جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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  • #2431 Collapse

    bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke GBP/JPY ke market aaj kharidne walon ke favore mein rahega. Musbat ma'ashi dalail ne kharidne walon ke darmiyan aitmad barha diya hai, jis se ke aane wale ghanton mein woh kamyaabi se 200.67 zone ko paar kar sakte hain. Is market ko behtar taur par samajhne ke liye, humein dono technical aur bunyadi tajziya par tawajjo deni chahiye. Technical indicators price movements aur mogheera dakhil aur nikalne ke points ke bare mein shayari faraham karenge, jabki bunyadi tajziya humein samajhne mein madad karega ke market ko kis tarah se asar daal raha hai. Mazboot UK ma'ashi data ke dastavez, umeed hai ke kharidne walon ka koi qeemat khoye baghair na rahega. Mazboot GDP figures, sath mein behtar prelim count changes aur average earnings, GBP/JPY kharidne walon ke liye ek samarthak mahol ko tasdeeq karte hain. Ye musbat josh agle ghanton mein bharne wala hai, jis se kharidne walon ko 200.77 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Traders ko ye ma'ashi reports aur market trends ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhna hoga taake wo agah faislay kar sakein. Technical patterns aur bunyadi data ke darmiyan ka tanaza market ke agle qadam ko pehchanne mein ahem hai. Mukhtasar mein, UK GDP aur doosri musbat ma'ashi dalail GBP/JPY kharidne walon ko bari madad faraham karne ke liye tayyar hain. Market ka jazba abhi kharidne walon ke favore mein hai, aur ye rawaya umeed hai ke unke 200.76 aur 200.77 zone tak pohanchte hue barqarar rahega. Technical aur bunyadi tajziya ka barabar dekhh bhaal karne wala hona is dinamic market mahol mein zinda rehne aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ahem hai. Khush rahein aur calm rakheinSubah bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke GBP/JPY ke market aaj


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    • #2432 Collapse

      attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure whi




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      • #2433 Collapse

        GBP/JPY

        GBP/JPY currency pair ab bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan ek larai mein band hai. Keematain char ghante ke chart par qaim trading range ke darmiyan tairti hui hain, jo market mein faisla na hone ka ishara deti hai. Ye stalemate hilaf-e-azam ke naye economic data ke jariye ho sakta hai jo Jumma ko jaari hua. Data ne Japanese household spending mein kami ka aik zikr kiya jo Japan ki muashiyat par bari asar daal sakta hai. Kam spending deflation ka khatra barha deta hai, jahan keematain musalsal girne lagti hain. Ye Bank of Japan (BOJ), Japan ka markazi bank, ko qarz lenay aur kharch karne ko barhawa dene ke liye kam interest rates qaim rakhne par dabao dal sakta hai.
        Lekin, ahem hai ke haal hi Japanese data ne foreign exchange market par koi zyada asar nahi dala. Maamooli tor par, deflationary spending figures ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ne koi khaas reaction nahi diya. Technical indicators par qareeb se nazar daalne par, pair ne char ghante ke chart par peela moving average ke thode se neeche hafte ko band kiya. Ye ek qisay ke pullback ka potential ishara deta hai, jise mumkinah tor par janoob ki taraf ja sakti hai.

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        GBP/JPY


        GBP/JPY pair is waqt bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan aik tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Recent Japanese spending data shayad BOJ ki monetary policy ko influence kare, lekin is ka immediate impact currency pair par ab tak unclear hai. Technical indicators suggest karte hain ke short-term mein southward pullback ho sakta hai, lekin key level jo dekhne layak hai woh 198.17 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh ek significant downtrend ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke successful defense se ek aur upward correction ya phir higher resistance ka test ho sakta hai.
           
        • #2434 Collapse

             
          • #2435 Collapse

            rally kar rahi hai. Filhal, position ko daily aur D1 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic support mil raha hai. Agar position RBS area 198.184 par barqarar rahe aur SBR area 198.441 ko cross kar jaye, toh buy option ke liye momentum ko taiyar kiya ja sakta hai. SBR area 199.234 par target dekha ja sakta hai. Agar SBR area ko overcome karne mein nakam hota hai, toh SMA5 dynamic support ke taraf push ho sakta hai. Yeh weekly period mein 196.070 ke price range mein hai, jo H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke around hai. Agar resistance ke around reject hone ki confirmation mil jaye aur reversal signs show kare, toh sell option ke liye momentum taiyar kiya ja sakta hai. Kharidar abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin market conditions overbought ke signs dikhate hain. Agar prices is situation ka response karein, toh decline ho sakta hai. Bullish trend daily time frame par padha ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Aaj koi bade movements dekhne ko nahi mile. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke around hain jo is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se bhi door nahi gaye. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehne aur Friday ke high ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh strengthening target daily resistance 198.88 se 201.07 tak ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, toh EMA 12 line correction ka target ban sakti hai.Overnight interest rate swaps generally suggest karte hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates raise karega current zero se 0.2% to 0.1% by the end of the year. Rising bond yields ka prospect domestic investors ke liye attractive ho sakta hai jo higher returns overseas dekh rahe hain. Japanese government bond trading volumes bhi upward trend mein hain, jo ek aur sign hai ke previously troubled debt market recover ho raha hai.Aaj ka GBP/JPY forecast:Overall trend GBP/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai, yeh dekhte hue ke ek break above the resistance at 192.80






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            • #2436 Collapse

              GBP/JPY currency pair abhi ek contentious struggle mein hai jahan bullish aur bearish forces apas mein lad rahe hain. Filhal, prices well-defined trading range ke midpoint ke kareeb hain jo four-hour chart par dikhayi de rahi hai. Yeh position market environment mein prevalent indecision ko zabardast tariqe se highlight karti hai.

              GBP/JPY ke current trading dynamics mein, market participants ek distinct lack of consensus se guzar rahe hain. Yeh uncertainty price action mein bhi dikhayi deti hai, jahan na to bulls aur na hi bears ne clear dominance hasil ki hai. Aise scenarios aksar ek phase ko represent karte hain jahan market sentiment evenly balanced hota hai aur traders apni positions ko cautiously evaluate kar rahe hote hain.

              Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to GBP/JPY prices ka established trading range ke midpoint ke kareeb hona khaas significance rakhta hai. Yeh area frequently ek pivotal juncture serve karta hai jahan market participants keenly price movements ko monitor karte hain taake potential shifts in momentum ko samajh saken. Jab prices is region mein hover karti hain, market ki indecisiveness hesitant trading patterns aur fluctuating price levels mein nazar aati hai.

              In developments ko dekhte hue, traders ko caution exercise karna aur market assessments mein vigilant rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY mein current indecision suggest karti hai ke market sentiment jaldi se bullish ya bearish forces ke favor mein tilt kar sakta hai, depending on emerging catalysts ya economic data releases. Is liye key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh potential breakout ya reversal points ke valuable insights de sakte hain.
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              Is ke ilawa, broader market context ko bhi consider karna chahiye, jaise ke geopolitical developments, economic indicators, aur central bank policies. Yeh external influences currency pair movements ko significantly impact kar sakte hain, jo ongoing indecision ko ya to exacerbate ya alleviate kar sakti hain.

              Jab traders is period of market indecision ko navigate karte hain, strategic approaches jaise ke range-bound trading strategies ko employ karna ya clearer signals ka wait karna prudent sabit ho sakta hai. By maintaining a disciplined approach aur evolving market dynamics ko stay attuned rakhte hue, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain taake GBP/JPY currency pair mein potential opportunities ko capitalize kar saken.
                 
              • #2437 Collapse

                GBP/JPY currency pair mein ahem qeemat ke harkat nazar aa rahi hai jise traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hain. Mojooda resistance level GBP/JPY ke liye qareeb 155.50 ke qareeb tajziya kiya gaya hai, yeh qeemat ne tareekhi tor par aala darja ka rukawat darja kiya hai jo mazeed bulandi ki raah ko rokta hai. Muharika, support level qareeb 153.00 ke aas paas hai, jahan khareedne ki dilchaspi barhne ke liye ek manzil hai, jo keemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 ke aas paas hai, jo ek be-ja stance ko zahir karta hai, khaas tor par na zyada khareedi hui aur na hi zyada farokht hui. Yeh ishara deta hai ke dono taraf ke mazeed qeemat ke liye jaga ho sakti hai. Zigzag indicator, jo shor sharaba ko filter kar ke qeemat ke trend ko pehchane mein madad deta hai, dikhata hai ke haal hi ke trend mein zyada tar bull aur kabhi kabhar thori wapasiyan dekhne ko milti hain. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), khaas tor par 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover mein mojood hain, jo ke mazeed bulandi ki surat mein munasib hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger Bands ab mazeed phail rahe hain, jo ke zyada halchal ko dikhate hain, jahan qeemat upper band ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, yeh potential overbought conditions ko zahir karta hai. Demand Index, jo volume aur qeemat ko mila kar khareedne aur farokht ke dabao ko zahir karta hai, musbat readings dikhata hai, jo mojooda bullish jazba ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator, ek aur momentum indicator, overbought ilaqa mein hai, khaas kar ke 80 ke aas paas, jo ishara deta hai ke pair short-term correction ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Average True Range (ATR), jo market ki halchal ko napta hai, moderate had tak hai, jo mojooda buland market activity aur mazeed qeemat ke jhatke ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Yeh tajziya pur-asar technical analysis hai jo dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY market mein mazboot resistance ke muqable mein hai mojooda darje par lekin barish ke liye mazboot support bhi hai jo kisi bhi shadeed giravat ko rokne mein madad karta hai. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhne aur tajarbat ki roshni mein trading

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                • #2438 Collapse

                  GBPJPY H1
                  GBPJPY market mein ek dilchasp kashmakash chal rahi hai jahan kharidaar aur farokhtaar apni bartri sabit karne aur currency pair ke trajectory ko influence karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Supply aur demand ka ye pechida raqs traders aur analysts ka dhyan khincha hua hai, jo market ko chalane wale undercurrents aur nazuk nuances ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

                  Ek taraf, kharidaar hain jo ke GBPJPY ke price ko upar le jane ke mauqe ko pakadne ke liye tayyar hain. Ye individuals aur institutions mukhtalif factors se motivate hain, jese ke economic indicators aur geopolitical events, jo mil kar British pound ke hawale se Japanese yen par bullish sentiment paida karte hain. Market mein unki actions optimism aur confidence ko reflect karti hain, jese ke wo strategically apni positions ko set karte hain taake potential gains ka faida utha saken.

                  Doosri taraf, farokhtaar hain, jo ke apne hi tareeke se formidable force hain, aur GBPJPY ke price par downward pressure dalne ki koshish karte hain. Ye market participants mukhtalif motivations aur objectives ke sath operate karte hain, shayad economic instability ya geopolitical tensions ki chintaon se motivate ho kar, jo ke unhe currency pair par bearish outlook adopt karne par majboor karti hain. Strategic selling aur profit-taking maneuvers ke zariye, wo market ke perceived weaknesses ka faida uthate hain aur apne khud ke risks ko mitigate karte hain.

                  Phir bhi, kharidaar aur farokhtaar ki best efforts ke bawajood, market aik stalemate mein phans gaya hai, jahan koi bhi side decisive advantage nahi le pa rahi. Ye equilibrium GBPJPY ke price action mein reflect hota hai, jo narrow range mein oscillate karti hai jab ke supply aur demand ki opposing forces apna asar dalti hain aik delicate balancing act mein.

                  Darasal, buyers ya sellers ke taraf se significant momentum ki ghair mojoodgi GBPJPY market mein ek intrigue ka element daalti hai, jise traders aur analysts soch rahe hain ke is ongoing battle ka anjam kya hoga. Kya buyers resistance levels ko tod kar GBPJPY ko nai bulandiyon tak le jayenge? Ya farokhtaar prevail karenge, aur market conditions ka faida uthate hue currency pair ko niche le jayenge?

                  Sirf waqt hi batayega ke GBPJPY market mein ye kashmakash kis tarah unfold hoti hai, har twist aur turn ke sath naye insights paida hote hain jo ke is widely watched currency pair ke future direction ko shape karte hain.
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                  • #2439 Collapse

                    Daily time frame mein GBP/JPY currency pair ka analysis karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke market conditions ab tak mubham hain aur kisi compelling ya valid trading signal ka izhaar nahi karti. Price action ne ab tak yeh nahi bataya ke yeh pair agle kuch arsay mein upar ya neeche jane wala hai. Yeh uncertainty kayi factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo market ko influence karte hain, jinmein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur overall market sentiment shamil hain, jo ke current indecisiveness mein contribute karte hain.
                    Daily chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke definitive trends ya patterns ka faqdaan hai jo aam tor par potential move ka signal dete hain. Key technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD, mazboot bullish ya bearish signals nahi dikha rahe. Yeh surat-e-haal traders ko clear direction nahi deti, jo ke daily time frame pe trading strategies formulate karna mushkil bana deti hai.

                    Iske ilawa, external factors jaise global economic developments aur political news bhi GBP/JPY jese currency pairs ke market sentiment ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke tor par, UK aur Japan se aane wali economic data releases, jaise ke GDP growth rates, inflation figures, aur employment statistics, market movements ko heavily influence kar sakte hain. Mazeed, geopolitical tensions ya agreements, jaise ke trade deals ya conflicts, bhi forex market mein volatility aur uncertainty paida karne ki potential rakhti hain.

                    Is ambiguity ke context mein, traders ho sakta hai wait-and-see approach adopt karen, aur substantial trades karne se perheiz karein jab tak conclusive signals zahir na hoon. Yeh cautious stance unhein unnecessary risks aur potential losses se bachane mein madadgar ho sakta hai, ek aise market mein jahan direction clearly defined nahi hai. Kuch traders doosray time frames pe nazar dal sakte hain ya additional technical analysis tools ka istemal kar sakte hain taake zyada clarity aur better-informed insights hasil ho sakein GBP/JPY pair ke possible future movements ke liye.

                    Iske ilawa, yeh zaroori hai ke traders real-time news aur developments se updated rahein jo GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein.

                    Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai aise market conditions mein. Traders ko consider karna chahiye ke doosray time frames ko monitor karen, mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal karen, aur global economic aur political developments se attuned rahein taake is ambiguity ke period ko effectively navigate kar sakein.
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                    • #2440 Collapse

                      Yeh JPY ke supply aur demand ka complex dance tajiron aur analysts ki tawajju ko apni taraf khenchta hai, jabke woh market ko drive karne wale rules aur principles ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain. Iss equation ke is taraf, hum buyers ko dekhte hain jo GBPJPY ki price ko upar push karne ka mauqa le rahe hain. Yeh jazbaat aur emotions mukhtalif factors se fuel hoti hain, jaise mainstream indicators aur siyasi sentiments, jo Japanese yen ko British pound ke muqablay mein bullish rakhte hain. Unka action market mein expectations aur assumptions ko reflect karta hai, aur GBPJPY pair ke potential side par unki legitimate positions banata hai.
                      Dusri taraf, hum sellers ko dekhte hain, jo apni taraf se ek strong force hain, jo buyers ke action ko counter karne aur GBPJPY price par downward pressure banaye rakhne ke liye mehnat karte hain. Yeh market participants ke liye mushkil hota hai, mukhtalif currency fluctuations ya siyasi tensions ki wajah se, jo unhe currency pair ke hawale se zyadatar bearish view lene par majboor karte hain. Strategic purchases aur profits lene ka aim rakhte hue, woh GBPJPY market mein kisi bhi failure ka faida uthane ki koshish karte hain, is tarah apna risk kam karte hain. Lekin, buyers aur sellers dono ke behtareen efforts ke bawajood, market aise point par atki hui lagti hai jahan koi bhi profitable decision nahi le sakta. Yeh balance GBPJPY ke price action mein reflect hota hai, jo supply aur demand ke against price pressure ko influence karta hai. Beshak, buyers ya sellers ki koi bhi sensible action jo kisi bhi chart ko roshan karta hai, GBPJPY market mein speculation ka sabab banta hai, jisse traders aur analysts final outcome ke bare mein sochne par majboor hote hain. Kya buyers apni original hold position ko tod kar GBPJPY ko naye highs tak le ja sakte hain? Ya traders zyada concerned hain ke current market conditions mein profits lena aur currency pair ko neeche push karna behtar hai? Sirf waqt hi batayega ke GBP/JPY market mein bullishness kitni dair tak rahegi, lekin hamare insights ne bullishness aur widely watched currency pair ki future performance ke bare mein kuch asar to zaroor dala hai.
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                      • #2441 Collapse

