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NZD/USD Analysis

Assalamu alaikum! Aaj hum NZD/USD pair ki current situation ko M30 aur H4 charts ke saath, key technical indicators ke saath analyze karenge.

M30 Chart Analysis

M30 chart par, NZD/USD pair ne past few days mein uptrend show kiya hai. Recently, price ne 0.5958 ke significant daily resistance level ko break kiya. Iske baad, price ne continue kiya, lekin abhi tak level ko retest nahi kiya hai. Yeh common hai ki price strong levels ko test kare after such movements.

Currently, price ne weekly resistance level 0.6021 par reach kiya hai. Isne is level ko three times test kiya hai without successfully breaking above it, resulting in recent pullback. Yeh resistance strong previous uptrend aur average daily range ke exceed hone ke wajah se hai.

Technical Indicators

Arrow indicators aur oscillators pullback scenario ko confirm karte hain. Woh suggest karte hain ki price 0.5958 ke broken level par retrace ho sakti hai, jo ab support ke role mein hai. Agar price is level par reaction show karta hai, indicating bounce upwards, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai.

H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par, different picture emerge hota hai. Main ne upward movement ke liye expanding structure draw ki, lekin price ne lower boundary ke right side mein move kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki current structure incorrect ho sakti hai aur upward movement paused ho sakti hai.

Expected Scenarios

Retracement to 0.59545: H4 chart par, likelihood hai ki price 0.59545 ke zone mein retrace ho sakti hai, jahan two opening levels concentrated hain: weekly aur monthly levels. Yeh key support area ho sakti hai retracement ke event mein.

Deeper Retracement to 0.5858: Agar price 0.59545 ke support level ko break karta hai, to next possible support zone 0.5858 ke around ho sakti hai, jahan last upward movement begin hui thi. Yeh deeper retracement ko indicate karta hai, jo buying opportunities present kar sakta hai lekin increased risk ke saath

NZD/USD jorha Thursday ko mazbooti se phir se ubar gaya, jo ke pehle ke session ke nuqsanat se nikla. Iska faida bullish market sentiment aur positive technical indicators se mila, aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke ummeedon ne bhi madad ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein qadam rakha, jo ke bullish momentum ka izhaar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish se bullish ke potential reversal ke nishan de raha hai, jo upward trend ko support karta hai. NZD/USD jorhe ke liye key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 hain. Resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shamil hain. Agar 0.6200 se upar break hota hai, to yeh pair dono 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar aa jayega, jo further upside ko dekhne ka imkaan hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data mixed signals diya. Jabke overall CPI kam hua, core CPI ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ke bharpur hone ki nishani hai. Lekin market Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke plans par bharosa rakh rahi hai.

New Zealand mein retail e-card sales ne recovery ke asaar dikhaye, jabke food prices ka izafa dheere dheere hua. Yeh developments New Zealand ki economic outlook ko mixed dikhati hain. Technical indicators ye bhi darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair ki positive momentum shayad kam ho rahi hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke nazdeek hai. Agar rally momentum kho deti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to yeh pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (June-August downtrend) pe 0.6141 tak gir sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karne par deeper correction ho sakta hai, aur 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 potential target ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, NZD/USD pair filhal ek rebound ka samna kar raha hai, jo positive market sentiment aur rate cut ki ummeedon se supported hai. Magar technical indicators ye darshate hain ke upward momentum kam ho sakti hai. Traders ko in factors aur evolving economic landscape ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake wo aage ki gains ya corrections ko assess kar saken.

NZD/USD Market Outlook

Salam aur subh bakhair! Aaj market band hai lekin hum agle haftay ke liye ek naya trading plan tayar kar sakte hain. Mere nazdeek, NZD/USD ki market tezi se niche girne wali hai aur support zone 0.6164 ko cross kar sakti hai. NZD/USD market mein sellers ke liye yeh aik ahem waqt hai. Halanki current trend sellers ke liye acha lag raha hai, lekin kuch ghaflati economic developments balance ko buyers ke haq mein turn kar sakti hain. Misal ke taur pe, agar Federal Reserve ka achanak announcement ho ya UK se surprising economic data release ho, toh market sentiment tezi se badal sakta hai. Agar stop loss nahi hai, toh trader khud ko ek losing position mein dekh sakta hai bina kisi clear exit strategy ke. Isliye, jab market outlook overwhelmingly bearish ho, jaisa aaj lag raha hai, stop loss implement karna zaroori hai taake potential market reversals se bachav ho sake. Is tarah, traders market mein zyada confidence ke saath shamil ho sakte hain, yeh jaan kar ke unke paas risk mitigate karne ke liye ek safeguard hai. Humein agle haftay ke news events ka bhi analysis karna chahiye kyunki NZD/USD market ke liye incoming news data ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. News events currency prices par gehra asar daalti hain, kyunki yeh country ki economic health aur market sentiment ko influence karti hain. GBP/USD pair ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke New Zealand aur US dono ke economic developments par nazar rakhi jaye. Traders ko GDP (NZD), employment figures, inflation rates, aur central banks ke interest rate decisions jese economic indicators ke liye particularly vigilant rehna chahiye. Izat ke saath, NZD/USD market ab sellers ke haq mein rehne wali hai. Khush raho!

Technical Analysis of New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar

Pichlay trading haftay mein NZD ka high 0.6303 ke niche touch kiya, lekin uske baad correction start ho gayi. Price ko 0.6303 par resistance mila aur phir sharp decline aaya, jo 0.6198 ke signal level tak pohanchi, jahan usay significant support mil gayi aur woh wahin ruk gayi. Yeh target zone tak pohanchne nahi de rahi, jo abhi tak kaam kar raha hai. Is dauran, price chart super trendy red zone mein chala gaya, jo ke sellers ki taraf se pressure ka ishara hai.

Technically, price ko 0.6430 ke area mein achi support mili, jis ne temporary growth dikhane par majboor kar diya. Agar hum 4-hour chart dekhein, toh simple moving averages ab bhi negative direction mein cross kar rahi hain, aur price neeche move kar rahi hai. Intraday trading resistance 0.6540 ke neeche, aur aam tor par 0.6458 ke neeche steady hai. Is liye bearish scenario zyada favorable lag raha hai, kyun ke agar 0.5930 ke upar confirmed break hota hai, toh hume official targets 0.6000 aur 0.6030 achieve karne mein madad milegi. Dosri taraf, agar price 0.6180 ke upar jati hai aur consolidation hoti hai, toh temporary increase shuru ho sakta hai jo ke 0.6289 se start hokar 0.6380 tak jaa sakta hai.




Abhi ke doran pair apne recent weekly low ke thoda niche trade kar raha hai. Key support areas test ho chuki hain, aur quotes post ho chuki hain, jo price ko bounce back karne par majboor karti hain, aur yeh upward vector ke favorable hone ka ishara hai. Move ko continue karne ke liye price ko 0.6198 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ke key support area ka border hai. Agar is level se retest aur rebound hota hai, toh upward trend ko 0.6380 aur 0.6467 ke target areas tak le jaane ka mauqa milega.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 0.6126 ke reversal level ke neeche jati hai, toh yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

NZD/USD Market Outlook

Salam aur subh bakhair! Aap sab ke liye trading ka ek kamyab din ho!

NZD/USD market ne kal 0.6141 zone ko cross kiya, jo buyers ke liye ek ahem move ka signal tha, jinhein recent trading sessions mein taqat milti nazar aayi hai. Is momentum ke sath, aaj bhi yeh mumkin hai ke buyers apna pressure barqarar rakhain aur pair ko 0.6165 zone ke upar dhakel dein. Yeh level ek key area hai jahan market ya toh consolidate kar sakta hai ya phir apni upward trend ko continue kar sakta hai.

In market conditions ko dekhte hue, traders ko zaroori hai ke current sentiment ko samjhein aur in tabdeeliyon ke mutabiq informed decisions lein. Market sentiment NZD/USD pair ki direction ka taayun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Abhi ke dor mein, buyers apni taqat barqarar rakhein hue hain, aur sentiment filhal bullish nazar aa raha hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi economic data ya news releases par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ki direction ko affect kar sakti hain.




Market sentiment ka gehra idraak traders ko potential reversals ya continuation patterns ko anticipate karne mein madad dega, jo unhein zyada strategic trading decisions lene mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, volatile market jese NZD/USD mein stop loss ko apni trading strategy ka hissa banana aqli hai. Stop loss potential losses ko limit karne mein madad karta hai, jo ke market aapke khilaaf jaane par trade ko automatically exit kar deta hai. Yeh khaaskar tab ahem hota hai jab market 0.6165 zone ke upar rehne mein naakami ka samna karay aur wapas reverse ho jaye. Ek achi tarah se calculated stop loss set karke, traders apna risk manage kar sakte hain aur apne capital ko protect kar sakte hain, yeh ensure karte hue ke wo apni trades par control mein rahein chahe market conditions kitni hi unpredictable kyun na hoon.

Khush raho aur mehfooz raho!

Technical Analysis

NZD/USD H-4

Yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke bohot se major institutions ke darmiyan sirf US news par hi kuch movement dekhi gayi hai. Baqi waqt mein market narrow trading ranges mein flat rahi hai. Wave structure downward move ka signal de raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Agar aap first wave par target Fibonacci grid apply karein, toh aapko negative target nazar aayega - level 161.8, jo kal tak almost pohanch gaya tha, lekin thoda pehle hi wapas mud gaya. Jin logon ne price ka target achieve hone ka intezar kiya, unhein target tak pohanchne nahi diya gaya.

Ab ek paradoxical situation hai. Target tak pohanch nahi paya aur MACD indicator ke neeche ek bullish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo kaam kar rahi hai. Upar 0.6167 ka horizontal resistance level hai, jo is currency pair ke rate ko mazeed strong hone se rok sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance level 0.6167 break ho jata hai, toh iske baad, yeh support ke taur par kaam karega, aur breakout ke baad thodi si growth ke sath buy karna mumkin hai, target us descending line tak jo peechli do waves ke tops par bani hai.

Lekin main yahan sell karna nahi chahta, jab tak koi false breakout na ho 0.6167 ka, uske baad hi main short-term reversal ko consider kar sakta hoon aur downside mein entry kar sakta hoon. Us waqt support ko resistance mein convert hotay dekha ja sakta hai. Yaqeenan, bohot kuch aaj ki news par depend karega.




Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:15 par Eurozone mein deposit funds ke interest rates, margin lending rates, aur European Central Bank ka monetary policy statement aane wala hai, sath hi ECB interest rate ka faisla bhi hoga. 15:30 par US mein initial unemployment benefits ke liye applications ka number, Producer Price Index (PPI), total unemployment benefits lene walon ka data, aur Core PPI release kiya jayega. Euro ki news dusri currency pairs ko bhi affect kar sakti hai, kyun ke yeh ek major currency hai.

NZD/USD

Salam. Asal mein, NZD/USD mein ek clear resistance level 0.6160 bana hai, jo price ko upar jaane nahi de raha. Yeh phenomenon yeh hint de raha hai ke shayad 0.6160 ke upar kuch unprofitable buyers hain, jo umeed laga kar baithe hain ke price is pair ka kabhi na kabhi upar jayega, aur yeh hi wajah hai ke price upar nahi jaa rahi, balki 0.6160 ke resistance se takra kar wapas neeche aa rahi hai. Abhi ka price formation bearish lag raha hai, jo akhir mein is pair ki price ko neeche dhakel sakta hai. Agar price ab upar nahi jata aur 0.6160 ke level ke upar consolidate karne mein naakaam hota hai, toh aage ka scenario mere drawing ke mutabiq kaam kar sakta hai, jismein price seedha neeche jaa kar 0.6024 ke accumulation area tak gir sakti hai.




NZD/USD. Jab main NZD/USD ka M30 chart dekhta hoon, toh main sell trade karne ka faisla karta hoon. Profit ke liye target level main 0.61314 ko use karna chahta hoon, jo LRMA BB indicator ke lower limit ke mutabiq hai. Market par seller ka pressure hai, aur iske efforts downward trend ka result dikha rahe hain. In efforts ki wajah se, current price 0.61317 moving average price 0.61407 se neeche trade ho rahi hai. Agar volatility ke barhne par price 0.61314 ke lower limit ke neeche chali jati hai, toh sales khatam ho jati hain, aur main correction ke liye 0.61407 ke beech mein purchases consider karunga. Agar price 0.61407 ke upper limit ko breakout karti hai, toh positions reverse karne ka faisla hoga aur main LRMA BB indicator ke upper level 0.61500 tak long positions open karne ka sochunga.

NZD/USD

Salam. Asal mein, NZD/USD mein ek clear resistance level 0.6160 bana hai, jo price ko upar jaane nahi de raha. Yeh phenomenon yeh hint de raha hai ke shayad 0.6160 ke upar kuch unprofitable buyers hain, jo umeed laga kar baithe hain ke price is pair ka kabhi na kabhi upar jayega, aur yeh hi wajah hai ke price upar nahi jaa rahi, balki 0.6160 ke resistance se takra kar wapas neeche aa rahi hai. Abhi ka price formation bearish lag raha hai, jo akhir mein is pair ki price ko neeche dhakel sakta hai. Agar price ab upar nahi jata aur 0.6160 ke level ke upar consolidate karne mein naakaam hota hai, toh aage ka scenario mere drawing ke mutabiq kaam kar sakta hai, jismein price seedha neeche jaa kar 0.6024 ke accumulation area tak gir sakti hai.




NZD/USD. Jab main NZD/USD ka M30 chart dekhta hoon, toh main sell trade karne ka faisla karta hoon. Profit ke liye target level main 0.61314 ko use karna chahta hoon, jo LRMA BB indicator ke lower limit ke mutabiq hai. Market par seller ka pressure hai, aur iske efforts downward trend ka result dikha rahe hain. In efforts ki wajah se, current price 0.61317 moving average price 0.61407 se neeche trade ho rahi hai. Agar volatility ke barhne par price 0.61314 ke lower limit ke neeche chali jati hai, toh sales khatam ho jati hain, aur main correction ke liye 0.61407 ke beech mein purchases consider karunga. Agar price 0.61407 ke upper limit ko breakout karti hai, toh positions reverse karne ka faisla hoga aur main LRMA BB indicator ke upper level 0.61500 tak long positions open karne ka sochunga.

The analytical forecast for the NZD/USD currency pair suggests a positive outlook for buyers, based on the extended regression stop-and-reverse indicators and the classic RSI (14) and MACD indicators. To optimize trade entries, the signals from these indicators should align in the same direction, which they currently do. The exit points will be determined using Fibonacci retracement levels, with the Fibonacci grid stretched over the extremes of previous trading days or weeks.
On the H4 chart, the first-degree regression line (golden dotted line) is angled upwards by approximately 35-40 degrees, signaling a bullish trend. Non-linear regression channels also cross the lower golden line and suggest further upward movement. The RSI (14) and MACD are both in the oversold zone, adding weight to the argument for a buy entry. The price has recently crossed the blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 but found a bottom, after which it started to rise.Based on these technical indicators, a reversal and consolidation above the 2-and LevelSupLine channel are expected, with a potential move toward the golden middle line of the linear regression channel at 0.62500, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level.

Additionally, it is important to stay informed about the weekly economic calendar, particularly any high-impact events that could influence market sentiment. Significant news, such as economic reports from New Zealand or the US, could alter the market’s trajectory and affect this forecast. If no major external changes occur, the NZD/USD market sentiment is likely to remain in favor of buyers this week.With market sentiment aligning toward a buying bias, traders can capitalize on potential gains, especially if economic indicators support this upward movement. However, as always, caution is advised. A potential retracement past 0.6100 has brought some stability, but it's crucial to monitor broader market conditions and news events closely. The 0.6200 zone seems promising, but traders should remain flexible and prepared for any shifts in market conditions as the week progresses.

New Zealand ki economy ka halat August 2024 mein kuch mila-jula raha, lekin service sector mein behtar asraat nazar aaye, halan ke wo abhi bhi contraction mein hai. Overall, economy ke hawale se logon mein ehtiyat ka ravayya hai, kyun ke mehngai aur aamadni ke hawale se logon ke concerns barqarar hain. NZX 50 index mein is hafta ki shuruaat mein achi girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke kuch logon ke profit-taking aur GDP contraction ke khauf ke wajah se hui thi.

Service sector ke improvement ke bawajood, doosre sectors mein challenges abhi bhi hain. Sales aur activity index abhi bhi neeche hain aur naye orders mein halka faraq dekha gaya hai, lekin employment sector mein positivity dekhi gayi hai.

Stock market ke utar chadhaav global factors se bhi mutasir hain. NZX 50 index ki girawat profit-taking aur global economy ke hawale se paishgoi se hui. Federal Reserve aur China ke central bank ke interest rate decisions ka bhi asar trading sentiment par nazar aaya.

Agar daily chart par dekha jaye, to price middle Bollinger band ko cross karne mein nakam rahi, lekin ek upward pattern ban raha hai. Agar price blue zone tak pohnchti hai to buy karna faidemand ho sakta hai, lekin stoploss ko 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke neeche rakhna zaroori hai jo ke abhi mazboot support hai.

H4 time frame par, price 255-period EMA ko cross nahi kar payi, jo ke yeh batata hai ke aaj ke liye uptrend dominate kar sakta hai. Kareebi target middle Bollinger band hai aur agar yeh break ho jaye to 161.8% Fibonacci extension tak price ja sakti hai, jo ke bullish movement ka ishara hai.

Filhal price 0.6151 ke qareeb hai. Aik bearish trend ke signal mil rahe hain kyun ke candlestick abhi bhi 100-period SMA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke mazeed downside momentum ka pata deti hai. Sell ke liye target price 0.6089 ho sakta hai, khas tor par agar market volatility barhti hai to price neeche ja sakti hai.

4-hour chart par dekha jaye to agle kuch dinon mein market bearish lagti hai, kyun ke candlestick lagatar 100-period SMA ke neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko aur mazid tasdeek deta hai. Agar koi zabardast bullish momentum nahi aata to NZD/USD ka market bearish rahega.

Akhir mein kaha ja sakta hai ke lambi muddat mein upward movement ka chance hai, lekin short-term analysis ke lehaz se market bearish nazar aa rahi hai, aur technical levels aur global economic events trading sentiment ko shape karen ge.

NZD/USD Analysis: Market Dynamics aur Aane Wale Asraat

Jabke outlook bearish lagta hai, yeh zaroori hai ke trading ko achi tarah se plan kiya jaye, taake risk management strategy mazboot ho. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hoti hai, aur kabhi kabhi sabse mazboot trends bhi achanak palat jaati hain. Stop-loss orders lagana buhat zaroori hai taake aapke capital ko mehfooz rakha ja sake. Misal ke taur par, agar stop-loss ko halya swing high ke upar rakha jaye, to agar market aapke khilaf jaaye to nuksaan ko limit karna asaan ho jata hai. Traders ko zaroor dhyaan rakhna chahiye key economic events par jo NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdiliyaan achanak movements ka sabab ban sakti hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Trading mein successful hone ke liye informed rehna aur apni strategy ko zarurat ke mutabiq adjust karna buhat aham hai.

NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par abhi bhi sellers ke liye kafi behtareen moqay paish kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, traders ko buhat si opportunities de raha hai ke woh pair ke mazeed girawat ka faida utha sakein. Agar traders retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko dhyan se analyze karein, to woh strategically apni position bana sakte hain taake iss bearish trend ka faida utha sakein. Magar, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics ko asar karne wale developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar sahi approach apnayi jaye, to current NZD/USD market mein profitable opportunities mil sakti hain un logon ke liye jo trend ke sath trade kar rahe hain.





Jab price 0.6260 level ke qareeb late August mein pohnchi, to usay ek prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ka resistance face karna para. Jab price is level ke upar momentum maintain karne mein nakam rahi, to NZD/USD pair apni pehli gains ko retrace karne laga. Yeh retracement price ko 0.6140 level ki taraf le gaya, jahan liquidity gaps fill hui aur pehle support levels test huye. August ke aakhri hisse mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karti rahi, jahan ek range-bound structure bana. Is range mein upper aur lower bounds ka baar baar test hua, aur price ne 0.6140 area par support dhoondha jo ke pehle DLiq zone tha aur ab resistance se support ban gaya tha.

Magar, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain karna mein nakami ne bearish sentiment ko highlight kiya, jahan sellers kaafi dominate kar rahe thay. Early September mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche chala gaya, jo ke ek potential momentum shift ka signal tha. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ek bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. NZD/USD pair ki current position 0.6184 ke qareeb hai, jo ke consolidation period ke baad market ka ek nai direction dhoondhne ki koshish ko reflect karti hai.

Chart par bohat si DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh dikhati hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market ek breakout ke catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai. NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek tight range mein phansa hua market dikhata hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Pair abhi key support 0.6140 par hover kar raha hai, jabke potential resistance 0.6240 ke upar hai. Recent price action yeh suggest karta hai ke agar is range se breakout hota hai to agli significant move ka pata chalega. Agar price 0.6240 ke upar break kare to aur gains ke darwaze khul sakte hain, jabke agar 0.6140 ke neeche sustained move hota hai to deeper pullback 0.6100 level tak jaa sakta hai. Traders ko in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye kyunke yeh NZD/USD pair ko asar karne mein aham role ada karenge.

NZD/USD pair ne past few days mein uptrend show kiya hai. Recently, price ne 0.5958 ke significant daily resistance level ko break kiya. Iske baad, price ne continue kiya, lekin abhi tak level ko retest nahi kiya hai. Yeh common hai ki price strong levels ko test kare after such movements.
Currently, price ne weekly resistance level 0.6021 par reach kiya hai. Isne is level ko three times test kiya hai without successfully breaking above it, resulting in recent pullback. Yeh resistance strong previous uptrend aur average daily range ke exceed hone ke wajah se hai.
Technical Indicators
Arrow indicators aur oscillators pullback scenario ko confirm karte hain. Woh suggest karte hain ki price 0.5958 ke broken level par retrace ho sakti hai, jo ab support ke role mein hai. Agar price is level par reaction show karta hai, indicating bounce upwards, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai.
H4 Chart Analysis
H4 chart par, different picture emerge hota hai. Main ne upward movement ke liye expanding structure draw ki, lekin price ne lower boundary ke right side mein move kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki current structure incorrect ho sakti hai aur upward movement paused ho sakti hai.
Expected Scenarios
Retracement to 0.59545: H4 chart par, likelihood hai ki price 0.59545 ke zone mein retrace ho sakti hai, jahan two opening levels concentrated hain: weekly aur monthly levels. Yeh key support area ho sakti hai retracement ke event mein.



NZD/USD pair ne ek sharp decline dekha jab 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern ka breakdown hua, jo ke ek bearish reversal ko indicate karta hai. 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) ne 0.6190 par girna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke short-term downtrend ka aghaz dikhata hai. 14-period relative strength index (RSI) bhi bearish range mein shift ho gaya hai 20.00-40.00 ke darmiyan, jo ke bearish momentum ke activation ko dikhata hai. Agar asset ne July 17 ke qareeb 0.6100 level ko break kiya, toh aur downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke May 3 ke high 0.6046 aur 0.6000 ke psychological support level tak ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar September 6 ka high 0.6250 par break hota hai, toh asset 0.6300 aur phir iss saal ke high 0.6330 tak barh sakta hai.

NZD-USD pair ka jaiza
New Zealand ki ma'ashi taraqqi August 2024 mein mukhtalif natayij dikha rahi thi, lekin service sector mein behtari ke asaar nazar aaye, halaan ke yeh ab bhi contraction mein tha. Kul mila ke ma'ashi halaat ehtiyaati hain, jahan mehngai ke buland ikhlaqat aur aam ma'ashi surat-e-haal par tashweesh barqarar hai. NZX 50 index haftay ke aghaz mein zyada gira, jis ki ek wajah profit-taking aur GDP contraction ke imkaanat par fikar thi.

Halankeh service sector mein behtari dekhne ko mili, doosray sectors mein ab bhi challenges darpesh hain. Activity/sales index ab bhi neeche hai, jabke naye orders mein halka sa kami dekhne ko mili. Magar employment sector mein musbat asraat nazar aaye.

Stock market ka inhesaar bhi global factors par tha. NZX 50 index ka girna ek hissa profit-taking aur global ma'ashi taraqqi ke hawalay se fikaron par mabni tha. Federal Reserve aur People's Bank of China ke faida ka sharah ke faislon ka intizaar bhi market ke jazbat ko mutasir kar raha tha.

Agar hum daily timeframe ka jaiza lain to yeh nazar aata hai ke price middle bolinger limit ko chhed nahi paaya, lekin ek upward pattern nazar aa raha hai. Agar isay draw kiya jaye to neela ilaka aik aisi jagah hai jahan se price wapas upar ja sakta hai. Buy ka option us waqt faidamand hoga jab price is area ko chho lay, lekin stoploss limit ko tab rakhna hoga jab price 23.6 limit ko chhed lay jo is waqt ek mazboot support hai.

H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to price EMA 255 limit ko chhed nahi paaya, is liye uptrend ka rujhan aaj ke price movement ko dominate kar sakta hai. Sab se qareebi target daily bolinger ke darmiyan ka hissa hai, aur agar yeh penetrated ho jata hai to 161.8 fibonacci limit tak ja sakta hai. Umeed hai ke yeh maaloomat aaj ke liye transactions mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Shukriya!

NZD/USD ka 30-minute chart zyada tar bearish trend ko zahir karta hai, jahan pair is waqt 0.61558 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Guzishta kuch sessions mein, price ek range ke andar hee chal rahi thi, lekin ab jo momentum hai wo neeche ki taraf jhukao ko dikha raha hai. Haal hi mein, price ne 0.62500 ke qareeb liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur liquidity cluster ke saath bhi mail khata hai. Yeh rejection yeh confirm karta hai ke upper levels par taqatwar selling pressure mojood hai, jo kisi bhi baraht ki koshish ko rok raha hai. Neeche ki taraf liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhe gaye, unko thori si buyer interest ke sath muqabla mila. Magar, in zones ka baar baar test hone ka matlab yeh hai ke buyers ki taqat ahista ahista kam ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche tootne ka imkaan paida kar sakti hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to mazeed girawat ka nishana 0.61000 ka area ho sakta hai, jo 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke saath milta hai aur yeh support ka imkaan de sakta hai. rejection yeh confirm karta hai ke upper levels par taqatwar selling pressure mojood hai, jo kisi bhi baraht ki koshish ko rok raha hai. Neeche ki taraf liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhe gaye, unko thori si buyer interest ke sath muqabla mila. Magar, in zones ka baar baar test hone ka matlab yeh hai ke buyers ki taqat ahista ahista kam ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche tootne ka imkaan paida
Doosri taraf, agar price upar ki taraf retrace karti hai, to usay 0.62000 ke qareeb strong resistance ka samna hoga, jo ke peechlay liquidity grabs aur FVGs ke asar mein hai. Is level ko torhna zaroori hoga agar pair bullish outlook mein shift karna chahta hai. Is ke ilawa, chart par neeche aur upar dono taraf kai FVG zones mojood hain, jo ke aise important areas hain jahan price imbalances ke sabab volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jab market ke participants liquidity talash karte hain.

Natija tor par, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur jab tak price 0.62000 resistance ke neeche rahegi, downside ka outlook barqarar hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, to raasta 0.61000 aur us se aage ke targets ke liye khul sakta hai. Magar, kisi bhi recovery ki koshish ke liye, price ko pehle strong resistance 0.62000 ko clear karna hoga, uske baad upar ke liquidity zones, jaise 0.62500, ko target karna hoga. Kul mila kar, jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb zyada buying pressure nazar nahi aata, bias bearish hi rahega.

NZD/USD
Subha bakhair aur aapka Monday kamiyab ho! Jis tarah humne Friday ko market ko upar bounce karte aur 0.6100 zone ko cross karte dekha, isne NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza l


agta hai, magar hamesha ki tarah, outcome ka daromadar technicals aur news par hoga ke wo market ko agle dino mein kis tarah shape karte hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat ke saath optimistic approach apnani chahiye jab ke wo is haftay market ko navigate karte hain.

Khush rahain!