nzd/usd

NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar) ka technical analysis H1 time frame par aik behtareen mauqa dikhata hai ke profitable trade kiya ja sakay jahan successful forecast ki bohat ziada probability hai. Best entry point select karne ka algorithm kuch steps par mabni hai. Sabse pehle, hum senior H4 time frame par trend direction ka taayun karte hain taa ke market ke countercurrent mein na phans jayein. Hum apna instrument chart 4-hour time frame ke sath kholte hain aur yeh ensure karte hain ke H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movement ek jaisi hai. Hum samajhte hain ke aaj ke market mein sale transactions execute karne ka behtareen mauqa hai.

Apni work mein hum 3 indicators ko parhte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum intezar karte hain jab Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke signals red ho jate hain, jo yeh sabit karte hain ke sellers ko buyers par faida hai. Jab yeh conditions puri ho jati hain, to hum sale transaction open karte hain. Market exit Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator ke mutabiq kiya jata hai.

Aaj, highest possible level jahan tak forecast work kar sakti hai - 0.59661 hai. Phir hum chart par dekhte hain ke price har magnetic level ke qareeb kis tarah behave karti hai aur faisla karte hain ke next magnetic level tak position market mein rakhi jaye ya phir ab tak ka income le liya jaye. Jab range ke upper bounds incorrectly break hote hain, to lower bounds bhi incorrectly break hote hain. Aur pair utni hi doori tak move karta hai jitna ke false breakout hota hai.

Zaroori hai ke yeh dhyan mein rakha jaye ke pair 0.59410 tak gir sakta hai. Mujhe dobara se growth ki umeed hai kyunke inflation ruk gaya hai aur further devaluation inflation ke increase ke baghair mumkin nahi.

NZD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein dilchasp harkatain dikhaayi hain, khaaskar isne guzashte Jumme ko char-ghantay aur rozana charts par Bollinger Bands ke upper half ko chhoo liya. Iske bawajood, yeh growth kamzor lagti hai aur market ki overall surat-e-haal ab bhi flat hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aik converging triangle pattern ban raha hai, jo aglay haftay zyada wazeh hoga Converging triangle, jo aksar ek uncertainty ka figure hota hai, yeh dikhata hai ke price do converging trendlines ke darmiyan squeeze ho rhi hai. Yeh formation yeh suggest karti hai ke traders agle rukh ke baray mein mutmaeen nahi hain, jiski wajah se volatility kam hoti hai. Agar price is triangle se breakout karta hai aur is haftay ke maximum ko cross karta hai, toh hum aik third wave upward ka aghaz dekh sakte hain. Magar, yeh scenario kai factors ke favour mein hone par hi possible ha Filhal, sirf Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward trajectory dikhata hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke buying interest build ho raha hai. Dosri taraf, stochastic oscillator downward point kar raha hai, jo potential overbought conditions ya kamzor hoti momentum suggest karta hai. Yeh contradictory surat-e-haal agle move ko high confidence ke sath predict karna mushkil banati hai.
Agar Monday ko price action mein mazeed upward movement hoti hai, toh traders ko upper Bollinger Band, jo filhal 0.6143 par hai, ko dekhna chahiye. Yeh level, jo thora 0.6130 se neeche hai, converging triangle ka upper boundary ho sakta hai. Kya price is upper limit ko breach kar sakta hai ya trendlines mein se kisi ek se wapas ho jata hai, yeh dekhna baqi hai






Bari context mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka recent faisla ke interest rate ko 5.5% par barqarar rakhna shamil hai. Yeh faisla market sentiment aur currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Interest rate decisions aksar currency pairs par significant impacts dalte hain kyun ke yeh economic outlook aur investor sentiment ko asar andaz karte hain. Unchanged rate RBNZ ki wait-and-see approach ko dikhata hai, jo economic outlook ya inflation dynamics par concerns reflect karta hai
Technical terms mein, traders ko price aur Bollinger Bands ke darmiyan interaction par nazar rakhni chahiye. Bollinger Bands, jo aik moving average aur do standard deviations par mushtamil hoti hain, yeh volatility aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions ko gauge karne mein madad karti hain. Jab price upper band tak pohanchti hai, toh aksar yeh overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, jabke lower band oversold conditions ko signal karta hai. Price ka upper band ko touch karna is baat ka ishara hai ke us level par resistance ho sakta hai, jo triangle ke potential upper boundary 0.6143 ke ird

Greetings. Aakhri trading activity mein aik aham development dekha gaya jab price descending channel ke upper border ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Yeh move is liye significant tha kyun ke yeh ek critical point of potential reversal mark kar raha tha, jo market sentiment mein change ka ishara tha. Upper border ko touch karne ke baad, pair ne reversal experience kiya aur price ne downward move karna shuru kiya. Yeh shift anticipated thi as a potential signal for further downward movement within the established channel. Iss stage par, meri analysis ne suggest kiya ke price downward trajectory continue karega. Technical indicators aur overall market sentiment is expectation ke sath align karte hue nazar aaye. Maine project kiya tha ke price eventually NZD/USD daily M30 timeframe chart downward channel ke lower border tak decline karega, targeting the level of 0.6130. Yeh level ek significant support point identify kiya gaya tha, jahan price temporary halt ya even reversal find kar sakta tha, based on historical price movements aur technical analysis. Lekin, meri expectations ke baraks, price ne yeh lower level tak pohanchne se pehle hi unexpected reversal show kiya. Pair ne turn around kiya aur upward move karna shuru kar diya, predicted path se deviate karte hue. Yeh premature reversal ek crucial turning point tha, indicating ke selling pressure diminish ho gaya aur buyers control hasil kar rahe hain. Jaisay hi price ne ascend karna shuru kiya, yeh downward channel ke confines ko chhor gaya, signaling a potential shift in the overall trend. Downward channel se breakout ne suggest kiya ke bearish momentum weaken ho raha hai aur bulls take over kar rahe hain. Yeh upward movement market dynamics mein change ka ishara tha, increased buying interest ke sath price ko higher push karte hue

NZD/USD ke near future ko predict karte hue, price golden channel line ko bottom se cross kar ke 20-day moving average of 0.6140 tak pohanch gaya. Dono sides ne na 20-day moving average ko break kiya aur na 0.6220 resistance ko. Yeh consolidation middle of May ke sharp rise ke baad aaya, jab pair ne more than 1.30 percent gain kiya tha. Lekin, momentum mein change nazar aa raha hai. Daily chart par, RSI indicator bullish se bearish ho gaya hai, jo ke buying pressure ki decrease ko indicate karta hai. Yeh MACD marker ke red bars ke sath line up karta hai, building up the possibility of a potential inversion. Broader perspective se dekha jaye to, NZD/USD mid-April ke low of 0.5851 se steadily rise ho raha hai. Last week ek three-month high tak bhi pohanch gaya. Recent selling pressure ke bawajood, jo stronger-than-expected jobs report ki wajah se aaya tha, pair ne recover karne ki koshish ki hai

Greetings and Good Morning guys!
Aaj NZD/USD market ka rujaan stability ki taraf hai sellers mein, jo targeted currency pairs par downward pressure bana raha hai. Yeh market sentiment traders ko short-selling positions explore karne ka strategic mauka deta hai jahan clearly defined profit targets hain. Lekin, potential profitability ke bawajood, ek cautious approach aur robust risk management strategies implement karna forex ke volatile world mein sustainable trading success ke liye zaroori hai. Kal NZD/USD market price 0.6077 zone ke aas paas thi. Aaj bhi yeh sellers ke favor mein reh sakti hai. Yeh disciplined approach sirf capital ko safeguard nahi karti balkay trading discipline ko bhi foster karti hai, ensuring ke decisions calculated risk assessments se guide hon na ke emotional impulses se.

Iske ilawa, evolving market trends ki vigilant awareness rakhna traders ko real time mein apni strategies adapt karne mein madad deti hai, opportunities ko seize karne aur risks ko mitigate karne mein as market dynamics evolve. NZD/USD ke case mein, price aane wale ghanton mein 0.6036 zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Waise, technical analysis ka comprehensive grasp forex market ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye indispensable hai. Technical analysis traders ko essential tools provide karta hai price charts ko interpret karne, recurring patterns identify karne, aur trades ke liye optimal entry aur exit points pinpoint karne mein. Technical indicators jese moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur oscillators ko leverage karke, traders decision-making precision enhance karte hain, emerging trends aur potential price movements ko effectively capitalize karte hain

Aur, current NZD/USD market environment sellers ki resilience ko underscore karta hai, unki ability ko demonstrate karta hai ke wo foreseeable future mein currency valuations par dominance maintain kar sakte hain. Hopefully, NZD/USD market aaj aur kal sellers ke favor mein rahegi

onday ko, NZDUSD mein declines dekhi gayi hain. Jab candle gir rahi thi, to is ne apna lowest support price 0.6056 par tor diya. Lekin, us ke baad NZDUSD ne utna shuru kar diya aur candle price 0.6044 tak pahunch gayi. NZDUSD currency pair ne downward trend face kiya hai kyunki candle abhi tak RBS territory mein price 0.6040 par nahi gayi. NZDUSD ne Tuesday ko girna shuru kiya aur yeh trend Friday tak chalta raha. Agar dekha jaye, to NZDUSD lagbhag 95 pips gir chuki hai. Ab is ki position price 0.6142 par hai. Agar time frame se analyze karein, to NZDUSD ne apni nearest resistance 0.6123 ko Friday ko close hone tak successfully tor diya hai. Yeh ek sign hai ke abhi bhi change ki guzarish hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke yeh currency pair pehle thodi correction face karegi us ke baad hi aage badhegi. H1 time frame mein doji candle pattern ka emergence indicate karta hai ke near future mein reversal ho sakta hai, jo ke NZDUSD ko aur niche le ja sakta hai. Aur candle abhi tak supply area mein nahi gayi hai. To yeh area retracement ke liye bohot suitable hai. Agar NZDUSD aur niche jata hai, to mera target price 0.6055 hoga.

Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke NZDUSD currency pair abhi bhi girne ki potential rakhti hai correction ke objective ke sath. Idea yeh hai ke NZDUSD ne kuch dinon mein bohot zyada upar gayi hai. Aur current candle abhi tak supply area price 0.6137 par blocked hai. Jab tak supply area price 0.6145 par entered nahi hoti, move likely bearish hi rahegi. Isliye, main apne dost jo pairs mein trade karte hain unko recommend karunga ke sirf sell positions open karne par focus karein. Aap target 0.6064 area mein rakh sakte hain. Us ke baad, stop loss nearest resistance value 0.6148 par rakh sakte hai

Filhal, NZD/USD market ka jazba zyadatar bearish hai rate cut ke intezar mein. Rate cuts aam tor par ek currency ko kamzor banate hain kyunki kam interest rates investors ke liye kam faida mand hote hain jo zyada returns chahte hain. Ye umeed NZD/USD par neeche ka dabao daal rahi hai, jo 0.60295 ke ahem support level ke kareeb aa raha hai.Ek ahem cheez jo dekhni chahiye wo ye hai ke kya NZD/USD 0.60295 support level ke neeche ja sakta hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to ye bearish trend ke jari rehne ka signal hoga aur ye aur zyada 0.59760 aur 0.59200 levels tak gir sakta hai. Ye levels ahem hain kyunki yeh wo mukam hain jahan traders mazeed movements ka intezar karte hain aur apni positions accordingly set karte hain.

Lekin, agar NZD/USD 0.60295 ke neeche nahi jata, to iska matlab hoga ke current negative pressure apni taqat kho raha hai. Is surat mein, pair shayad recover karne lage, jiska pehla target 0.60310 area ho sakta hai. Ye initial recovery mazeed upward movements ke liye raasta bana sakta hai agar market ka jazba badalta hai ya naye data se economic outlook mein tabdeeli ka ishara milta hai.Fundamental factors ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi pair ke future movements ko predict karne mein zaroori honge. Traders volume trends, momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur moving averages ko dekhenge taake kisi bhi potential breakout ki taqat ko samajh sakein. Agar high trading volumes breakout ko accompany karti hain to iska matlab hoga ke breakout valid hai, jabke low volumes shayad ek false breakout ka ishara de aur mazeed consolidation ki zaroorat ho.
Halaat ke madde nazar, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh nayi information ke liye hoshiyaar aur responsive rahain. Ek wait-and-see approach apnana samajhdari hogi jab tak NZD/USD pair clearly converging triangle pattern se breakout nahi karta. Ye strategy false breakouts se potential losses bachane aur confirmed movements pe capitalize karne mein madad degi jab wo hote hain.
Akhir mein, NZD/USD currency pair consolidation ke period mein hai, jo ke Bollinger Bands ke position aur converging triangle pattern ke potential formation se zahir hai. Market ki current flatness aur weak growth yeh suggest karti hai ke traders clear signals ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle significant moves karne se. Impending breakout ka direction ziada tar fundamental economic factors aur technical indicators ka combo pe depend karega. Is liye, traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur emerging trends ke liye tayar rehna chahiye agle hafta mein.

Weekly trading session khatam ho chuki hai, aur NZD/USD pair ka chart dekhte hue ye saaf hai ke hum abhi bhi uncertainty mein hain. Price action ek clear range mein confined hai, jo candlesticks ke bodies se highlight ho rahi hai. Hum asal mein 0.61 level ke aas-paas bounce kar rahe hain. Ye sab Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting ke saath shuru hua, jo investors ko disappoint kar gayi. Kiwi dollar (NZD) ne 0.6065 se neeche dip kiya, lekin wo level hold nahi kar saka. Phir, United States mein inflation data expectations se kam aaya, jo US dollar (USD) par pressure dala.
Is wajah se NZD/USD pair badh gaya, aur RBNZ meeting se hue sabhi losses erase ho gaye. Lekin, kal ka din kaafi volatile tha. Humne pair mein ek acha pullback dekha, jo main miss kar gaya, aur price 0.6075 se neeche gir gaya. Phir, positive Producer Price Index (PPI) data US se aaya. Iske bawajood, USD kamzor hota raha, aur NZD/USD pair din ko 0.61 se upar khatam kiya. Toh, jab range clear hai, main personally upside ki taraf biased hoon. Agar price wapas 0.6070 area mein dip karta hai, toh main wahan se buy karne ka soch sakta hoon. Ye bhi worth noting hai ke price consistently higher close ho raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke dips par buy karne ka potential bias hai. Filhal, main is pair se door ho raha hoon aur apni existing positions close kar di hain. Humein dekhna hoga ke aane wale dinon mein instrument kaise behave karta hai. Yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke US economic calendar hamesha high-impact news releases (jo aksar "three-star" events kehlati hain) se packed hota hai, jo USD par significant impact daal sakti hain. Iske muqablay mein, New Zealand bahut kam economic data release karta hai

Chaar ghantay ka chart ek linear regression channel ko dikhata hai, jo mazboot uptrend aur strong buyer sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Market ahista ahista channel ke upper boundary 0.61172 ki taraf badh raha hai. Main soch raha hoon ke 0.60752 par long position kholoon, jo channel ka lower limit hai aur jisse bears door rehne ki umeed hai. Jab target achieve ho jaye, to aur kharidari se ruk jaana behtar hoga, kyunki volatility aur H4 timeframe par reverse movement ka potential kam ho sakta hai. Is surat mein naye buy orders ke liye sidelines par rehna behtar ho sakta hai, jo ke ideal outcome nahi hoga. Zyada munafa hasil karne ka tareeqa yeh ho sakta hai ke channel ke minimum ki taraf correction ka intezar kiya jaye aur phir ek munasib entry point identify kiya jaye taake long position mein enter ho sake. Yeh strategy potential costs ko kam kar degi agar channel ke signal anticipated nahi hote

Mere liye munafa maximize karna top priority hai, lekin agar target se neeche girawat hoti hai to bearish turn ka signal mil sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai to main apni strategy ko jaldi se adjust karne ke liye tayar hoon taake evolving market conditions se adapt kar sakoon. Mera primary focus ek favorable entry point dhoondna hai. Main closely linear regression channel boundaries ko monitor karta hoon kyunki yeh ek given player ke liye potential volatility constraints par insights deti hain. Yeh mujhe informed decisions lene mein madad karti hain based on current market. Main vigilant rehta hoon, hamesha apna plan modify karne ke liye tayar hoon agar market situation change hoti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar 0.61115 level bulls ke through breach hoti hai to yeh market mein bullish sentiment ka indication ho sakta hai, jo mujhe situation ko dobara evaluate karne aur potentially planned sales ko cancel karne par majboor karega. Main market changes are closely tracked and thoroughly analyzed based on decisions

hai. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, khaaskar unke interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages, aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte hain.

hai. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, khaaskar unke interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages, aur trend lines potential price movements

pattern dikhaya, jo yeh batata hai ke price girti rahi aur phir thodi si uthi, sirf phir se girne ke liye. Yeh pattern continuous bearish (downward) trend indicate karta hai.
Haan, halan ke, recently pair ne ek upward rally experience ki, matlab price uthne lagi. Yeh rally lagbhag 0.6104 area tak pohnchi, jo ke ek resistance level ki tarah act kar rahi thi. Resistance level woh price point hai jahan upward movement of price rukti hai ya reverse hoti hai kyunki wahan selling interest zyada hota hai. Is case mein, 0.6104 ne price ko thode waqt ke liye upar jane se roka.Ab, agar price uthne lagi aur 0.6104 level ko tod diya, to yeh ek significant event hoga. Yeh breakthrough yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke overall trend direction bearish se bullish (upward) mein shift ho sakta hai. Is potential shift ka key reason yeh hai ke wahan ek important price point hai 0.6105. Yeh price point lower low - lower high pattern ke liye ek invalidation level ki tarah act karta hai. Seedhi baat mein, agar price 0.6105 ke upar chali jati hai, to iska matlab hai ke pehle ka downward trend pattern ab valid nahi raha.

Jab price 0.6105 ko surpass kar jati hai, to yeh market structure mein change ka signal de sakti hai. Traders aur analysts isse new upward trend ke shuru hone ka sign samjhenge. Yeh level break hone par aur zyada buying interest aa sakta hai, jo price ko aur bhi upar push kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario ek new trend ka stage set kar sakta hai, jo pehle ke downward movement se alag hoga.

Summary mein, NZD/USD pair ek downward trend mein tha with clear pattern of lower lows aur lower highs. Recently, ek upward rally ne price ko 0.6104 resistance level ke kareeb le aayi. Agar price is level ko todti hai aur 0.6105 ko surpass kar jati hai, to yeh previous downward pattern ko invalidate kar sakti hai aur ek new upward trend ka signal de sakti hai. Yeh potential s

hai. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, khaaskar unke interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US eco





nomic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages, aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte hain

trading range ke darmiyan ghoom raha hai haftey ke chart par. Ye darmiyan ground ek ahem resistance level 0.6123 ke saath milta hai. Trading terms mein, resistance ek qeemat ka point hai jahan currency pair ka upward momentum rukta hai ya phir ulta ho jata hai. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, special interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ke strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expe





cted economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger klicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages,aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar pair ek significant support level ko approach karta hai aur usse break nahi karta, to rebound ho sakta hai, jo upward movement la sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar ek critical support break hota hai to further declines signal ho sakte hain. Market participants ka positioning aur sentiment bhi potential big movements ko influence karte hain. Agar bohot saare traders NZD/USD par short positioned hain, to koi unexpected positive news NZD ke liye short squeeze la sakti hai, jo sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Ulta agar sentiment overwhelmingly positive ho jata hai USD ke liye, to pair apna bearish trend continue kar sakta hai. Nateejatan, jab ke NZD/USD abhi 0.6111 par trade kar raha hai aur ek bearish trend dikha raha hai, kuch factors aise hain jo aaney waley dinon mein significant

NZD-USD PAIR MOVEMENT
Asar yeh hai ke NZD/USD market mein significant drop hua hai aur yeh abhi 0.6104 level par hai. Yeh bearish trend sellers ke liye encouraging hai kyunki is se zyada profits kama sakte hain. Lekin, temporarily, yeh market upar ja sakti hai aur ek daily high bana sakti hai aur phir wapas se previous level se niche drop kar sakti hai. Asian session aur New Zealand session ke doran, yeh level 0.6132 ko test kar sakti hai aur phir previous high ke neeche aa sakti hai. Is liye, aap initially buy position mein trade karen, phir usay close karen aur Washington session open hone se pehle sell position mein switch karen. Mujhe umeed hai ke aayan wale dinon mein sellers aur bhi strong ho sakte hain, jo market ko 0.6072 level tak drive kar sakte hain.

Jo chart dikhaya gaya hai, uspe aap foran pehli degree regression line (golden dotted line) dekh sakte hain, jo instrument ki direction aur current trend state ko selected time frame (H1) mein upward direction aur 30% se zyada angle ke saath dikhata hai , jo dominant trend movement ko north side ki taraf emphasize karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction show karta hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2 ki red resistance line ko cross kiya hai aur LevelResLine ko cross kiya hai, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.61770 ko reach karne ke baad iski growth ruk gayi aur yeh steadily decline hona shuru ho gayi. Instrument abhi 0.60967 price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch observe karne ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aayengi aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) ke neeche FIBO level 38.2% par consolidate karengi aur phir down move karengi golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.58487 par , jiska Fibo level 0% ke sath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein enter karne ki expediency aur validity ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se fully approve kiya gaya hai, kyunki yeh currently overbought zone mein hai.

NZD/USD Market Analysis 18 July 2024

H4 Hour Timeframe

Is hafte ke shuru se sellers ke tremendous selling pressure ki wajah se, Nzd/Usd pair ki price itni gir gayi hai ke yeh simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar sakti hai. Agar 4-hour time frame mein dekhain, to yeh wazeh hai ke main market trend seller control ke sath chal raha hai. Isi tarah, agar weekly time frame mein market conditions dekhein, to price downtrend mein chalti hui nazar aayegi. Aaj subah se candlestick journey ka ek bearish rally hai jo abhi tak weak hai.

Abhi ke liye, market bearish run kar rahi hai agar weekly time frame mein monitor kiya jaye. Agar mahine ke shuru se market price journey ka trail dekhein, to yeh lagta hai ke trend downtrend ki taraf hai aur aur bhi zyada bearish run kar sakta hai. Ab price 0.6086 zone se neeche gir gayi hai, iska matlab hai ke sellers ke liye bearish trend continue karne ka ek moka hai. Ek benchmark ke tor par jo hum use karenge jab trade mein Sell position open karni ho, hum last kuch dinon ke trend situation ke mutabiq existing opportunities pe hi rely karenge.

Agar aap current market trend jo ke bearish run kar rahi hai, ko use karna chahte hain, to aap profit banane ke mauka open kar sakte hain, halaan ke loss ka bhi chance hai. Price fall towards the 0.6046 zone ek reference ho sakta hai Sell position open karne ke liye. Mere prediction ke mutabiq, seller market ko weekend tak control mein rakhna chahte hain. Bearish opportunity target ke liye, woh seller ka goal 0.5989 area ke aas paas pursue karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Trading recommendation: SELL