نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

prices barh rahe hain lekin slow pace ke sath. Yeh developments mulk ke economic outlook ko mixed dikha rahi hain. NZD/USD pair ke technical indicators suggest karte hain ke positive momentum fade ho raha hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI bhi 70 ke near overbought mark par hai. Agar rally apna momentum lose karti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, toh pehla target 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level hoga, jo June-August downtrend ka 0.6141 par maujood hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hoti hai, toh deeper correction ka chance hai, aur agla target 61.8% Fibonacci level ho sakta hai jo 0.6079 ke aas paas hai.NZD/USD pair abhi ek rebound experience kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut expectations ke support se ho raha hai. Lekin technical indicators yeh bata rahe hain ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Traders ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye, aur economic landscape ke developments ko samajhna chahiye taake future gains ya corrections ka potential assess kiya ja sake. Aaj ka market open hai, lekin hum next week ke liye ek naya trading plan bana sakte hain. Mere liye, NZD/USD ka market sharply neeche jaane ke liye ready hai aur 0.6164 ka support zone cross karega. NZD/USD market mein sellers ke liye yeh important hai. Current trend suggest karta hai ke sellers ke liye ek favorable position ho sakti hai, lekin unexpected economic developments jaldi se power balance buyers ke haq mein kar sakti hain. For example, Federal Reserve ka koi surprise announcement ya UK se koi unexpected economic data release market sentiment ko

prices barh rahe hain lekin slow pace ke sath. Yeh developments mulk ke economic outlook ko mixed dikha rahi hain. NZD/USD pair ke technical indicators suggest karte hain ke positive momentum fade ho raha hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI bhi 70 ke near overbought mark par hai. Agar rally apna momentum lose karti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, toh pehla target 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level hoga, jo June-August downtrend ka 0.6141 par maujood hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hoti hai, toh deeper correction ka chance hai, aur agla target 61.8% Fibonacci level ho sakta hai jo 0.6079 ke aas paas hai.NZD/USD pair abhi ek rebound experience kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut expectations ke support se ho raha hai. Lekin technical indicators yeh bata rahe hain ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Traders ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye, aur economic landscape ke developments ko samajhna chahiye taake future gains ya corrections ka potential assess kiya ja sake. Aaj ka market open hai, lekin hum next week ke liye ek naya trading plan bana sakte hain. Mere liye, NZD/USD ka market sharply neeche jaane ke liye ready hai aur 0.6164 ka support zone cross karega. NZD/USD market mein sellers ke liye yeh important hai. Current trend suggest karta hai ke sellers ke liye ek favorable position ho sakti hai, lekin unexpected economic developments jaldi se power balance buyers ke haq mein kar sakti hain. For example, Federal Reserve ka koi surprise announcement ya UK se koi unexpected economic data release ma

levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

(FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol

/USD pair ne tisray din musalsal izafa dekha aur Friday ki subh European trading session mein qareeban 0.6250 par trade ho raha tha. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka izafa hua China ke Markazi Bank ke interest rate ke faislay ke baad. People's Bank of China ne apni aik saal aur paanch saal ki lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. New Zealand ki economy China ke sath qareebi tijarati taluqat rakhti hai, is liye Chinese economy mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka seedha asar New Zealand market par hota hai. New Zealand ke taaza GDP data ke mutabiq doosray quarter mein GDP mein 0.2% ka contraction hua, jo pehle quarter ke muqable mein kam tha. Yeh girawat forecast ki gayi 0.4% contraction se kam thi. Saal dar saal, economy mein 0.5% ki contraction hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. October mein markets ne ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut poori tarah se price-in kar liya hai. US dollar par dabao barqarar hai jabke Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak ho sakte hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne kaha ke Federal Reserve ka recent rate cut US economy ke liye aik positive sign hai. Unhon ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mein substantial kami hui hai aur yeh 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Waqt ke sath labor market bhi achi performance dikhata raha hai. NZD/USD pair aaj ka behtareen performer raha jabke investors Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar positive momentum hasil kiya hai jo ke pichlay haftay upward movement ke raste mein rukaawat bana raha tha. Agar is line ke upar close hota hai, to aur zyada buying ka imkan hai, lekin investors ko mazeed market exposure barhane ke liye kuch aur karna par sakta hai. Khaaskar, agar February 2023 aur December ke highs ko connect kartay hue bearish line 0.6233 par break hoti hai, to yeh aur mazeed gains ka saboot ho sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ke bearish line ko 0.6290 par hit kar sakti hai. October 2022 se February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level qareeban 0.6300 ke paas hai, is liye aik bullish move zaroori ho sakta hai taake December 2023 ke high 0.6368 tak pohch sake.

NZD/USD pair abhi neechey ki taraf dabao ka shikar hai kai factors ki wajah se. US dollar mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ye zahir karta hai ke iski demand barh rahi hai, aur ye New Zealand dollar (NZD) jese currencies par manfi asar daal raha hai jo zyada risk-sensitive hoti hain. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rate ke hawale se paida hone wali beyakini ne investors ko ehtiyaat baratne par majboor kar diya hai. Fed ne haal hi mein pehli baar char saalon ke baad apni qudrati borrowing rate mein 50 basis points ki kami ki hai. Jab ke ye ek mehrbaan monetary policy ka ishara deti hai, policymaker ne ye bhi clear kiya hai ke rate cutting cycle zyada aggressive nahi hogi. Magar, traders Fed se doosri central banks ke muqablay mein zyada aggressive rate cutting ki tawakku karte hain. Ye beyakini market ke jazbat par asar andaz hui hai aur NZD ki girawat ka sabab bani hai

Technically dekha jaye to NZD/USD pair ko 0.6250 ke level par mukhalfat ka samna hai. Agar ye level break ho jata hai, to mazeed faida hosakta hai, jisme pehle targets 0.6300 aur 0.6368 ho sakte hain. Magar agar ye pair 20-day EMA se neechey girta hai, to isko 0.6172 par support mil sakti hai. Agar is level ke neechey break hota hai to ek sell-off shuru hosakta hai, jisme agle targets 0.6120 aur 0.6020 ho sakte hain. Aakhri baat ye hai ke NZD/USD pair abhi zyada pressure mein hai US dollar ki mazbooti aur market mein paida hone wali beyakini ki wajah se. Fed ki rate cutting cycle aur global economic halat is pair ki direction ko mutasir karte rahenge. Traders ko technical levels aur asasi factors ko dekhna chahiye taake woh behtareen faislay kar saken. Geopolitical developments, jaise ke trade tensions ya conflicts bhi NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. In events se market mein beyakini paida hosakti hai aur currency market mein volatility barh sakti hai. In additional factors ko dekh kar, traders mazeed comprehensive understanding hasil kar sakte hain aur behtareen trading decisions le sakte hain

### E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S N Z D / U S D
Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto aur traders, aap sab ka khair maqdam hai. Aaj hum forex market mein ek udaan ki soorat-e-haal dekh rahe hain. NZD/USD is waqt 0.6244 par trade kar raha hai. Is chart ke mutabiq NZD/USD ab bullish trend dikha raha hai.

Agar aap NZD/USD ko chart ke hisaab se dekhein, toh ye bearish candle banane ke baad lagataar upar ki taraf barh raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) ki value 60 ke aas-paas hai, jo market ki positivity ka darshan deti hai. Yeh sambhavit hai ke market is waqt se aage positive direction mein move kare.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ke positive crossover se ye pata chalta hai ke qareeb ke waqt mein upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna hai, is liye market mein enter karne se pehle thoda intezar karna behtar hoga. NZD/USD ka price ab bull ke haq mein hai. Is darmiyan, 20 aur 50 EMAs abhi kafi door hain. Pehli relevant rukawat lagbhag 0.6515 par hai, jo pehla resistance level hai. ### E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S N Z D / U S D

Momentum phir mid-level rukawat ki taraf barh sakta hai jo $0.6965 hai, yeh dusra resistance level hai. Iske baad, agar price apna trading movement jaari rakhti hai, toh agla target 0.7447 hoga, jo teesra resistance level hai.

Dusri taraf, pehli relevant rukawat lagbhag 0.5775 par hai, jo pehla support level hai. Momentum phir mid-level rukawat ki taraf barh sakta hai jo $0.5221 hai, yeh dusra support level hai. Iske baad, agar price trading movement jaari rakhti hai, toh agla target 0.4730 hoga, jo teesra support level hai.

Main yeh salah doonga ke aap bull direction mein rahein jab tak NZD/USD 0.5775 area ko break nahi karta, jo mushkil lagta hai. Bulls puri market par raaj kar rahe hain.

### Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
- **MACD indicator**
- **RSI indicator period 14**
- **50-day exponential moving average ka rang Orange**
- **20-day exponential moving average ka rang Magenta**

**NZDUSD Currency Pair ka Analysis**
NZDUSD currency pair ki price aaj upar ja rahi hai aur is instrument par extensive trade karne ke liye kuch conditions hain. Agar aap sochen, to aaj trading karke achha munafa kama sakte hain, khas taur par long positions le kar.

Mera plan hai ke main is pair ko buy karun jab price 0.62571 tak pohanchti hai. Is level par acha munafa hasil karne ki umeed hai, jo mujhe aur bhi confidence deti hai. Abhi ki halat yeh dikhati hai ke price 0.62415 ke ird gird range mein trade kar rahi hai. Main average ke sath ek additional order growth ke liye le sakta hoon, lekin yeh tabhi hoga jab price 0.62291 ke upar rahe.

Bechne wale ki taraf se price ko kam karne ki jitni bhi koshishen hain, ab tak wo koi khaas natije nahi de rahi hain. Agar price 0.62291 ke niche girti hai, to mujhe loss uthana par sakta hai aur aaj trading band karni par sakti hai. Buyers ki taraf se jo capability hai, wo bulls ko apni mobility realize karne mein madad karti hai. Ab mujhe sell direction mein trade karne ki koi khwahish nahi hai.

0.62011 ka level un logon ke liye positive hai jo pehle se short positions mein hain. Ab main nahi chahta ke trade prices girne ke sath dekhu. Conditions yeh hain ke trading ka nazar rakhte hue munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai agar sahi strategy apnayi jaye. **H-4 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD**

Good night! Peerh ke din currency market par trading session dobara shuru hua, to main apne pair ka technical analysis karna chahta hoon is senior time frame - H4 par. Mujhe kis cheez par apni tawajjoh deni chahiye?

Pehla, screenshot mein 100th level par Fibonacci grid ka pichla breakout dikh raha hai, jo ke aage ki kharidari ke liye activation signal hai, kyunki correction ke liye yeh zaroori hai. Dusra, price action mechanism. Main is diye gaye candle ka analysis karne ki salahiyat deta hoon, jo ek quick pin bar ki tarah kaam karta hai. Yahan par stop lena bilkul theek hoga.

Ab dekhte hain ke fundamentals agay kis tarah asar daalenge. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, USA se data 16:45 par aayega - "Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector," jabke New Zealand se kuch nahi hai... na hi koi formal value.

### New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar Ka Halat
New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ka jo jora hai, wo pichle haftay mein kuch khaas tabdeeli nahi dikhata. Iska asal rukh unchi 0.6295 se neeche ki taraf hai. Lekin, bechne walon ki position itni mazboot nahi hai. Agar kharidne wale quotes ko R1 0.6239 ke resistance se upar le jaate hain, to is instrument ka nazara tabdeel ho jayega aur wo apni oonchai ko barhane mein kamiyab ho sakte hain, saath hi unka pichla sab se ooncha level dobara update karne ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Agar R1 0.6239 ka resistance mazboot rahta hai, to jora R1 0.6185 tak neeche jata rah sakta hai. Lekin bechne wale sirf tabhi neeche ki taraf poora amal kar sakte hain jab NZD/USD ko 0.6167 ke southern start line ke neeche re-break aur consolidate karein. Is liye, pichle haftay ki trading ke natije par, New Zealand Dollar ka rukh zyadatar neeche ki taraf hai, lekin iska inhi R1 0.6239 par market ke react hone par bohot kuch depend karega.

**NZD/USD H4 Chart**

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko observe kiya aur dekha ke market ne Monday ke trading session ki shuruaat neeche ki taraf correction ke sath ki. Lekin, Tuesday tak buyers ne candlestick ko upar push karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, halanke yeh khaas tor par nahi tha. Pichle haftay ka market trend ab bhi bullish tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/GBP currency pair apne overall trend ke mutabiq upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line level 70 ke qareeb pahunch gayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke hafte ki shuruaat par dekha gaya thoda sa izafa jaari reh sakta hai. MACD histogram zero level ke upar hai, halanke iski size Monday ki correction ki wajah se thodi si kami aayi hai. Is hafte prices barh gayi hain, aur candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar move kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair ne girawat ke baad buyers ko apni taraf kheecha hai, Friday ki girawat ka bohot saara hissa 0.6200 level se palat gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke pichle haftay ka rebound crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aage barh sakta hai. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points interest rate cut ki umeeden U.S. Dollar Index ko is saal ke shuruati low ke qareeb le aa rahi hain, jo NZD/USD pair ko support de rahi hain. Iske ilawa, equity markets mein aam tor par positive tone dollar ko kamzor kar raha hai. Yeh weekend par release hone wale kuch udas Chinese macroeconomic data ko offset karta hai aur risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ko faida deta hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical nazar se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se upar move kar rahe hain, lekin abhi tak bullish trend ki poori tasdeeq nahi hui hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke 0.6200 level ke upar mazeed khareedari ka intezaar karna behtar hoga, naye bullish positions lagane se pehle, jab tak FOMC ka faisla Wednesday ko announce nahi hota. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak barh sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein takreban reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf ja raha hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab foran girawat se bachne ke liye immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jab tak monthly low tak nahi pahunchte. Is level ke neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, to yeh bears ke liye naya trigger samjha jayega. Is ke baad downward trajectory psychological level 0.6000 ki taraf ja sakti hai, jahan kuch rukawat bhi ho sakti hain.

NZD/USD Analysis

NZD/USD Ka Market Analysis
NZD/USD, yani New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ka forex pair, kaafi active aur dynamic pair hai. Is pair ki movement kaafi zyada economic factors aur global events se effect hoti hai, specially commodity prices aur interest rates. New Zealand aik commodity-exporting country hai, aur iski currency, NZD, kaafi sensitive hoti hai agricultural aur dairy products ki prices par.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamentally, NZD/USD kaafi zyada global market conditions se influence hota hai. New Zealand ki economy kaafi hat tak agricultural exports par depend karti hai, khaaskar dairy products, meat, aur wool. Jab global demand barhti hai to NZD ko support milta hai aur NZD/USD pair upar jata hai. Waisa hi agar global demand kam hoti hai, ya commodities ki prices niche jati hain, to NZD weak hota hai aur pair niche jata hai.

Iske ilawa, US Dollar ka movement bhi is pair ko kaafi influence karta hai. Agar US economy strong numbers show karti hai, jaise GDP growth, employment data, ya inflation ka increase, to US Federal Reserve apne interest rates barha sakta hai, jo USD ko strengthen karta hai. Yeh NZD/USD pair ke liye bearish signal hota hai. Agar New Zealand ka central bank, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), apne interest rates barhata hai, to NZD ko support milta hai aur pair upar jata hai.

Technical Analysis

NZD/USD ka technical analysis bhi kaafi interesting hai. Abhi yeh pair ek downward trend follow kar raha hai. Major support level 0.5900 ke qareeb hai, jabke resistance 0.6100 par hai. Agar price 0.5900 ka support todti hai, to next target 0.5800 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 0.6100 ka resistance todta hai to bullish move aa sakti hai aur agla target 0.6200 tak ho sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ki indication hai ke market mein potential buying pressure aa sakta hai. Moving Averages ke hisaab se, 50-day moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko support karta hai.

Conclusion

NZD/USD ka movement global commodity prices, specially agricultural exports, aur US Dollar ki strength se direct influenced hota hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi downward trend mein hai, lekin RSI ke oversold hone ki wajah se ek short-term bullish move bhi expect ki ja sakti hai. Fundamental aur technical factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, is pair par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake ache trading opportunities identify ki ja sakein.

NZD/USD

Mujhe umeed hai ke aise serious southern pins na hon, jaise ke ek bar digital mark 0.4725 par pahuncha tha daily candle par. Agar aisa koi surprise dobara na ho, to mere paas do options hain aage ki price movement ke liye. Dono north ki taraf hain, lekin pehla yeh hai ke price ab se lekar current location tak full-fledged upward movement continue kare, aur doosra yeh ke price 0.6025 par correction ke baad north ki taraf jaaye. Sacchi baat yeh hai ke main abhi purchase mein enter karne ka plan nahi bana raha, main sirf 0.6025 ke aas-paas purchase karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin mujhe ye bhi pata hai ke shayad main long deal mein enter nahi kar paaunga, kyunki bear abhi 0.6025 par nahi pahuncha. Mujhe ismein koi badi baat nahi lagti, agar bull bina correction ke aage barhta raha, to main sirf market ko dekh kar guzaar jaunga, kehne ka matlab hai ke main market ko observe karunga.

Main New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke pair ko 15-minute chart par dekh raha hoon. Federal Reserve System ke bayan ke baad, pair ne 0.62659 ki resistance tak pahuncha, aur wahan seller ki limits kaam kar gayi, jisse pair 0.61836 ki support tak neeche gaya. Wahan seller ne is support ke paas volume gain karna shuru kiya. Maine socha ke shayad pair aur neeche jaaye, lekin jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, yeh pichle highs ki taraf wapas aaya. Yahan buyer ne volume gain karna shuru kiya, maine assume kiya ke shayad yeh upar jaaye, lekin yahan ek range ban gayi. Sab kuch waise hi lag raha hai jaise Australian dollar mein, seller is range mein volume gain kar raha hai. Main sochta hoon ke pair 0.61459 ki support tak neeche jaa sakta hai, matlab mujhe nahi lagta ke pair aage barhne wale hai, kyunki inflation ab tak stagnation se nikal nahi paaya.

Mujhe lagta hai ke market ki halat abhi bhi aisi hai ke buyers aur sellers ke beech mein takraav hai. Agar sellers is range mein volume gain karte rahe, to yeh price ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Isliye, main abhi wait kar raha hoon aur dekhta hoon ke market kis tarah se evolve hoti hai. Abhi ke liye, main sirf observation par focus kar raha hoon, jab tak mujhe koi clear entry point nahi milta.

NZD/USD
NZD/USD Ka Market Analysis
NZD/USD, yani New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ka forex pair, kaafi popular aur actively traded pair hai. Is pair ki movement bohat zyada economic data aur global market trends se effect hoti hai. New Zealand ki economy zyadatar agricultural exports, khaaskar dairy products, meat, aur wool par depend karti hai, jabke US Dollar dunia ki sabse zyada traded currency hai. NZD/USD kaafi sensitive hota hai commodities aur global risk sentiment ke hawale se.

Fundamental Analysis

NZD/USD ki fundamental analysis mein do key factors involved hain: New Zealand ki economy aur US Dollar ka global strength. New Zealand ka economy kaafi small hai lekin commodities exports mein strong hai, khaaskar dairy aur meat industries mein. Jab global commodities ki demand barhti hai, NZD ko strength milti hai aur NZD/USD pair upar move karta hai. Waisa hi, agar global demand girti hai ya commodities prices kam hoti hain, to NZD/USD pair niche jata hai.

US Dollar ka movement bhi is pair ko directly influence karta hai. Agar US economy strong data show karti hai, jaise GDP growth ya employment numbers, to USD ko support milta hai aur NZD/USD pair neeche girta hai. Iske ilawa, agar US Federal Reserve apne interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD aur zyada strong hota hai, aur NZD/USD pair downward pressure mein aata hai. Is pair ki performance kaafi zyada US aur New Zealand ki interest rate policies se affected hoti hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke hawale se NZD/USD kaafi interesting situation mein hai. Abhi yeh pair ek bearish trend follow kar raha hai, lekin kuch support levels pe focus karna zaroori hai. Major support level 0.5900 ke qareeb hai, jabke resistance level 0.6100 par hai. Agar price 0.5900 ka support break karti hai, to next target 0.5800 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 0.6100 ka resistance break karti hai, to bullish move expect ki ja sakti hai aur price 0.6200 tak ja sakti hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal oversold zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term mein ek reversal possible hai. Moving Averages ke hisaab se, price abhi 50-day moving average ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko support karta hai, lekin agar price is level ke upar close kar jaye to trend change ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

NZD/USD ka movement zyadatar global commodities ki prices, specially agricultural products, aur US Dollar ki strength se influence hota hai. Filhal yeh pair bearish trend mein hai, lekin support aur resistance levels pe nazar rakhte hue short-term buying ya selling opportunities identify ki ja sakti hain. Global market events aur donon countries ke economic data pe focus karna zaroori hai taake trading ke liye ache entry aur exit points mil sakein.

**Amriki Dollar ki Mazbooti aur Bazaar ke Halat**
Amriki Dollar (USD) is session mein aam tor par mazboot hai, lekin yeh apne bade currency peers ke muqablay mein pehle ki unchaiyon se kuch neeche aa gaya hai, jaisa ke Scotiabank ke Chief FX Strategist ne note kiya. DXY ki mustahkam halaat barqarar reh sakti hai.

"Kamzor Eurozone ke data ne EUR ko European trading mein neeche kheencha, jis se USD ko faida mila, lekin DXY ab bhi pichle haftay ki range mein trade kar raha hai aur USD ke bade faide ka imkaan mehsoos nahi ho raha, kam az kam jab tak bazaar Fed ke taraf se saal ke aakhir tak mazeed, jazbati rate cuts ki umeed laga raha hai. Aaj USD ke liye kuch rahat ECB ki October mein narm policy ki guftagu se mil rahi hai, jo aaj subah ke data reports ke baad aayi."

"Is haftay bohat saari Amriki data maujood hain, lekin yeh bazaar ya USD par zyada asar nahi dal sakte, Fed ke faisle ke baad. Jumme ko core PCE data ka 0.2% izafa dekhne ki umeed hai, jo saal dar saal ki raftaar ko halkasa badha dega. Jab Fed ki tawajjo (Bowman ko chhod kar) qeematon se naukriyon ki taraf badal rahi hai, toh yeh USD ke liye zyada ahmiyat nahi rakhta. Is haftay kuch Fed speakers bhi hain, jisme Chair **NZD/USD ki Halat aur Maukay**

NZD/USD ne apne darmiyani dor ki range ki unchai ko wapas tod diya hai. Agar yeh September 3 ki unchai se upar band hota hai, toh yeh bullish breakout ka signal de sakta hai.

NZD/USD ne 11 September ke low par wapas aane ke baad behtari ki hai. Yeh 0.6248 ki range high se upar nikal gaya hai aur dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh shayad 0.6303 ki September 3 ki unchai ko milane ki koshish karega, lekin trend wazeh nahi hai aur kisi bhi taraf koi clear bias nahi hai. Agar Kiwi September 3 ki unchai se upar band hota hai, toh yeh sideways range se breakout ka bullish confirmation dega. Aisi surat mein agla target 0.6409, December 2023 ki unchai tak pohanch sakta hai. Ek aur target 0.6448 par hai, jo range ki unchai ka 0.618 ratio hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni laal signal line se upar band hua hai, jo ke ek marginally bullish nishani hai.Powell bhi shamil hain."

NZD/USD pair par aaj kaafi acha trading setup nazar aa raha hai. Price barh rahi hai, aur kuch aise conditions hain jo aaj ek acchi trade ka signal de rahi hain. Agar aap long position kholte hain toh aaj ka din profit making ka acha chance lag raha hai. Mera plan hai ke mein 0.62571 tak ka target rakhoon for buy position. Price abhi 0.62415 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Agar price thodi si aur oopar jaaye toh mein ek additional buy order place kar sakta hoon, jab tak ke price 0.62291ke upar hai. Agar seller ne price ko neeche laane ki koshish ki, toh ab tak uska koi khaas asar nahi hua. Lekin agar price **0.62291** ke neeche girti hai, toh mujhe apne losses ko stop karna padega aur aaj ka trading session bandh karna hoga. Buyer kaafi strength dikhate hue price ko oopar le jaa rahe hain. Is wajah se ab mujhe sell karne ka koi rujhan nahi hai. Jo log short positions mein hain, unke liye **0.62011** ka level acha lag raha hai, lekin ab mujhe price girne ki koi khwaish nahi hai kyunki conditions favorable nahi lag rahi. H4 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD
Monday ki trading session shuru hoti hai toh H4 timeframe par bhi kuch points nazar aate hain. Pehla toh yeh ke **100 Fibonacci level** ka breakout ho gaya hai, jo ke ek strong signal hai for buy trades. Iska matlab hai ke price correction ke liye tayar hai. Doosra, price action ka mechanism dikh raha hai jisme ek pin bar candle bhi nazar aa rahi hai jo ek reversal ka sign hai. Yahaan ek stop loss lagana bhi zaroori hai.
Fundamentals bhi analyze karne padenge, aur aaj shaam ko 16:45 par US se data aa raha hai jisme Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector ka announcement hoga. New Zealand se aaj koi khaas news nahi hai, isliye overall, trading ki direction kaafi had tak US data par depend karegi. Daily timeframe par analysis karte hue technical indicators ka dehaan se jaiza lena zaroori hota hai. Har indicator abhi market ki ek hi direction ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, aur wo direction **bullish** trend ki lag rahi hai. Indicators ab tak yeh predict kar rahe hain ke market ke andar upward movement continue ho sakti hai