usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

**USD/JPY Key Trend Insights**

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ka ongoing price assessment study kar rahay hain. Pichlay haftay ke dauran hourly chart par overall upward trend dekhnay ko mila. Monday ko growth nazar aayi, lekin Tuesday ko price support level 148.637 tak dip hui. Wednesday ko pair ne range-bound trading ki, aur phir apna ascent wapas shuru kar diya towards resistance. Thursday ko resistance hit kar ke price 151.739 par pohanch gayi, lekin yeh signal false sabit hua. Friday ko price is mark se neechay gir gayi aur consolidate karti hui neeche level pe ruk gayi. Yeh movement ek sell signal bana raha hai jiska target support level 148.637 hai, aur yeh abhi tak valid hai. Agar price iss support ko breach kar k neechay hold kar leti hai, toh agla sales target 147.103 hoga. Overall, USD/JPY ka outlook bullish hai, aur current market conditions ke mutabiq upward momentum jaari rehne ke chances hain.

Price ne 160.20 se kaafi neeche drop kiya hai, lekin abhi bhi 152.00 ka strong monthly support isay hold kar raha hai. Yeh support pehlay bhi price ko upward movement se rokta raha hai. Ab weekly chart par ek **inside bar pattern** form ho raha hai jo 151.85 se 160.20 ke range mein hai. Agla major move yeh determine karega ke price is inside bar ke upper ya lower limit ko todta hai ya nahi. Agar upper limit breach hoti hai, toh USD/JPY aur zyada strengthen kar sakti hai aur 165.00 se 170.00 ke resistance range tak pohanch sakti hai. Warna, yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke bullish trend apne end par ho.



Monthly aur weekly time frame ke price structure ko dekhte huay, ek aur wave upwards banne ka imkaan hai, jo ek nayi **higher high** bana sakti hai. Lekin daily chart par, 28 December 2023 ya 13 January 2023 se yeh lagta hai ke USD/JPY ka bullish trend khatam honay laga hai. Daily time frame par bhi ek inside bar pattern form hua tha jo neeche break kar chuka hai. Abhi current price ke upar ek fresh order block zone majood hai, jo weekly inside bar pattern ke top mein, 158.20 se 160.20 ke range tak hai.

USD/JPY pair, jo abhi 150.952 ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai, recent trading sessions mein bearish trend show kar rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke U.S. dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein thodi kamzori dikhayi hai, halan ke market ka movement abhi dheema hai. Magar kuch factors hain jo is baat ki nishani dete hain ke ane wale dino mein ek significant shift ho sakta hai.

Ek important wajah jo USD/JPY mein major move anticipate karne ka base hai wo macroeconomic landscape hai. U.S. dollar pe pressure barh raha hai, khas tor pe Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se. Fed ne inflation control karne ke liye interest rates mein aggressively hikes kiye, lekin ab wo zyada ehtiyaat se aage barhne ka signal de raha hai, jo dollar ki bullish momentum ko thanda kar raha hai. Agar Fed ye hint deta hai ke rates ab stable rahenge ya shayad future mein cut ho sakta hai, toh dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqable mein.



Dusri taraf, Japanese yen pe bhi pressure hai Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ki wajah se. Bank of Japan (BOJ) negative interest rates aur yield curve control measures maintain kar raha hai taake economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Lekin hal hi mein kuch speculation hui hai ke BOJ apni policy stance shift karne ka soch raha hai. Agar BOJ policy normalize karta hai, toh yen achanak mazboot ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche dhakel dega.

Geopolitical factors aur global risk sentiment bhi important role play karte hain. Yen ko traditionally ek safe-haven currency samjha jata hai, jo mushkil halat mein appreciate karti hai. Agar geopolitical tensions barhti hain ya stock market mein correction aata hai, toh traders yen ki taraf move karenge, jo USD/JPY ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

In conclusion, jabke USD/JPY abhi bearish lag rahi hai aur market dheere chal rahi hai, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek bara move expected hai. Agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan apni monetary policies shift karte hain, toh currency pair ki direction dramatically change ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, agar global risk barhta hai, toh yen mein bhi rally ho sakti hai. Traders ko central bank announcements, economic data, aur global events pe nazar rakhni chahiye kyunke ye factors agle kuch dinon mein bohat ahmiyat rakhenge.

bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke


hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye j

experience kar raha hai, steady move kar raha hai magar kisi significant volatility ke baghair. Yeh gradual movement aksar is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke market ek "wait-and-see" mode mein hai, jahan dono investors aur traders aane wale economic aur geopolitical factors ka intezar kar rahe hain. Mojooda cautious sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke setup mein kuch fundamental aur technical factors ke wajah se aane wale dinon mein ek bara move hone ka andaza hai jo ke U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ko influence kar rahe hain. Ek primary factor jo USD/JPY ko impact kar raha hai woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stances. Fed ka stance tightening ki taraf raha hai, aur woh steady rate hikes ke zariye inflation ko control karna chahta hai. High-interest rates aam tor par dollar ki strength ko mazid barhate hain, kyun ke higher returns foreign investments ko attract karte hain. Lekin, hal hi mein kuch discussions hui hain ke agar U.S. economy mein significant slowdown ke asar nazar aaye toh Fed rate hikes ko rokne ya dheema karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh dollar ki relative appeal kam ho sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakti hai. Iske baraks, Bank of Japan ne kayi salon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, jo yen par low yields ka sabab ban rahi hai. Hal hi ki kuch spekulasiye is taraf ishaara kar rahi hain ke agar inflation ka pressure barhta hai ya yen ki bohot zyada depreciation hoti hai, toh BOJ apni policy ko adjust karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar BOJ ek kam dovish stance ki taraf shift karta hai toh ye yen ki significant strengthening ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish movement ko mazid influence kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY global risk sentiment ke liye bhi sensitive hai. Jab bhi heightened uncertainty hoti hai, yen aksar safe-haven currency ke tor par act karta hai, jo ke stability ki talash mein investors ko attract karta hai. Yeh USD/JPY par ek bara downward pressure dalne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, khaaskar agar geopolitical tensions ya global economic concerns barhte hain. Misal ke tor par, trade tensions, energy price fluctuations, ya China jese bade economies mein economic uncertainty, yen ki demand ko mazid barha sakti hai.

Technical indicators bhi ek potential shift ka ishara de rahe hain. 152.30 resistance level ke paas ek prolonged period mein rehna aur decreasing momentum ka hona aksar ek breakout ya breakdown se pehle hota hai. Agar USD/JPY ne recent support levels ke neeche bre

JPY ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ne hal hi mein multi-year trendline ko cross kiya hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke long-term uptrend ab kamzor ho sakta hai. Yeh trendline jo kuch mahino se upar ke momentum ko support kar rahi thi, is climb mein bohot important thi. Pair ne 153.22 mark ko briefly touch kiya aur phir achanak 14-mahine ke low 140.56 pe aa gaya, jo kay kai traders ke liye unexpected tha aur is baat ko sawal uthata hai ke kya USD ki rally JPY ke muqable mein sustainable hai ya nahi. Magar iske bawajood, USD/JPY ne rebound kiya aur qareeb 151.20 ke aas paas close hua, jo ke stabilize hone aur range-bound trading ki shara karta hai, bajaye ke yeh downward jaye. RSI aur doosre momentum indicators divergence dikhate hain, jo consolidation phase ke liye ek achi support hai. Ek wider view mein, channel ya downtrend bilkul wazeh hai. Agar 151 ka level downward break nahi karta toh humein dobara 151.45 ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke kal ke narrow gap ke bawajood breach nahi hui. Ahem baat yeh hai ke pair ne pichle low ko break nahi kiya, balkay uptrend continue raha. Agar yeh recent low (151.45) ko cross kar jata hai toh decline ka potential hai, lekin downside break ke baghair pair uptrend line ke upar hai. 152.39 kuch resistance hai lekin yeh ek bara level nahi hai, isliye focus abhi 151.45 mark par hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka action na lena kuch logon ke liye samajh se bahar hai, kyunke yen ne achanak bohot ziada (qareeban 1,400 points, ya 10%) girawat dekhi hai. Halanki BoJ pehle yen ko mazid strong karna chahta tha, ab wo iski further depreciation allow karte nazar aa rahe hain, shayad zyda behtar arbitrage trade ke liye. Yen ke weak hone ki wajah se, traders ne isko leverage karke higher-yield currencies mein invest kiya. Ab jab Japan ki economy grow ho rahi hai, yeh BoJ ke liye ek acha waqt ho sakta hai ke wo apna stance dobara se adjust kare. Kuch log samajhte hain ke BoJ strategic tor par bara players ko waqt de raha hai ke wo adjust ho saken.

