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  • #361 Collapse

    Kal ke oil market mein, prices pichle din ke range ke andar trade ki gayi, jis se ek chhota bearish candle ka aghaz hua, jo ke din ke end tak tha, pichle din ke range ke andar band tha. Aaj, market ek chhote gap ke saath khula, jo abhi tak pura nahi hua hai, aur ab tak koi significant developments nazar nahi aaye hain. Meri overall assessment ke mutabiq, aik potential test ki umeed hai qareebi support level 80.30 par, meri analysis ke mutabiq. Iss support level ke aas paas, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Sab se pehla scenario aik reversal candle ka ban jana hai, phir ek upward price movement ka aghaz hoga.
    Agar yeh scenario haqeeqat mein banta hai, to main price ke resistance level 83.12 tak pohanchne ka intezar karunga. Iss resistance ko paar karne ke baad, mazeed upward movement ka intezar hai 89.85 tak. Iss resistance ke qareeb, trading setups ka intezar hoga mazeed directions ke liye. Wazeh rakhna ke price ka ascending ho kar resistance 95.03 tak pohanchne ka imkan hai, yeh situations aur price ke response par munhasir hai higher targets ke liye. Ya to, agar price 80.30 ke support level ke neeche close hota hai, to main ek downward movement ki umeed rakhta hoon ya to support level 77.52 ya 75.84 ki taraf. Iss support ke aas paas, bullish signals ka dhyan rakhunga, ek upward momentum ka aghaz hone ki umeed hai. Toh, summary mein, aaj ke local developments appear uneventful hain, magar main bullish stance maintain karta hoon, upward trend ke continuation ke liye nearby support levels se signals ka intezar karta hoon.

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    • #362 Collapse

      H-1 Timeframe Analysis
      Hello sab log. Kaise hain aap? Crud oil ki keemat ne 83.82 tak naye uchaiyan chhui hain. Momentum indicators bullish bias ko short term mein jaari rakhne ka ishaara dete hain, lekin ek khatra hai ki yeh recovery jald khatam ho jaaye. RSI overbought zone mein dakhil hua aur 50 ke level ko tood diya, jabki stochastic overbought zone mein uthne laga hai. Yeh ek ishaara ho sakta hai ki ek neeche ki correction aane waali hai. Bullish momentum ko maintain karne ke liye, kharid-dar ko pehle price ko 4-hour chart par 82.30 par mooving average ke upar le jaana hoga. Unhein 77.50 par neeche ki lehar ke 50% Fibonacci retracement par bhi mazboot rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai. In rukawaton ko paar karne ki kamyabi 79.63 par 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aur mool 75.00 ke upar 200-period simple mooving average ke liye raasta bana sakti hai. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:

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      H-4 Timeframe Analysis

      Lekin agar retracement levels ghatenge, toh price turant 76.68 par 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par immediate support pa sakta hai. Agar yeh tod jaata hai, toh 74.51 par 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level par support mil sakta hai. Agar bechne ki wave jaari rahegi, toh 71.28 ke neeche ke low ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Sankshipt roop se, nazdeeki dhrishtikon lagataar behtar ho raha hai, haalaanki yeh recovery jald khatam ho jaane ka khatra badhta ja raha hai. Yeh bina shak ek mooving average ke upar todh jaane se uptrend ko majboot kar sakta hai. Agar 50-period moving average ke neeche todh jaata hai, toh nazdeeki technical tasveer ko phir se bearish hone ka khatra badh jaata hai. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:

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      Last edited by ; 28-03-2024, 01:35 AM.
      • #363 Collapse

        CRUDE OIL H1 TIME FRAME

        warohmatullahi wabarokatuh, subah bakhair forum ke doston, jahan bhi aap hain, umeed hai ke humesha aapko sehat aur aasaani milay, Ameen. Yeh maqbool nahi hota ke aaj phir se itwaar ho gaya hai. Bas, aapko bhi khushiyon bhara chutti ka din mubarak ho. Dua hai ke jo bhi shuruwat mein tha, woh asani se kaamyabi tak pohanch gaya ho. Doston, pichle paanch dinon ke trading ke nateejay kaise rahe? Umeed hai sabne munafa kamaya ho aur paisa nikal kar maza bhi liya ho. Behtar tareeqa yeh hoga ke hum saath mein ek dilchasp #CL chart dekhein, jismein hamein pata chale ke agle haftay ke aghaz mein #CL kya karega. Kya woh mazeed aage barhega ya phir rajhan ki taraf barhega? Isi sawal ka jawab hamare pehshan-goi mein chhupa hua hai. Ab aaiye, is #CL chart ko mulaahiza karein aur us par bahas karein. Upper dikhaye gaye chart se mustaqbil ki qeematon ki kai mumkinah manazirnamay dikhaye gaye hain. Jumma ko qeemat 80.50 se 81.45 tak ki had tak mehdood hai, aur qeemat abhi bhi is ilaqe mein ghum rahi hai jab tak ke market Jumma ki subah band na ho jaye. Trend ke liye, agar aap MA 50 indicator ka istemal karte hain, to yeh bullish hai kyun ke qeemat MA line ke oopar chali jaati hai, phir bullish ko 80.79 ke pivot point ke oopar qeemat bani rehti hai, to doosre alfaz mein qeemat ka trend zyada taraf bullish hai, lekin kharid faansi ko anjam dene ke liye behtar hai agar hum intezaar karen ke ye 81.45 se oopar nikal kar mukarrar ho jaye aur haftay ki muzahamat par mutawaqqa agla izafa 84.00 par ho, lekin agar qeemat is ilaqe se mustrad hone ka matlab hai ke ye 81.45 se oopar mukarrar nahin ho pati to ye andaza lagaya jata hai ke qeemat neeche ke range tak wapas gir jayegi, doosra trading manazirnama ye hoga keh farokht ki jayegi jab qeemat 80.50 ke neeche gir kar band ho jaye gi aur munafa ke liye nisaar do 78.80 par ho ga. Ye wohi hai jo main aaj subah ke moqe par share kar sakta hoon, agar koi aur shamil karna chahta hai, to main khush aamdeed hoon, shukriya aur sab ko kamiyabi ke liye behtareen khwahishat.

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        • #364 Collapse

          Crude oil
          tail ki utaar charhao ki tijarat rozana chart par jari hai, is mah ke aaghaz mein aik mazboot mandi ki lehar ke baad, kyunkay qeemat ne qeemat ke masalas ke andar tijarat shuru ki hai jis ke nateejay mein do channels hain, jin mein se aik pichlle do channels ke douran qeemat ki naqal o harkat ki numindagi kar raha hai. mah, jo blue channel hai, aur bearish red channel sirf pichlle mahinay ke douran qeemat ki harkat ki numindagi karta hai .mahana mehwar ki satah se bhi muzahmat ka saamna karte hue qeemat ne is mahinay trading shuru ki, aur is ne nichli channel linon aur 72.54 ki mahana satah tak pounchanay ke liye girna shuru kya, phir yeh toot gayi, phir 68. 45 ki satah, aur yeh toot gayi., lekin qeemat charhne ki koshish shuru karne ke liye dobarah is ke oopar band ho jati hai, jo pooray. Mahinay jari rahi, kyunkay qeemat ko har simt muzahmat ka saamna tha. aik baar jab yeh bherne ki koshish karta hai to, aakhri izafah 72.54 ki mahana satah aur channel lines ki taraf se himayat karta hai, aur is wajah se yeh imkaan hai ke tail ka izafah mahinay ke aakhir tak jari rahay ga .tail kam farokht karne walon ne aik intibah jari kya : mazeed" hype" ke liye dheyaan den. Saudi wazeer tawanai shehzada abdalaziz ban Salman ne is haftay ke shuru mein tail ke short sailors par –apne taaza hamlay mein yeh dhamki jari ki thi. wazeh tor par, Saudi wazeer tawanai avpik ki baag dor sambhale hue hain, jo khaam tail ki pedawar ko dobarah kam karne ka faisla kar sakta hai, jis se qeematon mein izafah ho sakta hai jis ka nateeja yaqeenan bohat se qiyas aarai karne walon aur kam farokht karne walon ke liye takleef da ho ga. Saudi wazeer ne khabardaar kya ke' ' mein inhen ( tail ke qiyas aarai karne walon ka hawala dete hue ) mahswara deta rehta hon ke inhen nuqsaan puhanche ga, unhon ne April mein aisa kya, mujhe –apne card dikhaane ki zaroorat nahi hai ' ' .16 May tak tail ke liye short positions 184 million barrel par ahem hain. yeh short positions ki tadaad se 140 feesad ka izafah hai jo sirf aik mah qabal gardish mein theen .is terhan ki jurrat mandana dhamki ka nateeja wazeh nahi hai. doosri taraf, pedawar mein katoti ke waday yaqeenan belon ko bahar nikaal den ge – jisay hum ne pichlle kuch dinon mein dekha hai jab brint curved future ke muahiday barhay hain. lekin is ka matlab yeh bhi hai ke jab aglay haftay avpik ki meeting hogi to market aik aur pedawari katoti ke imkaan mein qeematein barhana shuru kar rahi hai. agar avpik haqeeqat mein pedawar mein kami karta hai to is se qematon mein honay walay kuch jhatkay ko poora kya ja sakta hai - yani yeh mukhtasir farokht knndgan itnay mutasir nahi ho satke jitna ke Saudi wazeer tawanai chahain ge Click image for larger version

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          • #365 Collapse

            Crude Oil ka Technical Analysis
            H-1 Timeframe Analysis

            Crude oil pichle haftay gir gaya, shayad ek partial correction ka hissa ban kar, jab yeh ek aur uchhal chhaa gaya. Pehli baar 86.85 ke upar break hone mein nakami ka samna karne ke baad, price thodi gir gayi lekin phir se apna uptrend shuru kiya, lekin high ke upar doosri koshish nakam rahi, jisse correction hui, aur price aur gir gayi. Price chart ne red supertrend zone mein dakhil kiya, jo bechne walon ki taraf se zyada dabao ka indication hai.

            Technical taur par, price ne apna resistance level 82.23 ko tod diya hai. Stochastic oscillator ek bullish trend ka sign de raha hai. Agla hafta humara bullish target 90.0 tak pohanchega. Phir bhi, hum is tod diya gaya resistance level ka retest ka intezar kar sakte hain. Jab paanch candles is level ke upar bandh ho jaayenge, tab price ko upar ki taraf dhakel diya jaayega. Agar price is level ke neeche jaata hai aur ek candle is level ke neeche bandh ho jaata hai, toh humara bullish target cancel ho jaayega. Phir humein 80.20 bearish level ki taraf ek price dekhne ko milegi. Iska breakout price ko aur neeche ki taraf push karega, ek aur neeche ki taraf ka target 78.50 level hoga.

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            H-4 Timeframe Analysis

            Prices abhi thode weekly lows ke neeche hain. Iske alawa, mukhya support zones ka abhi tak intikaal aur chhooi hui sthiti, upar ki taraf vector ko ek priority bana rahi hai. Isi samay, mojooda correction decline ko 84.06 ke level tak jaari rakhne ki sambhavna hai, jahan mukhya support area ke seema sthir hai. Is area ka ek retest aur safal rebound agle bullish iraado ki zaroori tasdeeq hogi aur 89.06 aur 91.52 ke beech ek aur upward move ko anumati degi.

            Maujooda halaat ko cancel karne ka signal support level ke breakdown aur price ka reversal level 81.60 ke neeche dakhil ho jaana hoga. Chart neeche dekhein:

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            • #366 Collapse

              Crude Oil Trading Signals
              Aaj hamari guftagu crude oil ke mojooda keemat ke trends ke ird gird ghumti hai. Hum ne dekha hai ke oil ke daam mein kami hai, jabke daily chart par $80.06 ke upar trading hoti hai, lekin daily candle bearish signals dikhata hai. Yeh $78.00 tak girne ka natija ho sakta hai phir se rebound hone se pehle. Hum U.S. oil reserves ke khabron ka intezar karte hain, jis se ziada volatility ka imkaan hai, jiski wajah se data-driven fluctuations ke darmiyan stop-loss orders lagana hoshiyari ki zaroorat hai. Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) aur uske saathi bade hoon ya chhote, Middle East aur Russia mein barhti hui tensions ke bais, apni production cuts ko tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Khaaskar, jab OPEC tajawuzat ke doran supply ko kam karta hai aur darkhwast kam hoti hai, to WTI ke daamon mein aam tor par izafa hota hai.

              Is ke ilawa, ek kamzor U.S. dollar doosri currencies istemal karne walon ke liye oil sasta banata hai, jo WTI ke daamon mein izafa ko support karta hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ke is saal interest rate mein kami ane ki tawaqo bhi WTI ke daamon ko taqwiyat deta hai. Mazid economic growth ke silsile mein, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne pichle haftay interest rates kam karne ka mansooba bayan kiya.

              Daily chart par agar qeemat $81.05 ke upar jamti hai, to pehla target $82.85 hai. Magar haal hi ke qeemat ke amal ney key levels ko tor diya hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ki alaamat hai, $80.38 tak girne ka intezar hai, agle rebound ke target $81.38 aur $82.84 hain agar upar ki janib tor diya jata hai ya phir mukhtalifurwi girawat agar jaari rehti hai to mumkin hai ke $79.77. Abhi to benchmark U.S. crude oil, Western Texas Intermediate, $80.78 par trading ho raha hai, jab ke daamon moderate U.S. dollar ke bahal hone aur haal hi mein Ukrainian attacks ke natayej mein Russian refinery capacity ke nuqsaan ki mix reactions ke bais gir rahe hain. Ye interruptions, jo ke Russia ke refinery capacity ka lagbhag 12% asar hai, global oil supply concerns ko buland kar rahe hain. Siyasi tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, WTI ke daamon ko mazeed mutasir kar sakte hain, shayad ke daamon mein izafa ho.


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              • #367 Collapse

                Crude Oil ka qeemat ne intehai tawalat dikhayi hai, khaaskar wo trend line ke sath jo diagram mein zahir hai. Ye trend line ne Crude Oil ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa karne ka kaam kiya hai. Halankay, haal ki bullish hawa mein, Crude Oil ki qeemat ne khaas taaqat dikhayi, dono 26 aur 50 EMA lines ko bhi bullish rukh mein paar kar diya. Ye ek ahem trend dynamics ka nishan tha, jo Crude Oil ke liye mazboot upward movement ko darust karta hai.
                Magar, haal ki qeemat ki harkat ne mukhtalif resistances ke nishaan dikhaye hain, khaaskar pichle haftay ke candle mein ek bearish pin bar formation ke zariye. Ye is waqt aaya jab Crude Oil ki qeemat ne 83.84 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanch kar neeche ki taraf tawajjo di. Iss resistance level ke neeche rehne ke bawajood, khareedne wale amlay nazar mein rahay hain, mazeed qeemat ke phir se ubharne ke doraan mojood haftay ke doran, jis ne ek bullish candle ka peyda hona kiya.

                Is timeframe chart par RSI indicator ki jaanch 57 reading ki hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke Crude Oil ki qeemat apne irtifa ko jari rakhegi aur 83.84 ke resistance level ko shayad paar kar sakegi. Magar, ahem wus'at aage bhi mojood hai ek value 95 ke tor par.

                In tajziyat ke roshni mein, wazeh hai ke Crude Oil ki qeemat ek ahem nuqta par safar kar rahi hai. Bullish hawa, resistance levels aur RSI jaise technical indicators ke darmiyan ta'amul se Crude Oil ki qeemat ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko mukarrar kiya ja sakta hai.

                Jab ke investors aur traders ye factors dekhte hain, to unhe dhiyan se rahein, khaaskar market ki sentiment ke mukhtalif tabdeelion, geopolitical developments aur macroeconomic trends par, jo Crude Oil ki qeemat ko asar andaaz kar sakte hain.

                Is ke ilawa, aham support aur resistance levels ko khaas tor par monitor karna, sath hi mukhtalif technical indicators ka bartari taur par behavior dekhna, qeemat ke haraqat ka andaza lagane aur strategic decision-making ko inform karne mein madadgar hai.

                Mukhtasaran, jabke Crude Oil ki qeemat ne bardasht aur bullish hawa dikhayi, to ahem resistance levels aur market ke participants ke dynamics ki mojoodgi tawajjo ke laayak hai. In factors ko dhiyan mein rakhte hue aur ek mukammal analytical approach istemaal karte hue, investors Crude Oil trading ke pesh-e-nazar manzar mein behtar safar kar sakte hain.
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                • #368 Collapse

                  Tail oil prices kuch hafton se aik buland raftaar par chal rahe hain, jo America ke liye global oil market mein ek purkashish surat-e-haal ko darust karte hain. Jab ke America tail ke qeemat ko kam karne ke liye tail reserves ko chhod raha hai, woh isi waqt tail ko woh buland darje par khareed raha hai takay apne ahem reserves ko bhar sake, jo tarikh se record kamzor hain. Yeh seemingly mukhaalif strategy market mein tension ko highlight karti hai. Dabao ko barhane ke saath saath, amrici dollar mazboot ho raha hai, jis par muntaqilat ke dar se muntazim hai. Agar anay wale data ne is trend ko tasdeeq di, to Federal Reserve interest daro mein izafa taal sakti hai, jo tail market ko mazeed mutasir kar sakta hai. Intehai arzi, Magar, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), amrici tail ke qeematon ke liye aik bunyadi hawala, December ki nizam mein dekhne ke liye, aik ahem izafa dekha gaya hai. Magar, haal ki chadhai ko aik saans lene ki jagah milti hai, jab qeemat tail ke kharidar aur bechne wale ke darmiyan aik potential struggle ki misaal deti hai.

                  Technical indicators, mazhab ke bawajood, bulls ke liye sahoolat dete hain. Woh is waqt ke mawaad ke toor par dooran resistance level ko torne ki koshish ko ishara karte hain, jo ke November 2023 ke shuru ke baad se sab se buland qeemat hai. Agar kaamyaab ho gaya, to tail ke qeemat aur bhi buland ho sakti hai, jo ke pechlay October se nazar nahin aayi hai. Yeh situation tail market mein aik bohot he naazuk balance peda karti hai. America ke tail ke qeemat ko handle karne ke liye kadam uthana mukhaalif asraar daleel dete hain, jab ke mashroot ma'ashiyati factors jaise ke intehai muntaqilat aur dollar ki taqat aur ek mazeed tabqe ki ghair yaqeeni ko shamil karte hain. Tail oil ki futures WTI tail ke 50.0% Fibo ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain, aur yeh ishara deta hai ke haal ki sessionon mein ralii ka rukh aa gaya hai. Magar, us ilaake ke ird gird buna howa nishan shayad agle chand sessionon mein ek mumkinah khilafati harkat ki taraf ishara karta hai.
                   
                  • #369 Collapse

                    Crude oil tail ki utaar charhao ki tijarat rozana chart par jari hai, is mah ke aaghaz mein aik mazboot mandi ki lehar ke baad, kyunkay qeemat ne qeemat ke masalas ke andar tijarat shuru ki hai jis ke nateejay mein do channels hain, jin mein se aik pichlle do channels ke douran qeemat ki naqal o harkat ki numaindagi kar raha hai. mah, jo blue channel hai, aur bearish red channel sirf pichlle mahinay ke douran qeemat ki harkat ki numaindagi karta hai .mahana mehwar ki satah se bhi muzahmat ka saamna karte hue qeemat ne is mahinay trading shuru ki, aur is ne nichli channel linon aur 72.54 ki mahana satah tak pounchanay ke liye girna shuru kya, phir yeh toot gayi, phir 68. 45 ki satah, aur yeh toot gayi., lekin qeemat charhne ki koshish shuru karne ke liye dobarah is ke oopar band ho jati hai, jo poooray mahinay jari rahi, kyunkay qeemat ko har simt muzahmat ka saamna tha. aik baar jab yeh bherne ki koshish karta hai to, aakhri izafah 72.54 ki mahana satah aur channel lines ki taraf se himayat karta hai, aur is wajah se yeh imkaan hai ke tail ka izafah mahinay ke aakhir tak jari rahay ga .tail kam farokht karne walon ne aik intibah jari kya : mazeed" hype" ke liye dheyaan den. Saudi wazeer tawanai shehzada abdalaziz ban Salman ne is haftay ke shuru mein tail ke short sailors par –apne taaza hamlay mein yeh dhamki jari ki thi. wazeh tor par, Saudi wazeer tawanai avpik ki baag dor sambhale hue hain, jo khaam tail ki pedawar ko dobarah kam karne ka faisla kar sakta hai, jis se qeematon mein izafah ho sakta hai jis ka nateeja yaqeenan bohat se qiyaas aarai karne walon aur kam farokht karne walon ke liye takleef da ho ga. Saudi wazeer ne khabardaar kya ke' ' mein inhen ( tail ke qiyaas aarai karne walon ka hawala dete hue ) mahswara deta rehta hon ke inhen nuqsaan puhanche ga, unhon ne April mein aisa kya, mujhe –apne card dikhaane ki zaroorat nahi hai' ' .16 May tak tail ke liye short positions 184 million barrel par ahem hain. yeh short positions ki tadaad se 140 feesad ka izafah hai jo sirf aik mah qabal gardish mein theen .is terhan ki jurrat mandana dhamki ka nateeja wazeh nahi hai. doosri taraf, pedawar mein katoti ke waday yaqeenan belon ko bahar nikaal den ge – jisay hum ne pichlle kuch dinon mein dekha hai jab brint curved future ke muahiday barhay hain. lekin is ka matlab yeh bhi hai ke jab aglay haftay avpik ki meeting hogi to market aik aur pedawari katoti ke imkaan mein qeematein barhana shuru kar rahi hai. agar avpik haqeeqat mein pedawar mein kami karta hai to is se qeematon mein honay walay kuch jhatkay ko poora kya ja sakta hai - yani yeh mukhtasir farokht knndgan itnay mutasir nahi ho satke jitna ke Saudi wazeer
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                    • #370 Collapse


                      Crude oil ka chart dekhte hue, aap sahi taur par tail ki utaar charhao ki tijarat ko dekh rahe hain. Is mahine ke aaghaz mein, ek mazboot mandi ki lehar ke baad, qeemat mein girawat dekhi gayi hai, kyunki tijarat masalas ke andar shuru ho gayi hai.Do channels hain jo qeemat ki harkat ko represent karte hain: blue channel jo is mahine ki numaindagi kar raha hai, aur bearish red channel jo pichle do mahinon ki harkat ko darust karta hai. lekin qeemat charhne ki koshish shuru karne ke liye dobarah is ke oopar band ho jati hai, jo poooray mahinay jari rahi, kyunkay qeemat ko har simt muzahmat ka saamna tha. aik baar jab yeh bherne ki koshish karta hai to, aakhri izafah 72.54 ki mahana satah aur channel lines ki taraf se himayat karta hai, aur is wajah se yeh imkaan hai ke tail ka izafah mahinay ke aakhir tak jari rahay ga .tail kam farokht karne walon ne aik intibah jari kya : mazeed" hype" ke liye dheyaan den. Saudi wazeer tawanai shehzada abdalaziz ban Salman ne is haftay ke shuru mein tail ke short sailors par –apne taaza hamlay mein yeh dhamki jari ki thi. wazeh tor par, Saudi wazeer tawanai avpik ki baag dor sambhale hue hain, jo khaam tail ki pedawar ko dobarah kam karne ka faisla kar sakta hai


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                      Is mahine, qeemat ne trading shuru ki aur nichle channel linon aur 72.54 ki mahana satah tak pounchanay ke liye girna shuru kiya. Phir yeh satah tooti, aur qeemat ne 68.45 ki satah tak giravat dekhi.Yeh muzahmat ka waqt hai, kyunke mahana mehwar ki satah se bhi giravat ka saamna karna pada. Crude oil market mein muzahmat ke doran, traders aur investors ko careful rehna chahiye aur market ki harkat ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake wo sahi trading decisions le sakein.Is samay, technical analysis aur market ke fundamentals ko dono hi dhyan mein rakha jana zaroori hai taake sahi trading strategies bana sakein aur market ke changes ka samna kar sakein




                       
                      • #371 Collapse

                        Tail wakt mein Oil (WTI) chhote arse ke liye ek uchhal kha raha hai. Iska saboot hai ke iski keemat ke channel ke barhne wale highs aur lows. Tadbeer nigar ye trend kuch arse ke liye jari rakhne ka keh rahe hain, kehte hue "trend aap ka dost hai." Magar bahut zyada umeedwarion ki pesh kashion ke liye hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai. Ek zyada wakt ka tanazur dekhte hue, trend kam wazeh hai. Oil ke daamon ne March ke darmiyan 83.05 dollars ki bulandiyon tak pohanch gayi thi, phir nichli. 100 haftay ki moving average (SMA) aur channel ke upper limit se rukawat shayad is girawat ke peeche hai. Tab se, keemat 80.20 aur 82.00 dollars ke darmiyan jhool rahi hai. Choti arse ke trend ke liye klidi hai ke oil ko uchhle dar uchhle dharaye qayam kar sake. Agar yeh hal hi mein maojooda shreni ke andar trade karta raha, toh up trend ko khatra ho sakta hai. 80.20 dollars ke neeche girna, channel ke neeche se, ek ahem bearish signal ho sakta hai. Yeh keemat 78.60-80 dollars ke shuruaati support level tak qeemat girne ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Yahan, kuch ahem moving averages ke group kuch madad faraham kar sakte hain.

                        Dusri taraf, agar oil March ki bulandi 83.05 dollars ko tor de, toh up trend ke mukhtalif ho sakti hai. Agla maqsood takreeban 83.90 dollars ke qareeb ho sakta hai, shayad 84.69 dollars, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko bhi par kar de. October 2023 mein yeh shakht rukawat ka kaam karta tha. Yahan se nikalne ke baad, keemat ko 89.23 dollars, 78.6% Fibonacci level tak barhne ki sambhavna hai. Takneeki nishanat jaise ke RSI aur MACD bhi bullish bias ka ishara dete hain. Ek sambhavna hai ke bail $83.10 level ko torne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo ke November se is se zyada ooncha hai. Magar yeh bullish momentum bechnay walon ke dabaav se mukhalfat ho sakti hai, jo ke keemat ko 81.50 dollars ke neeche la sakte hain. Us surat mein, dekhne ke liye agle support levels 80.30 aur 78.30 dollars honge, ek mukhtalif girawat ke liye 74.35 dollars tak.

                        Ikhtitami tor par, oil ki chhoti arse ki rehnumai uski sakhti hai ke woh rukawaton ko jeet sake aur zyada uncha naqsh qayam kar sake. Bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek narm tug-of-war hai, jahan ahem support aur rukawat zones qeemat ki agle qadam ki mohra tai karte hain. Takneeki nishanat ke saath qeemat ka amal ka ehtiyaat se ghoor karne ke liye ahem hai is market mein chalne ke liye.
                           
                        • #372 Collapse

                          Pichli trading haftay mein, crude oil ne tezi se bahir nikalne ki koshish ki aur 79.54 aur 81.60 ke darmiyan resistance ko test kiya, lekin isay paar karne mein nakam. Isne keemat ko maqami area mein pohnchne se roka aur jo tajaweez thi, uske bilkul ulta hai. Is natijay mein, quotes rebound hokar girne lagay, aur apni asal jagah par wapas aaye, jahan signal area hai, 75.99. Keemat is neutral, and koi numaya digarat nahi hui. Upper boundary ko dobara test karne ke baad; quotes lower boundary ki taraf move ho rahe hain, aur ek aur rebound lower boundary se mutawaqif hain. Isi doran, asal support areas beinthaai hain aur apni mazbooti ko qaim rakhti hain, jo upar ka vector maqami banaye rakhne ki ijaazat deti hain. Is ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, kharidar ko 75.99 level ke ooper confidently move karna hoga, jo ke significant support zone ko touch karta hai, usay dobara test karna aur bounce karke aglay wave mein upar chalne ki taraf rukhsat karna. Is mein moujood opportunities hongi jin ka target area 81.60 or 84.06 hoga.


                          Mojoooda halat ko mansookh karne ka ishara support level ke breakdown, and price movement ke liye 74.28 reversal level ke neeche jaane ka hoga. Niche diye gaye chart ka dekhein:
                          Technically, hum trading ke liye neeche biased hain, jise 73.00 ke andar manasib resistance barrier ke neeche consolidate hone par mabni hai. The 50-day simple moving average is a price consolidation stochastic indicator. Is tarah, aaj ke trading session mein aik intraday downtrend mumkin hai; jisme pehla target 71.20 hai. Downtrend ko torne aur quwwat mein izafay ke liye seedha raste par chalne ka asar hota hai; jo seedha 70.60 ke raste aur aglay rukawat ko kholta hai. Yeh yaad rakhen ke 73.00 ke aham resistance ke ooper price ki istiqamat kisi bhi bearish koshish ko rok sakti hai, aur price upar ki taraf chal sakti hai jisme targets 73.80 se shuru hoti hain. Is resistance level ko torne par downtrend turant ruk jata hai, and oil prices ise apni madad lete hain. Shuruat ke waqt 74.20 to 75.80 hote hain. H4 time frame: Crude oil price chart pay current situation 72.50 pivot point line k ooper running karti hai. Chart pay Stochastic indicator 80 levels cooper overbought signal kliye crossed over honay k baad kuch bearish price correction ka signal show kar raha hai. If the current price upward movement continues, the chart pay price target is 73.55, and the usk bad price is 74.10. Resistance zones should be tested.

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                          • #373 Collapse



                            Tail on Thursday oil ke daamon mein izafa horaha hai, jo $82 per barrel ke upar mukammal hogaya hai. Ye izafa speculation se hota hai ke OPEC+, jise Saudi Arabia aur Russia jese bade oil produer countries lead karte hain, apni aanay wali meeting mein production cuts ko barqarar rakhega. Investors nazdeek se sitara bandi kar rahe hain, umeed hai ke OPEC+ June tak kisi bhi policy tabdeel ko taakhir kardega. Ye faisla tez honay wali geopolitical tensions ke doraan kiya gaya hai, khaaskar Ukraine mein chalne wale ongoing conflict ke doraan. Russian energy infrastructure par hamla global crude oil supplies ko mutasir kar chuka hai, jo pehle se hi tang market mein izafa dabaaw daal raha hai. Iske bawajood, US ki maeeshat mazboot buniyad par nazar aati hai. Halhi mein shaya hui data ne dikhaya ke US ki GDP growth 2023 ke chouthay quarter mein umeedon se zyada hai.

                            Magar, mahangai investors ke liye aik pareshani bani hui hai. Anay wala US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report mustaqbil ke interest rate trends par roshni dalne ka intezar hai. Khud oil market mein, daamon ki izafa mand rally ek dam se thandi hawa khareed rahi hai. Daam ne aik technical chart pattern banaya hai jo nazdeeki mustaqbil mein aik breakout ya breakdown ki alamat deti hai. Analysts ahem technical levels par nazar daal rahe hain: $83.10 ke upar aur $81.50 ke neeche. $83.10 ke upar breakout daamon ko $89 ki taraf uchhal sakti hai, jabke $81.50 ke neeche giravat $78 ki taraf ka inteqal hosakta hai. Aakhir mein, oil ke daamon ka rukh OPEC+ faislo, geopolitical taraqqiyan, aur mahangai data par munhasir hoga. WTI oil futures 50.0% Fibo ke qareeb trade karrahe hain, aur yeh ishara deta hai ke haal ki session mein rally mein rukawat aagayi hai. Magar, jo pennant pattern uss area ke ird gird ban gaya hai woh agle kuch sessions mein possible breakout move ko ishara kar raha hai.





                             
                            • #374 Collapse

                              Crude oil mein inthayi khatarnaak trend banne jaa raha hai jo sell traders ke liye mushkilon ko barha sakta hai. Is waqt market mein crude oil ka daam 83.00 dollar par hai aur yeh unn traders ke liye ek challenging samay ho sakta hai jo sell trading kar rahe hain. Yeh khatra unhein nuksan pahuncha sakta hai, khaaskar agar unka vyavasaayik rujhaan sell taraf hai. Kai factors hain jo is khatre ko bhadkaane mein yogdaan kar rahe hain. Geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, aur global economic conditions crude oil ke daam par prabhaav daal rahe hain. Ukraine aur Russia ke beech ke tanaav, Middle East ke sthiti, aur OPEC ke production cuts jaise mudde bhi market mein uncertainty create kar rahe hain. Is samay, sell trading karne wale traders ko vishesh roop se samajhna hoga ki market kaafi volatile hai aur kisi bhi samay daam mein tezi ya girebaazi ho sakti hai. Crude oil ke daamon mein tivr badlav traders ke liye nuksaandeh ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar woh yeh trend aur market ke uncertainty ko samajhne mein kamiyab nahi hain.

                              Sell trading karne se pahle, traders ko market ke moolyon ko vistaar se jaanch leni chahiye. Technical analysis aur fundamental analysis ka istemaal karke unhein market ke movements aur upcoming events ka pata lagana chahiye. Iske alawa, risk management strategies ka istemaal karke apne nuksaan ko kam karne ka prayaas karna bhi mahatvapurn hai. Market mein hone waale kisi bhi tivr badlav ke samay, traders ko apne trading plans ko flexible rakhna chahiye. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ki unpredictable market conditions mein, kuch bhi ho sakta hai aur traders ko apne positions ko turant adjust karne ki taiyaari rakhni chahiye.

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                              Is samay, traders ko sell trading ke bajaye market ke aur options ko bhi consider karna chahiye jaise ki hedging ya phir long-term investments. Yeh options unhein market ke fluctuations se bachaav karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Ant mein, is challenging samay mein, traders ko dhairya aur samajhdari se kaam lena chahiye. Market volatility aur uncertainty ke bawajood, saavdhaani aur sahi samay par leni gayi nirnayen unhein nuksaan se bacha sakti hain.
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                              • #375 Collapse

                                Haftay ke oil ke chart mein, neechay se oopar tak maqami rukh ko azmaane ke baad, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 80.85 par hai, ke local resistance level se, keemaat ulta gayi, aur haftay ke range ka band ho jaane par, ek wazeh reversal candle ban gaya jo ke south ki taraf ishaara kar raha tha. Moujooda manzar ke mutabiq, mein poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke qareebi support level ki taraf taqreeban aik durusti keemat ka khichaav ho sakta hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 77.52 par hai, ya phir support level ki taraf, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 75.84 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb do mumkinah halaat ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar ek reversal candle ka ban jaana aur uptrend ka dobara shuru hona hai. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke keemat wapas 80.85 ya 83.12 ke resistance level par jaayegi. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo ke mazeed trading direction ka tay karega. Mazeed door ke northern maqasid tak pohanchne ka bhi aik imkaan hai, jin mein se aik, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 89.85 par hai, lekin yeh keemat aur price ke ishaaron ka jawab kaisa hota hai, sath hi price ke harkat ke doran khabron ki flow par bhi mabni hai. Ek alternative scenario price ke harkat ke liye jab support level 75.84 ki taraf qareeb ho, ek mansooba ho sakta hai jahan price is level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai aur janubi rukh par chalti hai. Agar yeh mansooba pesh aaye, to mein umeed karta hoon ke keemat 71.41 ya 70.50 ke support level ki taraf jaayegi. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhoonga, up trend ki harkat dobara shuru hone ki umeed rakhte hue. Mukhtasar tor par, ayan waale haftay ke liye, mein samajhta hoon ke keemat janubi rukh par push ho sakti hai, aur qareebi support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ki talash karunga, up trend ki jari rukh ki umeed rakhte hue. Click image for larger version

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