نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD currency pair ki technical analysis kay mutabiq mukhtalif time frames mein neechay ki taraf movement nazar aati hai, jin mein ghantay ki, H4 (4 ghantay), aur daily charts shamil hain. Yeh tahlil short term mein bearish outlook darshati hai, jo mukhtalif price levels par bechnay ki mumkin tajaweez deti hai.
NZD/USD pair apni niche ki taraf murney wali manfi raftar ko barhate hue dekh raha hai. Guzishta haftay mein NZD ne ek sakht 0.65% ke giravat ka saamna kiya, jis se exchange rate khofnak tor par 0.6010 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh NZD ke liye saal ki ibteda se sab se buri haftaana performance darj karta hai, jis mein lagbag 1.80% ke nuqsan ka samna hua.
Technical indicators NZD ke liye aik udaasi bhara manzar pesh kartay hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36 par chala gaya hai, jo baqi rehnay wali farokht presssure ko nishaat deti hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi is bearish jazba ko apne ubharte hue surkh baaroon ke zariye tasdeeq karta hai. Pehle aik aasmani suli ka darja rakhne wala resistance ab 0.6070 level par hai, jis ke baad 0.6100 par aik kamzor rukawat hai.
Lekin NZD ke liye aik roshni ki kiran bhi maujood hai. Psyhcologically significant 0.6000 mark NZD ke liye mazboot support line ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh tor diya jaye, to agla potential floor 0.5950-0.5970 range mein ho sakta hai. In levels ke murney se bearish narrative mazbooti se jama ho jayegi.
Yeh giravat April mein 0.5851 ke 2024 ke low se baad aayi hai, jab ke pair ne June mein 0.6220 tak aane tak aik shandar rally ka maza liya tha. Lekin ab mosar ho gaya hai, aur pehle se supportive 200-day SMA ab mazeed nuqsanat ke khilaf aik sakht manzil samjha jata hai.
Bears ke liye foran target 0.6048 zone par hai, jo ke 0.6368-0.5851 giravat ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai. Agar giravat baghair rukawat ke jaari rahe, to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par kuch waqti sukoon pohancha sakta hai. Is crucial support ke neechay girna aik retest ka mazmoon ban sakta hai jo 0.5851 par 2024 ke low ko chhu sakta hai.
Bulls tawun ki taraf jaldi tayyar nahi hain. Agar woh kuch taqat ikhlaas kar sakte hain, to pehla rukawat un ke liye 0.6109 par 50% Fibonacci retracement level hoga. Mazeed behtari unhe 61.8% level 0.6170 par challenge karne ki taqat de sakta hai, pehle 6 mahine ke high 0.6220 par nazar rakhne ke baad. Us se aage, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement 0.6257 level aik ahmiyat hasil kar sakta hai

hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aik converging triangle pattern ban raha hai, jo aglay haftay zyada wazeh hoga Converging triangle, jo aksar ek uncertainty ka figure hota hai, yeh dikhata hai ke price do converging trendlines ke darmiyan squeeze ho rhi hai. Yeh formation yeh suggest karti hai ke traders agle rukh ke baray mein mutmaeen nahi hain, jiski wajah se volatility kam hoti hai. Agar price is triangle se breakout karta hai aur is haftay ke maximum ko cross karta hai, toh hum aik third wave upward ka aghaz dekh sakte hain. Magar, yeh scenario kai factors ke favour mein hone par hi possible ha Filhal, sirf Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward trajectory dikhata hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke buying interest build ho raha hai. Dosri taraf, stochastic oscillator downward point kar raha hai, jo potential overbought conditions ya kamzor hoti momentum suggest karta hai. Yeh contradictory surat-e-haal agle move ko high confidence ke sath predict karna mushkil banati hai. Agar Monday ko price action mein mazeed upward movement hoti hai, toh traders ko upper Bollinger Band, jo filhal 0.6143 par hai, ko dekhna chahiye. Yeh level, jo thora 0.6130 se neeche hai, converging triangle ka upper boundary ho sakta hai. Kya price is upper limit ko breach kar sakta hai ya trendlines mein se kisi ek se wapas ho jata hai, yeh dekhna baqi hai
Bari context mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka recent faisla ke interest rate ko 5.5% par barqarar rakhna shamil hai. Yeh faisla market sentiment aur currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Interest rate decisions aksar currency pairs par significant impacts dalte hain kyun ke yeh economic outlook aur investor sentiment ko asar andaz karte hain. Unchanged rate RBNZ ki wait-and-see approach ko dikhata hai, jo economic outlook ya inflation dynamics par concerns reflect karta hai
Technical terms mein, traders ko price aur Bollinger Bands ke darmiyan interaction par nazar rakhni chahiye. Bollinger Bands, jo aik moving average aur do standard deviations par mushtamil hoti hain, yeh volatility aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions ko gauge karne mein madad karti hain. Jab price upper band tak pohanchti hai, toh aksar yeh overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, jabke lower band oversold conditions ko signal karta hai. Price ka upper band ko touch karna is baat ka ishara hai ke us level par resistance ho sakta hai, jo triangle ke potential up

onday ko, NZDUSD mein declines dekhi gayi hain. Jab candle gir rahi thi, to is ne apna lowest support price 0.6056 par tor diya. Lekin, us ke baad NZDUSD ne utna shuru kar diya aur candle price 0.6044 tak pahunch gayi. NZDUSD currency pair ne downward trend face kiya hai kyunki candle abhi tak RBS territory mein price 0.6040 par nahi gayi. NZDUSD ne Tuesday ko girna shuru kiya aur yeh trend Friday tak chalta raha. Agar dekha jaye, to NZDUSD lagbhag 95 pips gir chuki hai. Ab is ki position price 0.6142 par hai. Agar time frame se analyze karein, to




NZDUSD ne apni nearest resistance 0.6123 ko Friday ko close hone tak successfully tor diya hai. Yeh ek sign hai ke abhi bhi change ki guzarish hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke yeh currency pair pehle thodi correction face karegi us ke baad hi aage badhegi. H1 time frame mein doji candle pattern ka emergence indicate karta hai ke near future mein reversal ho sakta hai, jo ke NZDUSD ko aur niche le ja sakta hai. Aur candle abhi tak supply area mein nahi gayi hai. To yeh area retracement ke liye bohot suitable hai. Agar NZDUSD aur niche jata hai, to mera target price 0.6055 hoga.

Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke NZDUSD currency pair abhi bhi girne ki potential rakhti hai correction ke objective ke sath. Idea yeh hai ke NZDUSD ne kuch dinon mein bohot zyada upar gayi hai. Aur current candle abhi tak supply area price 0.6137 par blocked hai. Jab tak supply area price 0.6145 par entered nahi hoti, move likely bearish hi

major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages,aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte





hain. Misal ke taur par, agar pair ek significant support level ko approach karta hai aur usse break nahi karta, to rebound ho sakta hai, jo upward movement la sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar ek critical support break hota hai to further declines signal ho sakte hain. Market participants ka positioning aur sentiment bhi potential big movements ko influence karte hain. Agar bohot saare traders NZD/USD par short positioned hain, to koi unexpected positive news NZD ke liye short squeeze la sakti hai, jo sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Ulta agar sentiment overwhelmingly positive ho jata hai USD ke liye, to pair apna bearish trend continue kar sakta hai. Nateejatan, jab ke NZD/USD abhi 0.6111 par trade kar raha hai aur ek bearish trend dikha raha hai, kuch factors aise hain jo aaney waley dinon mein significant movements ko lead kar sakte hain.

Naya Zealand dollar (NZD) US dollar (USD) ke khilaf kamzor hua early Thursday Asia mein, takreeban 0.6080 ke aas paas girte hue. Is kamzori ka sabab New Zealand aur dunya bhar ke arzi maali hawaale se judi factors ka hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki maali policy ke baray mein tehqiqat mein shakhsiat is NZD par asar andaaz hoti rahi hai. Investors RBNZ ke interest rates ke baray mein agle qadam ke signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, jab ke America ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ki haal hi mein bayaanat bhi RBNZ ke faislay ko asar andaaz kar sakti hain. New Zealand ke musibat mein China ki maali mandi bhi shamil hai. China ki umeed se kam inflation data unki maali sehat ke baray mein shakhsiyat utha raha hai, jo New Zealand ke exports ko bhi nuqsan pohncha sakta hai. Aglay dor mein kuch waqiyat NZD/USD exchange rate ko raasta dikhane ke liye zimmedar ho sakte hain. Aane wale America ke jobless claims aur Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index ke data ke saath, sath hi Federal Reserve Chair Lori Logan ki taqreer bhi Fed ki maali policy ke raaste par clues faraham kar sakti hai. Agar Fed ki bayaanat dovish rahi to USD kamzor ho sakta hai, jis se NZD ko faida pohnche sakta hai

Naye Zealand ki taraf se, mazeed inflation mein kami ke nishanat RBNZ ke rate cut ke liye saboot ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jo NZD par neechay ki taraf dabaav dal sakta hai. New Zealand ke second-quarter consumer price index (CPI) ne pehle se zyada thanda padne ka dikhaya hai, jo is imkaan ko taayeed dete hain. Technically, NZD/USD ke samne kuch mushkilat hain. 0.6070 simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche girne aur short-term uptrend line ke break ne ek potential downside move ko ishaara diya hai. Jabke technical indicators jaise Stochastic Oscillator ek mukhtasir bounce ke mumkin ishaara dete hain, overall sentiment bearish hai. Agar NZD/USD 0.6050 ke neeche girta hai, toh agle support level 0.5980 ke aas paas jaldi pohanch sakta hai. Aakhri mein, NZD/USD dovish Fed expectations aur China ki maali mandi ke shak ke darmiyan phans gaya hai, sath hi New Zealand ke apne qawmi maali factors bhi. Aane wale maali data aur central bank ki announcements NZD ke agle qadam mein ahem rol ada karenge, jahan tak technical factors bhi kirdaar ada karenge

NZD/USD currency pair ne haali mein aham rawaiya dikhaya hai, khaaskar chaar ghante aur rozana charts mein Bollinger Bands ke upper half tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye technical indicator ek middle band (jo aam tor par simple moving average hota hai) aur do outer bands (middle band se standard deviations ke faaslay par) par mushtamil hota hai, jo overbought ya oversold conditions ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai. In bands ke upper half tak pohanchna aam tor par yeh suggest karta hai ke currency pair zyada price volatility ka shikar ho sakta hai aur overbought state ke qareeb ho sakta hai.
Is rawaiya ke bawajood, jo growth dekhi gayi hai woh kamzor nazar aati hai, jo strong bullish momentum ki kami ko zahir karti hai. Yeh kamzori market ke overall situation mein bhi dikhayi deti hai, jo ke nisbatan flat hai. Ek flat market yeh suggest karta hai ke na to buyers aur na hi sellers is waqt dominant hain, jo clear directional movement ki kami ka bais banta hai. Market mein yeh na-faisla karnay wali soorat-e-haal aksar aik significant price movement se pehle hoti hai jab aik wazeh trend ubhar kar aata hai.

Ek potential technical pattern jo NZD/USD currency pair mein ban raha ho sakta hai woh converging triangle hai. Converging triangle, jo ke symmetrical triangle kehlata hai, do trendlines par mushtamil hota hai jo ek dosray ki taraf converge karti hain. Yeh pattern aik consolidation ka period zahir karta hai jahan market lower highs aur higher lows banata hai. Jab price is tightening range mein move karti rehti hai, to pressure build hota hai jo aksar ek breakout ki taraf le jata hai

Converging triangle ki pehchaan aglay haftay ke doran zyada wazeh hogi. Is waqt ke liye, traders aur analysts price action ko qareebi taur par dekhenge ke kya currency pair lower highs aur higher lows banata rehta hai, is tarah se triangle formation ko confirm karte hue. Converging triangle se breakout kisi bhi direction mein ho sakta hai, isliye traders ko potential move ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, chahe woh upwards ho ya downwards

ke sath. Jitna strong tilt angle hota hai, utna active seller hota hai. Bears koshish kar rahe hain target 0.60098 tak neeche le jaane ki. Jab target pohonch jaayega, to wapas 0.60303 tak pullback hona chahiye, jo sales enter karne ke liye zaroori hai. Channel ke neeche ke edge pe sell nahi karna chahiye. Channel ka principle simple hai, hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi ke liye mujhe buying interesting nahi lag raha, kyunki channel south ko ja raha hai aur buying asset ko




move karne ke against jaati hai. 0.60303 ke level par continuous movements seller ki presence ko dikhate hain, jo achi tarah se pull back hua hai. Achi decline ki ummed kar sakte hain. Main D1 chart par, jo mere liye main chart hai, mujhe bearish channel dikh raha hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength ke baare mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise maine upar likha, main sales ke baare mein sochunga. Is time par, upper border of the channel 0.60785 se sales enter karna better hai. Decline channel ke lower border 0.60153 tak execute hoga. D1 channel ke upper edge tak growth ka criterion 0.60303 ka breakout hoga, jo strong seller ke sath market ko hold karega, bounce down karega, lekin stability above it bullish activity ke signals dega. Growth 0.60785 par fade ho jayegi aur fir downward movement retire ho jayega, jo powerful player on the downside ko dikhayega, jiske sath main sell karne ka mauka dekhunga.Isliye, buyers ko apne opportunities kuch restricted lag sakte hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario cautious approach adopt karne ke importance ko highlight karta hai, entry points aur risk management strategies ko carefully assess karna zaroori hai.

Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, se pertinent news data ka influx, NZD/USD market ki trajectory ko shape karte hain. Yeh insights essential context provide karte hain, investor sentiment ko influence karte hain aur strategic decisions ko guide karte hain evolving market conditions ke response mein. Broader economic landscape bhi market ki complexity mein contribute karta hai. Factors jaise ke interest rate differentials between New Zealand aur United States, geopolitical developments, aur global economic indicators sab contribute karte hain nuanced fluctuations observed in NZD/USD trading mein.Technical analysis yeh fundamental perspective ko complement karta hai by providing insights into price patterns, support and resistance levels, aur market sentiment indicators. Dono fundamental aur technical analyses ko combine karke traders informed decisions bana sakte hain, comprehensive understanding of market dynamics ka leverage le sakte hain

Abhi NZD/USD ka trade kareeban 0.5963 par ho raha hai. Pehle aadhe din ke liye is instrument ke liye ek moderate upward correction mumkin hai, lekin main scenario downtrend ka hi continuation hai. Yeh pair bears ke complete control mein trade ho raha hai. Agar hum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator dekhen, toh yeh humein batata hai ke market down hai. Current RSI indicator values 45 aur 50 ke beech hain. Saath hi, humein moving average convergence divergence (MACD) par bhi nazar rakhni hogi kyunki yeh ensure karega ke current bullish correction khatam ho gayi hai. Market price bhi 50-day exponential moving average aur 20-day exponential moving average se kaafi neeche hai. Hum expect kar sakte hain ke market price agle dinon mein 50-day exponential moving average ke upar chale jayegi.

Mere hisaab se, price pehle resistance level 0.6296 tak badhne ki koshish karegi jo pehla resistance level hai. Agar upward movement continue karna hai, toh humein kam se kam pehle resistance ke upar break through karna padega. Price range 0.8836 ek strong resistance area ho sakta hai jo teesra resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, main expect karunga ke price support level ki taraf move kare, jo 0.5576 par located hai. Agar support area break out hota hai, toh yeh NZD/USD pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai aur sellers ka dominance continue karega. Uske baad, price apne downward movement ko continue kar sakti hai agle support level 0.4109 tak jo teesra support level hai. Profit banane ka best tareeqa yeh hai ke current levels se short positions open ki jaye.

Agle trading week ko dekhte hue, meri strategy critical resistance level 0.61479 ko closely monitor karne par revolve karti hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh do potential scenarios ko unfold kar sakta hai:

Pehle scenario mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke price 0.61479 ke resistance level ke upar consolidate karegi. Aisi consolidation bullish momentum ka gather hona suggest karegi, jo potential upside breakout ke liye stage set karegi. Yeh scenario broader bullish trend perspective ke saath align karta hai jo main pair ke liye hold karta hoon.

Doosre scenario mein, agar price 0.61479 ke resistance level ko breach nahi kar pati, toh ek potential reversal ka indication ho sakta hai. Is case mein, main bearish momentum ke gather hone ko dekhne ki umeed rakhunga, jo price ko niche support levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dono scenarios mein, mere approach ka key yeh hai ke patiently observe karoon ke price action critical level ke around kaise unfold hoti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke immediate market dynamics ke saath-saath broader economic indicators aur geopolitical events ko bhi factor in karoon jo currency movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Iske alawa, technical indicators jaise moving averages, stochastic oscillators, aur trend lines meri outlook ko confirm ya adjust karne mein integral honge. Yeh tools market sentiment aur potential entry ya exit points par additional layers of insight provide karte hain.

Hi. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, special interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ke strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts late hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, support and resistance zones, moving averages, trend lines and potential price movements

NZDUSD pair ki price movement, jo pichle hafte tak girti rahi, ab bhi lower low - lower high pattern structure ko dikhati hai. Magar, ek upward rally ne SBR 0.6104 area ko resistance ke tor par almost choo lia. Agar price trend upar ki taraf chalna jari rakhta hai, to SBR area ko paar karne par structure ka break hoga. Kyun ke 0.6105 ke high prices lower low - lower high pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain, isliye is level ko paar karne par agle price pattern ya trend direction ka structure badalne ka pehla signal milega. Abhi ke liye trend direction bearish hai magar kamzor ho raha hai kyunki price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech move kar raha hai. Yeh do Moving Average lines ke golden cross signal dene ka bhi indication hai. Agar price upar jaane ki koshish karta hai aur SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas false break ya rejection hota hai, to price wapas gir kar EMA 50 ko paar kar sakta hai. Price 0.6054 support ko bhi test kar sakta hai jab yeh EMA 50 ke niche hota hai, kyunki lower low - lower high pattern structure jari rahega.
H4 timeframe pe yeh kamzori kaafi valid hai jahan pehle ke ssr area 0.6092 pe breakout ho chuka hai aur price ko 0.6052 ke agle support target tak girne ka chance hai, jabke supply area 0.6092 ke aas paas hai jo breakout ke baad naya resistance ban gaya hai. Agar hum is timeframe ko aur chhota karein, to us area mein supply milti hai, jo market mein wapas entry lene ke liye bilkul theek hai

In conclusion, NZD/USD currency pair ka overall trend positive rehne ki umeed hai, aur bulls market pe control banaye rakhte hain. Yeh bullish sentiment upward momentum jari rakhta hai, jo traders ko trend ka faida uthane ke mauqe deta hai. Key price levels pe dhyan dene, technical analysis tools istemal karne aur fundamental factors se updated rehne se traders achi decisions le sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair ki ongoing strength se faida utha sakte hain

ke against apni value lose ki hai. Kuch key factors is depreciation mein contribute karte hain, jaise ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical influences.Interest rate differentials currency pair movements mein crucial role play karte hain. US Federal Reserve ne relatively hawkish stance maintain ki hai compared to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Higher interest rates US mein investors ko better returns ke liye attract karte hain, jo US dollar ki demand badhate hain aur New Zealand dollar ki demand kam karte hain. Yeh monetary policy ka divergence NZD ke weakness ka significant driver hai.Economic indicators bhi ek country ki economy ki health ke baare mein insight dete hain aur currency valuations ko influence karte hain. Recent economic data New Zealand se shayad US ke comparison mein less optimistic picture paint kiya ho. For example, lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, ya weaker retail sales New Zealand mein confidence undermine kar sakte hain NZD mein. Conversely, stronger economic performance US mein, jaise robust job growth aur solid consumer spending, US dollar ki appeal enhance karte hain. Geopolitical factors bhi picture ko complicate karte hain. Global uncertainties, jaise trade tensions, political instability, aur pandemic-related disruptions, investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise US dollar ki taraf le jaate hain. New Zealand, being a smaller economy with significant trade exposure, zyada vulnerable hota hai in global risks ke liye. Koi bhi adverse geopolitical developments additional downward pressure exert kar sakte hain NZD par.Technical analysis of NZD/USD chart bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka trading 0.6110 level ke aas paas indicate karta hai ke yeh key support levels ke kareeb hover kar raha hai. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, toh further declines ho sakte hain. Conversely, agar pair is level ke upar hold karta hai, toh ek short-term rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. However, overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak significant positive changes fundamental ya technical landscape mein na aayen.NZD/USD pair ka current trading 0.6110 mark ke aas paas ek bearish trend underscore karta hai jo ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ke combination se driven hai. New Zealand dollar ki persistent weakness US dollar ke against broader market dynamics ko highlight karti hai jo latter ko favor karte hain. Jab tak underlying economic ya geopolitical environment mein substantial shifts na ho, overall bearish sentiment likely to persist rahega. Market participants ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake trend mein potential changes anticipate kiye ja sake

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne pichlay teen dinon mein shandar izafa dekha hai, aur European trading mein Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein lagbhag 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa USD ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo keh shayad US ke maayusi ka baais banne wale data ki wajah se hai jinhone Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki speculation ko janam diya. ADP employment report ne sirf 150,000 naye jobs dikhaye jo keh June mein aaye, pichlay paanch mahino mein sabse kam izafa tha aur umeedon se kam tha. Tasman Sea ke paar, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle haftay rate ka faisla karne wala hai jab usne 5.5% par rate ko saat mutawatar meetings ke liye rakha. Traders sathi statement mein hints dhoondh rahe hain taake interest rates ke future ka rukh samajh sakein. Magar, NZD ke liye aik mumkin headwind bhi samnay aya hai jab China ka Service PMI, jo keh New Zealand ke bade trading partner ke economic health ka aik ahem indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak gir gaya jab keh May mein yeh 54.0 tha

Aaj, Asian session mein, buyers pehle hi resistance level ko test kar rahe hain, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.60827 par hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, aaj mein designated resistance level ke qareeb apne observations jaari rakhunga, jahan do scenarios ban sakte hain. Pehla scenario aik reversal candle ke banne aur price ke downward movement ke dobara shuru hone se hai. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, toh mein umeed karunga ke price support level tak pohanche jo ke 0.59940 par hai, ya phir support level tak jo 0.59810 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein trading setup banne ka intezar karunga jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tayun karega. Aik aur option bhi hai ke price zyada door southern targets tak jaye, magar mein isey abhi nahi dekh raha kyun ke iska jaldi pura hone ka koi prospect nazar nahi aata. Dusra option yeh hai ke aaj ke testing ke doran resistance level 0.60827 par price fix ho jaye aur phir uttar ki janib move kare. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, toh mein umeed karunga ke price resistance level tak jaye jo ke 0.62152 par hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup banne ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading direction ka tayun karega. Aam taur par, agar hum mukhtasir taur par baat karein, toh aaj mujhe locally koi khas interesting cheez nazar nahi aa rahi, is liye mein apne observations ko nearest resistance level par jaari rakhunga

hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aik converging triangle pattern ban raha hai, jo aglay haftay zyada wazeh hoga Converging triangle, jo aksar ek uncertainty ka figure hota hai, yeh dikhata hai ke price do converging trendlines ke darmiyan squeeze ho rhi hai. Yeh formation yeh suggest karti hai ke traders agle rukh ke baray mein mutmaeen nahi hain, jiski wajah se volatility kam hoti hai. Agar price is triangle se breakout karta hai aur is haftay ke maximum ko cross karta hai, toh hum aik third wave upward ka aghaz dekh sakte hain. Magar, yeh scenario kai factors ke favour mein hone par hi possible ha Filhal, sirf Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward trajectory dikhata hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai





ke buying interest build ho raha hai. Dosri taraf, stochastic oscillator downward point kar raha hai, jo potential overbought conditions ya kamzor hoti momentum suggest karta hai. Yeh contradictory surat-e-haal agle move ko high confidence ke sath predict karna mushkil banati hai. Agar Monday ko price action mein mazeed upward movement hoti hai, toh traders ko upper Bollinger Band, jo filhal 0.6143 par hai, ko dekhna chahiye. Yeh level, jo thora 0.6130 se neeche hai, converging triangle ka upper boundary ho sakta hai. Kya price is upper limit ko breach kar sakta hai ya trendlines mein se kisi ek se wapas ho jata hai, yeh dekhna baqi hai Bari context mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka recent faisla ke interest rate ko 5.5% par barqarar rakhna shamil hai. Yeh faisla market sentiment aur currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Interest rate decisions aksar currency pairs par significant impacts dalte hain kyun ke yeh economic outlook aur investor sentiment ko asar andaz karte hain. Unchanged rate RBNZ ki wait-and-see approach ko dikhata hai, jo economic outlook ya inflation dynamics par concerns reflect karta hai
Technical terms mein, traders ko price aur Bollinger Bands ke darmiyan interaction par nazar rakhni chahiye. Bollinger Bands, jo aik moving average aur do standard deviations par mushtamil hoti hain, yeh volatility aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions ko gauge karne mein madad karti hain. Jab price upper band tak pohanchti hai, toh aksar yeh overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, jabke lower band oversold conditions ko signal karta hai. Price ka upper band ko touch karna is baat ka ishara hai ke us level par resistance ho sakta hai, jo triangle ke potential up

NZD/USD currency pair ki price movement jo pichle haftay mein gir rahi thi, basically ek lower low - lower high pattern structure dikha rahi hai. Lekin, ek upward rally hai jo SBR 0.6104 area tak pohanch kar resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price trend upar ki taraf jaari rahe, toh SBR area ko paar karne par structure break hoga. Yeh isliye kyun ke 0.6105 ke high prices hain jo lower low - lower high pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain, isliye jab yeh successfully cross ho jaye, toh yeh next price pattern ya trend direction mein structure ki pehli trigger provide karega.
Haqeeqat mein, current trend direction bearish hai lekin kamzor ho raha hai kyun ke price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech move kar raha hai. Yeh bhi indicate kar sakta hai ke do Moving Average lines cross karne ke liye ready ho sakte hain jo ke golden cross signal produce karega. Agar price jo upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas false break ya rejection experience karta hai, toh price EMA 50 ke peeche gir sakta hai. Price EMA 50 ke neeche ho kar support 0.6054 ko test kar sakta hai kyun ke lower low - lower high pattern structure certainly ek naye lower low ke form hone ke baad continue hoga.
Sirf Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum mein saucer signal appear ho raha hai jo ki continuity ka signal hai. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ko cross karke overbought zone mein 90 - 80 level ki taraf ja rahe hain, wo NZD/USD pair ke price rally ko support karne ki tendency dikha rahe hain. For example, agar rally jari rahe aur SMA 200 ke close prices above hote hain, toh 0.6139 resistance ko test karne ka mauka ho sakta hai..
NZD/USD pair H4 timeframe par ab 0.6180-0.6210 ke savings line ki taraf mazboot harkat kar raha hai. Is harkat ki jari rukawat ka imkan hai aur yeh upper limit par ek rebound ki umeed hai. Agar market ka rawaiya H4 timeframe par expected pattern se alag ho jaye, to daily timeframe bhi aisa hi manzar pesh karega, jahan sirf ek minor kami ke imkanat 0.6150-0.6160 range tak ho sakti hai. Traders ko market ke signals par mutawajjah rehna chahiye taake unki trading strategies is bullish mahol mein behtar tariqe se optimize ho sake.
Alternative scenario jab price support level 0.60827 ke kareeb aaye, to plan yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche settle ho aur further southward move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke price support level 0.59940 ya support level 0.59810 ki taraf move kare. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals ko search karna jaari rakhoonga, umeed rakhte hue ke upward price movement resume ho
Mukhtasir yeh ke, agle hafte ke liye, mujhe locally koi interesting cheez nazar nahi aa rahi. Overall, yeh evident hai ke is instrument par southward movement slow down hui hai. Magar buying options consider karne ke liye, main chahunga ke ek clear bullish reversal signal nearest support level 0.60827 se form ho

Abhi ke liye, NZD/USD pair 0.6110 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, recent trading sessions mein ek persistent bearish trend dikhate hue. Yeh trend signify karta hai ke New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke against apni value lose ki hai. Kuch key factors is depreciation mein contribute karte hain, jaise ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical influences.Interest rate differentials currency pair movements mein crucial role play karte hain. US Federal Reserve ne relatively hawkish stance maintain ki hai compared to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Higher interest rates US mein investors ko better returns ke liye attract karte hain, jo US dollar ki demand badhate hain aur New Zealand dollar ki demand kam karte hain. Yeh monetary policy ka divergence NZD ke weakness ka significant driver hai.Economic indicators bhi ek country ki economy ki health ke baare mein insight dete hain aur currency valuations ko influence karte hain. Recent economic data New Zealand se shayad US ke comparison mein less optimistic picture paint kiya ho. For example, lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, ya weaker retail sales New Zealand mein confidence undermine kar sakte hain NZD mein. Conversely, stronger economic performance US mein, jaise robust job growth aur solid consumer spending, US dollar ki appeal enhance karte hain.

Geopolitical factors bhi picture ko complicate karte hain. Global uncertainties, jaise trade tensions, political instability, aur pandemic-related disruptions, investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise US dollar ki taraf le jaate hain. New Zealand, being a smaller economy with significant trade exposure, zyada vulnerable hota hai in global risks ke liye. Koi bhi adverse geopolitical developments addi





tional downward pressure exert kar sakte hain NZD par.Technical analysis of NZD/USD chart bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka trading 0.6110 level ke aas paas indicate karta hai ke yeh key support levels ke kareeb hover kar raha hai. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, toh further declines ho sakte hain. Conversely, agar pair is level ke upar hold karta hai, toh ek short-term rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. However, overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak significant positive changes fundamental ya technical landscape mein na aayen.NZD/USD pair ka current trading 0.6110 mark ke aas paas ek bearish trend underscore karta hai jo ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ke combination se driven hai. New Zealand dollar ki persistent weakness US dollar ke against broader market dynamics ko highlight karti hai jo latter ko favor karte hain. Jab tak underlying economic ya geopolitical environment mein substantial shifts na ho, overall bearish sentiment likely to persist rahega. Market participants ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake trend mein potential changes anticipate kiye ja sake