جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Mangal ko British Pound Japani Yen ke muqable mein mazboot hua, UK ki khidmaton ke shobay mein ek musbat taaza surprise ke zariye. UK ki Khidmaton ki Iktisadi Kharidari Managers' Index (PMI) ne April mein 54.9 par ek naye 11-mahine ka buland intehai takmeel ki, 53.0 ki giravat ki tawaqo ko paar kar diya. Ye musbat data manufacturing PMI mein ikhtisarat se chhota honay ko chhupa diya, jo ke 48.7 par gir gaya, 50.3 ki tawaqo ke mukable. UK ki iqtisadiat mein khidmati sektar ka numaindagi, jis ka kul kharch manufacturing ke 9.3% ke muqable mein 80% se zyada hai, yeh wazeh karta hai ke investors ne manufacturing ki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya. Market ab Japan ki tanqeedi data ki taraf rukh kar rahi hai jo ke is Jumma ko jari kiya jayega. Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ko 2.6% par mustaqil rakhne ki tawaqo hai, Bank of Japan ki sarfeen darj kar rahe hain. Bank ko bhi apni taza qist ka qarar samaetne ki tawaqo hai jisay wahi waqt ke qareeb jari kiya jayega. Investors Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ki press conference par khaas tawajjo denge kyun ke any aane wali monetary policy ki raah ko le kar koi ishara mil jaye.
Technical tor par, GBP/JPY currency pair 192.80 aur 193.00 ke darmiyan ek purani mukhalifat zone ke qareeb hai. Pair hal he mein aik range ke andar thora sa barabar 190.00 level ke ooper oscillate kar raha hai. Daily keemaat ke harkat April ke range ke andar mehdood rehti hai, jahan GBP/JPY sirf 194.00 par set March ke 9 saal ke uchayi se thora sa nichay hai. Wazeh raah ki kami ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ke liye overall jazbat aage se hai. Pair apni 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par aram se 184.90 ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Magar, kuch technical indicators traders ke darmiyan shak hai. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche hai, jo ke ek trendless market ko dikhata hai. Issi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo ke tashweesh ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator ko ek mumkinah ooper ki harkat ki isharaat hain lekin zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai ta ke ye ek mazboot ishara qarar diya ja sake. Agar bullish momentum mazboot hota hai, to GBP/JPY mukhalifat ko July 21, 2005 ki kam low 192.57 par test kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke January 2, 2024 ko sthapit uptrend line ko toor de. Aik kamiyabi ka breakout dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke GBP/JPY 193.52 ke mojooda uchayi ke upar ek naya 2024 high set kare, jahan 195.00 ke ilaqe ko agla mumkin maqsad samjha jaye.

GBP/JPY ke mutalliq guzishta din, jis ke baad top se bottom tak maqami support level ko azmana gaya, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 188.285 par waqai hai, keemat palat gayi aur aage chadhne ka silsila jaari raha. Rozana ke range ka ikhtitam hone ke natije mein, ek saaf bullish candle bana, jo ke shumal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mojooda halaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main poora intezar rakhta hoon ke keemat aage chadhne ka silsila jaari rakhegi, aur is halat mein, main resistance level ka nishana rakhta hoon, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 191.010 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, jaise ke maine pehle zikr kiya hai, do mumkinah manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar keemat is level ke oopar consolidate hona aur mazeed chadhna se mutalliq hai. Agar yeh mansooba anjam diya jata hai, to main keemat ko resistance level ki taraf chalne ka intezar karonga, jo ke 195.883 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karonga, jo ke karobar ke mazeed rukh ka taayun karne mein madad karega.

Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ke shumali manzil ki taraf rukh karne ke doran, rukawat ho sakti hai, jise main barqiyaati support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karonga, ummeed hai ke aam shumali rukh ke doran chandar perfect raha. Keemat resistance level 191.010 ke qareeb pohnchne par keemat ka rukh mein ek dusra mansooba ek bearish candle ke ikhtiyar aur southern movement ka ijra hoga. Agar yeh mansooba anjam diya jata hai, to main keemat ka intezar karonga ke support level par laut jaaye, jo 188.285 par waqai hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ka intezar karonga aur keemat ko aage chalne ka rukh karne ka intezar karonga. Beshak, dour kay zyada junubi maqasid ka nishana rakha ja sakta hai, lekin abhi tak main unko ghor nahi karta kyunke main unki jald realization ke liye koi tajziya nahi dekhta. Aam tor par, is ke jumla mein, aaj ke mojooda shumali signal jo nazdeeki aaina support level se bana hai, main poora intezar rakhta hoon ke keemat aage chalne ka silsila jaari rakhegi, aur is halat mein, main qareebi resistance level ka nishana rakhta hoon .

GBP/JPY currency

Iss haftay ki trading mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ki keemat mein izafa hota raha, lekin amooman trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur bullon ke qabzay mein mazeed izafa 192.24 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya, jab tak analysis likhne ke waqt 191.20 ke qareeb muqarar ho gaya. Japani yen ki kamzori aur Japan ke asnaad mein dakhal ke intezaar mein risk ka shauq bharakar, is haftay bullon ne trend par qabza kiya.

Maeeshati lehaz se aur global markazi bank policy ke mustaqbil ke hawale se. Bari Bank of England ka survey mahfooz ehtiyat ghataanay ke tasleemaat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Yeh aur aik tajziyah ke nishan hai ke UK ke karobarion ki keemat ki tawaqoat jari hain, jo ke Bank of England ko June mein interest darafat kaatne ka daawat karne par mazid bharosa faraham karti hain. Is hawale se, Bank of England ke liye Britain ke companies ke liye DMP survey ne agle saal consumer price index ke inflation ki tawaqoat ko 3.2% tak ghata diya tha, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kam ho gaya.

Unki taraf se, ma'aashiyat daan kehte hain ke inflaishan ki tawaqoat ka amomi juz paida hoga, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke kam ho rahi inflation ki tawaqoat Bank of England ko 2.0% maqsood tak wapas lana ka rasta hai. Mahana economic calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye teeno saal tak ke inflation ki tawaqoat March ke teen maah mein 2.7% tak gir gayi, yani February ke teen maah ke mukablay mein 0.1 percentage points kam hain. Halan ke inflation ki tawaqoat ghate jaari hain, ye darmiyanay doran ki tawaqoat bank ke maqsood 2.0% ke muqable mein wazeh rehti hain. Bank of England ke kuch sadasy haal hi mein keh rahe hain ke 2.0% ko haasil karne ke liye darafat ko lambay arse tak 5.25% par rakhna zaroori hai, jabke doosre jese Governor Andrew Bailey June mein darafat khatam karne ki taraf mutawaqqa nazar aate hain.

Magar inflaishan ki tawaqoat aur Britain ke companies ke dynamics ke trend mein saaf nazar hai. Khaas qisam ke inflation ka saalana daramad ko tawaqoat thi ke teen maahon mein March tak 4.1% tak gir gayi, jo ke February ke teen maahon mein 4.3% tak gir gayi thi.

Magar wazeh hai ke mukhtalif marhale par izafa khatam hone ki asal wajah tangdasti ka jayeza hai. Salana maeeshat ki mukhya moharib dabaav ko urooj par rakhte hain, magar woh bhi niche ja rahi hai. Saalana maeeshat ki giraawat teen maahon mein March tak 6.4% tak pohanch gayi, February ke teen maahon mein se 0.3 percentage points kam. Teen maahon ke musalsal ma'aashat ke darafat ke mutabiq, Britain ke companies apne silsile mein aa rahe 12 maahon mein apni maeeshat ki giraawat ko 1.5 percentage points tak kam hone ka intezar karte hain. Agle saal ki tawaqoat maeeshat 4.9% par giree thee teen maahon ke musalsal ma'aashat ke darafat ke mutabiq.

Saalana maeeshat ki giraawat teen maahon mein March tak 2.0% thi, jo ke February ke teen maahon mein 2.3% se kam thi. Agle saal ki tawaqoat maeeshat teen maahon mein March tak 1.4% thi, jo ke February ke teen maahon mein 0.2 percentage points kam thi. Ye mazeed saboot hai ke maeeshat ke bazari shiraiton mein rafu chakkar hota hai, jo ke maeeshat ki giraawat ko jaari rakhne aur inflaishan ko maqsood tak barqarar rakhne ke liye kaam karti hai.

Sterling ka Japani yen ke muqable mein mustaqbil ka manzarnama aaj:

Din ke chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British Pound ke keemat Japani Yen ke muqable mein (GBP/JPY) apne mazboot utarta rukh par hai, 192.00 resistance ke wapas qaim honay ke li

Britsh Pound - Japanese Yen. Currency pair/Instrument ka Technical analysis Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ka istemal karke saaf bullish junoon ko zahir karta hai. Heiken Ashi candle indicator, jo mojooda market forces ko dikhata hai, chart par shor ko samahne mein madad karta hai, takreeban technical analysis ko aasan bana deta hai aur trading faislon ki durusti aur sahiyat ko barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (surkha, neela aur peelay rangon ke line) do martaba smooth moving averages ke basis par support aur resistance lines banata hai aur instrumental ki movement ke mojooda hadood ko efektiv taur par dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath achi tarah kaam karne wala madadgar oscillator RSI indicator lagu hota hai.



Paish ki gayi chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke candles ne nila rang ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo ke ek kharidar ki tarjeeh ko darust karta hai. Qeemat ne lower channel boundary (surkha dotted line) ko guzargaya hai, minimum point se phir utra, channel tak laut aya, aur iske baad apni beech ki line (peela dotted line) ki taraf barh gaya. Is ke ilawa, RSI oscillator poori tarah se kharidari ki signal ko tasdeeq karta hai kyun ke iska curve ab upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is liye, hum ek lambi position ko kharidne ke liye kholte hain jise kam az kam upper channel boundary (neela dotted line) tak pohanchne ka maqsad hai jo ke 193.199 ke qeemat par hai. Is ke baad, position ko breakeven par shift kiya ja sakta hai, aur mazeed munafa ke liye intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

Shab bakhair dosto! April 25 ko GBP/JPY currency pair ki trading situation ka tajziya. GBP/JPY currency pair shumali choteeron ki simt barhta ja raha hai. Guzishta din ko sirf upar ki harkat ki darusti ke ilawa kuch nahi dekha gaya. Trading din ka ikhtitam hone par, pair margin target ko chhune ke qareeb tha - gray NKZ. Aaj Asian session mein quotes barhte rahe aur ProMaker indicator ke liye margin target No. 2 ko hasil kiya gaya - gray NKZ. Margin target ko update karne ke baad, mizaj mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi aur quotes barhte rahe hain. Mojooda munafa pasand qeemat ki sharaayati area mojooda zyada se zyada maximum se banai gayi hai, lekin barri sambhavna hai ke ek extreme ki tajdeed hogi balki margin zones ki taraf sudhar. Is waqt, margin zones ke lihaz se kharidne ke liye mojooda munafa pasand qeemat ki sharaayati area 1/4 aur 1/2 zard zones ke darmiyan hai jo 04/25/2024 ki maximum se banai gayi hai. Upper level of zone 1/4 - 193.409, upper level of zone 1/2 - 191.909 Technical target No. 1: 04/25/2024 ki maximum ki tajdeed - 194.909 Marginal target No. 2: sunehri rang ke NKZ ke neeche ki qeemat ki tajdeed - 196.686. Margin target No. 3: gray NKZ ke neeche ki qeemat ki tajdeed - 199.686. Is instrument ke liye kul: munafa pasand qeemat ke range se kharidari. Kharidari: 193.409-191.909, TP1-194.909, TP2- 196.686, TP3- 199.686. Ham sab ke liye munafa!

Aaj, quotes barhte rahe, maximum ko update karte hue, aur sirf European session ke khulne par level mojooda bana aur qeemat girne lagi. Humne din ka local maximum se zones banaye hain, jin par hum correction ka intizaar karenge. Sab se important cheez ye hai ke correction sunehri rang ke 1/4 zone tak mehdood ho, kyunke agey level 190.266 hai - jise paar karne par technical tor par upar ki harkat ka tod banega. Is liye pehle ye dekhte hain ke is level par dakhil hone ke mauqe kahan hain, jo ke stop set karne ke tor par bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is waqt, margin zones ke lihaz se kharidari ke liye mojooda munafa pasand qeemat ki sharaayati area 04/24/2024 ki maximum se banai gayi hai.

GBPJPY OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par, kal ek qabil-e-zikar bullish trend nazar aya, jise ek lamba bullish candle ne darust kiya, jo 192.82 aur 190.80 ke qeemat ke buland-o-neeche ko shaamil karta hai. Magar, ye surge baqaida tor par qeemat ko barhne ki be-rukhi ka suboot nahi deta. Market ek ahem consolidation phase mein hai, jo rozmarra ke chart par wazeh hai. Ek mustaqil barhav ke liye, is consolidation zone ke bahar ek breakthrough ka intezar zaroori hai. Agar kal ke high ko toora gaya, to daily resistance level 193.44 ki taraf ek possible barhav mumkin hai. Magar, mehdood range ke andar, qeemat ko ooncha karnay ke liye ek breakout zaroori hai, jisey ek projected target rally zone 214.00 tak pohanchta hai. Mukhalif tor par, upar zikar ki gayi high ko toornay mein kami ka matlab consolidation phase ka jari rahna hai, jis ke zariye daily support levels 192.07 ki taraf barhti mumkin hai, jise mazeed 191.24 tak barha ja sakta hai. Is tarah, market ke aglay qadam kal ke high ko toornay ya na toornay par mabni hai, jo jari consolidation ya bullish breakout ki taraf rukh ko daryaft karta hai.

GBPJPY H4 time frame chart par. Kharidare kal ke trading mein maqbuz thay jahan qeematain pooray Asian session mein EMA 633 ke ird gird ghoom rahi thi. Us waqt, qeemat 200 EMA ke neeche thi. European session mein dakhil hone par, kharidarein umeed dekhna shuru ki. Magar, us raat qeemat ko EMA 633 H4 se oopar le gaya gaya qeemat ko EMA 200 line se inkar mila jis se qeemat wapas EMA 633 H4 line par laut gayi. Lagta hai ke ab kharidarein phir se harkat kar rahe hain. EMA 633 rukawat hai, jo kharidarein ke dikhaye gaye bara movement ka shuru hai. Is ilaqay se qeemat ne zor se push kiya gaya hai jab tak EMA 200 H4 line par ek mukammal toorna aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H4 se upar ka crossover bana. Is bar kharidar dominance ne qeemat ko buland le aya hai lekin ise wapis mukhtalif kharidar ilaqa tak le gaya hai. Ye ilaqa ek mazboot rukawat hai jo abhi tak paar nahi ki gayi hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair




GBP/JPY currency pair mein ikhtilaaf aya, jo ke 190.34 tak gir gaya, jo ke 0.61% se zyada ki kami ka izhar karta hai. Ye giravat ise ahem nafsiyati rukawat 194.00 ke qareeb se guzarnay mein nakam banati hai. Is giravat ke bawajood, ek upri trend ka izhar hone ki isharaat hain. Ek ahem pehlu ye hai ke 190.70 mark ke aas paas mumkinah support hai, jo ke is jodi ke liye mazeed nuqsaan se bachane mein madadgar sabit hua hai. Analysts pair ke 191.00 ke resistance level ko paar karne ki ahmiyat ko zyada tor par stress dete hain takay ye 193.00 ke qareeb jane ki taraf taraqqi kar sake.

GBP/JPY exchange rate mein hali ki harkat ne forex trading mein nafsiyati levalon ki ahmiyat ko zahir kiya hai aur potential market shifts ka tajziya karne mein technical analysis ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai. Traders aur investors in levalon aur signals ko mutawajjah tor par dekh rahe hain taake woh apni currency pair ke positions ke bare mein aqalmandi se faislay kar sakein.

Dusri taraf, GBPJPY currency pair ab double tops ke banne ke baad neeche ki taraf ikhtilaaf ka ishaara kar raha hai jo ke 193.48 par ban gaye hain. Is pattern ke izhar ke baad market ka rukh neeche ki taraf mud gaya hai. Do Exponential Moving Averages apni positions ko sellers ko favor karne ke liye adjust kar chuke hain, jo ke ek mumkinah bearish trend ki isharaat dete hain.

Is ke ilawa, do ahem Fibonacci retracement levels, khas tor par 50.00% aur 61.8%, mojood hain mojooda qeemat se neeche. Magar, market ab mazeed mojooda hai, jo traders ke darmiyan ek dour e shak o shubat ko darust karta hai. Abhi, pair 190.54 ke support level ko samajh raha hai. Agar is level ko neeche paar kiya gaya, to ye mazeed neeche ki taraf rukh ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jise 189.63 par 100% Fibonacci level ko target karna mumkin hai. Mukhalifan, agar qeemat 50.00% aur 61.8% Fibonacci levels se ooper uth jati hai, to ye ek bullish mauqa darust kar sakta hai taake buyers market mein dakhil ho sakein. Traders ko in levels aur price actions ko tawajjuh se dekh kar apni trading strategies ke bare mein aqalmandi se faislay karne ki salahiyat hai.

GBP/JPY: Price Action Se Bazar Ke Rujhanat

GBP/JPY pair 192.77 tak gir gaya, is se darta hua ke is haftay ke unchaai ko paar karne mein nakami ka asar pada, jo ke bharat ke kisi khaas UK khidmat ki data ke lazmi tor par kamzor honay se tha. British pound UK ki khidmat sektar mein dekhi gayi kamzori se mutasir hui, jis se pair ki girawat hui. Is natije mein, investors ehtiyaat ikhtiyaar karte hain, unhe mazeed nivesh karne se pehle baraayi imarat ka jaaiza lene ka aehem samjha gaya. Japani authorities ke qoumi aamal ke mutaliq fikron ne bhi market ka mahol daboch dia. Magar, chal rahi marketi gatividhi ke doran, H4 chart par kuch Moving Averages (MAs) bullish sentiment ko support kar rahe hain. Agar yeh MAs mazboot support faraham karte rahen, to farokht karne wale apne positions ko kam kar sakte hain, jis se kharidari karne walon ko dobara bazar mein dakhil hone ka mouqa mil sakta hai. Is natije mein, aik moqaabla aara entry point ki pehchan karne ka munsifana samjhana mumkin hai.

Linear channel ke neeche ki had (lal dashed line se nishan lagaya gaya hai), is ne qeemat ke hawalay se neeche gir gaya, lekin yeh is level se phir se uth gaya hai aur ab channel ke darmiyan ki taraf muntaqil ho raha hai (peela dashed line se nishan lagaya gaya hai). Is ke ilawa, RSI (14) indicator kharidari signal ko tasdeeq karta hai, apni ooper ki raftar aur overbought threshold se faasla ke sath. In mushahidaat ke buniyad par, yeh samjha ja sakta hai ke kharidari kaarobaari asre mein bharpor kamiyabi ka imkaan rakhte hain, jo lambi positions ko shuru karne ko support karta hai. Main take profit point ko darust karta hoon ke ooper channel ki had (neela dashed line) par hota hai, jo ke 193.199 ki qeemat par hota hai. Bazar ki harkat amooman ghair mutawaqqi hoti hai, is liye jab order munafa kamane lagta hai to position ko break even par adjust karna munasib hai. Daily chart ki tahlil ke buniyad par, GBP/JPY pair mein mazboot uroojati trend dekha gaya hai, jo ke 192.00 ke resistance level ke ooper ki significant uthaai hai, jo ke technical indicators ko buland overbought levels ki taraf barhaata hai.

GBP/JPY ke mutalliq guzishta din ki tasveer dekhne se lagta hai ke is pair mein maqami support level ki tajziya aham hai. Maqami support level ka azmaish karne ke baad jo level nikla hai, wo 188.287 par hai, jo ke aap ki tajziya ke mutabiq hai. Is tajziya ki base par, yeh level qeemati ho sakta hai is pair ke liye. Maqami support levels currency pairs ke trading mein aham hotay hain, kyunki yeh traders ko pata lagata hai ke kis level par currency pair ke daam gir sakta hai aur wahaan se phir se oonchaayi tak chadh sakta hai. Maqami support levels ko azma kar traders ko currency pair ke future ke mutalliq sochne mein madad milti hai aur unhein trading strategies banane mein rehnumai faraham hoti hai. GBP/JPY ke case mein, agar maqami support level 188.287 par hai, toh yeh level trading ke liye crucial ho sakta hai. Agar is level par currency pair gir jata hai, toh yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein bearish sentiment ho sakti hai aur traders ko selling opportunities ka mawad mil sakta hai. Saath hi, agar yeh support level hold karta hai aur currency pair is se oopar chala jata hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka sign ho sakta hai aur traders ko buying opportunities nazar aa sakti hain. Is tajziya ke base par, traders ko mukhtalif scenarios ko samajhne aur unke liye tayyar rehne ki zarurat hai. Agar support level tod jata hai, toh traders ko stop-loss orders set karne aur selling positions ko consider karne ki zarurat ho sakti hai. Saath hi, agar support level hold karta hai, toh traders ko entry points dhundhne aur long positions ko consider karne ki zarurat ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko market ki tamam factors ko bhi ghor se dekhna hoga, jaise economic indicators, geopolitical events aur central bank policies. Yeh factors currency pairs ke movement par asar daal sakte hain aur traders ko unke trading decisions mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Overall, maqami support level ki tajziya aham hai GBP/JPY ke trading ke liye, aur traders ko is level ko madda-e-asas lekar trading strategies banani chahiye. Saath hi, market ke mukhtalif factors ko bhi ghor se dekhna hoga taake woh sahi trading decisions le sakein.

GBP/JPY ka tajziya karne ke liye, haal hi mein izafaat ka chart dekha ja sakta hai. Jodi ne 190.10 ke ahem support level se bahar nikal kar zyada traction hasil kiya hai. Ek izafaat ki lehar 190.30 ke support level se oopar laut kar shuru hui hai. Mazboot daily uptrend ke baa'is par, jodi zahiran oopar ki taraf jaari rahegi jis takriban 191.50 tak. Alligator indicator moving averages ke neeche hai aur Heiken-Ashi indicator ek oopar ki taraf movement ko darust karta hai, isliye jodi zahiran 190.40 tak oopar jaari rahegi. Is nateejay mein, GBP/JPY ka izafaat ke rukh 191.20 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Jodi shayad us resistance level ko toorna sakay. GBP/JPY ke baray mein, kal ke din price mein ghair yaqeeni uthao dekha gaya, jo ek indecision ki shama ke sath thori bullish taraf raha. Ye shama peechle din ki unchi ko paar kar gayi apni ooper ki sira se. Overall, main ye samajhta hoon ke jo ikhtraq pattern ban gaya hai, wo ikhtiyar kar sakti hai ek tawil toofani break out ka, jisme uttarward movement ka potential hai. Jesa ke pehle zikar kiya gaya tha, mujhe resistance level ka moniter karna hai, jo ke mere analysis ke mutabiq 191.318 par waqia hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla manzar hai ke price is level ke ooper consolidation kare, phir mazeed uparward movement ho. Aise manzar mein, main price ka agle resistance level jo 195.883 par hai, ka intezar karunga.


Is waqt, main future trading decisions ke liye ek trading setup dhoondhunga. Magar main jaanta hoon ke market ke rukh aur uncertainty ko samajhna zaroori hai. Isliye, mere pass ek trading strategy hai jo meri nazar mein kaafi mufeed hai. Meri strategy ka pehla hissa hai technical analysis. Main charts aur price patterns ko dhyan se dekhta hoon taake market ke trends aur reversals ko samajh sakoon. GBP/JPY ke case mein, maine notice kiya hai ke price ne ek consolidation phase enter kiya hai, jo ek indecision ki shama ke sath tha. Is se mujhe ye indication milti hai ke market mein tawajjuh aur movement mein izafa hone ka imkan hai. Dusra hissa meri strategy ka fundamental analysis hai. Main market ke fundamental factors ko bhi ghor se dekhta hoon, jaise economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events. Ye sab factors currency pairs ke movements par asar daal sakte hain. Isliye, main GBP/JPY ke fundamental drivers par bhi nazar rakhta hoon taake future price action ka andaza laga sakoon. Akhir mein, risk management bhi bohot ahem hai. Main hamesha apne trades ke liye stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karta hoon taake nuqsan se bach sakoon aur faida haasil kar sakoon. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main apne trading setup ko taiyar karta hoon aur future mein GBP/JPY ke liye behtareen trading decisions lena chahta hoon.

Mangal ko brito pound ne japani yen ke muqablay mein mustaqbil ko mazid mazid barha diya, jo ke UK ki khidmatat sector mein ek musbat taajjub ki taraf rawana hua. UK Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) April mein 54.9 par pohanch kar ek naye 11-mahana uncha par pohanch gaya, jise 53.0 par girne ki tawaqo se zyada nikala gaya tha. Ye musbat data, manufacturing PMI mein tangi ko maqoolat se takra deti hai, jo ke 48.7 par gir gaya tha mukhtalif tawaqo se mukablay mein 50.3. UK ki arzi shura, jis mein manufacturing ka 9.3% mukammal production ke muqablay 80% se zyada hissa leti hai, yeh wajah hai ke investors ne manufacturing ki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya. Market ka fikar ab Japan ki aane wali mahinay ki inflation data par tawajjo jata rahi hai jo ke Jumma ko jari kiya jayega. Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ko 2.6% par qaaim rakhne ki tawaqo ki jati hai, jise Bank of Japan ki interest rate decision ke mutalliq mutawaqa kiya jata hai. Bank ka aakhri first-quarter outlook report bhi isi waqt jari kiya jayega. Investors Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke press conference par khaas tor par dhiyan denge kyun ke future monetary policy ki taraf isharaat ke liye.

Takniki tor par, GBP/JPY currency pair ek pehchanne wali resistance zone ke qareeb ja raha hai jo 192.80 aur 193.00 ke darmiyan hai. Pair haal hi mein aik range mein trading kar raha hai, jo key 190.00 ke zaraiya ke oopar thori se range hai. Rozana ke keemat ke harkaat April ke range ke andar mehdood hain, jahan GBP/JPY March mein set ki gayi 194.00 ki no 9 sal ki unchi ke qareeb hai. Wazeh rukh ki kami ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ke liye overall lehja bullish hai. Pair apne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 184.90 par hai ke oopar aram se trade kar raha hai. Magar, kuch takneeki indicators traders ke darmiyan hichkichahat ko ishaarat dete hain. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehta hai, jo ke ek trendless market ki taraf isharaat karta hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ird gird ghoomta hai, jo ke tajjub ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator aik mumkin upside move ki isharaat deta hai magar ek mazid impetus ki zaroorat hai taake yeh mazboot signal samjha jaye. Agar bullish momentum mazboot hota hai, to GBP/JPY July 21, 2005 ki kamzor low par 192.57 par resistance ko test kar sakta hai aur shayad January 2, 2024 ko qaim ki gayi uptrend line ko paar kar sakta hai. Aik kamiyaab breakout se GBP/JPY aik naya 2024 ka uncha set kar sakta hai mojooda peak 193.52 ke oopar, jahan 195.00 ka ilaqa agla mumkin target hai.

Munthly chart dekho, ajj is GBPJPY currency pair ko dekhna theek hai kyunki yahan aik ahem waqiya hai: pichle trading week mein ek oopri uthao ke baad, 2015 mein thaar ikhtitami zyada tareen 195.83 ko update kardiya gaya. Aur yeh sellers ko umeed dilata hai ke qeemat phir bhi neeche ki taraf tajwez shuru karegi; magar phir bhi, qeemat is maximum ke oopar hai potensial sale zone mein. Halankeh, behtareen halat mein aise bullish impulse ke khilaf kam karna nahi chahte, lekin upar khareedari karna behtareen hal nahi hai. Yeh pair wohi dollar aur yen ne upar kiya jo upar tezi se chale gaye. Ab Japanese currency ke sath trade karna kafi bura faisla hai; mein unhein thora sa waqt chor doonga jab tak koi qisam ki sukoon shuru na ho. Is puranay chart par aur kya dekha ja sakta hai, CCI indicator par bearish divergence, jo un logon ko umeed deta hai jo sale mein atke hue hain. Woh mahino tak intezaar karne ke liye tayar hain, bas qeemat ulat jaye aur unke depositat salamat rahein.

Saptahik chart par qareeb se dekhte hain; abhi tak kam dekhne ka koi faida nahi hai; har muddat mein locomotive aik begaani manzil ke sath oopar ki taraf tezi se ja rahi hai. Yahan, istemal kiye jane wale MACD indicator par bearish divergence tha aur hai, lekin yeh bilkul madad nahi ki, qeemat agay badh gayi jaise kuch bhi na ho. Halankeh shayad ab yeh akhir mein kaam karna shuru karega kyunki upar zikar ki gayi ittihadi zyada tareen ko update kardiya gaya hai, mujhe nahi pata. Yahan bhi, CCI indicator ne bhi upar ki garmi ke zone mein gehraiyon mein chadha. Mujhe yahan khareedari ka koi maqsad nahi nazar aata, lekin bechna ke liye, kam az kam chaar ghanton ke chart par kuch ban na chahiye. Kuch range aur resistance level kam az kam.

Chart monthly hai; aaj ke liye yeh sahi hai ke is GBPJPY currency pair ko dekha jaye kyun ke yahan aik ahem waqiya hai: peechle trading week ke baad, 2015 mein pichli taqreeban 195.83 ka itihaadi zyada, jo ke 2015 mein tha, update kiya gaya. Aur yeh sellers ko umeed dilata hai ke keemat phir bhi neeche ki taraf mudawamat shuru kar degi; lekin keemat is maximum ke upar hai potential sales zone mein. Haan, zaroor, aise bullish impulse ke khilaf neeche kaam karna nahi chahiye, lekin upar kharidna bhi behtar hal nahi hai. Yeh pair wahi dollar aur yen ne upar ki taraf dhakka diya jo tezi se upar chale gaye. Abhi Japanese currency ke saath trading karna ek kafi bura faisla hai; main unhein kuch waqt ke liye akela chor doonga jab tak kuch sukoon ka aghaz na ho. Is purani chart par aur bhi kya dekha ja sakta hai, CCI indicator par bearish divergence, jo ke un logon ko umeed dilata hai jo sales mein phans gaye hain. Unhein mahino tak intezaar karne ke liye tayar hai, bas ke keemat palat jaye aur unke deposits bach jayein.

Chalen haftay ke chart par nazdeek dekhte hain; abhi ke liye kam dekhne ka koi faida nahi hai; har muddat mein engine aik samajh se bahar taraqqi se upar ja raha hai. Yahan, MACD indicator istemal kiya gaya hai, aur bearish divergence tha aur hai, lekin yeh kisi bhi tarah madad nahi ki, keemat agay chali gayi jaise ke yeh koi cheez hi nahi thi. Haan shayad ab yeh finally kaam karne lagega kyun ke upar zikar ki gayi itihaadi zyada update ho gayi hai, mujhe nahi pata. Yahan bhi wahi CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein gaya hai. Main yahan kharidne mein koi maqsad nahi dekhta, lekin bechna ke liye, chhota sa bhi, kuch upar se banna chahiye. Kuch range aur resistance level kam se kam chaar ghante ka chart par.

GBPJPY OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par, kal aik qabil-e-zikar bullish trend zahir tha, jise ek lamba bullish candle ki shakal mein dekha gaya, jo ke keemat ke unchaai aur nichaai ko shamil karta hai 192.82 aur 190.80 par. Magar, yeh uthaan keemat ko beqaaedah upar ki raftar ki taraf ishara nahi karta. Market ek ahem consolidation phase ke andar hai, jo daily chart par nazar aa raha hai. Ek mustaqil upar ki raftar ke liye, is consolidation zone ke pareekshan ka intezaar zaroori hai. Agar kal ke unchaai ko toorna jaye, to daily resistance level 193.44 ki taraf aik mumkin upar ki raftar ho sakti hai. Magar, mehdood range ke doraan, ek breakout ke liye zaroori hai ke keemat ko unchaaiyon tak le jaane ke liye, jisme ek mansoobat ka nishana hai jo 214.00 tak phailta hai. Mukhtalif taur par, ager upar di gayi unchaai ko toorna na ho, to is consolidation phase ka jari rehna, daily support levels ki taraf neeche ki raftar ke imkaanat hain 192.07 par, jo shayad mazeed 191.24 tak phail sakta hai. Is tarah, market ke agle qadam kal ke unchaai ya us ke tootne par bohot zyada mabni hai, jo ya to continued consolidation ya bullish breakout ki taraf raftar ka nirdesh karega.

GBPJPY H4 time frame chart par. Kharidaron ko kal ke trading mein uncha tha jahan keemat Asian session ke doran EMA 633 ke ird gird ghoom rahi thi. Us waqt, keemat 200 EMA ke neeche thi. European session mein dakhil hone par, kharidaron ko umeed milti dikhayi gayi. Magar, us raat ke waqt, keemat jo ke EMA 633 H4 line se upar chali gayi thi, woh EMA 200 line se reject hui, jis se keemat phir se EMA 633 H4 line par wapas chali gayi. Aesa lag raha hai ke ab kharidaron ka dobara harkat ka waqt hai. EMA 633 resistance hai, jo ke kharidaron ki taraf se dikhaye gaye bara movement ka aghaz hai. Is ilaqe se keemat ne zor se dhakka diya jab tak aik perfect breakout EMA 200 H4 line par na ho gaya aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H4 se upside crossover ban gaya. Is dafa kharidar dominance ne keemat ko zyada ooncha le gaya lekin use wapas mukhtalif kar diya gaya hai. Yeh ilaqa aik mazboot resistance hai jo abhi tak toot nahi paya hai.

GBP/JPY: Price action ke zariye market trends

GBP/JPY jodi 192.77 tak gir gayi, jis se darjaat ki roshni mein ehtiyaat ka izhar hota hai, is haftay ke unchaayi ko paar karne mein naqami, jo bharat ki khidmaton ke maandar data ki kharabi ki wajah se hoti hai. British pound ko UK ki khidmaton ke sector mein dekhi gayi khafeefi ka asar dikh raha hai, jo jodi ke nichi mor par le aya. Es ke natayaj mein, investors ne azeem nivesh ki taraf rukh karne se pehle mawazna karne ka intikhab kiya. Japani hukoomat ke aamaal se mutaliq khalayalat bhi market ki jazbat ko muzahim kiya. Magar, jari marketi fa'alat mein, H4 chart par kuch moving averages (MAs) ne bullish jazbat ke liye sahara faraham kar rahe hain. Agar ye MAs mazboot sahara faraham karte rahen, to sellers apni positions ko kam kar sakte hain, jis se kharidari karne walon ko dobara market mein shamil honay ka imkan mil sakta hai. Es tahqeeq ke mutabiq, ek moqa'een dakhil hone ka moqa faraham ho raha hai takay lambi position shuru ki jaa sakti hai.

Haan jab keemat ke hawale se linear channel ke lower boundary ke neeche gir gayi thi (jo surkhi dotted line se darjaat hai), to unko is level se pheer diya gaya aur ab yeh channel ke central line (zard dotted line) ki taraf trend kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI (14) indicator bhi kharidari ka signal tasdeeq karta hai, apne uttarvarti rukh aur overbought had se door hone ke faasle ke saath. In tasurat ke buniyad par, ye kaha ja sakta hai ke kharidari ke trades mein kamyabi ka buhat bara imkan hai, lambi positions shuru karne ki tawajjo dilaane waale. Mein umeed karta hoon ke take profit point 193.199 ke darje par channel ka upper boundary (neela dotted line) ke qareeb hoga. Kyunki marketi harkaat aksar ghair mustaqil hoti hain, to jab order munafa bana ho to us ko break even karne ke liye munasib hai. Rozana chart ke tajziye ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY jodi ne qawi uruj dikhaya hai, jaisa ke 192.00 resistance level se oopar ki girah mein nazar aata hai, jo ke technical indicators ko zyada overbought levels ki taraf pohnchne mein mazeed mazbooti deta hai.