USD/JPY ka yeh chart hamen batata hai ke filhal price 153.22 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai aur market mein sideways ya range-bound movement nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh movement tab hoti hai jab buyers aur sellers mein koi bhi group zyada dominate nahi kar raha hota, aur price aik restricted range mein reh rahi hoti hai. Iss chart mein 153.33 ka level ek important resistance ke taur par samne aata hai, jo ke upper boundary ya price ki had hai. Agar price is level ko breach ya cross karti hai, to hamen bullish trend ka signal mil sakta hai, jo ke yeh suggest karega ke buyers ka control market mein barh raha hai aur price upar ki taraf ja sakti hai.
Dusri taraf, neeche ki boundary 153.00 par hai, jo ek significant support level hai. Yeh support level price ko neeche girne se temporarily roke sakta hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to hamen market mein ek bearish trend ka signal mil sakta hai, jo ke yeh suggest karega ke sellers ka control zyada hai aur price neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi chart par mojood hai jo thoda bearish momentum show kar raha hai. Yeh indicator price ke trend aur momentum ke baray mein hamen signal deta hai. Filhal, MACD ka signal line ke neeche move kar raha hai jo ke bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Lekin yeh abhi clear downtrend ka signal nahi de raha, kyunke ab tak koi major support ya resistance level breach nahi hua. Is waqt market mein koi clear direction nahi hai, aur hamen breakout ka intezar hai – ya to 153.33 ke upar ya 153.00 ke neeche. Is liye, agar price 153.33 ka resistance level break karti hai to buy position lena beneficial ho sakta hai kyunke yeh indicate karega ke buyers ka pressure zyada hai. Aur agar price 153.00 ka support level todti hai to sell position pe focus karna samajhdari hogi kyunke yeh bearish trend ka signal dega.
Nateeja ye hai ke filhal USD/JPY sideways movement mein hai aur investors ko support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jisse woh aane wale trend ko behtar samajh sakein aur apne trades ko accordingly plan kar sakein.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka analysis karenge aur apne findings discuss karenge. USD/JPY ke upper levels kam appealing lag rahe hain, khaaskar jabke umeed hai ke Bank of Japan rate hike karega. Ek kamzor yen Japanese economy ko nuksan pohuncha sakta hai aur inflation ko bhi push kar sakta hai, jo ke abhi long positions hold karna ziyada risky bana deta hai. Tawajjo neeche ke levels par hai, khaaskar 151.44 par, jahan se breakdown hoke pair ko 151 tak push kar sakta hai. Ek dip ke chances hain, jabke 152.39 level transition ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se neeche break kar jaaye toh ye sell signal ban sakta hai, jo ke decline ko trigger karega. Lekin Bank of Japan ke rate hike delay hone ke speculation, jo elections ki wajah se ho sakta hai, ne situation ko complicated bana diya hai; rates 155 ya hatta ke 157.14 tak pohunche sakte hain kisi decisive intervention se pehle. Yen ka upward trend 152.39 mark par break hona zaroori hai.

Filhal, USD/JPY par strong resistance 153.81 par hai aur buyers hesitate kar rahe hain ke is level ke upar price push kiya jaye. Iska matlab ye ho sakta hai ke significant liquidity neeche positioned hai, upar nahi. Agar ye baat sahi hai toh ek downward trend unfold ho sakta hai, aur shayad bearish move yahin se start ho. Downward scenario activate hoga agar pair 153.81 ke upar foothold secure nahi kar saka. Is case mein, USD/JPY chart mein ek descent ki umeed hai towards support area jahan significant trading volume 150.78 ke aas paas hai. Ye analysis resistance aur support points ko highlight karta hai aur election aur yen stability se judi speculative movements jaise market factors ke madde nazar ek cautious approach ko darshaata hai kyunki aise events Forex market ke moves ko impact kar sakte hain.Mera plan hai ke main USD/JPY ko aaj tabhi sell karoon ga jab yeh 153.10 level (chart par red line) se neeche break karega, jo ke swift decline lead karega. Key target sellers ke liye 152.46 hoga, jahan main sell positions exit karoon ga aur foran opposite direction mein buy karoon ga (20-25 pip move ki umeed). Agar daily high ke kareeb weak activity hoti hai toh selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai. Important! Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero se neeche ho aur decline shuru ho raha ho. Mera plan hai ke main USD/JPY ko aaj sell karoon ga agar 153.47 level ke do consecutive tests hon jab MACD overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur downward reversal lead kar sakta hai. Ek decline 153.10 aur 152.46 levels tak expected hai.

, aur wedge pattern bhi dekha gaya. September ke aakhri dino mein jo downward rollback hua, usay hum doosri wave samajh sakte hain. Agar hum pehli wave par Fibonacci grid lagayein, toh hum dekhte hain ke ek potential growth target hai 161.8 ka level, jise hum ne achieve kar liya. CCI indicator ab bearish divergence ko show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke ab ek corrective decline hone ke imkaanat bohot zyada hain kyun ke growth target already determine ho chuka hai. Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq target ko achieve karne ke ilawa, humne pehle ki waves ke tops ko bhi update kiya. Yeh ek potential sales zone hai. Digar major pairs ke market mein bhi correction shuru ho rahi hai jab ke US dollar ka kaafi arsay tak strength dekhne ko mila. Chhoti time frame, yani H4 period mein, MACD indicator ne bearish divergence ko highlight kiya hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. Pooray analysis ko dekhte hue, sirf sell formations intraday trading ke liye consider ki ja rahi hain. Jo kuch upar ki taraf hai, usay nazarandaz karna chahiye kyun ke growth potential ab pehle jaisa nahi raha. Ab zyadah tar chance sellers ke haq mein ja rahe hain. H4 pe sirf ek confirmation chahiye, jo ke consolidation ascending support line ke neeche ho jahan abhi price khadi hai. Yeh line bhi detail mein dekhne ko milti hai. Reduction ke targets 147.03 aur 145.00 hain. Prices abhi weekly highs ke paas thodi upar chal rahi hain. Central support area test ho chuka hai aur abhi tak quotes ko hold kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke abhi tak current upside vector valid hai. 147.45 ke upar ek consolidation chahiye jo ek key support area ke qareeb hai, taake ek sustainable upside barqarar rahe. Is level ka retest aur uske baad ek upward bounce ek nai wave ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo 151.80 aur 153.35 ke areas ko target

USD/JPY ka currency pair, jo ke is waqt 146.73 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, abhi kuch dinon se bearish trend mein hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke Japanese yen kuch taqat hasil kar raha hai U.S. dollar ke muqable mein. Yeh gradual downtrend aam tor par economic data, central bank policies, aur market sentiment ka natiija hota hai, jab traders dono (U.S. aur Japan) economies mein tabdilon ka intezar karte hain. Market dheerey dheerey chal rahi hai, lekin kai log samajhte hain ke USD/JPY agle kuch dinon mein bara movement dikhayega, kyun ke kuch aise catalysts hain jo dono economies par asar daal sakte hain.
USD/JPY pair par sab se bara asar monetary policy divergence ka hota hai jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan hai. Hal hi mein, Fed ne ye hint diya hai ke wo interest rates ko "higher for longer" rakhne ka plan kar rahe hain, jo aam tor par U.S. dollar ko support karta hai. Lekin markets yeh bhi speculate kar rahi hain ke kab Fed apna rukh badal sakta hai, jo ke dollar ki taqat ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, BoJ ne ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha hai negative interest rates ke sath, lekin BoJ par yeh pressure barhta ja raha hai ke wo apni policy ko tight karay. Agar BoJ choti si bhi adjustment karay, jaise bond-buying kam karna ya rate hikes ka ishara dena, to yen kaafi taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

Japan ki inflation outlook bhi ek aur ahm factor hai. Japan mein aam tor par inflation kam hota hai, lekin ab recent data dikhata hai ke inflation dheere dheere barh raha hai, jis se BoJ ke policy shifts ke hawale se charchay ho rahe hain. Agar BoJ apni negative rate policy khatam karne ka ishara dey ya inflation ko control karne ke liye koi qadam uthaye, to USD/JPY mein bara movement aa sakta hai, kyun ke traders apni positions ko naye dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain.

U.S. ki taraf se, economic data jese job growth, consumer spending, aur inflation reports bhi USD/JPY pair mein volatility paida kar sakti hain. Agar data ek cooling economy ka ishara dey, to Fed apne rate hikes ke bare mein zyada ehtiyat barat sakta hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, mazboot economic indicators short term mein dollar ki taqat ko support kar sakte hain. Global events aur risk sentiment bhi asar daalte hain; koi bhi geopolitical instability ya trade disruptions ke natije mein sharp shifts aa sakte hain, kyun ke investors safe-haven currencies, jese yen, ki taraf rush karte hain.

Agle kuch dinon mein, traders BoJ aur Fed meetings se kisi bhi signal ka intezar karenge, aur kuch important economic indicators ko bhi closely watch karenge, taake yeh samajh sakein ke kya current bearish trend continue karega ya USD/JPY mein reversal aayega. Technical setup aur fundamental backdrop ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke USD/JPY mein significant volatility ka imkaan hai. Jo log is pair mein positions hold kar rahe hain, wo sharp moves ke liye tayaar rahein jo dono taraf aa sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair par asar dalne wala ek ahem factor Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq hai. Fed ne haal hi mein interest rates ke liye "higher for longer" ka approach apnaya hai, jo aam tor par U.S. dollar ko support karta hai. Lekin, bazaar mein yeh speculation hai ke Fed apni policy kab pivot karega, jo dollar ki taqat ko asar daal sakta hai. Doosri taraf, BoJ ab tak apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hua hai, jisme negative interest rates hain. Lekin, Japan ke central bank par tightening policies ka pressure barh raha hai, aur agar BoJ choti moti tabdeeli kar de, jaise bond-buying kam karna ya rate hikes ka ishaara karna, to yeh yen ko tezi se majboot kar sakta hai, aur USD/JPY ko neeche la sakta hai. Japan ki inflation outlook bhi ek aur aham baat hai. Jab ke Japan mein inflation aam tor par kam raha hai, recent data yeh dikhata hai ke inflation dheere dheere barh raha hai, jo BoJ ke liye potential policy shifts par guftagu ko janam de raha hai. Agar BoJ ka koi ishaara ho ke wo apni negative rate policy khatam kar sakta hai ya inflation se nipatne ke liye measures le sakta hai, to yeh USD/JPY mein bohot bara movement la sakta hai, jab traders apne positions ko in changing dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. U.S. taraf se, economic data jaise job growth, consumer spending, aur inflation reports bhi USD/JPY pair mein volatility create kar sakte hain. Agar data ma'ashiyat ke thande hone ka ishaara kare, to Fed apni rate hikes ke liye zyada ehtiyaat kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, mazboot economic indicators dollar ki taqat ko barhane mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain, kam az kam ek choti muddat ke liye. Is ke ilawa, global events aur risk sentiment bhi is pair par asar daal sakte hain; koi bhi geopolitical instability ya trade disruptions investors ko safe-haven currencies, jaise yen, ki taraf dekhne par majboor kar sakte hain, jo market mein rapid shifts ka sabab bante hain.

**USD-JPY H1 Time Frame**
Aaj subah USD/JPY currency pair mein ek kaafi bara izafa dekha gaya jo ke 153.50 ke price tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa yen ke exchange rate mein kuch kamzori ke sabab tha, jo ke Japanese retail sales ke data ke release hone ke baad dekha gaya, jisme 0.5% ka kami hui thi. Is wajah se USD/JPY ki movement mein izafa dekha gaya aur ye 153.50 tak pohanch gaya. Lekin dopahar mein USD/JPY ne wapas girne ki koshish ki kyunke yen ne dobara mazbooti hasil karni shuru ki, jab BoJ ne apne interest rates pichle mahine ke barabar, yani 0.25%, par rakha aur Japan ki Prelim industrial production bhi 1.4% se barhi, jis se USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ne kafi tez girawat dikhayi aur ye 153.00 ke price tak pohanch gaya. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USD/JPY ki movement par, mein ab bhi ye trend dekhte hue USD/JPY ko SELL karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon aur ise 153.00 tak SELL karne ka mashwara deta hoon.

**Technical Analysis ke Mutabiq:**

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ko dekh kar, mein ab bhi USD/JPY ko 152.78 tak SELL karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon. Is ki wajah ye hai ke H1 time frame par USD/JPY ne ek bearish candle engulfing form kiya hai, jo ke SELL ka bohot strong signal hai aur ye price 152.78 tak ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, meri RSI 14 indicator par ki gayi observation se ye pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY ne 153.52 par enter kiya aur overbought ya overbought declared ho chuka hai. Is wajah se ye umeed hai ke aaj USD/JPY dobara gir kar 152.78 tak aa sakta hai.

SELL USD/JPY ka ye signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support ho raha hai kyunke jab USD/JPY ne 153.40 par enter kiya, to wo SBR area mein tha yani Support Become Resistance, jo ke SELLERS ke liye USD/JPY pair mein aaj ke din enter karne ka strong possibility create karta hai. Technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, mein aaj dopahar USD/JPY ko 152.78 tak SELL karne ka faisla karta hoon.

**Technical Analysis USD/JPY H4 Chart**
Hello everyone, yeh hai USD/JPY currency pair ke H4 chart par technical analysis:

**Current Price aur MA Levels:** USD/JPY abhi 152.95 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh pair dono 50-day (MA50) aur 200-day (MA200) moving averages ke upar trade ho raha hai. Yeh mazboot bullish trend ko dikhata hai aur short aur long term mein pair ke growth par confidence ko confirm karta hai.

**Trend:** Moving averages ke upar move hona yeh dikhata hai ke bulls market par control mein hain. Agar pair aise hi barhta raha, to yeh nayi resistance level tak pohanch sakta hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:** Support level MA50 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar pullback hota hai aur price is level ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Resistance levels ko pehle ke highs par dekha ja sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, yeh 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

**Indicators:** Indicators, jese ke RSI, par tawajju dein. Agar RSI 70 ke upar hai, to yeh overbought conditions ko dikhata hai aur ek pullback ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh 50 ke qareeb ho, to yeh strong bullish trend ka ishara de sakta hai.

**Trading Volume:** Rising price ke sath volume mein izafa bullish move mein confidence ko reinforce karta hai. Volume mein kami trend mein kamzori ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Overall, mojooda conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY kaafi bullish lagta hai. Support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai kyunke yeh pair ke future moves mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain.

Pair ne upper range mein wapas entry ki aur sellers ne volume gain kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair lower range mein move kar sakta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, yeh 151.279 par support hasil karega. Jaise hi growth barhti hai, buyers ka volume bhi barhta ja raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke uptrend mazeed barqarar rahega aur yeh higher targets ko hit karega.

USD/JPY H1 Analysis - November 1, 2024
Aaj hum USD/JPY ka H1 timeframe ka analysis karenge. Yeh chart 28 October se 31 October tak ke price movements ko represent karta hai. Chart mein humein kuch clear trends aur signals dikhayi de rahe hain jo trading ke liye helpful ho sakte hain. Sabse pehle agar hum moving averages dekhen, toh yahan par do important moving averages hain: aik white line aur dusri purple line mein. White line shorter-term trend ko represent karti hai jabke purple line long-term trend hai. Abhi ke liye white moving average ne purple moving average ko neeche ki taraf cross kiya hai, jo aik bearish signal hai. Iska matlab hai ke short-term trend downward hai aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Price ka movement 153.000 ke qareeb strong resistance ka samna kar raha tha aur wahan se price neeche gir gayi. Abhi ke liye, yeh lagta hai ke price 152.000 ke level par stable hone ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin CCI indicator dekhne se lagta hai ke market abhi oversold zone mein hai, jo rebound ke chances badha sakta hai. CCI value -55 par hai, jo ke thodi negative territory mein hai lekin abhi oversold zone (below -100) se upar aa rahi hai. Yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buying interest wapas aa sakta hai agar price support level ko hold karti hai. Is support level par buyers enter kar sakte hain aur price thodi der ke liye upwards move kar sakti hai. Trading ke liye, agar aap short-term trader hain toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke 152.000 ke level ka support break hone par aur bhi bearish move ho sakta hai jo price ko 151.500 ya us se neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price iss support se upar rehti hai aur CCI upward trend dikhata hai, toh yeh small upward correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh analysis short-term ke liye hai aur H1 timeframe par based hai, toh aapko daily ya weekly chart bhi check karna chahiye taake broader trend samajh mein aaye. Is analysis ko trading ke liye istimaal karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhein aur stop-loss zaroor set karein.
Yeh analysis sirf educational purposes ke liye hai aur yeh trading advice nahi hai. Markets volatile hoti hain aur hamesha risk management ko follow karna chahiye.

