جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY currency pair par ek special analysis add karne ki ijazat chahte hain, uncle. Jaisa ke hum sab jaante hain, is waqt Japanese Yen kaafi kamzor hai, isliye agar opposing currency thoda bhi strong hota hai toh GBP/JPY pair tezi se strong ho jata hai. Aaj subah GBP/JPY pair ne apne lowest level se 90 pips ka move kiya hai, magar kyunke GBP currency ki halat filhaal theek nahi hai, lagta hai ke yeh increase sirf ek correction hai towards aur bhi lower price. Main estimate karta hoon ke price pehle SBR level 191.50 tak upar jaayega, is price area par hum sell kar sakte hain aur Friday ke lowest price par profit le sakte hain. Pehle, main yeh manta tha ke high impact news market ko affect nahi karti aur technical analysis par zyada focus karta tha. Lekin jabse main macroeconomics study kar raha hoon, mujhe pata chala ke high impact news ka role bohot bara hota hai. Isi liye maine fundamental analysis ka portion barha diya hai. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, UK aur Japan se release hone wali data par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Lekin galat mat samajhna, important news releases from the United States bhi GBP/JPY pair ko volatile bana sakti hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ka naya pressure hai jinhone subah se prices ko bullish push kiya hai.

Lagta hai ke Middle East mein tension barhne ka darr market players ko Japanese Yen dump karne aur Pound Sterling khareedne par majboor kar raha hai. Main bhi hairan hoon kyunke pichle kuch saalon mein Yen safe haven currency nahi raha jaisa ke aksar observers kehte hain.

Mera aaj ka plan GBP/JPY pair ke liye zyada tar SELL position ke liye hai. Problem yeh hai ke mujhe abhi bhi shak hai ke GBP/JPY aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai aur 192.99 ke new higher high ko form kar sakta hai. Timing ke mamle mein, main price ko monitor karunga jab tak ke yeh Bollinger band ke upper line ko touch na kare. Phir main yeh ensure karunga ke latest candlestick pichle high level se zyada high form na kar sake. Agar yeh do scenarios

ke resistance 200.530 ki taraf barhta rahe. Do hafton se yeh resistance ki taraf rally kar raha hai. Filhal position ko daily aur H4 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic support ka sahara mil raha hai. Agar position RBS area 198.184 par barqaraar rahe aur SBR area 198.441 ko cross kar jaye, toh momentum ko buy option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Target ko SBR area 199.234 par bullish opportunities ko dekhne ke liye direct kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh SBR area ko overcome karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh SMA5 dynamic support ke taraf push ho sakta hai, jo weekly period mein196.070 ke price range mein hai, jo H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke around hai. Yeh isliye ke yahan tak pohchne ke liye kaafi wide gap hai, jab yeh last week significantly strengthened hua tha. Agar yeh resistance ke around reject hone ki confirmation mil jaye aur reversal signs show kare, toh yeh momentum sell option prepare karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Buyers' Efforts Buyers abhi bhi prices ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo pichle mahine ke end par fall hua tha. Prices un peak figures ke kareeb aa rahe hain jo unhone kabhi achieve kiye thay. Lekin market conditions overbought ke signs dikhate hain. Agar prices is situation ka response karein
, toh decline ho sakta hai. Bullish trend daily time frame par read kiya ja sakta hai jahan EMA 200 position current price movement se kaafi neeche hai. Significant weakening ke bawajood, yeh condition EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke behavior ko significantly change nahi karti. Yeh dono small EMAs abhi bhi upwards stick Current Market Conditions Aaj koi bade movements dekhne ko nahi mile. Prices abhi bhi 197.58 area ke around hain jo is hafte ka weekly open hai. Prices Friday ke high 197.83 se bhi door nahi gaye. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehne aur Friday ke high ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh strengthening target daily resistance 198.88 se 201.07 tak ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price weekly open ke upar rehne mein nakam hoti hai, toh EMA 12 line correction ka target ban sakti hai. Friday ke candle ka formation jo almost perfect bullish candle dikhata hai jahan high aur low 196.76 aur 197.83 the, yeh possible hai ke price upar ki taraf move kare, lekin market ke overbought levelweakness ko rokne ki, to ek intervention ka mauka ho sakta hai. Kuch technical indicators uptrend ko support karte hain, jaise ke Average Directional Movement Index (ADX), jo ke strong directional movement ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi overbought zone mein hai, jo ke current

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91

currency pair pe dhyan diye jaane wale traders ke liye H1 (ghante ke) time frame par, din bhar ke kharidariyon ke liye ek maqsood manfiyat ka tajwez hai. Ek qabil-e-amal strategy yeh hai ke aham sahara darjaton par kharidari ke mouke dekha jaye. Is maqam mein, pehla sahara darja jo ghor kiya jana chahiye, 156.200 par hai. Yeh darja aksar keemat ke liye ek mazboot sahara ka kaam karta hai, jahan peechle neeche ki harkatain qadeem tareen tor par sahara milti hain aur baad mein ooper chalang lagati hai. Dusra sahara darja jo nazar rakha jaye, 156.340 par hai. Yeh darja thora ooncha hai aur keemat ko stabilize karne ke liye ek ahem zone faraham karta hai jahan qeemat ko ooper chalne se pehle mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aksar aise sahara darjaton ko kharidariyon ke dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar banate hain, keemat mein ulte ko ya phir qeemat mein phir se ooper jaane ki umeed par daav lagate hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke

JPY currency pair pe dhyan diye jaane wale traders ke liye H1 (ghante ke) time frame par, din bhar ke kharidariyon ke liye ek maqsood manfiyat ka tajwez hai. Ek qabil-e-amal strategy yeh hai ke aham sahara darjaton par kharidari ke mouke dekha jaye. Is maqam mein, pehla sahara darja jo ghor kiya jana chahiye, 156.200 par hai. Yeh darja aksar keemat ke liye ek mazboot sahara ka kaam karta hai, jahan peechle neeche ki harkatain qadeem tareen tor par sahara milti hain aur baad mein ooper chalang lagati hai. Dusra sahara darja jo nazar rakha jaye, 156.340 par hai. Yeh darja thora ooncha hai aur keemat ko stabilize karne ke liye ek ahem zone faraham karta hai jahan qeemat ko ooper chalne se pehle mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aksar aise sahara darjaton ko kharidariyon ke dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar banate hain, keemat mein ulte ko ya phir qeemat mein phir se ooper jaane ki umeed par daav lagate hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par


mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain

qawaid mand approach mein madad karti hai, jo forex trading mein nuksan kam karne aur munafa barhane ke liye zaroori hai. Pehla aham sahara darja jo traders ko ghor karna chahiye, woh 156.204 par hai, jise mukhtalif technical analysis tools aur historical price data ke mutabiq important samjha jata hai. Is darje par, currency pair ne pehle bhi baar baar reversal ya bounce back kiya hai, jo iski ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 156.204 ke qareeb hoti hai, to buyers market mein wapas aa sakte hain, is umeed ke sath ke yeh level support ka kaam karega aur price wapas upar jayegi. Trading ke doran, jab price 156.204 ke qareeb aaye, to traders ko kuch additional confirmation signals ka intezar karna chahiye, jaise ke: 1. Candlestick Patterns: Bullish candlestick patterns jaise ke hammer, bullish engulfing, ya morning star agar is level par bante hain, to yeh strong buying signals ho sakte hain.
2. Technical Indicators: Indicators jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) agar oversold condition show kar raha ho, to yeh bhi indication ho sakta hai ke price ab bounce back karegi. Moving averages (jaise ke 50-day ya 200-day MA) ke crossovers bhi important ho sakte hain.
3. Volume Analysis: Increasing volume ke sath support level par price ka thehrav, ek achi indication ho sakti hai ke market mein significant buying interest hai.
Iske ilawa, risk management bhi ek integral hissa hona chahiye aapki trading strategy ka. Stop-loss orders ko strategically place karna zaroori hai taake agar market aapke against jaye to losses limited rahen. For instance, stop-loss ko 155.800 ke neeche place karna ek acha strategy ho sakta hai, jo ke 156.204 support level ke neeche ka ek safe distance hai.
Risk-reward ratio bhi zaroor madde nazar rakha jana chahiye. For instance, agar aapka target profit level 158.000 par hai, to aapka risk-reward ratio 2:1 ya 3:1 hona chahiye, jo ke aapko sustainable trading practices mein madad karega.
Lastly, market news aur economic events ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai. GBP aur JPY dono hi kaafi sensitive hain economic reports aur central bank announcements ke liye. Aise events ke doran high volatility expected hoti hai, jo ke aapke trading positions ko



significant tareeke se affect kar sakti hai.
In sab points ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aap ek disciplined aur informed approach ke sath GBP/JPY daily time frame par trading kar sakte hain, jo aapke success chances ko enhance karega aur trading journey ko profitable banane mein

GBPJPY market ke dynamic landscape mein, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan aik dilchasp kashmakash ubar kar samnay aayi hai, jahan har ek apna bol bala aur currency pair ke trajectory par asar daalnay ki koshish kar raha hai. Ye supply aur demand ka nazuk raqs traders aur analysts dono ki tawajju ka markaz ban gaya hai, kyunke wo market ko drive karne wale subtle nuances aur underlying currents ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Equation ke ek side par buyers hain, jo GBPJPY ki price ko barhane ke mauke ko hath se jane nahi dena chahte. Ye afraad aur institutions mukhtalif factors se motivated hain, jo economic indicators se le kar geopolitical events tak hain, aur ye sab mil kar British pound ko Japanese yen ke muqable mein bullish sentiment dete hain. Inka market mein amal optimism aur confidence ko reflect karta hai, aur wo strategically apni positions ko potential gains se faida uthana ke liye set karte hain.



Agar price 168.02 level tak pohanchti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka control hai, aur kaafi zyada upside hone ka imkaan hai. Ye position aik ahm support ka kaam karti hai, aur agar yeh toot jaaye, to iska matlab hai ke market sentiment bearish ho gaya hai. Traders apni positions ko bechne ya short positions kholne se katrate hain, aur intizaar karte hain ke price aur zyada giray. 170.20 ka level is liye zaroori hai kyun ke is level par aik false breakout maze mein kami ka sabab ban sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab price resistance level se upar nikal jati hai, lekin phir trend sharply reverse ho jata hai. Yeh aksar un traders ko phansa deta hai jo profit barhane ki umeed mein khareedte hain. Aise breakout ke baad direction reverse hone par, price sharply us direction mein girti hai jab yeh traders apni positions close karte hain. Agar 170.25 level tak price break hone ke baad correction hoti hai, to yeh clear buy signal ho sakta hai. Yeh level kuch arsa ke liye short-term support mana ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh toot jaye to iska matlab hai ke decline fast ho raha hai.

GBP/JPY

Jaisa pehle zikr hua tha, main agle hafte is instrument ko predicted resistance level ke qareeb monitor karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jahaan do mumkin outcomes ho sakte hain. Pehla, ke price is level ke ooper consolidate kar sakti hai aur barhti rahegi. Agar yeh scenario samnay aata hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke price barh kar resistance level 207.995 ke qareeb pahuchegi. Main expect karta hoon ke ek trade setup is resistance level ke qareeb form hoga, jo mujhe agle trading direction ka andaza dene mein madad karega. Fitri taur pe, ek mauqa hai ke price barh kar resistance level 215.892 tak pahuche, lekin yeh market conditions, far-north targets ke responses, aur price movement ke doran news flow par depend karega.
Kayi ahem prerequisites ko poora karna zaroori hai pehle ke best position ko select kar sakein taake ek healthy profit bana sakein. Sab se pehle, market sentiment predictions mein galtiyon se bachne ke liye jo ke monetary losses ka sabab ban sakti hain, yeh zaroori hai ke hum current trend ko accurately identify karein longer period H4 pe. Ab chaliye humare instrument ke 4-hour timeframe chart ko dekhte hain aur primary requirement ko verify karte hain: trend movements H1 aur H4 timeframes pe align honi chahiye. Hum Hama aur RSI indicators ke blue ya green hone ka intezar karte hain, kyun ke yeh indicate karega ke buyers market pe is waqt control mein hain. Phir hum market mein enter hote hain aur ek purchase trade initiate karte hain. Exit point ko determine karne ke liye hum magnetic levels indicator ke readings ko use karenge.



GBP/JPY

Abhi, 198.58 sab se zyada mumkin level hai signal execution ke liye. Jab price chosen magnetic level ke qareeb move karegi, hum chart pe iski behaviour ko closely monitor karenge aur accordingly decisions lenge. Market ne pehle hi ek solid correction liya hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke decline continue ho sakti hai. Magar, in levels se growth humein 200.75 area ko break karne de sakti hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to increase likely medium term mein continue karegi, signalling ke time hai purchases start karne ka. Agar 200.70 falsely break hota hai, to decline resume hogi.
Jaisa pehle zikr hua tha, main agle hafte is instrument ko predicted resistance level ke qareeb monitor karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jahaan do mumkin outcomes ho sakte hain. Pehla, ke price is level ke ooper consolidate kar sakti hai aur barhti rahegi. Agar yeh scenario samnay aata hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke price barh kar resistance level 207.995 ke qareeb pahuchegi. Main expect karta hoon ke ek trade setup is resistance level ke qareeb form hoga, jo mujhe agle trading direction ka andaza dene mein madad karega. Fitri taur pe, ek mauqa hai ke price barh kar resistance level 215.892 tak pahuche, lekin yeh market conditions, far-north targets ke responses, aur price movement ke doran news flow par depend karega.

GBPJPY market mein dinamik manzar mein, kharidar aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan aik dilchasp jang daur hai, har ek apni hukumat aur currency pair ki manzil par asar dalne ke liye larh rahe hain. Supply aur demand ki yeh peshrafti raqs ne traders aur analysts ke tawajjo ko qaid kar liya hai, jabke woh market ko chalane wale peeche chhupi taqat aur asal zariye ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aik taraf, humein kharidar milte hain, jo GBPJPY ki keemat ko buland karne ke mauqe par tayar hain. Yeh afrad aur idaray mukhtalif wajohat se mutasir hote hain, jin mein maqami haalaat aur saqafati waqiyat shamil hain, jo sab mil kar British pound ke hawale se Japanese yen ke muqablay mein bullish jazba ko paida karte hain. Unki market mein karwaiyan GBPJPY jodi ke imkanat par aitmaad aur umang ki alamat deti hain, jabke woh apne aap ko munafa hasil karne ke liye jumla taur par tarteeb dete hain.

Mukhalif taraf, humare samne farokht karne walay bhi hain, jo apne maqasid aur mansubat ke sath kharidaron ke jaddojahad ko rad karte hain aur GBPJPY ki keemat par nichawar dabao dalte hain. Yeh market ke hissa wale afrad mukhtalif wajohat aur maqsadon ke saath kaam karte hain, shayad maqami ghair mustaqilat ya saqafati tanazur se mutasir hote hain, jo unhe currency pair ke baray mein bearish nazar se dekhne par majboor karte hain. Apni strategy ke zariye beopariyaan aur munafa haasil karne ki koshish karte hain, jahan tak ke woh apne apne risk ko kam karte hain.

Magar dono taraf ke behtareen koshishon ke bawajood, market mein aik tasalsul nazar aata hai, jahan kisi bhi taraf ko faisla karne ka koi fazil faida nahi ho sakta. Yeh sabit hota hai GBPJPY ki keemat ke price action mein, jo supply aur demand ke mukhalif qowaton ke asar mein ek mamooli range mein harkat karta hai, jahan unka asar ek naazuk balancing act mein hota hai.

Yaqeenan, kharidor aur farokht karne walon ke kisi bhi numayan harkat ki kami GBPJPY market mein aik dilchasp madiyat shamil karta hai, jo traders aur analysts ko is jang ke mustaqbil ke baray mein naye andazat dene ke liye chhod deta hai. Kya kharidorain maqsadi resistance levels ko tor kar GBPJPY ko naye unchaayiyan tak pohancha sakti hain? Ya kya farokht karne walay qaaim market haalaat ka faida uthate hue currency pair ko nichayi le ja sakte hain?

Waqt hi bataye ga jab tak GBPJPY market mein yeh larhai jari rahegi, har mord par naye raaz pesh karte hue, jo forces ke complex interplay ko samjhaayenge aur is mukhtalif currency pair ke mustaqbil ki manzil ko tay karenge.

GBP/JPY: Technical Analysis

Jaisa ke pehle bhi zikr kiya gaya hai, main agle hafte is instrument ko jahan numaya resistance level ke qareeb dekhna chahta hoon, jahan do mumkin natayej ho sakti hain. Pehli baat yeh ho sakti hai ke qeemat is level ke ooper jamay aur mazeed barhne ka silsila jari rahe. Agar yeh manzar saamne aaye, to mujhe ummeed hai ke qeemat bulandi par chadh kar 207.995 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanchegi. Main yahan par ek trade setup ki ummeed rakhta hoon jo mujhe agle trading direction ko pehchane mein madad dega. Be shak, qeemat mazeed barhne ka silsila jari rakhe, jis se keh 215.892 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh market ke haalaat, door farokht ke jawabat aur qeemat ki harkaton ke doraan khabron ke jawab par munhasir hoga.

Kuch aham sharait ko pura karna zaroori hai pehle se trade ke aghaz ke liye ke taake sehatmand munafa hasil kiya ja sake. Pehli baat to yeh ke lambay arsay ke H4 par mojood trend ko durust tareeqe se pehchan'na aham hai. Ab humare instrument ke 4 ghanton ka waqt fram chart ko dekhte hain aur asal shartein tasdeeq karte hain: H1 aur H4 waqt frames par trend harkaton ko humaray saath milna chahiye. Hum Hama aur RSI indicators ko neelay ya sabz ho jane ki taraf dekhte hain, kyun ke yeh ishara deta hai ke market ke haalat mein kharidaroon ka qaboo hai is waqt. Phir hum market mein dakhil hote hain aur ek khareedari trade shuru karte hain. Magnet levels indicator se milne wale parhne ko exit point tay karne ke liye istemal karte hain.

Abhi mojooda samay par 198.58 signal execution ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqa level hai. Jab tak qeemat chunay gaye magnetic level ke qareeb aati hai, hum chart par uski rawayat ko qareeban nigrani rakhte hain aur mutabiq faislay karte hain. Market mein pehle se aik mazboot correction ho chuka hai, aur mumkin hai ke girawat jaari rahe. Magar in levels se barhne se humein 200.75 area ko torne ki ijazat mil sakti hai. Agar yeh ho jaye, to darmiyan muddat mein izafa jaari hone ka ishara hoga, jo ke khareedari shuru karne ka waqt bhi dikhayega. Agar 200.70 jhooti tor par toota, to girawat jaari rahegi.

NZD/USD FORECAST 05 JUNE 2024

Japan ki currency ki barhti hui kamzori ke khilaf intervention ka kamyab sabit hona tha. Yen ki taqat barhne ke baad Japanese government ne 26 April ko intervention kiya. Yen ki taqat barhne se gbpjpy ne apne urooj ke sab se oonche peak se dobara dabaav mein aaya. Raat tak ke liye qeemat abhi bhi sellers ke dabav mein hai. Agar H4 framework ko dekha jaye, to sellers ko reversal karne mein kamyabi mili hai. Dikhai deta hai ke prices ne highs aur lows banaye hain aur prices ne COC aur BOS bhi sell kiya hai. Agla gbpjpy ka movement ka prediction agar is waqt ke market conditions ko dekha jaye, to gbpjpy dobara girne ya palatne ka nazar aata hai, kyun ke aik reversal signal ban gaya hai. Agla trading gbpjpy par, reversal signal ke sath, hum dobara gbpjpy par sell karne ki opportunities dekh sakte hain. Magar current price position abhi demand area mein hai aur price ne kaafi door se bearish chal raha hai, is liye gbpjpy par sell entry ke liye humein pehle price ka retracement ya phir price ke girne aur demand area (197.67 - 197.94) ko toorna ka intezar karna chahiye. Aur raat tak price demand area tak pohanch gaya hai lekin koi palatne ki nishani nahi hai, is liye gbpjpy demand area (195.06 - 195.70) tak apni bearish reliance jaari rakh sakta hai aur sirf demand area tak pohanchne ke baad pullback ho sakta hai.

Neeche gbpjpy ke agle movement ke prediction par, upar di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, abhi bhi bearish potential hai aur yahan par gbpjpy par complete trading setup hai:

Sell Setup
Sell breakout, buy block order area ka istemaal karte hue (197.67 - 197.94). Intezar karen ke price gir jaye aur block order area ko tode. Profit target line (195.70) par. Agar price dobara barh jaye aur 1 hour candle (197.94) ke upar close ho jaye to cut loss karen.
Sell pullback, block breaker area (199.37 - 199.20) ka istemaal karte hue. Intezar karen ke price barh jaye aur breaker block area mein rejection candle bane. Profit target line (197.94) par. Agar price dobara barh jaye aur 1 hour candle (199.37) ke upar close ho jaye to cut loss karen.

Buy Setup
Buy pullback, buy block order area (197.67 - 197.94) ka istemaal karte hue. Intezar karen ke order block area mein rejection candle bane. Profit targets lines (199.37 & 200.20) par. Agar price dobara gir jaye aur 1 hour candle (197.67) ke neeche close ho jaye to cut loss karen.
Buy next pullback, buy block order area (195.06 - 195.70) ka istemaal karte hue. Intezar karen ke price gir jaye aur order block area mein rejection candle bane. Profit target line (197.67) par. Agar price dobara gir jaye aur 1 hour candle (195.06) ke neeche close ho jaye to cut loss karen.

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91

GBP/JPY currency pair ki mojooda halat ke mutabiq, nazar lag rahi hai ke qeemat 199.76 ke resistance zone ke aas paas tair hai. Farokht karne wale log phir se 199.52 zone ko paar karne ke liye pur umeed nazar aa rahe hain. Aane wale maqroozana maali dastavezat jaise ke UK GDP aur Prelims Count Changes, qareeb future mein bazari jazbat par asar daalne ka imkan hai.

Is tarah ke zyada takleef aurat mahol mein, bazari tahlil, maqool paisa ka nigrani, aur karobari khatray ko kam karne ke asar daar tareeqay ko barah-e-karam samajhna laazmi hai. Karobar karne walon ko apne maal ki hifazat aur lambi arzi trading ka kamyabi yafta hone ke liye sakhti se muqarar trading aadat shamil karni chahiye, jis mein strict nuqsan ki hadood shamil hain. Apne maal ki hifazat aur beshumar nuqsan se bachne ke liye diversification aur stop-loss orders jaise tajarbiat ko istemal karna bohat zaroori hai, jo bazari khatron ko kam karne mein madad deta hai aur karobar karne walon ko achanak bazari tabdeeliyon ya ghair mutawaqa waqiyat se aane wale bohat bade nuqsanat se bachata hai.

Jaise hi bazari halaat tabdeel hotay hain, incoming news data future trends ko shakal dene mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Farokht karne walon ke liye yeh maloomat zaroori ho sakti hai ke woh buland buyer fa'aliate se mushkil support zones ko paar karne mein kamiyab ho saken. In zones ko nakami se bachane ke liye maqbul news aur mazboot technical indicators ki zarurat hoti hai, jo mil kar farokht karne walon ko unke bazari control ko barqarar rakhne mein taqat dene mein madad dete hain.

GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, mojooda bazari dynamics farokht karne walon ke fazal mein nazar aa rahe hain, jo saaf taur par buyer ki kamzori ke darmiyan bazari qabza ko mazbooti se poora karne mein jute hue hain. Yeh trend jari rahne ki tawaqo ki jati hai, jahan farokht karne walay apne bazari qeemat ko barqarar rakhte hain aur kharidari par dabao daal rahe hain. Karobar karne walon ko hoshyari se bazari mein dakhil ho kar tamaam ahem factors ko madahil samajhna chahiye aur apni strategies ko GBP/JPY ke mojooda bazari halaat ke mutabiq mawafiq karna chahiye.

Tahlil ke mutabiq, yeh tawaqo ki ja rahi hai ke GBP/JPY ke bazari farokht karne walon ke fazal mein rahay gi, aur unka imkan hai ke woh aane wale ghanton mein 199.55 area ko imtehan kar sakenge. Jaise har waqt, karobar karne walon ko ehtiyat se amal karna chahiye aur bazari ko barwaqt tahlil kar ke maqool faislay lena aur apne khatron ko behtar tareeqay se manage karna chahiye.

GBP/JPY H1

GBP/JPY market ke dynamic landscape mein ek dilchasp kashmakash dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jahan buyers aur sellers ke forces apni dominance aur currency pair ke trajectory ko influence karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Supply aur demand ka yeh intricate dance traders aur analysts ke liye ek jadu ki tarah bana hua hai, jo market ko drive karne wale subtle nuances aur underlying currents ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Ek taraf, buyers hain, jo GBP/JPY ke price ko drive up karne ke maukon ko pakadne ke liye taiyar hain. Yeh log aur institutions kai factors se motivated hain, jisme economic indicators aur geopolitical events shamil hain, jo sab mil kar British pound ke muqable Japanese yen ke liye ek bullish sentiment create karte hain. Market mein unki actions optimism aur confidence ka izhar karte hain GBP/JPY pair ke prospects ke liye, jise wo strategically apni positions set karte hain taake potential gains ko capitalize kar sakein.

Dusri taraf, sellers hain, jo apne aap mein ek formidable force hain, buyers ke efforts ko counteract karne aur GBP/JPY ke price par downward pressure exert karne mein lage hue hain. Yeh market participants mukhtalif motivations aur objectives ke saath operate karte hain, shayad economic instability ya geopolitical tensions ke concerns se driven, jo unhe currency pair ke liye ek bearish outlook apnane par majboor karte hain. Strategic selling aur profit-taking maneuvers ke zariye, wo GBP/JPY market mein perceived weaknesses ko capitalize karne ki koshish karte hain, saath hi apne risks ko mitigate karte hain.

Lekin, buyers aur sellers ke best efforts ke bawajood, market ek stalemate mein locked lagti hai, jahan koi bhi side decisive advantage hasil karne mein kamiyab nahi ho rahi. Yeh equilibrium GBP/JPY ke price action mein reflected hai, jo narrow range mein oscillate kar rahi hai jab opposing forces of supply aur demand apna influence ek delicate balancing act mein exert karte hain.

Waakai, buyers ya sellers ke significant momentum ki kami GBP/JPY market mein ek intrigue ka element jod deti hai, jisse traders aur analysts ponder kar rahe hain ke is ongoing battle ka eventual outcome kya hoga. Kya buyers resistance levels ko break through kar payenge aur GBP/JPY ko naye heights par propel karenge? Ya phir sellers prevail karenge, prevailing market conditions ko capitalize karte hue currency pair ko neeche drive karenge?

Sirf waqt hi bataega jab tak GBP/JPY market mein yeh kashmakash unfold hoti rahegi, har twist aur turn naye insights offer karte hue complex interplay of forces ke baare mein jo is widely watched currency pair ke future direction ko shape kar rahi hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ek behtareen example hai jab do bohot hi mukhtalif economies ka muqabla hota hai. Iss waqt Japanese Yen (JPY) kaafi kamzor chal raha hai. Iski waja se GBP/JPY pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko milti hai. Jab GBP (British Pound) strong hota hai, toh iski impact GBP/JPY pair par double hoti hai kyun ke Yen ki kamzori aur Pound ki taqat dono mil kar is pair ko kaafi upar push karte hain.

Japan ki economy kaafi saalon se deflation aur slow growth ka shikar hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne kaafi time se ultra-loose monetary policy rakhi hui hai, jisme interest rates zero ya negative ke kareeb hain. Iska maqsad economy ko stimulate karna hai, lekin isse Yen ki value me kaafi girawat aayi hai. Dosri taraf, UK ki economy, COVID-19 ke baad recovery ke phase me hai aur Bank of England (BoE) ne interest rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control me rakha ja sake. High interest rates UK me foreign investments ko attract karte hain, jo GBP ko support karte hain.

Agar technical analysis ki baat karein, toh GBP/JPY pair me strong uptrend dekhne ko milta hai jab bhi global risk sentiment improve hota hai. Risk-on environment me investors higher-yielding assets aur currencies prefer karte hain, jisme GBP top par hai aur JPY safe-haven status ke bawajood niche girta hai. Recent charts dekhein toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar trading, bullish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators bhi positive momentum ko dikhate hain.

Fundamental analysis me, GBP/JPY pair ko track karte waqt UK aur Japan ki macroeconomic indicators ko dekhna zaroori hai. Jaise ke UK ki GDP growth, inflation data, employment figures aur BoE ki policy statements. Japan ki taraf se, BoJ ki policy updates, export-import data aur global economic trends important hain. Geopolitical factors bhi significant hain, kyunki yen ek safe-haven currency hai aur global uncertainty ke waqt strong ho sakti hai.

In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, short-term me GBP/JPY pair me upward trend kaafi strong lag raha hai. Lekin, long-term investment decisions ke liye dono countries ki economic conditions aur central banks ki policies ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar aap trading kar rahe hain toh stop-loss levels ko set karna important hai taake market volatility se protect kiya ja sake.

Yeh analysis GBP/JPY pair ke current scenario ko samajhne me madad karega aur trading decisions ko better banane me help karega.