جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY kay baray mein kal, thori si peechli taraf khenchne ke baad, qeemat ne palat kar jari rehti ghoriyon se agay barhna shuru kiya, jo ek poori bullish mombatti ki shakal mein mukammal ho gayi aur aasani se peechlay din ke unchi par band hui. Mojooda tayyar mein di gayi setup ke mutabiq, mein poori ummid rakhta hoon ke aaj bhi uttar ki taraf movement jari rahegi. Jaise pehle zikr kiya gaya hai, mein iradah karta hoon ke resistance level par tawajjo dene ki taraf, jo mere tajziye ke mutabiq 279.95 par mojood hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir ho sakte hain. Sab se aham manzar mein, qeemat is level ke ooper mazbooti se mazboot hone aur mazeed uttar ki taraf movement ki taraf rahegi. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab ho gaya to mein qeemat ko 215.892 ke resistance level ki taraf le jane ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga, jo aglay trading rukh ka tayun karne mein madad dega. Is ke alawa, mazeed door ki uttari manazir bhi ho sakte hain, lekin mein is waqt is ke liye tawajjo nahi de raha hoon kyun ke mujhe is ke amli imkaanat nazar nahi aati.
Agar resistance level 207.995 par dobara test ho jaye, to qeemat ke manzoori candle ke banne aur phir southern movement ki taraf phir se jari hone ke ek plan par gaur karenge. Agar yeh mansoobah amli ho gaya to mein qeemat ka intezar karunga ke woh support level ki taraf laute, jo mere tajziye ke mutabiq 200.539 par mojood hai, ya phir 197.201 ke support level ki taraf. In support levels ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, uttar ki taraf movement ke dobara shuru hone ki umeed se.

Aam tor par, agar hum chote alfaz mein baat karen, mein poori ummid rakhta hoon ke aaj qeemat uttar ki taraf dabao jari rakhegi, aur nazdeek ke resistance level ko test kiya jayega. Wahan se, mein bazaar ki halaat ka jaiza lene aur us ke mutabiq amal karne ka faisla karunga. Taaziya ke hawale se, dollar ke baray mein mazboot bunyadi khabar hai aaj, aur dekhein ge ke yeh instrument is par kaise react karta hai.GBP/JPY ke baray mein kal, thodi si peeche hatne ke baad, qeemat ne wapas se aage barhna shuru kiya, jo ek poori bullish candle ki shakal mein mukammal hui aur aasani se peechlay din ke high par band hui. Mojooda setup ke mutabiq, mein poori ummid karta hoon ke aaj bhi price upar ki taraf movement jari rakhegi. Jaise pehle zikr kiya gaya hai, mein resistance level 279.95 par focus karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh ke agar qeemat is level ke ooper mazboot ho gayi aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement jari rahi, to mein 215.892 ke resistance level tak qeemat ko le jane ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga jo aglay trading rukh ka tayun karne mein madad dega.

Dusra scenario yeh ke agar qeemat 207.995 par dobara test hui aur phir se southern movement shuru ho gayi, to mein qeemat ke 200.539 ke support level ya 197.201 ke support level tak wapas aane ka intezar karunga. In support levels ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, upar ki taraf movement ke dobara shuru hone ki umeed se.

Aam tor par, agar hum chote alfaz mein baat karen, mein poori ummid rakhta hoon ke aaj qeemat upar ki taraf dabao jari rakhegi, aur nazdeek ke resistance level ko test kiya jayega. Wahan se, mein bazaar ki halaat ka jaiza lene aur us ke mutabiq amal karne ka faisla karunga. Taaziya ke hawale se, dollar ke baray mein mazboot bunyadi khabar hai aaj, aur dekhein ge ke yeh instrument is par kaise react karta hai.

M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:
GBPJPY currency pair ke liye, mein ne yeh haalat dekhi hai: M15 chart par linear regression channel ooper ki taraf jhuka hua hai, is se saaf hota hai ke market mein khareedne wale zyada taqatwar hain. Khareedne wale ki harkat se zameen mili hai ke nichle hadood se (202.172) kharidari ka moqa bana hai. Aagey, mujhe umeed hai ke market 202.890 level tak chadhega, us ke baad aik correction ana chaiye ga. Is correction mein neechle hadood se khareedari ka imkan banta hai, aur agar woh tor jaye, toh mazeed girne ka silsila shuru ho jaye ga jisme khareedari cancel ho jati hai. Upar di gayi hadood (202.890) se farokht honi chahiye, aap yahan dakhil ho sakte hain. Mere liye ahem hai ke jahan se bhi ho sake, neechle hadood ke qareeb se dakhil hona.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

H1 ki unchi time par nazar daalne par, mein dekhta hoon ke linear regression channel ooper ki taraf muntaqil hai. Mere liye M15 se zyada ahem hai. Is ka matlab hai ke bailon ki taqat zyada hai. M15 channel ki soorat haal kharidari ka signal deta hai, jo mere khareedne ki ichha ko barhata hai. Bas, aap ko sahi jagah par keemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidne ki koshish karni hai. Halat mein jahan se mein kharidari ki taraf dekh raha hoon, woh neechle hadood (201.809) se hai. Wahan se mein dobara kharidari karne ki koshish karta hoon takay 202.800 tak chala jaye. Maqsood pura hote hi agle umeed hai ke 202.800 se correction hoga, kyun ke bailon ki movement ho rahi hai. Agay chal ke bail apni movement ko dubara barqarar karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 201.809 dakhil darja neechay jaaye, toh yeh bearish dilchaspi ka nishan hai. Is halat mein, kharidari ki taraf rujhan ko dobara dekhna aur market ki soorat e haal ko dobara tashreef se dekhna zaroori ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair apni jagah pe bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan ek sakht muqablay mein hai. Filhal, prices four-hour chart pe dikhayi dene wali well-defined trading range ke midpoint ke qareeb hain. Yeh position market environment mein mojood indecision ko achi tarah se bayan karti hai
GBP/JPY ke current trading dynamics mein, market participants ek wazeh consensus ke baghair mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. Yeh uncertainty price action mein bar clearly dikhayi deti hai, jahan bulls aur bears dono me se koi bhi wazeh tor pe faida nahi utha sakay hain. Aise halat aksar market sentiment ke evenly balanced hone ki phase ko dikhate hain, jahan traders apni positions ko prevailing market conditions ke muqablay mein ehtiyat se evaluate karte hain
Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to GBP/JPY prices ka established trading range ke midpoint ke qareeb hone ka khaas maqam hai. Yeh area aksar pivotal juncture ke tor pe kaam karta hai, jahan market participants price movements ko closely monitor karte hain potential shifts in momentum ke liye. Jab prices is area mein hover karte hain, to market ki indecisiveness hesitant trading patterns aur fluctuating price levels ki soorat mein zahir hoti hai
In developments ke roshni mein, traders ko ehtiyat baratne aur apni market assessments mein hooshiyar rehne ki hidayat di jati hai. GBP/JPY mein mojood current indecision yeh suggest karta hai ke market sentiment bullish ya bearish forces mein se kisi ke bhi haq mein jald tilt ho sakta hai, depending on emerging catalysts ya economic data releases. Is se key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karne ki ahmiyat bhi samajh aati hai, kyunki yeh potential breakout ya reversal points ke valuable insights de sakte hain
Iske ilawa, broader market context bhi consider karna chahiye, jo factors jaise ke geopolitical developments, economic indicators, aur central bank policies ko encompass karta hai. Yeh external influences currency pair movements pe significant impact daal sakte hain, jo GBP/JPY mein mojood indecision ko ya to barha sakte hain ya kam kar sakte hain
Jab traders is period of market indecision ko navigate kar rahe hain, to strategic approaches jaise ke range-bound trading strategies ko use karna ya clearer signals ka intezar karna prudent sabit ho sakta hai. Discipline maintain karke aur evolving market dynamics pe nazar rakhtay huay, traders potential opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye apni positions ko advantageous tor pe rakh sakte hain GBP/JPY currency pair mein

TRADING UPDATES GBP/JPY

GBPJPY currency pair ke price movements ke tajziya ko daily timeframe par dekhte hue, yeh haqeeqat mein hua hai ke kuch currencies jo yen ke saath pair hain, jahan pichle haftay ke trading session mein zyada tar trending movement hua tha ek range ke andar. Jaise ke market bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, yeh situation pichle kuch hafton ki trend ki continuation hai jisme ek kaafi lamba bullish candlestick ban kar upar ki taraf move kiya tha. Pichle haftay, candlestick ka shape upar ki taraf point kar raha tha aur opening price se zyada price par closing hui thi. Yeh haalat nazar mein aati hai ke price ke liye ek mauqa hai jo is haftay bhi phir se upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Aaj subah market 201.99 price level par start hua tha aur abhi price 201.86 level ke qareeb move kar raha hai.

Tajziya ko support karne ke liye, maine kuch indicators ke signals ko dekhne ki koshish ki. Aap dekh sakte hain ke Relative Strength Index (14) indicator pehle level 50 ke qareeb move kar raha tha, lekin ab iske upar move kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot bullish trend ko darshata hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) par dikhai deta hai ke histogram bar ka position zero level ke upar reh raha hai aur uska size zyada lamba nahi hai, yellow signal line apne direction mein chal rahi hai. Isi waqt Simple Moving Average line bhi upar ki taraf lean kar rahi hai. Technical indicators ke parhne ke natije mein, zyadatar signals market ko ek bullish trend ki taraf move hone ki taraf ishara dete hain.

Nateeja:

Daily aur H4 timeframes par ki gayi analysis ke natije mein sab indicators market ki ek hi direction ko point kar rahe hain. Indicators abhi bhi yeh predict kar rahe hain ke market trend bullish direction mein jaari rahega. Lekin kyunki hafte ki shuruat thi aur market abhi busy nahi tha, maine faisla kiya ke thoda sa ruk jaoon aur market ke developments ko sirf dekhoon tak ke kal shaam tak ek sahi trading signal mil sake.

Agar candlestick ka direction upar move karta hai aur 202.00 price level ko touch karta hai, to yeh ek achha mauqa hai ke BUY trading transaction kiya ja sake, jiske bullish target ko 202.40 level par estimate kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin agar candlestick baad mein neechay correction karta hai, to phir BUY trading ke liye ek behtareen mauqa hoga kam se kam jab candlestick 201.50 price level ke range tak giray.

Analysis of GBP/JPY Pair Price Movement

GBP/JPY pair ne D1 chart par significant bullish momentum dikhayi hai. Pichle high 200.62 se breakout ke baad, pair ne apni corrections mukammal kar li hain aur ab bullish candles bana raha hai, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Chart ki gehrai se analysis karne par maloom hota hai ke price movement 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) se support ho rahi hai. Ye SMAs bullish trends ko confirm karne ke liye crucial indicators hain, aur unki maujooda positioning buy signal ko mazid mazbooti deti hai. 50 SMA 100 SMA ke upar hai, jo ek classic indicator hai bullish trend ka, aur ye reinforce karta hai ke pair mazid gains ke liye poised hai.

SMAs ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14-period setting ke sath bhi bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Jab RSI chart par apply kiya jaye, to ye wazeh hota hai ke indicator buy signal ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI na sirf neutral 50 level se upar hai balki upwards trend kar raha hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke buying momentum abhi bhi strong hai aur price ke pass upar move karne ki jagah hai pehle ke overbought conditions tak pohanchne se pehle.

Meri personal analysis ke mutabiq, ye wazeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair ne apne pichle high se breakout kar liya hai aur ab mazid gains ke liye tayar hai. Pair ka agla target, mojooda bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, long term mein 201.50 level ho sakta hai. Ye target price action, technical indicators, aur overall market sentiment se derived hai jo upward trend ke continuation ko favor karta hai. Conclusion mein, GBP/JPY pair ek strong buy opportunity present karta hai based on the breakout from 200.62 level, supported by bullish signals from both SMAs and RSI. Traders ko ye analysis madadgar ho sakti hai apni trading decisions banate waqt, dhyan mein rakhte hue ke pair ke pass potential hai 201.50 level tak pohanchne ka long term mein.

Analyzing Today's GBP/JPY Exchange Rate
GBP/JPY currency pair ne aaj apna upward trend jaari rakha, jahan buyers control mein rahe. Ek chhote se pullback ke baad jo daily chart par recent trading range ke upper limit ko test kiya gaya, buyers ne phir se market mein tezi se daakhil ho kar prices ko ooncha kiya. Is harkat ne ek naya daily high bhi qaaim kiya. Lekin ek cautious note samne aa raha hai. Daily chart ab is recent price surge ke top par "Hangman" candlestick pattern dikhata hai. Yeh candlestick formation aksar thodi rukawat aur price reversal ki mumkinat ko zahir karta hai. Agar price chart par neelay moving average ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh ek potential rollback ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is manzar mein, kuch traders "short" positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain, jin ka maqsad mojood trading range ke neeche qareeb 198.50 ke aas paas price mein giravat se faida uthana ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price neelay moving average ke oopar qaim reh sakta hai, to upward trend bina kisi significant correction ke jari rahega, ya shayad sirf ek chhota pullback ke saath.

Nazariya mein, kuch traders 201.898 support level ke qareeb buy orders place kar sakte hain. Is strategy ke piche ki wajah yeh hai ke agar price 201.79 ke neeche gir jaye, to USD/CAD pair ke liye Envelopes naam ki aik tool istemal kar ke technical trading pattern similar to "sell signal" create ho sakta hai. Is se buyers ko GBP/JPY market mein us support level par daakhil hone ke liye jazbaat ho sakta hai. Lekin, is qisam ke historical high levels par GBP/JPY khareedne mein kuch logon mein ihtiyat ka ehsaas hai. Jabke kuch traders dips par khareedne ka tajarba consider karte hain, lekin mojooda price level aisi strategy ko kuch had tak risky bana deta hai.

Yahan tak ke masail dilchasp ho sakte hain: Bechna jald hi aik zayada mawafiq tajarba hosakti hai. Agar price aaj 201.79 ke neeche gir jaye, aur aik hourly ya behtar tor par chaar ghanton ke chart par close confirm ho, to us level se neeche se "short" selling karna bohat saari traders ke liye bohat mawafiq option ban sakta hai. Aam tor par, GBP/JPY market ek crossroads par hai. Jabke bulls ab bhi control mein hain, ek potential reversal nazdeek hai. Aane wali ghanton aur dinon mein price action is currency pair ke aglay qadam ko tay karne mein ahem ho ga.

Aaj GBP/JPY currency pair apni upward trend ko barqarar rakha hua hai, aur buyers market par control mein hain. Ek choti si pullback hui jo daily chart par recent trading range ke upper limit ko test kar rahi thi, lekin phir buyers wapas market mein aa gaye aur prices ko upar push kar diya. Is move ne naya daily high establish kiya. Magar, ek note of caution ab samne aa raha hai. Daily chart par ab "Hangman" candlestick pattern dikh raha hai, jo ke aksar hesitation aur price reversal ka ishara hota hai. Agar price blue moving average ke neeche gir jati hai, toh yeh potential rollback ka signal ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, kuch traders "short" positions enter kar sakte hain, aiming to profit from a price decline back towards current trading range ka lower border, jo ke 198.50 ke aas paas hai. Dusri taraf, agar price blue moving average ke upar reh sakti hai, toh upward trend bina kisi significant correction ke jaari reh sakta hai, ya phir sirf ek minor pullback ke saath.

Teorhi tor par, kuch traders 201.898 support level ke kareeb buy orders place kar rahe hain. Is strategy ka rationale yeh hai ke agar price 201.79 ke neeche girti hai, toh ek technical trading pattern create ho sakta hai jo ke "sell signal" se milta julta hai USD/CAD pair ke liye, using a tool called Envelopes. Yeh buyers ko entice kar sakta hai ke woh GBP/JPY market mein is support level par jump karen. Magar, is time par historically high levels par GBP/JPY ko buy karne mein ek sense of caution bhi hai. Jab ke kuch traders dips par buying consider kar rahe hain, current price level par aisi strategy thodi risky lagti hai. Yahan cheezein interesting ho jati hain: selling shayad agle kuch waqt mein zyada relevant strategy ban jaye. Agar price aaj 201.79 ke neeche girti hai aur ek confirmed close hoti hai hourly ya, behtar yeh hai ke four-hourly chart par, toh 201.79 ke neeche se "short" sell karna bohot se traders ke liye attractive option ban sakta hai. Overall, GBP/JPY market ek crossroads par hai. Jab ke bulls ab tak charge mein hain, ek potential reversal bhi nazar aa raha hai. Agle kuch ghante aur dinon mein price action bohot crucial hoga is currency pair ke next move ko determine karne ke liye.

Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests t



hat investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure whi

GBP/JPY pair has recently touched 197.00 from around 191.50, a significant move. According to analysis by former BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, the central bank may postpone its next interest rate hike until September. This wait-and-see approach could allow them to assess economic data coming in July and August. Additionally, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has emphasized cooperation with the BoJ to monitor and respond to currency trends. Despite these efforts, the GBP/JPY pair is significantly lower than its 16-year high near 200.50, currently ranging between 196.47 and 198.57. The market is still digesting the effects of BoJ interventions, possibly influenced by the departure of the US Federal Reserve. Continuous pressure on the Yen may be expected from further interventions by Japanese authorities. Technical indicators hint at new changes. While the Average Directional Index (ADX) signals the end of recent uptrend, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral. However, the Stochastic indicator shows rapid declines, suggesting a bearish outlook for the Yen if it continues towards the midpoint. push kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh Bank of Japan ko majboor kar chuka hai market mein do martaba intervene karne par late April mein Yen ko weak karne ke liye. Bank of Japan ab bhi ek wildcard factor hai. Jab US markets May 27th ko band hain, ek window of opportunity mojood hai ek


aur intervention ke liye agar Bank isay zaroori samjhe Yen ki weakness ko curb karne ke liye. Potential headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ko favor karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) apne highest level tak pahunch gaya hai March-June 2023 rally ke baad, jo ek strong directional movement signify karta hai. Aise hi, Stochastic indicator dobara overbought zone mein hai, current bullish momentum ko reinforce karte hue. Lekin, RSI ka qareebi jaiza ek potential chink dikhata hai bullish armor mein. Indicator higher highs banane mein nakam lagta hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ko suggest karta hai. Agar bulls ko control maintain karna hai, toh unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur aakhir kaar April 29th ka high 200.50 ko retest karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful break hota hai, toh yeh Japanese authorities ke taraf se ek aur intervention ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential losses ko lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein engaged hain. Aane wale din yeh determine karne mein crucial honge ke pair ki direction kya hogi aur kya uptrend apni momentum ko maintain kar sakta hai

currency pair apni jagah pe bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan ek sakht muqablay mein hai. Filhal, prices four-hour chart pe dikhayi dene wali well-defined trading range ke midpoint ke qareeb hain. Yeh position market environment mein mojood indecision ko achi tarah se bayan karti hai
GBP/JPY ke current trading dynamics mein, market participants ek wazeh consensus ke baghair mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. Yeh uncertainty price action mein bar clearly dikhayi deti hai, jahan bulls aur bears dono me se koi bhi wazeh tor pe faida nahi utha sakay hain. Aise halat aksar market sentiment ke evenly balanced hone ki phase ko dikhate hain, jahan traders apni positions ko prevailing market conditions ke muqablay mein ehtiyat se evaluate karte hain
Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to GBP/JPY prices ka established trading range ke midpoint ke qareeb hone ka khaas maqam hai. Yeh area aksar pivotal juncture ke tor pe kaam karta hai, jahan market participants price movements ko closely monitor karte hain potential shifts in momentum ke liye. Jab prices is area mein hover karte hain, to market ki indecisiveness hesitant trading patterns aur fluctuating price levels ki soorat mein zahir hoti hai
In developments ke roshni mein, traders ko ehtiyat baratne aur apni market assessments mein hooshiyar rehne ki hidayat di jati hai. GBP/JPY mein mojood current indecision yeh suggest karta hai ke market sentiment bullish ya bearish forces mein se kisi ke bhi haq mein jald tilt ho sakta hai, depending on emerging catalysts ya economic data releases. Is se key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karne ki ahmiyat bhi samajh aati hai, kyunki yeh potential breakout ya reversal points ke valuable insights de sakte hain
Iske ilawa, broader market context bhi consider karna chahiye, jo factors jaise ke geopolitical developments, economic indicators, aur central bank policies ko encompass karta hai. Yeh external influences currency pair movements pe significant impact daal sakte hain, jo GBP/JPY mein mojood indecision ko ya to barha sakte hain ya kam kar sakte hain
Jab traders is period of market indecision ko navigate kar rahe hain, to strategic approaches jaise ke range-bound trading strategies ko use karna ya clearer signals ka intezar karna prudent sabit ho sakta hai. Discipline maintain karke aur evolving market dynamics pe nazar rakhtay huay, traders potential opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye apni positions ko advantageous tor pe rakh sakte hain GBP/JPY currency pair mein

karkunana tajweezon ke dabav ki wajah se European trading mein kareeb 198.70 tak pohanch gaya. Magar, yen ki qeemat barhna mehdood ho sakti hai. May mein ishtiraki idaray ki khazane, $1.231 billion tak gir gaye, jo 2023 ke February se kam hai, yen ko bachane ke liye hukoomat ki karwai ki wajah se. UK mein, musbat maashi data kuch muqablay faraham kiye. Ghar ke qeematien barhne jaari rahi, May mein 1.5% izafa hone ke sath tawakulat ko par kar gaya. Magar, Tuesday ko mutawaqqa rozgar ki data manfi ho sakta hai. Teen muaafiq mahinon ki girawat aur mazeed nokriyon ke ishaarat se investors ko ek ziada ahtiyati Bank of England (BOE) ka samna karna parega. Bilkul girne wale kul arzi tanazzul ke bawajood, BOE khidmati sector mein tanazul ke baray mein pareshan hai, is saal mazeed darjat ke kai intehayi ka imkan ko kam kar dete hue. Pound ne pehle May se shuru hone wale mazboot behtar hoti rahi, Japani karwai ke baad jaldi se nuqsanat ko palat diya. May 27 ko Amreeki markets band the, Bank of Japan ko zaroorat par intervention ka mazeed mauqa tha Technical indicators kehte hain ke GBP/JPY ke liye aik mawafiq taraf ka imkan hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) bullish hai, jo March-June 2023 ke rebound se sab se mazboot trend ko darust karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi aik uptrend tasdeeq karta hai. Magar, indicator ki taqat aik pareshani ho sakti hai, kyun ke naye bulandiyon tak nahi pohanch raha hai. Bulls shayad jodi ko 198.59 ke upar rakhein aur intehaai tor par April 29 ki bulandiyon ko dobara test karein jo 200.50 hai. Magar, aise aik harkat Japani hukoomat ki naye intervention ko phir se janam de sakti hai, jo bulandiyon ke liye nuqsan de sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke woh GBPJPY ko 198.59 ke neeche le jaane ka koshish karein aur 195.87 ki taraf, jo June 24, 2015 ki bulandiyon ki taraf, rukein. 192.57–193.60 ilaqa, jo 50-day SMA, July 21, 2005 ki trendline, aur 50-day SMA ke darmiyan wajood rakhta hai, aise aik harkat ke moqay par dheere dheere retest ho sakta hai

Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with
forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is














awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure

Aaj subah GBP/JPY pair ne apne lowest level se 90 pips ka move kiya hai, magar kyunke GBP currency ki halat filhaal theek nahi hai, lagta hai ke yeh increase sirf ek correction hai towards aur bhi lower price. Main estimate karta hoon ke price pehle SBR level 191.50 tak upar jaayega, is price area par hum sell kar sakte hain aur Friday ke lowest price par profit le sakte hain. Pehle, main yeh manta tha ke high impact news market ko affect nahi karti aur technical analysis par zyada focus karta tha. Lekin jabse main macroeconomics study kar raha hoon, mujhe pata chala ke high impact news ka role bohot bara hota hai. Isi liye maine fundamental analysis ka portion barha diya hai. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, UK aur Japan se release hone wali data par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Lekin galat mat samajhna, important news releases from the United States bhi GBP/JPY pair ko volatile bana sakti hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ka naya pressure hai jinhone subah se prices ko bullish push kiya hai.
Lagta hai ke Middle East mein tension barhne ka darr market players ko Japanese Yen dump karne aur Pound Sterling khareedne par majboor kar raha hai. Main bhi hairan hoon kyunke pichle kuch saalon mein Yen safe haven currency nahi raha jaisa ke aksar observers kehte hain.

Bank of Japan ek anjaan factor rehta hai. May 27th ko jab US markets band thay, ek mauqa ka khidmat hai ke agar Bank ko yakeen ho ke Yen ki kamzori ko rokne ke liye zaroorat hai, to doosri intervention ke liye ek jageh maujood hai. Mumkin headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ko barqarar rakhne mein jari hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) March-June 2023 ke rally ke baad apne buland-tareen level par pohnch gaya hai, jo ek taqatwar directional movement ko darshata hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator phir se overbought zone mein hai, jo mojooda bullish momentum ko mazbooti deta hai. Lekin RSI ki nazdeek nigahat bullish armor mein ek chhed nazar aati hai. Indicator ko naye unchayiyan hasil karne mein mushkilat mehsoos ho rahi hain, jo keh kuch munsif kisi bhi shaq mein weakness ko darshata hai. Agar bulls apna qabza barqarar rakhna chahte hain, to unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke neeche rakhte hue aur aakhir mein April 29th ke 200.50 ko dobara test karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar safal girawat ho jaye, to yeh Japanese authorities ke doosre intervention ko jaga sakta hai, jo nuqsanat ko paida kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek badi imtehan se guzar raha hai, jahan par bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein mubtala hain. Anay wale dinon mein pair ki manzil aur yeh keh uptrend apni momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, iska faisla karne mein aham honge

GBP/JPY currency pair mein kharidar dabao ka qawi dominate kar raha hai, jo ke 200.567 ke level par resistance torne se dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh resistance ka tor tutna ek significant event hai, aur is se market sentiment par bhi asar padhta hai. Aam tor par, jab ek resistance level tuta jata hai, to yeh indication hota hai ke bulls yani kharidar market mein zyada active hain aur unki strength zyada hai.

Is resistance ko torne se pehle, GBP/JPY pair ne ek neeche ki correction ka samna kiya tha. Yeh correction tab aayi jab currency pair apni pehle ki rally ke baad thoda weak hua aur neeche aya. Is correction ka low 196.140 - 197.169 ke range mein bana. Yeh range support zone ke tor par kaam kar rahi thi jahan se kharidar ne wapas market mein enter karna shuru kiya.

Is range ke base par, kaafi buyers ne phir se interest show kiya aur buying pressure badh gaya. Jis wajah se currency pair dobara upar jana shuru hua. Neeche ki correction ke baad, jab market ne wapas momentum gain kiya, to yeh ek indication tha ke market phir se bullish zone mein enter kar raha hai.

Yeh process normal hota hai forex market mein jahan resistance aur support levels market ki direction aur sentiment ko define karte hain. 200.567 ke resistance level ka torne ka matlub yeh hai ke ab yeh level support ke tor par kaam karega. Agar market is level ke upar stay karti hai, to aur zyada buying interest dekhne ko milega.

Technical analysis karte waqt, traders usually is tarah ke levels ko monitor karte hain aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karte hain. Is particular scenario mein, agar GBP/JPY pair 200.567 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to next potential target levels higher highs ban sakte hain.

Market mein itne bade resistance ka torne ka ek aur positive aspect yeh hai ke yeh traders ko confidence deta hai ke trend strong hai. Yeh confidence aur zyada buying ko attract kar sakta hai, jo market ko further higher levels par le ja sakta hai.

TRADING UPDATES GBP/JPY



GBPJPY Currency Pair Analysis

GBPJPY currency pair ki daily timeframe ke price movements ko dekhte hue, yeh dekha gaya hai ke kuch currency pairs jo YEN ke saath paired hain, unmein last week ke trading session mein trending direction mein movement hua hai jo ke kafi narrow range ke andar raha. Jaise ek market jo bullish movement kar raha hai, yeh situation previous kuch weeks ke trend direction ka continuation hai jismein ek long bullish candlestick formation hui thi. Pichle hafte, candlestick ki shape upwards point kar rahi thi aur opening price se higher price par close hui thi. Yeh condition indicate karta hai ke price mein abhi bhi upar ki potential hai jo iss week mein phir se rise karne ka scope dikhata hai. Aaj subah market 201.99 price level par shuru hua aur abhi tak price 201.86 ke aas paas move kar raha hai.

Analysis ko support karne ke liye, maine kuch indicators ke signals ko dekha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) indicator dikhata hai ke pehle yeh level 50 ke qareeb move kar raha tha, lekin ab yeh is level se upar move kar raha hai, jo ke ek strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) mein histogram bar zero level ke upar reh raha hai aur uska size bhi bahut lamba nahi hai, yellow signal line bhi apne direction ko follow kar rahi hai. Isi tarah Simple Moving Average (SMA) line bhi upward direction mein hai. Technical readings ke results ke mutabiq, yeh majority indicators bullish trend ki movement ko suggest kar rahe hain.

Conclusion:

Daily aur H4 timeframes se ki gayi analysis ke results ke mutabiq, sabhi indicators market direction ko indicate kar rahe hain. Indicators ke hisab se market ka trend bullish direction mein continue hone ki sambhavna hai. Lekin kyunki yeh Monday ka start hai aur market abhi busy nahi hai, maine decide kiya hai ke main market ke developments ko dekhta rahunga aur kal shaam tak wait karunga takay ek valid trading signal mil sake.

Agar candlestick ka direction upar move karta hai aur 202.00 price level ko touch karta hai, toh yeh ek achha opportunity ho sakta hai BUY trading transaction execute karne ke liye jiska bullish target estimated 202.40 level par hai. Lekin agar candlestick mein downward correction hota hai, toh price level 201.50 range tak drop hone ke baad BUY trading opportunity mil sakti hai.

Yeh analysis current market conditions aur technical indicators ke basis par ki gayi hai jo market participants ko future movements ke liye guide kar sakti hai.