سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Crude oil ki qeemat abhi tak bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, aur ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke movement zyada strong hogi. Jo price increase dikhai de raha hai, wo sirf aik secondary response hai, jo lower high bana kar phir se niche girne ka signal de raha hai, jisse aik naya lower low create hoga. Jo price girne ka rally thi, us ne support (S1) 65.41 ko hit kiya lekin wahan false break ya rejection ka samna karna pada aur phir se upar chali gayi. Correction phase mein gain ke bawajood price pivot point (PP) 69.90 ko touch karne ke baad zyada upar nahi ja saki. Aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bhi mojood hai, jo ke price ke mazeed niche jaane ka signal de raha hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hue, histogram jo level 0 ya positive area mein hai, aik upward trend dikhata hai. Yeh response hai corrected price movement ka, lekin volume itna zyada nahi hai. Price ka pehla trend pivot point (PP) 69.90 ya EMA 50 ke ird gird consolidate karne ka ho sakta hai, rather than ke resistance (R1) 72.64 tak jaari rahe. Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke zariye overbought zone mein do dafa cross hone par, jo levels 90 aur 80 hain, purchasing saturation point ko dikhaya ja raha hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke crude oil ki qeemat ke niche girne ka achha chance hai instead of upar jaane ke. Agar lower low-lower high structure aur price movement ka bearish trend waise hi rahta hai, toh trading option ko selling par focus karna chahiye. Position ka entry point pivot point (PP) 69.90 aur EMA 50 ke darmiyan hoga. Confirmation ke liye, aap wait kar sakte hain jab stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara overbought zone mein level 90–80 par cross karein. AO indicator ka volume histogram, jo uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, kam ho sakta hai jab level 0 ke qareeb aayega.

acha din ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upar hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko darshata hai jo 81.10 ke level tak barhna chahte hain. Jab target tak pohnch jayenge, movement dheemi ho jayegi. Kamzori ki wajah se volatility barhegi, aur market dheere dheere kamzor hote jayegi, isliye correction ke saath recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke upper part ko purchases ke liye consider nahi karna chahiye, correction ka intezar karna chahiye jo 79.38 ke level tak aa sakta hai. Wahan se purchases ka entry consider kar sakte hain. Agar 79.38 ke niche fixation hoti hai, toh bears apna asar dikhayenge jo market ko neeche le ja sakta hai, isliye is background mein purchases uninteresting ho jaati hain. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bull kitna active hai, jyaada angle ka matlab hai ke buyer strong hai. Strong angle usually market news ka indicator hota hai jo achi movement ko contribute karta hai. Main H1 par linear regression channel ko primary source ke roop mein use karta hoon movements determine karne ke liye. M15 channel ek auxiliary channel hai jo bullish picture ko ab highlight karta hai aur growing trend ko darshata hai. Channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, is instrument ke zariye bullish mood ko characterize kiya ja sakta hai. Jab younger period par signal break hota hai, toh 78.45 ke level tak decline ka intezar karna chahiye, jahan se fir se purchases ko re-consider kiya ja sakta hai 80.49 tak. Channel ke upper boundary par jab bulls hon, toh purchases aur sales dono se cautious rehna chahiye.

Meri trading ka principle H1 channel ke direction mein trade karna hai kyunki ye mera main channel hai. Younger channel par entry ko clarify karna aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna accha hota hai jab correction minimal ho. Waise to oil prices ke changes se gas station ki prices badhti ya kam hoti hain, aur stock exchange par oil girne par bhi oil prices unchanged rahte hain, mujhe ye jokes pata hain. Aur ye correlations sirf oil ke saath nahi hote. Mere liye kuch nahi badla. Main ab bhi $65 per barrel ka price tag expect karta hoon strategic satisfaction ke liye. Dekhte hain.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mein crude oil ne kuch moderate recovery ki, aur 69.79 ke support level pe ruk kar thori si recovery shuru ki. Price ne signal zone ka border 71.92 pe break kiya aur reversal level 74.28 tak pohanch gayi, jahan price ruk gayi. Ye movement pichlay diagnostic expectations se thora mukhtalif tha, kyun ke price target area tak nahi pohanch saki. Chart ab supertrend ki green zone mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers apni purchasing power ko hold kar rahay hain.

Market Fed ki expectations ko already price kar chuka hai, jahan pe umeed hai ke Federal Reserve 50 basis points tak interest rates cut karega aglay chand dino mein. Treasury yields bhi isi dauran upar gayi hain. Fed ke decision par markets aur asset trading ka reaction thoda muted raha, jahan price momentum flat raha. Thursday ko, US stocks mein izafa dekha gaya jab Federal Reserve ne 5 basis points ka rate cut announce kiya, jo ke chaar saal mein pehli dafa tha, aur saath hi quantitative easing ka aik naya round shuru kiya gaya.



Abhi prices weekly highs ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain, lekin aik critical resistance zone abhi bhi pressure mein hai aur breakout abhi tak nahi hua, jo ke bearish side ko thori priority de raha hai. Agar price rally continue karna chahti hai to usay pehle 71.92 ke neeche retreat karna hoga aur wahan consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone ka border hai. Agar yeh area retest hota hai aur wahan se rebound aata hai, to yeh aik aur negative impact ka chance create karega jo 67.29 aur 63.76 ke area ko target karega.

Agar price 74.28 ke pivot level ke upar chali gayi to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Crude oil ke daam Wednesday ko thoda barh gaye, jahan Brent crude futures 45 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $76.93 per barrel ho gaye. Is ke muqabil, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 47 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $73.67 per barrel ho gaya. Halankeh ye bullish move tha, Brent crude ke daam phir bhi saat mahine ke low ke qareeb hain, jo ke kam demand aur U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se pressure mein hain. Is haftay ke aghaz mein, Brent crude futures ne apna sab se kam level achieve kiya jo ke January ke shuruat se tha, jab ke WTI futures ne February ke baad se sab se kam level par pohnch gaye. Ye girawat stock market ki broader rout ka hissa thi, jo ke kamzor jobs data ke baad U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se shuru hui thi.
Naye data ke mutabiq, Chinese trade data ne dikhaya ke daily crude oil imports July mein September 2022 ke baad se sab se kam ho gaye. U.S. data ne bhi unexpected increase ko crude oil aur gasoline inventories mein dikhaya. Market sources ne Tuesday ko American Petroleum Institute ke data ka zikr kiya, jisme U.S. crude oil, gasoline, aur distillate inventories mein izafa dekha gaya.
Total mein, oil prices ka base case kamzor demand growth ke concerns se dominate ho raha hai. China se naye data ne trade balance mein sharp drop dikhaya, daily crude oil imports ko nearly do saal ke sab se kam level par le aaya. Ye, U.S. economy ke slowdown ke signals ke saath, oil prices par niche ki taraf pressure badha raha hai.
WTI prices sell mode mein hain, jahan prices descending triangle ke top se rebound karne ke baad girti ja rahi hain. Prices ab triangle ke bottom ke qareeb $68.20 per barrel pohnch rahi hain. 100 SMA, 200 SMA se upar hai, jo ke uptrend ke liye ek mazboot resistance path ko suggest karta hai, ya phir support area ki taraf ek pullback ka bhi indication hai. Dusri taraf, crude oil dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke triangle ke top ke qareeb dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
Stochastics oscillator oversold territory se nikalne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke waapas aane ka signal de raha hai, aur oscillator ke paas buyers ke thakne se pehle uthane ka kafi space hai. RSI ne abhi tak oversold territory nahi cross ki, lekin ye bhi north move karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke waapas aane ka indication hai

Monday ko market mein ek bearish emotion tha, lekin aaj market ka direction ulta lag raha hai, kyun ke price ne four-hour chart par effortlessly ek acha southern candle close kiya hai. Guzishta trading week mein #CL ke liye apna maximum update karna mushkil tha, lekin humari rising trajectory ko dekhte hue kuch rationale nazar aata hai. Phir bhi, is hafte ka increase zyada pleasant ho sakta hai, aur 70.70 ke support level se buy karne ka acha chance mil sakta hai. Mujhe yeh bhi lagta hai ke price in levels se niche gir sakta hai aur agla target 68.75 tak jaa sakta hai. Agar bears is level ke niche aur strong ho gaye, toh main $65.27 per barrel ka drop dekhunga. H1 chart par, Europe se aane wali negative economic data oil ko rebound mein madad de sakti hai, lekin US se aane wali negative data demand ko kam kar ke Middle East concerns ke price premium ko negate kar sakti hai. Agar hum chart ko enlarge karein, toh dekha ja sakta hai ke downward reaction ek blue-colored trend line se aa raha hai. Yeh trend line ka chautha touch ho chuka hai, aur sellers ke liye kaafi successful tha, jo ke lagbhag 300 points ka drop ka chance deta hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke black oil price kal ke downward pattern se break kar raha hai, aur local maximum 71.81 tak chhuta hai. Yeh dobara climb hone ka indication hai, aur main apne goal level 71.08 ka intezar kar raha hoon. Options limited hain, lekin oil ne is direction mein kaafi progress ki hai, toh chance abhi bhi exist karta hai. Ye overall aapki current market analysis ka ek tafseel hai, aur future price movements ko dhyan mein rakh kar aapko trading decisions lene ka acha moka mil sakta hai.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ke prices ne do consecutive sessions ke liye thodi si growth dikhayi hai, aur filhal Tuesday ke European market hours ke dauran $71.60 per barrel ke aas-paas trade ho rahi hain. Lekin yeh upward movement OPEC+ ke oil production strategies mein tabdeeli ke concerns ke darmiyan aa rahi hai, jahan reports ke mutabiq agle quarter mein output barhane par ghoor kiya ja raha hai.

Geopolitical Disruptions aur OPEC+ ki Speculations: Oil Supply aur Prices par Asar

Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Libya se ek achanak supply disruption se oil ki availability mein kafi kami aasakti hai, jahan Rapidan Energy Group ke consultants ne andaza lagaya hai ke 1 million barrels per day ka potential loss ho sakta hai. Yeh figure global oil supply ka takreeban 1% hai, jo dikhata hai ke geopolitical events ka market stability par kitna bara asar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Indonesia ki state-owned Pertamina November ke delivery ke liye Russian oil ke 5 million barrels khareedne ki tayari kar rahi hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Yeh tamam challenges barh rahe hain jab ke ek Greek-flagged tanker, Sounion, abhi bhi Red Sea mein jal raha hai. Yemen ke Houthi rebels ne rescue operations ki ijazat di hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain.

Oil prices ko affect karne wala central issue yeh hai ke OPEC+ ke aath member states ke baare mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke woh jald hi apne voluntary production cuts ko unwind kar sakte hain, jo pehle June mein announce kiye gaye thay. Ab tak market participants yeh maan rahe thay ke yeh countries production increase mein dair karengi, market ki halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Lekin jitni dair yeh cuts lage rahenge, oil prices utni zyada downward pressure ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hain.

Current Market Dynamics aur WTI Oil ke Key Price Levels

Thursday ke early European session ke dauran, WTI prices mein thoda positive bias dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh $71.50 per barrel mark ke upar hover kar rahi hain. Is minor uptick ke bawajood, market mein strong bullish momentum ki kami hai, aur prices year-to-date lows ke kareeb hain, jo ke $65.26 hain, jo sirf ek din pehle tak pohanch gayi thi. Yeh trend is baat ko darshaata hai ke pichlay do mahine mein jo downtrend dekhne ko mila hai, woh barqaraar reh sakta hai.

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Market analysts kuch critical price levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo future movements ke liye signal de sakti hain. Sabse pehla significant resistance level $72.27 hai, jo regain karna zaroori hai. Agar prices is threshold ko break kar leti hain, to attention double level par shift hogi jo $71.31 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke ek descending trendline aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath align karta hai. Agar is point ke upar successful breakout hota hai, to 100-day SMA, jo filhal $71.25 par hai, ek resistance barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.




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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ke prices ne do consecutive sessions ke liye thodi si growth dikhayi hai, aur filhal Tuesday ke European market hours ke dauran $71.60 per barrel ke aas-paas trade ho rahi hain. Lekin yeh upward movement OPEC+ ke oil production strategies mein tabdeeli ke concerns ke darmiyan aa rahi hai, jahan reports ke mutabiq agle quarter mein output barhane par ghoor kiya ja raha hai. **Geopolitical Disruptions aur OPEC+ ki Speculations: Oil Supply aur Prices par Asar** Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Libya se ek achanak supply disruption se oil ki availability mein kafi kami aasakti hai, jahan Rapidan Energy Group ke consultants ne andaza lagaya hai ke 1 million barrels per day ka potential loss ho sakta hai. Yeh figure global oil supply ka takreeban 1% hai, jo dikhata hai ke geopolitical events ka market stability par kitna bara asar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Indonesia ki state-owned Pertamina November ke delivery ke liye Russian oil ke 5 million barrels khareedne ki tayari kar rahi hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Yeh tamam challenges barh rahe hain jab ke ek Greek-flagged tanker, Sounion, abhi bhi Red Sea mein jal raha hai. Yemen ke Houthi rebels ne rescue operations ki ijazat di hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain. Oil prices ko affect karne wala central issue yeh hai ke OPEC+ ke aath member states ke baare mein yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke woh jald hi apne voluntary production cuts ko unwind kar sakte hain, jo pehle June mein announce kiye gaye thay. Ab tak market participants yeh maan rahe thay ke yeh countries production increase mein dair karengi, market ki halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Lekin jitni dair yeh cuts lage rahenge, oil prices utni zyada downward pressure ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hain. **Current Market Dynamics aur WTI Oil ke Key Price Levels** Thursday ke early European session ke dauran, WTI prices mein thoda positive bias dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh $71.50 per barrel mark ke upar hover kar rahi hain. Is minor uptick ke bawajood, market mein strong bullish momentum ki kami hai, aur prices year-to-date lows ke kareeb hain, jo ke $65.26 hain, jo sirf ek din pehle tak pohanch gayi thi. Yeh trend is baat ko darshaata hai ke pichlay do mahine mein jo downtrend dekhne ko mila hai, woh barqaraar reh sakta hai.



Market analysts kuch critical price levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo future movements ke liye signal de sakti hain. Sabse pehla significant resistance level $72.27 hai, jo regain karna zaroori hai. Agar prices is threshold ko break kar leti hain, to attention double level par shift hogi jo $71.31 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke ek descending trendline aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath align karta hai. Agar is point ke upar successful breakout hota hai, to 100-day SMA, jo filhal $71.25 par hai, ek resistance barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay haftay Crude Oil ne apni moderate recovery continue rakhi, aur naye local highs set kiye. Price ne reversal level tak jaldi strength gain ki signal zone mein. Is dauran, jo expected decline recovery thi, wo nahi hui. Chart abhi tak supertrend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ki taraf se pressure ko indicate karta hai.

US Dollar Index 100.85 points ke comparison mein gir kar 100.58 points par a gaya. Aik aur indicator, jo US ki future economic conditions ko measure karta hai, wo lagbhag 5 points gir kar 81.7 points tak chala gaya, lekin abhi bhi 80 points level se upar hai. Respondents ka share jo yeh expect karte hain ke Fed aglay saal interest rates raise karega, wo gir kar 46.5% par aa gaya hai. Tuesday ko markets mixed rahi jab China ne aik massive fiscal package announce kiya economic performance ko boost karne ke liye, jo yeh batata hai ke duniya ki doosri bari economy pressure mein hai. Shayad China apne growth targets iss saal meet na kar sake.



Abhi prices marginally higher trade kar rahein hain weekly highs ke qareeb. Central resistance zone ne prices ko apni limits mein rokne mein fail kiya, jo is baat ka indication hai ke direction upside ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. Is change ko confirm karne ke liye price ko confidently 74.28 level ke upar break karna hoga, jahan ab main support zone maujood hai. Agar is area ka dubara retest hota hai aur rebound milta hai, tou upward momentum ka chance hoga, aur target zone 79.54 aur 82.22 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Agar price support ke neeche break karay aur 71.92 ke reversal level tak giray, tou yeh current scenario ke reversal ka signal hoga.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Ki Qeematon Mein Kami Ka Jaiza:

Filhal WTI crude oil prices mein kami dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke takreeban $71.30 par trade kar rahi hain. Yeh neeche ki taraf rujhan Saudi Arabia ke is iraday se joRa jata hai ke wo is saal ke akhri hisay mein production barhaye ga, aur apna informal target $100 per barrel chor dega. Saudi Arabia aur Libya se mazeed supply ki imkaanat ne WTI prices par neeche ka dabao dala hai. Jab ke China ka naya stimulus plan demand barhane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, recent girawat is baat ki nishani hai ke traders filhal short-term supply ke asraat par zyada focus kar rahe hain.

People's Bank of China ne apna seven-day repo rate aur reserve requirement ratio kam karne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke Chinese economy ko kuch sahara de sakta hai aur consequently crude oil demand ko bhi support faraham kar sakta hai. Demand growth mein ahista raftari aur supply ka barhna qeemat par bohot zyada asar daal sakta hai, jaisa ke oil prices mein ab bhi ek risk premium hai jo ke pandemic-era ke bull market ke dauran spare capacity ke low levels ke wajah se chhoda gaya tha.



Pichlay chand dinon mein WTI crude prices mein 7% se zyada ki girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 73.30 resistance level se retreat hui hain. Yeh commodity apni 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se neeche gir gayi hai, aur agla support 65.70 par hai, jo 17-month low hai. Agar prices mazeed girti hain, to April 2023 ka low 63.60 agla target ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar market recent losses se recover karti hai, to yeh market ko wapas 73.30 level tak le ja sakti hai, aur phir 50-day moving average 74.30 par ho sakta hai. Agar short-term downtrend line break hoti hai, to commodity ka rujhan neutral ho sakta hai, jo ke move ko 200-day flat moving average 77.75 tak le ja sakta hai.

Technical indicators negative momentum ka ishara de rahe hain, jisme MACD zero line ke neeche extend ho raha hai aur Stochastic indicator 80 level se decline kar raha hai.

Monday ko market mein ek bearish emotion tha, lekin aaj market ka direction ulta lag raha hai, kyun ke price ne four-hour chart par effortlessly ek acha southern candle close kiya hai. Guzishta trading week mein #CL ke liye apna maximum update karna mushkil tha, lekin humari rising trajectory ko dekhte hue kuch rationale nazar aata hai. Phir bhi, is hafte ka increase zyada pleasant ho sakta hai, aur 70.70 ke support level se buy karne ka acha chance mil sakta hai. Mujhe yeh bhi lagta hai ke price in levels se niche gir sakta hai aur agla target 68.75 tak jaa sakta hai. Agar bears is level ke niche aur strong ho gaye, toh main $65.27 per barrel ka drop dekhunga. H1 chart par, Europe se aane wali negative economic data oil ko rebound mein madad de sakti hai, lekin US se aane wali negative data demand ko kam kar ke Middle East concerns ke price premium ko negate kar sakti hai. Agar hum chart ko enlarge karein, toh dekha ja sakta hai ke downward reaction ek blue-colored trend line se aa raha hai. Yeh trend line ka chautha touch ho chuka hai, aur sellers ke liye kaafi successful tha, jo ke lagbhag 300 points ka drop ka chance deta hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke black oil price kal ke downward pattern se break kar raha hai, aur local maximum 71.81 tak chhuta hai. Yeh dobara climb hone ka indication hai, aur main apne goal level 71.08 ka intezar kar raha hoon. Options limited hain, lekin oil ne is direction mein kaafi progress ki hai, toh chance abhi bhi exist karta hai. Ye overall aapki current market analysis ka ek tafseel hai, aur future price movements ko dhyan mein rakh kar aapko trading decisions lene ka acha moka mil sakta hai.

Crude oil ke daam Wednesday ko thoda barh gaye, jahan Brent crude futures 45 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $76.93 per barrel ho gaye. Is ke muqabil, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 47 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $73.67 per barrel ho gaya. Halankeh ye bullish move tha, Brent crude ke daam phir bhi saat mahine ke low ke qareeb hain, jo ke kam demand aur U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se pressure mein hain. Is haftay ke aghaz mein, Brent crude futures ne apna sab se kam level achieve kiya jo ke January ke shuruat se tha, jab ke WTI futures ne February ke baad se sab se kam level par pohnch gaye. Ye girawat stock market ki broader rout ka hissa thi, jo ke kamzor jobs data ke baad U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se shuru hui thi. Naye data ke mutabiq, Chinese trade data ne dikhaya ke daily crude oil imports July mein September 2022 ke baad se sab se kam ho gaye. U.S. data ne bhi unexpected increase ko crude oil aur gasoline inventories mein dikhaya. Market sources ne Tuesday ko American Petroleum Institute ke data ka zikr kiya, jisme U.S. crude oil, gasoline, aur distillate inventories mein izafa dekha gaya.
Total mein, oil prices ka base case kamzor demand growth ke concerns se dominate ho raha hai. China se naye data ne trade balance mein sharp drop dikhaya, daily crude oil imports ko nearly do saal ke sab se kam level par le aaya. Ye, U.S. economy ke slowdown ke signals ke saath, oil prices par niche ki taraf pressure badha raha hai.
WTI prices sell mode mein hain, jahan prices descending triangle ke top se rebound karne ke baad girti ja rahi hain. Prices ab triangle ke bottom ke qareeb $68.20 per barrel pohnch rahi hain. 100 SMA, 200 SMA se upar hai, jo ke uptrend ke liye ek mazboot resistance path ko suggest karta hai, ya phir support area ki taraf ek pullback ka bhi indication hai. Dusri taraf, crude oil dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke triangle ke top ke qareeb dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
Stochastics oscillator oversold territory se nikalne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke waapas aane ka signal de raha hai, aur oscillator ke paas buyers ke thakne se pehle uthane ka kafi space hai. RSI ne abhi tak oversold territory nahi cross ki, lekin ye bhi north move karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke waapas aane ka indication hai

Crude oil ki qeemat abhi tak bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, aur ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke movement zyada strong hogi. Jo price increase dikhai de raha hai, wo sirf aik secondary response hai, jo lower high bana kar phir se niche girne ka signal de raha hai, jisse aik naya lower low create hoga. Jo price girne ka rally thi, us ne support (S1) 65.41 ko hit kiya lekin wahan false break ya rejection ka samna karna pada aur phir se upar chali gayi. Correction phase mein gain ke bawajood price pivot point (PP) 69.90 ko touch karne ke baad zyada upar nahi ja saki. Aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bhi mojood hai, jo ke price ke mazeed niche jaane ka signal de raha hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hue, histogram jo level 0 ya positive area mein hai, aik upward trend dikhata hai. Yeh response hai corrected price movement ka, lekin volume itna zyada nahi hai. Price ka pehla trend pivot point (PP) 69.90 ya EMA 50 ke ird gird consolidate karne ka ho sakta hai, rather than ke resistance (R1) 72.64 tak jaari rahe. Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke zariye overbought zone mein do dafa cross hone par, jo levels 90 aur 80 hain, purchasing saturation point ko dikhaya ja raha hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke crude oil ki qeemat ke niche girne ka achha chance hai instead of upar jaane ke. Agar lower low-lower high structure aur price movement ka bearish trend waise hi rahta hai, toh trading option ko selling par focus karna chahiye. Position ka entry point pivot point (PP) 69.90 aur EMA 50 ke darmiyan hoga. Confirmation ke liye, aap wait kar sakte hain jab stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara overbought zone mein level 90–80 par cross karein. AO indicator ka volume histogram, jo uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, kam ho sakta hai jab level 0 ke qareeb aayega.

Crude oil ke daam Wednesday ko thoda barh gaye, jahan Brent crude futures 45 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $76.93 per barrel ho gaye. Is ke muqabil, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 47 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $73.67 per barrel ho gaya. Halankeh ye bullish move tha, Brent crude ke daam phir bhi saat mahine ke low ke qareeb hain, jo ke kam demand aur U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se pressure mein hain. Is haftay ke aghaz mein, Brent crude futures ne apna sab se kam level achieve kiya jo ke January ke shuruat se tha, jab ke WTI futures ne February ke baad se sab se kam level par pohnch gaye. Ye girawat stock market ki broader rout ka hissa thi, jo ke kamzor jobs data ke baad U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se shuru hui thi.
Naye data ke mutabiq, Chinese trade data ne dikhaya ke daily crude oil imports July mein September 2022 ke baad se sab se kam ho gaye. U.S. data ne bhi unexpected increase ko crude oil aur gasoline inventories mein dikhaya. Market sources ne Tuesday ko American Petroleum Institute ke data ka zikr kiya, jisme U.S. crude oil, gasoline, aur distillate inventories mein izafa dekha gaya.
Total mein, oil prices ka base case kamzor demand growth ke concerns se dominate ho raha hai. China se naye data ne trade balance mein sharp drop dikhaya, daily crude oil imports ko nearly do saal ke sab se kam level par le aaya. Ye, U.S. economy ke slowdown ke signals ke saath, oil prices par niche ki taraf pressure badha raha hai.
WTI prices sell mode mein hain, jahan prices descending triangle ke top se rebound karne ke baad girti ja rahi hain. Prices ab triangle ke bottom ke qareeb $68.20 per barrel pohnch rahi hain. 100 SMA, 200 SMA se upar hai, jo ke uptrend ke liye ek mazboot resistance path ko suggest karta hai, ya phir support area ki taraf ek pullback ka bhi indication hai. Dusri taraf, crude oil dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke triangle ke top ke qareeb dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
Stochastics oscillator oversold territory se nikalne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke waapas aane ka signal de raha hai, aur oscillator ke paas buyers ke thakne se pehle uthane ka kafi space hai. RSI ne abhi tak oversold territory nahi cross ki, lekin ye bhi north move karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke waapas aane ka indication hai

Maira topic crude oil ke price behavior ka analysis hai. Oil futures ne H4 chart par MA-100 ki middle line ko torhne ki koshish ki, lekin iss dafa yeh kaamyaab nahi hua. Halanki, yeh jald hi mumkin hai ke yeh line torh di jaye. Filhal, oil ek correction ki tayari kar raha hai recent upward move ke baad, jo 65.26 aur 71.90 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai. Jab yeh correction khatam hogi, mujhe umeed hai ke growth continue hogi aur oil larger daily descending channel ke upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai.
Lekin, pehle ka decline, jisme bearish range 70.12 aur 67.16 ke darmiyan thi, analysis ko mushkil banata hai. Bearish line, jo prices ko 64.20 tak le jani chahiye thi, ab sawal uthati hai kyun ke bullish lines apne targets tak pohonch chuki hain. Agar supply zone se ek bounce hota hai, aur phir 70.19 ka test hota hai, toh yeh acha mauqa ho sakta hai zyada attractive prices par purchasing ka. Oil ka movement qabil-e-peshangoi lagta hai, khaaskar jab naye data ka release hota hai. Bears ke paas kaafi momentum hai ke woh prices ko lower limit 68.89 tak le jayein, jisme shift ka aim 68.6 hai. Lekin, decline ka lagta hai ke news events ki wajah se ruk gaya hai. Phir bhi, mujhe yakeen hai ke agle session mein hum 68.6 tak pohonch jayenge ya phir 70.71 tak upar jaa sakte hain, sirf phir se selling pressure dekhne ko milega.
Ahem baat yeh hai ke current trend ko maintain karna hai, jo oil ko 71.11 ke upar jane se rokega, warna yeh direction mein shift ki nishani hogi. Abhi ke liye, market bearish forces ke qabzay mein hai. Oil local level 70.72 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Bullish trend ko resume karne ke liye, buyer's zone 70.27 ko torhna zaroori hai, yeh level historically strong support provide karta raha hai. Agar bulls is broken zone ko opposite direction se test karte hain, toh reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar yeh hota bhi hai, toh abhi buying positions lena jaldi hogi. Crude oil markets is waqt ek volatile range se guzarte hue nazar aa rahe hain, jahan WTI prices $65.00 aur $78.00 per barrel ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hain. Market ne July ke peak se, jo lagbhag $84.50 per barrel tha, medium-term decline ka tajurba kiya hai. Iss decline ne prices ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche phansa diya hai, jo qareeban $77.54 par hai. Yeh halat traders aur investors dono ke liye ek challenging environment ka ishara karti hai.

Crude oil ke daam Wednesday ko thoda barh gaye, jahan Brent crude futures 45 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $76.93 per barrel ho gaye. Is ke muqabil, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 47 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $73.67 per barrel ho gaya. Halankeh ye bullish move tha, Brent crude ke daam phir bhi saat mahine ke low ke qareeb hain, jo ke kam demand aur U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se pressure mein hain. Is haftay ke aghaz mein, Brent crude futures ne apna sab se kam level achieve kiya jo ke January ke shuruat se tha, jab ke WTI futures ne February ke baad se sab se kam level par pohnch gaye. Ye girawat stock market ki broader rout ka hissa thi, jo ke kamzor jobs data ke baad U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se shuru hui thi. Naye data ke mutabiq, Chinese trade data ne dikhaya ke daily crude oil imports July mein September 2022 ke baad se sab se kam ho gaye. U.S. data ne bhi unexpected increase ko crude oil aur gasoline inventories mein dikhaya. Market sources ne Tuesday ko American Petroleum Institute ke data ka zikr kiya, jisme U.S. crude oil, gasoline, aur distillate inventories mein izafa dekha gaya.
Total mein, oil prices ka base case kamzor demand growth ke concerns se dominate ho raha hai. China se naye data ne trade balance mein sharp drop dikhaya, daily crude oil imports ko nearly do saal ke sab se kam level par le aaya. Ye, U.S. economy ke slowdown ke signals ke saath, oil prices par niche ki taraf pressure badha raha hai.
WTI prices sell mode mein hain, jahan prices descending triangle ke top se rebound karne ke baad girti ja rahi hain. Prices ab triangle ke bottom ke qareeb $68.20 per barrel pohnch rahi hain. 100 SMA, 200 SMA se upar hai, jo ke uptrend ke liye ek mazboot resistance path ko suggest karta hai, ya phir support area ki taraf ek pullback ka bhi indication hai. Dusri taraf, crude oil dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke triangle ke top ke qareeb dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
Stochastics oscillator oversold territory se nikalne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke waapas aane ka signal de raha hai, aur oscillator ke paas buyers ke thakne se pehle uthane ka kafi space hai. RSI ne abhi tak oversold territory nahi cross ki, lekin ye bhi north move karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke waapas aane ka indication hai