نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD pair is hafte mein musalsal girawat ka shikar raha, jo ke apne 0.6375-0.6380 area se corrective move ko barhata gaya, yeh levels pichli baar July 2023 mein dekhe gaye the. Downward trajectory ne spot prices ko 0.6200 se neeche dhakel diya, jo ke ek ded haftay ka low tha Asian session ke doran, aur isay kuch USD buying ka support mila. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne teesray din tak apni recovery ko barqarar rakha, aur teen haftay ka high touch kiya. Yeh sab resilient US labor market ki wajah se hua, jis ne investors ko Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive easing ke expectations kam karne par majboor kar diya.

Middle East ke conflicts se ongoing geopolitical risks ne bhi safe-haven currencies ko faida diya, jiski wajah se New Zealand ke risk-sensitive market se capital outflows hue. Ab market participants US economic events par tawajju de rahe hain, jisme weekly jobless claims aur ISM services PMI shamil hain. Iske ilawa, FOMC ke ahem members ke speeches aur broader risk sentiment se US dollar ki demand ko nayi momentum milne ki umeed hai, jo ke North American session ke doran NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakta hai.

Lekin, jo US monthly employment details aur Friday ka Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report hain, unhe baad mein direction trends tay karne mein ahmiyat di ja rahi hai. NZD/USD pair ne 15-maheenay ke high 0.6380 se pullback ke baad 2% se zyada decline dekhai. Yeh pair filhal ek short-term rising trend line aur 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ne chand din pehle bullish cross banaya tha, magar market ab retreat kar rahi hai, jo ke technical oscillators ko neeche le ja rahi hai. Stochastic oversold zone ki taraf gir gaya hai, jabke RSI 50 level ke neeche jane ki koshish kar raha hai. 20-day moving average 0.6230 par foran support faraham kar sakti hai, jabke 50-day moving average 0.6140 par hai. Is level ke neeche, 0.6105 barrier downside move ko rok sakta hai, jabke trend ab tak flat 200-day moving average ke qareeb hai.

USD /USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai

NZD/USD joore mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai aur yeh 0.6300 ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai, jab ke traders ka focus ab US ISM Manufacturing PMI aur JOLTS Job Openings data par hai. US Dollar ne apna haftay ka naya buland level hasil kar liya hai jab ke kaafi saara US economic data anay wala hai.

China ke massive stimulus ke elan ne Kiwi dollar ki taqat ko qaim rakha hai, lekin iske bawajood NZD/USD pair Tuesday ke New York session mein significant selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh pressure 0.6350 ke key resistance level ke upar dekhne ko mila aur ab yeh 0.6300 ke crucial support level ke qareeb hai. Kiwi asset kamzor ho gaya hai jab ke US Dollar ne apna haftay ka tazah high banaya hai. Investors ab ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain kyun ke United States (US) ke economic data ka intezar kiya ja raha hai jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate outlook ko asar andaz kar sakta hai.

Aaj ke session mein, traders ka focus September ke liye US ISM Manufacturing PMI aur August ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data par hoga, jo 14:00 GMT par shaya kiya jayega. ISM Manufacturing PMI ka andaaza lagaya gaya hai ke yeh thoda behtar ho kar 47.5 tak barh jaye ga, jo pehle August mein 47.2 tha. Magar yeh phir bhi factory sector mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Jis tarah July mein dekha gaya tha, Job Openings ke bhi musalsal rahe ne ka imkaan hai aur yeh 7.67 million tak barh sakta hai.

Is week ke akhir mein US ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, aur Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data bhi focus mein rahenge. Yeh sab data markets ke liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh US economy ki health aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate decisions par asar daal sakte hain.

Agar data U.S. economic growth aur labor market ke bare mein positive indications deta hai, toh US Dollar mazeed taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko mazid neeche dhakel sakta hai. Magar, agar data umeed se kamzor hota hai, toh yeh Kiwi dollar ke liye kuch relief faraham kar sakta hai, aur NZD/USD pair dobara resistance levels ke qareeb wapas aa sakta hai.

NZD/USD ka rate 0.6243 ke qareeb ka zone kamiyabi se hasil ho gaya. Yeh is baat ka saboot hai ke buyers sakte hain aur is guzarish mein qaim reh sakte hain. Iske nateejay mein, US dollar mazeed kamzor ho gaya, jo ke policy shift ka asar tha. Aur FOMC press conference, jo Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne ki thi, ismein sarmaaya daaron ko zyada tasalli nahi mili. Sarmaaya daar future financial policy ke hawalay se wazeh rehnumayi ki umeed kar rahe the, magar Powell ke bayanat ne tabdeel hotay huay economic halaat ka samna karte huay sakhti aur rigidity par zor diya. Yeh approach uncertainty ka samna karne mein samajhdar ho sakta hai, magar isne market concerns ko zyada tasalli nahi di, jiski wajah se kai market players agle chand mahiney mein aanewale halaat ke mutaliq shak mein rahe. Is wazeh rehnumayi ki kami ne US dollar mein chaltay huay instability ka hissa banaya, aur dollar kai pehluon se pressure ka samna kar raha tha. Umeed hai ke NZD/USD ka rate aglay haftey 0.6275 ke zone ko bhi paar kar sakta hai. Aise mein, in bade elanaton ke manfi asrat ko kuch umeedon ne halka kar diya. Ek ahem positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia ke region mein manufacturing sector ki sehat ko napta hai, aur yeh ummed se behtar nataij dikhaye. Manufacturing indicator ka mazboot reading aam tor par growth aur expansion ka ishara hota hai. Manufacturing sector ke business ne zyada production aur orders report kiye, jo yeh darshaata hai ke kuch ilaqon mein economic activity barh rahi thi. Magar yeh positive data point US dollar ke gird chaltay huay broader negative sentiment ko ulta na kar saka, aur dollar poore haftey pressure mein raha. 4-hour time frame ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke request ka direction 0.6226 ke price point se upar ka raasta barqarar hai. Buyers ne sellers ke koshishon ko nakam bana diya kyunke sellers ne price ko neeche zone mein lani ki koshish ki thi. Aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ka uptrend continue karne ka imkaan hai. Candlestick ki position moving average zone se ooper chali gayi hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke market mein bullish run ka imkaan hai Trend pattern ke hawale se, uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish ho rahi hai aur us position par wapas aane ki koshish hai jahan pehle uptrend dekha gaya tha. Lagta hai ke price haftay ke shuruat se barh raha hai, jo low price point se break karne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main kal ke rally ke liye ek mazboot bullish movement ki ummeed rakhta hoon. Trading situation par nazar daalain to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke kharidne walay ab bhi price ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake price 0.6263 ke aas paas pahunche. Pichle haftay price bearish tha, lekin is haftay ye dobara bullish ho gaya hai. Maujooda halat ko dekhte hue, yeh kehna sahi hoga ke uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, jo bullish safar ke jari rehne ki sambhavna ko barhata hai. 4 ghante ke time frame chart par yeh nazar aata hai ke market ka rukh price point 0.6226 ke upar jari hai. Kharidne walon ne bechne walon ki koshishon ko nakam banaya jab unhone price ko neecha karne ki koshish ki. Lagta hai ke candlestick uptrend ko continue kar rahi hai. Candlestick

USD /USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar

hai ke buyers sakte hain aur is guzarish mein qaim reh sakte hain. Iske nateejay mein, US dollar mazeed kamzor ho gaya, jo ke policy shift ka asar tha. Aur FOMC press conference, jo Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne ki thi, ismein sarmaaya daaron ko zyada tasalli nahi mili. Sarmaaya daar future financial policy ke hawalay se wazeh rehnumayi ki umeed kar rahe the, magar Powell ke bayanat ne tabdeel hotay huay economic halaat ka samna karte huay sakhti aur rigidity par zor diya. Yeh approach uncertainty ka samna karne mein samajhdar ho sakta hai, magar isne market concerns ko zyada tasalli nahi di, jiski wajah se kai market players agle chand mahiney mein aanewale halaat ke mutaliq shak mein rahe. Is wazeh rehnumayi ki kami ne US dollar mein chaltay huay instability ka hissa banaya, aur dollar kai pehluon se pressure ka samna kar raha tha. Umeed hai ke NZD/USD ka rate aglay haftey 0.6275 ke zone ko bhi paar kar sakta hai. Aise mein, in bade elanaton ke manfi asrat ko kuch umeedon ne halka kar diya. Ek ahem positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia ke region mein manufacturing sector ki sehat ko napta hai, aur yeh ummed se behtar nataij dikhaye. Manufacturing indicator ka mazboot reading aam tor par growth aur expansion ka ishara hota hai. Manufacturing sector ke business ne zyada production aur orders report kiye, jo yeh darshaata hai ke kuch ilaqon mein economic activity barh rahi thi. Magar yeh positive data point US dollar ke gird chaltay huay broader negative sentiment ko ulta na kar saka, aur dollar poore haftey pressure mein raha. 4-hour time frame ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke request ka direction 0.6226 ke price point se upar ka raasta barqarar hai. Buyers ne sellers ke koshishon ko nakam bana diya kyunke sellers ne price ko neeche zone mein lani ki koshish ki thi. Aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ka uptrend continue karne ka imkaan hai. Candlestick ki position moving average zone se ooper chali gayi hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke market mein bullish run ka imkaan hai Trend pattern ke hawale se, uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish ho rahi hai aur us position par wapas aane ki koshish hai jahan pehle uptrend dekha gaya tha. Lagta hai ke price haftay ke shuruat se barh raha hai, jo low price point se break karne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main kal ke rally ke liye ek mazboot bullish movement ki ummeed rakhta hoon. Trading situation par nazar daalain to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke kharidne walay ab bhi price ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake price 0.6263 ke aas paas pahunche. Pichle haftay price bearish tha, lekin is haftay ye dobara bullish ho gaya hai. Maujooda halat ko dekhte hue, yeh kehna sahi hoga ke uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, jo bullish safar ke jari rehne ki sambhavna ko barhata hai. 4 ghante ke time frame chart par yeh nazar aata hai ke market ka rukh price point 0.6226 ke upar jari hai. Kharidne walon ne bechne walon ki koshishon ko nakam banaya jab unhone price ko neecha karne ki koshish ki. Lagta hai ke candlestick uptrend ko continue kar rahi hai.

Aaj humne NZD/USD market mein ek bullish scenario dekha, jahan market ne successfully 0.6245 zone ko cross kiya. Aaj New Zealand ka GDP rate pehle se behtar hai. NZD/USD traders jo macroeconomic-based approach follow karte hain, wo zyada tareekay se bade economic context par focus karte hain, jo remarks jaise Harker ke diye gaye points se shaped hote hain. Ye log price stability, job statistics, aur economic expansion jese elements ka tajziya karte hain taake market ke trends ka behtareen andaza lagaya ja sake. Misal ke taur par, agar Harker inflationary pressures par Fed ki zyada vigilance ko highlight kare, to traders monetary tightening ka imkaan laga sakte hain, jisse dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai aur bond rates bhi barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar Harker economic advancement ke risks ko point out kare, to traders accommodative policies ki taraf shift ka andaza laga sakte hain, jo dollar ko weak kar sakta hai aur stocks aur raw materials mein rally ka sabab ban sakta hai. NZD/USD ka market buyers ko ummed dilata hai ke wo 0.6282 zone ko cross karne mein kaamyab honge. Aakhri baat ye hai ke wo traders jo technical analysis ko prefer karte hain, wo dollar ke crucial price levels par focus karenge taake apne trades guide kar sakein. Support aur resistance zones jaise ke EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ya USD/JPY mein examine kiye jayenge for potential trade setups. Agar Harker ke comments se market mein turbulence hota hai, to ye price zones critical reference points ke taur par kaam aayenge taake traders apna risk control kar sakein aur fluctuations ka faida utha sakein. American monetary policies ka asar global markets par bhi ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Kyun ke US dollar dominant reserve currency hai, is ke value swings ka asar global trade, capital movements, aur economic equilibrium par hota hai.
NZD/USD ne ek sharp decline ko endure kiya rising wedge pattern ke breakdown ke baad, jo ke 4-hour timeframe par bearish reversal ko dikhata hai. 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) ne 0.6190 par drop karna shuru kar diya hai, jo short-term downtrend ki shuruaat ko suggest karta hai. 14-period relative strength index (RSI) ne bhi bearish range 20.00-40.00 ki taraf shift kiya hai, jo bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Agar asset ne decisively July 17 ke high ke neeche 0.6100 ko break kiya, to mazid downward movement ho sakta hai. Yeh 3 May ke high 0.6046 aur psychological support level 0.6000 tak gir sakta hai. Alternately, agar yeh September 6 ke high 0.6250 ko cross karta hai, to asset September 2 ke high 0.6300 tak ja sakta hai, followed by is saal ka high.

Aaj bulls ne USA time zone ke khulne se pehle 0.6215 levels ko test kiya, jo buyers ko 0.6243 ke next assist ko test karne mein madad karega. Aaj ke market mein bulls control dobara hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, magar bears ki taraf se kafi resistance hai jo situation ko challenging bana raha hai. Is complexity ko dekhte hue careful analysis aur strategic planning zaroori hai. Market ki inherent volatility ye batati hai ke vigilance aur disciplined approach zaroori hai taake trading opportunities ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Market indicators aur external factors ka monitor karna potential movements ka faida uthane ke liye zaroori hai.

strategy ke sath aagey barhna zaroori hai. Forex market bohot volatile hoti hai aur kabhi kabhi sabse achi trends bhi achanak reverse ho sakti hain. Is liye, stop-loss orders set karna aapke capital ko bachane ke liye bohot aham hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aap apna stop-loss recent swing high se thoda upar rakhein, to agar market aapke position ke khilaaf move kare to aapapne nuqsan ko limit kar sakte hain. Traders ko un key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodities ke prices mein tabdili currency pair mein achanak movements trigger kar sakti hai, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Market se updated rehna aur apni trading strategy ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna kamiyabi ka raaz hai. H4 time frame par NZD/USD pair sellers ke liye ek acha mauqa pesh karta hai. Ongoing downward trend jo ke technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke multiple opportunities hain traders ke liye jinhain wo aur zyada decline se fayda utha sakte hain. Retracement levels, volume aur key technical signals ka gehra jaiza le kar traders apne aap ko strategically position kar sakte hain is bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye. Lekin hamesha yaad rahein ke risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics ko impact karne wale developments par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Agar theek approach rakhi jaye to NZD/USD market ke current conditions profitable opportunities de sakti hain un traders ke liye jo trend ke sath trade karte hain. Price ne blue support line ko cross kar liya hai jo ke Linear Regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine par tha.

NZD/USD
NZD/USD ka Tajziya (Analysis)
1. Muqadima (Introduction)
NZD/USD ek mashhoor currency pair hai jo New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan trading ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair New Zealand ki commodity-driven economy aur US ki strong, diversified economy ka asar dikhata hai. NZD/USD ka movement aksar global commodities prices, interest rate differentials, aur economic data releases se mutasir hota hai. New Zealand ki economy zyada tar agricultural products, jaise ke dairy aur wool exports par depend karti hai, jabke US Dollar global reserve currency hone ki wajah se kaafi powerful hota hai.

2. Recent Trend (Haal ka Rujhan)
Haal mein NZD/USD bearish trend mein hai, jahan New Zealand Dollar ki kamzori aur US Dollar ki strength dekhne ko mil rahi hai. US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance aur interest rate hikes se support mil raha hai, jabke New Zealand ki economy mein slower growth aur global demand mein kami NZD par pressure daal rahi hai. Abhi NZD/USD 0.5900 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ek important support level hai.

3. Economic Indicators ka Asar (Impact of Economic Indicators)
NZD/USD ka movement dono mulkon ke economic indicators par depend karta hai. US mein strong GDP data, high inflation, aur Federal Reserve ki interest rate policy US Dollar ko support karti hai, jabke New Zealand ke weak economic data aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki dovish policies NZD ko kamzor kar rahe hain. Inflation, employment data, aur commodities ke prices bhi is pair ki movement mein aham kirdar ada karte hain.

4. Commodities aur Dairy Industry ka Asar (Impact of Commodities and Dairy Industry)
New Zealand ki economy zyada tar agricultural exports par depend karti hai, khaaskar dairy products. Agar dairy prices global market mein girte hain, to NZD par negative asar hota hai. Dusri taraf, agar US Dollar global market mein strength dikhata hai, to NZD/USD ka pair neeche girta hai. Recent mein commodities prices mein girawat aur global demand ke slowdown ki wajah se NZD par kaafi pressure dekha gaya hai.

5. Technical Analysis (Techniki Tajziya)
Technically, NZD/USD abhi ek bearish phase mein hai. Pair ne 0.5900 ka support level test kiya hai, jo kaafi crucial hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair 0.5800 tak gir sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair recovery karta hai aur 0.6000 ka resistance level break karta hai, to bullish momentum develop ho sakta hai. Moving averages aur RSI indicators ka istamal karke short-term price action ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Filhal, RSI oversold zone mein hai, jo short-term recovery ka ishara de raha hai.

6. Khatma (Conclusion)
NZD/USD ka current trend bearish hai, jahan New Zealand Dollar global market uncertainty aur commodities prices mein girawat ki wajah se pressure mein hai. US Dollar ki strength aur Federal Reserve ki policies bhi is pair ko neeche le ja rahi hain. Economic data releases aur commodities prices NZD/USD ki future direction ko tay karenge. Short-term mein traders key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein aur economic indicators ka tajziya karke apni trading strategies ko adjust karen.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichlay haftay US Dollar (USD) kay khilaaf ek narrow range mein trade kiya aur 0.6010 par close hui. Yeh saatwa din hai jab is pair mein ziada price movement nahi dekhi gayi, jo ke ek consolidation period ka ishara hai. Technical indicators ka mixed outlook hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level 50 kay qareeb hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ka balance dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi flat hai, jo ke clear directional momentum ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Magar, positive histogram aur MACD par green bars underlying buying interest ko zahir karte hain. NZD/USD ka immediate resistance 0.6000 ke psychologically important level par hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 tak rally karne ka raasta khol sakta hai aur shayad 0.6150 tak bhi. Dosri taraf, agar pair 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par break ho jata hai, toh yeh downtrend ke resumption ka signal de sakta hai, jahan potential targets 0.5900 tak ho sakte hain. Do din tak NZD/USD currency pair mein izafa dekha gaya. Yeh tab hua jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko breach karne mein nakam rahi. Is area ko touch karne se pehle NZD/USD ka movement neeche ki taraf tha. Guzishta Thursday ko izafa kaafi zyada tha kyun ke candle 0.6190 se 0.6218 tak pohonch gayi thi. Agar calculation ki jaye toh NZD/USD 50 pips ke qareeb barh gayi thi. Shuru mein yeh neeche gayi thi, magar qareebi support ko penetrate kiye baghair wapis upar chali gayi. H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye toh jab NZD/USD barhi, toh candle ne resistance ko 0.6202 par break kar liya tha. Is resistance ko break karne ke baad mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka rise hona mumkin hai. Lagta hai NZD/USD ka next target 0.6288 par resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohonchnay ke liye NZD/USD ko abhi 70 pips ka faasla tay karna hai. Uske baad ho sakta hai NZD/USD wapis decline kare, kyun ke yeh izafa sirf ek correction lagta hai, magar agar highest H1 resistance breach ho jata hai, toh NZD/USD ke neeche anay mein mushkilat ho sakti hain. Mere khayal mein, jab tak RBS area 0.6170 par penetrate nahi hota, NZD/USD ke mazeed barhnay ka chance hai agle kuch ghanton mein.

