نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

zones ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke liquidity areas aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se heavily influenced hai. Chart se maloom hota hai ke price apni current range se bahar nikalne mein struggle kar rahi hai, jo ke sharp movements ke baad market ka consolidation phase reflect karta hai. August ke mid se, pair ne rally dekhi jisme price 0.5900 region se 0.6240 area tak gayi, jahan price ko ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance mila. Yeh resistance area 0.6240 ke aas-paas multiple liquidity levels se reinforced tha, jo ke upside ko cap kar raha tha, is wajah se temporary consolidation hua. Is phase ke dauran price action higher lows ki series se characterized hai, jo buying interest ko indicate karta hai, lekin resistance ko break na kar paana sellers ke active hone ka signal hai, jo shayad profits le rahe the ya short positions initiate kar rahe the . Jab price 0.6260 level ke aas-paas late August mein pohnchi, toh isne prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ke form mein additional resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko maintain na kar pana ek turning point tha, jahan NZD/USD pair apni earlier gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Retracement ke dauran price 0.6140 level ki taraf drop hui, jo liquidity gaps ko fill karti hai aur previous support levels ko test karti hai. August ke aakhri hisse mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 levels ke beech oscillate karti rahi, ek range-bound structure bana. Yeh range upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests se characterized thi, jahan price 0.6140 area par support dhoondh rahi thi—a previous DLiq zone jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya tha. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jahan sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain. Early September tak, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche aa gaya, jo momentum shift ka potential signal hai. Price action lower highs aur lower lows ki series dikhata hai, jo bearish trend ka formation indicate karta hai. NZD/USD pair ki current position 0.6184 ke aas-paas reflect karti hai ke market consolidation ke baad direction dhoondh rahi hai. Chart par multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ke presence suggest karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai. NZD/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko depict karta hai jo tight range mei hua hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko dictate karne mein critical role play kar rahe hain

Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key movi

Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai. Jitna steep tilt angle hoga, utne hi active sellers hain. Bears price ko target 0.60098 tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ek baar target reach ho gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hue aur bullish activity ke signals provide karte hue. Growth 0.60785 par fade hogi aur phir downward movement retire hogi, jo downside par powerful player ko dikhayegi jisse selling opportunities ke liye dekha jaye. Isliye, buyers ko lag sakta hai ke unki opportunities somewhat restricted hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario highlight karta hai cautious approach adopt karne ki importance ko, carefully entry points aur risk management strategies ko assess karte hue. Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, pertinent news data influx provide karte hain jo NZD/USD market ke trajectory ko shape karte hain. Yeh insights essential context provide karte hain

NZDUSD currency pair ka mukhtasir tajziya karenge. Aaj, 5th September, din ki shuruat halki si upward correction ke sath hui hai aur filhal price 0.6200 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Magar overall trend ab bhi downward hi hai jo 29th August se 0.62955 ke level se shuru hui thi. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke downward movement ka sab se nazdeek optimal target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par hai, jo ke 0.6125 hai. Price is level ko break karne ki koshish karegi.
Downward trend ke continuation ka tajziya karte hue, 0.6125 ke level par break karna ek ahem goal hai. Yeh level Fibonacci retracement ke mutabiq, price ke downward movement ka agla major target ban chuka hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break kar leti hai, to iske baad ke targets lower levels par ho sakte hain jo market ki bearish sentiment ko reflect karenge.
Agar hum technical analysis par nazar daalain, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke 0.6200 ke upar ke price movements temporary correction ho sakti hain jo downward trend ko reverse nahi karti. Price ki upward movement abhi tak major resistance levels ko break nahi kar paayi hai, aur is wajah se downward trend ko continue karna feasible lagta hai.
Agar price 0.6125 ke level ko break kar deti hai, to iske baad market ko 0.6080 ke level tak bhi pohnchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke aur bhi lower support level ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Is tarah ke movements market mein bearish pressure ko reflect karte hain aur trader ko downward trend ke continuation ki signal dete hain.
In sab observations ko dekhte hue, agar aap trading decisions le rahe hain, to yeh zaroori hai ke aap price ke movement aur key support-resistance levels ko closely monitor karein. Downward trend ko samajhte hue, apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, aur market conditions ke mutabiq flexible rehna bhi faida mand ho sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance mil sakta hai, uske baad August 21 ko record kiya gaya seven-month high 0.6247 aata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, toh pair upper boundary of the ascending channel ko 0.6330 par test kar sakta hai.
Support ke hawale se, NZD/USD pair ko foran support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas 0.6170 level par aligned hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ke aas-paas navigate kar sakta hai

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke currency pair ka trend abhi bohot strong hai aur yeh seven-month high ke qareeb pohnch gaya hai. Yeh bullish momentum positive technical indicators se supported hai, jismein Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar hai aur 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 14-day EMA ko cross kar liya hai. NZD/USD pair ne ascending channel ke lower bound ko break kar diya hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh level niche gir gaya, to yeh potential reversal ki indication ho sakta hai.
Is waqt NZD/USD pair ke liye immediate resistance 9-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6210 par hai, jo ke seven-month high 0.6247 ke baad aata hai. Agar 0.6250 resistance level ko break kar liya, to uptrend ko sustain karna mushkil nahi hoga. NZD/USD pair ko support 14-day EMA par milne ki umeed hai jo ke 0.6190 par hai, aur yeh ascending channel ke lower bound ke sath coincide karta hai. Agar is level ke niche break hota hai, to bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair 0.6100 ke psychological level ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agar sell-off hota hai, to NZD/USD pair initially 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke June-August downtrend ke liye 0.6141 par hai, ki taraf slide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 ek potential target ban sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair abhi strong uptrend mein hai, lekin key resistance levels aur momentum indicators ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar pair 0.6250 resistance level ko successfully break kar leta hai, to yeh apni upward journey ko continue kar sakta hai, 123.6% Fibonacci extension level jo ke 0.6300 ke just upar hai, aur shayad December 28, 2023 ko recorded high 0.6368 tak bhi pohnch sakta hai. Stochastic indicator overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke current uptrend shayad pause ya correction ki taraf ho sakta hai. RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke thoda niche hover kar raha hai, jo short-term selling pressure ka indication de raha hai. Lekin, agar 0.6250 resistance level ko overcome nahi kiya, to short-term pullback ho sakta hai. Traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur risk management strategies ko consider karna chahiye taake investments ko protect kiya ja sake

dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continu

NZD/USD ne Wall Street ke khulne par Thursday ko sideways trading mein dakhil hua, lekin US economic data ke madad se din ka end higher note par kiya. Price 0.6048 tak barh gayi, jo pehle session ke closing price 0.5937 se zyada thi. Thursday ko, price ne 0.5930 ka intraday low aur 0.6023 ka intraday high hit kiya. Dusre quarter ke disappointing data ke baad, hukoomat ko apna 5% annual growth target hasil karne ke liye policy support barhane par ghoor karna pad sakta hai. Ye growth ka matlab hai ke China ko apni domestic demand ko barhane ke liye mazeed policy efforts karne honge.

Abhi ke liye, ye lagta hai ke upward trend market par control rakhta hai, kyun ke agar aap is haftay ke trend pattern ko dekhein, to ye buyers ke control mein lagta hai, halanke week ke darmiyan ek kamzor ya koshish shuda bearish correction dekhnay ko mili. Main predict karta hoon ke price abhi bhi Uptrend ki koshish karega aur bullish journey ko jari rakhega. Aaj subah ka candlestick 100 period ke simple moving average zone ke upar close hua, jo market trend ke barhne ke chance ko zahir karta hai. Agle haftay ki trading session mein agar buyer candlestick ko 0.6080 ke price zone se upar le jaane mein kamiyab hota hai, to bullish trend market mein dominate kar sakta hai. Buy trading plan par ghoor kiya ja sakta hai, jisme target ko upar ke area ki taraf increase karna shaamil ho. Support aur Resistance Levels: Technical level par, traders NZD/USD pair ke liye kuch important support aur resistance levels ko dekh rahe honge. Agar positive sentiment jari rehta hai, to pair resistance levels ko tor sakta hai, jo NZD ko aur zyada barha dega. Lekin agar sentiment shift hota hai ya economic data disappointing hota hai, to pair lower levels par support pa sakta hai, jo ek badi decline ko rok sakta hai.

H1 time frame par NZD/USD ke liye ek highly favorable trading opportunity develop ho rahi hai, jo ke market ko buy direction mein enter karne ka ek mauka deti hai. Is analysis mein teen key indicators: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ka istemal kiya jayega, jo ki long positions ke liye ideal quotes pinpoint karne mein madad karenge, taake potential profit ke liye strategic entry point mil sake. Is opportunity ko maximize karne ke liye, kuch critical conditions check karna zaroori hai. Pehla step H4 time frame par trend ko accurately identify karna hai, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko samajhne aur financial loss se bachne ke liye crucial hai. 4-hour time frame par instrument chart ko dekh kar confirm karna zaroori hai ke key conditions meet ho rahi hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke H1 aur H4 time periods dono ek hi direction mein trend movement dikha rahe hai

NZD/USD Ka Analysis (4-Hour Chart)
Is waqt NZD/USD 4-hour chart par 0.61574 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jahan ek mixed sentiment nazar aa raha hai – bullish recovery aur bearish retracement ke darmiyan. June aur July ke zyada hissa mein price downtrend mein thi, jahan liquidity grabs 0.62500 aur 0.63000 zones ke qareeb evident hain. Demand liquidity areas (D-Liq) mein bar-bar dips ne bulls ke liye kai opportunities paida ki, khaaskar 0.60000 level ke qareeb, jo consistently ek critical support zone ke taur par kaam karta raha hai. Fair value gap (FVG) aur liquidity grabs mid-July ke around short-term price reversals ka signal diye, jisse ek notable bounce 0.62500 tak early September mein dekhne ko mila. Lekin uske baad price ne 0.62500 resistance se retrace kiya, jo yeh reflect karta hai ke is key level ke upar break karna mushkil sabit hua, jab sellers ne market mein wapas aa kar price ko neeche drive kiya.

Is waqt price action 0.61000 aur 0.62000 levels ke darmiyan hover karta nazar aa raha hai, jahan current price ke upar aur neeche kai liquidity zones hain. 0.62000 par resistance ko breach karna mushkil sabit ho raha hai, aur jab tak buyers is level ko decisively break nahi karte, zyada downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agla significant support 0.61000 mark ke qareeb hai, jahan demand liquidity mazboot hai, jise mid-August ke reactions se support mil raha hai. Is se neeche, 0.60000 ek aur key level hai jise dekhna hoga, jahan kaafi liquidity mojood hai jo aagey decline ko rok sakti hai.

Agar price 0.62000 level ko breach karti hai, to agla potential target 0.62500 se 0.63000 zone tak hoga, jahan pehle fair value gaps aur liquidity li gayi thi, jo heavy sell orders ke areas hain. Pura bearish trend tabhi reverse hoga jab price 0.63000 ke upar move kare, lekin resistance aur pehle ke liquidity grabs ko dekhte hue, market ke liye yeh karna mushkil hoga jab tak significant bullish momentum na ho.

In conclusion, NZD/USD ek critical phase mein hai, 0.61000 aur 0.62000 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Agar 0.62000 ke upar break hoti hai, to yeh bullish continuation ka signal hoga, jab ke agar price 0.61000 ke upar hold nahi karti, to 0.60000 support level ka retest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko liquidity grabs aur price reactions in zones ke around closely dekhni chahiye taake clear direction mil sake.

NZD/USD Ka Analysis

NZD/USD pair ne Thursday ko ek strong recovery dikhayi, jahan pehle session ke losses se rebound hota nazar aya. Pair ke gains zyada tar bullish market sentiment ki wajah se aaye, jo positive technical indicators aur Federal Reserve ki taraf se rate cut ki umeedon se support ho raha tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein entry ki, jo bullish momentum ke mazboot hone ka indication deta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne bhi bearish se bullish reversal ke potential signs dikhaye, jo upward trend ko aur support karta hai.

NZD/USD ke key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 par hain, jab ke resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shaamil hain. Agar price 0.6200 ke upar break kare, to is se aur upside dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyun ke yeh pair ko 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar position kar dega. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ne mixed signals diye. Jab ke overall CPI decline hua, core CPI relatively firm raha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke inflationary pressures ab bhi mojood hain. Phir bhi, market ko Federal Reserve ke rate cut plans par confidence hai.

New Zealand mein retail e-card sales recovery dikhate hue nazar aye, jab ke food prices ab bhi barh rahi hain lekin slow pace par. Yeh developments country ke liye ek mixed economic outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Technical indicators suggest karte hain ke NZD/USD pair mein positive momentum ab fade ho raha hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Agar rally momentum kho deti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to pair initially slide karta hua June-August downtrend ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6141 par aa sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break deeper correction ko trigger kar sakti hai, jahan 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 potential target ban sakta hai.

Conclusion: NZD/USD pair is waqt ek rebound experience kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut ki umeedon se supported hai. Magar, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Traders ko in factors aur economic landscape ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake aagey gains ya corrections ka potential assess kar sakein.

**New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar Ka Technical Analysis**

NZD pichle trading week mein 0.6303 ke niche ek high tak pohanch gaya aur phir niche ki taraf correct hona shuru ho gaya. Price ne 0.6303 par resistance ka samna kiya aur tezi se girna shuru kar diya, aur 0.6198 ke signal level tak pohanch gayi, jahan yeh significant support mila. Yeh target zone tak nahi pohnch paya, jo ab bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is dauran, price chart super trendy red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo sellers ki pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Technically, price ne 0.6430 ke area mein achha support paya, jisse temporary growth dekhne ko mili. 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, simple moving averages abhi bhi negative direction mein cross ho rahe hain, aur price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai, intraday trading resistance 0.6540 ke neeche steady hai, general speaking, 0.6458 ke neeche bhi. Isliye, bearish scenario sabse zyada favorable hai, kyunki agar price 0.5930 ke upar break hoti hai to official targets 0.6000 aur 0.6030 ko visit karne mein madad milegi. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6180 ke upar move karti hai aur consolidate karti hai, toh temporary increase dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo 0.6289 se start hoke 0.6380 tak ja sakti hai.

Abhi pair apne recent weekly low ke thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support areas test kiye gaye hain, aur quotes bounce back ho rahe hain, jo favorable upward vector ko indicate karta hai. Aage move continue karne ke liye, price ko 0.6198 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ka border hai. Agar is level se retest aur confident rebound hota hai, toh upward trend continue karne ka mauka milega, jiska target 0.6380 aur 0.6467 ke areas mein ho sakta hai.

Agar support break hota hai aur price reversal level 0.6126 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

NZDUSD H4 time frame par mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai, jaise ke dono countries ke economic data, commodity prices (khaaskar dairy products, jo ke New Zealand ka aik bara export hai), aur global market sentiment. Filhal, yeh pair 0.6024 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke recent sessions mein traders ke liye dilchasp level raha hai. H4 time frame ko dekhte hue, NZDUSD ek downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum chart par lower highs aur lower lows ke zariye nazar aata hai, jo ke sellers ke liye market ka signal hai. Current price movement se lagta hai ke bears control mein hain, aur market economic aur technical factors ke react karte hue price ko neeche push kar raha hai. Current trend ko dekhte hue, traders ke liye kuch potential selling opportunities hain. Sabse pehle, agar price kisi resistance level ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh sellers ke liye achi entry point ho sakti hai. For example, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace karti hai, jo ke pehle support levels the ab resistance ban chuke hain, to yeh short positions enter karne ka strategic point ho sakta hai. Traders candlestick patterns bhi dekh sakte hain, jaise ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars, jo ke downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain. Trading karte waqt ek well-defined risk management strategy zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hota hai, aur even the best trends sharp reversals ka shikaar ho sakti hain. Stop-loss orders set karna capital ko protect karne ke liye crucial hai. Misal ke taur par, recent swing high ke just upar stop-loss rakhna madadgar ho sakta hai agar market aapke position ke against move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, jo NZDUSD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices ke changes sudden movements trigger kar sakte hain jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakte hain. Inform rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame par abhi sellers ke liye ek compelling case present karta hai. Ongoing downward trend aur technical indicators ke zariye confirm hoti hai ke traders ko further declines par capitalize karne ke liye multiple opportunities mil rahi hain.

NZD/USD jorha Thursday ko mazbooti se phir se ubar gaya, jo ke pehle ke session ke nuqsanat se nikla. Iska faida bullish market sentiment aur positive technical indicators se mila, aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke ummeedon ne bhi madad ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein qadam rakha, jo ke bullish momentum ka izhaar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish se bullish ke potential reversal ke nishan de raha hai, jo upward trend ko support karta hai. NZD/USD jorhe ke liye key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 hain. Resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shamil hain. Agar 0.6200 se upar break hota hai, to yeh pair dono 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar aa jayega, jo further upside ko dekhne ka imkaan hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data mixed signals diya. Jabke overall CPI kam hua, core CPI ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ke bharpur hone ki nishani hai. Lekin market Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke plans par bharosa rakh rahi hai.

New Zealand mein retail e-card sales ne recovery ke asaar dikhaye, jabke food prices ka izafa dheere dheere hua. Yeh developments New Zealand ki economic outlook ko mixed dikhati hain. Technical indicators ye bhi darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair ki positive momentum shayad kam ho rahi hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke nazdeek hai. Agar rally momentum kho deti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to yeh pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (June-August downtrend) pe 0.6141 tak gir sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karne par deeper correction ho sakta hai, aur 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 potential target ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, NZD/USD pair filhal ek rebound ka samna kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut ki ummeedon se supported hai. Magar technical indicators ye darshate hain ke upward momentum kam ho sakti hai. Traders ko in factors aur evolving economic landscape ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake wo aage ki gains ya corrections ko assess kar saken.

zones ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke liquidity areas aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se heavily influenced hai. Chart se maloom hota hai ke price apni current range se bahar nikalne mein struggle kar rahi hai, jo ke sharp movements ke baad market ka consolidation phase reflect karta hai. August ke mid se, pair ne rally dekhi jisme price 0.5900 region se 0.6240 area tak gayi, jahan price ko ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance mila. Yeh resistance area 0.6240 ke aas-paas multiple liquidity levels se reinforced tha, jo ke upside ko cap kar raha tha, is wajah se temporary consolidation hua. Is phase ke dauran price action higher lows ki series se characterized hai, jo buying interest ko indicate karta hai, lekin resistance ko break na kar paana sellers ke active hone ka signal hai, jo shayad profits le rahe the ya short positions initiate kar rahe the . Jab price 0.6260 level ke aas-paas late August mein pohnchi, toh isne prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ke form mein additional resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko maintain na kar pana ek turning point tha, jahan NZD/USD pair apni earlier gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Retracement ke dauran price 0.6140 level ki taraf drop hui, jo liquidity gaps ko fill karti hai aur previous support levels ko test karti hai. August ke aakhri hisse mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 levels ke beech oscillate karti rahi, ek range-bound structure bana. Yeh range upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests se characterized thi, jahan price 0.6140 area par support dhoondh rahi thi—a previous DLiq zone jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya tha. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jahan sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain. Early September tak, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche aa gaya, jo momentum shift ka potential signal hai. Price action lower highs aur lower lows ki series dikhata hai, jo bearish trend ka formation indicate karta hai. NZD/USD pair ki current position 0.6184 ke aas-paas reflect karti hai ke market consolidation ke baad direction dhoondh rahi hai. Chart par multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ke presence suggest karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai. NZD/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko depict karta hai jo tight range mei hua hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko dictate karne mein critical role play kar rahe hain

Behtreen Forex Analysis Overview - Kal ki Halat aur Aj ki Expectations

Kal se seller distraction dikhayi dena shuru hui jab Asian session mein price ne negative move kiya. Price, jo ke Wednesday ka daily open 0.6143 se shuru hui thi, ne 0.6158 se neeche ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya. Sellers, jo market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe the, ne 0.6144 area ko successfully breach kar liya aur price neeche chali gayi. Jab price EMA 36 H1 area, jo ke 0.6127 - 0.6132 ke qareeb cross kar raha tha, ko touch kiya, toh resistance dekhne ko mila. Kai martaba price ne is area ko breach karne ki koshish ki, magar EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Aakhirkar price neeche jaane ke bajaye upar turn ho gaya jab ek confirmed rejection mila. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar saki aur Wednesday ka trading session 0.6149 par close hua. EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price ke neeche hai, jabke EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke upar koi significant behavior change nahi dekha gaya, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate kar raha hai.

Lekin ab lagta hai ke buyers ka push thora kam ho raha hai, magar EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek obstacle bana hua hai. Is waqt price 0.6149 ke Thursday daily open ke aas paas support aur resistance ke beech mein move kar rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke qareeb hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thore se narrow ho rahe hain. Agar yeh dono chhoti EMAs cross hoti hain, toh ek naye direction ka movement samne aa sakta hai.

Bohat si major institutions mein, US news ke ilawa koi significant movement nahi dekhne ko mila. Baqi waqt mein market sticky aur narrow trading ranges mein chalti rahi. Wave structure ab neeche ki taraf form ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko first wave par apply karein, toh aap grid par negative target dekh sakte hain - 161.8 ka level, jo kal qareeb tha lekin thore pehle hi wapas turn kar gaya. Unhone un logon ko jo apne targets hit hone ka intezar kar rahe the, moqa nahi diya. Ab ek paradoxical situation hai. Target hit nahi hua aur neeche MACD indicator mein ek bullish divergence hai jo ab kaam kar raha hai. Upar horizontal resistance level 0.6167 hai, jo is currency pair ko mazid strengthen hone se rok sakta hai.

Agar yeh resistance level 0.6167 neeche break ho jata hai, toh is break ke baad support, jo pehle test ho chuka hai, wapas turn ho sakta hai aur aap chhote growth target ke sath buy kar sakte hain jo ke descending line tak ho jo do peechli waves ke tops par bani hui hai. Aap koshish kar sakte hain, magar main yahan sell karna nahi chahta jab tak koi false breakout 0.6167 ka na ho. Phir main short-term reversal consider kar ke downside entry kar sakta hoon. Wahan main level ko mirror kar sakta hoon taake support resistance mein convert ho sake.

Aaj ki news par bohat kuch depend karega. Aaj ka important time hai 15-15 Moscow time: Eurozone mein deposit funds ke interest rates, margin lending rates, European Central Bank ka monetary policy statement, ECB ka interest rate decision. Phir 15-30 ko US se initial unemployment benefits applications, Producer Price Index (PPI), aur total unemployment benefits lene walon ki tadaad ke numbers release hongay, jo ke Core PPI ke sath aayein ge. Euro ki news doosri currency pairs ko bhi affect kar sakti hai kyun ke Euro har cheez ka ek base hai.