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NZD/USD H4 chart
1st September ko, is pair ne thori dair ke liye apne range ke upper limit ko cross kiya jab ye 0.6248 ki high tak pohcha. Magar, jaldi hi ye niche gira aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Is ke baad sirf thodi weakness aayi, aur 22 August ko ye swing low 0.6109 tak gira, lekin 23 August ko pair ne wapas bounce kiya aur range se phir bahar nikal gaya. Tab se lekar ab tak, NZD/USD pair ne thoda decline dikhaya jab 20 August ki highs ko 0.6248 par tod diya; lekin higher high ka matlub hai ek significant breakout hua. Aisa breakout ek upward goal ko activate karega jo range ke height ko extrapolate kar ke calculate kiya jata hai (0.618 ratio). Iska matlab ek upside target (bold rectangle) 0.6448 ka hai. Dusra, thoda zyada cautious goal 0.6409 ka hai (jo December 2023 ka high hai). Aise move se short-term trend bearish se positive ho sakta hai. Agar pair 0.6109 ke swing low se neeche girta hai, to iska matlub hai ke sideways trend abhi bhi continue kar raha hai, aur 0.5850 ke lows ke neeche decline hone ka chance hai.




US dollar ke week ke shuru me kamzor hone se prices me izafa dekha gaya. Buyers ka irada market ko aaj dominate karne ka lagta hai. Market ki condition ko dekhte hue, pichle haftay ke price movement se lagta hai ke price trend bullish ki taraf ja raha hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, NzdUsd pair bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai kyun ke buyers ki taqat week ke shuru me abhi bhi mazboot lagti hai. Agar price 0.6200 ke zone me defense line ko cross kar jaye, to market ki situation abhi bhi larger time frame ke bullish trend ke mutabiq lagti hai. Ager mai aglay time ke liye monitor karun, to uptrend ka chance abhi bhi zyada lagta hai, khas tor par jab tak candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Aur Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 bhi zone 20 ko touch kar raha hai, jo downward correction ki taraf ishara de raha hai. Yeh situation weekly price movement se bhi dekhi ja sakti hai. Market trend ke hisaab se, trend ko bullish ki taraf continue karne ka zyada chance hai. Agley trade me buying flow me izafa bhi ho sakta hai, jo prices ko further upar le jaye. Aaj ke current situation me lagta hai ke market abhi bhi bullish side ki taraf move karne ka chance rakh raha hai. Agar market upar jaane ke safar ko support karta hai, to is hafte ki trading me mai zyada focus market conditions ka wait karne par karun ga jo abhi bhi upar jaane ki koshish kar rahi hain. Isi liye buy option consider karna theek hoga.

NZD/USD H4 chart
Aaj mai NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review H1 chart ke base par de raha hoon. Filhaal, trading instrument 0.5920 par position hai. Aaj ki Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ko 0.5956 par resistance ka samna hua. Ye level cross karne me nakam rehne ke baad, price neeche girne lagi aur 0.5918 tak aa gayi. Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ke dekhte hue lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level se neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh situation bearish trend ke barqarar rehne ki nishani hai. Jis tarah se yeh halaat evolve hue hain, NZD/USD pair sirf 0.5900 level tak hi nahi pohcha, balki usse bhi neeche gir kar 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Abhi ke waqt me ek reversal zone chart par ubhar raha hai, jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level se upar jaye aur ek one-hour candle is level ke upar close ho jaye, to ye decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakta hai. Is se yeh imkaan hai ke price rebound kare aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf wapas aaye. Is scenario me stop-loss orders lagane ki salahiyat di jati hai.




H4 chart ke muqable me, four hourly timeframe par linear regression channel me ek upward movement nazar aa raha hai, jo ke buyer activity ko dikhata hai. Buyer ki taraf se kamzori dikhai de rahi hai jab ke 0.59421 ke level ko chhor diya gaya hai jab sellers ne isko breakthrough kar diya. Is se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka market me strong interest hai, jo ke H4 channel ko neeche reverse karne ki koshish kar rahe hain ek specific target ke sath. Is tarah se uptrend khatam hone ka khatra hai. Jab channel neeche move karega to yeh dominant sellers ko reflect karega aur trend ke change ko dikhayega. Strong bears 0.58630 level tak pohchne ki koshish karenge taake apna target hasil kar sakein. Magar agar H4 chart ke conditions puri hoti hain aur market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karta hai, to bulls apne trend ko wapas bahal kar lenge. Trading karte waqt isko zaroor consider karna chahiye.

NZD/USD H4 chart
Aaj ke market trend opportunities ko dekhne ke liye, hum abhi bhi NZD/USD market se clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyun ke abhi tak yeh consolidation conditions mein chal raha hai, jo ke pichle hafte ke movement se thoda mukhtalif hai. Halankeh July ke end mein price journey ne drastic bearish ka samna kiya, lekin uske baad price ne mazbooti se upar rise kiya. Aaj hum dekh rahe hain ke market 0.6130 position se open hui hai. Is situation mein hum kuch possibilities anticipate kar sakte hain, jin mein further increases ka chance bhi shamil hai. Lekin yeh note karna zaroori hai ke abhi tak current conditions mein itni taqat nahi dikhai de rahi ke price ko aage barhaya ja sake, jab tak buyers 0.6184 ke price zone se breakout nahi karte.

Maine shuru se hi NzdUsd market ke price journey ko monitor kiya hai, jo bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, aur price ko 100 period ke simple moving average line ke upar rehne mein kaamyabi mili. Magar, kal raat ke trading period mein upward trend ko thoda rukawat ka samna karna para, jisse price bullish trend se thoda correct ho kar neeche aa gaya. Shuru mein candlestick 0.6172 area tak upar chala gaya tha, lekin dheere dheere neeche ki taraf move karna shuru kar diya. Aaj subah tak ke trading ke dauran, price 0.6141 area ke aas-paas stable rehne mein kamyab raha. Agar candlestick position ko monitor kiya jaye, to lagta hai ke abhi bhi yeh 100 period ke simple moving average ke upar chal raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers ke paas abhi bhi mauka hai ke price ko bullish trend mein stable rakhein.




NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se ek potential turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index gir raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. Relative Strength Index bhi 50 level ke upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka pata deta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo is baat ko support karta hai ke aur upward movement ho sakti hai. Agle hafton mein, yeh pair volatile rehne ki umeed hai, aur significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye ho sakti hain. Agar positive momentum continue karta hai, to yeh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully break ho jata hai, to October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf move ka raasta khul sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye, jo NZD/USD exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain.

NZD / USD: Ek daily aur hourly trading road map ya plan



NZDUSD ka price movement filhal sellers ke haq mein hai, jo ke aaj ek selling scenario ko drive kar raha hai. Pair abhi 0.6238 level par hai, jo ek support area hai, aur is baat ki nishani hai ke selling environment sellers ki kuch losses ko cover karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Yeh ek correction phase bhi ho sakta hai, jo shaayad United States trading session ke dauran khatam ho. Correction ke imkaan ke bawajood, current market session abhi bhi sellers ke favor mein hai, jo ke aaj baad mein 0.6222 area ko test kar sakte hain.

Hourly aspect se dekha jaye to Washington session ke dauran bulls ke wapas aanay ki umeed hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ke paas din bhar ke dauran apne losses cover karne ka ek mauka hai. Market conditions tezi se badal sakte hain, isliye aqalmandi aur professionalism se kaam lena zaroori hai. Aaj sellers ke liye market ko closely monitor karna aur har change ka sahi tor par jawab dena zaroori hoga. 0.6222 area ko test karne ka imkaan ek potential target bana sakta hai sellers ke liye, lekin market conditions ka sahi andaaza lagana zaroori hai taake is selling scenario ka faida uthaya ja sake.

Sellers ko apne positions ko samajhdari se manage karna chahiye, market ke selling favor ka faida uthate hue, lekin har waqt shift ke liye tayar bhi rehna chahiye. Market ki behavior ko dekhte rehna aur informed decisions lena aaj ke trading environment ko successfully navigate karne ke liye bohot zaroori hoga. Losses ko cover karna aur selling scenario se profit hasil karna market ka gehra jaiza lene par mabni hai, khaaskar jab din guzarne ke sath bulls dobara apna asar dikhana shuru karenge. Ek behtareen trading roadmap aapko is risky market mein survive karne mein madad de sakta hai.

Aap ke trading career ke liye nek tamannayein!

NZD/USD ka daily chart ek recovery phase ko showcase kar raha hai jo ke 2024 ke shuru se chala aa raha hai. 2023 mein lambe downtrend ke baad, jahan pair ne 0.5600 ke aas-paas lows test kiye, ek reversal dekhne ko mila jo price ko 0.6200 level tak upar le gaya. Chart mein key liquidity zones dikhaye gaye hain, khaaskar Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) aur Bottom Liquidity (BLiq), jo market ke focus areas ko highlight karte hain.
2023 ke doosray hissay mein, pair ko 0.5600 level ke paas achi support mili, jise large green bottom liquidity zone ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh area ek mazboot base ka kaam kar raha tha aur further declines ko rokne mein madadgar tha. September 2023 se November 2023 tak price action mein consolidation dekhi gayi, jahan pair ko Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur DLiq zones ke aas-paas, 0.5800 ke area mein, breakout karne mein mushkil hui. Magar, is consolidation ke baad breakout aaya, jo uptrend ke aaghaz ka nishan tha. Jab bullish momentum barh gaya, to pair ne kuch key resistance levels ko clear kiya, khaaskar DLiq zones jo ke 0.5900 aur 0.6100 ke aas-paas the. Pehle yeh areas jo upward movement ke liye rukawat the, support zones ban gaye jab pair aur upar push karta gaya. Abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke pair 0.6230 level ke aas-paas critical juncture par hai, jo 0.6300 resistance zone se thoda neeche hai. Yeh area significant hai kyun ke yeh ek pehle ke DLiq zone ke saath align karta hai, aur market yahan test kar raha hai ke aage move hone ke liye kitna space hai.




Short-term outlook NZD/USD ke liye cautiously bullish hai, aur dekhne wala key level 0.6200 support zone hai. Agar pair is level ke upar apni position barqarar rakhta hai, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ke liye raasta bana sakta hai, jo 0.6300 tak jaa sakta hai, aur shayad usse bhi upar. Magar agar pair 0.6200 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh lower support levels ko retest kar sakta hai, jaise ke 0.6100 ya phir 0.6000, jo phir se buyers ke interest ko attract kar sakta hai. NZD/USD abhi ek recovery phase mein hai jisme positive bias hai, lekin pair ko 0.6230-0.6300 area ke aas-paas resistance ka samna hai. Aage barhne ke liye 0.6200 level ke upar sustain karna bohot zaroori hoga. Traders ko in levels ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake bullish momentum ki strength ko samajha ja sake.

NZD/USD H1 Chart
H1 chart ke mukablay mein, hourly period ke linear regression channel mein upward movement dekhi gayi hai, jo buyer ki activity ko highlight karti hai. Buyer ne seller ke samnay haar maan li, jo ke 0.61440 level ko todne mein kamiyab raha. Yeh market mein ek strong bearish interest ko zahir karta hai, jo ke seller ke khas objective ke sath H1 channel ko neeche le kar jaa sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to bullish trend khatam ho jaye ga aur seller ka ghalba neeche jate hue channel se zahir hoga, jo ek bearish trend ki nishani hogi. Ek strong bear 0.59520 level tak pohanchne ki koshish karega, jo ke uska maqsad pura karne ke liye kaafi hoga. Jab H1 ke conditions poori ho jayengi, aur market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 ke level ke upar ho jaye ga, to bulls apna trend movement wapas shuru karenge.




New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne apni upward trajectory ko US dollar (USD) ke against barqarar rakha, aur paanch lagataar sessions mein apni winning streak ko extend kiya. Pair ka yeh rise aksar bullish technical outlook se driven tha, jo ke rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support ho raha tha. NZD/USD pair ki consolidation ascending channel ke bullish boundary ke andar reh kar bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar rahi thi. RSI jo ke 70 level ke thoda neeche tha, ek confirmed bullish momentum ka ishara de raha tha. Agar gains mazid barhte hain, to yeh pair ko overbought zone mein le jaa sakta hai, jis se short-term correction ho sakti hai. Pair ka short-term bullish momentum nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trade karne se bhi support ho raha tha. Yeh positive technical indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke NZD/USD ek sustained upward trend mein hai.

Upar ki taraf, pair ko foran resistance upper boundary of the ascending channel ke paas 0.6190 par face karna par sakta hai. Agar yeh level successfully breach hota hai, to pair do maheenay ke high 0.6247 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, nine-day EMA 0.6092 par ek direct support level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai, aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur ascending channel floor 0.6030 ki taraf push ho sakta hai. Agar channel floor break hota hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur pair ko rebound support 0.5850 tak le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD Pair Technical Analysis
Do din se, Thursday aur Friday, NZD/USD ke movement mein girawat dekhi gayi hai. NZD/USD ki girawat ka aghaz tab hua jab candle ne 0.6298 ka area touch kiya. Jab maine dobara check kiya, to pata chala ke yeh woh area tha jahan supply form hui thi. Jab se supply area touch hua hai, tab se price mein izafa nahi ho saka. Jab tak supply area break nahi hota, girawat ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke price 0.6298 ko cross na kare, kyun ke is se price mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Upar di gayi tasveer mein, EMA 21 aur EMA 36 ke lines ek dosray ko cross kar rahe hain, jo ke NZD/USD ki mazeed girawat ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar price ne neeche aur girna hai, to candle ko support area 0.6227 ke neechay nikalna hoga. Masla yeh hai ke kal, Friday ke din, yeh area break nahi ho saka tha. Is liye, main aap ko recommend karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain to sirf sell positions pe focus karein. Take profit ka target qareebi support 0.6145 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko resistance 0.6298 par set kar sakte hain.




Market Situation

Hafte ke aghaz mein US dollar ki kamzori ke sath prices mein izafa hua hai. Aaj ke market conditions ko dekhte hue, buyers market mein ghalba paane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Guzishta hafte ke price movement ke pattern ko dekh kar lagta hai ke price ka trend bullish ki taraf move kar raha hai. Mere mutabiq, NZD/USD pair mein bullish trend ka imkaan abhi bhi mazboot hai kyun ke buyers ne hafte ke aghaz mein kaafi taqat dikhayi hai. Agar price 0.6200 zone mein defense line ko torne mein kamiyab ho jaye, to market situation mazeed bullish ho sakti hai. Badi time frame ke trend ke mutabiq, yehi bullish trend barqarar reh sakta hai.

Future ke liye dekha jaye to abhi bhi uptrend ka chance lagta hai, khaaskar jab tak candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar hai. Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ke zariye dekha gaya hai ke zone 20 ko touch karte hue downward correction nazar aayi, jo ke early trading mein dekhi gayi. Guzishta haftay ke price movement ke context mein, market ka trend bullish rehne ka zyada imkaan hai. Aane wale trades mein buying flow ka izafa ho sakta hai jo ke prices ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Aaj ke market conditions ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke market bullish side ki taraf apna safar jari rakh sakta hai. Agar market upward journey ko support karta hai, to is haftay ke trading period ke liye main market conditions ka wait karoon ga jo ke upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Isi liye, buy option ko choose karne ka socha ja sakta hai.

**NZD/USD H1 Chart Analysis**

Hello esteemed forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka H1 chart ka analytical review provide kar raha hoon. Filhal trading instrument 0.5920 pe positioned hai. Aaj Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 pe resistance encounter kiya. Is level ko paar nahi kar paane ke baad, price ne downward movement shuru ki aur 0.5918 tak decline ho gayi. Market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level se niche gir sakti hai. Is se bearish trend ka continuation dikhai de raha hai. Jaise jaise situation evolve hui, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level tak nahi balki aur bhi niche gir kar 0.5876 pe trade kiya. Filhal, chart par ek reversal zone emerge hua hai jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 se upar uth jaye aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close ho, to current decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Is se rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 tak ke potential ka indication milega. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko is level ke niche rakhna advisable hai.

Main New Zealand Dollar USD pair ko hourly chart pe dekh raha hoon. Pair ne 0.60638 pe resistance break kiya aur uske baad Bank of New Zealand ka statement aaya. Jaise hi pair neeche aaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye jo market ke liye unexpected the. Market ko lag raha tha ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates ko 40 se 50 percent tak cut karega. Pair ne 0.59681 pe support reach kiya, aur maine assume kiya ke pair further down jayega, kyunki Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye. Main samajhta tha ke pair trading range mein thoda aur neeche jayega, lekin pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kiya aur 0.62205 tak pahunch gaya. Yeh mujhe bilkul bhi expect nahi tha. Maine upper bounds of the range se reversal ki ummeed ki thi, aur resistance 0.61526 tha. America mein inflation mein koi kami nahi hui hai. 0.1% ki kami status quo ko break nahi karti, isliye maine decline ki ummeed ki thi. Acha, aur principle mein, main abhi bhi decline ke liye intezaar kar raha hoon, kyunki mujhe dekhne ki koi zaroorat nahi hai.

Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua karta hoon! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ab bhi upward position mein hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke buyers abhi active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD

hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Thursday ko early Asian trade mein US Dollar (USD) ke against mazid taqat hasil ki, aur apna sab se bara level January 4 ke baad chhula, jo ke lagbhag 0.6280 par tha. Is surge ka bada sabab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki mazid umeed aur ANZ Bank ke taraf se business outlook survey ka behtareen natija tha. ANZ ke mutabiq, August mein New Zealand ki business confidence das saalon ki bulandi tak pohnch gayi. Overall confidence index 51.0 tak barh gaya, jabke private activity ka gauge bhi saat saal ke high, yani 37.0 par pohnch gaya. ANZ Bank ki chief economist, Sharon Zollner ne is survey ko "umeed ki lehr" qarar diya, jis ne NZD ko USD ke against mazid taqat di.

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent statement mein kaha ke Fed tayar hai interest rates ko kam karne ke liye, jo ke US dollar ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Saath hi, Minneapolis Fed ke Governor Neel Kashkari, St. Louis Fed ke President Alberto Musallam, aur Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne kamzor labor market ke hawale se pehle rate cut par guftagu ka mashwara diya hai. In Fed officials ke dovish comments se dollar par chand waqt ke liye downward pressure aasakta hai.

US GDP growth ka second estimate Thursday ko qareebi dekhne ka hawala bana rahega. Agar GDP ki growth umeed se zyada hui, to US dollar ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai, aur NZD/USD pair ke liye ye negative asar dal sakta hai.




NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apne saat mahine ke high ke qareeb trade kiya, aur August mein apni upward trend ko barqarar rakha. Lekin, 0.6250 area mein kuch resistance hai, jahan yeh long-term downtrend line se takra raha hai. Technical indicators abhi bullish hain, magar near term mein positive momentum thoda fade hota nazar aa raha hai. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh rally rukti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo June-August downtrend ka hai, yani 0.6141 tak phisal sakta hai. Agar yeh bhi break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 par agla target ban sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi qareeb hain, jo ke bears ke liye significant progress karna mushkil bana sakta hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Thursday ko early Asian trade mein US Dollar (USD) ke against mazid taqat hasil ki, aur apna sab se bara level January 4 ke baad chhula, jo ke lagbhag 0.6280 par tha. Is surge ka bada sabab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki mazid umeed aur ANZ Bank ke taraf se business outlook survey ka behtareen natija tha. ANZ ke mutabiq, August mein New Zealand ki business confidence das saalon ki bulandi tak pohnch gayi. Overall confidence index 51.0 tak barh gaya, jabke private activity ka gauge bhi saat saal ke high, yani 37.0 par pohnch gaya. ANZ Bank ki chief economist, Sharon Zollner ne is survey ko "umeed ki lehr" qarar diya, jis ne NZD ko USD ke against mazid taqat di.

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent statement mein kaha ke Fed tayar hai interest rates ko kam karne ke liye, jo ke US dollar ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Saath hi, Minneapolis Fed ke Governor Neel Kashkari, St. Louis Fed ke President Alberto Musallam, aur Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne kamzor labor market ke hawale se pehle rate cut par guftagu ka mashwara diya hai. In Fed officials ke dovish comments se dollar par chand waqt ke liye downward pressure aasakta hai.

US GDP growth ka second estimate Thursday ko qareebi dekhne ka hawala bana rahega. Agar GDP ki growth umeed se zyada hui, to US dollar ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai, aur NZD/USD pair ke liye ye negative asar dal sakta hai.




NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apne saat mahine ke high ke qareeb trade kiya, aur August mein apni upward trend ko barqarar rakha. Lekin, 0.6250 area mein kuch resistance hai, jahan yeh long-term downtrend line se takra raha hai. Technical indicators abhi bullish hain, magar near term mein positive momentum thoda fade hota nazar aa raha hai. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh rally rukti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo June-August downtrend ka hai, yani 0.6141 tak phisal sakta hai. Agar yeh bhi break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 par agla target ban sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi qareeb hain, jo ke bears ke liye significant progress karna mushkil bana sakta hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Thursday ko early Asian trade mein US Dollar (USD) ke against mazid taqat hasil ki, aur apna sab se bara level January 4 ke baad chhula, jo ke lagbhag 0.6280 par tha. Is surge ka bada sabab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki mazid umeed aur ANZ Bank ke taraf se business outlook survey ka behtareen natija tha. ANZ ke mutabiq, August mein New Zealand ki business confidence das saalon ki bulandi tak pohnch gayi. Overall confidence index 51.0 tak barh gaya, jabke private activity ka gauge bhi saat saal ke high, yani 37.0 par pohnch gaya. ANZ Bank ki chief economist, Sharon Zollner ne is survey ko "umeed ki lehr" qarar diya, jis ne NZD ko USD ke against mazid taqat di.

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent statement mein kaha ke Fed tayar hai interest rates ko kam karne ke liye, jo ke US dollar ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Saath hi, Minneapolis Fed ke Governor Neel Kashkari, St. Louis Fed ke President Alberto Musallam, aur Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne kamzor labor market ke hawale se pehle rate cut par guftagu ka mashwara diya hai. In Fed officials ke dovish comments se dollar par chand waqt ke liye downward pressure aasakta hai.

US GDP growth ka second estimate Thursday ko qareebi dekhne ka hawala bana rahega. Agar GDP ki growth umeed se zyada hui, to US dollar ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai, aur NZD/USD pair ke liye ye negative asar dal sakta hai.



NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apne saat mahine ke high ke qareeb trade kiya, aur August mein apni upward trend ko barqarar rakha. Lekin, 0.6250 area mein kuch resistance hai, jahan yeh long-term downtrend line se takra raha hai. Technical indicators abhi bullish hain, magar near term mein positive momentum thoda fade hota nazar aa raha hai. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh rally rukti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo June-August downtrend ka hai, yani 0.6141 tak phisal sakta hai. Agar yeh bhi break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 par agla target ban sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi qareeb hain, jo ke bears ke liye significant progress karna mushkil bana sakta hai.

NZD/USD H1 Chart

American session ke shuru hone se pehle, NZD/USD market abhi bhi daily open aur apne qareebi support ke darmiyan oopar neeche ho raha hai. Market ne aaj ka aghaz 0.6242 par kiya, aur support ka level 0.6220 hai. Qareebi resistance 0.6262 par mark kiya gaya hai. Monday se, is pair ka price movement chhoti-chhoti candle sticks bana raha hai. Kal se ek bar phir upward trend nazar aana shuru hua, jab pehle thodi si correction hui thi. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve kiya gaya.

Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price correction continue karega, magar Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne apne aap ko sambhala aur dheere dheere positive move karna shuru kiya. Weekly open jo ke 0.6217 par tha, break hua aur price upar ki taraf move kiya. Buyers ke is pressure ne price ko 0.6249 tak pohchane mein madad ki, lekin uske baad price limited movement mein aa gaya. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye ab bhi gunjaish hai, lekin filhal price Wednesday ke daily open se neeche hai.

RSI Analysis

Halanke RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Filhal ke liye, RSI ka oversold hona sirf ek warning hai bears ke liye ke wo apni short positions mein izafa na karein. Agar RSI poori tarah oversold zone se bahar aata hai, tabhi reversal signal milay ga.

100 Level ka Ahmiyat

100 ka level zaroori hai. Yeh sirf ek psychological level nahi, balki ek historical support level bhi hai, jo ke 2023 ke baad se teen martaba girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche diye gaye circle mein dekha ja sakta hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 iss dafa bhi prices ko bachayega?

NZD/USD bar bar apne spring ke baad se banaye gaye range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai. Agar price August 20 ka high break karti hai, to higher high form ho ga aur ek breakout confirm ho ga. Aise move ke baad, mazid upside ki expectations hain.



NZD/USD abhi tak us sideways range ke ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo springtime se establish hui hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai, to upside breakout confirm ho sakta hai, jisme kaafi gains ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. 20 August ko pair ne temporarily apne range ka ceiling breach kar ke 0.6248 ka high chhoo liya tha, lekin uske baad jaldi se wapas gira aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banayi. Iske baad ek red down candle bani jo near-term weakness ki nishani thi. Lekin pair sirf kuch points gira aur 22 August ke swing low 0.6109 tak pohch gaya.

NZD/USD H4 Chart

Main ne H4 timeframe chart par price movements ka bariki se jaiza liya. Monday ki trading session mein market ne downward correction se shuruaat ki thi, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar nazar aya jinhon ne candlestick ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki, halan ke price zyada high nahi gayi. Guzishta haftay ki trading session mein market ka trend bullish raha, aur ab bhi market ke halat yeh dikhate hain ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apne major trend ke mutabiq oopar ki taraf hai.

Indicators ka jaiza lete hue, Relative Strength Index (14) ka Lime Line phir se level 70 ke qareeb aaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke hafte ke aghaz mein jo thoda barhawa hua tha, wo continue ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, halanke Monday ko downward correction ki wajah se iska size thoda chhota ho gaya tha. Is hafte price upar move hui hai aur candlestick position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai.

Bearish Engulfing Signal

H4 timeframe par NZD/USD pair ne ek kaafi mazboot bearish engulfing signal banaya hai, aur saath hi bearish Three Drive signal bhi form ho chuka hai. In dono signals ke milne se ek valid aur profitable sell conclusion samajh aata hai. Magar, EMA50 Blue, EMA100 Purple aur EMA200 Red ke arrangement ko dekhte hue jo oopar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, yeh dikhata hai ke is bullish increase ka momentum abhi bhi strong hai. Is liye, jo girawat hogi, wo EMA50 Blue ke qareeb support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 tak limited rehne ki umeed hai, is liye potential sellers ko is point par tawajjo deni chahiye.




Intraday Movement aur Sell Setup

M15 basis par intraday movement ko monitor karte hue consistent breakout sell candle ab form ho chuki hai, aur aakhri position EMA100 Purple line ko penetrate kar chuki hai. Ab price EMA200 Red ko jaldi touch karegi, jahan se market thoda barhawa dikhate hue agla reentry sell setup bana sakta hai. Technical analysis aur price movement scenarios ki madad se, main ne personally current price par instant sell position choose ki hai, jisme profit target H4 support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 par hoga. Agar M15 movement mein EMA200 Red ko penetrate kiya jata hai, to buy position dobara se add karni chahiye taake profit potential ko maximize kiya ja sake.