USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H1 Analysis:
Is chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka price pichle chand dino se downward trend mein tha, jo 151.74 tak stabilize hua hai. Chart par dekhne se maloom hota hai ke price ne apne recent low 150.65 par support liya aur ab thoda recover kar raha hai. Price ab 151.74 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt ek critical level hai.
Indicators ka Analysis:
MACD indicator bearish momentum dikhata raha hai, lekin ab divergence ka signal nazar aaya hai, jo rebound ki nishani ho sakti hai. Ye is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke market mein selling momentum kam ho raha hai aur bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. RSI indicator bhi oversold zone se bounce karta hua dikh raha hai aur ab 51.68 ke kareeb hai. Ye bullish correction ka signal de raha hai, lekin filhal koi confirm trend reversal ka ishara nahi hai.
Key Levels:
Agar price 151.80-152.00 ka resistance tod leta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya uske upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir se 151.00 ke niche aata hai, to market dobara 150.65 ke support zone ka test kar sakta hai. Is level ke break hone par price 150.00 tak gir sakta hai, jo agla strong support zone hoga.
Trading Strategy:
Aap is waqt carefully trade karein kyun ke price ek critical area mein hai. Agar bullish momentum barh raha ho, to buy entries 152.00 ke upar consider ki ja sakti hain, jahan RSI aur MACD ke signals strong ho rahe hon. Lekin agar price 151.00 ke niche girta hai, to bearish pressure mazid barh sakta hai. Is situation mein aap short trade plan kar sakte hain. Is waqt zaroori hai ke aap apne risk management ka khayal rakhein aur support/resistance levels ko follow karein. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD ka analysis regularly karein taake accurate entry aur exit points ka pata chale.
Yeh analysis aapko market ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad karega aur aap apni trading decisions ko iske mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY ne US trading session ke dauran halka sa izafa dekha hai, jo zyadatar US Treasury yields, khas tor par 10 year note ki mazbooti ki wajah se hai.10 year Treasury yield lagbhag char basis points barh kar 4.104% tak pohanch gayi hai jo USD/JPY exchange rate ke saath positive taluq dikhati hai. Is barhawa ne pair ko 151.71 tak le gaya jo dikhata hai ke US economic data abhi bhi currency market par kaafi asar andaz dal raha haUSD/JPY pair abhi US Dollar ki strength aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke ehtiyaat pasand approach ke darmiyan balance kar raha hai. Ek taraf, US Dollar domestic economic data aur Federal Reserve ke cautious outlook ki wajah se mazboot hai. Doosri taraf, Yen ko BoJ ki dovish stance aur monetary policy tighten karne mein hichkichahat ki wajah se challenges ka samna hai. US aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ka ye farq USD/JPY ke liye ek ahem driver hai.External factors bhi market sentiment ko asar andaz jaise ke China ki economy par pressure. National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) ne China ki economy par downward pressure ka zikr kiya, jis ne investors ke risk appetite ko kamzor kiya hai. Is se global currency landscape aur bhi complex ho gaya hai, kyun ke risk sentiment ka asar currency flows par hota hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan ke Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke halia bayan ne, jisme unhone kaha ke Japan filhal rate hikes ke liye mozoon environment mein nahi hai, Bank of Japan ki policy tighten karne ki salahiyat par sawalat utha diye hain.Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar price 152.00 ke mark se neeche girti hai, toh 152.50 region mein buying interest trigger ho sakta hai, jo downside risks ko 150.60 ke round figure ke kareeb limit karega. Agar ye level break ho gaya, toh agla support zone 149.35 par hoga, aur secondary support levels 149.00 aur 148.50 ho sakte hain. Traders ko in levels par focus karna chahiye, kyun ke ye short-term direction ke liye critical indicators de sakte hain.Sellers ke liye zaroori hai ke wo price ko recent cycle low 151.35 se neeche le kar jayein, jo four-hour chart ke mutabiq ek ahem level hai. Agar ye level toot gaya, toh agla notable support Ichimoku cloud ke neeche 151.00 par hoga us ke baad Tenkan Sen 150.50 par ye technical indicators yeh faisla karne mein madadgar honge ke pair apni upward momentum barqaraar rakh sakta hai ya reversal ka imkan hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis - 28 November 2024
USD/JPY ka 4-hour chart downward trend ko reflect kar raha hai, lekin ab price recovery ki taraf badh rahi hai. Price ne 150.80 ke aaspaas support liya aur wahan se bullish candles dikhai de rahi hain. Is waqt price 151.90 ke aaspaas trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahm zone hai. Parabolic SAR ke green dots bullish momentum ka signal de rahe hain, aur agar yeh momentum barqaraar rehta hai, toh agla resistance level 152.50 par nazar aa raha hai. Is level ke upar ka resistance 153.48 aur 154.06 ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar price neeche girti hai, toh 150.80 ka support dobara test ho sakta hai, jo filhal ek mazboot base lag raha hai.
Stochastic Oscillator ki reading ab overbought zone ke qareeb hai, jo batata hai ke price short-term mein sideways ya retracement kar sakti hai. Lekin agar buyers ka pressure strong raha, toh price aglay resistance levels todne ki koshish karegi.
Key Levels:
Support: 150.80
Resistance: 152.50, 153.48, 154.06
Agar price 152.50 ke resistance ko todti hai aur uske upar close karti hai, toh bullish momentum barh sakta hai, aur price aglay levels, 153.48 aur 154.06 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price 152.50 ko tod nahi pati, toh dobara girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Trading ke liye:
152.50 ke breakout par buy ki position open ki ja sakti hai, lekin proper stop-loss lagana zaroori hai. Agar price neeche girti hai aur 151.50 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh short selling ka option consider kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh analysis short-term trading ke liye useful ho sakta hai. Apne risk ko manage karein aur market ki direction ko closely monitor karte rahen. Trading mein patience aur discipline kaafi ahm hain, isliye apne targets aur stop-loss ko hamesha plan karein.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Aisa lagta hai keh bears ne market par dobara control hasil kar liya hai. Asian session ke dauran, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi 150.00 ki nafsiyati taur par aham satah tak gir gayi, jisne 150.40 ki support satah se shuru hui tezi ki islah ko rok diya.
Halankeh, bears fauri taur par 150.00 ke nishan se niche jane me nakam rahe. Yah is bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh yah satah jode ke niche ki taraf jane me ek mazbut rukawat ke taur par kar karti hai aur jodi ko dobara izafa shuru karne me madad karte hue mazbut support ke taur par kam kar sakti hai.
Mujhe yaqin hai keh tezi ka zigzag nisbatan chota hoga. Dollar/yen ki jodi ke 151.00 ki satah tak badhne ki tawaqqo hai, lekin yah shayad hi is nishan se ooper mazbut ho sakega. Jodi ke nuqsanat ko dobara shuru karne aur 150.00 ki satah se niche tootne ka imkan hai. Yah qalil muddati downtrend se darmiyani muddat ke downtrend me tabdili ki nishandahi karega, jis me qimat kam az kam 145.00 ke nishan ko nishanah banayegi.
Jahan tak qalil muddati hadaf ka talluq hai, ham unhen sirf tab hi muqarrar karenge jab bears ooper ki satah ko paar kar jayengi. Haqiqat me, dollar/yen ki jodi filhal mere tamam takniki isharoe se niche hai aur active farokht ke ilaqe me aage badh rahi hai, jo pahle se hi tawil muddati kami ke liye mansubah bandi karne ke liye kafi hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis
H4 timeframe chart ka analysis ye batata hai ke USD/JPY price is waqt girawat ka samna kar raha hai. Chart par Parabolic SAR dots price ke upar hain, jo downward trend ka indication dete hain. Moving averages (yellow lines) bhi neeche ki taraf jhuk rahi hain, jo girawat ke trend ko confirm karti hain. Yeh ek strong bearish momentum ka signal hai. Lekin, stochastic oscillator ne oversold zone (20 ke neeche) mein entry ki hai. Yeh zone aksar is baat ki nishani hota hai ke price ab bottom ke qareeb hai aur ek chhoti recovery ya reversal ka chance ho sakta hai. Is waqt price 150 ke aaspaas stable lag raha hai, jo ek important psychological support level bhi hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh ek temporary bounce ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.
Key Levels aur Signals:
Support Level: 150 ka level filhal ek strong support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 148-149 ke aaspaas ho sakta hai.
Resistance Level: Agar price recover karna shuru kare, toh pehla resistance 151.50 ke aaspaas hoga, jo previous structure aur moving averages ke qareeb hai.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold zone mein hai, lekin confirmation ke liye humein stochastic ka upward crossover ya price ka reversal candle ka intezaar karna chahiye.
Trading Suggestions:
Buyers ke liye: Agar price 150 ke level ko hold kare aur bullish signal mile, toh chhoti upward trade ka option socha ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh high-risk trade hoga, toh tight stop loss lagana zaruri hai.
Sellers ke liye: Agar price support todta hai, toh bearish momentum ke sath sell karna behtareen ho sakta hai. Pehle target ke liye 148-149 ka level dekhna chahiye.
Important Note:
Trend filhal downward hai, is liye zyada aggressive buying avoid karein. Risk management aur patience ko apni strategy ka hissa banayein.

USD/JPY ka H4 timeframe dekhne se maloom hota hai ke pair abhi bhi downtrend mein hai aur Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish impulse ko confirm karta hai. Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price kuch waqt ke liye consolidate kar sakta hai ya thoda retrace kar sakta hai. RSI bhi oversold territory mein hai lekin yeh filhal momentum ki mazid girawat ko roknay ka koi solid signal nahi de raha.Pair abhi 149.66 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo lower band ke bilkul kareeb hai. Agar price 148.94 ke strong support level ke neeche girta hai, to yeh sellers ke liye ek significant opportunity hogi jo price ko 143.06 tak le jaa sakti hai.Is dauran agar price lower band ke neeche consolidate karta hai, to downward momentum mazid barh sakta hai.Dusri taraf, agar price recovery karta hai aur 152.55 ke overnight swing high ke resistance ko todta hai, to yeh bullish traders ke liye ek achi opportunity ho sakti hai jo price ko pehle 153.00 aur phir 153.85 ke resistance zones tak le jaa sakta hai. Agar yeh levels tod diye jate hain to psychological resistance level 155.00 tak ka safar mumkin hai. Indicators jaise RSI aur oscillators, abhi mixed signals de rahe hain, lekin agar price 153.85 ke upar stable hota hai, to bullish momentum mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.Fundamentally, Japanese Yen ko BoJ ke hawkish meeting minutes se kuch support mila hai, jisme monetary policy tighten karne aur interest rates barhane ki baat hui hai magar markets abhi bhi Japan ke policy stance mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ya government intervention ke liye cautious hain.Yeh factors USD/JPY ki direction mein bara asar dal sakte hain. Traders ko chahiye ke wo macroeconomic data aur political developments ko closely monitor karein, kyunke yeh market mein short term volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakte hain. Current scenario mein dono taraf ka potential hai, aur technical aur fundamental dono signals par bharosa karna zaroori hai.

Katsunobu Kato ki taraf se di gayi halia remarks Japanese government ki yen ki value mein tez aur achanak tabadlon par barti hui fikr ko highlight karti hain. Kato ne wazeh kiya ke hukumat currency movements ko qareebi taur par monitor kar rahi hai aur agar zarurat hui, to excessive volatility ko roknay ke liye action lene se nahi hichkichaegi, jo Japan ki economy ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Yeh Japan ke foreign exchange market ke rawaiye mein aik naya mod hai, kyunke pehlay mulk direct intervention se gurez karta tha. Halia bayanaat is baat ki taraf ishaara karte hain ke yen ki weakness ko le kar hukumat zyada sensitive ho gayi hai aur agar yen bohat jaldi girta hai to intervention mumkin hai. Yeh stance investor sentiment aur market dynamics ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai, kyunke traders apni positions government intervention ke potential ko dekh kar adjust kar sakte hain. Currency stability par barhta focus Japan ki economic pressures ke dour mein aur bhi ahm ho jata hai kyunke yen mein koi bhi tez harakat policymakers ke liye muskilat barha sakti hai.USD/JPY ka spot price barhti hui trajectory par hai, aur ab yeh key resistance levels par test ki tayyari kar raha hai. Filhal, 149.90 ke qareeb trade karte huye, yeh 151.00 ke aham resistance level ka samna kar raha hai. Agar yeh level tod diya jata hai, to currency pair 151.50 ke aglay major resistance point ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin, pair ki direction ka daromadar dono mulkon ki economic conditions par hai. Agar U.S. ka economic data expectations se acha perform karta hai ya Japan ki economic outlook mazid kamzor hoti hai, to USD mazboot ho sakta hai, jo pair ko aur upar le jayega.Wazahat karte huye, agar Bank of Japan yen ki weakness ko roknay ke liye koi policy change ya intervention karta hai, to yeh USD/JPY rally ki momentum ko kamzor kar sakta hai.Filhal USD/JPY ka price 150.38 ke qareeb hai, lekin daily momentum ambiguous lag raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) flat hai. Aik "death cross" pattern ka formation jahan 50-day moving average (MA) ne 200-day MA ko neeche cross kiya, selling bias ki nishani hai. Resistance zones 151.70, 153.00, aur 156.40 par hain jo 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ko reflect karte hain, jabke support levels 151.50 aur 150.70 par hain. H4 timeframe par buyers ne down channel ya bullish flag ka breakout kar liya hai, jo magenta lines ke zariye dikh raha hai. EMA 50 H4 (Blue) Lower BB ko cross kar gaya hai, jo buyers ki climax purchase ka izhar karta hai. Is analysis ke mutabiq buy option valid hai, lekin sideways movement ka bhi khatra hai kyunke Thursday aur Friday ko USD/JPY ke liye bara economic data release hone wala hai. Data ke iss temporary void ki wajah se market kuch waqt ke liye direction lose kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis (H4 Timeframe)
USD/JPY ka H4 chart downward trend ko show kar raha hai, jahan price resistance level 152.595 se reject hone ke baad support zone ke qareeb 149.660 pe trade kar raha hai. Yeh level filhal short-term stability ke liye important hai, lekin agar yeh break hota hai, toh agla support level 148.991 pe test ho sakta hai. Overall, market bearish momentum mein hai, lekin indicators ke analysis ke mutabiq short-term bullish correction ka imkaan hai.
Indicators ka Analysis:

1. Bollinger Bands: Price lower band ke qareeb hai, jo bearish pressure ka izhar karta hai. Lekin is position pe price kisi bullish rebound ki taraf ja sakti hai.
2. RSI (14): Abhi oversold zone mein hai, aur iska current value 26.14 hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price recovery ho sakti hai.
3. Stochastic Oscillator: Yeh indicator bhi oversold zone mein hai aur double bottom pattern dikhata hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke short-term bullish reversal ka chance hai.

Key Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: 151.160 aur 152.595.
• Support: 149.660 aur 148.991.

Agar price 149.660 ke upar stable hoti hai, toh bullish momentum develop ho sakta hai jo price ko wapas resistance level 151.160 tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 149.660 ke niche close karti hai, toh market 148.991 ke support level tak gir sakti hai.
Trading Strategy:

1. Buying Opportunity: Agar price 149.660 ke aas-paas stable rehti hai aur bullish signals milte hain, toh buy karna safe ho sakta hai, target 151.160 aur stop loss 149.300 pe rakhein.
2. Selling Opportunity: Agar price 149.660 ke niche girti hai aur bearish pressure barh jata hai, toh sell karna better hoga, target 148.991 aur stop loss 150.000 ke kareeb ho.

Indicators ke mutabiq short-term bullish recovery ka chance hai, magar major trend abhi bearish hai. Is liye trading mein risk management ka khayal rakhein aur clear signals ka intezar karein.

Yeh chart USD/JPY ka daily timeframe dikhata hai, jahan price abhi bearish pressure mein hai. Humein indicators ke through kaafi important insights milti hain.
Analysis:
Chart par Moving Averages (MA) ka istemal ho raha hai, jo long-term aur medium-term trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 200-period Moving Average ke neeche price ka girna ek strong bearish signal hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi market mein dominant hain. Price ne Moving Average ka retest kiya, lekin wahan se bounce downward hua, jo is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke resistance mazboot hai.
Chart par Parabolic SAR dots dikh rahe hain, jo trend direction aur reversal points ke liye useful hain. Dots abhi price ke upar hain, jo confirm karte hain ke trend downward hai. Jab tak yeh dots price ke neeche na aayein, bearish trend continue karne ke chances zyada hain. Neeche Stochastic Oscillator oversold zone mein hai (12.93), jo yeh signal de raha hai ke price ab demand zone mein aa sakta hai. Lekin oversold hona yeh zaroori nahi ke turant reversal hoga; humein confirmation candle ka wait karna chahiye. Agar bullish divergence develop hoti hai, to upward correction ke chances barh sakte hain.

Key Levels:
Support:
Price 149.65 ke aas-paas hai, jo ek significant support level lag raha hai. Agar yeh toot jaye, to agla target 147.50 ho sakta hai.
Resistance: 151.20 ka level important resistance zone hai. Agar price iske upar close kare, to bullish recovery ki umeed ho sakti hai.
Recommendation:
Selling Opportunities:
Agar price 149.65 ke neeche break kare aur confirmation mile, to short sell ki positions mazboot hain.
Buying Opportunities:
Sirf tab consider karein jab stochastic oversold zone se bounce kare aur Parabolic SAR dots price ke neeche shift ho jayein. Yeh chart clear kar raha hai ke abhi sellers ka control hai, lekin oversold zone par monitoring zaroori hai, kyun ke wahan se short-term bullish correction ka signal mil sakta hai. Risk management ka khayal rakhein!