جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum

Technical Indicators aur Price Movements** Technical indicators yeh darust kartay hain ke aage chal kar price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ya "longs" 1.3395 ke level ke around active rehne ki sambhavana rakhte hain. Yeh level un traders ke liye bohot ahem hai jo aage price ke izafe ki umeed rakhte hain. Magar, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke trend ke agay barhne se pehle kuch waqt ke liye rollback ya pullback ka bhi samna ho sakta hai.

**Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna**

Upward engulfing pattern aksar tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo pehle din ki price action ko puri tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo darust karta hai ke downward trend kamzor ho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke darmiyan izafa hoti umeed ko darust karta hai ke pound dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hoga.

1.3395 ka level is liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh un points mein se hai jahan buying interest ki tasavvur hai. Traders jo GBP/USD mein long positions rakhte hain, is level ko apne positions kholne ya badhane ke liye acha samajhte hain, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke price yahan se upar ja sakti hai. Magar, broader market conditions aur kisi bhi potential resistance levels ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakti hain.

**Pullback ka Imkan**

Bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch nishan hain ke price ke agay barhne se pehle pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers ya "shorts" 1.3310 level ke aas paas profit lene lag sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp hoga jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka mauqa de sakta hai, jo aage chal kar strength banane ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne mein na kamyab hone par fayda uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke areas hain, jahan price volatility barh sakti hai jab traders apne positions ke saath market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

**Key Factors ka Jaiza**

Kayi buniyadi factors hain jo GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar UK GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data behtareen aaye, to pound ko mazid support mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar UK mein economic weakness ke nishan milte hain, to traders long positions rakhne mein cautious ho sakte hain.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi is pair ko asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida ho raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve zyada aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara de, to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Unexpected political developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke aas paas, volatility introduce kar sakti hain, jo price action mein rapid changes

kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti. Iske

rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically po

mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha

Aaj subah GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai.

### Market Analysis and Outlook #### Current Market Dynamics Kharidaar lagataar qeematon ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se mazboot bullish candles banti ja rahi hain. Lekin jab hum Red EMA200 (Exponential Moving Average) ke darmiyan faaslay ka jaiza lete hain, jo ke average value se door ja raha hai, to mean reversion ka potential nazar aata hai. Is surat mein, 14-period wala RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur oscillator indicators upward price movement ke sath align nahi ho rahe, jo momentum mein disconnect ko darshata hai. Yeh halat bearish divergence signal ki taraf le ja rahi hai. #### Bearish Divergence and Market Growth Maujooda market haalaat ke mad e nazar, lagta hai ke GU (Great Britain Pound vs. US Dollar) market mein halka sa izafa hoga, jo ke ek significant reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. H4 (4-hour) chart par bhi ek aisa hi pattern dekha ja sakta hai, jahan tak raat tak ke faida ne buy momentum nahi banaya. Is liye, price structure ne ek lower high weakening pattern banaya hai, khaaskar jab yeh Bollinger Bands ki upper line ke sath compare kiya jaye. #### Saturated Buying Conditions Bearish divergence pattern ek highly saturated buying market mein bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo rozana dekhne ko mil raha hai. In factors ka synchronization bullish move ki achi sambhavnayein darshata hai; is liye traders ko aaj sell strategy par dhyan dena chahiye. #### Key Level and Market Reaction Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pichle drop-base-drop movement ke doran, market ne 1.3376 par ek base zone tayar kiya tha, jo pehle se highlight kiya gaya hai. Yeh zone ab market participants ke liye ek crucial key level hai. Agar kharidaar mazboot recovery shuru karte hain, to isse significant gains trigger ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar bechne wale is level ko mazbooti se tod dete hain, to yeh steep decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is liye, is zone par market ka react kaise hota hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hai. #### Bollinger Bands and Market Volatility H4 chart par, Bollinger Bands ne ek narrow shape mein contract kar liya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke price movement mein kisi bhi izafe ya kami ka faasla chhota ho sakta hai. Aisi market formation aksar aane wale volatility ki nishani hoti hai, lekin asal movement limited ho sakta hai. #### Monthly Closing Insights Pichle teen saalon mein pehli baar, market ka monthly EMA100 ke upar close hone ki sambhavna hai. Yeh 100-period moving average agle mahine ke liye price movements ko substantial support provide kar sakta hai. #### Conclusion Ek summary ke tor par, traders ko bearish divergence signals par nazar rakhni chahiye, 1.3376 ke key level par market reactions par focus karna chahiye, aur Bollinger Band formation aur monthly closing ke asraat ko samajhna chahiye.

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

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/JPY ka uptrend bohat mazboot hai, jo traders ko iski bullish momentum se faida uthane ke liye kai mokay faraham karta hai. Support level 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan aik ahem zone hai jo is uptrend ke jari rehne mein madad karta hai. Ye range aik mazboot buniyad ke tor par kaam karti hai, jo price ko aur girne se rokti hai. Muqami support aur resistance levels ko samajhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke upar rehti hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ka analysis karte waqt, in support levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik ahem deewar ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh trend ke palatne ya kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak price is support zone ke upar rehti hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. GBP/JPY ka agla target 206.380 level tak pohanchna aur is se agay barhna hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le, to yeh uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega aur traders ke liye aik wazeh short-term goal faraham karega. Aik solid break is resistance level ke upar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne aur mazeed taiz karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Traders ko support zone ke qareeb dips par long positions lene ka mauqa dekhna chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 ko rakhna chahiye. Jab price successfully 206.380 ke resistance level ko paar kar le, to bullish momentum dobara se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers price ko upar le jane mein kamyaab hain. 206.380 ke baad, traders ko agle immediate resistance zone ko target karna chahiye. Yeh dekhna bohat zaroori hoga ke price is level par kis tarah react karti hai, kyunke is range ke upar consolidation kaamyaabi se hoti hai to further gains ka rasta asaan ho jaye ga. Is resistance ko paar karna yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend na sirf barqarar hai, balki mazeed

Hamesha yaad rahein ke trading ek disciplined approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aapko patience rakhni hogi aur apne entry aur exit points par focus karna hoga. Jab tak price hamare stop-loss ya take-profit levels tak nahi pohanchti, hum market mein rahenge. Trading ki duniya mein har waqt market ki halat ko samajhna aur indicators ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Long positions lena ek acha tareeqa hai jab indicators humein bullish trend ki taraf ishara dete hain. Is strategy ko apne trading plan mein shamil karen aur dekhain ke kaise ye aapki trading performance ko behtar banata hai.

Aakhir mein, trading ka maqsad sirf munafa kamana nahi hai, balki samajhdaari se decisions lena bhi hai. Is strategy par amal karke aap apni trading skills ko behtar bana sakte hain. Aap sab ko trading mein achi kamiyabi ki dua deta hoon!**Trading ka Tajaweez: Long Positions ki Strategy**

Salam trading doston! Aaj hum ek trading strategy par baat karenge jismein hum long positions par focus kar rahe hain. Pehle to, humein dekhna hoga ke moving average indicator price ke neeche hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke hum sirf long positions ko mad e nazar rakh rahe hain.

Ab agla signal jo humein long position lene ke liye madad de sakta hai, wo hai MACD indicator ka confirmation. Is indicator mein humein zero line ko neeche se upar ki taraf cross karte hue dekhna hai. Ye cross-over humein ye batata hai ke momentum bullish hai aur humein long position lene ka mauqa mil raha hai.

Is waqt, main samajhta hoon ke sabse behtareen entry point 190.00 hai. Ye woh level hai jahan se hum apni long position shuru kar sakte hain. Entry point ka intikhab karte waqt humein market ki current halat aur indicators ko mad e nazar rakhna hoga. Mujhe is waqt koi behtar entry point nazar nahi aata.

Ab baat karte hain risk management ki. Hum stop-loss ko 189.80 par set karenge. Iska matlab ye hai ke agar market hamari tasveer ke khilaf chale, to hum kuch nuksan ko rok sakte hain. Stop-loss ka rakhna bohot zaroori hai kyunki ye humein bade nuksan se bachata hai.

Profit ka target hum 190.60 par rakhte hain. Iska matlab ye hai ke jab price is level tak pohanchti hai, to hum apni position ko band kar lenge aur munafa hasil karenge.

Hamesha yaad rahein ke trading ek disciplined approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aapko patience rakhni hogi aur apne entry aur exit points par focus karna hoga. Jab tak price hamare stop-loss ya take-profit levels tak nahi pohanchti, hum market mein rahenge.

Trading ki duniya mein har waqt market ki halat ko samajhna aur indicators ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Long positions lena ek acha tareeqa hai jab indicators humein bullish trend ki taraf ishara dete hain. Is strategy ko apne trading plan mein shamil karen aur dekhain ke kaise ye aapki trading performance ko behtar banata hai.

Aakhir mein, trading ka maqsad sirf munafa kamana nahi hai, balki samajhdaari se decisions lena bhi hai. Is strategy par amal karke

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### GBP/USD H4 Ka Analysis
Hello doston, aap sab ko shaam bakhair! Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ka price action analyze karenge. Aaj dekha gaya hai ke price ne pehli dafa upar ki taraf chalu kiya hai aur sabse nazdeek ki resistance area tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin, ab aisa lag raha hai ke price ne phir se girawat ka samna kiya hai.

Mere nazar mein, price action tab tak girega jab tak yeh sabse nazdeek ki support area tak nahi pohanchta. H4 time frame mein dekha jaye to aaj dopahar mein price movement ne phir se bearish hone ka rukh apnaya hai aur lagta hai ke yeh neeche EMA line tak pohanch jayega.

Jaisa ke hum jaante hain, aaj ke din price ka EMA line ke upar move karna yeh darust karta hai ke buyers price action par control rakhte hain. Lekin, agar price movement mein bullish trend hota hai to kuch aise halat aayenge jahan price ko mushkilat ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Agar GU currency pair ka correction support level 1.331xx ko tod deta hai, to yeh price action mein mazeed girawat ka signal hoga. Hum double top pattern ko bhi samajhte hain. Agar 1.331xx ka support toot jata hai, to yeh sell signal banega jiska maqsad agla support area 1.324xx tak pohanchna hai.

Isliye, aaj behtar yeh hoga ke hum kisi accurate signal ka intezar karein phir position mein enter karein. Lekin agar price movement barhta hai aur 1.342xx ke resistance level ko tod deta hai, to yeh buy position mein enter karne ka signal hoga.

Price movement abhi sabse nazdeek ki support aur resistance ke beech hai, isliye humein position lene mein jaldi nahi karni chahiye. Agar 1.331xx ka support toot gaya to sell signal hoga, aur agar 1.342xx ka resistance tod diya to buy position ka signal hoga.

GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye.

British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain