سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai.
Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
si growth dikhayi hai, aur filhal Tuesday ke European market hours ke dauran $71.60 per barrel ke aas-paas trade ho rahi hain. Lekin yeh upward movement OPEC+ ke oil production strategies mein tabdeeli ke concerns ke darmiyan aa rahi hai, jahan reports ke mutabiq agle quarter mein output barhane par ghoor kiya ja raha hai. **Geopolitical Disruptions aur OPEC+ ki Speculations: Oil Supply aur Prices par Asar** Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Libya se ek achanak supply disruption se oil ki availability mein kafi kami aasakti hai, jahan Rapidan Energy Group ke consultants ne andaza lagaya hai ke 1 million barrels per day ka potential loss ho sakta hai. Yeh figure global oil supply ka takreeban 1% hai, jo dikhata hai ke geopolitical events ka market stability par kitna bara asar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Indonesia ki state-owned Pertamina November ke delivery ke liye Russian oil ke 5 million barrels khareedne ki tayari kar rahi hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Yeh tamam challenges barh rahe hain jab ke ek Greek-flagged tanker, Sounion, abhi bhi Red Sea mein jal raha hai. Yemen ke Houthi rebels ne rescue operations ki ijazat di hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain. Oil prices ko affect karne wala central issue yeh hai ke OPEC+ ke aath member states ke baare mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke woh jald hi apne voluntary production cuts ko unwind kar sakte hain, jo pehle June mein announce kiye gaye thay. Ab tak market participants yeh maan rahe thay ke yeh countries production increase mein dair karengi, market ki halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Lekin jitni dair yeh cuts lage rahenge, oil prices utni zyada downward pressure ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hain. **Current Market Dynamics aur WTI Oil ke Key Price Levels** Thursday ke early European session ke dauran, WTI prices mein thoda positive bias dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh $71.50 per barrel mark ke upar hover kar rahi hain. Is minor uptick ke bawajood, market mein strong bullish momentum ki kami hai, aur prices year-to-date lows ke kareeb hain, jo ke $65.26 hain, jo sirf ek din pehle tak pohanch gayi thi. Yeh trend is baat ko darshaata hai ke pichlay do mahine mein jo downtrend dekhne ko mila hai, woh barqaraar

Crude oil ke prices mein recent dinon mein kafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo kay kai supportive factors ki wajah se hai. Aik aham factor China ka 500 billion yuan ka stimulus package hai jo economy ko revitalise karne ke liye diya gaya hai. Ye liquidity injection crude oil ki demand ko barhane ki umeed hai, kyunke China ek bara consumer hai is commodity ka. Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments jese kay United Nations ki supportive stances ne bhi oil prices ko mazeed hawa di hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne kuch strength dikhayi hai, magar wo abhi tak narrow trading range mein hai aur koi decisive breakout nahi kar saka. Is ne crude oil market mein bullish sentiment ko mazeed support diya hai. In tamam factors ki wajah se oil prices critical $71.46 level se upar chalay gaye hain, jo ke aik aham milestone hai. Agar yeh positive momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh aik strong possibility hai ke crude oil prices is haftay ke end tak $75 tak pohanch jayein. Is se mazeed izafa hoke $75.27 tak bhi ja sakta hai, jo ke 12 January se ab tak ka sabse ooncha level hai, provided ke teen primary catalysts market ko support karte rahain. Magar 55-day simple moving average (SMA) jo $74.31 par hai, temporarily upward trajectory ko rok sakti hai. Jab $75.27 breach hota hai, toh next resistance level $76.45 ka hoga, jahan 100-day SMA kaam karegi. Doosri taraf agar price pull back hota hai, toh $71.46 level support ke tor par kaam karega na ke resistance. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, toh $67.11, jo summer 2023 ka triple bottom hai, support provide kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa $64.38 level, jo March aur May 2023 mein significant tha, potential decline ke liye floor ka kaam karega.
In conclusion, crude oil ke liye current bullish environment ko Chinese stimulus, geopolitical support, aur relatively stable US Dollar ne base diya hai. Agar yeh conditions barqarar rehti hain, toh aane wale hafton mein prices mein mazeed izafa hone ka strong potential hai. Crude oil ne guzishta hafta apni moderate recovery ko jaari rakha, aur naye local highs set kiye. Price ne signal zone mein jaldi se mazid taqat hasil ki aur reversal level ke upar chali gayi. Is liye, umeed ke baraks, jo anticipated decline recovery thi, wo nahi hui. Filhal, price chart supertrend green zone mein hai, jo ke buyers ke taraf se pressure ka izhar karta hai.

Aaj kal ke crude oil ke rate ke mutaliq jo movement hui hai, uss se lagta hai ke price wapis apne channel main aa gaya hai, magar ab tak koi wazeh signal nahi mila ke yeh growth karega. Jo zaroori resistance hai, wo 72.41 ke level par hai, jabke oil ko ek aham support price zone ka samna hai jo ke 70.01-69.61 ke aas paas hai. Agar price 70.01-69.61 ke neechay break kar jata hai, toh pehla target 67.71 hoga, aur ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche 65-66 tak gir jaye. Lekin abhi tak yeh sirf ek andaza hai jab tak koi pukhta signal nahi milta.
Agar hum lower channel ko dekhen, toh price 60-62 tak bhi ja sakta hai, magar iske liye koi zabardast catalyst zaroori hoga. China ne apni economy mein 100 billion yuan ka investment kiya hai growth ko barhane ke liye, magar yeh asar shayad utna nahi hoga jitna umeed thi. Western investments ka pull out hona bhi cheezon ko mushkil bana raha hai, jo oil prices par aur bhi pressure daal sakta hai, jab tak conditions nahi badaltin.
Daily chart par, ek descending channel wazeh hai, jisme oil July se trade kar raha hai, jo 84.51 ke level se shuru hua tha. Is bearish channel mein teesri wave decline ki ban rahi hai, aur sellers ka goal hai ke wo pichlay local minimum ko dobara test karein. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh mazeed decline ka intezaar hai, jisme naye local lows ban sakte hain. Price 69.81 tak gir gaya tha, aur phir rebound hoke 70.32 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke oil apne downward trend ko dobara shuru kar raha hai, jisme bears ka target pichla local low 69.51 ko dobara test karna hai. Main expect karta hoon ke aaj yeh level dekhne ko mile, magar main American trading session ke doosray hisson mein selling se gurez karunga, kyun ke wahan high volatility aur achanak price swings hoti hain. Lagta hai ke jab tak koi bara driver saamne nahi aata, oil prices par pressure bana rahega, aur agle sessions mein further declines ke chances hain.

Geopolitical instability, jo Lebanon mein barhti huwi hamlayon ki wajah se badh gayi hai, ne global oil market mein kaafi uncertainty daal di hai. Aise waqiyat aam tor par supply disruptions ka khauf barhate hain, jo ke price fluctuations ka sabab ban sakte hain. In masa'il ko aur bhi mushkil banata hai US Dollar Index, jo ke iss waqt apni saal bhar ki neeche wali satah ke qareeb hai. Kamzor dollar aksar oil prices ko support karta hai kyun ke crude oil dollar mein trade hota hai; is se international buyers ke liye oil zyada affordable ho jata hai, jo demand ko barha sakta hai. Market participants khaas tor par Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ke aanay wale remarks par focus kiye huwe hain. Unka bayaan future monetary policy ke liye expectations ko shape kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar ki taqat aur oil prices par asar daal sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve dovish stance apnati hai, to investors commodities ko, jaise ke crude oil, zyada pasand karenge as dollar-denominated assets ke alternatives. Filhaal, crude oil $67.00 support zone ke aas paas stable hai, jo ke geopolitical tensions ke bawajood kuch resilience ka izhaar karta hai. Magar market ko mushkilat ka samna hai jab ke key resistance levels ke qareeb hai. Traders har us development par nazar rakhe hue hain jo supply ya demand ko affect kar sakti hai. Agar geopolitical risks barhte hain, to oil supplies disrupt ho sakti hain aur prices upar ja sakti hain, jab ke US se anay wale economic signals downward pressure daal sakte hain. Ye naazuk balance oil prices ke qareeb future mein direction ka tayun karega.
Crude oil ne technical angle se retracement dekhi hai aur ab $67.51 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai jab ke wo 200-day moving average ke qareeb pahunchne ki koshish kar raha tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 60.00 threshold ko briefly cross kiya, jo ke potential bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai, magar phir jaldi se wapis aaya, jo ke market ki indecision ko highlight karta hai. $69.49 ka level ek aham selling zone ke tor par saamne aaya hai, jahan profit-taking ne prices par downward pressure daala hai. Is selling activity se yeh zahir hota hai ke jab market $67.00 support ke aas paas stabilize hone ki koshish kar raha hai, usay kaafi resistance ka samna hai jo ek strong recovery ko limit kar sakti hai. Local support $67.00 par oil prices ke aglay direction ka faisla karne mein aham hoga. Analysts ko ye fikr hai ke ye support level itna mazboot nahi ke downward trend ko reverse kar sake. Agar price is level ke upar maintain karne mein nakaam hoti hai, to $65.28 mark tak decline ke imkanaat hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni hogi aur price movements ko closely monitor karna hoga, kyun ke agar price $67.00 se neeche girti hai, to aur zyada selling pressure shuru ho sakta hai. Kul mila kar, technical indicators short term mein bearish sentiment ko suggest karte hain, jo ke pehle ke selling zones aur ehtiyaati investor sentiment se weighed down hai. Magar agar price momentum regain karta hai aur $69.00 se upar ke resistance levels ko break karta hai, to yeh ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift ko zahir kar sakta hai.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay week ke doran crude oil ka rally jaari rahi, jahan new local highs ko touch kiya gaya, lekin phir sharp correction dekhne ko mili. Price 74.28 ke level par support milne ke baad rally hui magar 82.22 ke qareeb resistance encounter karte hi niche retreat kar gaya aur kuch loss face kiya. Yeh movement target zone ke andar hai jo pichli review ke mutabiq expected thi. Sath hi price chart super-trend red zone mein move karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo selling pressure ke barhnay ko indicate karta hai.

Technically, hamara bias bearish hai magar cautious approach ke sath, negative simple moving average crossover price pe upar se pressure dal raha hai. Intraday trade 69.30 pe stable hai jahan broken supports dekhne ko milti hain. Agle kuch ghanton mein bearish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai jahan pe pehla target 66.30 ka hoga, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to oil prices ka loss barhta chala jayega aur 65.20 tak ka rasta khul jaye ga. Upar ki taraf dekha jaye to agar 69.30 ke upar break hoti hai aur price consolidation hoti hai to oil prices ko wapas growth ke official level pe layega, jahan targets 71.10 aur 71.95 hain.



Filhal price mixed trading ke sath halki decline show kar raha hai, weekly high ko touch karne ke baad. Badi support areas test ho chuki hain aur successful hold hui hain, jo upward vector ki relevance ko barkarar rakhti hain. Isko resume karne ke liye price ko confidently 75.99 ke level ke upar break karna hoga, jahan key support area ka border hai. Is area ka dobara retest aur rebound upward momentum ko target karne ka mauqa faraham karega, jo ke 82.22 se le kar 84.67 tak hoga.

Agar support break hoti hai aur 74.28 ke reversal level ke niche girti hai to yeh current scenario ka reversal indicate karega.

Crude oil ki qeemat abhi tak bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, aur ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke movement zyada strong hogi. Jo price increase dikhai de raha hai, wo sirf aik secondary response hai, jo lower high bana kar phir se niche girne ka signal de raha hai, jisse aik naya lower low create hoga. Jo price girne ka rally thi, us ne support (S1) 65.41 ko hit kiya lekin wahan false break ya rejection ka samna karna pada aur phir se upar chali gayi. Correction phase mein gain ke bawajood price pivot point (PP) 69.90 ko touch karne ke baad zyada upar nahi ja saki. Aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bhi mojood hai, jo ke price ke mazeed niche jaane ka signal de raha hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hue, histogram jo level 0 ya positive area mein hai, aik upward trend dikhata hai. Yeh response hai corrected price movement ka, lekin volume itna zyada nahi hai. Price ka pehla trend pivot point (PP) 69.90 ya EMA 50 ke ird gird consolidate karne ka ho sakta hai, rather than ke resistance (R1) 72.64 tak jaari rahe. Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke zariye overbought zone mein do dafa cross hone par, jo levels 90 aur 80 hain, purchasing saturation point ko dikhaya ja raha hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke crude oil ki qeemat ke niche girne ka achha chance hai instead of upar jaane ke. Agar lower low-lower high structure aur price movement ka bearish trend waise hi rahta hai, toh trading option ko selling par focus karna chahiye. Position ka entry point pivot point (PP) 69.90 aur EMA 50 ke darmiyan hoga. Confirmation ke liye, aap wait kar sakte hain jab stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara overbought zone mein level 90–80 par cross karein. AO indicator ka volume histogram, jo uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, kam ho sakta hai jab level 0 ke qareeb aayega.
Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Libya se ek achanak supply disruption se oil ki availability mein kafi kami aasakti hai, jahan Rapidan Energy Group ke consultants ne andaza lagaya hai ke 1 million barrels per day ka potential loss ho sakta hai. Yeh figure global oil supply ka takreeban 1% hai, jo dikhata hai ke geopolitical events ka market stability par kitna bara asar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Indonesia ki state-owned Pertamina November ke delivery ke liye Russian oil ke 5 million barrels khareedne ki tayari kar rahi hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Yeh tamam challenges barh rahe hain jab ke ek Greek-flagged tanker, Sounion, abhi bhi Red Sea mein jal raha hai. Yemen ke Houthi rebels ne rescue operations ki ijazat di hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain.
Oil prices ko affect karne wala central issue yeh hai ke OPEC+ ke aath member states ke baare mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke woh jald hi apne voluntary production cuts ko unwind kar sakte hain, jo pehle June mein announce kiye gaye thay. Ab tak market participants yeh maan rahe thay ke yeh countries production increase mein dair karengi, market ki halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Lekin jitni dair yeh cuts lage rahenge, oil prices utni zyada downward pressure ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hain.

Hamari mojooda tehqeeq mai hum crude oil ki keematain tafseel se daikh rahay hain jo is waqt consolidation phase se guzar rahi hain. Iska matlab hai keematain aik musalsal dairaay main hain jo market ke kharid aur farokht karnay walay afrad kay darmiyan tawazun ka izhar karti hain. Is waqt keematain Exponential Moving Averages (EMA-34 aur EMA-55) se neeche chal rahi hain, jo market ke liye short aur medium term mai ehtiyaat ke sath bearish rujhan ka ishara de rahi hain.

Ek ahem support level 69.67 par mojood hai, jo kai baar neeche janay ki koshishon kay bawajood mazboot saabit hua hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke is level par kharidari ka rujhan mazboot hai. Lekin, agar baar baar is support ka imtihan liya jaye, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke is ki taqat kam ho rahi hai. Agar 69.67 ka level tord diya gaya, to keematain 66.12 ke aas paas aglay support zone tak gir sakti hain. Yeh sorat-e-haal yeh wazeh karti hai ke daikhna zaroori hai ke keematain kaise harkat karti hain, kyon ke agar yeh level toot gaya to zyada gehra girawat dekhnay ko mil sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar kharidari ke liye dekha jaye, to resistance ka level 71.85 par hai jo kharidaaron ka markazi nuqta hai. Agar crude oil is resistance ko tor kar apni position barqarar rakh le, to is se bullish rally ka raasta 76.18 ki taraf khul sakta hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye, kyon ke 71.85 par kai bearish candlestick patterns bhi nazar aate hain, jo ye batate hain ke farokht ka dabbaw ab bhi mojood hai.

Yeh sorat-e-haal is baat par zor deti hai ke traders ko kisi bhi buy position lenay se pehle poori tehqiqat karni chahiye, kyon ke in key levels ke aas paas price dynamics mustaqbil ke rujhan ko mutasir karain ge. Is unexpected stockpile kami ka matlab hai ke consumers ka demand mazboot hai, jo oil keematain support kar sakta hai jab ke traders iqtisadi harkaton ko dekhte hue geopolitics ko bhi madde nazar rakhen. Aakhir mai, crude oil market aik pechida sorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai jahan technical levels aur wassi iqtisadi asraat mil kar keematain mutasir kar rahay hain. Traders ko in tabdeeliat ko samajh kar apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai taa ke wo is volatile market mai behtareen position le saken.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Crude oil ne pichly week ke decline ke baad apni gains ko resume karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh significant resistance 79.54 par milne ke baad wapas decline karta raha aur 74.28 par end hua. Yeh expected scenario ke bilkul opposite tha, jahan target area miss ho gaya. Iske ilawa, price chart abhi tak supertrend ki red zone mein hai, jo barhte hue selling pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Technical nazriya se hum trade par negative stance lena prefer karain gay magar caution ke sath, aur stochastics par bhi rely karain gay taa ke 4-hour time frame mein upside potential miss na ho. Humain sirf yeh dekhna hai ke price 73.45 (61.80% Fibonacci retracement) ke support se neechay trade karay, jo oil prices ko intraday bearish trend banane par majboor karay ga, target 71.90 (50.0% retracement ke qareeb) rakha jaye ga. Dosri taraf, agar price 74.80 ke resistance se ooper break karti hai to bearish scenario disrupt ho sakta hai aur oil prices ka uptrend continue hota dekh sakte hain, jahan target 77.45 ho ga.



Abhi prices clearly declining hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Key support areas tense hain aur break ho chuke hain, jo preferred vector ke downside shift ko indicate karte hain. Is cheez ki tasdeeq ke liye price ko 75.99 se neechay consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance area border kar raha hai. Aik aur retest aur subsequent bounce decline ka mauqa faraham karain ge, target 71.92 aur 69.79 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 78.09 ke pivot level se ooper move karti hai to yeh current scenario ka reversal indicate karay ga.

apne channel main aa gaya hai, magar ab tak koi wazeh signal nahi mila ke yeh growth karega. Jo zaroori resistance hai, wo 72.41 ke level par hai, jabke oil ko ek aham support price zone ka samna hai jo ke 70.01-69.61 ke aas paas hai. Agar price 70.01-69.61 ke neechay break kar jata hai, toh pehla target 67.71 hoga, aur ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche 65-66 tak gir jaye. Lekin abhi tak yeh sirf ek andaza hai jab tak koi pukhta signal nahi milta. Agar hum lower channel ko dekhen, toh price 60-62 tak bhi ja sakta hai, magar iske liye koi zabardast catalyst zaroori hoga. China ne apni economy mein 100 billion yuan ka investment kiya hai growth ko barhane ke liye, magar yeh asar shayad utna nahi hoga jitna umeed thi. Western investments ka pull out hona bhi cheezon ko mushkil bana raha hai, jo oil prices par aur bhi pressure daal sakta hai, jab tak conditions nahi badaltin.
Daily chart par, ek descending channel wazeh hai, jisme oil July se trade kar raha hai, jo 84.51 ke level se shuru hua tha. Is bearish channel mein teesri wave decline ki ban rahi hai, aur sellers ka goal hai ke wo pichlay local minimum ko dobara test karein. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh mazeed decline ka intezaar hai, jisme naye local lows ban sakte hain. Price 69.81 tak gir gaya tha, aur phir rebound hoke 70.32 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke oil apne downward trend ko dobara shuru kar raha hai, jisme bears ka target pichla local low 69.51 ko dobara test karna hai. Main expect karta hoon ke aaj yeh level dekhne ko mile, magar main American trading session ke doosray hisson mein selling se gurez karunga, kyun ke wahan high volatility aur achanak price swings hoti hain. Lagta hai ke jab tak koi bara driver saamne nahi aata, oil prices par pressure bana rahega, aur agle sessions mein further declines ke chances hain.

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai. Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai.

Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Crude oil ki current price behavior ko samjhtay hain, khaas tor par West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ka H4 chart. H4 chart pe jo downward price channel dikh raha hai, wo zyada wazeh hai, lekin yeh same descending pattern daily chart par bhi nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke 64.00 ke qareeb support level se rebound ke baad ek nayi growth wave shuru hui hai. Buyers ka target ab 73.00 ya 74.00 tak pohanchna hai, jahan pe price ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Iss point par ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke downward trend ko barkarar rakhay ga. Agar September options ka analysis kiya jaye, toh central liquidity zone 67.33 aur 69.32 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke Monday ki trading ko iss range mein rok sakti hai. Agar price 69.32 se upar nikalta hai, toh 70.66 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar price 67.32 se neeche girta hai, toh phir yeh price ko 65.40 tak ya phir 64.27 ka naya low update kar sakta hai. Daily chart ko dekha jaye, toh Side Wedge flat pattern ka pehle break ho chuka hai. Sellers ne wedge ke lower boundary ko teen martaba test kiya, aur teesri koshish mein wedge toot gaya, jisse oil ki price 64.00 tak gir gayi aur ek naya local low bana. Iss drop ke baad, 64.00 ke rebound se ek corrective rise shuru hui, jo ke Friday tak 69.00 tak pohanchi, magar buyers ko mazeed push karna mushkil ho gaya. Ab bhi ek descending price channel market movement ko guide kar raha hai. Oil ka steady corrective growth chal raha hai jo shayad 73.00 ya 72.00 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karega. CL oil weekly wave ka target 68.36 tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab yeh price 69.36 aur 67.36 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mitigate block, jo ek ahem resistance zone hai, ne price ko upar rokne ki koshish ki hai, lekin downward pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar price 68.50 se neeche girta hai, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aur zyada neeche ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 69.50 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 71.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Technical indicators is waqt yeh suggest karte hain ke price mein thodi aur barhwat ka imkaan hai, magar kisi significant drop se pehle. Traders ko in key levels ka ghoor se dekhna hoga taake agle possible price moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

USOIL ke is 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, hum ye dekhte hain ke market mein is waqt ek downtrend (neeche ki taraf rujhan) chal raha hai. Chart mein do major technical indicators lagaye gaye hain jo humein market ke movement ka idea de rahe hain: Moving Averages aur Parabolic SAR. Sabse pehle, hum Moving Averages ka zikar karte hain. Is chart mein do lines dikh rahi hain, aik yellow aur aik white. Yeh lines alag alag time frames ka average bata rahi hain. Yellow line jo zyada recent periods ka average hai, wo white line ke upar se neeche ki taraf cross kar chuki hai. Iska matlab hota hai ke ab market mein bearish trend chal raha hai. Jab bhi choti time frame ki moving average badi time frame ki moving average ke neeche chali jaati hai, to yeh negative signal hota hai. Doosra indicator jo chart pe laga hai, wo hai Parabolic SAR. Is mein humein green dots dekhne ko mil rahe hain jo price ke upar hain, aur yeh humein market ke neeche jaane ka ishara de rahe hain. Jab SAR ke dots price ke upar hoon, to yeh downward trend ko confirm karte hain.

Is chart ka ek aur aham hissa hai RSI (Relative Strength Index). Is waqt RSI 31 ke aas paas chal raha hai. Yeh humein batata hai ke market oversold zone ke qareeb hai. Jab RSI 30 se neeche jaata hai to yeh iska matlab hota hai ke price itni gir chuki hai ke wahan se wapas uthne ka imkaan hota hai. Halanki abhi RSI oversold nahi hai, magar qareebi hissa hai jo indicate karta hai ke price yahan se recover kar sakti hai. Is chart mein support aur resistance ke important levels bhi marked hain. **Support level** ke taur pe 68.26 aur us se neeche 66.26 ka level dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar price girti hai to yeh levels important honge. Wahi doosri taraf resistance ke liye 73.78 aur 76.77 ka level hai. Agar price wapas uthti hai to yeh points important honge. Aakhri baat, is waqt market ka overall momentum bearish hai, magar RSI ke madde nazar ye bhi mumkin hai ke market yahan se kisi support level par stabilize hoke recover karay. Trading karte waqt in sab indicators ka khayal rakhein aur apne risk management ko zaroor madde nazar rakhein.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Crude oil ne last trading week mai apni decline ko continue karne ki koshish ki, lekin wo important mark ko break nahi kar saka aur narrow range mai fluctuate karta raha. Price ne 74.28 pe support dhondha, jahan thodi der ke liye consolidate kiya, lekin jab neeche break karne ki koshish ki to stabilize nahi ho saka. Is ke baad price ne upward move ki taraf try ki aur 75.99 tak gaya, lekin expected resistance level ko nahi touch kar saka. Is ka matlab ye hai ke target area abhi tak active hai lekin expected conditions nahi poori hui. Dusri taraf, price chart super-trend green zone mai enter hone lagi, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers apne losses minimize karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Technically, aaj ka din decline resume karne ka chance hai, agar negative pressure simple moving average pe barqarar rahe aur resistance 70.60 ke neeche consolidate kare. Is liye hum apni negative expectations ko maintain karte hain aur downtrend sab se ziada likely scenario hai. Pehla target 68.80 ka hoga, jise break karke growth ko accelerate kiya ja sakta hai, aur direct path 67.90 tak khul sakta hai, jahan losses 67.00 tak barh sakte hain. Hum yaad dilate hain ke agar price 70.35 se upar stabilize ho jaye aur khaas tor pe 70.60 se upar rahe, to proposed scenario activate nahi hoga, aur 71.00 aur 71.80 ka retest temporary recovery ka signal dega, jab tak koi nayi drop oil prices mai na aaye.



Abhi ke liye, price mixed directions mai trade ho rahi hai aur weekly basis pe neutral hai. Key resistance area test hua tha, lekin intact raha, jisse quotes ko bounce mil gaya, jo ke downward vector ki relevance ko reinforce karta hai. Agar price recover karni hai to usay confidently 75.99 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo central resistance zone ka border hai. Aik aur test aur is area se rebound downward fall ka chance dega, jahan target area 71.92 aur 69.79 hoga.

Agar resistance break ho jata hai aur 78.09 pivot level ke upar jaata hai, to ye current situation ke reversal ka signal hoga.