نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata.

H1 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD
NZD/USD pair par aaj kaafi acha trading setup nazar aa raha hai. Price barh rahi hai, aur kuch aise conditions hain jo aaj ek acchi trade ka signal de rahi hain. Agar aap long position kholte hain toh aaj ka din profit making ka acha chance lag raha hai. Mera plan hai ke mein 0.62571 tak ka target rakhoon for buy position. Price abhi 0.62415 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Agar price thodi si aur oopar jaaye toh mein ek additional buy order place kar sakta hoon, jab tak ke price 0.62291ke upar hai.
Agar seller ne price ko neeche laane ki koshish ki, toh ab tak uska koi khaas asar nahi hua. Lekin agar price **0.62291** ke neeche girti hai, toh mujhe apne losses ko stop karna padega aur aaj ka trading session bandh karna hoga. Buyer kaafi strength dikhate hue price ko oopar le jaa rahe hain. Is wajah se ab mujhe sell karne ka koi rujhan nahi hai. Jo log short positions mein hain, unke liye **0.62011** ka level acha lag raha hai, lekin ab mujhe price girne ki koi khwaish nahi hai kyunki conditions favorable nahi lag rahi. H4 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD
Monday ki trading session shuru hoti hai toh H4 timeframe par bhi kuch points nazar aate hain. Pehla toh yeh ke **100 Fibonacci level** ka breakout ho gaya hai, jo ke ek strong signal hai for buy trades. Iska matlab hai ke price correction ke liye tayar hai. Doosra, price action ka mechanism dikh raha hai jisme ek pin bar candle bhi nazar aa rahi hai jo ek reversal ka sign hai. Yahaan ek stop loss lagana bhi zaroori hai.
Fundamentals bhi analyze karne padenge, aur aaj shaam ko 16:45 par US se data aa raha hai jisme Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector ka announcement hoga. New Zealand se aaj koi khaas news nahi hai, isliye overall, trading ki direction kaafi had tak US data par depend karegi. Daily timeframe par analysis karte hue technical indicators ka dehaan se jaiza lena zaroori hota hai. Har indicator abhi market ki ek hi direction ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, aur wo direction **bullish** trend ki lag rahi hai. Indicators ab tak yeh predict kar rahe hain ke market ke andar upward movement continue ho sakti hai. Lekin, kyunki aaj Monday hai aur haftay ki shuruaat mein market abhi itni busy nahi hoti, isliye maine faisla kiya hai ke filhal koi trade na karoon. Main kal raat tak intezar karoonga taake market ka rujhan clear ho jaye aur mujhe ek valid trading signal mil sake.

### H-1 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD

NZD/USD currency pair ke hawale se dekhte hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke is instrument ka price kaise upar ja raha hai, aur aaj ke kaam ke din mein extensive trade ke liye kuch shiraa'ti haalaat hain. Agar aap sochte hain, to aaj NZD/USD pair par long positions trade karke aap faida kama sakte hain. Agar aap trading se acha profit hasil karna chahte hain, to main 0.62571 par pair kharidne ki salahiyat rakh raha hoon. Acha transaction processing hone ki umeed mujhe aur bhi zyada confidence deti hai.

Current situation dikhati hai ke trading 0.62415 ke aas-paas range mein ho rahi hai. Main 0.62291 ke upar trading principles ke saath additional order ke zariye growth ke liye average kar sakta hoon. Sellers ke taraf se price ko kam karne ki saari koshishen ab tak kuch khaas nateeje nahi de rahi hain. Agar quotation girta hai aur 0.62291 ke level se neeche chala jata hai, to mujhe loss lena padega aur aaj ka trading band karna padega.

Buyers ki capabilities ke wajah se bulls apne mobility ko realize kar sakte hain. Main sell direction mein trade karne ki koi khwahish nahi rakhta. 0.62011 ka level un logon ke liye positive nazar aata hai jo already short positions mein hain. Ab trading mein girti hui prices dekhne ka koi jazba nahi hai. Haalaat is waqt favorable nahi hain.

### H-4 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD

Shab bakhair! Peer ko currency market mein active trading session phir se shuru hua, isliye main apne pair ka technical analysis senior time frame - H4 par karna chahunga. Mujhe yahan kis par tawajjo deni chahiye? Sabse pehle, screenshot mein Fibonacci grid par 100th level ka pichla breakout dikh raha hai, jo ke agle purchases ke liye activation signal ka matlab hai, khaas taur par correction ke liye.

Dusra, price action mechanism. Main diya gaya candle analyze karne ki salahiyat deta hoon, jo ek quick pin bar ki tarah kaam karta hai. Yahan par stop lagana kaafi munasib hai. Ab dekhte hain ke fundamentals aage kya asar dalte hain. Economic calendar mein USA se 16:45 par data aa raha hai - "Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector", jabke New Zealand se kuch nahi hai... na hi koi formal value.

Yeh haalaat humein yeh darshati hain ke NZD/USD pair ki movement kaise develop ho sakti hai aur traders ko kya sochna chahiye. Samajhna zaroori hai ke market ki dynamics kis tarah se aapki trading decisions ko asar انداز kar sakti hain.

Forex market apne fitrat mein volatile hota hai, aur behtareen trends bhi achanak ulat sakte hain. Apne capital ko bachaane ke liye, stop-loss orders ka theek tareeke se lagana zaroori hai. Misal kay tor par, agar aap stop-loss ko recent swing high kay thoda ooper rakhen, to agar market aapki position kay khilaf chalay, to potential losses ko limit kiya ja sakta hai. Traders ko un economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan jese news achanak currency pair mein harkat paida kar sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakta hai. Ba-khabar rehna aur trading strategy ko iske mutabiq adjust karna successful trading kay liye zaroori hai. NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par filhal sellers kay liye kafi acha moka paish kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend jo technical indicators aur price action kay zariye tasdeeq hoti hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke kai aise mauqe hain jahan traders is pair mein mazeed declines ka faida utha sakte hain. Retracement levels, volume aur key technical signals ka ghor se tajziya karke traders apni positions ko achitime frame par filhal sellers kay liye kafi acha moka paish kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend jo technical indicators aur price action kay zariye tasdeeq hoti hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke kai aise mauqe hain jahan traders is pair mein mazeed declines ka faida utha sakte hain. Retracement levels, volume aur key technical signals ka ghor se tajziya karke traders apni positions ko achi tarah se strategize kar sakte hain taake is bearish trend ka faida utha sakein. Magar hamesha ki tarah, risk ko moassar tareeke se manage karna aur kisi bhi development par nazar rakhna jo market dynamics ko asar kar sakti hai, zaroori hai. Theek approach tarah se strategize kar sakte hain taake is bearish trend ka faida utha sakein. Magar hamesha ki tarah, risk ko moassar tareeke se manage karna aur kisi bhi development par nazar rakhna jo market dynamics ko asar kar sakti hai, zaroori hai. Theek approach kay sath, NZD/USD market ke mojooda halaa

NZD/USD H4 chart

Mainy H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko observe kiya aur note kiya ke Monday ki trading session downward correction ke sath start hui. Magar Tuesday ko buyers ne candlestick ko upar push kiya, lekin zyada nahi. Last week ka market trend ab bhi bullish tha, jo dikhata hai ke EURGBP currency pair apni upward trajectory par hai jo iske overall trend ke mutabiq hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line level 70 ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke hafte ke aghaz mein jo thora bohat izafa dekhne ko mila, wo shayad barqarar rahe. MACD histogram ab bhi zero level ke upar hai, magar uska size Monday ki correction ke sabab thoda kam ho gaya hai. Iss hafte ke dauran, prices mein izafa dekha gaya, aur candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar chal rahi hain. NZD/USD pair ne Friday ke 0.6200 level se decline ke baad wapas buyers ko attract kiya, aur spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gayi hain, jo dikhata hai ke last week ki rebound mazeed barh sakti hai, jo ke 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se ho rahi hai. Federal Reserve ke taraf se 50 basis points interest rate cut ki umeedon ne U.S. Dollar Index ko apne saal ke aghaz ke low ke qareeb la diya hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support faraham kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, equity markets mein general positive tone dollar ko undermind kar rahi hai, jo ke weekend par release hone wale China ke macroeconomic data ke bleak hone ke bawajood New Zealand dollar ko faida de raha hai
Technical Analysis: Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh daily chart par oscillators — jabke lower levels se move kar rahe hain — abhi tak full bullish trend ko confirm nahi kar rahe. Is liye, ye mohtat hoga ke FOMC decision se pehle 0.6200 level se upar ke mazeed buying ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar NZD/USD pair wahan se upar chali jati hai, toh ye 0.6255 level tak ja sakti hai, aur phir 0.6300 level aur August mein hasil kiye gaye multi-month high tak ja sakti hai
Doosri taraf, 0.6155 level ab foran support ka kaam karega against further declines se pehle ke monthly low tak pohncha jaye. Agar iske neeche, 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA decisively break ho jata hai, toh ye bears ke liye nayi trigger ho sakti hai. Neeche ki trajectory phir 0.6000 ke psychological level tak ja sakti hai, lekin kuch rukawatain bhi raasta mein aa sakti hain

Mujhe umeed hai ke humein aise serious southern pins ka samna nahi karna padega, jaise ke wo digital mark jo daily candle par 0.4725 tak pohanch gaya. Agar aisa koi surprise dobara nahi hota, to mere paas aage ke price movement ke liye sirf do options hain. Dono hi northern hain, lekin pehla yeh hai ke price ab ke location se plus ya minus hote hue puri tarah se upward movement kare, aur doosra yeh hai ke price 0.6025 par correction ke baad north ki taraf jaye.
Sach kahun to, main abhi purchase karne ka plan nahi bana raha, main yeh sirf 0.6025 ke level ke aas-paas karunga. Lekin, mujhe yeh bhi nahi pata ke kya main long deal mein jump kar paunga, kyunki bear abhi tak 0.6025 tak nahi pohancha. General taur par, mujhe ismein kuch bhi bura nahi lagta; agar b ull bina kisi correction ke barhta raha, to main bas market mein enter karne ko chhod dunga aur dekhte rahunga.Main New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke pair ko 15-minute chart par dekh raha hoon. Federal Reserve System ki baat karne ke baad, yeh pair 0.62659 ke resistance tak gaya, jahan seller ki limits kaam kar gayi aur yeh pair 0.61836 ke support tak neeche aaya. Is support ke paas seller volume gain karne laga.

Maine socha ke yeh pair aur neeche jaega, lekin jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, yeh phir se pehle ke highs ki taraf wapas aaya. Yahan buyer volume gain karne laga, aur maine socha shayad yeh aur upar jaega, lekin yahan ek range ban gayi. Sab kuch waisa hi lag raha hai jaise Australian dollar par, jahan seller range mein volume gain kar raha hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair 0.61459 ke support tak aur neeche jaega, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh pair aur upar jaega, is wajah se ke inflation ab tak stagnation se bahar nahi aaya.

Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai

USD Ki Market Analysis Introduction: NZD/USD ka pair Forex market mein ek kaafi mashhoor aur frequently traded pair hai. Yeh pair New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ke darmiyan relation ko represent karta hai. NZD ko bhi commodity currency mana jata hai kyun ke New Zealand ek agricultural based economy hai, aur US Dollar ko duniya ka reserve currency hone ka faida milta hai. Dono currencies ke trends aur movement alag alag factors pe depend karte hain jo ke hum is analysis mein discuss karain ge.

Fundamental Factors: Fundamental factors jo NZD/USD ko impact karte hain unmein New Zealand aur US ki economic data, interest rates, aur global trade dynamics shamil hain. New Zealand ek major dairy exporter hai, toh dairy products ki demand aur prices NZD ko directly effect karte hain. Wahi doosri taraf, US economy aur Federal Reserve ke decisions US Dollar ki strength ya weakness ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Recent reports ke mutabiq, New Zealand ka GDP growth stable hai magar inflation concerns barh rahe hain. Dusri taraf, US mein interest rates high hone ki wajah se US Dollar mein strength nazar aa rahi hai jo ke NZD/USD pair ko pressure mein rakh raha hai. Dono countries ki monetary policies bhi kaafi ahmiyat rakhti hain is pair ke liye.

Technical Analysis: Ab agar hum technical analysis ki baat karein toh NZD/USD ne recent months mein thodi bearish movement dikhayi hai. Major support levels around 0.5900 par hain jab ke resistance level 0.6100 ke qareeb hai. Agar market 0.5900 ka support torh deti hai, toh aur ziada downside ka chance hai, jahan se price 0.5800 tak ja sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ne hume oversold conditions dikhayi hain, lekin koi clear reversal signals abhi tak nahi mile. 50-day aur 100-day moving averages bhi hume downward momentum ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Agar pair 0.6000 ke upar close karta hai toh short-term bullish trend wapis aa sakta hai.

Conclusion: NZD/USD ka future movement depend karega global market conditions aur economic data releases pe. Agar US Dollar ko aur strength milti hai toh NZD/USD ka pair aur downward pressure face karega. Short-term mein pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, khas tor par key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas.

/USD pair ne tisray din musalsal izafa dekha aur Friday ki subh European trading session mein qareeban 0.6250 par trade ho raha tha. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka izafa hua China ke Markazi Bank ke interest rate ke faislay ke baad. People's Bank of China ne apni aik saal aur paanch saal ki lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. New Zealand ki economy China ke sath qareebi tijarati taluqat rakhti hai, is liye Chinese economy mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka seedha asar New Zealand market par hota hai. New Zealand ke taaza GDP data ke mutabiq doosray quarter mein GDP mein 0.2% ka contraction hua, jo pehle quarter ke muqable mein kam tha. Yeh girawat forecast ki gayi 0.4% contraction se kam thi. Saal dar saal, economy mein 0.5% ki contraction hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. October mein markets ne ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut poori tarah se price-in kar liya hai. US dollar par dabao barqarar hai jabke Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak ho sakte hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne kaha ke Federal Reserve ka recent rate cut US economy ke liye aik positive sign hai. Unhon ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mein substantial kami hui hai aur yeh 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Waqt ke sath labor market bhi achi performance dikhata raha hai.
NZD/USD pair aaj ka behtareen performer raha jabke investors Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar positive momentum hasil kiya hai jo ke pichlay haftay upward movement ke raste mein rukaawat bana raha tha. Agar is line ke upar close hota hai, to aur zyada buying ka imkan hai, lekin investors ko mazeed market exposure barhane ke liye kuch aur karna par sakta hai. Khaaskar, agar February 2023 aur December ke highs ko connect kartay hue bearish line 0.6233 par break hoti hai, to yeh aur mazeed gains ka saboot ho sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ke bearish line ko 0.6290 par hit kar sakti hai. October 2022 se February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level qareeban 0.6300 ke paas hai, is liye aik bullish move zaroori ho sakta hai taake December 2023 ke high 0.6368 tak pohch sake.

4-hour time frame chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price point 0.6226 ke upar market ka rujhan barqarar hai. Buyer ne seller ke koshishon ko nakaam banaya jab unhon ne price ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki. Aisa lagta hai ke candlestick uptrend ko continue kar rahi hai. Yeh candlestick moving average zone se aagay chali gayi hai, jo market mein bullish opportunity ka ishara kar sakti hai.

USD Ki Market Analysis Introduction: NZD/USD ka pair Forex market mein ek kaafi mashhoor aur frequently traded pair hai. Yeh pair New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ke darmiyan relation ko represent karta hai. NZD ko bhi commodity currency mana jata hai kyun ke New Zealand ek agricultural based economy hai, aur US Dollar ko duniya ka reserve currency hone ka faida milta hai. Dono currencies ke trends aur movement alag alag factors pe depend karte hain jo ke hum is analysis mein discuss karain ge.
Fundamental Factors: Fundamental factors jo NZD/USD ko impact karte hain unmein New Zealand aur US ki economic data, interest rates, aur global trade dynamics shamil hain. New Zealand ek major dairy exporter hai, toh dairy products ki demand aur prices NZD ko directly effect karte hain. Wahi doosri taraf, US economy aur Federal Reserve ke decisions US Dollar ki strength ya weakness ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Recent reports ke mutabiq, New Zealand ka GDP growth stable hai magar inflation concerns barh rahe hain. Dusri taraf, US mein interest rates high hone ki wajah se US Dollar mein strength nazar aa rahi hai jo ke NZD/USD pair ko pressure mein rakh raha hai. Dono countries ki monetary policies bhi kaafi ahmiyat rakhti hain is pair ke liye.

Technical Analysis: Ab agar hum technical analysis ki baat karein toh NZD/USD ne recent months mein thodi bearish movement dikhayi hai. Major support levels around 0.5900 par hain jab ke resistance level 0.6100 ke qareeb hai. Agar market 0.5900 ka support torh deti hai, toh aur ziada downside ka chance hai, jahan se price 0.5800 tak ja sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ne hume oversold conditions dikhayi hain, lekin koi clear reversal signals abhi tak nahi mile. 50-day aur 100-day moving averages bhi hume downward momentum ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Agar pair 0.6000 ke upar close karta hai toh short-term bullish trend wapis aa sakta hai.

Conclusion: NZD/USD ka future movement depend karega global market conditions aur economic data releases pe. Agar US Dollar ko aur strength milti hai toh NZD/USD ka pair aur downward pressure face karega. Short-term mein pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, khas tor par key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas.

kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata.

Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf

Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf

Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai

Forex market apne fitrat mein volatile hota hai, aur behtareen trends bhi achanak ulat sakte hain. Apne capital ko bachaane ke liye, stop-loss orders ka theek tareeke se lagana zaroori hai. Misal kay tor par, agar aap stop-loss ko recent swing high kay thoda ooper rakhen, to agar market aapki position kay khilaf chalay, to potential losses ko limit kiya ja sakta hai. Traders ko un economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan jese news achanak currency pair mein harkat paida kar sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakta hai. Ba-khabar rehna aur trading strategy ko iske mutabiq adjust karna successful trading kay liye zaroori hai. NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par filhal sellers kay liye kafi acha moka paish kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend jo technical indicators aur price action kay zariye tasdeeq hoti hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke kai aise mauqe hain jahan traders is pair mein mazeed declines ka faida utha sakte hain. Retracement levels, volume aur key technical signals ka ghor se tajziya karke traders apni positions ko achitime frame par filhal sellers kay liye kafi acha moka paish kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend jo technical indicators aur price action kay zariye tasdeeq hoti hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke kai aise mauqe hain jahan traders is pair mein mazeed