جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."
Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko

GBP/JPY Mid-March ke Baad Apni Sabse Kam Level Par
Overview

GBP/JPY currency pair ne European trading session ke dauran mid-March ke baad apni sabse kam level ko chhoo liya hai. Yeh 208.11 se kaafi neeche gir gaya hai, jiss ki wajah yen ki dobara taqat aur mumkin Japanese interventions hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ki rate cut ne sterling par mazeed dabao daala hai.

Bearish Signals

Kayi mazboot bearish signals saamne aaye hain jo pair mein mazeed girawat ki imkaanat zahir karte hain, jin mein shaamil hain:

1. Daily Cloud Pattern Rise: Rozana badalne wale cloud pattern ka upar uthna aam taur par asset ki manfi soch ko zahir karta hai, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara deta hai.
2. 200-Day Moving Average Se Neeche Jana: Yeh long-term moving average ke neeche girawat aam taur par trend ki kamzori zahir karti hai aur selling pressure ko trigger kar sakti hai.
3. Support Level 189.55 Se Neeche Jana: Jab qeemat mustahkam support level ke neeche girti hai, toh aam tor par bearish sentiment barh jata hai, jo mazeed qeemat ki girawat ka sabab banta hai.

Yeh indicators is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke pair mazeed girawat ki taraf jaa sakta hai aur mazboot bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai.

Monthly Performance

Pair July ke mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raaste par hai, chaar musalsal hafton ke losses ke saath. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bara mahana nuqsan zahir karta hai, jo manfi soorat-e-haal ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai kyunke ek reversal pattern mahana chart par banta dikh raha hai.

Is waqt, GBP/JPY 190.30 ke range mein trade ho raha hai, ek chhoti si sahih karne wali izafey ke baad. Lekin ummeed hai ke is chote upward impulse ke baad, qeemat 194.10 ki range ki taraf neeche jaane ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar break hota hai aur is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, toh yeh ek buy signal deta hai.

Iske baraks, 190.40 range ke aas paas ek galat breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions par tight stop-loss orders ki ijazat dega. 190.50 ke upar ka break ek mumkin upward movement ke bahali ka ishara de sakta hai.

Support Levels

Ahem support 187.80 par hai. Bohat zyada oversold daily indicators iss hafte ke aakhir tak partial profit-taking ko encourage kar sakte hain, lekin uptrends mazeed kamzori zahir karte hain. Pehle se tooti hui 200-day moving average ab pehla resistance ban gayi hai 191.74 par, jab ke mazeed resistance 196.83 par hai, jo rebounds ko limited rakhne aur bearish sentiment ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar sakti hai. Neeche jaane ke liye mojooda targets 185.66 aur 183.56 par set hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) iss waqt oversold territory mein hai, jo mumkin rally ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Market Influences

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur mukhtalif technical analysis indicators se mutasir hoti hai. Construction PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) rates ibtedai taur par buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin UK Pound ki mazboot tor par kamzori ki wasseh tawakkuat ek strategic sell stance ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders market shifts par nazar rakh kar aur in tabdiliyon ka jawab dekar faida hasil kar sakte hain.

Trading Strategy

H1 timeframe chart par, ek resistance area FTR (Failure to Return)/DBD (Double Bottom Divergence) region mein ban chuka hai, jahan price abhi tak consolidate kar raha hai pehle support ko todne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad. Yeh area SND (Supply and Demand) traders ke liye kaafi ahem hai, kyunke yeh market mein entry ke liye achi risk-reward mauka deta hai.

Har section ko tod kar aur wazahat kar ke, humne GBP/JPY currency pair ki mukammal

aur 189.00 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement thodi surprising thi kyun ke UK inflation data expectations se kam aaya tha, jo aam tor par currency ke liye downward pressure create karta hai. Yeh data Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ke potential ko suggest karta hai, jo ke normally pound ko weak karta hai. Lekin is trend ko balance karte hue, Middle East mein rising geopolitical tensions ne investors ko safe-haven assets jaise ke Japanese yen ki taraf attract kiya. US missile submarine ke deployment aur ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict ne potential escalation ke concerns ko barhaya. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke taraf se future interest rate hike ke expectations ne yen ko support provide kiya. Yeh conflicting backdrop GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek complex environment create kar raha hai, jisme currency pair ki movement multiple factors se influenced ho rahi hai.
Technical Analysis:
Pair ne potential trend reversal ke signs show kiye, aur momentum indicators ne previous downtrend ke weakening ko suggest kiya. Magar significant resistance levels ab bhi maujood hain jo upside potential ko limit karte hain. GBP/JPY pair ab bhi various economic aur geopolitical factors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein **** hua hai. Market ka focus expected hai ke upcoming economic data releases, specifically agle UK CPI report, par shift hoga for further direction.
Lekin, market mein bears most likely attempt kar rahe hain ke control wapas hasil karein. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ne 185.21–186.75 region ko establish kiya hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko neeche force karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh successful hote hain, toh yeh pair ko April 9, 2001 ke high 181.36 tak le jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Is conclusion ke sath, halaan ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, market ka momentum ab bhi shaky hai, jo ek aur decline ka room chhodta hai.
Technical Indicators:
Technical indicators ne bhi recent bullish sentiment ko support kiya hai. Average Directional Movement (ADX) indicator sideways move kar raha hai, jo GBP/JPY downtrend ke potential weakening ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf upwards ja raha hai, jab ke Stochastic indicator ne apne moving average aur oversold zone ke upar breakout kiya ha