NZD/USD market mein filhal bearish pressure hai, jo recent U.S. economic data aur technical indicators ki wajah se hai. U.S. Department of Labor ne report di hai ke September 28 ko khatam hone wali hafte mein 225,000 jobless claims aye hain, jo pichle hafte ke 219,000 se zyada hain aur market expectation 220,000 se bhi upar hain. Is se thodi si weakness ka signal milta hai.NZD/USD ab key support level 0.6220 par aa gaya hai. Price ne shayad ek bearish Japanese candlestick pattern banaya hai aur MACD ne apni signal line ke niche cross kiya hai, jo ek bearish signal hota hai.NZD/USD key resistance band 0.6400 par pahunch kar neeche reverse hua hai, aur ab tak lagataar teen bearish din banaye hain, jo ke Japanese candlestick analysis mein "Three Black Crows" pattern kehlata hai. Agar Thursday ko ek long red candle close hoti hai, to yeh is pattern ka completion confirm karegi.Price ab ek mazboot support level 0.6220 par aa gayi hai, jo 2024 ke pehle half mein banne wale multiple price peaks se bana hai. Yeh support level bears ke liye ek obstacle ban sakta hai agar wo price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain.MACD ne blue line ke neeche cross kiya hai, jo ke ek aur bearish signal hai. Agar price 0.6220 ke neeche close hoti hai, to aur downside ka risk hai, especially agar price 0.6200 ya us se neeche close hoti hai.Lekin agar price 0.6220 par support le kar rally kar jati hai, to NZD/USD apne previous bullish trend ko resume kar sakta hai. Lekin 0.6400 ke aas-paas tough resistance hai, jo upside progress ko rok sakta hai, jaise ke July aur December 2023 ke highs ne establish kiya tha.

pair is waqt neechey ke dabao ka shikar hai kuch mukhtalif wajoohat ki wajah se. US dollar ki qeemat barh rahi hai, jo greenback ke liye ziada demand ko zahir karti hai. Is se risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke New Zealand Dollar (NZD), ko nuqsan ho raha hai. Sath hi, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate ke hawale se paish aane wali uncertainty ne investors ko ehtiyaat se kaam lene par majboor kar diya hai. Fed ne hal hi mein char salon mein pehli dafa apna key borrowing rate 50 basis points tak kam kiya hai, jo ke zyada accommodative monetary policy ka izhaar karta hai. Magar, policy makers ne yeh bhi wada kiya hai ke rate-cutting cycle ziada tezi se nahi chalega. Phir bhi, traders ko lagta hai ke Fed doosri central banks ke muqable mein ziada aggressive rate cuts kar sakta hai. Is uncertainty ne market ke jazbaat ko nuqsan pohanchaya hai aur NZD ki qeemat ko neechey le aya hai. Technically, NZD/USD pair 0.6250 ke level par resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break kar jata hai, to agle targets 0.6300 aur 0.6368 ho sakte hain. Magar, agar yeh 20-day EMA se neechey girta hai, to 0.6172 par support mil sakti hai. Is level ke neechey break hone par ek sell-off ka aghaz ho sakta hai, aur agle targets 0.6120 aur 0.6020 ho sakte hain. In sab wajoohat ki wajah se, NZD/USD pair is waqt neechey ke dabao mein hai. Traders ko technical levels aur fundamental factors ko dekhte huye faislay karne chahiye. Geopolitical developments, jaise ke trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, bhi NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakti hain, jo ke market mein volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakti hain. Is waqt ke prices par ek local peak ka formation ho raha hai, jo "Double Top" re

NZD/USD Price Prediction

US Department of Labor (DOL) ne Thursday ko report kiya ke 28 September ko khatam hone wale hafte mein 225,000 initial jobless claims hui. Ye figure pichle hafte ke 219,000 (218,000 se revise kiya gaya) se thodi si behtar hai, lekin market ki umeed 220,000 se kuch kharab hai.

Report ke mazeed tafseelat se pata chalta hai ke advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate 1.2% thi aur 4-week moving average 224,250 par tha, jo pichle hafte ke revise kiye gaye average se 750 ka kami hai.

"DOL ne ye bhi noted kiya ke seasonally adjusted insured unemployment ka advance number 21 September ko khatam hone wale hafte mein 1,826,000 tha, jo pichle hafte ke revise kiye gaye level se 1,000 ka kami hai."

NZD/USD ne roll over kiya hai aur key support 0.6220 ke aas paas gir gaya hai. Isne ek bearish Japanese candlestick pattern bana sakta hai aur MACD apni signal line ke neeche cross ho gaya hai.

NZD/USD ne 0.6400 level ke aas paas ek key resistance band tak pahuncha aur foran neeche ki taraf palat gaya. Ye teen musalsal bearish din bana raha hai, jo Japanese candlestick analysis mein ek bearish reversal sign kehlata hai, jise “Three Black Crows” pattern kaha jata hai (neeche diye gaye chart par light blue shaded rectangle). Agar Thursday (aaj) ek lambi red candle ke sath khatam hota hai, to ye is pattern ke complete hone ki tasdeeq karega.

30 September ke peak se neeche ki taraf aane ka move sharp raha hai aur iske sath bearish momentum bhi hai, jo ye chances barhata hai ke ye mazeed extend ho sakta hai. Magar, isne 0.6220 ke aas paas ek mazboot support level ko face kiya hai, jo 2024 ke pehle hisson mein multiple price peaks se bana hai. Ye bears ke liye prices ko neeche khenchne mein rukawat paida kar sakta hai.

Blue Moving Average Divergence Convergence (MACD) ne apni red signal line ke neeche cross kiya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai.

Market ka reversal hone ka khatara hai aur mazeed girawat aa sakti hai, khaaskar agar prices 0.6220 support level se khaas taur par neeche band hoti hain, shayad 0.6200 ya us se bhi neeche.

Lekin, aisa move jald hi mazeed mazboot support se takra sakta hai jo major Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke cluster se milta hai, jo is se kuch upar hai. Ye 50-day SMA 0.6141 par hai, iske baad 100-day aur 200-day SMA lagbhag 0.6120 aur 0.6101 par hain.

Iske ilawa, ye bhi mumkin hai ke Kiwi pair abhi ke support level 0.6220 se rally kare aur apne pehle se bullish trend ko dobara shuru kare. Lekin, kisi bhi khaas upside progress ko 0.6400 ke aas paas ke mazboot resistance se rukawat mil sakti hai, jo July aur December 2023 ke peechle highs se hai.

NZD/USD pair abhi liquidity areas aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) ke asar mein zones ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones ni aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout

nuqsan se ubharte hue aur 0.6280 ke qareeb trading ki. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar is channel se kamiyabi se breakout hota hai, to yeh jari uptrend ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Is ke ilawa, nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 50-day EMA se upar hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke liye short-term mein mazid mazboot price trend ka ishara deta hai. Uptside par, NZD/USD pair 0.6380 level ke qareeb ka ilaqa explore kar sakti hai, jo ascending channel ka upper boundary hai. Agar yeh upper boundary ka breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish bias ko mazid mazboot karega aur pair ko December 2023 mein record hue 15-month highs 0.6409 tak waapas le ja sakta hai. Support side par, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Agar is level se neeche ka break hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko nuksaan pohcha sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6156 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jahan se aage ja kar five-week low 0.6106 tak pohnch sakta hai. NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko mazid gains ko extend karte hue nine-month high 0.6354 ko chooa tha, magar phir halkay nuqsanat ka samna kiya. Pair August band se upar break kar gaya, aur December 2023 ke high 0.6368 par focus shift kiya. Magar, rally ke mutaliq slow hone ka imkaan hai, kyun ke RSI aur Stochastic se overbought signals aa rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 ke upar ek decisive close hota hai, to yeh ek naye upside wave ko trigger kar sakta hai jo recent decline ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension 0.6415 tak ja sakta hai. December 2022 aur February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 ka ilaqa kuch constraints pose kar sakta hai. Aage ja kar, bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye ek mazeed upar ki move zaroori ho sakti hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne char saal mein pehli dafa apni interest rate mein kami ka elan kiya, jis mein key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se