US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.
**Weekly Forecast:**
Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.
**NZD/USD Analysis:**
NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.
**Technical Analysis:**
Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain.
**Weekly Forecast:**
Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.
**NZD/USD Analysis:**
NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.
**Technical Analysis:**
Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain.
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