جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

**GBP/JPY Ka Analysis**

GBP/JPY pair ne ek choti si rally dekhi, jo ek hafta ke high tak pahuncha, lekin phir selling pressure ka samna karte hue peeche hata. Is girawat ke piche kuch wajahen hain, jaise ke UK President Andrew Bailey ke bayan ki wajah se British Pound ki kamzori, aur geopolitical risks aur Bank of Japan ke officials ke dovish bayanon ki wajah se Japanese Yen ki taqat mein izafa. In sab mushkilat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair abhi bhi Bank of Japan ke agle interest rate hikes ke uncertainty se support hasil kar raha hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation par kabu paane ki ahmiyat ko darshaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke qareeb ke waqt mein interest rates ko kafi had tak nahi badhaya jayega. Is ke ilawa, Bank of England ke chief economist Houpier ke comments, jo higher interest rates ka potential darshate hain, ne British Pound ko kuch support diya hai.

**Technical Perspective**

Technical taur par, GBP/JPY pair ne ek strong uptrend banaya hai, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 195.00 level ko cross karte hue. Stochastic indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level ke qareeb hai, jo short-term pullback ka potential darshata hai. Agar GBP/JPY pair apne upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, toh ye agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Lekin, current overbought conditions aur short-term correction ke potential ko dekhte hue, bullish traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Agar pair immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai, toh ye 200-day SMA par 192.70 ki taraf ya 50- aur 20-day SMAs par 190.60 aur 189.35 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Kull milakar, GBP/JPY ki performance par short-term mein upward retracement ki kuch umeed hai, khas taur par agar ye 200.00 round figure ko cross kar sake.

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi

GBP/JPY agar aaj ki trading mein seller ki taqat zyada zahir hoti hai, toh yeh selling position mein enter karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Sellers ke paas is baat ka acha mauqa hai ke wo market conditions ko bullish se bearish mein tabdeel kar sakein aur price ko support defense area tak neeche le ja sakein, jo MA100 indicator ke neeche hai. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek key target ban sakta hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko aur bhi confirm karega. Current market momentum ke saath rehne ke liye, traders ko strong selling opportunities par nazar rakhni chahiye jab bearish pressure barhta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ka movement technical analysis ke saath dekhte hue, yeh abhi bhi price ko 100 tak upar le jane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 time frame par, GBP/JPY ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo future mein GBP/JPY ko 100 par buy karne ka bahut strong signal hai. Lekin humein is downward correction se bhi waqif rehna chahiye, kyunki RSI 14 indicator ke mere observations ke mutabiq kuch is tarah ke signals mil rahe hain.

GBP/JPY par in sab factors ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank ki policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events milkar is currency pair ki movement ko tay karte hain. In elements par nazar rakhkar traders apni strategies ko behtar bana sakte hain aur apne investment goals ko behtar tareeqe se achieve kar sakte hain. GBP/JPY ki dynamics ko samajhne se traders ko strategic advantage mil sakta hai, jo aakhir mein zyada munafa de sakta hai.

GBP/JPY aksar mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir hota hai. Australia ki economy commodities, khaaskar iron ore aur gold, par depend karti hai. Jab commodity prices barhti hain, toh AUD ki value bhi barh jati hai. Iske muqablay mein, Japan ki economy consumer spending aur manufacturing output jese indicators se tay hoti hai, jo seedha JPY ki value ko mutasir karte hain. Japan se positive economic data JPY ki taqat ko barha sakta hai, jo shayad GBP/JPY exchange rate ko kam kar de.

**GBP/JPY**

GBP/JPY ne haal hi mein khaas volatility dekhi hai, jo aham economic events se mutasir hui hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ek ehtiyaat bhara approach dikhata hai, jab policymakers behtar economic recovery ke zahir huye ishare ka intezar kar rahe hain. Ye faisla Japanese yen ki value par asar dalta hai, kyunke stable interest rate yeh darshata hai ke BoJ ab tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayaar nahi hai, jabke economic challenges ab bhi jaari hain. Analysts khaaskar Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures par nazar rakh rahe hain, kyunke ye BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeliyan darshane wale ho sakte hain. Dusri taraf, aane wale UK Retail Sales data bhi nazar mein hain. Ek mazboot retail performance British pound ko mazid barhawa de sakta hai, jo consumer confidence aur economic strength ko darshata hai, jabke disappoint karne wale figures currency par neeche ki taraf pressure dal sakte hain. Europe mein jaari geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke aas-paas uncertainties market sentiment ko aur bhi complex banate hain, jisse GBP/JPY mein fluctuations hoti hain.

**Technical Analysis**

Technical chart par nazar daalte hue, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek precarious position mein hai. Japan se critical data release hone ke baad, asset abhi retracing kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis ye darshata hai ke pair ne 189.10 par local resistance level ko tod diya hai, jo pehle ek rukawat thi. Lekin, daily aur H4 charts se broader nazar lene par ye pata chalta hai ke 189.10 se 191.24 ke beech ka zone ek khaas resistance area ke tor par kaam karta hai. Bullish momentum establish hone ke liye, price ko sirf break nahi karna hai balki 191.24 se upar trading barqarar rakhni hai. Kayi haftay pehle, asset ne is resistance ko todne ki koshish ki thi, jo ek daily white candle banate hue dekhi gayi. Lekin, ye bullish koshish ek bearish engulfing pattern ke saath aayi, jo market sentiment mein bechne ki taraf shift darshata hai. Ye development ek bearish trend ko shuru karne wala bana, jo price ko 183.13 ke aas-paas ke local support zone tak le gaya.

Key technical indicators par bhi tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke nazdeek hai, jo ye darshata hai ke aage ka downside limit ho sakta hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo sellers ki dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels dikhate hain ke agla major support 182.50 ke aas-paas hai, jo buyers ke liye market mein entry karne ka critical point ban sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ka jo trend hai, wo pichle hafte ke trend se mutabiqat nahi rakh raha. Candlestick ka rukh bullish taraf hai, lekin pichle hafte mein request conditions neeche ki taraf thi. Yeh sach hai ke price 183.74 area se neeche nahi gayi. Lekin buyers ki taraf se ab bhi koshishen ho rahi hain ke wo is izafa ko jaari rakhein, halanke dealers ki taraf se kuch attempts is izafe ko dabaane ki bhi hain. Agar aap Monday se lekar Saturday raat tak price movement ko dekhein, to bullish trend ki shart price ko steadily upward taraf le ja sakti hai. Is hafte price 191.96 position tak barh gayi hai. Daily trading 184.78 se shuru hui aur aakhir mein daily bullish candlestick ke sath close hui. Is sab ke dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke request buyers ke control mein hai. GbpJpy market ke potential ke hawalay se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke market abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, jaisa ke pichlay haftay dekha gaya tha. Buyers ke control mein lagta hai, jis se price mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Aaj bhi price mazeed upar jaane ka irada rakhta hai aur hum kuch zones ko plan kar sakte hain taake buy positions ko open kiya ja sake, jo ke trend movement pattern ke mutabiq buyer ke control mein lagta hai. Mera khayal hai ke price 192.83 ke zone ke qareeb ja sakta hai.
Aakhri raat price 191.67 par ruk gayi kyunki weekend ke liye request band ho gayi. Meri raaye yeh hai ke agle hafte buy position lena trading ka behtareen focus hoga, kyunki GBP/JPY request par buyers ka asar ab bhi kaafi dominant hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle bullish trip mein candlestick 192.47 ki price range ko test karne ke liye phir se upar ja sakti hai. Pichle dino ka bullish trip agle hafte bhi jaari rehne ki achi sambhavna rakhta hai. Shayed hafte ki shuruaat par candlestick thodi correction dikha sakti hai, jo Monday se Tuesday tak ho sakta hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke candlestick behtar bullish trend ki taraf move karegi jab hafte ka darmiyan aayega. Meri tawaqqo yeh hai ke price ab bhi upward movement ki taraf hai taake buyers ke target ki taraf barh sake. Agle hafte mujhe lagta hai ke price ke paas upar ki taraf jaane ki achi sambhavna hai aur wo 192.47 ki position ko test karna chahti hai.

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activityClick image for larger version

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY H4 Time Frame Analysis: Bullish Rally aur Trading Opportunities
Wednesday ko GBP/JPY pair ne H4 time frame par ek zabardast rally ka muzahira kiya, jo ek strong upward movement thi, jisme critical resistance level 191.00 ka kamiyab breach dekha gaya. Yeh bullish momentum traders ke liye khaas dilchaspi ka nuqta bana hua hai, kyunke yeh na sirf British Pound ki strength ko Japanese Yen ke muqable mein confirm karta hai, balki ek potential trend shift ko bhi signify karta hai. 191.00 par breakout is liye khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh resistance level kaafi arsay se mazboot bana hua tha, aur traders is barrier ko ghoor se dekh rahe thay.

Is breakout ke baad, price aage barhti gayi aur 192.00 level ko ek naye support zone mein tabdeel kar diya. Yeh shift jo pehle resistance tha ab support ban gaya, is baat ka indication hai ke bulls zyada momentum hasil kar rahe hain aur market sentiment increasingly bullish hota ja raha hai. Price ne apni position barqarar rakhi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh breakout false move nahi tha, balki ek sustained bullish pressure ka nishan tha. Is wajah se, ab traders 192.00 level ko ek critical area ke tor par dekhenge, jo current upward trend ko maintain karne ke liye zaroori hai.

Aage barhtay hue, yeh advance ne ek higher low set kiya hai 189.80 par, jo ek technical tor par khaas development hai. Higher low ka matlab yeh hota hai ke market ab ek uptrend mein hai aur har retracement pehla se zyada support hasil kar raha hai. Yeh higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern ek classic indicator hota hai bullish trend ka, jo reinforce karta hai ke GBP/JPY qareebi waqt mein mazeed gains ke liye tayar hai.

Aane walay dinon mein, agla major resistance zone 193.50 aur phir 194.00 par hoga. Agar pair in levels ko break karta hai, toh yeh zyada higher targets ke darwaze khol sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar pair 192.00 support se neeche girta hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal ya consolidation ka signal ho sakta hai agle move se pehle. Economic data aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, kyunke yeh factors pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.

Akhir mein, GBP/JPY pair par strong breakout ne market sentiment ko shift kiya hai, 192.00 level ko ek critical support mein tabdeel karte hue, aur 189.80 par ek naya higher low set kiya hai. Yeh price action is baat ka ishara deta hai ke bulls control mein hain, aur agar pair apne support levels ko barqarar rakhta hai aur agle resistance zones ko break karta hai, toh mazeed bullish momentum ke imkanaat hain. Traders ko key technical levels aur significant fundamental developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake potential trading opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activityClick image for larger version

Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi

GBP/JPY ki request ka trend is haftay pichlay haftay ke trend se mutafiq nahi lagta, kyun ke candlestick ka rukh aur maqsad bullish side ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh sach hai ke guzishta haftay market conditions neeche ki taraf thi lekin price 183.74 area se neeche nahi gayi. Agar rozana ke price movement ko dekha jaye, Monday se Saturday raat tak, to buyers ke efforts dekhne ko milte hain jo ke price ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halaan ke kuch dafa sellers ne is ko rokne ki koshish ki.
Is haftay ka bullish trend request ko steadily uptrend side ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Is haftay price 191.96 level tak barh gayi. Daily trading 184.78 se shuru hui aur akhri mein bullish candlestick ke sath close hui. Is surat-e-haal se yeh maloom hota hai ke market abhi buyer ke control mein hai.
Jummah raat ko price 191.67 tak ruki thi kyun ke weekend par market close ho gayi thi. Mere khayal mein, aglay haftay ke liye Buy position lena trading ka focus hona chahiye, kyun ke GBP/JPY market par buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai, aur aglay bullish safar ka target 192.47 ho sakta hai. Guzishta chand dinon ka bullish safar aglay haftay bhi barqarar rehne ke ache chances rakhta hai.
Ho sakta hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein Monday se Tuesday tak candlestick niche ki taraf correct kare, lekin mere andazay ke mutabiq haftay ke darmiyan ke baad candlestick dobara bullish trend ki taraf move karegi. Main tajwez deta hoon ke price ka safar ab bhi upar ki taraf jaane ka indication de raha hai aur aglay haftay upward trend ka achi tara jaari rehne ka chance hai. Aisa lagta hai ke price higher levels ko test karne ke liye tayar hai. Agar yeh koshish kamyab hoti hai to GBP/JPY ke upar barhne ke achay chances hain. Agar fail hoti hai to phir dekhna ho ga.
Sale Options:
Buy: 191.79 area mein
Take Profit: 192.46
Stop Loss: 191.31

par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline

par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main

Asian session mein sellers ka zor zyada tha. Market jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi ke liye daily Stochastic buyers ki strength zahir kar raha hai, jo price ko bullish trend mein rehne ka mauqa deta ha

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”
Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”
Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par
GBP/JPY pair ki price volume ke saath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Halankeh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai, magar ismein bearish divergence signal ka indication hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jab overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 par pahunche, toh yeh buying saturation point ke qareeb hone ki taraf ishara karta hai.

jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline ko miss kar dunga. Aur phir rollback se main growing trend par wapas se purchases dekh raha hoon." Is tarah se aap apni strategy aur market analysis ko Roman Urdu mein likh sakte hain aur apne forum members ke saath share kar sakte