ke oil prices ne successfully 68.60 ki resistance level ko break kar liya hai. 240-minute chart pe close check karain to Relative Strength Index (RSI) se positive signals aa rahe hain. Agar daily trade broken resistance 68.60 ke upar rahta hai, toh intraday uptrend ka target 69.60 ho sakta hai, aur agar ye break hojata hai toh agla stop 70.25 ho ga jo ke 71.40 tak pohanchne ke chances ko increase karega. Is scenario ko activate karne ke liye zaroori hai ke oil prices 68.60 ke upar consolidate karen, warna stability below is level se price phir negative pressure mein ajaye gi jiska target 66.65 hoga.



Abhi price apne weekly high se kaafi upar hai. Key resistance zone ko break karke price upar move kar rahi hai, jo ye suggest kar rahi hai ke preferred trend ko upside mein shift karna chahiye. Isay confirm karne ke liye, price ko firmly 74.28 ke upar break karna ho ga jo major support area ki border hai. Agar yahan se retest aur bounce hota hai toh yeh further gains ka moka de sakta hai aur target area 78.09 se le kar 79.54 tak ho sakta hai.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 71.92 ke niche reversal level pe move karti hai toh yeh current situation ka reversal indicate karega.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Crude Oil Apne Support Levels ko Break Karne Lagi Hai

Pichlay do hafton mein crude oil prices ko dekhte hue, movement mein izafa dekhne ko milta hai jo 66.72 ke low prices par aane ke baad hui hai ek GAP ke waja se. Yeh izafa GAP ko close karne mein bhi kamiyab hua hai, is liye possibility hai ke price phir se decrease ho sakti hai. Kyun ke current trend abhi bhi bearish conditions mein hai, halaan ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 takreeban cross kar chuki hain aur ek golden cross signal diya hai. Lekin, upward price movement itna impulsive nahi hai kyun ke Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne note kiya hai ke US crude oil production mein izafa hota ja raha hai.
Technical taur par, agar prices musalsal barhti hain tou neeche correct hone ka bhi mauqa hai. Price movements jo ke do Moving Average lines ke neeche hain, woh FR 50 - 69.78 ya FR 61.8 - 69.06 tak neeche correct ho sakti hain, taake woh retracement complete kar sakein. Jab tak downward correction phase FR 78.6 - 68.03 se aage nahi jaata, price phir se try karegi ke do Moving Average lines ke upar move kare jo ke close together hain. Agar aisa nahi hota tou bearish trend direction mazid mazboot ho sakti hai aur price phir se neeche 66.72 ke low prices ko test karne ka mauqa haasil kar sakti hai.

Stochastic indicator ke perspective se, yeh price ko upar move karne mein zyada support de raha hai. Parameters jo oversold zone mein level 20 - 10 par hain woh yeh indicate karte hain ke selling saturation point jald haasil kiya jaayega. Is ke ilawa, crude oil price pattern ki structure abhi bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai. Woh prices jo upar ja rahi hain wo naye high prices bana rahi hain aur koi pehle se neeche low prices nahi hain. Sirf Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram ne negative area ya level 0 ke neeche cross kiya hai jo downtrend momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar koi upward rally nahi hoti jo ke do Moving Average lines ya FR 23.6 - 71.40 ke upar move kar sake, tou histogram volume mein mazeed expansion aur downtrend momentum mazid solid ho jayega.



POSITION ENTRY SETUP:

Trading options mein BUY position re-entry try kar sakte hain FR 50 - 69.78 se FR 61.8 - 69.06 ke beech mein. Wajah yeh hai ke bearish trend weak ho rahi hai kyun ke do Moving Average lines close hain aur price pattern structure abhi bhi higher high - higher low conditions show karti hai. Take profit targets FR 23.6 - 71.40 ya phir high prices 72.85 par hain jab ke stop loss FR 78.6 - 68.03 ke aas-paas rakha gaya hai. Initial confirmation ensure karte hain ke Stochastic indicator parameters jo oversold zone level 20 - 10 mein hain unho ne cross kar liya hai. AO indicator histogram ko uptrend momentum dikhana chahiye jo level 0 ya positive area ke upar ho.

Crude oil pair 70.42 par trade kar rahi hai, jaise ke chart analysis diya gaya hai. Tuesday ke close candlestick pattern ne bhi iss hafte ke liye market direction ko effectively consider karne mein madad di hai. Crude oil pair ab downward trading mein hai. US dollar abhi 104.95 cents per dollar par trade kar raha hai. Dollar index upward direction mein move kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko dekhte hue, market expected hai ke support level tak giray kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 47.9771 par hai. Saath hi saath, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) mazeed downside movement ka potential show kar raha hai. Crude oil pair is waqt time frame mein moving averages ke neeche hold kar rahi hai. Is liye, abhi ke liye, humein sell orders consider karte rehna chahiye.

Agar buyer pressure prevail karti hai tou immediate resistance 75.78 par ho sakta hai jab market is area ke upar positive momentum add kare. Agar Crude oil 75.78 area ko break kar leti hai aur uptrend kafi strong hai, tou next target 2nd resistance level hoga. Uske baad, agar market price successfully resistance level ko break karti hai, tou price jald hi agle resistance level tak pohonch jayegi jo 3rd level of resistance hai. Dosri taraf, downside par, initial support takreeban 65.59 ke aas-paas hai. Agar bearish force is hurdle ko break karti hai tou yeh next support rally ke liye raasta khol dega jo 60.66 ke neeche hai aur 2nd level of support hai. Uske baad, next major support takreeban 55.88 region mein hai jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Yeh is baat ka matlab hai ke Crude oil par sell trade karna zyada profitable hoga. Downtrend ka yeh matlab nahi ke yeh lagatar neeche jati rahegi; price thodi upar zaroor correct hogi.

USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
USOIL ka current 4-hour timeframe ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi ek range bound ya sideways trend mein hai. Price ne apne recent high ko touch karne ke baad downward movement shuru ki hai, jo possible bearish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. Aayein kuch aham aspects par baat karte hain: Current chart par jo important resistance level hai woh 71.807 par hai, jahan price ne recent high banaya tha aur wahan se neeche aayi. Agar price is level ko dubara test karke isay todti hai to bullish momentum strong ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, do important support levels 68.435 aur 66.952 par hain. Yeh support levels woh hain jahan buyers enter kar sakte hain aur price ko upar push karne ki koshish karenge. Chart par yellow aur white lines ko moving averages (MA) ke taur par show kiya gaya hai. Yeh long-term aur short-term trend ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Yellow line (shayad 200 MA) long-term trend ko represent karti hai, aur white line (shayad 50 MA) short-term trend ko. Is waqt price dono MA lines ke darmiyan hai, jo ek consolidation ya mixed trend ko dikhata hai. Agar price in MA lines ko todti hai to yeh ek trend reversal ya continuation signal ho sakta hai. Neeche Stochastic Oscillator bhi maujood hai jo price ki overbought (80 se upar) aur oversold (20 se neeche) conditions ko indicate karta hai. Is waqt yeh indicator 20 ke paas hai, jo oversold zone ko represent karta hai. Yeh ek potential buying signal ho sakta hai agar price bounce karti hai.
Trend Analysis:
Overall trend abhi bearish lagta hai, lekin consolidation bhi maujood hai. Agar price support levels ke neeche break karti hai to aur downside movement aasakti hai. Bullish reversal ke liye price ko pehle resistance aur moving averages ke upar close karna hoga.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Kya Oil Apne Low Se Dobara Rebound Karega?

Aakhri kuch haftay oil ke bulls ke liye mushkil rahe hain. WTI oil, jo ke July ke shuru mein $84.00 ke qareeb trade ho raha tha, ab $74.00 se neeche aa gaya hai. Brent oil bulls ke liye bhi market action mayoos kun raha, jo ke prices ko $88.00 se gir kar $76.00 ke qareeb aate hue dekh rahe hain.

Shuru mein yeh pullback China ke economic data ke mayoos kun natayej ki wajah se hua. China ki economy woh growth nahi kar rahi jo markets ne pehle expect ki thi, isliye traders ko dar hai ke is ka oil demand par bhi asar ho sakta hai.

Aham Nuqaat:

• Oil markets par China ki economy ke masail aur U.S. economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se pressures hain.
• Yeh recent pullback zyada tar general market sentiment ki wajah se tha na ke fundamentals ki wajah se.
• Saudi Arabia ne apne Asian customers ke liye oil ki qeematon mein izafa kiya hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke physical oil ki demand mazid strong hai.

Aakhri kuch din mein tawajju U.S. ki taraf gai. Job market data expect se kamzor raha, aur ab sab log U.S. economy ke slowdown par baat kar rahe hain. Equity markets ko bhi ek rough pullback ka samna karna pada, lekin yeh mostly tech stocks ki high valuations ki wajah se tha, na ke kisi bade economic masail ki wajah se. Yeh hairani ki baat nahi hai ke equity markets ki strong sell-off ka asar commodity markets par bhi hua.

Is baat par ghore karna zaroori hai ke OPEC+ ne ab bhi apna production October mein barhane ka plan rakha hai. Agar markets abhi ki positions par barqarar rehti hain, to yeh group apna plan badal sakta hai, jo ke oil prices ko additional support de sakta hai.

Wahi dosri taraf, Fed September mein rate cut shuru karega. Bas yeh dekha jaana baqi hai ke Fed 25 bps cut se shuru karta hai ya 50 bps cut ke saath tezi se aage barhta hai. Yeh doosra option oil markets ko winter ke pehle ek major boost de sakta hai.

Is waqt yeh lagta hai ke recent pullback zyada tar fears ki wajah se tha na ke fundamentals ki wajah se. Haqiqat mein, Saudi Arabia ne abhi apne Asian customers ke liye September crude prices mein izafa kiya hai, recession worries ke bawajood. Analysts kahenge ke hike expectations se chhoti thi, lekin market par itna pressure hone ke bawajood koi bhi hike aik significant development hai.

Technical nazriya se dekha jaye to oil markets apne saal bhar ke range ke low end ki taraf pullback kar rahe hain. Aur mazeed neeche jane ke liye oil ko kuch additional negative catalysts ki zaroorat hogi jo ke market ne ab tak price nahi kiye. Iss waqt yeh lagta hai ke current levels se rebound zyada mumkina scenario hai.

Market Technical Outlook

Crude oil mein pichlay haftay zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi, kuch buyer resistance zaroor raha lekin kisi significant izafay ka deedar nahi hua. July 2024 se dekha jaye to prices consistently EMA 200 Daily trend line (red) se neeche hain jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke market par sellers ka control hai, to jo bhi izafa hota hai wo sirf ek correction hai. Filhal prices daily supply area mein hain jo ke MA5/MA10 Daily High ke qareeb hai, ye condition sellers ko massive selling action ka moqa de sakti hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke pichlay haftay ke trading mein aik gehra gap down create hua tha, aur prices is gap ko close karne mein kamyab bhi hue lekin yeh izafa lagta hai ke continue nahi ho sakta, kyun ke prices ko resistance 72.66 par rok raha hai.



Jab tak yeh yellow resistance buyers ke liye clear nahi hota, future movement bearish expect ki ja sakti hai, isliye hum optimal sell opportunities par focus kar sakte hain. Magar, aaj ka closing kaafi critical hai aur humein dekhna chahiye ke market kis had tak react karta hai. Kyun ke aakhri do din mein daily candle bullish pin bar ke taur par close hui hai. Magar, buyers upward momentum continue karne mein nakam rahe hain. Agar aaj ka candle bearish engulfing ke taur par close hota hai aur middle Bollinger bands ko penetrate karta hai, to aglay haftay ke trading mein hum sell position open kar sakte hain. Decline ka target blue demand zone ke qareeb 66.72 ho ga jo ke lower Bollinger bands area mein hai.

Magar, humein fundamental aspects ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye, khaaskar Middle East mein tension ka. Jese ke yeh sabse bara crude oil producing area hai, supply chain mein zara sa bhi disruption prices mein significant spike peda kar sakta hai. Yeh chizein humare sales plan ko aglay haftay ke liye khatam kar sakti hain. Aise scenarios se bachne ke liye, humein flexible stop loss aur logical profit taking ka istemal karna chahiye, bilkul fresh demand area 66.72 ke qareeb. Yahan se hum strong buyer reaction ko dekh kar buying opportunities dekh sakte hain jo ke prices ko dobara upar push kar sake.

Is waqt hum live crude oil price ko break down kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se ye kafi ahem hai, aur ye sirf aik trading strategy par mabni hai jo ke sahi tools ka istimaal karti hai, jaise ke stop loss aur take profit mechanisms. Waqt ke saath ye approach kam se kam risk aur kam tension ke sath overall profits generate karti hai. Middle East mein volatility jari reh sakti hai, jisse oil prices upar neeche ho sakti hain, lekin jo log sahi tools ke sath trading kar rahe hain, woh in changes se faida utha sakte hain. Mein oil market mein abhi tak zyada involve nahi hoon, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke sirf sidelines se dekhna kaafi nahi hoga. Filhaal mein sirf major currency pairs pe focus kar raha hoon. Anqareeb mein apne trading terminal se tamam assets aur cross currency pairs ko nikaal kar sirf major currency pairs par concentrate karunga taake kisi bhi distraction se bach sakoon.
Kal CL growth 71.03 tak pohanchi thi, jahan pe resistance mili aur pullback hua, aur M15 timeframe bearish ho gaya jisse price 69.88 tak neeche gayi. Yahan se oil ne bounce back kiya, aur mumkin hai ke M15 timeframe dobara bullish ho jaye agar price 70.81 ko break karti hai. Iss se price bearish H1 TF range tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 70.88 se 71.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur phir dobara pullback ho sakta hai. Agar H1 break ho jaye, toh upward movement bearish H4 TF zone tak extend ho sakti hai jo ke H1 pivot 72.67 se 74.41 tak hai, uske baad ek aur pullback ka imkan hai. Agar M15 TF bearish position mein rehta hai toh price H1 pivot 68.76 tak neeche ja sakti hai, aur agar ye level break hota hai toh agla decline 68.36 aur phir 67.45 tak ja sakta hai, jise tamaam bearish timeframes support karti hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke ye decline November 12 ke baad 63.71 tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin usse pehle flat movement ka aik phase bhi possible hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Crude Oil Price Outlook – Crude Oil Mein Bohut Zyada Girawat

Crude oil market ko Monday ki subah mein kaafi strong hit laga hai, aur hum is waqt bohat zyada volatility dekh rahe hain. Yeh ek aisa market hai jahan pe niche ke floor ke bare mein bohat se sawaal uth rahe hain, aur market ke bottom range ko bohat ahem samjha ja raha hai.

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil market mein Monday ki subah kuch girawat aayi hai, jese ke hum ne kaafi shaky aur noisy behavior dekha. Yeh baat yaad rahe ke demand ke bare mein kaafi concerns hain, lekin Donald Trump aur Republicans ke election ke saath United States mein ek haqeeqat yeh hai ke United States drilling ko kaafi drastically start kar sakta hai. Trump ke sath, ek ahem goal yeh bhi hai ke woh United States ko energy independent banayein aur energy market mein dominate karein.

Bohat se traders, khaaskar retail traders, ko yeh maloom nahi hai ke United States ke paas itna natural gas aur oil hai ke woh dunya ko 300 saalon tak power de sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke future mein market mein kaafi zyada supply aa sakti hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh bhi ek factor hai jo abhi hum dekh rahe hain. Lekin, waqayi, WTI Crude Oil Market ko $10 ki range mein bounce karna pasand hai. Hum $65 ke level ke qareeb ek significant support approach kar rahe hain. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke downside, kam az kam is waqt ke liye, kuch limited hai.



Brent market bhi kuch isi tarah ka lag raha hai. $70 ka level niche support hoga, jabke $80 upar resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Agar hum $70 ke niche breakdown karte hain, toh yeh $65 tak ke move ka rasta khol sakta hai. Yeh bhi ek aur sign hai global demand ke concerns ka. Lekin jab aap market ko dekhte hain, toh yeh woh area hai jahan hum pichle ek saal aur chhe mahine se testing kar rahe hain aur yeh pehle bhi kai martaba test hua hai. Is liye mujhe lagta hai ke jaldi ya dair se yeh technical signal hai ke phir se oil khareedna start karna chahiye. Magar filhal, aisa lagta hai ke humein thora neeche drift karna hoga us point tak pohanchne ke liye. Main oil ko short nahi karunga, trade ko chase karne ka koi faida nahi.

Crude Oil
Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis
Support aur Resistance Levels

Crude oil ke price mein aaj kal fluctuations hain, lekin kuch important support aur resistance levels pe focus karna zaroori hai. Pehla support level jo dekha jaa sakta hai woh hai $80 per barrel, jo ek strong base provide kar raha hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh price $75 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Upar ki taraf resistance $85 aur $90 per barrel par hai, jo short-term mein hurdle ka kaam kar sakte hain. Agar price $90 ko breach kar leta hai, toh ek strong bullish move expect kiya ja sakta hai.

Moving Averages aur Trend Direction

Agar hum moving averages ka analysis karein, toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko observe karna zaroori hai. Agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke upar cross karta hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal hota hai, jisse price aur upar jaane ka chance badhta hai. Filhal moving averages mix signals de rahe hain jo consolidation ya sideways trend ka indication hai. Lekin agar 50-day moving average neeche aata hai, toh downside momentum strong ho sakta hai.

RSI aur MACD Indicators

RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators bhi crude oil ke price ka trend samajhne mein help karte hain. Agar RSI 70 ke upar chala jaye, toh market overbought zone mein ho sakta hai, aur correction expected hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche aaye, toh yeh oversold zone hoga aur price mein bounce back ka chance ho sakta hai. MACD ka crossover bhi signal deta hai agar koi major trend reversal ho raha ho. Abhi MACD neutral range mein hai jo consolidation ka indication hai.

Overall Outlook

Overall, crude oil ki price ka trend short-term mein sideways lag raha hai, lekin agar koi strong support ya resistance level breach hota hai, toh ek fresh trend establish ho sakta hai. Market news aur geopolitical factors bhi crude oil ki price ko affect karte hain, toh traders ko in factors par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye.