نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

approach karna zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hoti hai, aur behtareen trends mein bhi sharp reversals aa sakte hain. Stop-loss orders ko sahi tareeqay se set karna aapke capital ko protect karne ke liye intehai zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high ke just upar stop-loss rakhna potential losses ko limit karne mein madad de sakta hai agar market aapke position ke against move kare. Traders ko un key economic events ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakti hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyon se currency pair mein sudden movements aa sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain.
NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par is waqt sellers ke liye ek compelling case pesh kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke paas multiple opportunities hain taake wo pair ke further declines se faida utha sakein. Agar traders retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko ache se analyze karein, toh wo strategically apne aap ko bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain. Magar, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics ko effect karne wale developments par nazar rakhna intehai zaroori hai. Agar aap sahi approach ikhtiyar karte hain, toh NZD/USD market ke current conditions profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain un logon ke liye jo trading karna chahte hain.

USD /USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support

Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gi

0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

/USD joore mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai aur yeh 0.6300 ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai, jab ke traders ka focus ab US ISM Manufacturing PMI aur JOLTS Job Openings data par hai. US Dollar ne apna haftay ka naya buland level hasil kar liya hai jab ke kaafi saara US economic data anay wala hai.
China ke massive stimulus ke elan ne Kiwi dollar ki taqat ko qaim rakha hai, lekin iske bawajood NZD/USD pair Tuesday ke New York session mein significant selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh pressure 0.6350 ke key resistance level ke upar dekhne ko mila aur ab yeh 0.6300 ke crucial support level ke qareeb hai. Kiwi asset kamzor ho gaya hai jab ke US Dollar ne apna haftay ka tazah high banaya hai. Investors ab ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain kyun ke United States (US) ke economic data ka intezar kiya ja raha hai jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate outlook ko asar andaz kar sakta hai.

Aaj ke session mein, traders ka focus September ke liye US ISM Manufacturing PMI aur August ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data par hoga, jo 14:00 GMT par shaya kiya jayega. ISM Manufacturing PMI ka andaaza lagaya gaya hai ke yeh thoda behtar ho kar 47.5 tak barh jaye ga, jo pehle August mein 47.2 tha. Magar yeh phir bhi factory sector mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Jis tarah July mein dekha gaya tha, Job Openings ke bhi musalsal rahe ne ka imkaan hai aur yeh 7.67 million tak barh sakta hai.

Is week ke akhir mein US ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, aur Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data bhi focus mein rahenge. Yeh sab data markets ke liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh US economy ki health aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate decisions par asar daal sakte hain

NZD/USD ka 30-minute chart ek bullish trend dikhata hai jisme key liquidity zones (DLiq) aur fair value gaps (FVG) price action ko influence kar rahe hain. 24 September ke qareeb, price ne 0.62800 level se ek mazboot upward movement shuru kiya, jo 0.62600 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone (DLiq) se bounce karta hua upar chala gaya. Ye liquidity zone ek ahem support ke taur par kaam kar raha tha, jis se price tez taraqqi karte hue upar jaane laga. Jab price upar gaya, toh kai FVGs (fair value gaps) bane. Ek noticeable FVG qareeb 0.63000 level par tha, jo pullback point ke taur par kaam aya jab price apni chadhaai jaari rakhi. Jab price 0.63400 ke qareeb pohanchi, to ek aur liquidity zone (DLiq) bana, jo ziyada buying interest ko reflect karta tha. Market phir se 0.63500 level ki taraf tez upar gaya, jo ek higher resistance zone ko test kar raha tha.
26 aur 27 September ko price action ne strong bullish momentum dikhayi jab price 0.63300 resistance ko tor gaya. Yahan par ek aur FVG bana jab market ne higher highs ko test karte hue apni chadhaai jaari rakhi. Lekin jab price 0.63600 mark ke qareeb pohncha, toh liquidity zones upar banne lage, jo is baat ka ishara karte hain ke sellers is higher resistance level par stepping in kar sakte hain. Filhal, price 0.63476 par trade kar raha hai, jo haali mein 0.63600 level se pullback karke aaya hai. Jo consolidation 0.63200 aur 0.63400 ke darmiyan ho raha hai, wo ek key support aur resistance range hai jo dekhne layak hai. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh hum 0.63000 level ya us se bhi neeche wapas jaane ki umeed rakh sakte hain, aur agla significant support zone 0.62800-0.62600 par hoga, jahan ziyada liquidity mojood hai.

Summary mein, jab ke price ne strong upward momentum dikhayi hai, key liquidity zones aur fair value gaps NZD/USD ke direction ko tay karne mein ahem role ada karenge. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh higher levels ko test karne jaari rakh sakta hai, lekin agar yeh is level se neeche tor gaya, toh neeche levels ka retest mumkin hai.

NZD/USD Currency Pair ka Bairshi Rujaān


NZD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek bairshi rujhaan dikhaya hai, jo ke 0.6210 ke support level ki taraf girne ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Ye nazar aayi hai ke bazar ke hisse daar aur bhi neeche girne ki umeed rakh rahe hain, jo ke mukhtalif technical indicators aur ma’ashi asbaab say mutasir hai.
Bazar ka Jazba: Umeed aur Waqai


Jab traders NZD/USD pair ka jaiza lete hain, toh mehsoos hota hai ke jazba khushgawar nahi hai. 0.6210 tak girne ki jo pehlschahi hai wo sirf ek jazbati benchmark nahi hai; balki ye pehle ki hargaau par bhiraki dastak de raha hai, jahan bazar ne is level par pichle mawaqit mein react kiya hai. Jab bazar is level par pohochta hai, toh ye long positions se stop-loss orders kholne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke mazeed farokht ka sabab banta hai.
Tasalsul: 0.6210 ke Baad Ka Manzar


Jab bazar 0.6210 par pohochta hai, traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ek mumkinah corrective move ke liye 0.6265 ki taraf. Ye level ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki ye pehle ki resistance point hai jo ab resistance ka kirdar ada kar sakta hai jab isay breach kiya jaata hai. 0.6265 ka niche se retest karna traders ke liye ek short-term mauqa faraham kar sakta hai jahan wo expected pullback se faida utha sakte hain, lekin yahan dhyaan rakhna hoga ke yeh bearish trend dobara shuru hone se pehle ka mauqa hai.
MACD aur RSI Indicators ka Jaiza


MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is waqt ek bairshi divergence ko dikhata hai, halankeh ye zero line ke upar hai. Ye divergence yeh darust karta hai ke jabke bazar ne pehle taqat dikhai, lekin ab momentum neeche ki taraf shift ho raha hai. MACD ka neeche ki taraf jana ye zahir karta hai ke bechne walon ka control barh raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke liye bairshi nazar ka support karta hai.

Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought territory ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke bairshi nazariya ko mazeed inhasir karta hai. Agar RSI 50 ke level se neeche girta hai, toh ye bechaini ka izhar hoga aur mazeed girawat ki nishandahi karega.
Ma’ashi Asbab: NZD/USD Par Asar


Kai ma’ashi asbab bhi NZD/USD pair ke liye bairshi jazbat ki taraf faraham kar rahe hain. New Zealand aur United States ke ma’ashi data releases, jaise ke rozgar ke figures, inflation rates, aur central bank interest rate faislay, currency pair ki harkaat ko baray asar daal sakti hain. Agar Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rukh ko dovish banaata hai ya agar U.S. ke ma’ashi indicators umeed se zyada behtar rehte hain, toh NZD aur bhi USD ke mukablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai.

Is nazar-sani se traders ko Yaqeen hota hai ke unhe NZD/USD pair ke mawaqe par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo market ke rujhaan ko samajh sakein aur behtar trading decisions le sakein.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Ka Behrayi Rukh


NZD/USD currency pair ne haal mein ek bearish rukh dikhaya hai, jo ke 0.6210 ke support level ki taraf girne ki sambhavna ko zahir karta hai. Ye nazariya jahaan market participants aage ke girawatt ke liye tayar hain, kai technical indicators aur macroeconomic factors se mutasir ho sakta hai.
Market Ki Mehsoosiyat


Jab traders NZD/USD pair ka jaiza lete hain, to unka mehsoosiyat aksar pessimistic nazar aa raha hai. 0.6210 ki taraf girna ek ahem support level hai. Ye sirf ek psikolojik benchmark nahi hai, balke isse pehle ke price movements ne bhi is level par market ki reaction ko zahir kiya hai. Is point par girawat ka aana long positions se kayi stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke bechne ki pressure ko barha sakta hai.
Potential Corrective Move


Jab market 0.6210 ke target par pohanchta hai, to traders ko 0.6265 par potential corrective movement ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Ye level ek pehle ka resistance point hai, jo ab resistance ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Is level ka niche se retest karna short-term ke liye traders ko ek mauqa de sakta hai ke woh pullback se faida uthayen, pehle se bearish trend ka daira banaye rakhne se pehle.

Aise corrective moves khud trendin markets mein aksar hotay hain; ye aksar traders ko aakhri mauqa dete hain ke woh un positions mein shamil ho sakte hain jo ke chal rahi shadid rukh ke mutabiq hain. Halaanki, 0.6265 ki taraf rally ki taqat chudti rahegi. Agar price is level ko torne mein nakam hoti hai, toh ye bearish rukh ko barqarar rakhega aur aage ki girawat ka sahi asar dega.
Technical Indicators Ka Jaiza


MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator filhal bearish divergence ko zahir kar raha hai jabke ye zero line se upar hai. Ye divergence dikhata hai ke jab market pehle majboot tha, ab momentum niche ki taraf shift ho raha hai. MACD ki downward trajectory ye saaf karta hai ke sellers control le rahe hain, jo NZD/USD pair ke bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought territory ki taraf ja raha hai, jo bearish nazariye ko mazeed mazboot karta hai. Agar RSI niche ki taraf girta hai, khaaskar agar ye 50 level se neeche chale jata hai, toh ye bechne ki pressure ko dikhayega aur mazeed girawat ka indication de sakta hai.
Macroeconomic Factors Ka Asar


Kayi macroeconomic factors bhi NZD/USD pair ke bearish mehsoosiyat ko barhane mein madadgar hain. New Zealand aur United States se aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank ki interest rate decisions, is currency pair ki movements par significant asar daal sakte hain. Agar Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) dovish zehniyat ikhtiyar karta hai ya agar U.S. economic indicators umeed se behtar aate hain, toh NZD USD ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai.
Kuli Natija


Khatam karte hue, NZD/USD pair 0.6210 support level ki taraf girne ke liye tayar hai, aur iske bad 0.6265 par corrective rally ke chances hain. Bearish outlook ko technical indicators, jaise MACD aur RSI ka support hai, jo bechne ki pressure ko zahir karte hain. Jaise jaise market evolve hota hai, traders ko kisi bhi economic khabron par nazar rakhni chahiye jo is pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Achhi analysis aur strategic positioning is anticipated volatility ko navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger Gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche
Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai

Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal kareg

NZD/USD ka 30-minute chart ek bullish trend dikhata hai jisme key liquidity zones (DLiq) aur fair value gaps (FVG) price action ko influence kar rahe hain. 24 September ke qareeb, price ne 0.62800 level se ek mazboot upward movement shuru kiya, jo 0.62600 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone (DLiq) se bounce karta hua upar chala gaya. Ye liquidity zone ek ahem support ke taur par kaam kar raha tha, jis se price tez taraqqi karte hue upar jaane laga. Jab price upar gaya, toh kai FVGs (fair value gaps) bane. Ek noticeable FVG qareeb 0.63000 level par tha, jo pullback point ke taur par kaam aya jab price apni chadhaai jaari rakhi. Jab price 0.63400 ke qareeb pohanchi, to ek aur liquidity zone (DLiq) bana, jo ziyada buying interest ko reflect karta tha. Market phir se 0.63500 level ki taraf tez upar gaya, jo ek higher resistance zone ko test kar raha tha. 26 aur 27 September ko price action ne strong bullish momentum dikhayi jab price 0.63300 resistance ko tor gaya. Yahan par ek aur FVG bana jab market ne higher highs ko test karte hue apni chadhaai jaari rakhi. Lekin jab price 0.63600 mark ke qareeb pohncha, toh liquidity zones upar banne lage, jo is baat ka ishara karte hain ke sellers is higher resistance level par stepping in kar sakte hain. Filhal, price 0.63476 par trade kar raha hai, jo haali mein 0.63600 level se pullback karke aaya hai. Jo consolidation 0.63200 aur 0.63400 ke darmiyan ho raha hai, wo ek key support aur resistance range hai jo dekhne layak hai. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh hum 0.63000 level ya us se bhi neeche wapas jaane ki umeed rakh sakte hain, aur agla significant support zone 0.62800-0.62600 par hoga, jahan ziyada liquidity mojood hai.

Summary mein, jab ke price ne strong upward momentum dikhayi hai, key liquidity zones aur fair value gaps NZD/USD ke direction ko tay karne mein ahem role ada karenge. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh higher levels ko test karne jaari rakh sakta hai, lekin agar yeh is level se neeche tor gaya, toh neeche levels ka retest mumkin

NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger Gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche
Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai
NZD/USD pair ke bearish mehsoosiyat ko barhane mein madadgar hain. New Zealand aur United States se aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank ki interest rate decisions, is currency pair ki movements par significant asar daal sakte hain. Agar Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) dovish zehniyat ikhtiyar karta hai ya agar U.S. economic indicators umeed se behtar aate hain, toh NZD USD ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai

NZD/USD

NZD/USD Currency Pair ka Jaiza (D1 Period Chart)

Agar hum D1 period chart par NZD/USD currency pair ka mutaala karein, to dekhne mein aata hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, jismein shamil hai:
US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad
US core orders for durable goods
US core price index of personal consumption expenditures
US durable goods orders ka volume
US gross domestic product (GDP)
US GDP deflator
US mein unemployment benefits ke liye naye applications ki tadaad

Aur 16:20 par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bhi ek speech hoga.

NZD/USD ka Taja Jaiza:

NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.

Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai.

RBNZ ke halia rate cut aur cautious outlook ne yeh dar paida kiya hai ke mazeed monetary easing ka imkaan hai, jo NZD/USD ke upside potential ko had tak mehdood kar sakta hai

NZD/USD pair abhi liquidity areas aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) ke asar mein zones ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka intezaar kar raha hai jo agle direction ka taayun karega, jisme buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye compete kar rahe hain Click image for larger version

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka intezaar kar raha hai jo agle direction ka taayun karega, jisme

art of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri



taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger Gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche