جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY currency pair char dinon se lagatar girawat mein hai aur Wednesday ke Asian session mein 199.50 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat ho sakti hai safety flight ke karan, jo Japanese Yen ko value mein upar push kar rahi hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke agle hafte interest rates badhane ki anticipation bhi market ko influence kar rahi hai. Yeh hawkish stance short sellers ko apni positions se exit karne par majboor kar rahi hai, jis se Yen ko strength mil rahi hai. Japanese government ke senior figures bhi is expectation ko support kar rahe hain. Ruling party ke official Toshimitsu Motegi ne BoJ ko monetary policy normalization ke plan ko gradual interest rate increases ke zariye solidify karne ka urged kiya hai, jabki Prime Minister Fumio Kishida believe karte hain ki yeh Japan ko ek growth-driven economy mein transition karne ke liye rasta banayega.



Economic data dono deshon ke liye contrasting picture paint karta hai. Japan ka manufacturing sector contraction witness kar raha hai, Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 par gir gaya, jo June ke 50.0 aur market expectations ke 50.5 se neeche hai. Yeh April ke baad pehli baar factory activity mein decline hai. Lekin, services sector resilience dikhata hai, PMI July mein 53.9 par barh gaya, jo pichle mahine ke 49.4 se zyada hai. Yeh sector ke liye is saal ka sixth month of growth hai aur April ke baad strongest expansion hai.English Channel ke us paar, Bank of England (BoE) ka stance bhi GBP/JPY pair ko influence kar raha hai. August mein rate cut ke lower odds se Pound ko bolster mil sakti hai aur pair ke losses minimize ho sakte hain. Market participants eagerly UK Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) activity survey results ke release ka wait kar rahe hain. Forecasts predict karte hain ki UK services PMI July ke liye rebound hoke 52.5 par aayega, jo June ke seven-month low 52.1 se upar hai. Manufacturing PMI bhi edge up hone ki expectations hain, 51.1 par pichle 50.9 se.

ke muqable mein performance girawat dekh raha hai. Price 202.10 support level tak gir gaya hai, jo ke takreeban ek mahine ka sab se kam hai. Analysis likhte waqt price 203.10 ke qareeb hai, aur aaj ke session mein 204.21 resistance level se retreat kar chuka hai. Pound ke muqable yen par downward pressure barh gaya hai, jo ke British retail sales ke expected se kamzor numbers announce hone ki wajah se hai. Aaj ke




announce kiye gaye data ke mutabiq, UK retail sales umeed se zyada gir rahi hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, UK retail sales June 2024 mein -1.2% m/m gir gayi hain, jo May mein 2.9% barh gayi thi aur market expectations ke mutabiq 0.4% ki decline thi. Election uncertainty, bura mausam, aur kam footfall is girawat ki wajahain hain. Non-food stores main sales 2.1% giri hain, jisme department stores, retail clothing aur shoe stores, aur furniture stores shaamil hain. Food stores mein sales 1.1% giri hain, mukhya tor par supermarkets ke wajah se, aur online kharch 2.7% gir gaya. June tak ke teen mahine dekhen to retail sales mein 0.1% contraction dekhne ko mila. Salana basis par retail sales 0.2% giri hain, jo May ke upwardly revised 1.7% increase ke muqable mein hain aur expectations thi 0.2% increase ki. Ek aur level par: British government bond yields 10 saal ke liye kam ho gayi hain wage data ke baad. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10 saal ke bonds ka yield 4.05% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke teen hafton ka sab se kam hai. Traders naye economic data ko evaluate kar rahe hain Bank of England ke agle interest rate decisions ko predict karne ke liye. Is haftay ki inflation aur labor market data Bank of England ke liye faisla mushkil bana rahi hai ke kya price pressures itne kam ho gaye hain ke 16 saal ke highest level se interest rates ko cut kiya ja sake. Labor market mein slowdown ke bawajood jahan wages ka growth slowest pace par hai takreeban do saal mein, services inflation 5.7% par high hai, jo Bank of England ke forecast 5.1% se zyada hai. Overall, CPI June mein Bank of England ke target 2% par barqarar raha. Traders ab 40% chance dekh rahe hain ke August 1 ko rate cut hoga, jo ke inflation data ke baad 30% se

GBP/JPY currency pair ne lagataar chaar dinon se girawat ka saamna kiya hai, aur aaj subha (Wednesday) Asian session mein yeh takreeban 199.50 ke ird-gird trade kar rahi hai. Yeh girawat mumkin hai ke investor safety ki taraf jaane ki wajah se hui ho, jis se Japanese Yen ki qeemat barh gayi hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke agle hafte interest rates barhane ki umeed bhi market par asar daal rahi hai. Is hawkish stance ke chalte short sellers apni positions band kar rahe hain, jis se Yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Japan ki hukumat ke senor afraad bhi is umeed ko barhawa de rahe hain. Hukoomat ki ruling party ke official Toshimitsu Motegi ne BoJ ko kaha ke wo apni monetary policy normalization ka plan mazid mazboot karen aur interest rates ko dheere dheere barhane ka tasalsul rakhen, jabke Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ka manna hai ke yeh Japan ko growth-driven economy mein tabdeel karne ka rasta saaf karega.

Economic data do countries ke liye mukhtalif tasveer pesh karta hai. Japan ke manufacturing sector ne contraction dekha, Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI July mein gir kar 49.2 par aagayi, jo ke June mein 50.0 thi aur market expectations 50.5 se kaafi neeche thi. Yeh April ke baad pehli dafa factory activity mein girawat hai. Lekin, services sector ne mazbooti dikhai, aur PMI July mein 53.9 tak barh gaya jo ke pichle maheenay 49.4 tha. Yeh is saal ka chhata maheenay ka growth hai aur April ke baad ka sabse mazboot expansion hai.

Dousri taraf, Bank of England (BoE) ka stance bhi GBP/JPY pair par asar andaz ho raha hai. BoE ke August mein rate cut ke kam chances Pound ko mazboot kar sakte hain aur pair ke nuqsanat ko kam kar sakte hain. Market participants UK Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) activity survey results ka intizar kar rahe hain jo aaj baad mein release honge. Forecasts ke mutabiq UK services PMI July mein rebound ho kar 52.5 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke June mein 52.1 tha aur yeh saat maheenay ka lowest level tha. Manufacturing PMI bhi umeed hai ke barh kar 51.1 tak pohonch sakta hai jo pehle 50.9 tha.

Yahan par aapko di gayi tasveerat din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ke mutaliq hai. 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par tafteesh ke saath kharidari ke mashwaray hain. Is trade ka maqsad 157.500 par hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh nishan hai. Iske ilawa, 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur bade nuqsaan se bachne mein madad deta hai. Is tarah ke muntazam tareeqe ko mazeed behtar banane ke liye, traders technical indicators ke saath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi istemal kar sakte hain jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ki maqami halat ko pehchanne mein madad dete hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek acha dakhli point ho sakta hai kharidari ke faislay ke liye. Isi tarah, agar keemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par aur bhi aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Mumkin hai candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai. Ye patterns sahara darjaton ko zyada mazboot banate hain. Akhir mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ki saholat ho sakti hai, maqsad 157.500 par aur 155.795 par stop loss ke saath, aik munazzam dakhli tareeqa hai. Is tareeqe mein maqami dakhil hone ke points, wazeh maqsad aur sound risk management shamil hain. Market ki haalaat ke mutabiq maloomat hasil karna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal tradeon mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Is tarah, traders apne kamyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne dakhli aur kharidari points ko refine karte hain.

Further steps have been taken against the ongoing trend, which weakens the Yen in the foreign exchange market. This comes despite some economic data from the UK. While there's been a slight increase in unemployment claims, robust wage growth has reassured investors. The Bank of Japan's intervention in the market twice recently has increased concerns. Reports of their activities have led to increased spending, which could weaken the Yen. However, these interventions may have varying effects. The GBP/JPY pair has recently touched 197.00 from around 191.50, a significant move. According to analysis by former BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, the central bank may postpone its next interest rate hike until September. This wait-and-see approach could allow them to assess economic data coming in July and August. Additionally, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has emphasized cooperation with the BoJ to monitor and respond to currency trends. Despite these efforts, the GBP/JPY pair is significantly lower than its 16-year high near 200.50, currently ranging between 196.47 and 198.57. The market is still digesting the effects of BoJ interventions, possibly influenced by the departure of the US Federal Reserve. Continuous pressure on the Yen may be expected from further interventions by Japanese authorities. Technical indicators hint at new changes. While the Average Directional Index (ADX) signals the end of the recent uptrend, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral. However, the Stochastic indicator shows rapid declines, suggesting a bearish outlook for the Yen if it continues towards the midpoint. push kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh Bank of Japan ko majboor kar chuka hai market mein do martaba intervene karne par late April mein Yen ko weak karne ke liye. Bank of Japan ab bhi ek wildcard factor hai. Jab US markets May 27th ko band hain, ek window of opportunity mojood hai ek aur intervention ke liye agar Bank isay zaroori samjhe Yen ki weakness ko curb karne ke liye. Potential headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ko favor karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) apne

highest level tak pahunch gaya hai March-June 2023 rally ke baad, jo ek strong directional movement signify karta hai. Aise hi, Stochastic indicator dobara overbought zone mein hai, current bullish momentum ko reinforce karte hue. Lekin, RSI ka qareebi jaiza ek potential chink dikhata hai bullish armor mein. Indicator higher highs banane mein nakam lagta hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ko suggest karta hai. Agar bulls ko control maintain karna hai, toh unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur aakhir kaar April 29th ka high 200.50 ko retest karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful break hota hai, toh yeh Japanese authorities ke taraf se ek aur intervention ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential losses ko lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai,bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein engaged hain. Aane wale din yeh determine karne mein crucial honge ke pair ki direction kya hogi aur kya uptrend apni momentum ko maintain kar sakta hai

GBPCHF TAHQIQ JULY 16, 2024

GBPCHF currency pair ke bullish movement ne apni taqat dikhate hue 1.151314 key level ko madde nazar rakh kar mazeed barhne ka imkan darust kiya hai. Is kamyabi se yeh zahir hota hai ke market ko buyers control kar rahe hain aur prices ko unchi darajat tak pohanchane ka potential hai. Is breakout ke baad, GBPCHF ne 1.16313 tak pohanch kar ek buland bullish momentum ko zahir kiya hai. Ek technical nazar se, yeh mazbooti EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 50 aur EMA 100 indicators ke saath bhi support mein hai, dono ne ek umer ki raah ko zahir kiya hai. EMA 50 jo EMA 100 ke upar hai, bullish trend ko confirm karta hai, kyunki yeh dikhata hai ke short-term prices long-term prices se tezi se move kar rahe hain. Ek ooper ki taraf moving EMA aksar yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur aage barhne ka potential rakhta hai.





Abhi, GBPCHF ki keemat 1.16313 ki buland se correction ka saamna kar rahi hai. Is tarah ki corrections market movements mein normal hoti hain aur aksar achhi prices par market mein dakhil hone ka mauqa samjha jata hai. Jo correction hoti hai, woh traders ke liye ek mauqa faraham karti hai jo market mein dakhil nahi hue hain, jismein mukhtasir trend ke mutabiq positions lena hota hai. Main umeedwar hoon ke main position lena barah-e-karaur base area 1.15603 - 1.15733 ke aas paas hoga. Yeh area isliye chuna gaya hai kyunke yeh pehle breakout ke baad support ke tor par kaam aane ka imkan rakhta hai. Technical analysis mein, support areas jo pehle resistance ka kaam karti thi, aksar breakout ke baad achhay buying zones ke tor par kaam aati hain. Yeh base area 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan zone ke saath milta hai, jo yeh masbooti deta hai ke yeh ek mazboot area hai jahan long entry ka tawajjo dena zaruri hai.

GBP/CHF

Aaj, mujhe yeh baat bahut zor se lagi ke market bearish tha bullish ke bajaye. Phir se, woh technical analysis jis par main kal bharosa kar raha tha, usne ek napasand tajwez diya. Lagta hai ke market ab bhi bechnay walon ki hukoomat mein hai jo bearish prices ko dhakka de rahe hain aur darshate hain ke Australian Dollar ke exchange rate abhi Euro se zyada mazboot hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh normal hai kyunke European Union ki economy mein rukh rukh taiz growth ke kaafi waziha nishan nazar aa rahe hain kyunke European region mein inflation rate Australia se zyada tezi se gir raha hai. Magar aaj main dobara GBPCHF pair par baat karna chahta hoon.


Ek technical nazar se, mujhe lagta hai ke GBPCHF phir se bearish ho raha hai, jo guzishta Jumma se shuru hui hui momentum ko jari rakhta hai. Meri tajarbat se, yeh zyada Swiss Franc ki mazbooti se chal raha hai aur Pound Sterling ki kamzori se nahi. Masla yeh hai ke jab maine USDCHF pair ko dekha, toh pata chala ke price bhi bearish tha, jab ke GBPUSD pair asal mein bullish nazar aa raha tha. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke bare traders kisi wajah se Swiss Franc jama kar rahe hain. Keemat karwai ke natayej se, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj GBPCHF phir se bearish ho ga. Toh ek normal trader ke taur par, main yeh yakeen dilaane ki koshish karunga ke ek SELL position tab kholun jab bullish correction price ooncha ho. SELL position kholne ki tasalsul ko bhi market mein sahara mil raha hai kyunke halat mein stochastic oscillator time frame H1 indicator overbought area mein daakhil ho gaya hai.





Ek bunyadi nazar se, kya? Meri raay mein, aaj Pound Sterling ke liye kaafi ahem ho sakta hai. Kyunke agle kuch ghanton mein UK CPI data, yaani inflation, release hoga. Kai analysts ye shak karte hain ke value 2.3% se 2.0% tak gir jaega. Lekin agar actual data 2.0% se kam hua, toh mujhe lagta hai ke GBP exchange rate zyada kamzor ho jaega taake GBPCHF pair mein potential ho ke aur gehra bearish ho jaega. Lekin agar pata chala ke CPI girawat ab bhi 2.0% se ooper hai, toh GBPCHF mein bullish movement ka potential ho sakti hai. Toh agar aap is pair mein trade karna chahte hain toh aaj shaam se, main aapko mashwara doon ga ke bade lots ka istemal na karein. Agar UK CPI data release ho gaya hai toh, dobara se open position ke liye bade lots istemal karne mein safety hogi, bhai khatarnaak hai lekin sahi taur par strict hona chahiye.

session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI


inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye. GBP/JPY market mein bullishness kitni dair tak rahegi, lekin hamare insights ne bullishness aur widely watched currency pair ki future performance ke bare mein kuch asar to zaroor dala hai.

Yahan par aapko di gayi tasveerat din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ke mutaliq hai. 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par tafteesh ke saath kharidari ke mashwaray hain. Is trade ka maqsad 157.500 par hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh nishan hai. Iske ilawa, 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur bade nuqsaan se bachne mein madad deta hai. Is tarah ke muntazam tareeqe ko mazeed behtar banane ke liye, traders technical indicators ke saath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi istemal kar sakte hain jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ki maqami halat ko pehchanne mein madad dete hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek acha dakhli point ho sakta hai kharidari ke faislay ke liye. Isi tarah, agar keemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par





sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par aur bhi aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Mumkin hai candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai. Ye patterns sahara darjaton ko zyada mazboot banate hain. Akhir mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ki saholat ho sakti hai, maqsad 157.500 par aur 155.795 par stop loss ke saath, aik munazzam dakhli tareeqa hai. Is tareeqe mein maqami dakhil hone ke points, wazeh maqsad aur sound risk management shamil hain. Market ki haalaat ke mutabiq maloomat hasil karna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal tradeon mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Is tarah, traders apne kamyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne dakhli aur kharidari points ko refine karte hain.

frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh




maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne
Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price 207.94 ke resistance se takra ke reversal candle banaye. Yeh ek corrective move ke shuru hone ka signal ho sakta hai jo south ki taraf hoga. Agar yeh hota hai, to mein dekhoonga ke price support level 200.54 ki taraf retreat kare. Agar price mazeed dip karke door ke support levels 197.21 ya 195.05 tak pahunch jati hai, to bhi mein un areas ke qareeb bullish signals dekhunga, potential uptrend ke resumption ka wait karunga. Jabke mujhe abhi koi immediate, high-probability trading opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi hain, mein price behavior ko current resistance zone ke qareeb closely monitor karunga. Agar buyers 207.94 ke upar strong presence establish karte hain, to mein apna focus further potential upside ke entry points identify karne par shift kar dunga. Lekin agar price resistance encounter karke downward correct karna shuru karti hai, to mein support levels ke qareeb buying opportunities dekhunga jo pehle mention kiye gaye hain. Asal mein, mein market ke clear signal ka wait kar raha hoon about its next move. Jab price action resistance level ke qareeb unfold hogi, to mein apni trading plan ko refine kar sakunga aur zyada specific entry aur exit points identify kar sakunga.

Currency pair ko analyze kar raha hoon. Maine hourly chart ka istemal kiya hai market movement ko analyze karne ke liye. Pehle, hum fundamental outlook par baat karte hain, aur phir technical viewpoint par. Fundamental Outlook: Jaisa ke second quarter ke fundamental assessment mein expect kiya gaya tha, yen ne third quarter ke aksar hisson mein major currencies ke against kamzor hui. Magar, depreciation rate pehle quarter se significant tor par kam ho gayi thi. Stock market ki volatility kam hone ke sath, yeh risk-tolerant currency zyada attention nahi le payegi. Global sentiment mein short-term fluctuations ke bawajood, koi sustainable trend nahi hai. Volatility ki recovery yen ke liye acha upside potential rakhti hai, magar yeh market sentiment ko deteriorate hone se rok sakti hai due to the continued easing of global monetary policy. Iske baraks, yen US Treasury yields ke trend ko follow kar sakti hai. GBP/JPY Technical Outlook: GBP/JPY London session ke doran pressure mein hai aaj. Girawat ne price ko rising 200-hour moving average 151.546 par push kar diya. Price ne oscillation range 151.50 se 151.59 tak test kiya. Price 151.49 tak gir gayi lekin downward trend ko continue nahi kiya. Currency pair ne past kuch ghanton mein rebound kiya aur ab 100-hour moving average ke upar aur neeche trade kar raha hai. Ek naya high set kiya 152.05 par, jo ke 100-hour moving average 151.925 ke upar hai. Agar buyers zyada control chahte hain, to ab wo levels ko 100-hour moving average ke upar rakhne par focus karenge. Yeh bullish approach risk of the day hai.
GBP/JPY pair ne ek neeche ki correction ka samna kiya tha. Yeh correction tab aayi jab currency pair apni pehle ki rally ke baad thoda weak hua aur neeche aya. Is correction ka low 196.140 - 197.169 ke range mein bana. Yeh range support zone ke tor par kaam kar rahi thi jahan se kharidar ne wapas market mein enter karna shuru kiya.
Is range ke base par, kaafi buyers ne phir se interest show kiya aur buying pressure badh gaya. Jis wajah se currency p air dobara upar jana shuru hua. Neeche ki correction ke baad, jab market ne wapas momentum gain kiya, to yeh ek indication tha ke market phir se bullish

GBP/JPY ke baare mein kal, neechay se upar ja kar local resistance level ko test karne ke baad, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 207.995 par mojood hai, price ne ulat kar aik strong bearish impulse ke saath neeche dhakel diya, jis se poora bearish candle bana jo pichle din ke range ko mukammal tor par engulf kar gaya. Is signal ko dekhte hue, mein yeh puri tarah tasleem karta hoon ke aaj aik choti si northward retracement ke baad, southward movement jaari reh sakti hai. Is surat mein, mein anticipate karta hoon ke price sab se qareebi support level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke aik reversal candle banay aur price ka upar jana dobara shuru ho jaye. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke wapas resistance level jo ke 207.995 par hai par janay ka intizar karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close ho jaye gi, to mein further growth ki umeed karunga, jo ke resistance level jo ke 215.892 par hai tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein aik trading setup banne ka intizar karunga jo ke agle trading direction ka pata lagane mein madad kare ga. Yeh bhi tasleem karta hoon ke price ke designated higher northern target ki taraf janay ke doran, southern retracements ban sakti hain, jinhein mein bullish signals talash karne ke liye use karunga, taake overall bullish trend ke doran growth resume karne ki umeed rakhoon Dusra scenario price movement ka jab support level jo ke 200.539 par hai ke qareeb hoga, yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche close ho jaye aur further southward movement ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karta hoon ke price support level jo ke 197.201 par hai ya support level jo ke 195.044 par hai tak ja sakti hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals talash karte rahunga, umeed karte hue ke price apna upar jana dobara shuru kar de. Mukhtasir taur par, aaj ke liye, mein yeh samajhta hoon ke aik choti si northward retracement ke baad, southward movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai, aur price qareebi support levels ko test karne ke liye ja sakti hai. Wahan se, mojooda overall bullish trend ko dekhte hue,
GBP/JPY ka market coming days mein 205.65 zone ko cross kar jayega. Is ke ilawa, aaj ke market conditions sellers ki resilience aur stability ko highlight karte hain, traders ke liye short-selling strategies execute karne ke liye promising opportunities provide karte hain with precision and confidence. Effective risk management ke emphasize se through stop-loss tools ka strategic use aur technical analysis proficiency ke leverage se traders ki ability enhance hoti hai market complexities ko successfully navigate karne mein. Proactive stance maintain karne aur evolving market dynamics ko adapt karne se, traders apne trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain aur foreign exchange trading ke dynamic aur competitive realm mein consistent profitability achieve kar sakte hain. Ye approach trading acumen ko strengthen karta hai aur ever-changing market landscape ke challenges ko address karne mein resilience foster karta hai. Jab traders ye complexities navigate karte hain, to fundamental analysis aur technical indicators ka leverage pivotal hai strategic advantage maintain karne aur market opportunities par capitalize karne ke liye. Chalen dekhte hain keh GBP/JPY market mein kuch ghanton baad kya hoga.

Market conditions ab tak mubham hain aur kisi compelling ya valid trading signal ka izhaar nahi karti. Price action ne ab tak yeh nahi bataya ke yeh pair agle kuch arsay mein upar ya neeche jane wala hai. Yeh uncertainty kayi factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo market ko influence karte hain, jinmein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur overall market sentiment shamil hain, jo ke current indecisiveness mein contribute karte hain. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke definitive trends ya patterns ka faqdaan hai jo aam tor par potential move ka signal dete hain. Key technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD, mazboot bullish ya bearish signals nahi dikha rahe. Yeh surat-e-haal traders ko clear direction nahi deti, jo ke daily time frame pe trading strategies formulate karna mushkil bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, external factors jaise global economic developments aur political news bhi GBP/JPY jese currency pairs ke market sentiment ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke tor par, UK aur Japan se aane wali economic data releases, jaise ke GDP growth rates, inflation figures, aur employment statistics, market movements ko heavily influence kar sakte hain. Mazeed, geopolitical tensions ya agreements, jaise ke trade deals ya conflicts, bhi forex market mein volatility aur uncertainty paida karne ki potential rakhti hain. Is ambiguity ke context mein, traders ho sakta hai wait-and-see approach adopt karen, aur substantial trades karne se perheiz karein jab tak conclusive signals zahir na hoon. Yeh cautious stance unhein unnecessary risks aur potential losses se bachane mein madadgar ho sakta hai, ek aise market mein jahan direction clearly

GBPJPY pair ki takhliqi tehqeeq 4 ghante ke chart par Jabke traders yen pairs ke levels ka intezar kar rahe hain jahan se yeh urooj ki taraf murna shuru kar sakte hain, toh pair ke qeemat 4 ghante ke chart par ek naye urooj ke maqasid ka izhar karti hai, jo haftawana resistance level 206.64 hai. Is haftay pair ki keemat mazeed barhne wale keemat channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jo keemat ko buland honay mein madad dete hain, aur jab upper channels ki lines tak pohanchti hai, wahan se neechay murnay ke baad ek price peak banati hai, jiska Matlab tha ke keemat ne neechay sudharna shuru karna tha. Lekin keemat ko phir se support mila aur ab isne keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhil ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein May mein anjaane se inflation 0.6% mahine mein barh gaya, jo ke gegual expecte shuda miqdar se zyada tha. Australia mein maheenay ke CPI 3 mahinay se barabar 4.0% salana barh gaya hai
GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna:
Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.
Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko kam interest rates par udhaar lena aur zyada munafa dene wale pound assets mein invest karna shamil hai. Lekin agar interest rate policies ya market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeliyan aa jaayein to yeh risky ho sakti hai.
News Trading: UK aur Japan se aane wale economic news releases GBP/JPY mein tezi se movements paida kar sakti hain. Traders in par focus kar ke economic reports aur central bank meetings ke baray mein mutala kartay hain.
Correlation Analysis: GBP/JPY aksar dusre financial instruments jaise ke stock indices aur commodities ke saath taluqat dikhata hai. In rishton ko samajhna additional trading insights deta hai.

Is mahine Yen Dollar currency ne dobara mazbooti hasil ki hai, jo ke GbpJpy market mein bearish movement ko trigger kar raha hai. Lagta hai ke market mein price decline mahine ke darmiyan se shuru hui thi. Kal raat ko ek downward rally hui, aur technical tor par jo market conditions maine observe ki hain, aisa lagta hai ke market 197.67 zone ke neeche chal rahi hai. Ye surat-e-haal traders ke liye bearish trend par focus karne ka hawala ban sakti hai kyun ke peechle weekend se market ka safar Downtrend side par hai.

Agar hum hafta ke aghaz se travel pattern ko measure karen, to aisa lagta hai ke market bearish rally zone mein chalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ye condition 4-hour time frame mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Agar agla safar 196.64 zone tak dobara niche jaye, to ye shayad haftay ke aakhir tak bearish rahe, hume bas intezar karna hoga ke agar price ko seller se positive response milta hai, to ye bearish continuation ko support karega. Technical monitoring ke mutabiq, Downtrend market pattern lagta hai ke market ke safar ko abhi bhi shadow kar raha hai, is liye price ke safar mein upward correction ki pehli tendency ho sakti hai, pehle dupahar tak jab ke candlestick bara bearish trend ke mutabiq chal rahi ho.

Is waqt market abhi Asian zone mein hai jahan market mein relatively low transaction volatility hai, behtar hoga ke kuch ghanton tak intezar karein taake ek trading decision le sakein. Agla lower price area seller ka target ban sakta hai bearish continuation se. Hafta ke aghaz mein candlestick position neeche gir gayi thi, lagta hai ke ye Downtrend par chalte reh sakti hai. Agar mumkin ho, to GbpJpy ki price aur bhi neeche gir sakti hai taake weekend tak zyada profit hasil kiya ja sake.