نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka intezaar kar raha hai jo agle direction ka taayun karega, jisme buyers

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka intezaar kar raha hai jo agle direction ka taayun karega, jisme buyers

Maine Aj H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko observe kiya aur note kiya ke Monday ke trading session ka aghaz ek downward correction ke sath hua. Magar, Tuesday tak buyers ne thoda sa push diya aur candlestick ko ooper le gaye, lekin yeh push itna significant nahi tha. Guzishta hafte ka market trend abhi bhi bullish tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/GBP currency pair apni upward trajectory par qaim hai aur overall trend ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line lagbhag 70 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke hafte ke aghaz mein dekhne wala slight increase continue kar sakta hai. MACD histogram abhi bhi zero level ke uper hai, lekin Monday ke correction ki wajah se iska size thoda kam ho gaya hai. Is hafte prices barh rahi hain, aur candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke uper move kar rahi hain.NZD/USD pair ke liye, Wednesday ko trading ne seven

month highs ko approach kiya, aur August se iski upward trend ko barqarar rakha. Magar, resistance 0.6250 ke qareeb form hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jahan yeh long-term downtrend line se intersect hoti hai. Technical indicators abhi bhi bullish hain, magar thodi si positive momentum ki kami ka ishara de rahe hain. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat hai, aur RSI 70 ke overbought threshold ke bilkul neeche hai. Agar rally ruk gayi aur sell-off mein badli, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein June-August ke downtrend ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 0.6141 hai, tak gir sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par pair 61.8% Fibonacci level, 0.6079, ko target kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages ke qareeb hone ki wajah se bears ke liye significant ground hasil karna mushkil ho sakta hai. NZD/USD currency pair ke liye achi growth prospects hain, 0.6250 resistance level tak. Yeh long term prospects se dekhne par sahi lagta hai. Daily timeframe par, instrument ki price Ichimoku cloud ke uper aur moving average ke uper hai, jo long term mein upward trend ka ishara hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator upward direction mein hai, jo bullish market sentiment ko confirm karta hai. CCI 10 indicator oversold zone mein upward turn le raha hai, jo buy signal ko confirm karta hai, 0.6250 target ke sath.Lekin four-hour timeframe par situation thodi mukhtalif hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator downward hai, instrument ki price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke neeche hai, jo medium-term mein downward movement ka ishara hai. Qareebi support level 0.6135 par hai aur resistance level 0.6160 par hai. Is unclear situation mein, lower time frames par buying consider karna behtar hoga. Lekin hafte ke akhir mein short term mein situation dramatically badal sakti hai. Iske ilawa, technical picture ke sath sath economic news ke releases aur mukhtalif continents ke trading sessions ke start aur end times ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye.

NZD/USD pair ne Thursday ko European trading session ke dauran mazahmat ka muzahira kiya, pichlay session ke nuqsan se ubharte hue aur 0.6280 ke qareeb trading ki. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar is channel se kamiyabi se breakout hota hai, to yeh jari uptrend ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Is ke ilawa, nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 50-day EMA se upar hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke liye short-term mein mazid mazboot price trend ka ishara deta hai.
Uptside par, NZD/USD pair 0.6380 level ke qareeb ka ilaqa explore kar sakti hai, jo ascending channel ka upper boundary hai. Agar yeh upper boundary ka breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish bias ko mazid mazboot karega aur pair ko December 2023 mein record hue 15-month highs 0.6409 tak waapas le ja sakta hai.
Support side par, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Agar is level se neeche ka break hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko nuksaan pohcha sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6156 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jahan se aage ja kar five-week low 0.6106 tak pohnch sakta hai. NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko mazid gains ko extend karte hue nine-month high 0.6354 ko chooa tha, magar phir halkay nuqsanat ka samna kiya. Pair August band se upar break kar gaya, aur December 2023 ke high 0.6368 par focus shift kiya. Magar, rally ke mutaliq slow hone ka imkaan hai, kyun ke RSI aur Stochastic se overbought signals aa rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 ke upar ek decisive close hota hai, to yeh ek naye upside wave ko trigger kar sakta hai jo recent decline ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension 0.6415 tak ja sakta hai. December 2022 aur February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 ka ilaqa kuch constraints pose kar sakta hai. Aage ja kar, bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye ek mazeed upar ki move zaroori ho sakti hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne char saal mein pehli dafa apni interest rate mein kami ka elan kiya, jis mein key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se kam kiya gaya. Yeh qadam zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin Fed ke policymakers ne yeh bhi zahir kiya hai ke rate-cutting cycle ziyada aggressive nahi hoga. Is se mustaqbil mein US monetary policy ke raste ke mutaliq kuch ghair yaqeeni paida ho gayi hai, jo ke market mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan barqarar rakhti hai.

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga

momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

traders ghor se dekhenge, jin mein Q2 ka advanced GDP Annualised aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data shamil hai. New Zealand ke hawalay se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru ki thi, Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak gira diya tha. October aur November mein traders ye umeed kar rahe hain ke Central Bank of New Zealand mazeed 25 basis points (bps) se interest rates ko kam karega. Iske natijay mein New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein gir sakti hai. Mazeed, Middle East ke jaari geopolitical threats safe haven capital flows ko barha sakti hain, jo USD ko faida de sakti hain. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday ko subha kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan aag ka tabadla hue baghair ek bade Middle East conflict ka khauf kam hai. Magar Reuters ke mutabiq, US ke supreme commander ne ye khauf zada karne wali baat ki ke "Iran abhi bhi ek bara khatra bana hua hai, aur wo Israel par hamlay ka soch raha hai." Maine sell position open ki hai kyunke price ne white box area mein 0.6213 ke level ko touch kiya hai, aur agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick bana leta hai, to price 0.6060 tak gir sakti hai jo baad mein RBS area banegi aur hum isay TP1 ka level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 ke neeche mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke price 0.5835 ke zone tak nahi gir jati, aur hum isay TP2 ka level bana sakte hain agle hafte ke trading mein. Mazid, worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar white box area price rejection nahi deta to NZD/USD ka bullish

### M-1 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD

NZD/USD. Forex ke liye neural network ne modeling complete kar li hai aur future price movements ke liye naya prediction diya hai. Aayiye dekhein ke hum kya umeed kar sakte hain. Is tool ke mutabiq, neural network market ka background predict karta hai.

NZD/USD ne apne bearish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha aur US Dollar ke muqablay mein upar ki taraf chala gaya, jab yeh aaj European trading session mein 0.6258 ka low touch kiya.

1-hour time frame par channel resistance toot gaya hai.

CCI indicator overbought hai: 100 se upar hona neutral market ko darshata hai.

Daily time frame par channel resistance bhi toot gaya hai.

Humne weekly time frame par Super Trend Indicator mein bullish reversal bhi dekha hai.

NZD/USD ke prices 0.6330 level ke aas paas saturation levels ki taraf barh rahe hain, jo market mein consolidation phase ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Hum dekh rahe hain ke NZD/USD weekly time frame par apne 1 saal ke record high ke nazdeek hai.

NZD/USD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages se upar trade kar raha hai.

- Kiwi ne 0.6258 mark ke upar bullish reversal dekha hai.
- Short-term range mein strong bullishness nazar aa rahi hai.
- NZD/USD 0.6320 level se upar hai.
- Average True Range (ATR) market ki high volatility ko darshata hai.

Agla resistance 0.6326 par hai, jo ke 1 mahine ka high hai.

NZD/USD ab apne pivot level 0.6321 ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai aur strong bullish channel ki taraf barh raha hai.

NZD/USD ka price apne classic support level 0.6314 se upar hai aur ab apne agle target 0.6338 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke 3 standard deviation resistance hai.

Is analysis ka disclaimer yeh hai ke yeh sirf meri apni rai hai. ****** brand ke tehat kaam karne wali companies isay koi opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice samajhne ki koshish na karein.

Is waqt NZD/USD ki market dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai, taake traders behtar faisle le saken. Agar bullish momentum barkarar rehta hai to prices agle levels par pahunch sakti hain, lekin hamesha market ki volatility aur economic indicators ka ghor se jaiza lena chahiye. Trading mein discipline aur risk management bhi utni hi ahmiyat rakhte hain.

NZD/USD Analysis

D1 Period Chart


Chaliye D1 period chart ko dekhte hain - NZD/USD currency pair. Kal ka price girne ka koshish kaafi successful raha, aur price kaafi neeche aayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki girawat ka sabab bhi US dollar ka general mazboot hona tha. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - yeh ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai.

Kal ka candle purani growing candle ko completely cover kar gaya, jis se ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge bhi banaya hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Halankeh upward trend hai, general halat ko dekhte hue, main yeh samajhta hoon ke agle kuch waqt mein phir se price ko neeche ki taraf pressure diya jaega, jo ke older daily waves ke bottoms ke along banayi gayi ascending line ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Jo growth raat ko shuru hui, uska sabab horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein chhote periods par growth ke end ko track karna chahiye, wahan sell formation dekhni chahiye aur neeche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par aayega, jismein shamil hain:

• Total number of people receiving unemployment benefits in the US
• Core orders for durable goods in the US
• Core price index of personal consumption expenditures in the US
• Volume of orders for durable goods in the US
• Gross domestic product of the US
• GDP deflator of the US
• Number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US

Aur 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bayan hoga.

USD Ki Market Analysis Introduction: NZD/USD ka pair Forex market mein ek kaafi mashhoor aur frequently traded pair hai. Yeh pair New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ke darmiyan relation ko represent karta hai. NZD ko bhi commodity currency mana jata hai kyun ke New Zealand ek agricultural based economy hai, aur US Dollar ko duniya ka reserve currency hone ka faida milta hai. Dono currencies ke trends aur movement alag alag factors pe depend karte hain jo ke hum is analysis mein discuss karain ge.
Fundamental Factors: Fundamental factors jo NZD/USD ko impact karte hain unmein New Zealand aur US ki economic data, interest rates, aur global trade dynamics shamil hain. New Zealand ek major dairy exporter hai, toh dairy products ki demand aur prices NZD ko directly effect karte hain. Wahi doosri taraf, US economy aur Federal Reserve ke decisions US Dollar ki strength ya weakness ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Recent reports ke mutabiq, New Zealand ka GDP growth stable hai magar inflation concerns barh rahe hain. Dusri taraf, US mein interest rates high hone ki wajah se US Dollar mein strength nazar aa rahi hai jo ke NZD/USD pair ko pressure mein rakh raha hai. Dono countries ki monetary policies bhi kaafi ahmiyat rakhti hain is pair ke liye.

Technical Analysis: Ab agar hum technical analysis ki baat karein toh NZD/USD ne recent months mein thodi bearish movement dikhayi hai. Major support levels around 0.5900 par hain jab ke resistance level 0.6100 ke qareeb hai. Agar market 0.5900 ka support torh deti hai, toh aur ziada downside ka chance hai, jahan se price 0.5800 tak ja sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ne hume oversold conditions dikhayi hain, lekin koi clear reversal signals abhi tak nahi mile. 50-day aur 100-day moving averages bhi hume downward momentum ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Agar pair 0.6000 ke upar close karta hai toh short-term bullish trend wapis aa sakta hai.

Conclusion: NZD/USD ka future movement depend karega global market conditions aur economic data releases pe. Agar US Dollar ko aur strength milti hai toh NZD/USD ka pair aur downward pressure face karega. Short-term mein pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, khas tor par key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas.

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas

Kal subah ki dip attempt nakam rahi - price upar gayi, magar aaj phir se neeche aa rahi hai. Wave structure ab bhi bullish hai. MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai, lekin price ne goods reading ke bawajood apni position ko upar rakha. Istemaal kiya gaya MACD indicator ek bearish divergence dikhata hai - jo ek strong sell signal hota hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se break karne ke qareeb hai, aur is par bhi ek bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai.

Bhala upward trend ke bawajood, haalaat ko dekhte hue mera khayal hai ke jald hi price ko neeche dhakel diya jayega, jo ke purani daily waves ke bottoms par ek ascending line banayi gayi hai. Price ka rujhan hai ke woh 0.6259 ke level par close hogi. Agar yeh line aur level support na de sake, to phir wapas se price ka central horizontal support level 0.6105 tak jaana mumkin hai. Yehi wo level hai jahan se price pehle touch karke wapas upar gayi thi. Yeh current September ka sabse neecha level bhi hai.

Itne high price par buying karna faida mand nahi lagta, magar short-term mein agar relevant sell formations nazar aayen, to selling ka socha jaa sakta hai. Aaj ki important news jis par aapko tawajjo deni chahiye:






- 15:30 - USA mein issue honay wale building permits ki tadad.
- 17:00 - USA mein naye homes ki sales.
- 17:30 - USA mein crude oil reserves.

Intraday trading strategies sirf downside par honi chahiye jab bearish patterns banain. Aur yeh condition tab tak barqarar rahegi jab tak price 0.6259 ke level ko nahi torhti. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banayi hai, jo ke decline ka ek sign hota hai.

traders ghor se dekhenge, jin mein Q2 ka advanced GDP Annualised aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data shamil hai. New Zealand ke hawalay se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru ki thi, Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak gira diya tha. October aur November mein traders ye umeed kar rahe hain ke Central Bank of New Zealand mazeed 25 basis points (bps) se interest rates ko kam karega. Iske natijay mein New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein gir sakti hai. Mazeed, Middle East ke jaari geopolitical threats safe haven capital flows ko barha sakti hain, jo USD ko faida de sakti hain. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday ko subha kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan aag ka tabadla hue baghair ek bade Middle East conflict ka khauf kam hai. Magar Reuters ke mutabiq, US ke supreme commander ne ye khauf zada karne wali baat ki ke "Iran abhi bhi ek bara khatra bana hua hai, aur wo Israel par hamlay ka soch raha hai." Maine sell position open ki hai kyunke price ne white box area mein 0.6213 ke level ko touch kiya hai, aur agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick bana leta hai, to price 0.6060 tak gir sakti hai jo baad mein RBS area banegi aur hum isay TP1 ka level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 ke neeche mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke price 0.5835 ke zone tak nahi gir jati, aur hum isay TP2 ka level bana sakte hain agle hafte ke trading mein. Mazid, worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar white box area pri

Chaliye D1 period chart ko dekhte hain - NZD/USD currency pair. Kal ka price girne ka koshish kaafi successful raha, aur price kaafi neeche aayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki girawat ka sabab bhi US dollar ka general mazboot hona tha. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - yeh ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai.
Kal ka candle purani growing candle ko completely cover kar gaya, jis se ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge bhi banaya hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Halankeh upward trend hai, general halat ko dekhte hue, main yeh samajhta hoon ke agle kuch waqt mein phir se price ko neeche ki taraf pressure diya jaega, jo ke older daily waves ke bottoms ke along banayi gayi ascending line ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Jo growth raat ko shuru hui, uska sabab horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein chhote periods par growth ke end ko track karna chahiye, wahan sell formation dekhni chahiye aur neeche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par aayega, jismein shamil hain: