جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

UK GDP buyers 200.76 zone cross karne mein madad karegi. Kal UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur buyers ke liye supportive hain. Is wajah se, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/JPY market aaj buyers ke haq mein rahegi. Positive economic indicators ne buyers ka confidence mazboot kiya hai, jo ke unhein 200.67 zone cross karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain.
Market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye humein technical aur fundamental analysis dono par nazar rakhni chahiye. Technical indicators humein price movements aur potential entry aur exit points ke bare mein insights denge, jabke fundamental analysis broader economic context ko samajhne mein madad karegi jo market ko influence kar rahi hai.

Strong GDP figures ke sath, prelim count changes aur average earnings favorable hone ke natije mein GBP/JPY buyers ke liye supportive environment ban gaya hai. Yeh positive momentum aage barhne ki umeed hai, jo buyers ko 200.77 zone cross karne mein madadgar hoga. Traders ko yeh economic reports aur market trends closely monitor karne chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Technical patterns aur fundamental data ke darmiyan interplay market ke next moves ko anticipate karne mein vital hoga.

Summary mein, UK GDP aur doosre positive economic indicators GBP/JPY buyers ko significant boost provide karne ke liye set hain. Market sentiment abhi buyers ke haq mein hai, aur yeh trend unhein 200.76 aur 200.77 zones cross karne mein madadgar hoga. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka balanced view rakhna dynamic market environment mein zaroori hai.

Technical side par, GBP/JPY currency pair 192.80 aur 193.00 ke darmiyan ek purani resistance zone ke kareeb hai. Abhi yeh is range ke andar aur 190.00 level ke thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Daily price action April range tak limited hai, jabke GBP/JPY 194.00 par set hai, jo March ke 9-year high se thoda neeche hai. Clear hai ke decline ke bawajood overall sentiment GBP/JPY ke liye bullish hai. Pair apni 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 184.90 ke upar comfortably trade kar raha hai.

Lekin kuch technical indicator traders skeptical hain. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche hai, jo ke market ko bina trend ke indicate karta hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo correct hai. Stochastic indicator possible upward movement indicate kar raha hai lekin ise strong signal kehne ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai. Agar bullish momentum mazboot hoti hai, GBP/JPY resistance test kar sakta hai July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 par aur shayad uptrend line break kare jo January 2, 2024 par established hui thi.

### Chart Ka Ta'aruf Aur Key Technical Analysis Concepts:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS):**
- Yeh aik aam concept hai jo price direction ke significant change ko indicate karta hai. Chart pe kai points par BOS mark kiye gaye hain, jo yeh dikhate hain ke price action ne naye highs ya lows banaye hain jo pehle ke support ya resistance levels ko tor dete hain.

2. **Change of Character (CH):**
- CH potential reversal ya market sentiment me significant shift ko indicate karta hai. Yeh aam tor par tab pehchana jata hai jab trend direction change karta hai, misal ke tor par downtrend se uptrend ya vice versa.

3. **Supply and Demand Zones:**
- Chart par shaded areas wo zones represent karte hain jahan par kharidari (demand) ya bechne (supply) mein significant level hota hai. Yeh zones aksar price action me reversals ya consolidations ko lead karte hain.

4. **Highs and Lows:**
- Key swing highs aur lows mark kiye gaye hain, jo current trend aur potential reversal points ko determine karne mein critical hain.

### Chart Ka Tafseeli Tajziya:

1. **Initial Structure:**
- Chart aik strong upward movement se shuru hota hai, jo kai resistance levels ko tor kar guzar jata hai, jaise ke BOS annotations se zahir hota hai.
- CH ka aik significant point move ke peak ke qareeb note kiya gaya hai, jo ke downtrend ke start ka potential indication hai.

2. **Subsequent Downtrend:**
- CH ke baad, price neeche ki taraf move karna shuru karta hai, jo ke lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banata hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai.
- Decline ke dauran kai BOS points identify kiye gaye hain, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain.

3. **Consolidation Aur Possible Reversal:**
- Downtrend ke baad, price consolidation phase mein enter karta hai, jo ke identified high aur low ke beech oscillate karta hai bina significant directional movement ke.
- Chart par mark kiya gaya low aik potential support level indicate karta hai, jabke high resistance ko represent karta hai.

4. **Future Projections:**
- Chart ek possible scenario suggest karta hai jahan price demand zone (blue-green highlighted) mein dip kar sakti hai aur phir upwards reverse ho sakti hai.
- Demand zone ke andar aik potential buy signal hai, risk-reward ratio green (profit potential) aur red (risk) shaded areas se mark kiya gaya hai.

5. **Key Levels to Watch:**
- Consolidation range ke andar ka immediate high aur low crucial hain. Agar price high se upar break hoti hai to yeh upward movement ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai, jabke agar low se neeche break hoti hai to yeh further downside ko indicate kar sakta hai.
- Demand zone potential buying opportunities ke liye critical hai. Agar price is area ko reach karta hai, traders reversal ke signs dekhenge long positions enter karne ke liye.

### Trading Strategy Implications:

- **Bullish Scenario:**
- Traders shayad price ka demand zone mein enter hone ka intezar karen aur reversal ke signs (misal ke bullish candlestick patterns ya lower timeframe par BOS) dekhenge pehle long positions enter karne se.
- Target previous highs ya green shaded area ki taraf set hoga, stop-losses demand zone ke neeche place kiye jayenge taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.

Further steps have been taken against the ongoing trend, which weakens the Yen in the foreign exchange market. This comes despite some economic data from the UK. While there's been a slight increase in unemployment claims, robust wage growth has reassured investors. The Bank of Japan's intervention in the market twice recently has increased concerns. Reports of their activities have led to increased spending, which could weaken the Yen. However, these interventions may have varying effects. The GBP/JPY pair has recently touched 197.00 from around 191.50, a significant move. According to analysis by former BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, the central bank may postpone its next interest rate hike until September. This wait-and-see approach could allow them to assess economic data coming in July and August. Additionally, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has emphasized cooperation with the BoJ to monitor and respond to currency trends. Despite these efforts, the GBP/JPY pair is significantly lower than its 16-year high near 200.50, currently ranging between 196.47 and 198.57. The market is still digesting the effects of BoJ interventions, possibly influenced by the departure of the US Federal Reserve. Continuous pressure on the Yen may be expected from further interventions by Japanese authorities. Technical indicators hint at new changes. While the Average Directional Index (ADX) signals the end of recent uptrend, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral. However, the Stochastic indicator shows rapid declines, suggesting a bearish outlook for the Yen if it continues towards the midpoint. push kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh Bank of Japan ko majboor kar chuka hai market mein do martaba intervene karne par late April mein Yen ko weak karne ke liye. Bank of Japan ab bhi ek wildcard factor hai. Jab US markets May 27th ko band hain, ek window of opportunity mojood hai ek aur intervention ke liye agar Bank isay zaroori samjhe Yen ki weakness ko curb karne ke liye. Potential headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ko favor karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) apne highest level tak pahunch gaya hai March-June 2023 rally ke baad, jo ek strong directional movement signify karta hai. Aise hi, Stochastic indicator dobara overbought zone mein hai, current bullish momentum ko reinforce karte hue. Lekin, RSI ka qareebi jaiza ek potential chink dikhata hai bullish armor mein. Indicator higher highs banane mein nakam lagta hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ko suggest karta hai. Agar bulls ko control maintain karna hai, toh unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur aakhir kaar April 29th ka high 200.50 ko retest karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful break hota hai, toh yeh Japanese authorities ke taraf se ek aur intervention ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential losses ko lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein engaged hain. Aane wale din yeh determine karne mein crucial honge ke pair ki direction kya hogi aur kya uptrend apni momentum ko maintain kar sakta hai

GBP/JPY H4 Analysis

Economic Overview


UK GDP figures expected hain jo GBP/JPY currency pair ko support de sakti hain, aur yeh shayad 200.76 zone se upar chaley jaye. Haal hi mein UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi expectations se behtar aaye hain, jo buyers ke liye aur support provide karte hain. Maujooda economic environment, jismein mazboot GDP figures aur positive prelim count changes hain, GBP/JPY buyers ke liye favourable hain. Yeh positive momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers apni strength ko barqarar rakhenge, aur shayad kareebi future mein 200.77 zone ko cross kar jayein.
Technical Analysis


Current Market Position:

• GBP/JPY pair aik critical resistance zone ke qareeb hai 200.76 ke aas-paas.
• Yeh apni 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se upar trade kar raha hai 184.90 par, jo aik long-term bullish trend ko indicate karta hai.
• Daily price action April range mein hai, pair set hai 194.00 par, jo ke March ke 9-year high se thoda neeche hai.

Key Indicators:

• Average Directional Index (ADX): 25 se neeche hai, jo market mein strong trend ka indication nahi de raha.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): 50 ke aas-paas hai, jo neutral market stance ko suggest karta hai.
• Stochastic Indicator: Possible upward movement dikhata hai, lekin strong bullish signal ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai.

Support and Resistance Levels:

• Support: Key support 190.00 level ke aas-paas hai, aur 200-day EMA se additional support 184.90 par hai.
• Resistance: Immediate resistance 200.76 par hai, aur shayad July 21, 2005 low 192.57 ko test kar sakta hai.

Trading Strategy


Buyers’ Outlook:

• Positive economic indicators ko dekhte hue, market sentiment buyers ke favor mein hai. Mazboot GDP figures aur favorable prelim count changes ka matlab hai ke GBP/JPY buyers ko support milta rahega.
• Agar bullish momentum mazboot hota hai, toh GBP/JPY 200.76 resistance ko test kar sakta hai aur shayad is level se upar bhi chala jaye, 200.77 aur uske aage.

Technical aur Fundamental Balance:

• Traders ko dono technical patterns aur fundamental data ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Technical indicators price movements aur potential entry aur exit points ke bare mein insights denge, jabke fundamental analysis broader economic context ko samajhne mein madad karega jo market ko influence karta hai.
• Technical aur fundamental analysis ka balanced view rakhna dynamic market environment ko effectively navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

Conclusion


Maujooda market environment GBP/JPY buyers ke liye favorable hai, jahan strong UK economic data significant support provide kar raha hai. Technical indicators suggest karte hain ke cautious approach zaroori hai, lekin overall sentiment bullish hai. Traders ko key resistance levels aur economic reports ko closely dekhna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Technical patterns aur fundamental data ka interplay market ke next moves ko anticipate karne mein crucial hoga aur successful trading strategies ko ensure karne mein madadgar hoga.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Strength and Bearish Trend Dynamic
Japanese Yen ke liye agla raasta mazboot nazar aa raha hai, jo GBP/JPY currency pair par dabaav daal raha hai aur iski harkat ko neeche ki taraf le jaa raha hai. Ye manzar thoda ghair mamooli hai kyun ke aam tor par kafi girawat ke baad, qeemat upar ki taraf hi jaari rehti hai. Magar abhi ke liye qeemat ka movement neeche ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo ke jari bearish trend ke mutabiq hai. Upward movement 199.91 ke high par rok gayi thi aur 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke dynamic resistance ki wajah se aur zyada rukawat pesh ayi. Downward movements trendline ka ihtram karti hain, aur musalsal neeche ki taraf jaati rehti hain. Agar qeemat do Moving Averages ke neeche rehti hai to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo 197.80 - 197.62 ke demand area tak ja sakti hai. Agar qeemat 200-day SMA aur trendline ke upar chali jaati hai to qeemat ki direction ka projection tabdeel ho sakta hai.



Haal hi ke observations mein, Japanese Yen ne mazbooti aur taqat dikhayi hai, jo ke GBP/JPY pair par kafi asar andaz hui hai. Pair ke upward attempts ko mukhtalif mukamaat par resistance ka samna karna pada, khaaskar 199.91 level par, jahan qeemat ne 200-day SMA se aham mukamat par rukawat ka samna kiya. Ye SMA ek dynamic resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke aksar traders ke liye mukhtalif reversals ya jari trends ke liye ek critical point hota hai. Trendline ka ihtram karte hue price movements market mein ek musalsal bearish sentiment ka izhar karti hain. Har dafa jab qeemat upar jane ki koshish karti hai, to ye wapas neeche ki taraf dhakel di jati hai, overarching downward trend ka ihtram karte hue.

GBP/JPY currency pair par ek special analysis add karne ki ijazat chahte hain, uncle. Jaisa ke hum sab jaante hain, is waqt Japanese Yen kaafi kamzor hai, isliye agar opposing currency thoda bhi strong hota hai toh GBP/JPY pair tezi se strong ho jata hai. Aaj subah GBP/JPY pair ne apne lowest level se 90 pips ka move kiya hai, magar kyunke GBP currency ki halat filhaal theek nahi hai, lagta hai ke yeh increase sirf ek correction hai towards aur bhi lower price. Main estimate karta hoon ke price pehle SBR level 191.50 tak upar jaayega, is price area par hum sell kar sakte hain aur Friday ke lowest price par profit le sakte hain. Pehle, main yeh manta tha ke high impact news market ko affect nahi karti aur technical analysis par zyada focus karta tha. Lekin jabse main macroeconomics study kar raha hoon, mujhe pata chala ke high impact news ka role bohot bara hota hai. Isi liye maine fundamental analysis ka portion barha diya hai. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, UK aur Japan se release hone wali data par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Lekin galat mat samajhna, important news releases from the United States bhi GBP/JPY pair ko volatile bana sakti hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ka naya pressure hai jinhone subah se prices ko bullish push kiya hai.
Lagta hai ke Middle East mein tension barhne ka darr market players ko Japanese Yen dump karne aur Pound Sterling khareedne par majboor kar raha hai. Main bhi hairan hoon kyunke pichle kuch saalon mein Yen safe haven currency nahi raha jaisa ke aksar observers kehte hain.

Mera aaj ka plan GBP/JPY pair ke liye zyada tar SELL position ke liye hai. Problem yeh hai ke mujhe abhi bhi shak hai ke GBP/JPY aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai aur 192.99 ke
new higher high ko form kar sakta hai. Timing ke mamle mein, main price ko monitor karunga jab tak ke yeh Bollinger band ke upper line ko touch na kare. Phir main yeh ensure karunga ke latest candlestick pichle high level se zyada high form na kar sake. Agar yeh do scenarios form ho jaate hain, toh mujhe SELL action suggest karta hai ke buyers abhi market sentiment par dominate kar rahe hain, aur GBP-JPY pair ki value ko higher drive kar rahe hain. Is upward movement ke peechay kai factors ho sakte hain, jinmein favorable economic data, geopolitical stability, ya market sentiment ka British pound ko Japanese yen par favor karna shamil hai.
In observations ke madde nazar, aaj ke trading session mein buy order initiate karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Buy order place karke, aap GBP-JPY pair ke potential upward movement se capitalize kar sakte hain aur shayad ek profitable trade secure kar sakte hain. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke aap ehtiyaat baratain aur kisi bhi trade ko execute karne se pehle thorough analysis karain. Halankeh current upward trend promising lagta hai, market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain, aur unforeseen events GBP-JPY pair ke direction ko affect kar sakte.

/JPY currency pair pe dhyan diye jaane wale traders ke liye H1 (ghante ke) time frame par, din bhar ke kharidariyon ke liye ek maqsood manfiyat ka tajwez hai. Ek qabil-e-amal strategy yeh hai ke aham sahara darjaton par kharidari ke mouke dekha jaye. Is maqam mein, pehla sahara darja jo ghor kiya jana chahiye, 156.200 par hai. Yeh darja aksar keemat ke liye ek mazboot sahara ka kaam karta hai, jahan peechle neeche ki harkatain qadeem tareen tor par sahara milti hain aur baad mein ooper chalang lagati hai. Dusra sahara darja jo nazar rakha jaye, 156.340 par hai. Yeh darja thora ooncha hai aur keemat ko stabilize karne ke liye ek ahem zone faraham karta hai jahan qeemat ko ooper chalne se pehle mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aksar aise sahara darjaton ko kharidariyon ke dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar banate hain, keemat mein ulte ko ya phir qeemat mein phir se ooper jaane ki umeed par daav lagate hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91 rewrite in roman urdu

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91 rewrite in roman urdu

currency pair pe dhyan diye jaane wale traders ke liye H1 (ghante ke) time frame par, din bhar ke kharidariyon ke liye ek maqsood manfiyat ka tajwez hai. Ek qabil-e-amal strategy yeh hai ke aham sahara darjaton par kharidari ke mouke dekha jaye. Is maqam mein, pehla sahara darja jo ghor kiya jana chahiye, 156.200 par hai. Yeh darja aksar keemat ke liye ek mazboot sahara ka kaam karta hai, jahan peechle neeche ki harkatain qadeem tareen tor par sahara milti hain aur baad mein ooper chalang lagati hai. Dusra sahara darja jo nazar rakha jaye, 156.340 par hai. Yeh darja thora ooncha hai aur keemat ko stabilize karne ke liye ek ahem zone faraham karta hai jahan qeemat ko ooper chalne se pehle mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aksar aise sahara darjaton ko kharidariyon ke dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar banate hain, keemat mein ulte ko ya phir qeemat mein phir se ooper jaane ki umeed par daav lagate hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain

#2366 Collapse Overseas trader
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Overseas trader
تاریخِ شمولیت: May 2024
پوسٹس: 226
پسندیدہ پوسٹس 10
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ادائیگی شدہ 15 USD
GBP/JPY currency pair mein ahem qeemat ke harkat nazar aa rahi hai jise traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hain. Mojooda resistance level GBP/JPY ke liye qareeb 155.50 ke qareeb tajziya kiya gaya hai, yeh qeemat ne tareekhi tor par aala darja ka rukawat darja kiya hai jo mazeed bulandi ki raah ko rokta hai. Muharika, support level qareeb 153.00 ke aas paas hai, jahan khareedne ki dilchaspi barhne ke liye ek manzil hai, jo keemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 ke aas paas hai, jo ek be-ja stance ko zahir karta hai, khaas tor par na zyada khareedi hui aur na hi zyada farokht hui. Yeh ishara deta hai ke dono taraf ke mazeed qeemat ke liye jaga ho sakti hai. Zigzag indicator, jo shor sharaba ko filter kar ke qeemat ke trend ko pehchane mein madad deta hai, dikhata hai ke haal hi ke trend mein zyada tar bull aur kabhi kabhar thori wapasiyan dekhne ko milti hain. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), khaas tor par 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover mein mojood hain, jo ke mazeed bulandi ki surat mein munasib hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger Bands ab mazeed phail rahe hain, jo ke zyada halchal ko dikhate hain, jahan qeemat upper band ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, yeh potential overbought conditions ko zahir karta hai. Demand Index, jo volume aur qeemat ko mila kar khareedne aur farokht ke dabao ko zahir karta hai, musbat readings dikhata hai, jo mojooda bullish jazba ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator, ek aur momentum indicator, overbought ilaqa mein hai, khaas kar ke 80 ke aas paas, jo ishara deta hai ke pair short-term correction ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Average True Range (ATR), jo market ki halchal ko napta hai, moderate had tak hai, jo mojooda buland market activity aur mazeed qeemat ke jhatke ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Yeh tajziya pur-asar technical analysis hai jo dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY market mein mazboot resistance ke muqable mein hai mojooda darje par lekin barish ke liye mazboot support bhi hai jo kisi bhi shadeed giravat ko rokne mein madad karta hai. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhne aur tajarbat ki roshni mein trading

GBP/JPY ne bara damaka kiya hai, buyers ke liye chaudeen mazid kamyab sessions ikattha kar ke. Ye bullish surge naye saal ki ek nayi unchi darwaza khol chuki hai, lekin hosheyar raat ka intezar hai. Jabke overall trend khushgawar hai, lekin momentum seemit hone lag raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jise overbought conditions ka paaimaana kaha jata hai, extreme highs tak pohanchne ke baad thanda hone laga hai. Ye ek moghe ki wapas aane ki ishaaraat hai, jo ke pehle se hi shuru ho chuki hai jab pair nafsiyati ahem level 200.00 ke neeche gir raha hai. Takneeki ishaaray ek mix tasveer pesh karte hain. Agar GBP/JPY Kijun-Sen support level 199.03 ke neeche gir jata hai, to ye mazeed girawat ko mufeed kar sakta hai jo ke Senkou Span A se mazmoon hai 197.54 ke sath. Ek naye faisle ka signal dene ke liye 197.00 ke ahem level ke neeche girna, jo ke

turning point (Tenkan-Sen) 196.05 ke sath milta hai. Lekin, baazigar abhi tak jung se bahar nahi gaye hain. 200.00 ke oopar laut aana kharidne ki dabav ko dubara bhadak sakti hai, shayad pair ko saal ke high 200.74 ki dobara imtehaan dena ke taraf le ja sakta hai. Ye level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh Bank of Japan ko baaziyon mein do dafa muddat mein intervene karne pe majboor kiya tha Yen ko kamzor karne ke liye Aaj mujhe 4 ghanton ka waqt dene ka iraada hai, kyun ke kuch takneeki point hain jo mujhe dilchaspi se hai, jese ke woh point jahan baazigar pehle ke level tak pohanchte hain, jaise ke main tasavur karta hoon, ek mukammal u-turn se pehle. Chart pe, keemat 1/1 angle ke neeche hai, jo ke mere khayal mein, baazigar pohanch sakte thay. Haalanki haal hi mein, u-turn ki isharon ki pehli pehli aag hai, lekin, jese ke hum chhote arse dekh rahe hain, mujhe lagta hai ke baazigar aakhri shumali impulse banana chahte hain. Agar humein 198.67 ke support ka tootna milta hai, to girawat jaari rahegi. Aaj humein 200.60 ke range ko toorna sahoolat hai, jahan resistance hai, aur agar hum ise barqarar karte hain, to ye kharidne ka signal hoga. Shayad humein 200.80 ke range ka jhoota tootna mile, phir iske baad rate gira. 200.80 ke range mein rukavat hai, phir giraawat jaari rahegi. Humare paas khareedne wale ki taqat se strong dabaav hai, aur 200.75 ke range ke upar rate ko mazmoon kiya jata hai, is liye behtar hai ke khareedne ka faisla karen. Agar humein 198.75 ke range ko toorna aur ise barqarar karna milti hai, to ye bechnay ka signal hoga. Jab aap 200.75 ke range ko toorna kamyaab hote hain, to izaafa jaari rahega aur aap khareed sakte hain. Agar humein 200.70 ke range ko toorna aur ise barqarar karna milti hai, to izaafa jaari rahega. GBP/JPY ke exchange rate ka girna haal hi ki correction ke baad jaari rahe sakta hai. Main 198.65 ke tootne ke baad bechnay ke liye tayar hoon

mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo


sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko

• USD

Maa baar ke resistance 200.530 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Do hafton se yeh resistance ki taraf rally kar rahi hai. Filhal, position ko daily aur D1 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic support mil raha hai. Agar position RBS area 198.184 par barqarar rahe aur SBR area 198.441 ko cross kar jaye, toh buy option ke liye momentum ko taiyar kiya ja sakta hai. SBR area 199.234 par target dekha ja sakta hai. Agar SBR area ko overcome karne mein nakam hota hai, toh SMA5 dynamic support ke taraf push ho sakta hai. Yeh weekly period mein 196.070 ke price range mein hai, jo H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke around hai. Agar resistance ke around reject hone ki confirmation mil jaye aur reversal signs show kare, toh sell option ke liye momentum taiyar kiya ja sakta hai. Kharidar abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin market conditions overbought ke signs dikhate hain. Agar prices is situation ka response karein, toh decline ho sakta hai. Bullish trend daily time frame par padha ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Aaj koi bade movements dekhne ko nahi mile. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke around hain jo is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se bhi door nahi gaye. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehne aur Friday ke high ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh strengthening target daily resistance 198.88 se 201.07 tak ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, toh EMA 12 line correction ka target ban sakti hai.Overnight interest rate swaps generally suggest karte hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates raise karega current zero se 0.2% to 0.1% by the end of the year. Rising bond yields ka prospect domestic investors ke liye attractive ho sakta hai jo higher returns overseas dekh rahe hain. Japanese government bond trading volumes bhi upward trend mein hain, jo ek aur sign hai ke previously troubled debt market recover ho raha hai.Aaj ka GBP/JPY forecast:Overall trend GBP/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai, yeh dekhte hue ke ek break above the resistance at 192.80 technical indicators ko seriously overbought levels ki taraf le jaayega, including ke start of selling off the pair from the highs. Jab Japan market mein intervene karega, selling strong aur violent hogi, aur overall trend ko quickly bearish trend mein change karegi. Is trend ka first breakout below the psychological levels of 190.00 aur 188.00 respectively hoga.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein ahem qeemat ke harkat nazar aa rahi hai jise traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hain. Mojooda resistance level GBP/JPY ke liye qareeb 155.50 ke qareeb tajziya kiya gaya hai, yeh qeemat ne tareekhi tor par aala darja ka rukawat darja kiya hai jo mazeed bulandi ki raah ko rokta hai. Muharika, support level qareeb 153.00 ke aas paas hai, jahan khareedne ki dilchaspi barhne ke liye ek manzil hai, jo keemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 ke aas paas hai, jo ek be-ja stance ko zahir karta hai, khaas tor par na zyada khareedi hui aur na hi zyada farokht hui. Yeh ishara deta hai ke dono taraf ke mazeed qeemat ke liye jaga ho sakti hai. Zigzag indicator, jo shor sharaba ko filter kar ke qeemat ke trend ko pehchane


mein madad deta hai, dikhata hai ke haal hi ke trend mein zyada tar bull aur kabhi kabhar thori wapasiyan dekhne ko milti hain. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), khaas tor par 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover mein mojood hain, jo ke mazeed bulandi ki surat mein munasib hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger Bands ab mazeed phail rahe hain, jo ke zyada halchal ko dikhate hain, jahan qeemat upper band ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, yeh potential overbought conditions ko zahir karta hai. Demand Index, jo volume aur qeemat ko mila kar khareedne aur farokht ke dabao ko zahir karta hai, musbat readings dikhata hai, jo mojooda bullish jazba ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator, ek aur momentum indicator, overbought ilaqa mein hai, khaas kar ke 80 ke aas paas, jo ishara deta hai ke pair short-term correction ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Average True Range (ATR), jo market ki halchal ko napta hai, moderate had tak hai, jo mojooda buland market activity aur mazeed qeemat ke jhatke ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Yeh tajziya pur-asar technical analysis hai jo dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY market mein mazboot resistance ke muqable mein hai mojooda darje par lekin barish ke liye mazboot support bhi hai jo kisi bhi shadeed giravat ko rokne mein madad karta hai. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhne aur tajarbat ki roshni mein trading