                        attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the


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ID:	13009983 time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91


                           
                        • #2442 Collapse

                          attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo
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                          Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high -
                             
                          • #2443 Collapse

                            British pound ne Japanese yen ke khilaaf ground gain karne ki soch rakhi hai, aur analysts expect kar rahe hain ke New York session mein Wednesday ko exchange rate sideways movement dikha sakti hai. Yeh recent recovery attempt ke baad hai jahan pound psychological resistance level of 200 yen ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Investors ka focus UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release par shift ho jayega Wednesday ko. Economists predict kar rahe hain ke inflation moderate hogi, aur core CPI (jo volatile items ko exclude karti hai) April ke 3.9% se gir kar 3.5% tak aa sakti hai. Overall inflation rate bhi expect ki ja rahi hai ke Bank of England ke target of 2.0% par wapas aa jayegi, jo ke pehle 2.3% thi. Additionally, total inflation forecast ki ja rahi hai ke thodi si higher ho, reaching 0.4% compared to April ke 0.3%. Britain's strong service sector growth, jo ke recent months mein consistent rahi hai, is potential inflation slowdown ka key driver hai. However, wage growth abhi bhi ek concern bana hua hai. Average earnings excluding bonuses, jo ke salary inflation ka ek key indicator hai, pichle teen mahine se 6.0% par steady hain. Yeh rapid pace of wage growth Bank of England officials ke liye interest rate cuts consider karne ke liye comfortable nahi hai.
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                            Dusri taraf, yen ko weakness ka samna hai due to Bank of Japan's (BOJ) decision ke policy change ko July meeting tak postpone kar diya gaya hai. BOJ Governor Ueda ne current interest rates ko maintain kiya, lekin unhone July mein policy adjustment ki possibility ka hint diya. Iss hafte ka main catalyst yen ke liye Japan's national CPI data hai jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Analysts predict kar rahe hain ke annual inflation accelerate hogi, rising from 2.2% to 2.6%. Sharper increase ka risk higher hai, further supported by the upward trend in the indicator's moving average. Technical analysis perspective se, Relative Strength Index (RSI) strengthen ho raha hai, 70 level ke kareeb aa raha hai upper 50s se. Stochastic indicators near the overbought zone (around 80) hain. Ek more sustained recovery ke liye, buyers closing price above the 201 yen mark dekh rahe hain. Yeh potentially significant rally ko trigger kar sakti hai towards the 204.30 resistance level, jo ke March 2023 ka key line hai. Ek even more ambitious target 161.8% Fibonacci extension level from May ho sakta hai, jo ke around 206.15 hai.
                               
