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NZD/USD H4 Chart Analysis

Assalamualaikum, izzat dar forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka analytical review de raha hoon jo H1 chart par mabni hai. Filhal, trading instrument 0.5920 par hai. Aaj Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko cross karne mein nakami ke baad, price neeche ki taraf chalne lagi aur aakhir mein 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Maujooda market conditions aur dekhi gayi movements ke mutabiq, aisa lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 ke neeche gir sakti hai. Ye bearish trend ke agge barhne ka ishara hai. Jaise jaise halat badle hain, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level tak nahi balki isse aur gir kar 0.5876 par trade kiya hai. Is waqt chart par ek reversal zone ban gaya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai.

Yeh zaroori hai ke dekha jaye: agar price resistance level 0.5886 ke upar chadh kar ek ghante ka candle is level ke upar close karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to aaj ki girawat sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Isse rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf uthane ki sambhavana dikhai deti hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko is level ke neeche rakhna behtar hoga.

Agar main NZD/USD pair ki price movement ko aaj tak monitor karoon, to aisa lagta hai ke price sideways chal rahi hai, 0.6131 zone ke aas-paas ghoom rahi hai. Hamari focus ab un mauqe ka intezar karna hai jo hafte ke shuruat mein price movements ke liye mil sakte hain. Ham in mauqon ka faida indicators aur candlesticks ke signals par tawajjo de kar utha sakte hain.

Iss doran, trend abhi bhi ghirne ki shuruat kar raha hai, isliye aane wale waqt mein price ab bhi bearish ho sakti hai aur main sell trading order ka suggest karunga. Technical perspective se, moving average indicator ki technical strategy se ab seller pressure ke zariye price ko cross kiya ja sakta hai, jo yeh batata hai ke agle price movement ka aghe ki taraf downward trend continue karne ka potential hai.




Dusri taraf, 5.3.3 stochastic indicator ka technical analysis abhi medium value 50 se neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke NZD/USD pair ki price movement abhi apne downward trend ko continue kar rahi hai. Isliye, agar future mein price girti rahti hai, to ye 0.6080 ki price range par take profit target kar sakti hai. Hum abhi ek strong signal dekh rahe hain jo price decline ko dikhata hai, jo medium momentum ke sath bearish candlestick banata hai, khaaskar jab price 0.6150 ke price ko break karne mein kamiyab hui. Ye price ke ongoing bearish trend ko maintain karne ki salahiyat ko dikhata hai.

enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger Gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hueClick image for l

New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge. US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chair

NZD-USD Pair Analysis

NZD/USD pair ka jaiza lete hue yeh nazar aata hai ke yeh correction phase ko continue karne ke liye upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin 0.6249 ke high prices tak pahunchnay ke baad rukna padega. Agar hum dhyan de, to price movement asal mein 200 SMA ke upar hai, lekin US Dollar ki mazbooti ke fundamental asar ki wajah se price impulsively gir rahi hai. Price jab EMA 50 ke neeche aagayi hai, to bearish trend bhi mazid mazboot hota ja raha hai. Price ne 0.6164 ke low prices ko cross karte hue FR 78.6 - 0.6182 par bounce kiya, phir downward rally continue ki aur FR 127.2 - 0.6141 tak pahuncha. Agar downward rally jaari rahi, to price FR 161.8 - 0.6111 ya psychological level 0.6100 tak ja sakti hai, jahan phir upar ki taraf correction ho sakta hai.

0.6164 ke low prices ko successfully cross karna yeh dikhata hai ke price pattern structure lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Iske ilawa, 0.6151 aur 0.6119 ke darmiyan naye lower low prices hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke price direction neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 tak nahi pahunche aur level 20 - 10 par oversold zone ki taraf wapas aane ka lagta hai, yeh price decline rally ko support karte hain. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka downtrend momentum kamzor hota dikh raha hai, kyunki negative area mein green histogram volume level 0 ke kareeb hai, jo positive area mein cross hone ki sambhavna ko darshata hai.




Setup Entry Position

Trading options ko abhi bhi SELL moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyunki price pattern structure lower low - lower high condition mein confirm ho chuka hai aur bearish trend direction dobara mazboot ho raha hai. Entry point 0.6146 ke low prices par rakha gaya hai, ya FR 100 jo is waqt sabse kareeb SBR area bhi mana ja sakta hai. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 aur level 80 ke darmiyan cross karenge. AO indicator ka volume histogram red hona chahiye level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein, taake downtrend momentum ke jaari rehne ka pata chale. FR 161.8 - 0.6111 aur psychological level 0.6100 ko take profit ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop loss ko FR 78.6 - 0.6182 se FR 70.5 - 0.6189 ke beech rakha jaye.

Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm

NZD/USD pair ne tisray din musalsal izafa dekha aur Friday ki subh European trading session mein qareeban 0.6250 par trade ho raha tha. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ka izafa hua China ke Markazi Bank ke interest rate ke faislay ke baad. People's Bank of China ne apni aik saal aur paanch saal ki lending rates ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha. New Zealand ki economy China ke sath qareebi tijarati taluqat rakhti hai, is liye Chinese economy mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka seedha asar New Zealand market par hota hai. New Zealand ke taaza GDP data ke mutabiq doosray quarter mein GDP mein 0.2% ka contraction hua, jo pehle quarter ke muqable mein kam tha. Yeh girawat forecast ki gayi 0.4% contraction se kam thi. Saal dar saal, economy mein 0.5% ki contraction hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. October mein markets ne ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut poori tarah se price-in kar liya hai. US dollar par dabao barqarar hai jabke Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak ho sakte hain. US Treasury Secretary Yellen ne kaha ke Federal Reserve ka recent rate cut US economy ke liye aik positive sign hai. Unhon ne kaha ke yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mein substantial kami hui hai aur yeh 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Waqt ke sath labor market bhi achi performance dikhata raha hai.

NZD/USD pair aaj ka behtareen performer raha jabke investors Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar positive momentum hasil kiya hai jo ke pichlay haftay upward movement ke raste mein rukaawat bana raha tha. Agar is line ke upar close hota hai, to aur zyada buying ka imkan hai, lekin investors ko mazeed market exposure barhane ke liye kuch aur karna par sakta hai. Khaaskar, agar February 2023 aur December ke highs ko connect kartay hue bearish line 0.6233 par break hoti hai, to yeh aur mazeed gains ka saboot ho sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ke bearish line ko 0.6290 par hit kar sakti hai. October 2022 se February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level qareeban 0.6300 ke paas hai, is liye aik bullish move zaroori ho sakta hai taake December 2023 ke high 0.6368 tak pohch sake.

4-hour time frame chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price point 0.6226 ke upar market ka rujhan barqarar hai. Buyer ne seller ke koshishon ko nakaam banaya jab unhon ne price ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki. Aisa lagta hai ke candlestick uptrend ko continue kar rahi hai. Yeh candlestick moving average zone se aagay chali gayi hai, jo market mein bullish opportunity ka ishara kar sakti hai.

NZD/USD ke last trading session mein sellers ka price zone 0.6114 mein enter na ho paana buyers ke liye ek significant support bana, jahan 4-hour time frame par ek candlestick pattern bana, jis ki wajah se market mein surge aaya. Ab market bullish direction mein move kar raha hai, aur price action 0.6204 area ko break karta hua dikhayi de raha hai. Mere khayal mein future mein recovery ka imkaan hai. Trend pattern ke lehaz se, uptrend continue karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur us jagah ko wapas haasil karne ki koshish mein hai jahan pehle uptrend dekha gaya tha.
Aisa lagta hai ke hafte ke aghaz se hi price mein izafa ho raha hai, jo ke low price point se break ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mera tajzia hai ke kal ke rally ke continuation ke liye bullish movement zyada strength ke sath barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar trading situation dekhi jaye, to buyer ab bhi price ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai taake price 0.6263 ke aas paas pohch sake. Pichlay hafte price bearish tha, lekin is hafte yeh phir bullish ho gaya hai. Ab ka jo scenario hai, is se lagta hai ke uptrend continue hone ki koshish ho rahi hai, aur yeh bullish journey ke continuation ka ek significant contributing factor ho sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair ka upward movement ka transition New Zealand mein retail sales volumes ke growth ka nateeja ho sakta tha, agar AUD/USD pair ne apne similar process ka izhar na kiya hota. Price ab 0.6164 (Murray 5.8) ke level ke qareeb pohch rahi hai. Main yeh nahi samajhta ke yeh resistance aasani se overcome ho sakega, kyun ke Kijun H4 line se yeh aur mazid reinforce hota hai. Yahan sirf iske false breakout ka tajzia lagaya ja sakta hai, jis ke baad, bohot zyada probability ke sath bears phir se initiative haasil karenge aur 61st figure (Murray 4.8) ke base tak jaane ki koshish karenge taake iss support par naya assault kiya ja sake.
NZD/USD currency pair ke long-term prospects achay hain, aur yeh 0.6250 ke resistance tak grow karne ke imkaan rakhta hai. Daily time frame par dekha jaye, to price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke upar hai, jo longer-term upward trend ka ishara hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator upward direction mein hai, jo bullish market sentiment aur iski strength ko confirm karta hai. CCI 10 indicator oversold zone mein hai aur upward turn le raha hai, jo buy signal ka indication hai, target 0.6250 ke sath.
4-hour time frame par situation kuch mukhtalif hai. Yahan MACD 12.26.9 downward direction mein hai, aur price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke neeche hai, jo medium-term mein downward movement ka ishara hai. Qareebi support level 0.6135 hai aur resistance level 0.6160 hai. Iss unclear situation mein, lower time frames par buying consider karna behtar hoga. Lekin hafte ke end tak short term mein situation dramatic tor par badal sakti hai. Technical picture ke ilawa, economic news ke releases aur different continents par trading sessions ke start aur end times ka bhi lehaz rakhna zaroori hoga.

NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, special wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, utasalar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka

subah, early Asian session ke doran, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne notable gains show kiye, apni positive momentum ko continue rakha. NZD mein yeh izafa aslan ek weaker US Dollar aur optimistic risk sentiment ke sabab hai jo market mein prevail kar raha hai.
US Dollar ki recent softness NZD ke urooç mein ek crucial factor hai. Jab US Dollar apni ground lose karta hai, to aisi currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ki qeemat barhti hai. Yeh inverse relationship market ke higher-yielding aur riskier assets ke haq mein shift hone se driven hoti hai, jo NZD ki demand ko enhance karti hai. Mazeed, market ka risk sentiment bhi ek significant role ada karta hai. Positive risk sentiment typically emerging markets ya commodity prices se tied assets ki demand ko boost karta hai, jaise ke NZD, jo ke New Zealand ki export-oriented economy se mutasir hota hai.

Iske ilawa, investors US se aanay wale economic data, khaaskar S&P Global PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) ke pehle reading par nazar rakhe hue hain, jo ke August ke liye Wednesday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh data US manufacturing aur services sectors ki health ke baray mein insights provide karega. Agar PMI reading expectations se stronger hoti hai, to yeh US Dollar ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weaker figure iski decline ko mazeed exacerbate kar sakti hai, jo ke NZD/USD exchange rate ko impact kar sakta hai.
[ATTACH=CONFIG]n13102606[/ATTACH]
S&P Global PMI economic activity aur business confidence ka ek critical indicator hai. Ek robust PMI reading aksar economic expansion ka signal deti hai aur Federal Reserve se tighter monetary policy ki expectations ko barhawa de sakti hai. Iske baraks, ek weaker PMI economic challenges suggest kar sakta hai aur Fed ke interest rates par stance ko influence kar sakta hai. Natija-tor par, market participants apni positions PMI outcomes ke base par adjust karne ke liye tayar rahenge, jo currency movements par ripple effect daal sakta hai.

Summary mein, New Zealand Dollar ki strength early Asian session mein ek weaker US Dollar aur positive risk environment se supported hai. Investors August S&P Global PMI reading ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke NZD/USD pair ki near-term direction ko likely influence karega. Economic data aur market sentiment ke
mein kuch intriguing movements dikhaaye hain. Jaise ki expected tha, 0.5865 ke digital mark par support level ne admirably perform kiya hai, expectations ke mutabiq. Yeh level robust support point prove hua hai, aur yeh jaanne ke liye zaroori hai ki yeh future movements ke liye kya implies karta hai.

Present mein, NZD/USD pair is support level ke around notable activity experience kar raha hai. Historical context aur recent trends ke mutabiq, yeh highly likely hai ki hum significant upward movement ke verge par hain. Specifically, yeh substantial probability hai ki price resistance zone ko break kar dega, jo ki 0.6350 se 0.6390 tak hai, aur iske upar consolidate kar dega.

Agar NZD/USD pair successfully resistance zone ko break kar dega aur iske upar position secure kar dega, toh yeh sustained upward trend ke beginning ka signal dega. Yeh potential breakout further gains ke liye stage set kar sakta hai. Aisi scenario mein, hum additional rise ki anticipation kar sakte hain approximately 600 points, jo ki current levels se notable shift hoga. Yeh potential rise current market dynamics aur technical indicators se support ki ja rahi hai.

NZD/USD pair ki ability key resistance level ke upar position maintain karne ki zaroori hai. Agar yeh achieve kar dega, toh market bullish trend ke continuation ko witness kar sakta hai, initial forecast se beyond gains extend karne ki possibility ke sath. Conclusion mein, NZD/USD pair ke recent interaction support level 0.5865 ke sath aur upcoming challenge resistance zone 0.6350-0.6390 ke around pivotal hain. Successful breach aur consolidation above resistance significant upward movement ke liye way pave kar sakta hai, potentially pair ki value mein additional 600 points add karke. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future trajectory ke liye critical insights provide kar sakte hain
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh baad mein ek continuation pattern bhi create kar sakta hai.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]n13104441[/ATTACH] darmiyan ka interplay currency trends ko shape karne mein crucial hoga.

NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, special wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, utasalar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza l

New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge. US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed ChairClick image kaivniar

hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm

enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger Gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hueClick image for l

buyers ke liye ek significant support bana, jahan 4-hour time frame par ek candlestick pattern bana, jis ki wajah se market mein surge aaya. Ab market bullish direction mein move kar raha hai, aur price action 0.6204 area ko break karta hua dikhayi de raha hai. Mere khayal mein future mein recovery ka imkaan hai. Trend pattern ke lehaz se, uptrend continue karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur us jagah ko wapas haasil karne ki koshish mein hai jahan pehle uptrend dekha gaya tha. Aisa lagta hai ke hafte ke aghaz se hi price mein izafa ho raha hai, jo ke low price point se break ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mera tajzia hai ke kal ke rally ke continuation ke liye bullish movement zyada strength ke sath barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar trading situation dekhi jaye, to buyer ab bhi price ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai taake price 0.6263 ke aas paas pohch sake. Pichlay hafte price bearish tha, lekin is hafte yeh phir bullish ho gaya hai. Ab ka jo scenario hai, is se lagta hai ke uptrend continue hone ki koshish ho rahi hai, aur yeh bullish journey ke continuation ka ek significant contributing factor ho sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair ka upward movement ka transition New Zealand mein retail sales volumes ke growth ka nateeja ho sakta tha, agar AUD/USD pair ne apne similar process ka izhar na kiya hota. Price ab 0.6164 (Murray 5.8) ke level ke qareeb pohch rahi hai. Main yeh nahi samajhta ke yeh resistance aasani se overcome ho sakega, kyun ke Kijun H4 line se yeh aur mazid reinforce hota hai. Yahan sirf iske false breakout ka tajzia lagaya ja sakta hai, jis ke baad, bohot zyada probability ke sath bears phir se initiative haasil karenge aur 61st figure (Murray 4.8) ke base tak jaane ki koshish karenge taake iss support par naya assault kiya ja sake.
NZD/USD currency pair ke long-term prospects achay hain, aur yeh 0.6250 ke resistance tak grow karne ke imkaan rakhta hai. Daily time frame par dekha jaye, to price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke upar hai, jo longer-term upward trend ka ishara hai. MACD 12.26.9 indicator upward direction mein hai, jo bullish market sentiment aur iski strength ko confirm karta hai. CCI 10 indicator oversold zone mein hai aur upward turn le raha hai, jo buy signal ka indication hai, target 0.6250 ke sath.
4-hour time frame par situation kuch mukhtalif hai. Yahan MACD 12.26.9 downward direction mein hai, aur price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke neeche hai, jo medium-term mein downward movement ka ishara hai. Qareebi support level 0.6135 hai aur resistance level 0.6160 hai. Iss unclear situation mein, lower time frames par buying consider karna behtar hoga. Lekin hafte ke end tak short term mein situation dramatic tor par badal sakti hai. Technical picture ke ilawa, economic news ke

US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.
**Weekly Forecast:**

Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.

**NZD/USD Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain