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Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka analytical review kar raha hoon based on the H1 chart. Is waqt trading instrument ka price 0.5920 par hai. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, pair ko resistance mili 0.5956 par, lekin price is level ko cross nahi kar paya aur downward move shuru ho gayi, jo ke 0.5918 tak aa gayi. Market ki current conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte huay lagta hai ke price 0.5900 ke level se neeche gir sakti hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke bearish trend continue ho sakta hai.


Abhi ke situation mein, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level ko touch nahi kiya balkay aur neeche gir gaya, aur ab 0.5876 par trade ho raha hai. Is waqt chart par ek reversal zone ban gaya hai, jo ke levels 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai. Agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level ke upar jaata hai aur ek one-hour candle is level ke upar close hoti hai, to ye possible hai ke current decline sirf stop collection ho. Ye rebound ka chance de sakta hai aur price ko 0.5978 ke resistance level tak le ja sakta hai. Is scenario mein stop-loss orders lagana zaroori hoga.

H4 chart se contrast karte huay, four-hourly timeframe par linear regression channel mein ek upward movement nazar aati hai jo buyers ki activity ko show karti hai. Lekin buyers weak dikhai de rahe hain, kyunke unhon ne 0.59421 ka level sellers ke breakthrough ke baad chhod diya. Ye market mein bears ke strong interest ko show karta hai, jo ke H4 channel ko downwards reverse karne ki koshish karenge with a specific target. Is tarah uptrend threat mein aa sakta hai. Jab channel downwards move karta hai, to ye dominating sellers aur trend change ko show karega. Strong bears 0.58630 level tak pahunchne ki koshish karenge apna target achieve karne ke liye. Lekin agar H4 chart par conditions meet hoti hain, aur market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karta hai, to bulls apna trend movement wapas restore kar sakte hain, jo trading karte waqt consider karna chahiye.

Khulasay mein, jab ke NZD/USD pair ne pichlay haftay ke akhir mein kuch bullish signals dikhaye hain, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern aur US dollar ke overall kamzori, price abhi bhi critical resistance level 0.6073 ke neeche hai. Mukammal trend abhi bhi downward hai, aur 0.6073 par resistance abhi bhi ek bara barrier bana hua hai. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur trading decisions lete waqt broader trend aur resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. 0.5977 ka support level abhi bhi aik aham nuqta hai, aur mazeed developments ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake yeh dekha ja sake ke pair kisi bullish momentum ko sustain kar sakta hai ya bearish trend dobara shuru ho jayega. Aakhri mein, technical indicators abhi ke liye NZD/USD currency pair ke liye ek bullish nazariya support karte hain, TMA, MACD, aur OsMA sab upward momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Lekin, trading mauqon ko maximize karne aur risks ko asar daar tor par manage karne ke liye, yeh mozoon hoga ke nayi trading decisions lene se pehle TMA indicator ke beech wale level tak price retracement ka intizar kiya jaye. Yeh approach sirf entry points ko enhance nahi karta balke trading mein prudent risk management practices se bhi hamahang hai. NZD/USD apne sideways range ki chhat ko knock karta raha hai, jo springtime se established hai. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break shayad upside breakout ki tasdeeq karega, jiske baad khaasa gain expect kiya jaa sakta hai. Pair ne temporarily apni range ki chhat ko August 20 ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohoncha, lekin jald hi wapis niche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick form hui. Iske baad ek red down candle bhi bani jo ke further near-term weakness indicate kar sakti thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 22 August ke 0.6109 swing low tak gaya

NZD/USD H1 chart NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price opper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake
100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga
NZD/USD apne sideways range ki chhat ko knock karta raha h

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, waqai Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement ke sath shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar dekhne ko mila jo candlestick ko upar le gaye, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish trend ki taraf hi move kar raha tha, aur ab ke market conditions ke sath iska matlab yeh hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upar hi move kar raha hai.
Indicators ke istamal ka jaiza lein to, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line dobara level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai, jo is baat ko dikhati hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thoda increase dekha gaya, wo dobara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, iska size thoda chhota hua hai due to Monday ki downward correction. Is haftay ke liye price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se kafi upar hai.

NATIJAH:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kai indicators se dikhaye gaye hain, wo yeh batate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ka price ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aur agar hum H4 timeframe ka jaiza lein, to price ab bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ke liye upar move karne ki potential rakhta hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick ka movement dobara upar move kare.

Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue jo ke big trend mein ab bhi bullish hai, ek potential choice BUY trade karna ho sakti hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke range mein ho, shayad price haftay ke aakhir tak zyada move kar sake kyunki buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

Market Overview

NZD/USD Trend Uncertainty: NZD/USD ke overall trend ko pata lagaana mushkil ho gaya hai. Jabki pair downward trend mein tha, past week mein sentiment mein noticeable shift hua, jisne upward movement ko janm diya. Yeh recent development ne long-term trend ko confidently determine karne mein mushkil bana diya hai.

Dollar Strength: US dollar mein resurgence dekha gaya hai, jisne major pairs, NZD/USD ko bhi downward ki taraf lean kar diya hai. Dollar ki strengthening ne situation ko complex bana diya hai, next move ko predict karne mein challenging bana diya hai.

Resistance Level: NZD/USD pair current fresh resistance level se encounter kar raha hai. Aap believe karte hain ki is resistance ko break karne ke liye necessary drivers ya catalysts ki zaroorat hai. Result mein, aap limited, localized drop in price ki expectation karte hain, significant decline toward previous lows ki bajay.

Short-Term Expectations

Potential Drop to 0.5960: Right momentum ya drivers ke bina, aap price ko 0.5960 area mein drop hone ki possibility dekhte hain. Yeh level near-term target represent karta hai agar current resistance break karne ke liye strong sabit ho.

Market Sentiment: Aap downward move ki expectation karte hain, lekin recent market activity ne resilience dekhai hai. Monday ko dip, jo significant event laga, quickly bought up ho gaya, partial recovery ko lead karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki downward pressure remain hai, market positive economic data ko respond kar raha hai, especially US se.

Trading Strategy

Cautious Approach: Aap current levels par trades consider nahi kar rahe hain, especially trend ki uncertainty ke around. Buying Below 0.59: Lekin agar price 0.59 level se niche aa jaye, to aap buy positions mein enter karne ko consider karenge. Yeh level key area represent karta hai, jahan bounce ya reversal ki possibility justify kar sakta hai.





Conclusion

Aap NZD/USD ke mixed aur confusing market situation dekhte hain. Downward pressure remain hai, lekin recent movements suggest ki market decisive move mein taiyar nahi hai. Strong resistance level aur recent dollar strength ne uncertainty ko badha diya hai. Aap cautious approach ko prefer karte hain, potential buying opportunities par focus karte hain agar price 0.59 mark se niche aa jaye

NZD/USD H4 Chart

Market trend opportunities ko dekhne ke liye, hum abhi bhi NZD/USD market se clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyu ke iska position lagta hai abhi bhi consolidation conditions ke sath chal raha hai, jo ke pichlay haftay ke movement se mukhtalif hai. Halankeh July ke akhir mein price ka safar drastic bearish dekhne ko mila tha, lekin aakhir mein wo phir se strongly rise kar gaya. Aaj hum dekhte hain ke market ne 0.6130 position se open kiya. Iss situation mein hum kuch possibilities anticipate kar sakte hain, jisme aagay aur izafa ka bhi chance hai. Ye baat note karni chahiye ke abhi tak ke conditions mein itni taqat nahi dikhayi de rahi ke price ka izafa continue ho sake, jab tak buyers 0.6184 ke price zone se breakout nahi kar lete.

Main ne is hafte ke aaghaz se NZD/USD market mein price ka safar monitor kiya hai, jo bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jab tak ke wo simple moving average line period 100 ke upar barh gaya. Magar kal raat ke trading period mein upward trend abhi bhi rok sakta tha, jisme price bullish trend se thora neeche correct ho gaya. Candlestick initially 0.6172 area tak barhne ke qabil tha aur dheere dheere neeche move karna shuru kiya. Aaj subah tak ke trading mein, price abhi bhi 0.6141 area ke ird gird hold karne mein kaamyaab raha. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, to lagta hai ke wo abhi bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar chal raha hai, jo ke buyers ke liye abhi bhi ek chance dikhata hai ke wo prices ko stable rakhein aur bullish chalane ki koshish karen.

NZD/USD pair ke kuch signs hain ke previous downward trend se turnaround ho sakta hai. Average Directional Movement Index kam ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke weak hone ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo momentum shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo further upward movement ke chances ko support karta hai. Aanay walay hafton mein pair volatile reh sakta hai, jisme key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke through significant price movements ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hoti hai, to pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar is resistance ke upar successful break hoti hai, to pair October 2019 ka low 0.6198 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Magar traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyun ke market conditions rapidly change ho sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga jo NZD/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain.

NZDUSD ka H4 time frame mein price mukhtalif asraat se mutasir hota hai, jese dono mulkon ka economic data, commodity prices (khaaskar doodh ki masnuaat jo New Zealand ka bara export hai), aur global market sentiment. Iss waqt, yeh pair 0.6024 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke recent sessions mein traders ke liye ahem level raha hai. Agar H4 time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke NZDUSD downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum, chart par lower highs aur lower lows ki series ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke ek classic indication hai ke market sellers ki taraf ja raha hai. Current price movement yeh suggest karta hai ke bears control mein hain, jo price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jese ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors par react kar raha hai. Mojooda trend ke madde nazar, traders ke liye kuch potential selling opportunities ho sakti hain. Pehli baat, agar price retrace ya pullback karta hai resistance levels ki taraf, to yeh sellers ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo trend ke saath chalna chahte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace kare—jahaan pehle support levels ab resistance ban chuke hain—yeh ek strategic point ho sakta hai short positions enter karne ke liye. Traders confirmation ke liye candlestick patterns, jese ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars dekh sakte hain, jo ke brief rally ke baad downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain. Halaat bearish lag rahe hain, lekin trading karte waqt ek acha risk management strategy zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hai, aur well-formed trends bhi kabhi kabhi sharp reversals dekh sakte hain. Stop-loss orders lagana ahem hai taake apni capital protect ki ja sake. Misal ke taur par, recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss lagana potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market apki position ke against move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli ke mutaliq news achanak currency pair mein movements la sakte hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Informed rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame mein abhi ek strong case present karta hai sellers ke liye. Ongoing downward trend, technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye kai opportunities hain further declines se faida uthane ki. Agar traders retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka ache se tajziya karein, to woh is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye strategically apni position bana sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics par asraat rakhne walay developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Sahi approach ke saath, mojooda conditions NZDUSD market mein profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain un logon ke

NZD/USD H4 Chart Analysis

Market trend ko samajhne ke liye aaj hum NZD/USD market mein abhi tak clarity ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyun ke filhal market consolidation condition mein lag raha hai, jo pichlay haftay ke movement se zara alag hai. Halankeh July ke end mein price ne ek drastic bearish trend ko dekha, lekin phir se market ne taqatwar upar ka safar kiya. Aaj market ne 0.6130 se open kiya. Iss situation mein kuch possibilities ko anticipate kar sakte hain, jin mein se ek aur barhawa bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh bhi yaad rakhnay ki zarurat hai ke filhal ke conditions mein utni taqat nahi hai ke price ko mazeed upar le jaye, jab tak buyers 0.6184 ke price zone ko break nahi kar lete.

Main shuru se hi NZD/USD market ke safar ko dekh raha hoon, aur ye bullish side ki taraf move kar raha tha jab tak ke price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar stay kar gaya. Lekin kal raat ke trading session mein upward trend ruk gaya aur price thora sa down correct ho gaya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak upar chali gayi thi, lekin phir dheere dheere niche move karne lagi. Aaj subah tak price 0.6141 area ke qareeb hold kar rahi thi. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, to yeh ab bhi simple moving average (period 100) ke upar chal raha hai, jo buyers ke liye ab bhi bullish trend ko stable rakhne ka mauqa day raha hai.

NZD/USD pair apne pehlay downward trend se ek potential turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index kam ho raha hai, jo ek weakening downtrend ko suggest kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level se upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, jo momentum shift ka indication ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi higher trend par hai, jo aur mazeed upward movement ka support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, yeh pair volatile rehne ka andaza hai, aur key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data is mein significant price movements ko drive karenge. Agar positive momentum continue karta hai, to pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jismein 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pehlay ke support levels, aur key moving averages shamil hain. Agar yeh resistance successfully break hota hai, to October 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf move ka raasta khul sakta hai. Lekin hamesha ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions jaldi se badal sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko qareebi se monitor karna chahiye, jo NZD/USD exchange rate par impact dal sakte hain.

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price opper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, waqai Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement ke sath shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar dekhne ko mila jo candlestick ko upar le gaye, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish trend ki taraf hi move kar raha tha, aur ab ke market conditions ke sath iska matlab yeh hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upar hi move kar raha hai.

Indicators ke istamal ka jaiza lein to, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line dobara level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai, jo is baat ko dikhati hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thoda increase dekha gaya, wo dobara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, iska size thoda chhota hua hai due to Monday ki downward correction. Is haftay ke liye price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se kafi upar hai.

NATIJAH:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kai indicators se dikhaye gaye hain, wo yeh batate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ka price ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aur agar hum H4 timeframe ka jaiza lein, to price ab bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ke liye upar move karne ki potential rakhta hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick ka movement dobara upar move kare.

Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue jo ke big trend mein ab bhi bullish hai, ek potential choice BUY trade karna ho sakti hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke range mein ho, shayad price haftay ke aakhir tak zyada move kar sake kyunki buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

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US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein Thursday ke subah Asian trade ke doran taqat hasil ki, aur 0.6280 ke qareeb apni sab se unchi level tak pohnch gaya jo January 4 ke baad ki sab se unchi level thi. Ye surging zyada tar Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke expectations aur ANZ Bank ke business outlook survey ki wajah se hui. New Zealand mein August mein business confidence ek das saal ki unchi level par pohnch gaya, ANZ ke business outlook gauge ke mutabiq. Overall confidence index 51.0 par pohnch gaya, jabke expected private activity ka gauge saat saal ki unchi level 37.0 par tha. ANZ Bank ki chief economist, Sharon Zollner, ne survey ko "a wave of optimism" kaha, jo New Zealand Dollar ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa mila. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke recent bayan ne jo Fed ke interest rates ko cut karne ke liye tayar hai, US Dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musallam, aur Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne bhi kamzor labor market ki wajah se rate cut par zyada discussion ki baat ki hai. Ye dovish comments short term mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hain. Thursday ko US GDP growth ka doosra andaza bhi dekha jayega. Agar result zyada strong hota hai to US Dollar ko barhawa mil sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko saat mahine ke high par trade kiya, aur August mein apne upward trend ko continue kiya. Lekin 0.6250 area par kuch resistance nazar aati hai, jahan ye ek long-term downtrend line se intersect karta hai. Jabke technical indicators bullish hain, ye near term mein positive momentum ki kami ko bhi suggest karte hain. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke just neeche hai. Agar rally rukti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level jo June-August downtrend ka hai, 0.6141 ki taraf slide kar sakta hai. Agar ye break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level jo 0.6079 hai, potential target ban sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi kareeb hain, jo bears ke liye yahan se significant progress banana mushkil bana sakti hain.

### NZDUSD Mein Selling Scenario

NZDUSD ki price movement abhi sellers ke haq mein hai, jo aaj ek clear selling scenario ko janam de rahi hai. Current level 0.6238 ke aas-paas hai, jo ek significant support area hai. Yeh darshata hai ke yeh level sellers ko ek opportunity de sakta hai taake wo apne kuch losses cover kar saken. Agar yeh selling environment barqarar rehta hai, to yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh ek temporary correction phase ho jo United States trading session ke doran khatam ho jaye. Halankeh correction ki umeed hai, market session abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein hai aur wo baad mein 0.6222 ke area ko test kar sakte hain.

### Hourly Aspect Aur Bulls Ki Expected Comeback

Hourly analysis ke mutabiq, yeh umeed hai ke bulls Washington session ke doran wapas aayenge. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ke paas din bhar apne losses cover karne ka ek acha mauka hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke is situation ko wisdom aur professionalism ke sath handle kiya jaye, kyunki market conditions kabhi bhi shift ho sakti hain. Aaj sellers ke liye ek important point yeh hai ke market ko closely monitor karein aur kisi bhi changes ke liye appropriate response dein. 0.6222 area ko test karne ki possibility ek potential target hai, lekin is opportunity ka faida uthane ke liye market conditions ko sahi tarah se judge karna zaroori hai.

### Trading Strategy Aur Risk Management

Sellers ko apni trading strategy ko carefully manage karna chahiye. Market ke current favor towards selling ka faida uthana chahiye, lekin saath hi potential shift ke liye bhi prepared rehna chahiye. Market ka behavior closely observe karna aur informed decisions lena zaroori hai, taake aaj ke trading environment ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Agar sellers ko losses cover karne aur selling scenario se profit uthane ka chance milta hai, to iske liye market ka careful assessment zaroori hai, khaaskar jab din aage badhta hai aur bulls wapas aane lagte hain. Aapke trading career ke liye ek better trading roadmap aapko is risky market mein survive karne aur success paane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

### Trading Career Ke Liye Best Wishes

Aapke trading career ke liye best of luck!