                            • #2444 Collapse

                              Yeh JPY ke supply aur demand ka complex dance tajiron aur analysts ki tawajju ko apni taraf khenchta hai, jabke woh market ko drive karne wale rules aur principles ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain. Iss equation ke is taraf, hum buyers ko dekhte hain jo GBPJPY ki price ko upar push karne ka mauqa le rahe hain. Yeh jazbaat aur emotions mukhtalif factors se fuel hoti hain, jaise mainstream indicators aur siyasi sentiments, jo Japanese yen ko British pound ke muqablay mein bullish rakhte hain. Unka action market mein expectations aur assumptions ko reflect karta hai, aur GBPJPY pair ke potential side par unki legitimate positions banata hai. Dusri taraf, hum sellers ko dekhte hain, jo apni taraf se ek strong force hain, jo buyers ke action ko counter karne aur GBPJPY price par downward pressure banaye rakhne ke liye mehnat karte hain. Yeh market participants ke liye mushkil hota hai, mukhtalif currency


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ID:	13010301 fluctuations ya siyasi tensions ki wajah se, jo unhe currency pair ke hawale se zyadatar bearish view lene par majboor karte hain. Strategic purchases aur profits lene ka aim rakhte hue, woh GBPJPY market mein kisi bhi failure ka faida uthane ki koshish karte hain, is tarah apna risk kam karte hain. Lekin, buyers aur sellers dono ke behtareen efforts ke bawajood, market aise point par atki hui lagti hai jahan koi bhi profitable decision nahi le sakta. Yeh balance GBPJPY ke price action mein reflect hota hai, jo supply aur demand ke against price pressure ko influence karta hai. Beshak, buyers ya sellers ki koi bhi sensible action jo kisi bhi chart ko roshan karta hai, GBPJPY market mein speculation ka sabab banta hai, jisse traders aur analysts final outcome ke bare mein sochne par majboor hote hain. Kya buyers apni original hold position ko tod kar GBPJPY ko naye highs tak le ja sakte hain? Ya traders zyada concerned hain ke current market conditions mein profits lena aur currency pair ko neeche push karna behtar hai? Sirf waqt hi batayega ke GBP/JPY market mein bullishness kitni dair tak rahegi, lekin hamare insights ne bullishness aur widely watched currency pair ki future performance ke bare mein kuc
                                 
                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #2445 Collapse

                                GBP/JPY currency pair mein ahem qeemat ke harkat nazar aa rahi hai jise traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hain. Mojooda resistance level GBP/JPY ke liye qareeb 155.50 ke qareeb tajziya kiya gaya hai, yeh qeemat ne tareekhi tor par aala darja ka rukawat darja kiya hai jo mazeed bulandi ki raah ko rokta hai. Muharika, support level qareeb 153.00 ke aas paas hai, jahan khareedne ki dilchaspi barhne ke liye ek manzil hai, jo keemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 ke aas paas hai, jo ek be-ja stance ko zahir karta hai, khaas tor par na zyada khareedi hui aur na hi zyada farokht hui. Yeh ishara deta hai ke dono taraf ke mazeed qeemat ke liye jaga ho sakti hai. Zigzag indicator, jo shor sharaba ko filter kar ke qeemat ke trend ko pehchane


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ID:	13010305 mein madad deta hai, dikhata hai ke haal hi ke trend mein zyada tar bull aur kabhi kabhar thori wapasiyan dekhne ko milti hain. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), khaas tor par 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover mein mojood hain, jo ke mazeed bulandi ki surat mein munasib hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger Bands ab mazeed phail rahe hain, jo ke zyada halchal ko dikhate hain, jahan qeemat upper band ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, yeh potential overbought conditions ko zahir karta hai. Demand Index, jo volume aur qeemat ko mila kar khareedne aur farokht ke dabao ko zahir karta hai, musbat readings dikhata hai, jo mojooda bullish jazba ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator, ek aur momentum indicator, overbought ilaqa mein hai, khaas kar ke 80 ke aas paas, jo ishara deta hai ke pair short-term correction ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Average True Range (ATR), jo market ki halchal ko napta hai, moderate had tak hai, jo mojooda buland market activity aur mazeed qeemat ke jhatke ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Yeh tajziya pur-asar technical analysis hai jo dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY market mein mazboot resistance ke muqable mein hai mojooda darje par lekin barish ke liye mazboot support bhi hai jo kisi bhi shadeed giravat ko rokne mein madad karta hai. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhne aur tajarbat ki roshni mein trading
                                   

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