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6



maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga

JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

GBP-JPY currency pair ka technical analysis yeh batata hai ke market abhi clearly bullish hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo ke market ki current balance of power ko indicate karta hai, charts par noise ko smooth out karta hai. Yeh technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy aur correctness ko improve karta hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator, jo red, blue, aur yellow colors mein lines banata hai, support aur resistance lines ko show karta hai based on twice-smoothed moving averages, aur instrument ke current boundaries ko dikhata hai. Is analysis ka main focus abhi purchases par hai, kyunke mujhe growth ki umeed hai. Lekin, current price 189.339 par entry ke liye suitable nahi lagti. Main intezar kar raha hoon ke price zyada favorable support level tak aaye, jo ke 183.729 hai. Mere khayal mein yeh level ek acha moka dega long position kholne ke liye. RSI (Relative Strength Index) basement indicator ko as an auxiliary oscillator use kiya jata hai jo ke Heiken Ashi ke saath mil kar excellent results show karta hai. Chart mein dekhne ko milta hai ke candlesticks ne blue color le liya hai, jo buyers ke priority ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kar ke wapas channel mein entry ki aur phir apni movement middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf ki. Usi waqt, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyunke iski curve upward move kar rahi hai aur abhi overbought level ke kareeb nahi hai. Isliye, hum ek long-buy transaction kholte hain jiska target channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ke paas hai jo ke price mark 193.752 hai. Iske baad aap apni position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain aur further profit growth ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya, jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka takriban 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai. Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye ga.

Daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY apne recent sharp falling channel se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshishen kamyab ho sakti hain agar yeh pair 191.30 aur 193.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf move karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh same period ke dauran 186.00 level ke neeche reh jata hai, toh yeh current upward move ke liye ek threat ho sakta hai. Pair ab bhi global central bank signals aur investor demand se influenced ho

Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte h

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par

GBP/JPY ke H1 time frame ka tajziya kiya gaya hai, jahan chand aham indications hain jo traders ko dekhni chahiyein. GBP/JPY ke price movement ne pehle ek significant izafa dekhaya, lekin ab yeh neeche jhukne ke asar dekhane laga hai. Moving Averages (MA) indicator se pata chalta hai ke chhoti muddat ka MA abhi tak lambi muddat ke MA ke upar hai, lekin dono ek doosre ke qareeb aa rahe hain, jo ke potential trend reversal ya consolidation ka ishara de raha hai.
Iske ilawa, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne bearish signal diya hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai, aur histogram mein barhta hua bearish momentum dekhai de raha hai, jo ke short term mein price correction ka ishara hai. Doosri taraf, RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ka level 48.13 par hai, jo ke neutral condition dikhata hai, lekin yeh higher level se neeche aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo ke selling pressure mein izafa ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Is technical analysis ki buniyad par, do trading ideas consider kiye ja sakte hain using pending orders. Pehla, Buy Limit at level 187,250 with Stop Loss at 186,800 aur Take Profit at 188,500, jo ke support level se potential price reversal ka faida uthane ke liye hai. Doosra, Sell Limit at level 188,700 with Stop Loss at 189,200 aur Take Profit at 187,000, is umeed ke sath ke price resistance level se neeche girega.

Yeh strategy isliye design ki gayi hai taake price movements ka faida uthaya ja sake significant support aur resistance levels par, jo traders ko GBP/JPY ke upar aur neeche dono movements se profit ka mauqa de sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market developments par nazar rakhi jaye aur har trade mein proper risk management ka istemal kiya jaye taake optimal results hasil ho sakein.
GBP/JPY forums information ka ek behtareen source hain jo analysis aur forecasting mein significant madad kar sakte hain. In platforms par available diverse opinions, real-time updates, aur in-depth analyses ko leverage karke, traders apni trading strategies ko enhance kar sakte hain aur success ke chances improve kar sakte hain. Lekin, forum insights ko critical mind ke sath approach karna zaroori hai, information ko cross-verify karna aur mukhtalif analytical approaches ko blend karna chahiye taake well-informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jaise kisi bhi market mein, GBP/JPY ke fundamentals aur technical aspects ko samajhna aur forum discussions se update rehna is volatile currency pair ko navigate karne ke liye key hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

GBP-JPY PAIR REVIEW Japanese Yen currency pair ka outlook kal ke baad thoda kamzor hua hai, jaise ke GBPJPY pair ke price movement se zahir hota hai, jo filhal upar ki taraf correction mein hai. Lagta hai kuch market players apni sell positions ke baad profit le rahe hain jo unhone kuch hafton se rakhi hui thi. Upar ki taraf correction phase filhal FR 38.2 - 187.48 ke aas-paas hai aur FR 50 - 189.76 ya FR 61.8 - 192.04 ki taraf jane ka mumkin hai jo SMA 200 ke sath coincide karta hai. Lekin, short-term trend ko bullish mein badalna abhi bhi mushkil hai kyunki do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan faasla kafi zyada hai.

Sab se nazdeek high prices 187.06 ke aas-paas the jo successfully break hue aur naye high prices 188.04 ke range mein bane, jo ke minor price pattern ke higher high - higher low condition ko dikhata hai. Yeh bhi ek moka deta hai ke price upward correction phase ko continue kar sake, halanki trend direction ab bhi bearish hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram jo uptrend momentum dikhata hai, upward correction ko support karta hai lekin yeh sirf temporary ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator downward rally ko support karta hai jo EMA 50 ya FR 23.6 - 184.65 ke neeche aa sakta hai. Kyunki parameters jo overbought zone mein gaye hain level 90 - 80 se cross ho chuke hain, isliye upward correction ko buying saturation point tak pahuncha hua kaha ja sakta hai.

Setup entry position:
Trading options SELL moment par focus rakhna chahiye kyunki current bearish trend direction abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Entry position tab place ki jani chahiye jab price jo upward corrected hai, FR 50 - 189.76 ke aas-paas rejection ya false break ka samna karti hai. Iske ilawa, Pound Sterling currency ka outlook BoE ke interest rate cut ke baad kamzor hota hai isliye upward correction ki umeed kam hai. Stochastic indicator parameters ke level 50 aur level 80 ke beech crossing ki confirmation ki zaroorat hai. AO indicator histogram ko phir se downtrend momentum dikhana chahiye jo current trend direction ke sath match kare. Target places take profit FR 23.6 - 184.65 ya low prices 180.08 hain aur stop loss FR 61.8 - 192.04 par rakha jaye jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic resistance banata hai

GBP/JPY European session ke dauran mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par gir gaya hai. Yeh pair 208.11 se sharply slide hua hai, jiska sabab yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ho sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ka rate cut sterling par additional pressure daal raha hai.

**Bearish Signals**

Kuch strong bearish signals saamne aaye hain, jinmein shamil hain:
- Daily cloud pattern ka rise hona.
- 200-day moving average ke neeche break hona.
- Aaj 189.55 support level ke neeche break hona.

Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair downward trajectory par chal sakta hai, aur significant bearish outlook hai.

**Monthly Performance**

Pair July mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raste par hai, aur chaar consecutive weeks se red mein band hua hai. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bada monthly loss hai, jo negative outlook ko mazid strengthen karta hai, jab monthly chart par reversal pattern ban raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/JPY 190.30 range mein trade kar raha hai ek slight corrective increase ke baad. Lekin assumption yeh hai ke choti upward impulse ke baad price 194.10 range ki taraf girne ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar breakout hota hai aur pair is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh buy signal provide karega.

Dusri taraf, 190.40 range ke aas-paas false breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions ke liye tight stop-loss orders ke sath allow karega. Agar price 190.50 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh upward movement ke resume hone ka indication ho sakta hai.

**Support Levels**

187.80 par significant support hai. Strongly oversold daily indicators shayad week ke end tak partial profit-taking ko encourage karein, jabke uptrends aur bhi weakness suggest karte hain. Pehle broken 200-day moving average ab initial resistance ban gaya hai 191.74 par, aur additional support 196.83 par hai, jo stronger rebounds ko limit kar sakti hai aur bearish sentiments ko active rakhti hai. Targets ab 185.66 aur 183.56 par hain. RSI filhal oversold territory mein hai, jo potential rally ko indicate karta hai.

**Market Influences**

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur various technical analysis indicators se influence hoti hai. Construction PMI rates initially buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin broader expectations for a weakened UK Pound shayad strategic sell stance ko prompt karen. Market shifts ko monitor karke aur responsive rah kar traders apne positions ko advantageously position kar sakte hain.

**Trading Strategy**

H1 timeframe chart par ek resistance area FTR/DBD region mein bana hai, jahan price ab pehle support break karne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad wait kar rahi hai. Yeh area SND traders ke liye significant hai, kyunki yeh market mein enter karne ke liye ek achhi risk-reward opportunity provide karta hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.
Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka kabaro 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai . Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye ga.

Daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY apne recent sharp falling channel se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshishen kamyab ho sakti hain agar yeh pair 191.30 aur 193.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf move karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh same period ke dauran 186.00 level ke neeche reh jata hai, toh yeh current upward move ke liye ek threat ho sakta hai. Pair ab bhi global central bank signals aur investor demand se influenced