جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke

GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay

keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhil ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein May mein anjaane se inflation 0.6% mahine mein barh gaya, jo ke gegual expecte shuda miqdar se zyada tha. Australia mein maheenay ke CPI 3 mahinay se barabar 4.0% salana barh gaya hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko kam interest rates par udhaar lena aur zyada munafa dene wale pound assets mein inves

movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko

horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay

horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activityClick image for larger version

**GBP/JPY Outlook Analysis:**

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par yeh wazeh hai ke is waqt sellers ka market par mazboot qabza hai. Price action dikhata hai ke bears abhi dominate kar rahe hain aur pair ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain, jahan unka target ek significant support zone 195.12 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh area pehle bhi ek critical support ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers is level ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake bearish trend ko continue karne ka signal mil sake. Agar yeh key support zone break ho jata hai, toh aur neeche ki taraf movement ka raasta khul sakta hai, jo pair ko mazeed losses ke risk mein daal dega.

Sellers ki strength ko aur barhawa milne ki umeed CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se hai, jo market sentiment par kafi asar daal sakta hai. Agar yeh data bearish outlook ko favor karta hai, toh isse price ko 195.12 ke neeche le jaane ke liye aur momentum mil sakta hai. Aise scenarios mein, fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko reinforce karti hai aur market reaction ko aur zyada pronounced bana deti hai.

Is setup mein primary focus yeh hai ke sellers is support level ko decisively break karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyon ke agar yeh move successful hoti hai, toh yeh unki dominance ko confirm karegi aur GBP/JPY mein aur zyada downside pressure create ho sakta hai. Traders ko is zone ko ghaur se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke agar breakout successful ho jata hai, toh downward pressure accelerate ho sakta hai, jab ke agar yeh level break nahi hota, toh yeh indicate karega ke strong buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain.

GBP/JPY ke H4 time frame chart par price movement consistent upward pattern dikha raha hai, jisme higher high aur higher low structure ban raha hai. Aisi price action aksar bullish momentum ko dikhati hai, jahan buyers market ko dominate kar rahe hain aur price ko naye highs par le ja rahe hain, aur higher levels of support establish ho rahe hain. Jab aise structure barqarar rehte hain, toh yeh healthy uptrend ka izhar karte hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ke upward move karne ke chances ziada hain banisbat downward move ke.

Higher high tab banta hai jab har agla peak pehle se zyada high ho, jab ke higher low tab banta hai jab har agla trough pehle se zyada high ho. Yeh pattern dikhata hai ke buyers har pullback par zyada aggressively step in kar rahe hain, price ko neeche girne se rok rahe hain. Yeh series of higher highs aur higher lows ek clear bullish bias ko reveal karti hai aur mazeed gains ki probability ko barhati hai. Overall, jo current price action aur trend structure hai, uss ke madde nazar GBP/JPY pair ke upar jaane ke chances ziada hain.

Traders ko uptrend ke intact rehne tak buying opportunities ko dekhna chahiye.

**Technical Analysis aur GBP/JPY ka Jaiza**

Technical analysis traders ko price action, momentum aur trends ko samajhne ka moka deta hai bina kisi external news events par depend kiye. Jab hum support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur relative strength indexes (RSI) jaise key indicators ka ghaur se jaiza lete hain, toh traders apni entry aur exit points ka behtareen faisla le sakte hain. Jab koi news events nahi hoti, toh technical analysis ek option nahi balki ek laazmi tool ban jata hai market ko navigate karne ke liye. GBP/JPY ka market buyers ke haq mein rahega, aur wo resistance zone 194.46 ko cross kar sakte hain aage chal kar. Khush rahain aur pur-sukoon rahiye!

Trading recommendations ziada tar **SELL** positions par mayl ho sakti hain, takay bullish trend aur higher high - higher low structure ko adjust kiya ja sake. Entry position placement SMA 200 ke ird gird ya phir low prices 192.86 ke aas paas ho sakti hai. Confirm karne ke liye dekha jaye agar RSI indicator parameter (14) level 50 ke upar ho, aur MACD indicator histogram volume positive area mein wide ho, jo ke uptrend momentum ka ishara deta hai. Take profit aur stop loss ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:2 ke zariye set karein, ya phir high prices 195.59 aur low prices 191.71 ka faida uthayein.

Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke upcoming economic data aur central bank policies ko monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh factors pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakte hain. GBP/JPY pair mein, H4 timeframe par ek strong breakout ne market sentiment ko shift kar diya hai, aur 192.00 level ko ek critical support mein tabdeel kar diya hai, jab ke naya higher low 189.80 par set ho gaya hai. Yeh price action yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls ka control hai, aur agar pair apne support levels ko maintain kar leta hai aur agle resistance zones ko break karta hai, toh yeh further bullish momentum ke liye position ho sakta hai. Traders ko key technical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur koi significant fundamental developments dekhni chahiye, takay potential trading opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake.

191.00 ke upar ka breakout khaas tor par significant hai, kyun ke yeh resistance level kaafi der se mazboot tha, aur traders isko closely monitor kar rahe thay. Is breakout ke baad price barh gaya, aur 192.00 level ek naya established support zone ban gaya. Yeh shift jo resistance se support tak gaya hai, yeh dikhata hai ke bulls ziada traction le rahe hain, aur sentiment ziada bullish ho raha hai. Pair ne is position ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke breakout ek false move nahi tha, balki ek sign tha ke sustained bullish pressure ho raha hai. Is liye traders ab 192.00 level ko ek critical area ke tor par dekhenge, taake current upward trend ko maintain kar sakein.

**GBP/JPY Analysis: Roman Urdu Mein**

British pound (GBP) ne Japanese yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein Tuesday ko mazid mazbooti dikhai, jahan GBP/JPY 194.00 se upar chala gaya. Yeh primarily Japan ke August mein kamzor-than-expected wage growth ki wajah se hua, jis ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rates barhane ke imkanaat ko kam kar diya. Kamzor yen ko naye Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke comments ne bhi faida diya, jo yeh signal karte hain ke interest rates ziyada der tak neeche hi rahen ge. Magar, yen ki girawat ko thora moderat kiya us ke safe-haven status ne, jo ke Middle East mein chalte jaari geopolitic tensions ki wajah se tha.

Japanese Ministry of Economy ne data release kiya jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese labor force ka cash income August mein 3.0% year-on-year barha, jab ke economists ke expectations 3.1% ki thi, aur July ke revised increase jo 3.4% tha, se neeche tha. Yeh kamzor-than-expected wage growth deflationary effect ka ishara deti hai aur BoJ ke interest rates ko barhane ke imkanaat ko kam karti hai, jo abhi 0.25% par hain. Ager interest rates neeche rakhay jatay hain for an extended period, to foreign capital inflows Japan mein kum ho sakte hain, jis se yen ki demand mein kami aur currency mein girawat ho sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, pound ne phir se apni ground regain ki jab Bank of England (BoE) ke chief economist, Hugh Bell ne kaha ke kisi bhi future interest rate cuts ko ihtiyaat se implement karna chahiye. Is wajah se GBP/JPY ne apni gains ko hold kiya, khaaskar jab BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey pehle hi bara ya zyada frequent interest rate cuts ka ishara de chuke thay.

Yen ki girawat ko Prime Minister Ishiba ke comments ne bhi support kiya, jo yeh indicate karte hain ke economic conditions ki wajah se interest rates apne current low levels par rahen ge. Yeh views BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke khilaaf thay, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke agar economic data expectations par pura utarta hai to interest rates barhane chahiye. Ishiba ne baad mein clarify kiya ke unke comments ka BoJ ke decision-making process par koi pressure nahi hai, jis se yen par girawat ka pressure thora kam hua. Magar, yen ki girawat ko thora control kiya gaya uske safe-haven appeal ne, jo ke Middle East mein escalating conflicts ki wajah se barhti hui demand ke wajah se hai.

Technical indicators dikhate hain ke yen ki girawat ne momentum gain kiya hai. Dono, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signs of strength dikhate hain, jo ke GBP/JPY ke liye potential bullish trend ko indicate karte hain.

Kul mila kar, pound ki yen ke muqablay mein mazbooti mukhtalif factors ki wajah se thi, jismein kamzor-than-expected Japanese wage growth, BoJ ke dovish comments, aur yen ka safe-haven appeal geopolitical tensions ke dauran shamil hain. Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ke liye ek potential bullish trend ka ishara karte hain.

**GBP/JPY Ka Tajziya aur Outlook**

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par dekhne se yeh wazeh hota hai ke sellers is waqt market par puri tarah se haavi hain. Price action yeh dikhata hai ke bears market ko neeche le ja rahe hain aur ek ahem support zone jo 195.12 ke qareeb hai, usay target kar rahe hain. Yeh area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers is koshish mein hain ke is level ke neeche break karen, jo ke ek bearish trend ke continuation ka signal hoga. Agar woh is critical support zone ko breach karne mein kaamyab hote hain, to is se mazeed downside movement ka raasta khul sakta hai, aur yeh pair ko extended losses ka samna karna par sakta hai.

Sellers ki taqat mein mazeed izafa CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke muntazir honay ki wajah se hai, jo ke market sentiment par bara asar daal sakta hai. Agar yeh data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, to is se wo momentum mil sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jaaye. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek taqatwar catalyst ban sakta hai, jo technical patterns ko reinforce karta hai aur market mein mazeed reaction paida kar sakta hai. Is setup ka primary focus sellers ke efforts par hai jo support levels ko decisively tor kar ek deeper pullback ko confirm karenge. Traders ko is zone ko bariki se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke agar support break hota hai, to downward pressure tez ho sakta hai, jab ke agar support break nahi hota, to yeh strong buyers ki mojoodgi ka ishara hoga jo is level ko defend karne ke liye tayar hain.

GBP/JPY ke H4 time frame chart par, price movement ek consistent upward pattern ko dikhata hai, jo ke higher high aur higher low structure se mutaliq hai. Aise price action ka matlab hota hai ke bullish momentum mazboot hai, kyun ke buyers market par haavi hain aur price ko naye highs par le ja rahe hain aur higher levels of support establish kar rahe hain. Jab aisa structure barqarar rehta hai, to yeh ek healthy uptrend ko reflect karta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair qareebi waqt mein zyada upward movement karega.

Higher high ka formation tab hota hai jab har naya peak pichle se ooncha hota hai, aur higher low tab hota hai jab har agla trough pichle se ooncha hota hai. Yeh pattern dikhata hai ke buyers har pullback ke saath ziada aggressively intervene kar rahe hain, jis se price ko neeche girne se roka ja raha hai. Is tarah ka structure bullish bias ko mazid taqatwar banata hai aur mazeed gains ki probability ko barhata hai. Kul mila kar, current price action aur trend structure ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY pair ke barhne ki probability zyada hai banisbat kisi downward reversal ke. Traders ko buying opportunities par focus karna chahiye jab tak yeh uptrend intact rahe.

**GBP/JPY Outlook Analysis**

GBP/JPY D1 time frame chart par nazar dalain to yeh saaf hai ke bechne walon ka market par mazboot control hai. Price action yeh dikhata hai ke bears dominate kar rahe hain aur actively pair ko neeche push kar rahe hain, unka target hai 195.12 ka significant support zone. Yeh area pehle bhi critical support ke taur par kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers is level ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake bearish trend ko continue karne ka signal mile. Agar yeh key support zone ko breach karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh aur neeche ki taraf movement ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jo pair ko extended losses ka shikar bana sakta hai.

Sellers ki taqat ko badhane mein aane wale CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ka intezar bhi hai, jo market sentiment par significant asar daal sakta hai. Agar yeh data bearish outlook ko support karta hai, to yeh pair ko 195.12 ke support level se neeche le jaane ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai. Aise scenarios mein, fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai, jo technical patterns ko reinforce karta hai aur market reaction ko zyada pronounced bana deta hai.

Is setup mein primary focus hai sellers ke attempts par jo support levels ko decisively break karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur shayad GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders ko is zone par dhyan se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke agar breakout successful hota hai to downward pressure mein tezi aa sakti hai, jab ke agar support level ko todne mein nakami hoti hai, to yeh strong buyers ki maujoodgi ka indication de sakta hai jo is level ko defend karne ko tayar hain.

**GBP/JPY H4 Time Frame Analysis**

GBP/JPY H4 time frame chart par price movement consistent upward pattern dikhata hai, jo higher high aur higher low structure se pehchani ja rahi hai. Aise price action aam tor par yeh dikhata hai ke bullish momentum mazboot hai, kyun ke buyers market par dominate kar rahe hain, price ko naye highs tak push karte hue aur higher levels of support establish karte hue. Jab aisa structure ban raha hota hai, to yeh healthy uptrend ka indication hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ke liye aane wale waqt mein upar ki taraf move karna zyada mumkin hai.

Higher high tab banta hai jab har successive peak pehle se zyada uchi hoti hai, jab ke higher low yeh indicate karta hai ke har agla trough pehle se zyada ucha hota hai. Yeh pattern yeh highlight karta hai ke buyers har pullback ke sath zyada aggressively intervene kar rahe hain, price ko neeche girne se rokte hue. Isliye, ongoing series of higher highs aur higher lows ek clear bullish bias dikhati hai aur aage ke gains ki probability ko mazboot karti hai.

Overall, current price action aur trend structure ko dekhte hue, GBP/JPY pair ke higher move karne ki probability significantly zyada hai bajaye downward reversal ke. Traders ko chahiye ke wo buying opportunities ki talash karen jab tak uptrend intact rahe.

Technical analysis ke zariye traders price action, momentum aur trends ko samajh sakte hain baghair external news events par depend hue. Jab traders key indicators jaise ke support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur relative strength indexes (RSI) ka ghore se dehaan dete hain, toh wo behtareen entry aur exit points ke hawalay se informed faislay le sakte hain. Jab news events door door tak nazar nahi aa rahi hoti, toh aise mein technical analysis ek zaroori tool ban jata hai, jo market ko navigate karne ke liye istimaal hota hai. GBP/JPY ka market buyers ke haq mein rahega, aur wo aage chalkar resistance zone 194.46 ko cross kar sakte hain. Khush rahein aur sukoon mein rahein!

Trading recommendations ziada tar SELL positions ke hawalay se honge taake bullish trend ko adjust kiya ja sake aur higher high - higher low structure ko samjha ja sake. Entry position ko SMA 200 ke aas paas ya phir low prices 192.86 par rakhne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Confirmation tab milegi agar RSI indicator parameter (14) level 50 ke upar ho aur MACD indicator histogram volume positive area mein widen ho jaaye, jo uptrend momentum ko zahir karta hai. Take profit aur stop loss ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:2 ke hisaab se tay karein ya phir high prices 195.59 aur low prices 191.71 ko utilize karein.

Aane waali economic data aur central bank policies ko dekhna zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh factors pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. GBP/JPY pair mein H4 time frame par ek taqatwar breakout ne market sentiment ko badal diya hai, aur 192.00 ka level ab ek critical support mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jahan naya higher low 189.80 par bana hai. Is price action ka matlab hai ke bulls ab control mein hain, aur agar support levels qaim rahein aur aglay resistance zones ko tor diya jaye, toh pair mazeed bullish momentum ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Traders ko key technical levels aur kisi bhi significant fundamental developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake potential trading opportunities ko capitalize kiya ja sake.

191.00 ke upar breakout khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh resistance level kaafi arsay se mazboot tha, aur traders isko ghore se dekh rahe thay. Is breakout ke baad, price barhti gayi aur 192.00 ka level ab ek naya support zone ban gaya hai. Yeh shift resistance se support mein yeh zahir karta hai ke bulls traction hasil kar rahe hain, aur sentiment ziada bullish hota ja raha hai. Pair ne apni position qaim rakhi, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke breakout ek jhoota move nahi tha, balkay sustained bullish pressure ka nishaan tha. Nateeja yeh hai ke traders ab 192.00 level ko current upward trend ko maintain karne ke liye ek critical area ke tor par dekh rahe hain.

Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi