سی ایل/خام تیل کی قیمتیں اور تجزیہ

Crude Oil ki Technical Analysis
Crude oil prices ne pichlay haftay trading mai significant increase dekhi, jo k pehlay hone walay losses ko correct kar rahi thi. Price ne dobara se key support level 75.99 pe find kiya aur wahan se bounce back kar ke 81.00 ki taraf move kiya, jo ke signal zone mai enter kar gaya. Lekin, is point pe consolidate karne mai nakam rahi, jiskay baad prices ne rollback karna shuru kiya aur key level 79.54 se neeche gir gayi. Halankeh, yeh abhi tak target zone tak pohchne se roki hui hai, jo ke abhi bhi effect mai hai. Is kay ilawa, price chart dubara se supertrend red zone mai wapas ana shuru ho gaya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi active hain.

Oil futures Wednesday ko gir gaye, jabke U.S. crude inventories mai chhoti-than-expected drawdown hui aur Chinese demand pe concerns barqarar hain. Oil 74.33 per barrel pe gir gaya jo ke pichlay din 75.70 per barrel tha. U.S. crude futures Wednesday ko high of 75.92 tak pohcha aur low of 73.82 tak gir gaya. Crude oil ne bhi 77.21 per barrel tak decline kiya, jabke pichlay close pe 78.74 tha. UK crude oil Wednesday ko 79.17 tak high pe gaya aur 77.07 tak low pe. Chart ko neeche dekhein:



Is waqt price doosri direction mai trade kar rahi hai aur recent weekly highs se kaafi door chali gayi hai. Key resistance zone strong pressure mai tha, lekin isne hold kar liya, jiska matlab hai ke downward trend abhi bhi relevant hai. Aage barhne ke liye, ab quotes ko 79.54 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan key resistance zone ka border abhi bhi maujood hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent rebound ek aur negative impact ka mauqa provide karega, jo ke 74.28 aur 71.92 ke area ko target karega.

Agar resistance level break hota hai aur price 82.22 pivot level se upar chali jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain. Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk ka behtareen management kar sakte hain

Agar hum CL (Crude Oil) ke price action par focus karein, to recent movement ko samajhna zaroori hai. July ke aakhir se, prices consistently teen moving averages (EMA50 Blue, EMA100 Purple, aur EMA200 Red) ke neeche chal rahi hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke seller pressure zyada strong hai. Agar hum price structure ko dekhein jo ab tak form hua hai, to sellers ne consistently pressure dala hai kyun ke pattern lower high aur lower low ka hai, jo yellow rectangle mein nazar aata hai. Ab jo interesting baat hai, woh yeh hai ke current price ab bhi process mein hai, aur iski position par sawal uthta hai ke kya yeh phir se lower low banayega ya phir higher high. Agar hum last supply area ko dekhein blue rectangle mein jo ke 78.15 - 78.65 hai aur key level ke tor par kaam karta hai, to prices ke neeche move karne ka potential zyada hai. Pichle bullish push mein yeh clear tha ke buyers is level ko breach karne mein fail ho gaye the. Plus, candle ki position jo previous low price ke neeche close hui hai, yeh is baat ka ishara karti hai ke #CL crude oil ka agla movement bearish hi hoga.



Agar hum price structure ko dekhein jo consistently lower lows bana raha hai, to agla target for decline 70.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo aksar ek psychological level hota hai. 4-hour basis par, price ne kaafi dafa teen moving averages ke neeche open aur close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market bearish conditions mein comfortable hai aur sellers apna pressure jari rakhenge. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne green key level 74.39 ko break kiya aur foran yellow support 72.82 tak gir gaya. Yahan se, thoda buyer reaction aane ki umeed hai jo price ko pullback karne par majboor karega, lekin isko break karna mushkil hoga. Traders ko yeh bhi tayar rehna chahiye ke ek higher pullback blue hidden demand 75.44 ke towards ho sakta hai, kyun ke mahine ke aghaz mein market mein aksar high correction movements hote hain. Agar yeh scenario market reality ke mutabiq hota hai, to yeh decline ke liye raasta banayega, $70 per barrel level tak.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke risk

Crude oil ki price action ka jo review diya gaya hai, usse yeh samajh aata hai ke is waqt market mein kafi volatility hai. Price ne trend line se break liya aur downward shift hui, jiske baad yeh 73.33 ke support level tak gir gayi. Uske baad, yeh wahan se rebound hui aur 73.79 resistance level tak pahunch gayi, lekin phir 14 points gir gayi aur Friday ke session ko 73.64 par close kiya.

4-hour candle ne lambi neeche wali shadow dikhayi, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke shayad price ne apna bottom dhoond liya hai. Agle hafte, yeh possible hai ke price isi level se upar ki taraf chalay, aur 76.12 resistance ko target kare. Agar yeh level breakout hota hai aur price wahan se consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh price ko triangle ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price pehle target 72.90 tak girti hai aur yeh level breakdown hota hai, toh price aur neeche gir sakti hai aur triangle ki lower boundary tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 72.18 ke aas paas hai.



Hourly chart par ab descending channel banaya gaya hai, aur umeed hai ke price is channel ki lower boundary tak gir sakti hai, jahan yeh 73.35 ko target karegi. Agar yeh target hit hota hai, toh ek reversal aasakta hai jo price ko phir se upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aaj oil mein decline dekhne ko mila, jisme price ne 75.47 ke support level ko aasani se break kiya. Yeh baat noteworthy hai ke yeh girawat hafte aur mahine ke end par hui. Haalanki, hafte mein oil prices mein achi growth bhi dekhne ko mili. Lagta hai ke kuch global event hua hai—shayad OPEC ke production cuts enforce karne mein problems—jo is girawat ka sabab bana. Saath hi, aaj dollar ki strength bhi dekhi gayi. Daily chart par ek bearish candle bani hai jisme lamba upper tail hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke September mein price phir se gir sakti hai.

Crude oil ki qeemat ka girawat ka silsila lagataar jari hai, aur 70.00 per barrel ke neechay jaane ke imkanaat hain. Kam hoti consumer demand aur musalsal production ki wajah se crude oil ki qeemat mein kai hafton se girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. March mein 87.00 per barrel se zyada ki qeemat dobara hasil nahi hui. Technical tor par, ab tak ka crude oil ka price movement ek bearish trend mein hai, aur price pattern structure lower low - lower high ka hai. Qeemat FR 127.2 - 69.81 se neeche gir chuki hai aur agar upward correction phase na aaya toh FR 161.8 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Agar pehle price thoda correct kar ke oopar jaata hai, toh yeh FR 100 - 71.47 ya FR 61.8 - 73.81 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke minor supply area ke saath confluent hai.

AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator ke mutabiq histogram green hai magar price neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke correction ki ek choti si imkaanat hai. Magar momentum abhi bhi downtrend mein hai kyun ke yeh level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai. Stochastic indicator ka parameter abhi overbought zone 20 - 10 ke qareeb hai, jo ke is baat ko support karta hai ke downward rally abhi mukammal ho sakti hai. Agar parameter 20 ke upar chala jata hai, toh price ke upward correction ke imkanaat barh sakte hain, jahan wo aik new lower high pattern banane ki koshish karega.

Is waqt trading ke liye behtreen strategy yeh hogi ke pehle upward correction ka intezaar kiya jaye aur phir BUY position lagai jaye. Sabse qareebi entry position ka point FR 100 - 71.47 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, ya phir FR 61.8 - 73.81 par jo ke minor supply area ke saath confluent hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ka parameter 50 ke aas paas cross kare. AO indicator ka histogram wapas red ho aur level 0 ya negative area ke neeche ho, jo ke downtrend momentum ke mutabiq hoga. Target placement ke liye take profit ka point 68.81 ho sakta hai, aur entry open position se lagbhag 80 - 100 pips ka faasla rakh kar stop loss lagaya ja sakta hai.

ko acha din ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upar hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko darshata hai jo 81.10 ke level tak barhna chahte hain. Jab target tak pohnch jayenge, movement dheemi ho jayegi. Kamzori ki wajah se volatility barhegi, aur market dheere dheere kamzor hote jayegi, isliye correction ke saath recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke upper part ko purchases ke liye consider nahi karna chahiye, correction ka intezar karna chahiye jo 79.38 ke level tak aa sakta hai. Wahan se purchases ka entry consider kar sakte hain. Agar 79.38 ke niche fixation hoti hai, toh bears apna asar dikhayenge jo market ko neeche le ja sakta hai, isliye is background mein purchases uninteresting ho jaati hain. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bull kitna active hai, jyaada angle ka matlab hai ke buyer strong hai. Strong angle usually market news ka indicator hota hai jo achi movement ko contribute karta hai.
Main H1 par linear regression channel ko primary source ke roop mein use karta hoon movements determine karne ke liye. M15 channel ek auxiliary channel hai jo bullish picture ko ab highlight karta hai aur growing trend ko darshata hai. Channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, is instrument ke zariye bullish mood ko characterize kiya ja sakta hai. Jab younger period par signal break hota hai, toh 78.45 ke level tak decline ka intezar karna chahiye, jahan se fir se purchases ko re-consider kiya ja sakta hai 80.49 tak. Channel ke upper boundary par jab bulls hon, toh purchases aur sales dono se cautious rehna chahiye.

Meri trading ka principle H1 channel ke direction mein trade karna hai kyunki ye mera main channel hai. Younger channel par entry ko clarify karna aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna accha hota hai jab correction minimal ho. Waise to oil prices ke changes se gas station ki prices badhti ya kam hoti hain, aur stock exchange par oil girne par bhi oil prices unchanged rahte hain, mujhe ye jokes pata hain. Aur ye correlations sirf oil ke saath nahi hote. Mere liye kuch nahi badla. Main ab bhi $65 per barrel ka price tag expect karta hoon strategic satisfaction ke liye. Dekhte hain.

Technical Analysis of Crude Oil
Pichlay week crude oil prices mein decline ka silsila jari raha, aur ek aur local minimum hit kiya. Price ne 79.54 ke resistance ke neeche consolidation ki, phir recovery dekhi aur ek stable momentum banate hue 74.28 tak gir gayi, jahan filhaal ye hold kar rahi hai. Iske saath hi, ye price ko target areas tak pohanchne ka mauqa bhi de raha hai, jo predictable scenarios par base karti hai. Saath hi, price chart abhi bhi supertrend red zone mein hai, jo continued selling pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, to bearish technical pattern clear hai, jo ye batata hai ke downward trend ka silsila jari rehne ke chances barh gaye hain, aur negative pressure simple moving average se continue ho raha hai. Abhi ke liye, jab tak price 74.60 aur 75.00 resistance ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, downtrend active aur valid hai, jisme 73.10 pe pehla target hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to downward trend aur aggressive ho jaye ga aur next target 72.20 hoga. Agar price 75.00 ke upar consolidate karti hai, to ye scenario cancel ho jaye ga aur ek positive trading session dekhnay ko mile ga, jisme pehla target 76.00 ke aas-paas hoga.



Iss waqt, price weekly low ke kareeb hai. Key resistance zone test ho chuki hai aur apni integrity maintain ki hui hai, jo is baat ka ishara deti hai ke downward vector abhi bhi relevant hai. Agar decline ko continue karna hai, to ab quotes ko 75.99 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna ho ga, jahan iss waqt key resistance zone border kar rahi hai. Ek retest aur is area se bounce phir se downward move ko initiate kare ga, jisme target area 69.79 aur 67.29 ho sakta hai.

Agar price resistance break karti hai aur 78.09 pivot level ke upar move karti hai, to current bearish scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Crude Oil ne apni pichli losses ko lagbhag pura kar liya jab usne local minimum 75.99 area mein reach kar ke rebound kiya aur rise hona shuru hua. Magar 82.22 par price ko dobara resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke upward momentum ko rok raha tha aur isay decline karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh isay target zone tak ponchnay nahi de saka, aur reversal level tak exit ne pichlay scenario ki possibilities ko shak mein daal diya. Saath hi, price chart super-trend ke green zone mein hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke ilawa, price channel indicator ko support aur resistance lines banane ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines do dafa smooth moving averages par mabni hoti hain, jo mazi mein zikar hoti hain. Price channel price ke fluctuations ki haddain wazeh karne mein ahem hai aur traders ko entry aur exit points set karne mein aik aham faida deti hain.
Iske ilawa, hum RSI ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par shamil karte hain. RSI Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal mein khaas tor par fayedemand hai, jo market ke rukh ko tasdeeq karne mein madad deti hai. Maujooda manzar mein, RSI oscillator bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iski descending curve, jo oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai, ek sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai.
In indicators ke dastiyaab hone par, humne short sell trade kholi hai jiska target market quotes ko kam az kam channel ke lower limit tak pohnchana hai, jo 78.07 par mojood hai. Ye level aik ahem support zone ka kaam karta hai. Ek bar price is point tak pohnch jaye, hum apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain, risk ko kam kar ke humein mazeed munafa hasil karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Crude oil (#CL) ke char ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum zyada se zyada 78.30 ke maximum level par ek lambe waqt ke sideways accumulation phase ko dekh sakte hain. Ye sideways movement market ka momentum ikhtiyar karne ki doraan hoti hai. Maujooda market dono rukh mein move hone ki quwwat rakhta hai. Magar agar bullish direction mein breakout hota hai, to ye 83.44 ke maximum level ko test karne ka mauqa banata hai.
Market par asar dalne wale kisi bhi news ya events ke liye hosh mand rehna zaroori hai. Aise bahari factors price action par bade asar daal sakte hain, iss liye maloomat se agah rehna humari risk management strategy ka aham hissa hai. Ye chokas hatana deutsche karwati hai ke samay par trading faislon ka faisla le sakte hain, jisse hum market ke conditions mein kisi bhi tabadlan ka jaldi jawab de sakte hain.
Heiken Ashi candlesticks, price channel indicator aur RSI ke milaap ka istemal crude oil ke price action ko tajziya karne ke liye ek mazboot framework faraham karta hai. Ye tareeqa technical analysis ki darusti ko barhata hai aur bemisal trading faislon ko support karta hai. Jabke maujooda sentiment bearish hai, humein kisi bhi mumkin market shift ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar aise jo news events se influence hoti hain. Ye comprehensive approach yakeenii banata hai ke hum market ke movements ka faida utha sakte hain jabke

Hamari guftagu abhi crude oil ke price action ke mojooda tajziya par markooz hai. CL ke mutabiq, price 77.09 par mazbooti se qaim hai, jabke zyada currencies dollar ke muqablay mein be-taraf barh rahi hain. Market ki mushkilat ke bawajood, oil price resilient hai aur koi zyada kamzori nahi dikhati. U.S. dollar mein bade girawat ki ummeed abhi zyada faal nahi, aur ek aur growth ki leher bhi aane ki ummeed hai. Oil prices bhi is trend ka peechha karni chahiye, aur mera target $65.01 per barrel hai is dollar ki ummeed shiddat ke dauran. Is level tak pohnchne ke baad, market ka rukh mukhtalif factors par depend karega, khaaskar China se demand ka girna jo oil prices ko niche kashak sakta hai. Daily chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke oil prices downward trend mein hain.

Technical analysis ko dekhte hain taake aaj ke liye recommendations mil sakein. Moving averages strongly selling ka mashwara dete hain, aur technical indicators bhi is baat ko confirm karte hain—actively sell karna chahiye. Yeh analysis ye bhi darshata hai ke price support level 75.59 tak pohnch sakti hai. Wahi agar koi buying activity hoti hai to price resistance level 76.91 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai. Daily aur hourly charts par focus karein. Support zone $75.91 per barrel ke aas-paas hai jo price ko niche girne se rok sakta hai. Trading din ke end tak, aapko ek inside bar pattern dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo previous candle ke muqablay mein form ho sakta hai. Agar aaj ki candle moving average ke upar close hoti hai, to is setup ko trade karne ka soch sakte hain pending orders ke sath upper aur lower boundaries par, candle analysis ke price action method ko use karke, jo aksar positive results de sakti hai. Friday ki daily candle ne ek PPR (Potential Price Reversal) signal banaya selling ke liye, jo price action system ke mutabiq Thursday ki candle ke upar overlap karti hai.

Pichlay hafte oil ne bearish candlestick ke sath week finish kiya, jahan se pair downward triangle se nikal gaya. Is liye globally dekha jaye to movement south ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai. Lekin filhaal main expect karta hoon ke local perspective mein thodi si increase north ki taraf ho sakti hai, takay jo broken line hai usay classical pattern ke mutabiq test kiya ja sake. Agay, breakout ya bounce per depend karta hai ke direction kitni clear hoti hai. Agar hourly chart par technical analysis karein, to indicators ab bhi south ki taraf point kar rahe hain, lekin naye sell signals abhi tak activate nahi huay. Abhi tak ek specific trend channel ke andar movement ho rahi hai, aur pair ne iski lower border se bounce kiya hai, to local perspective mein expect karta hoon ke movement upper border tak jaayegi, magar filhaal yahan long positions open karna mushkil hai. Four-hour chart par bhi indicators further decline ka signal de rahe hain, lekin Bollinger channel bohat tez narrow hona shuru ho gaya hai, jo south ki taraf movement ko limit kar raha hai. Saath hi saath basic indicators ab bearish sentiment ko support nahi kar rahe. Is liye, aglay hafte ke aghaaz mein ek correction ke taur par north ki taraf movement ki umeed hai, aur uske baad dekha jaayega.
Heiken Ashi candlestick pattern, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ko dekh kar yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke abhi market mein price growth ka zyada chance hai aur buyers ki strength mein izafa ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke market mein forces ka current distribution dikhata hai, chart ke noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko asaan banata hai, jis se trading decisions ki accuracy barh jaati hai. TMA channel indicator jo support aur resistance lines banata hai based on moving average, market ke boundaries ko show karta hai. Additional oscillator ke taur par basic RSI indicator use karna behtareen hota hai jab Heiken Ashi ke sath milakar use kiya jaye. Chart par candlesticks ka color blue mein badal gaya hai jo bullish strength ko zahir kar raha hai. Price ne lower border ko break kar ke rebound liya aur ab middle line ki taraf wapas ja rahi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai kyun ke uska curve upwards move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is liye, yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke profitable buy transactions ka acha mauqa hai, aur upper border (blue dotted line) tak price ka target 82.18 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Crude oil ka Technical Analysis
Crude Oil ki last week ki performance dekhain toh price ne apni decline ko continue kiya aur apni local range ko dobara open kiya. 74.28 resistance ko break karne k baad price recover hui aur 69.79 tak wapis aayi, jahan upward momentum stable ban gaya. Yeh momentum price ko target zone tak pohchne ka mauqa de raha hai, jo expected scenario ke hisaab se hai. Saath hi, price chart abhi tak super-trend red zone mein hai, jo continuous selling pressure ko indicate kar raha hai.

Agar hum 4-hour chart ko dekhein toh yeh clear hai ke bearish technical structure abhi bhi mazboot hai aur simple moving average ki negative pressure bhi continue kar rahi hai. Is situation mein downtrend ka chance zyada hai, jahan next target 69.00 hoga, jo pehle ka broken support level hai. Is support level ka breakout hote hi price neeche ki taraf move karegi aur 68.40 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price 72.20 ka level break karke consolidate karti hai, toh yeh presented scenario ko destroy kar sakta hai, aur phir recovery ki koshish 72.85 aur 73.40 tak ho sakti hai.



Is waqt price weekly low par clearly maujood hai. Main resistance zone ab tak test nahi hui, jo ke decline ke shuru hone ke baad se intact hai, aur yeh downward trend ke relevance ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye ab quotes ko 71.92 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hoga, jahan key resistance zone moujood hai. Agar price is area ko retest kar k rebound hoti hai, toh next move down ki opportunity milegi aur target 63.76 aur 62.00 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Agar price resistance ko break kar k reversal level 74.28 ke upar move hoti hai, toh yeh current scenario ka cancellation signal hoga.

