جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi

ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf
chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi

rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke doran pullback ka samna kiya, jiss se pichle do trading dinon mein hui gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair takriban 190.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal ka imkaan hai, jaise ke pichle hafte ke aakhri dinon mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya market dobara neeche ki taraf jaayega ya phir candlestick upward reverse hone wale trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position ke reference se dekha jaye, jo abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, tou is se ye andaza hota hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke

upper channels ki lines tak pohanchti hai, wahan se neechay murnay ke baad ek price peak banati hai, jiska Matlab tha ke keemat ne neechay sudharna shuru karna tha. Lekin keemat ko phir se support mila aur ab isne keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhil ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein May mein anjaane se inflation 0.6% mahine mein barh gaya, jo ke gegual expecte shuda miqdar se zyada tha. Australia mein maheenay ke CPI 3 mahinay se barabar 4.0% salana barh gaya hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko kam interest rates par udhaar lena aur zyada munafa dene wale pound assets mein invest karna shamil hai. Lekin agar interest rate policies ya market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeliyan aa jaayein to yeh risky ho sakti hai.l

price daily open aur 191.01 ke qareeb resistance ke darmiyan fluctuate karti rahi, lekin buyers ko yeh level break karne mein mushkil hui. Yeh resistance EMA 200 ke qareeb H1 chart par closely aligned tha. Jab buyers yeh level cross nahi kar sake, to price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gayi. Yeh thori der ke liye daily open aur EMA 633 ko H1 timeframe par cross karke neeche chali gayi, magar 189.30 ke area ke qareeb support mil gaya aur wapas upar bounce ki. Ab price dobara 191.01 resistance level ko retest kar rahi hai. EMA 200 H1 ke qareeb hone ke bawajood, trend ab tak unclear hai. H1 par EMA 12 aur EMA 36 downward slope dikhate hain, jo ke ek negative trend ka ishara hai, aur yeh trend pichle Jumme se chala aa raha hai. Jumma ke session mein ek extreme reversal dekha gaya jab price ne rally karne ki koshish ki lekin 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad kamzor ho gayi. Phir price tezi se neeche gir gayi, H1 timeframe par EMA 200 aur EMA 633 ko cross karte hue. Yeh bearish momentum Monday ke trading session tak qaim raha, jahan sellers dominate karte rahe. Abhi ke liye, price ki position H1 chart par EMA 200 ke qareeb hai, jo trend mein uncertainty paida kar rahi hai. Agar buyers is area par ek strong bullish candle banane mein kamyab ho jate hain, to yeh ek bullish breakout ka potential signal de sakti hai. Jumma ke significant weakness ne market par khaas asar dala, jab price EMA 200 ke upar daily timeframe par move karne ke baad 196.01 resistance level par reject ho gayi. Phir price 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily level ke neeche gir gayi. High aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halankeh price EMA 200 ke neeche daily chart par hai, trend ab tak bearish hai. Daily chart par EMA 12 aur EMA 36 dono EMA 200 ke neeche flat ho chuke hain, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce kar rahe hain.

Agar price pichle Jumme ke low ko break karti hai, to yeh confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily level ke neeche reh rahi hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ka signal de sakti hai, aur price 187.68 daily support level tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar buyers 190.18 ke upar price ko qaim rakhne mein kamyab hote hain, to price ko EMA 200 daily level ki taraf push karne ka chance hai aur 192.84 area ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khol sakta hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke doran pullback ka samna kiya, jiss se pichle do trading dinon mein hui gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair takriban 190.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake. Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta

Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par dekhne se ye wazeh hota hai ke is waqt sellers ne market par mazboot qabza kar rakha hai. Price action se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka ghalba hai, aur wo actively pair ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jiska target ek aham support zone hai jo ke 195.12 ke qareeb hai. Ye area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke wo is level ko tod kar neeche le jaayein, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar sellers is aham support zone ko todne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou is se aur zyada downside movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko mazeed nuqsan uthana par sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ki strength ko aur zyada barhawa milne ki umeed hai upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se. Agar data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, tou yeh wo zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jane ke liye darkaar hai. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko aur zyada mazboot bana deti hai aur market mein zyada strong reaction paida kar sakti hai. Is setup mein primary focus sellers ki koshishon par hai ke wo decisively support levels ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ka signal milega. Traders ko is zone ko ghore se dekhna chahiye, kyunki agar breakout successful hota hai tou downward pressure barh sakta hai, jabke agar ye level tootne mein nakaam hota hai tou ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke strong buyers ab bhi is level ko defend karne ko tayyar hain. Linear regression channel ka rukh north ki taraf hai. H1 channel ab bullish trend ko determine kar raha hai. Neeche ke waqt mein corrective movement channel ke lower edge tak hai jo ke 193.454 par hai. Yahan ke qareeb strong buyer ki positions located hain. Jab price 193.454 tak jaye gi, tou bulls apni activity dikhana shuru karenge, jo ke unki maujoodgi ko zahir karegi. Agar market channel ke lower part par react nahi karta tou iska matlab hoga ke buyer weak hai.

# GBP/JPY H1 Time Frame Analysis

GBP/JPY currency pair ne H1 time frame par pichle kuch dinon mein ek mazboot upward trend dikhaya hai. Price action lagataar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ka izhar hai. Filhal, yeh pair 195.04 ke level par trade kar raha hai, jo darshata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein achi performance kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement kayi factors ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jo technical aur shayad fundamental dono hain. Is liye, traders ko is maujooda trend par dhyan dena chahiye.

## Technical Indicators

Is bullish outlook ko mazboot karne wale key technical signals mein se ek moving average lines ki position hai. Yeh lines, khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages, current price ke neeche hain, jo ongoing uptrend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Jab price in key moving averages ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market ke agle kuch waqt mein aage barhne ki sambhavnayein zyada hain. Yeh ek classic indicator hai bullish market ka, jo traders ko upward momentum par bharosa deta hai.

## Ichimoku Indicator ka Istemaal

Ichimoku indicator ka istemaal karte hue, humne dekha ke kal price mein decline aaya. Shuru mein candle tenkan-sen aur kijun-sen lines ke upar thi, lekin ab yeh inke neeche aagayi hai. Yeh is baat ka ishaara hai ke GBP/JPY ki movement Monday ko bearish ho sakti hai, jo 184.48 ke support ko test kar sakta hai. Agar GBP/JPY is support level ko todne mein nakam raha, toh price ke rebound hone ki sambhavnayein hain.

## Price Action ki Tafseel

Pichle kuch dino mein, GBP/JPY ka price action bullish trend ki taraf madadgar raha hai. Jab price ne 195.04 ka level cross kiya, toh yeh traders ke liye ek bullish signal bana. Is level par, buying interest barh gaya hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke log is currency pair mein invest karne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain.

Is upward trend ko support karne ke liye, market mein kuch fundamental factors bhi kaam kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, UK ki economic data, jo inflation aur employment figures par mabni hai, ne pound ki taqat ko barhaya hai. Agar UK ki economy mazboot nazar aati hai, toh yeh GBP/JPY ke liye aur bhi bullish momentum la sakta hai.

## Resistance Levels

Ab jab hum upward trend ki baat karte hain, toh kuch key resistance levels par bhi dhyan dena hoga. 195.50 aur 196.00 ke levels aise points hain jahan price ko resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Agar price in levels ko todne mein nakam rahi, toh yeh traders ke liye ek caution signal ho sakta hai.

Yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke agar price 195.04 ke level se neeche girta hai, toh is se bearish sentiment ka izhar ho sakta hai. Is point par, 194.50 aur 194.00 ke levels critical support levels ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain.

## Bullish Sentiment aur Market Dynamics

Yeh bullish sentiment sirf technical indicators par hi nahi, balki overall market dynamics par bhi mabni hai. Traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke market mein kabhi kabhi sudden movements ho sakti hain jo overall trend ko affect kar sakti hain. Isliye, stop-loss aur risk management strategies ko behtar banana hoga, taake unexpected moves se bach sakein.

## Conclusion

Is waqt, GBP/JPY H1 time frame par ek mazboot upward trend ka darshan de raha hai. Price action ka bullish hona, moving averages ki position, aur Ichimoku indicator se milne wali signals sab is baat ka izhar karte hain ke traders ko is pair par nazar rakhni chahiye. Lekin, humein is trend ke saath cautious rehna hoga, khaaskar agar price 184.48 ke support level ko test karne jaye.

Agar GBP/JPY is support level ko todne mein nakam raha, toh price mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko is waqt market ki dynamics ko samajhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye, taake wo kisi bhi unexpected movement se behtar taur par deal kar sakein. Aakhir mein, jaise jaise market evolve hota hai, waisa hi traders ko bhi apne strategies ko update karte rehna hoga.

et par mazboot qabza kar rakha hai. Price action se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka ghalba hai, aur wo actively pair ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jiska target ek aham support zone hai jo ke 195.12 ke qareeb hai. Ye area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke wo is level ko tod kar neeche le jaayein, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar sellers is aham support zone ko todne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou is se aur zyada downside movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko mazeed nuqsan uthana par sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ki strength ko aur zyada barhawa milne ki umeed hai upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se. Agar data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, tou yeh wo zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jane ke liye darkaar hai. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko aur zyada mazboot bana deti hai aur market mein zyada strong reaction paida kar sakti hai. Is setup mein primary focus sellers ki koshishon par hai ke wo decisively support levels ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ka signal milega. Traders ko is zone ko ghore se dekhna chahiye, kyunki agar breakout successful hota hai tou downward pressure barh sakta hai, jabke agar ye level tootne mein nakaam hota hai tou ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke strong buyers ab bhi is level ko defend karne ko tayyar hain. Linear regression channel ka rukh north ki taraf hai. H1 channel ab bullish trend ko determine kar raha hai. Neeche ke waqt mein corrective movement channel ke lower edge tak hai jo ke 193.454 par hai. Yahan ke qareeb strong buyer ki positions located hain. Jab price 193.454 tak jaye gi, tou bulls apni activity dikhana shuru karenge, jo ke unki maujoodgi ko zahir karegi. Agar market channel ke lower part par react nahi karta tou iska matlab hoga ke buyer weak hai. Is surat mein market ka downward movement barqarar rehne ke imkanaat zyada hai

chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi ke

GBP/JPY pair ne aakhri 8 trading dinon tak ek zabardast bullish trend dikhaya hai. Ye 193.49 ke ahem resistance level tak pohoncha, jo 2 September ko record hue high se milta hai, lekin is ke baad temporary pullback hua. Is choti si rukaawat ke bawajood, short-term outlook mazid bullish lag rahi hai, aur umeed hai ke upward momentum tab tak jaari rahega jab tak koi faislay ka breakout nahi hota. July decline ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level jo 194.03 par waqeh hai, bulls ke liye ek aur rukaawat ban sakta hai. Magar phir bhi, overall short-term trend mazid upward hai, jo 11 September ke lows se rally karte hue barh rahi hai. Ye bullish trajectory us technical analysis principle ke mutabiq hai ke "trend aapka dost hota hai." Umeed hai ke pair apna upward safar jaari rakhega, lekin ek decisively break 193.49 ke resistance line ke ooper is bullish trend ke extension ko confirm karega. Aik decisive breakout ki pehchan ek lambi green candle hogi jo apne high ke qareeb close ho, ya phir 3 consecutive green candles jo is level ke ooper close hongi. Halanki medium-term trend abhi tak sideways hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke koi clear bias nahi hai kisi ek direction mein, lekin long-term trend abhi bhi bullish hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward momentum zyada dair tak qaim reh sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein key resistance (jo ab support hai) 188.00 ke level ke ooper trade kiya hai. Ye breakthrough ek higher high 183.70 par confirm karta hai, aur bearish scenario ko ab khatam kar deta hai. Magar, is baat ka dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai ke jab tak price 193.50 area ke neechay hai, overall outlook poori tarah bullish nahi huwa.
Oscillators market ke jazbaat ke aur izafi insights faraham karte hain. RSI aur MACD dono higher highs dikhate hain, aur RSI ne 50 balance line ke ooper breakout kar liya hai. MACD, halan ke abhi negative hai, trigger line ke ooper move kar chuki hai, jo momentum shift ka ishara deti hai. Outlook tab unequivocally bullish hoga jab bulls 193.50 handle ke ooper price ko push karne mein kaamyab ho jayein. Aisa hone se moving averages ke ooper bhi break hone ke imkanaat barh jayenge, jo pair ko pehlay 197.00 area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar ye level bhi break hota hai, to bulls ka agla target July 30 ka high 199.50 ho sakta hai.

GBPJPY Pair Ka Analysis (H-4 Time Frame)
GBPJPY pair is hafte mein zyada tezi nahi dekh raha. Prices EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke aas paas ghoom rahi hain. Halankeh ye upar ki taraf jaane ki koshish kar rahi hain, lekin ye high price 195.94 tak nahi pahuncha. Bullish trend ki direction abhi bhi mazboot hai, isliye rally ko resistance (R1) 197.17 ki taraf jaana chahiye. Jab price neeche jaane ki koshish karti hai, to ye support (S1) 191.22 tak nahi pahuncha sakti jo ke kareeb hai. Agar price 195.59 ke aas paas ke high ko cross nahi karti, to ye neeche ki taraf move karne ka imkaan darust karta hai.

Yahan price pattern ka structure badal gaya hai jab price 193.45 ke upar nikal gayi. Misal ke taur par, jab price ne SMA 200 ya 189.54 ke low tak correction ki, to ye higher low pattern bana. Bullish trend ke hisaab se upar jaane wale prices ko 195.94 ke upar higher high pattern banana hoga. Ye resistance (R1) 197.17 tak bhi ja sakta hai taake higher high - higher low pattern ka structure confirm ho sake. Is ke muqabil, agar Japanese Yen ki value mazboot hoti hai aur price ko support (S2) 187.41 ki taraf push karti hai, to price pattern lower low - lower high ki taraf wapas aa jayega. Ye is liye hoga ke price 189.54 ke low ko cross kar legi, jo ke invalidation level hai.

Stochastic indicator ka nazariya price ke neeche jaane ko support karta hai agar parameters overbought zone (level 90 - 80) mein enter karne se pehle cross karte hain. Halankeh ye saturation point tak nahi pahuncha, lekin crossed parameters ye darust karte hain ke GBPJPY pair ka price increase ruk gaya hai. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum ke liye koi pakka saboot nahi diya. Histogram level 0 ke upar hai yaani positive area mein, lekin histogram ka volume jo nahi badh raha, ye negative area mein jane ka bhi imkaan darust karta hai.



Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend aur higher high - higher low price pattern ko dekha jaye, to trading options mein EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 193.36 ke aas paas re-entry BUY position rakhna behtar hoga. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameter oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein enter karne ke baad cross kare. AO indicator histogram ko kam se kam level 0 ya positive area ke upar rehna chahiye, aur volume bhi widen hona chahiye. Take profit ke liye resistance (R1) 197.17 rakhi jaye, jab ke stop loss support (S1) 191.22 ya SMA 200 par rakha jaye.