نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

pair ne tisray din musalsal izafa dekha aur Friday ki subh European trading session mein qareeban 0.6250 par trade ho raha tha. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka izafa hua China ke Markazi Bank ke interest rate ke faislay ke baad. People's Bank of China ne apni aik saal aur paanch saal ki lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. New Zealand ki economy China ke sath qareebi tijarati taluqat rakhti hai, is liye Chinese economy mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka seedha asar New Zealand market par hota hai. New Zealand ke taaza GDP data ke mutabiq doosray quarter mein GDP mein 0.2% ka contraction hua, jo pehle quarter ke muqable mein kam tha. Yeh girawat forecast ki gayi 0.4% contraction se kam thi. Saal dar saal, economy mein 0.5% ki contraction hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. October mein markets ne ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut poori tarah se price-in kar liya hai. US dollar par dabao barqarar hai jabke Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak ho sakte hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne kaha ke Federal Reserve ka recent rate cut US economy ke liye aik positive sign hai. Unhon ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mein substantial kami hui hai aur yeh 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Waqt ke sath labor market bhi achi performance dikhata raha hai. NZD/USD pair aaj ka behtareen performer raha jabke investors Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar positive momentum hasil kiya hai jo ke pichlay haftay upward movement ke raste mein rukaawat bana raha tha. Agar is line ke upar close hota hai, to aur zyada buying ka imkan hai, lekin investors ko mazeed market exposure barhane ke liye kuch aur karna par sakta hai. Khaaskar, agar February 2023 aur December ke highs ko connect kartay hue bearish line 0.6233 par break hoti hai, to yeh aur mazeed gains ka saboot ho sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ke bearish line ko 0.6290 par hit kar sakti hai. October 2022 se February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci c

NZD/USD Price Movement

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pichli haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek tang range mein trade kiya, jo 0.6010 par close hua. Yeh lagatar saatwe din hai jab price movement seemit rahi, jo is pair ke liye consolidation ka darust karti hai. Technical indicators mixed outlook pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level 50 ke aas-paas hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke beech balance dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat ho gaya hai, jo clear directional momentum ki kami ko darust karta hai. Lekin, MACD par positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ka ishara deti hain.

NZD/USD pair ko turant resistance 0.6000 ke psychologically important level par face karna pad raha hai. Agar is level par successful break hota hai, to yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 ki taraf rally ka darwaza khol sakta hai, aur shayad 0.6150 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh downtrend ke dobarah shuru hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jiske potential targets 0.5900 hain.

NZD/USD Analysis

Daily aur hourly time frames ki analysis humein NZD/USD par bearish scenario dikhati hai. Price ab 0.6175 par hai aur bulls ne Friday ko apni value kho di. Is tarah, investors kal ki market action se NZD/USD par bearish scenario ko samajh sakte hain. Maujooda halat ne bears, yaani sellers, ko mazbooti di hai, jo is waqt 0.6175 level par positioned hain. Yeh development yeh darust karti hai ke market behavior ab bulls ki bajaye bears ke haq mein hai.

Akhir mein, bearish trend mazboot nazar aata hai. Is context mein, main sell entry ki salahiyat deta hoon, jiska modest target 0.6152 level par set kiya gaya hai. Yeh goal ongoing downtrend ka faida uthane ke liye strategic approach ko darust karta hai, jabke risk ko bhi achhe se manage kiya ja sake.

Bulls short-term goals ke liye buy entry khol sakte hain aur apne targets 0.6200 par rakh sakte hain. Isliye, successful trade ke liye market sentiment par nazar rakhna aur available tools ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Broad market sentiment ko samajhna bearish trend ki sustainability aur potential reversal points ka valuable insight de sakta hai.

Investors ko chahiye ke woh various trading tools aur indicators ka istemal karein takay bearish momentum ko confirm kar saken aur optimal entry aur exit points identify kar saken. Yeh tools yeh assess karne mein madad karenge ke kya current market conditions barqarar rahengi ya phir koi shift ka asar nazar aa raha hai. Real-time market data par nazar rakhna yeh ensure karega ke decisions achhe se inform kiye gaye hain aur strategies zaroorat ke mutabiq adjust ki ja sakti hain.

Careful market analysis aur appropriate trading tools ke istemal ko mila kar investors bearish environment ko behtar taur par navigate kar sakte hain aur apne trading objectives ko hasil kar sakte hain.

Investors ke liye acha haftha ho!

liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect

NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, special wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, utasalar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afz

buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak

qareeban 0.6250 par trade ho raha tha. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka izafa hua China ke Markazi Bank ke interest rate ke faislay ke baad. People's Bank of China ne apni aik saal aur paanch saal ki lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. New Zealand ki economy China ke sath qareebi tijarati taluqat rakhti hai, is liye Chinese economy mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka seedha asar New Zealand market par hota hai. New Zealand ke taaza GDP data ke mutabiq doosray quarter mein GDP mein 0.2% ka contraction hua, jo pehle quarter ke muqable mein kam tha. Yeh girawat forecast ki gayi 0.4% contraction se kam thi. Saal dar saal, economy mein 0.5% ki contraction hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. October mein markets ne ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut poori tarah se price-in kar liya hai. US dollar par dabao barqarar hai jabke Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak ho sakte hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne kaha ke Federal Reserve ka recent rate cut US economy ke liye aik positive sign hai. Unhon ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mein substantial kami hui hai aur yeh 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Waqt ke sath labor market bhi achi performance dikhata raha hai. NZD/USD pair aaj ka behtareen performer raha jabke investors Federal Reserve ke interestClick imag

NZD/USD market mein bearish trend ka rukh hone ke imkaan hai, jo ke US Retail Sales data ke release ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Yeh data market mein kaafi zyada aur ghaflati movements cause kar sakta hai. Is liye trading mein ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur stop-loss tools ka istemal karke risk ko effectively manage karna chahiye. Mein sell order place karne ki tajwez dunga aur take profit point ko 0.6080 par set karne ki salahiyat dunga. Lekin, US trading session ke doran bohot ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai aur news-based strategy ka istemal karna behtareen rahega. Stop-loss tools ka istemal risk management ke liye bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke aapke position ke khilaf chalne par potential losses ko limit kar sakte hain. Stop-loss set karke investments ko protect kiya ja sakta hai aur unexpected market changes ke case mein significant financial setbacks se bacha ja sakta hai. Jo log bearish trend se faida uthana chahte hain, unke liye sell order place karna acha move ho sakta hai. 0.6080 par take profit point set karna yeh assume karta hai ke NZD/USD pair US Retail Sales data ke response mein gir sakta hai. Yeh target trade ke liye ek clear exit point provide karta hai, jo market ke favor mein move karne par profits realize karne mein madadgar hoga. Market conditions ko regular monitor karna aur naye information ya market changes ke basis par profit level ko adjust karna zaroori hai. US trading session ke doran extra caution zaroori hai kyun ke Retail Sales data significant price swings ka sabab ban sakta hai, isliye news-based strategy employ karna volatility ko manage karne mein madad karega. Latest economic developments se updated rehna aur inka NZD/USD pair par impact samajhna trading decisions ke liye important hai. Effective risk management aur market news awareness se trading environment ko successfully navigate karna mumkin hoga

NZD/USD D1 Chart

New Zealand mein retail e-card sales mein behtari ke nishan nazar aa rahe hain, jabke khadyan ki qeematain dheere dheere barh rahi hain. Ye tabdilon ka matlab hai ke mulk ki maashi soorat-e-haal mixed hai. Technical indicators ye darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair mein positive momentum kam ho raha hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke paas hai. Agar rally apna momentum khoti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to ye pair pehle 0.6141 par June-August ke downtrend ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 ek potential target ban sakta hai.

Khulasa yeh hai ke NZD/USD pair filhal ek rebound ka samna kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut ki umeedon se madadgar hai. Magar technical indicators ye darshate hain ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Traders ko in factors aur evolving economic landscape ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake aage ke gains ya corrections ka andaza laga sakein.




Trading Plan for the Coming Week

Sab ko good morning! Is waqt, hum agle hafte ke liye ek naya trading plan tayar kar sakte hain. Mere liye, NZD/USD ka drop hona aur 0.6164 ke support zone ko cross karna kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. NZD/USD market mein ye khas taur par zaroori hai. Halankeh current trend traders ke liye faida mand nazar aa raha hai, lekin achanak se hone wale maashi developments buyers ke haq mein halat badal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Federal Reserve se koi unexpected announcement hota hai ya UK se kuch achi maashi data release hoti hai, to market sentiment mein tezi se tabdeel ho sakta hai.

Bina stop loss ke, trader khud ko losing position mein pa sakte hain jahan koi clear exit strategy nahi hoti. Isliye, jab market ka nazar andaz overwhelmingly bearish hai, phir bhi stop loss ka istemal karna zaroori hai taake potential market reversals se bacha ja sake. Is tarah, traders zyada confidence ke sath market mein shamil ho sakte hain, yeh jaankar ke unke paas risk cover karne ka ek safeguard hai.

Humein agle hafte ke news events ka jaiza lena chahiye kyunki NZD/USD market se related aane wale news data par nazar rakhna bht zaroori hai. News events currency prices par gehra asar dalte hain, kyunki ye ek mulk ki maashi health ke bare mein insights dete hain aur market sentiment ko prabhavit karte hain.

NZD/USD ka Halat

NZD/USD joray ne Thursday ko Asian session ke doran acha khasa karwai ki, pichlay din ke nuqsan se ubharte hue. Is joray ki kamiyabi ka sabab behtar bazar ka jazba tha, jo Federal Reserve ke September mein quarter-point rate cut ki umeedon se barh gaya. August ke liye US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne in umeedon ko mazid barhaya. Jabke headline inflation teen saal ki lowest level par aayi, core inflation ab bhi mazboot hai. Yeh milay julay data ne Fed ke rate cut ke shuru hone ki sambhavna ko mazid majboot kiya.

New Zealand mein, retail e-card sales mein thodi behtri dekhne ko mili, lekin yeh bohot zyada nahi hai. Jabke transaction volumes gir gaye, lekin yeh pichlay mahine ke muqablay mein behtar hain. Iske ilawa, khorak ki qeematein barh rahi hain, lekin yeh July ke muqablay mein dheere pace par hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein 25 basis point ka rate cut karke apna easing cycle shuru kar diya hai. Bazar ki umeed hai ke aane wale mahine mein mazeed rate cuts honge, jo cash rate ko 2025 ke end tak 3.0% tak le ja sakte hain.




NZD/USD ke M30 chart ko dekhte hue, main bechne ka faisla karta hoon. Profit ke liye mera target 0.61314 hai, jo LRMA BB indicator ke lower limit ke barabar hai. Bechne wale bazar par pressure daal rahe hain aur unki koshishen neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain. In koshishon ki wajah se, abhi ki qeemat 0.61317 hai, jo 0.61407 ki moving average se neeche hai. Agar volatility barhkar qeemat 0.61314 ke lower limit se neeche chali jati hai, to main sales khatam kar dunga aur correction ke liye 0.61407 ke beech kharidari karunga. Agar 0.61407 ke upar breakout hota hai, to main apne positions ko reverse karne ka faisla karunga aur LRMA BB indicator ke level 0.61500 ki taraf long positions kholunga.

NZD/USD Ka Halat

Is hafte ke trading session mein, NZD/USD currency pair bullish rahne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur qeematein dobara 0.6172 ke range mein barh rahi hain. Bazaar ke halat ka jaiza lene par yeh saaf hai ke pichle teen hafton se buyers ka raj hai. July mein jab price ne neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish ki, to aakhirkar woh bullish direction mein wapas aayi aur kal raat bhi iska momentum barh gaya, halanke yeh abhi bhi sideways phase mein hai.

Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke bazar mein thoda izafa ho raha hai. Aaj subah bazar khulte hi buyers ne price ko barhane ki koshish ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) par Lime Line ka level 70 par pohanchna yeh darshata hai ke market abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Abhi buyers phir se prices ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur chhoti timeframe, yani H4 timeframe par, price Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi bhi bullish potential hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke kuch ghanton mein ek izafa hone ki sambhavna hai, aur main sirf BUY trading ki talash karunga. Baad mein, buyers ki fauj zyada se zyada price ko 0.6200 level tak le jane ki koshish karegi.

Jabke outlook bearish nazar aata hai, trading ko behtar risk management strategy ke sath approach karna zaroori hai. Forex market khud mein volatile hai, aur ache trends bhi tezi se ulat sakte hain. Stop-loss orders set karna aapke capital ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aap stop-loss ko recent swing high ke upar rakhte hain, to yeh aapke nuqsan ko limit karne mein madadgar hoga agar market aapke position ke khilaf chale.

Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan bazar mein achanak harkat ka sabab ban sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Isliye, maloomat rakhna aur apni trading strategy ko tayyar rakhna zaroori hai.



H4 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair filhal sellers ke liye ek acha mauqa hai. Chalu neeche ki trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hoti hai, traders ko is pair mein mazeed kami ka faida uthane ke mauqe de rahi hai. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko dhyan se analyze karke, traders is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye strategically position kar sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko behtar tareeqe se manage karna aur market dynamics ko asar dalne wale developments se aware rehna zaroori hai. Sahi approach ke sath, NZD/USD market ki halat un logon ke liye profitable mauqe de sakti hai jo trend ke sath trade karna chahte hain.

NZD/USD Ka Halat

NZD/USD joray ne Friday ko European trading ke shuruat mein teesra din barhne ke baad 0.6250 ke aas-paas trade kiya. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne People’s Bank of China ke interest rate faislay ke baad izafa dekha. People’s Bank of China ne apne key one-year aur five-year lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. China ke saath nazdeek trading partner hone ke nate, Chinese ma'ashiyat mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka New Zealand ke bazar par bara asar hoga.

Naye data ke mutabiq, New Zealand ki GDP dusre quarter mein pichlay quarter ke muqablay mein 0.2% gir gayi, aur ma'ashiyat recession ke kareeb hai. Yeh girawat 0.4% ke andazay se kam thi. Ma'ashiyat ki annual contraction 0.5% rahi, jo ke umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Markets ne October mein mazeed 25 basis point rate cut ki umeed ko poori tarah se qabil-e-pazir kiya hai. Dollar abhi bhi pressure mein hai kyunki Federal Reserve ke taraf se 2024 ke end tak mazeed rate cuts ki umeedain barh rahi hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne Friday ko kaha ke Fed ka recent rate cut US ma'ashiyat ke liye bohot positive nishani hai. Yellen ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke Fed ko yeh yakeen hai ke inflation kaafi kam ho chuki hai aur 2% target ki taraf barh rahi hai. Is darmiyan, labor market ab bhi mazboot hai.




NZD/USD joray ne aaj behtareen performance di jab investors Fed ke interest rate faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh jora 20-day simple moving average (SMA) 0.6195 ke upar positive momentum hasil kar raha hai, jo pichlay hafte mein upward move ko roke hue tha. Agar yeh line ke upar band hota hai to mazeed kharidari ko farogh milega, lekin investors ko bazar mein apne exposure ko barhane ke liye aage jana par sakta hai. Khaaskar, February 2023 aur December ke highs ko jodne wali bearish line ko 0.6233 ke upar todne se mazeed izafay ki sambhavna banegi, jo July 2023 ke bearish line 0.6290 tak le ja sakti hai. October 2022 se February 2023 ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6300 ke nazdeek hai. Isliye, bullish move ki zaroorat hai taake December 2023 ke high 0.6368 ki taraf tez chale.

NZD/USD Ka Halat

Aaj ka din kuch high impact news ka release dekha gaya hai, jo bazar ko mazeed masroof kar sakta hai. NZD/USD currency pair mein thodi girawat hui jab candle ne 0.6163 ke resistance ko todne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Ab NZD/USD 0.6149 ke price par trade ho raha hai. H1 resistance 0.6163 ka agla test hoga, aur agar yeh tod diya gaya to yeh nzdusd ke barhne ka pakka nishani hoga. Lekin agar yeh todne mein nakam raha, to NZD/USD ka rise bhi aage barhta rahega.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD barhne ki sambhavna hai kyunki candle ki position ab bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo mazeed upar ki movement ki sambhavna ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair ke volatile rehne ki umeed hai, jismein khaas taur par RBNZ ke interest rate faislay aur US consumer price index data ki wajah se bade price movements dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, to yeh pair 0.6037-0.6092 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pichlay support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully tod diya gaya, to October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf barhne ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Is darmiyan, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj NZD/USD pehle girne wala hai kyunki H1 support 0.6131 par tod diya gaya hai. Support ka todna yeh darshata hai ke NZD/USD mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Isliye, main un sab se kehna chahunga jo is joray mein trade karte hain ke pehle sell position kholen. Aapka target sab se nazdeek support par 0.6060 rakh sakte hain.

NZD/USD joray ka upar ki taraf jaana New Zealand mein electronic cards par retail sales volumes ke barhne ki wajah se ho sakta hai, agar yeh AUD/USD joray ke saath na ho. Price 0.6164 (Murray 5.8) ke level ke nazdeek hai. Main is resistance ko todne par zyada nahi sochta, jo Kijun H4 line se mazid mazboot hai. Humein sirf iska false breakout dekhne ki umeed hai, jiske baad bears initiative le sakte hain aur 61st figure (Murray 4.8) ke base ki taraf ja sakte hain taake is support par naya attack kar sakein.




NZD/USD currency pair ke liye 0.6250 ke resistance tak barhne ki acchi sambhavnayein hain, ye lambay arse ke liye hai. Daily time frame par, is instrument ka price Ichimoku cloud ke upar aur moving average ke upar hai, jo lambay arse mein upar ki taraf ka trend darshata hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator upar ki taraf hai, jo bullish market sentiment ko confirm karta hai. CCI 10 indicator strong oversold zone mein hai aur upar ki taraf mod raha hai, jo 0.6250 ka buy signal confirm karta hai.

Lekin H4 time frame par, halat thodi alag hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator neeche ki taraf hai, aur price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke neeche hai, jo medium term mein neeche ki taraf ka movement darshata hai. Nazdeek ka support level 0.6135 hai aur resistance level 0.6160. Is unclear situation mein, chhoti time frames par kharidari par focus karna behtar hoga. Lekin hafte ke end tak, halat short term mein dramatically badal sakti hai. Iske alawa, economic news ka release aur mukhtalif continents par trading sessions ke shuru aur khatam hone ke waqt ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

NZD/USD Joray Ka Iqdam

Maine NZD/USD market ka halat dekha aur H4 time frame ke chart ka istemal karke analysis kiya, jo mujhe kal raat ke market trend mein khaas dilchaspi dilata hai, kyunki mujhe aisa laga ke izafe ka mauqa dobara samne aa raha hai. Ek reversal signal hai, jahan pichlay kuch dinon se price movement asal mein sellers ke control mein thi jo neeche ki taraf le jane ki koshish kar rahe the. Lekin chart par dekhne se yeh pata chalta hai ke bearish koshish ab tak 0.6216 level ko todne mein nakam rahi, jo is hafte ke liye support ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar seller support area ko todne mein nakam rehta hai, to trend upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna hai.

Isliye, main ek mature trading plan banane ja raha hoon taake andaza laga sakoon ke price kab upar ki taraf chalna shuru karegi aur agla maqam kya hoga H4 time frame ke halat ke mutabiq. Iske ilawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary lines ka bhi istemal kar raha hoon. NZD/USD ka price movement H4 time frame par ek reversal signal darshata hai jo pehle ke bearish correction candlestick shape se hai. Jaise ke hum daily timeframe par dekh rahe hain, pichlay hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko aage nahi badha sake, kyunki seller pressure ke entry se market ne neeche ki taraf correction ki.

Is hafte ki bearish koshish abhi bhi chal rahi hai, lekin Wednesday se Thursday tak acha buying interest dekhne ko mila, jisne candlestick position ko barhane mein madad ki aur market ko bullish rally ki taraf le jane ka mauqa diya, jaise ke pichlay August ke akhir mein tha. Phir stochastic indicator ki additional analysis karte hue, signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke dobara barhne ki taraf ishaara karti hai. Aaj buyers ke paas NZD/USD price ko barhane ka momentum ab bhi ho sakta hai.

Haalat abhi bhi 0.6241 ke aas-paas static hai. Main aaj dopahar mein izafe ke liye signal ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyunki is dopahar market transactions mein koi volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, aisa lagta hai ke stable izafe ke saath neeche ki taraf correction ho rahi hai. Halanke market bullish move mein zyada dominant hai, main intezar karunga jab tak buyers 0.6254 ke resistance zone ko todte hain taake buy signal valid ho sake. Aaj ki market movement ki sambhavna abhi beech mein hai, kyunki aaj Friday ko USD par koi high impact news nahi hai.




Trading Plan:

Correlation aur market momentum ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke end of the week trading session ke pehle buying interest hai, kyunki price izafa 0.6254 area tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin kyunki price izafa ab tak resistance area ko nahi tod saka, to downward correction ka mauqa ab bhi hai. Is darmiyan, stochastic indicator ne price izafe ki rally ko support karne ka strong signal diya hai aur candlestick izafe weekly opening limit ke nazdeek hai.

Kayi technical aspects aur critical levels ko madde nazar rakhte hue, market trend ab bhi bullish movement ko continue karne ki taraf bias bana raha hai. Main ab bhi yeh manta hoon ke buyers ki taqat price ko upar le jane mein madad karegi. Isliye, agle trading plan ke liye, BUY option ab bhi behad worth considering hai, entry position area 0.6254 ke price par rakhen, stoploss ka distance kareeb 35 pips rakhen, aur minimum take profit 0.6300 ke price point par rakhen.

NZD/USD 4-Ghante Ka Chart

NZD/USD ka 4-ghante ka chart dikhata hai ke market mid-July mein ek tezi se girawat se dhire dhire recover ho raha hai, aur ab yeh 0.62465 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. August ke shuru mein jab price 0.59000 ke kareeb gir gaya tha, to uske baad price ne tezi se palta khaya, kai liquidity zones ko todte hue nayi market structures banaye. Downtrend ke shuruat mein, market ne Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) levels par 0.63500 ke aas-paas kaafi supply dekhi, jisse market ko todna mushkil hua.

Jab price neeche gaya, to humne 0.61000 ke aas-paas continuous liquidity grabs dekhe, jahan demand liquidity (DLiq) ne price ko further declines se support kiya. Hal hi mein, market ki recovery kaafi mazboot rahi, pichle FVGs ko bharte hue aur key liquidity levels ko retest karte hue. Aakhri bullish move ne 0.62000 ke aas-paas ek significant DLiq ko tod diya, jo buyers ki renewed interest ka ishaara hai. Is taqat ke bawajood, chart ab 0.62500 ke level ke aas-paas consolidation ke signs dikhata hai, jahan ek FVG bana hai, aur 0.63000 se thoda neeche resistance dekhne ko mil raha hai. Price ab supply aur demand zone ke beech mein phas gayi hai, jo indecision ka darshata hai.




Mausool Ki Sambhavnayein:

Agar NZD/USD 0.62500 ke resistance ko mazbooti se tod deta hai, to market phir se late June ke high 0.63500 ke aas-paas aa sakta hai, jahan pehle se liquidity maujood hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.62000 ke upar rukne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh 0.61000 ke DLiq ki taraf gehra pullback kar sakta hai, aur shayad 0.60000 ke aas-paas ke mazboot demand zone tak bhi ja sakta hai, jahan market ne pehle achha support paya tha. Traders ko dekhna hoga ke price ka FVG zone ke aas-paas kya reaction hota hai. Agar pair stable rehta hai, to yeh bullish continuation ke liye ek springboard ban sakta hai. Warna, recent bullish momentum kam ho sakta hai, aur existing FVGs ko bharne ke liye retracement ka mauqa aa sakta hai.