جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

**Is Hafte Ki Trading Session Analysis**

Is hafte ki trading session mein, EURJPY currency pair ka hal abhi bhi seller ke control mein hai. Price ek waqt 188.09 level tak upar gayi thi, lekin seller ke forces ne phir se strong momentum gain kiya hai, jiski wajah se price ne bearish trend ko continue kiya aur 184.45 level ki taraf move kiya. Yeh trend next trading position determine karne ke liye ek reference hai, khas taur se hafte ke akhir mein jab price abhi bhi seller ke control mein hai.

**Market Trend aur Indicators**

Haan, buyers ki taraf se upar jane ki attempts bhi hain, lekin market trend aaj raat tak bearish hi rahega kyunki price Simple Moving Average 150 indicator (jo red color ka hai) ke nazdeek aa rahi hai. Yeh illustration hai ke market abhi bhi bearish hai. MACD indicator ke histogram bar ka position jo zero level ke neeche lamba ho raha hai, yeh signal hai ke market bearish ki taraf move kar raha hai. Abhi bhi market niche move kar raha hai aur agle hafte ke trading session tak bhi price condition downward trend par chalti rahegi.

**Short-Term Trend**

Agar hum short-term trend ko dekhein, toh GBPJPY currency pair jo ke abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai, zyada probable hai ke yeh phir se niche move karega aur seller ke troops ka target 184.60 price level ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.

Yeh analysis aapko market ki current condition aur short-term movement ke liye insights provide karega. Har waqt market ke indicators aur trends ko monitor karna zaroori hai.

GBP/JPY Brief Analysis:

Is data ke hawalay se, market ka 50-basis-point cut ke mumkin honay ka yaqeen kam ho gaya hai. Pehli dafa is ka zikar August ke aghaz mein kiya gaya jab unemployment aur labor market reports umeed se kamzor aayi thi. Magar ab tak expectations stable ho gayi hain, aur 50-point cut ka sirf 30% chance hai. Lekin market pehle hi is move ko price kar chuka tha, is liye ab sirf ek corrective wave set ki zarurat hai, balkay expectations ka phir se jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. Koi bhi news ab is pair ko hamesha ke liye upar nahi push kar sakti. Ab ek five-wave structure tayar ho gaya hai, is liye main corrective wave set ki tawaqo karta hoon, jismein specific targets hain.

Pound/yen pair ke baraay paimanay par uptrend jaari hai. 5 August se corrective decline ke baad, lower boundary se ek upward wave develop ho rahi hai jo ke reversal potential ke sath hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) mukammal honay ke qareeb hai. Chart par abhi tak koi clear reversal signal nazar nahi aaya.

Aisa lagta hai ke markets Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ko 2024 mein zyada overestimate kar rahe hain, jisme 112bps tak borrowing costs kam karne ka demand hai. Ideal taur par, agar is saal 75bps ka cut hota hai, toh US dollar dobara qabil-e-ahmiyat ho jayega jaise pehle quarter mein hua tha. Iske baraks, Bank of England ke policy easing ka raasta bohot slow lagta hai. Is saal 40bps ka cut? Sirf ek dafa 25bps ka step, woh bhi kuch chance ke sath doosri dafa? Yeh bohot kam nahi hai ek aise mulk ke liye jahan inflation pehle hi 2% target par aa chuki hai?

Weekly Forecast:

Hafta ke aghaz mein, sideways movement support zone ke qareeb jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai. Lower boundary of support ka ek chhota breakout bhi mumkin hai. Reversal ka waqt aham economic data ki release ke sath mutabiqat rakhta hai.

Potential Reversal Zones:
Resistance: 191.50/192.00
Support: 186.40/185.90

Recommendations:
Selling: High-risk hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh profitable na ho.
Buying: Reversal signals ke baad, calculated support zone ke qareeb buy karna achi strategy ho sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain

technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP /JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai

price movement ke neechay ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti. Iske liye kam az kam M15 channel ka niche ki taraf hona zaroori hai, tab aap sales mein entry ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin jaisa ke aap tasweeron mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko mauka nahi dete. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye yeh zyada sahi hai ke unka saath diya jaye channel ke nichle border 189.960 se, jo buying ke liye ek munafa bakhsh entry point hai. Is point ke niche, sales shuru hongi, aur purchases barh jayeingi. Main growth plan kar raha hoon channel ke upper part 191.813 ta

GBP/JPY upar gaya tha aur apni qareebi resistance ko 187.28 par cross kiya tha, lekin yeh movement zyada dair tak nahi tik saka. Is haftay mein ne dekha ke GBP/JPY ka movement ziyata bullish raha hai. Kuch moments aise thay jab GBP/JPY niche aya, lekin yeh sirf ek correction thi. Agar H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye to resistance 187.29 ke cross hone se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY abhi aur barh sakta hai. Masla yeh hai ke ab tak GBP/JPY kaafi gehrai mein gir chuka hai, lekin pichle kuch dinon se movement ziyata tar upar ki taraf rahi hai. Badi timeframe par bhi confirmation candle nazar aayi hai, jo ek bullish engulfing candle ke roop mein hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market jaldi reverse karega. Jab tak demand area 180.94 par toot nahi jata, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ke upar jane ka mauqa abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Mere scenario ke mutabiq, ane wale waqt mein GBP/JPY 205.46 ke price tak barh sakta hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analysis kiya jaye, to kal jo decline hui uski wajah se candle ki position badal gayi hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aagayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Monday ko GBP/JPY ka movement niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh 184.48 ke support ko test karne ke liye gir sakta hai. Agar yeh area nahi tootta, to GBP/JPY wahan se rebound kar sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, line apne lowest level, ie 80, ke bohot kareeb hai. Lekin halanke woh wahan tak nahi pohnchi, line ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Is indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke future mein GBP/JPY ka movement upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar direction achanak se niche ho jati hai, to GBP/JPY ka support 184.48 tak girne ka imkaan hai jo main ne upar explain kiya hai. Aaj ke Analysis ka Nateeja: GBP/JPY currency pair ke upar jane ka abhi bhi chance hai kyunki filhal demand area 180.94 par toot nahi sakta, aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh GBP/JPY ko upar le jayega. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area 184.87 par stuck hai. Isliye, main aapko suggest karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain

Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye

GBP/JPY ANALYSIS

D-1 Timeframe: Hafta khatam honay ko hai, chalay D1 period chart ka phir se jaiza lete hain - GBPJPY currency pair ka. Pechlay trading hafta mein zyadatar bechne walon ka raaj raha, sirf haftay ke aghaz mein thoda izafa dekhnay ko mila, lekin us ke baad girawat shuru hui jo haftay ke akhir tak barqarar rahi. Kuch dino mein din ke andar thori si recovery bhi hui, lekin har dafa bechne walon ne price ko neeche gira diya. Wave structure neeche ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator phir se neeche ki sale zone mein kam ho raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Mera andaza hai ke girawat jaari rahegi aur ye general downward trend ke mutabiq chalegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Chhoti timeframes par kaam karte waqt sirf downward trade karna behtar hoga jab decline ke mutabiq formations ban rahein. Shayad hum foran neeche na jayen, is ka ishara CCI indicator ki position se milta hai, jo lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle, qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak thoda corrective growth ho sakta hai. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb chhoti timeframes, jaise M15 par, sell formation ko dekha ja sakta hai, takay support resistance mein tabdeel ho sake. Is tarah se aapko ek lower level entry milegi jo ke ek higher level se support hoti hai. Aur aam tor par, sirf aisi trades karni chahiyein, jo lower level par entry hon aur upper level se supported hon. Main khareedari ko behtar nahi samjhta, kyun ke chhoti si rollback mil sakti hai, aur phir market downward trend ke mutabiq neeche chala jayega, khaaskar jab pound market mein kamzor ho raha hai. Yahan hum andaza laga saktay hain ke agar guzishta August ka low renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence ka signal banay ga, jo ke growth ka ishara ho ga. Yeh mustaqbil ke liye hai, lekin abhi is par baat karna jaldi ho ga. Aam tor par, guzishta dino mein price neeche daba raha hai, jaisa ke umeed thi

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai

GBP/JPY Brief Analysis:

Is data ke hawalay se, market ka 50-basis-point cut ke mumkin honay ka yaqeen kam ho gaya hai. Pehli dafa is ka zikar August ke aghaz mein kiya gaya jab unemployment aur labor market reports umeed se kamzor aayi thi. Magar ab tak expectations stable ho gayi hain, aur 50-point cut ka sirf 30% chance hai. Lekin market pehle hi is move ko price kar chuka tha, is liye ab sirf ek corrective wave set ki zarurat hai, balkay expectations ka phir se jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. Koi bhi news ab is pair ko hamesha ke liye upar nahi push kar sakti. Ab ek five-wave structure tayar ho gaya hai, is liye main corrective wave set ki tawaqo karta hoon, jismein specific targets hain.

Pound/yen pair ke baraay paimanay par uptrend jaari hai. 5 August se corrective decline ke baad, lower boundary se ek upward wave develop ho rahi hai jo ke reversal potential ke sath hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) mukammal honay ke qareeb hai. Chart par abhi tak koi clear reversal signal nazar nahi aaya.

Aisa lagta hai ke markets Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ko 2024 mein zyada overestimate kar rahe hain, jisme 112bps tak borrowing costs kam karne ka demand hai. Ideal taur par, agar is saal 75bps ka cut hota hai, toh US dollar dobara qabil-e-ahmiyat ho jayega jaise pehle quarter mein hua tha. Iske baraks, Bank of England ke policy easing ka raasta bohot slow lagta hai. Is saal 40bps ka cut? Sirf ek dafa 25bps ka step, woh bhi kuch chance ke sath doosri dafa? Yeh bohot kam nahi hai ek aise mulk ke liye jahan inflation pehle hi 2% target par aa chuki hai?

Weekly Forecast:

Hafta ke aghaz mein, sideways movement support zone ke qareeb jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai. Lower boundary of support ka ek chhota breakout bhi mumkin hai. Reversal ka waqt aham economic data ki release ke sath mutabiqat rakhta hai.

Potential Reversal Zones:
Resistance: 191.50/192.00
Support: 186.40/185.90

Recommendations:
Selling: High-risk hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh profitable na ho.
Buying: Reversal signals ke baad, calculated support zone ke qareeb buy karna achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Aaj raat daily time frame par bullish candles ban rahi hain. Ye formation abhi ke liye temporary hai kyunki Monday ka market abhi khatam nahi hua. Prices 0.8410 se positive movement dikha rahi hain jo ke ek daily resistance aur weekly open hai. High Friday se zyada ban gaya hai, lekin bullish candle ki integrity jo baad mein form hogi wo future price movements ke liye reference banegi. Friday ko dekhte hue, sellers jo dominance continue karne ki koshish kar rahe the, wo fail ho gaye kyunki price ne 0.8399 se positive reversal dikhaya. Lekin buyers ki strength abhi tak intact nahi hai kyunki sellers ne price ko phir se dabaya, jisse price jo high 0.8426 tak pohnchi thi, wapas gir gayi. Aakhir mein Friday ki price movement se doji candle bani. Agar is waqt buyers resistance 0.8436 ko break karne mein successful hote hain, to price ke higher positive movement ka chance hai jiska target daily resistance 0.8477 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye fail hota hai, to price 0.8410 ke area tak wapas aa sakti hai aur agar ye area bhi break hota hai, to bearish gap khul sakta hai aur weakening dobara dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily abhi bhi down point kar rahe hain jo price movement ke negative hone ki indication hai. EMA 200 daily jo price movement ke upar hai, daily trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Stochastic daily market conditions ko oversold ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke price correction phase mein enter kar sakti hai.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

6Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair meiClick image for larger version

GBP/JPY D1 Period Chart Analysis

Is hafte ke beech mein guzarnay ke baad, hum phir se D1 chart par nazar daaltay hain GBPJPY currency pair ka. Pichlay trading week mein zyadatar waqt sellers ke control mein tha; sirf hafte ke aaghaz mein thodi si izafa hui thi, lekin uske baad lagataar decline dekha gaya jo week ke end tak jaari raha. Kuch din rollback dekhne ko mile, lekin har martaba sellers ne price ko aur neeche gira diya. Wave structure neeche ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein aur apni signal line se neeche decrease ho raha hai. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke decline jaari rahega, aur iska target last August ka minimum hoga. Choti time periods mein kaam karte hue, sirf downward trades karni chahiye jab decline ke mutabiq formations banti hain.

Shayad hum seedha neeche nahi jayen, aur CCI indicator ki position se lagta hai ke lower overheating zone mein hone ki wajah se pehle ek correction growth dekhne ko milaygi, jo ke qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak ja sakti hai. Agar yeh rollback hoti hai, to is level ke qareeb choti time period (M15) par formation ko dekh sakte hain taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Is tarah, aap choti time period mein entry karenge jo ke higher level par based hogi. Magar, main buy ka mashwara nahi dunga, kyunke yeh rollback chhota sa ho sakta hai aur phir se neeche ja sakta hai along the general trend, khaaskar jab market mein pound ka overall weakness nazar aa raha hai.

Agar last August ka bottom renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence ka signal dekhne ko mil sakta hai, magar abhi is baare mein baat karna thoda jaldi hoga. Pichlay chand dinon mein price ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna tha, jaisa expect kiya gaya tha. MACD indicator ke histogram bar ke zero level se neeche lambay hotay jane ki base par meri observations se yeh lagta hai ke market bearish taraf move karna shuru kar raha hai, aur ab tak market neeche jaari hai. Agle hafte ke trading session tak bhi yeh andaza hai ke price downward trend mein move karti rahegi. Agar short-term trend par focus karen, to GBPJPY jo ke abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai, ziada chances hain ke phir se neeche move kare aur seller troops ko target kare jo 184.60 ke aas paas price level par hain.

6Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher er lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir

hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair meiClick image for larger versio