Crude oil ke daam Wednesday ko thoda barh gaye, jahan Brent crude futures 45 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $76.93 per barrel ho gaye. Is ke muqabil, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 47 cents, ya 0.6%, barh kar $73.67 per barrel ho gaya. Halankeh ye bullish move tha, Brent crude ke daam phir bhi saat mahine ke low ke qareeb hain, jo ke kam demand aur U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se pressure mein hain. Is haftay ke aghaz mein, Brent crude futures ne apna sab se kam level achieve kiya jo ke January ke shuruat se tha, jab ke WTI futures ne February ke baad se sab se kam level par pohnch gaye. Ye girawat stock market ki broader rout ka hissa thi, jo ke kamzor jobs data ke baad U.S. recession ke mumkinah khatrey ki wajah se shuru hui thi.
Naye data ke mutabiq, Chinese trade data ne dikhaya ke daily crude oil imports July mein September 2022 ke baad se sab se kam ho gaye. U.S. data ne bhi unexpected increase ko crude oil aur gasoline inventories mein dikhaya. Market sources ne Tuesday ko American Petroleum Institute ke data ka zikr kiya, jisme U.S. crude oil, gasoline, aur distillate inventories mein izafa dekha gaya.
Total mein, oil prices ka base case kamzor demand growth ke concerns se dominate ho raha hai. China se naye data ne trade balance mein sharp drop dikhaya, daily crude oil imports ko nearly do saal ke sab se kam level par le aaya. Ye, U.S. economy ke slowdown ke signals ke saath, oil prices par niche ki taraf pressure badha raha hai.
WTI prices sell mode mein hain, jahan prices descending triangle ke top se rebound karne ke baad girti ja rahi hain. Prices ab triangle ke bottom ke qareeb $68.20 per barrel pohnch rahi hain. 100 SMA, 200 SMA se upar hai, jo ke uptrend ke liye ek mazboot resistance path ko suggest karta hai, ya phir support area ki taraf ek pullback ka bhi indication hai. Dusri taraf, crude oil dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke triangle ke top ke qareeb dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
Stochastics oscillator oversold territory se nikalne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke waapas aane ka signal de raha hai, aur oscillator ke paas buyers ke thakne se pehle uthane ka kafi space hai. RSI ne abhi tak oversold territory nahi cross ki, lekin ye bhi north move karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke waapas aane ka indication hai.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil ki qeemat ne is haftay ka aghaz halki si barhawa ke sath kiya, jahan is ne Friday ke nuqsan ko thora recover karne ki koshish ki, jab qeemat $78.45-$78.50 ke range tak gir gayi thi, jo ke aik mahine ka sab se kam point tha. Filhal, WTI ka rate taqreeban $78.85 par hai, jo din mein 0.5% zyada hai, lekin zyada khareedari ka pressure nahi hai jo ke is izafay ko barqarar rakh sake. Do mukhtalif factors tel ki qeematon ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Aik taraf, Federal Reserve ke baare mein yaqeen barh raha hai ke woh September mein bawajood sood ki sharah kam karenge, jo ke US dollar (USD) ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Is wajah se dollar ki qeemat mein girawat, crude oil jaise dollar mein khareedi jane wali cheezon ko ghair mulki sarmaya daaron ke liye zyada attractive bana deti hai.
Doosri taraf, kuch aise factors hain jo tel ki qeematon mein zyada barhawa nahi aane de rahe. Ukraine mein jari jang se global supply chains disrupt ho rahi hain, aur Middle East mein conflicts se supply concerns aur zyada tight ho rahe hain, jo qeematon ko upar le ja sakte hain. Lekin, US mein siyasi be-qarari ke initial market response se, dollar ki limited recovery ke bawajood, koi zyada asar dekhne mein nahi aaya. Is ke ilawa, China ki economic struggles oil ki demand ko limit kar sakti hain.
Technically dekha jaye, Friday ke closing price ne, jo 50-day simple moving average se neechay gir gayi thi, bearish traders ke liye yeh signal diya hai ke wo tel ko short-sell karain, yeh umeed rakhtay hue ke qeemat aur neeche jayegi. Daily chart par oscillator indicators bhi negative momentum ki nishandahi kar rahe hain, jo ke aik potential downward trend ka izhar karte hain. Koi bhi price increase ko selling ka mauqa samjha ja sakta hai, khaaskar jab tak US se koi significant economic data nahi aata jo qeemat ka rukh tay kar sake.
Magar, aik bullish counter-argument bhi hai. Agar WTI 100-day moving average ke neechay nahi jata aur 50-day moving average par support level se bounce karta hai, to yeh aik lambi muddat mein upward trend ka ishara de sakta hai. Phir bhi, hybrid oscillator indicators caution ki talkeen karte hain, aur yeh kehte hain ke do mahine ke high $84.00 ke recent decline ke khatam hone ka elan karna jaldi ho ga. Indicators mein koi barhawa tabhi significant gains ka raasta khol sakta hai.