cl/crude oil

Crude Oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay trading week mein, crude oil ne 79.60 ka mazboot resistance level se wapas aana shuru kiya. Yeh woh giravat thi jo ek din pehle shuru hui thi, aur akhirkaar ek side move mein izafa hua. Natija yeh nikla ke quotes ne lagbhag baghair kisi rukawat ke 78.68 ka darja hasil kiya. Yeh nishana khet khatam kar raha hai aur aakhri tor par range ke nichlay border tak gir raha hai, jaise peechlay comments mein sujha gaya tha. Is doran, price chart super trend ke laal zone mein hai. Halankeh, trend line ko abhi tak toorna nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price is level se giray ga. Agar yeh trend line ke upar rehta hai, toh 82.17 level ko chu sakta hai.



Abhi price saaf taur par 79.6 level ke neeche hai. Is ke saath hi, 82.17 level ki punah test ne ek ahem upside constraint ke roop mein tasdeek kiya. Giravat ek ahem support area par ruki hai. Maujooda oil ki hawaon ki side nature ko dekhte hue, yeh flat jaari rahegi. Yeh yeh matlab hai ke prices maujooda levels se apne chhat tak recover karenge. Magar, main movement direction 82.17 level se neeche ka rehta hai. Yeh further decline ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Is ke liye, price ko maujooda levels par consolidate karna hoga aur 79.60 se apne aap ko mehdood karna hoga. Yeh mad e nazr rakhte hue ke naya momentum targeting area 77.33 se 75.40 ke darmiyan trigger hoga. Price bohot tezi se neeche gir rahi hai kyun ke price 61.8% level ke neeche nahi rahi. Mein ne kal crude oil ki analysis share ki thi. Isliye, ek bull trend ka bhi intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Maujooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal pivot level 82.17 ke upar wapas ane par milega.

Oil ek chhote rally ke baad gains wapas de raha hai. Ye chaar consecutive din ka giravat ka nishaan hai, jo ke kai factors ki wajah se hua hai. Sabse pehle, Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan ek ceasefire agreement ki mumkin tawaqo hai. Gaza halat ko tawanaai se kam karne ke liye siyasi halat dhoondh raha hai. Dusra, US Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne crude oil stockpiles mein aik significant izafa riport kiya hai, jo ke haal ki yaadon mein sab se zyada hai. Ye ek demand mein kami ki nishani hai. Iske alawa, US Dollar Index (DXY) mushkil mein hai. Pichle do hafton mein kuch dafa ek ahem level (mid-105.50) ke neeche girne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin mahine ke intehaai muntazir US jobs report se pehle index barabar hai. Ek saath, Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, ne maeeshat par tanqeed ki haalat ko dobara izhar kiya. Unhone kaha ke vo intezaar kar rahe hain jab tak inflation mein wazeh nishani na mil jaye ke interest rate cut ka soch saken.

Haal hi mein pullback ke bawajood, oil ke prices ka lamba taur par tasawwur bullish hai. December mein shuru hui ummeed kaa trend aaj bhi qaim hai, aik ahem sabz trend line se support mil raha hai. Ye giravat un traders ke liye aik acha mauqa ho sakta hai jo peechle upar ki tareeki ko chhod gaye hain aur $80 per barrel se upar khareedna muaqqa lagta hai. Oil ke prices ka future Israel-Palestine conflict ke taraqqi ki tabdeeliyon aur US oil inventories ke tabadliyon par mabni hai. Aik kamiyabi aur mazeed inventory buildup ke baad, keemat par mazeed dabao dal sakte hain, pehle $84 per barrel ki taraf chadhne se pehle. Technically, oil ke prices ne aik chhota rally ki koshish ki magar jaldi hi nakam ho gaye. Upar ki taraf dekhne ke pehle pehle bara resistance levels $83.34 aur $90 hain. Aik minor rukawat hai $89.64 par, jo October 2023 mein pahunchne wala uncha tha. Niche ki taraf, 100-day simple moving average (SMA) abhi $77.88 ke aas paas hai. Ye pehli line of defense ka kaam karta hai pehle upar ke uptrend line ka imtehaan. Analysts is hafte ke dauran prices ko $77.00 ke aas paas ghoomte huye tajwez dete hain. Uptrend line ke neeche ka aik mustaqil break $74.36 ki taraf tazad ka sabab bana sakta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Dollar ke mukhtalif currencies ke muqabley ka aik aham indicator hai, pichle do hafton mein mushkil mein hai. Is waqt, DXY mein kuch dafa ek ahem level 105.55 ke neeche girne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Ye girawat market mein kuch khas factors ki wajah se aayi hai. Pehli wajah, geopolitical tensions hain. Duniya bhar mein tension aur uncertainty ne investors ko dollar ki taraf se hatne par majboor kiya hai. Maslan, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Middle East ke masail aur China-US trade tensions, dollar ki stability ko mutasir kar rahe hain. In sab factors ne dollar ko pressure mein daala hai. Dosri wajah, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko barhane ki expectations ko halka kiya hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Agar interest rates barhaye jaate hain, to dollar ki value bhi barh sakti hai, lekin is waqt, is par koi guarantee nahi hai, jo investors ko pareshani mein daal raha hai. Teisri wajah, US ke economic indicators ki performance hai. Haal hi mein release ki gayi data mein consumer confidence aur jobless claims mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, lekin ye numbers overall economic recovery ko lekar dubidha mein daal rahe hain. Kuch analysts ka khayal hai ke economic recovery tezi se ho rahi hai, jab ke doosre is par shak karte hain, jo dollar ko instability mein daal raha hai. Chauthi wajah, global economic conditions hain. Duniya bhar mein COVID-19 ke naye variants ke samne challenges hain, jo global economic recovery ko khatre mein daal rahe hain. Ye situation global trade aur commerce ko bhi mutasir kar rahi hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Is halat mein, investors dollar ke mukhtalif currencies ke muqabley mein cautious hain. Unki uncertainty ka asar DXY par dekha ja raha hai, jo 105.55 ke neeche girne ki koshish kar raha hai. Future mein, dollar ki stability aur global economic conditions par mabni decisions, DXY ki trajectory ko tay karenge. Is dauran, investors ki strategies aur central banks ke actions, dollar index ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit honge.

oil ka price rozana ascending channel ke slope support ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke 82.04 ke qareeb hai. Ye bullish trend ke andar izafa ke liye imkanat ko zahir karta hai. Ascending channel ek technical analysis tool hai jo price action ko analyze karne mein istemal hota hai. Yeh ek bullish pattern hai jo price ko upward trend mein dikhata hai. Is channel ke andar, price ko do trendlines ke darmiyan dekha ja sakta hai - ek upper trendline jo ki resistance ka kaam karta hai aur doosra lower trendline jo ki support ka kaam karta hai. Agar price upper trendline se upar jaata hai, to ye bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Jab price lower trendline ke qareeb jaata hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko darust karta hai. Is scenario mein, ascending channel ka slope support ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke 82.04 ke nazdeek hai. Ye ek bullish sign hai kyunki price support ke qareeb se upar ghoom rahi hai. Agar price is level se upar rehti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum jari hai aur price ko mazeed upar le ja sakta hai.Is bullish trend mein, traders ko long positions lena chahiye jab price support ke qareeb aata hai. Ye unhe mazeed profit kamane ka mauka deta hai jab price phir se upper trendline ki taraf jaata hai. Is strategy mein, stop-loss order ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai taake nuksan se bacha ja sake agar price unexpected direction mein move karta hai. Is tarah ke technical analysis ka istemal karke, traders market trends ko samajh sakte hain aur sahi waqt par positions lena seekh sakte hain. Halaanke, technical analysis keval ek hissa hai trading ka aur sirf ek indicator ki buniyad par trading nahi ki ja sakti. Fundamental analysis bhi mahatvapurna hai jismein market ke economic factors aur supply-demand dynamics ko samjha jata hai. Overall, ascending channel ke slope support ke qareeb ghoomne wala CL oil ka price bullish trend ko darust karta hai aur traders ko mazeed bullish movement ki umeed hoti hai. Lekin, har trade mein risk hota hai, isliye prudent risk management aur thorough analysis ke saath hi trading karna chahiye.

WTI crude oil ka qeemat ab kareeban $78.00 per barrel hai, jo ke ek chhote se bahal ke dar ko darshata hai, lekin mustaqbil ghair yaqeeni nazar aa raha hai. Kuch factors mojood hain jo WTI ke liye potential faida kam karne mein madad faraham kar rahe hain. Pehle to, barhti hui Amreeki crude oil stockpiles ka masla hai. Amreeki Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne haal hi mein ek hairat angez izafa riport ki, jis mein stockpiles ko 26 April tak ke haftay mein 7.256 billion barrels tak barhaya gaya, jab ke tajziye ke mutabiq ghata ki umeed thi. Ye significant izafa, jo June 2023 se sab se zyada hai, oil ke liye kam demand ki alamat hai, jo ke qeemat par neeche ki taraf dabao dalta hai. Dusra, Federal Reserve ke interest rates par kaarwai ka masla hai. Federal Reserve ke faislay ne haalat ke sath sath rukh ko aur bhi complicated bana diya hai. Iss ke sath sath, unki qarar dahi ke halat mein current rates ko barqarar rakhna, sath hi mazid tijarat mein mazeed kami ke bais honay ki wajah se qareeb aane wale mosam mein rates ko kum karne se inkaar, ma'ashiyati fa'alat ko kum kar sakta hai. Ye bhi oil ke liye demand ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se keemat ko mazeed neeche dabaaya ja sakta hai. In bearish fikron ke bawajood, WTI ke liye kuch umeed ki kiranain bhi hain. Technical indicators $84.80 aur $85.00 par potential resistance levels ko point karte hain. Agar keemat in rukawaton ko paar kar leti hai, to wo $86.50 tak izafa kar sakti hai.

Support ki taraf, agar keemat giray to kai levels hain jo agar keemat giray to unko buffer ke tor par kaam aane ki ummeed hai. Pehla bara support $82.50 par hai, phir $82.00 aur hosakta hai $80.50 bhi. Agar mazeed girawat aai to WTI ko nafsiyati tor par important $80.00 level ko phir se dekhne ka samna karna parega. Kul mila kar, WTI ka short-term manzar mukhalif forces ke darmiyan ghubarai gayi hai. Halankeh haal hi ki stockpile ka izafa aur Federal Reserve ki rai manfi indicators hain, lekin potential resistance levels aur support zones ke zariye kuch umeed ka silsila bhi hai. Technical indicators jaise daily chart par double downward move aur $81.42 par sustained breakout point ek potential downside bias ko darust kar sakte hain, lekin agar keemat foran ke rukawaton ko paar kar leti hai to ye tabdeel ho sakta hai.

Crude oil Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, Brent ka halat intehai beqarar raha, aur mehsoos hone wala girawat ka aghaz nahi hua. Balkay, price mazeed barh kar 79.67 ke darja tak pohancha, jahan usne resistance ko samna kiya aur ulta seedha hota raha, taqreeban tamam faida haar gaya. Isi doran, yeh bounce ek bohot bara platform banane mein madad karta raha. Girawat 78.27 tak buying direction ke liye qeemti thi. Hum is support level par candled stick pattern ko dekh sakte hain. Crude ka InstaForex contact is haftay khatam ho raha hai. Main ne is chart mein ek bullish level 72.22, 73.80, aur 80.92 ka zikr kiya hai. Neeche chart dekhein:



Pichle haftay, price ek rectangular shape mein float kar rahi thi. Isne apna 78.80 ke neeche chalna shuru kiya. Main ne downtrend channel ke bare mein bhi zikr kiya. Main ne isko neeche peela color mein draw kiya hai. Abhi, price bina kisi significant tabdeeli ke trade kar rahi hai aur haftay ke level par taqreeban neutral hai. 78.80 ke level ka dobara retest, upar jaane ki koshish ko kamzor kar diya hai, jaisa ke rally mein mojud girawat ka tasawar dene wala hai. Jab price pivot level ke upar move karta hai, toh ek fundamental resistance zone ko cross kiya jata hai, jo down move ko cancel karta hai. Magar, baad ke market ka pullback pehle ke scenario ko dobara dikhata hai. Yeh ek shocks ki range ko dikhata hai, jismein 80.92 ka upper limit aur 75.27 ke spectrum mein lower limit shamil hai. Mojudah platform ke upper boundary se hone wale current rebound ko dekhte hue, hum ek neeche ki taraf move aur ek downtrend ka banne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar price 79.33 ke reversal level ke upar jaati hai, toh mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga.

How to Spot and Trade the Trends: Crude Oil



Mai ne crude oil ke real-time pricing behavior ka jaaiza liya hai aur dekha hai ke oil prices par current pressure mainly Middle East mein uncertainties kam honay aur Federal Reserve System ke buland interest rates ki wajah se hai. Ye rates jald hi waisay hi rahne ki ummed hai. Ek aur factor jo oil prices par asar daal sakta hai wo June 1 ko hone wali OPEC meeting hai. Zyadatar market participants ye samjhte hain ke production levels waisay hi rahenge, peechli production reduction commitments ko follow karte hue. Lekin shak paida hota hai, khas kar agar oil prices $70 per barrel tak laut jayein, kyun ke ye Saudia ko full-scale production shuru karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Current technical analysis of the four-hour chart ke mutabiq, lag raha hai ke 78.36 level ke neeche successful breakdown aur consolidation ke baad ek downward trend ka potential hai. Mai 75.89 tak giravat ka samjh raha hoon agar quotes 79.39 level ke aas paas ke red moving average ke upar na laut jayein.







Agar 77.93 range ke neeche breakout hota hai, to ye ek selling opportunity ko signal karta hai. 76.25 level ko tod kar aur ise establish kar ke neeche ka koi moqa aane par ek behtareen selling signal milti hai. Resistance 83.69 ke aas paas jari hai, jis se aur giravat ho sakti hai. Agar 81.05 level ko tod kar aur ise maintain karne par, ye further growth ko indicate karega. Ek minor correction ke baad, downward trend dobara shuru hone ki sambhavna hai. Haal hi mein correction ke bawajood, mazeed mazbooti ki sambhavna hai. 84.47 range ke upar ek jhoota breakout ho sakta hai, jo ek selling opportunity ko dikhata hai. Agar hum 80.07 range ko tod kar us par qayam karte hain, to ye ek buying signal samne aata hai. Support 78.05 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, jo shayad aur tezi ko badhaye. Agar 81.29 level ko tod kar aur us par qayam hasil kar lein, to ye ek buying opportunity ko signal karega, lekin filhal ye pehla ghoor karne ki zarurat nahi hai.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis:

Brent crude oil abhi Tuesday ko thora sa barh raha hai jis ki keemat $83.57 per barrel hai. Market do mahine ke kamumtiaz par hai Middle East ke maslay ka aman pasand hal aur United States mein oil inventories ke baare mein pareshaniyon ke beech phansa hua hai. Stock market mein abhi tawaja Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan chal rahi negotiations par hai jinhe Egypt ke zariye madad hasil ho rahi hai. Lekin in talks mein rukawat aa gayi hai aur dono taraf se naye jhagdon ke nishane bhi nazar aa rahe hain. Israel ne apni na khushi ka izhar kiya hai, kehte hue ke diye gaye shartein uske mutabiq nahi hai jis se diplomacy mein uljhane paida ho gayi hain.

Demand Ki Taraf Se Saudi Arabia:

In challenges ke bawajood Middle East mein chal rahe maslay se raw material supplies mein rukawaton ka khauf hone ki wajah se energy prices ko support milta hai. Demand ki taraf se Saudi Arabia ne haal hi mein Asian buyers ko apni oil selling prices mein izafa kiya hai, jis se mazboot demand ki umeed zahir hoti hai, khaas karke anay wale summer ke dauran. Ye adjustment aam taur par tab dekha jata hai jab kisi producer ko demand mein izafa par bharosa hota hai, aur Saudi Arabia China se mazboot istemaal par bharosa kar raha hai, jo duniya ka sab se bada oil import karne wala mulk hai.

Oil H4 Chart:



H4 chart par Brent ne 91.50 tak ki growth wave ka local target hasil kar liya hai. 82.70 ki taraf correction mukammal hone wali hai, aur hum is level ke upar ek consolidation range banne ki umeed rakhte hain. Agar price is range se upar break karta hai, toh $95.00 ki taraf ek nayi growth wave shuru ho sakti hai. Ye bullish scenario technical taur par MACD indicator dwara support kiya jata hai, jisme signal line zero mark ke niche lows par hai, jis se naye highs ki potential growth ka ishara hota hai.

Oil H1 Chart:



H1 chart par 82.70 tak correction ke fifth wave ka structure ban gaya hai. Is level ke upar ek consolidation range develop ho gayi hai, aur hum 84.44 ki taraf ek growth link ki umeed rakhte hain. Agar ye level paar ho jaye toh 85.70 tak growth wave ke liye potential khul sakta hai, jo ki initial target hai. Ye technical outlook Stochastic oscillator dwara tasdeek kiya jata hai, jisme signal line 20 ke upar hai aur 80 tak chadhne ke liye taiyar hai.

Crude Oil Market Rebound Ka Tafseeli Jaiza

Maujooda haalat mein, crude oil market mein ek rebound nazar a raha hai, jise khaas tor par Jumeraat ke pehle ghanton mein note kia gaya hai. Keemat 77.00 tak buland ho gayi phir ek mutasir girawat ka samna kia. Ye tezi se mutaharik movement traders ke liye choti arsi ke qeemat mein izafa o girawat ka faida uthane ke liye mojood hai.

75.00 se 78.00 Ke Ilaqe Mein Shorting Mauqay Ki Pechan

Keemat mein rad o amal hone ke darmiyan, 75.00 se 78.00 ke daire mein ek potential shorting mauqa samne aata hai. Traders 77.47 ke qareeb short positions shuru karne ka tawajo karte hain, haalat ka aakhri bulandiyon se pehle wapas aane ka intezar karte hue. Magar, ye ahem hai ke ehtiyaat aur munasib khatra nigrani ke tareeqay istemal karen, kyunke is tarah ki tezi se mutaharik mahol mein trading anokha khatra le kar aati hai.

Khatra Nigrani aur Positioning Ke Liye Ghor Karnay Wale Mamlaat

Crude oil market mein trading ke mauqay ki tehqiq karte waqt, khatra nigrani ko ahmiyat dena aur positioning mein discipline ka dharak hona zaroori hai. Bazaar ki halat se beparwah hone ki bajaye, aik behtareen tasveer ka tasaruf karte hue aur stop-loss orders ka amal zaroori hai takay moqadmat ki khatra ko kam kiya ja sake. Iske ilawa, halki position barqarar rakhna aur zyada exposure se bachna bhi nuqsanat se bachane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Crude Oil Market Ki Dynamics Mein Safar

Crude oil market ko samajhne ke liye uski asli dynamics aur keemat ke harkat ko chalane wale factors ka gehra ilm zaroori hai. Siyasi jhagron, farahmi o darkhwast ke dynamics, aur macroeconomic indicators crude oil prices ko intehai asar andaz kar sakte hain. Traders ko in factors ke baray mein maloomat rakna aur bazar ki halat ke tabadla shuda sharooh mein qabil e tabdeel rehne ke liye maahir rehna chahiye takay inki maargdarshan mei trading ke faislay liye ja sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, crude oil market mein haalat mein taza rebound traders ke liye mauqay aur challanges dono pesh karta hai. Halat 75.00 se 78.00 ke daire mein shorting ke mauqay paida kar sakti hain, lekin traders ko ehtiyaat aur khatra nigrani ke karwai karne aur kamyab tareeqay se samar sambhalne ki zaroorat hai. Discipline se positioning ka ahemiyat denay aur bazar ki dynamics ke baray mein mutghir rehne se, traders crude oil market mein ziada umeed aur mazbooti ke sath chal sakte hain.

Brent crude oil ne apna maqami hadaf 91.50 tak hasil kiya hai, jaisa ke H4 chart par dekha gaya hai. Ek tajziyah ke mutabiq 82.70 ki taraf taksim ka imkan hai, is takmeel ke baad aik mawazna mizaj ka banne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai is level ke oopar. Agar keemat is range ke oopar phoot jati hai, toh 95.00 ki taraf naye izafe ki surat mein aik naye izafe ka aghaz hosakta hai. Ye bullish manzar MACD indicator ki roshni mein mazid tafseeliyaan hai, jahan signal line zero mark ke neeche hai, jo naye bulandiyon ki taraf taraqqi ka ishara deta hai.

Haal hi mein Brent crude oil ke keemat mein izafa ek ahem uptrend ko darust karta hai, jaisa ke maqami hadaf 91.50 tak pohanchne ka saboot hai. Keemat mein yeh izafa 82.70 ke darje tak ka tashreefi marhala ke tawaqo se mila hai. Lekin taasub hai ke nazar andaz rakhne ke maamle mein, jahan traders is sahara dar halaat ke upar aik mawazna mizaj ka banne ka imkan tawaqo karte hain.

Ek bullish jari rehne ki mumkinat ko technical nishanat, khaaskar MACD indicator ke zariye, taqat mein laya gaya hai. Signal line zero mark ke neeche hone ka matlab hai ke market ka mahol mazeed upar ki taraf taraqqi ko pasand karta hai. Traders is ko naye bulandiyon ki taraf taraqqi ka ishara samajhte hain, khaaskar agar keemat mutawaqqa tashreefi marhala ke upar phoot jati hai.

Market ki dynamics ke lehaz se, Brent crude oil ne global tail market ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhayi hai. Geo-political tensions, demand-supply dynamics, aur macroeconomic indicators sab crude oil ke keemat ko asar andaz karte hain. Lekin, chhoti arzi mein izafay ke bawajood, overall rukh bullish rehta hai, technical analysis aur market fundamentals ki support mein.

Traders aur investors dono hi Brent crude oil ki keemat ke mazami harkat ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, khaaskar 82.70 aur 95.00 jaise ahem seviyat ki taraf. In seviyat ke oopar ya neeche phootne se market ke jazbaat mein numaya tabdiliyan aane ka ishara hosakta hai aur naye trading mauqe tayar ho sakte hain. Jaise ke hamesha, risk management ahem hai, aur traders ko market ke haalaat ke jawab mein apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Akhri mein, Brent crude oil ne aik ahem taraqqi ki lehron ko mehsoos kiya hai, H4 chart par apna maqami hadaf 91.50 tak pohanch gaya hai. Aik tashreefi marhala ka imkan 82.70 ki taraf tawaqo kiya jata hai, jis ke baad naye bulandiyon ki taraf mazeed taraqqi ka mumkin manzar hai. Technical factors aur market fundamentals dono ke sath, Brent crude oil ke liye overall manzar pur umeed hai.

Crude oil market mein ek tezi dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo khaaskar Jumeraat ke pehle ghanton mein zahir hui hai. Is uptick ke peeche kai factors hain, jaise ke geopolitical tensions, supply concerns, aur global economic recovery ki expectations. Jab keemat 77.09 tak buland hui hai, yeh ek noticeable rebound hai, jo investors aur oil-dependent industries ke liye significant hai. Ek mukhya karan hai geopolitical tensions, jaise ke tensions Iran aur Saudi Arabia ke darmiyan. Kisi bhi tension ya conflict se, especially Middle East mein, crude oil supply ko disrupt hone ka khatra hota hai, jo ki prices ko boost karta hai. Iske alawa, Russia-Ukraine tension bhi market par asar daal rahi hai, kyun ke Russia ek major oil exporter hai. Investors, in uncertainties ke beech, crude oil ki demand aur supply balance ke liye cautious hote hain, jo ke prices ko upar le jaata hai. Supply concerns bhi ek important factor hain. COVID-19 pandemic ke baad, kai oil producing countries ne production ko cut kiya tha, taaki oversupply ko control kiya ja sake. Ab, jab economies reopen ho rahe hain, demand for oil phir se badh rahi hai, lekin production levels abhi tak purani levels tak recover nahi hui hain. Isi wajah se, supply chain disruptions aur production bottlenecks, jaise ke Venezuela aur Nigeria mein, bhi prices ko affect kar rahe hain. Global economic recovery expectations bhi crude oil ke prices ko support kar rahe hain. Vaccination drives aur stimulus packages se, economies phir se momentum gain kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se demand for oil bhi increase ho rahi hai. Isi tarah, industries aur transportation sectors, jo ki oil ke heavily dependent hain, ab apni activities ko revive kar rahe hain, jo crude oil demand ko further boost kar raha hai. Is rebound ka asar energy markets par bhi hai. Natural gas aur coal ke prices bhi crude oil ke saath chal rahe hain, kyun ke in sabhi commodities ka usage ek doosre se interlinked hai. Agar crude oil ke prices high hain, toh alternative energy sources ka demand bhi increase hota hai, jo inki prices ko bhi uplift karta hai. Overall, is recent rebound se dikh raha hai ke crude oil market abhi bhi volatile hai aur kai factors uski trajectory ko influence kar rahe hain. Investors ko geopolitical developments, supply dynamics, aur economic indicators par nazar rakhna hoga, taaki unhe sahi samay par decisions lene mein madad mile.

Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Crude oil pichle haftay expected downward trend mein raha, jab yeh 89.06 ke resistance level ko tor kar 86.85 ke neeche gaya, jisse sustained downward trend milti hai. Lekin, abhi tak target area tak nahi pahuncha hai, jo ke abhi tak unexplored hai. Iske saath hi, price abhi target se kuch points door hai, isliye pichle scenario ko execute karna sirf nazdeek bhavishya mein ho sakta hai. Iske alawa, price chart supertrend red zone mein hai, jo ki continued selling pressure ko dikhata hai.

Technical taur par, 4-hour chart par dekhte hue, simple moving averages price par upar se negative pressure daal rahe hain, aur iske saath relative strength index bhi negative signals bhej raha hai, jabki index 50 ke neeche midline par stable hai. Yahaan se, jab trading 82.50 ke neeche stabilize hoti hai, toh crude oil prices aur losses absorb kar sakte hain, jaante hue ki 80.95 ke neeche close hone se 80.25 tak pahunchne ki zarurat kam ho jayegi aur aur giravat extend ho sakti hai 79.75 tak. Hum yaad dilate hain ki 82.55 ke upar price stability downside opportunities ko delay karegi lekin mita nahi sakti, aur temporary recovery ke liye 84.00 ko dobara test karne ki koshish ki jayegi, pehle agle price low ko identify karte hain.



Abhi, prices haftay ke lows ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain aur significant decline dikhate hain. Iske saath hi, resistance ka central zone strong pressure mein nahi tha aur apni integrity ko banaye rakha, jo ki preferred downward vector ki relevance ko bhi confirm karta hai. Is trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye, sellers ko 84.06 level ke paas current price zone mein dakhil hona hoga, jahan main resistance area ke boundaries abhi hain. Is level ka dobara test aur uske baad bounce is pair ko ek aur decline karne ki permission dega, jiska target 79.54 aur 78.09 ke beech ka area hoga.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal resistance level ka breakdown aur price ka 86.85 ke reversal level ke area mein dakhil hona hoga.

#CL
Ghantay ki chart dikhata hai ke CL ka qeemat pehlay ek neechay ki taraf ka channel mein qaid thi, lekin haal hi mein ek tor par nikal gaya hai jo dynamics ko badal diya hai. 77.28 par neechay ki hudood ko chhoo kar, qeemat ne palat kar oopar ki taraf chadhai aur aakhir mein 78.56 par oopar ki taraf phanch gayi. Peechay hatne ki bajaye, qeemat apni chadhai jaari rakhi, neechay ke channel se azad ho gayi. Agla potential target hai doosray neechay ke channel ka oopari had 81.85 par, jahan jodi apni chadhai ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

4 ghanton ki chart se pata chalta hai ke qeemat bhi ek neechay ke channel mein phansi hui hai. Magar haal hi ki ghantay ki breakout yeh ishara deta hai ke jodi ki growth jaari reh sakti hai. Jab qeemat oopar jaati hai, to yeh is channel ke oopari had tak 81.56 ko nishana bana sakti hai, jahan palat kar neechay ki taraf tezi se jana ja sakta hai. Doosri surat mein, agar qeemat apni chadhai jaari rakhti hai aur channel se baahar nikalti hai, to jodi ki momentum 84.27 ke darje tak phail sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, daily chart ishara karta hai ek mumkin ulte sir aur kandhoon pattern ki taraf, jo qeemat ke rukh mein ek ahem palat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Agar qeemat 85.00 par neckline ko tor deti hai, to yeh ek wazeh oopar ki taraf ka harkat chalu kar sakta hai, jahan tak 90.00 darja tak nishana ban sakta hai.

Ikhtataam mein, haal hi ki ghantay ki chart par nikalne aur daily chart par mumkin ulte sir aur kandhoon pattern ki isharaat se yeh pata chalta hai ke CL ki qeemat ek ahem oopar ki taraf ka rukh barha sakti hai. Karobari aur musheeron ko qeemat ki harkat ko nazdeek se dekhte rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne chahiye.

WTI Crude Oil ki keemat aik ahem mor par hai, jo $79.40 ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai. Investors market ke tabdeeli pazeeri aur geopolitical tensions ke darmiyan mohim par hain.
WTI Crude Oil ke bunyadi asool:

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen ke hal hilaf-e-awaz WTI ke daamon ko support di hai, jo market mein umeed afza hai. Yellen ki pehle quarter ke potential GDP growth revisions ki tashkeel economic uncertainties mein ek roshni ki kiran faraham karti hai. Is ke ilawa, unki inflation normalization ke hawale se paishgiyan ek mutmaeen market mahol mein ek qareebi stability faraham karti hain. Jari conflict dynamics ke manzar par, WTI oil prices ka rukh mazbooti se dekha gaya hai, jo economic indicators aur geopolitical risks ke darmiyan ek naazuk balance ko darust karti hai. Iss haftay ke trading mein market data aur geopolitical developments ke muzakarat ki dastaan dikhayi gayi hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Nazar Crude Oil ki:

Jab WTI prices ahem mor par chalte hain, to unhe $79.00 aur $78 par pivotal support zones ka samna karna padta hai, jab ke ek minor rukawat $78.95 par aati hai, jo bullish aur bearish sentiments ke darmiyan chal rahi jang ko darust karti hai. Phir bhi, barhne wale tensions ka bhoot qayam hai, jo December ke low $73 ko paar kar sakti hai aur ek taza lehar-e-bala ko shuru kar sakti hai. WTI crude oil ke prices ke pechida manzar ko tajziati tor par guzarne mein, strategic foresight zaroori saabit hoti hai.

200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jaise technical indicators jo $73.35 ke qareeb hain, zaroori hifazati line hote hain, niche ki taraf dabaavon se bachate hain. Uper ki taraf ja rahi trend line ka mustaqbil ke haftay ke liye anjaam-e-aam, market sentiment ko shape karne mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Agar ye trend line tor di jaye, to yeh ek nuqsan ke dabaav ko barha sakti hai aur $74.31 ki taraf girne ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Be yaqeeni ke maujooda mahol mein, proactive stance apne aap ko khatron se bachane aur naye mouqe ka faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Crude oil ka situation stable hai, last review ke baad price upar jane ki koshish kar rahi hai lekin 89.14 level par resistance aa gaya hai, issey price ne phir se 86.83 level se neeche jaana shuru kiya hai. 200 Moving average ke upar price close ho rahi hai, jo ek inverted hammer candle ke saath hai. Isliye, main crude oil analysis mein neutral hoon. Aaj, price gap ke saath ya moving average ke neeche open ho sakti hai. Agar bull side mein open hoti hai, toh 81.68 resistance level target kiya ja sakta hai. Agar inverted hammer pattern follow karta hai, toh 86.83 ya 84.09 support level par gir sakta hai.

Yeh achha signal hai ki buyers apartments par control hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh safal hota hai, toh naye growth ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain. Toh, sab kuch madhyan mein rakhte hue, growth scenario ab bhi valid hai. Yeh pichle key aur target levels ko execute ya cancel karne ke pehle ke samaan rakhta hai. Abhi, 86.89 support ka retest sambhav hai. Trend line ke touch se bounce milne par buyers ko current long-term sideways trend se bahar nikalne ki takat milti hai. Naye local highs ki taraf ka target 81.64 hai aur possible breakout 83.78 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price ne pivot level 84.17 ke neeche jaata hai aur wahaan fix hota hai, toh yeh corrective decline shuru karne ka signal milega. haftay ke level par taqreeban neutral hai. 78.80 ke level ka dobara retest, upar jaane ki koshish ko kamzor kar diya hai, jaisa ke rally mein mojud girawat ka tasawar dene wala hai. Jab price pivot level ke upar move karta hai, toh ek fundamental resistance zone ko cross kiya jata hai, jo down move ko cancel karta hai. Magar, baad ke market ka pullback pehle ke scenario ko dobara dikhata hai. Yeh ek shocks ki range ko dikhata hai, jismein 80.92 ka upper limit aur 75.27 ke spectrum mein lower limit shamil hai. Mojudah platform ke upper boundary se hone wale current rebound ko dekhte hue, hum ek neeche ki taraf move aur ek downtrend ka banne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar price 79.33 ke reversal level ke upar jaati hai, toh mojooda scenario ko cancel karne.