USD/Jpy Exchange Rate USD/JPY ka currency pair meri trading activities ka markazi nuqta hai, kyonki ismein volatility hoti hai jo intraday trading ke liye mauqe faraham karti hai. Meri strategy Bollinger Bands indicator ke mutabiq price movements ka tajziya karne par mabni hai, jo market conditions ka ek mufassal nuqta nazar pesh karti hai. Filhaal, Bollinger Bands teen ahem levels pesh karti hain: upper band 150.226 par hai, middle band 149.998 par hai, aur lower band 149.771 par hai. USD/JPY abhi 150.083 par trade kar raha hai, jo middle band se thoda upar hai. Ye position kaafi ahem hai, kyunki ye upward momentum ko zahir karti hai.

Jab price middle band se upar hoti hai, to aam tor par bullish sentiment hota hai, jo long positions lene ke liye acha mauqa faraham karta hai. Meri trading strategy ke silsile mein, ye surat-e-haal buy opportunities ke liye darwaza kholti hai. Agar price barhti hui upper band 150.226 tak pohnchti hai, to ye profit-taking ke liye ek target ban sakti hai. Upper band ko aam tor par resistance level samjha jata hai, aur agar price iske qareeb aati hai, to traders aksar profit lene ya selling par ghoor karte hain, kyunki yahaan reversal ya pullback ka imkan hota hai.

Lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyonki market dynamics tez tabdeel hoti hain, aur buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan tanazah price fluctuations ko janam de sakta hai. Agar price middle band 149.998 se neeche girti hai, to ye momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara hoga aur mujhe apni strategy ka dobara jaiza lena hoga. Aise mein, bearish stance ko ikhtiyar karte hue lower band 149.771 ko target kar sakta hoon. Ye tabdeeli trading mein adaptability ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karti hai, kyonki market conditions foran badal sakti hain. Decision-making ko behtar banane ke liye mein vertical volume par bhi gehri nazar rakhta hoon. Volume spikes ka tajziya karna market ki taqat aur traders ke jazbat ke bare mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Agar price ke saath volume mein izafa hota hai, to isse strong buying interest zahir hota hai, jo upward trend ke barqarar rehne ke imkanaat ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Lekin agar price barhti hai magar volume kam rehta hai, to isse buyers ke darmiyan lack of conviction zahir hota hai, jo reversal ka khatra barha deta hai.

In indicators ke ilawa, mein USD/JPY pair par asar daal sakne wale broader market factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy mein tabdeeli currency movements ko mutasir kar sakti hai. In anasir se ba-khabar rehna madadgar hota hai taake zyada samajhdari se trading decisions liye ja sakein. Meri strategy ka aik aur ahem pehlu risk management hai. Mein apni trades ko significant losses se bachane ke liye achi tarah position karta hoon. Stop-loss orders ko critical levels—jaise ke middle band ke neeche—rakhna ek safeguard hai jo mujhe trade se nikalne ka moqa deta hai agar market meri position ke khilaf chali jaye. Ye approac

technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ne hal hi mein multi-year trendline ko cross kiya hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke long-term uptrend ab kamzor ho sakta hai. Yeh trendline jo kuch mahino se upar ke momentum ko support kar rahi thi, is climb mein bohot important thi. Pair ne 153.22 mark ko briefly touch kiya aur phir achanak 14-mahine ke low 140.56 pe aa gaya, jo kay kai traders ke liye unexpected tha aur is baat ko sawal uthata hai ke kya USD ki rally JPY ke muqable mein sustainable hai ya nahi. Magar iske bawajood, USD/JPY ne rebound kiya aur qareeb 151.20 ke aas paas close hua, jo ke stabilize hone aur range-bound trading ki shara karta hai, bajaye ke yeh downward jaye. RSI aur doosre momentum indicators divergence dikhate hain, jo consolidation phase ke liye ek achi support hai. Ek wider view mein, channel ya downtrend bilkul wazeh hai. Agar 151 ka level downward break nahi karta toh humein dobara 151.45 ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke kal ke narrow gap ke bawajood breach nahi hui. Ahem baat yeh hai ke pair ne pichle low ko break nahi kiya, balkay uptrend continue raha. Agar yeh recent low (151.45) ko cross kar jata hai toh decline ka potential hai, lekin downside break ke baghair pair uptrend line ke upar hai. 152.39 kuch resistance hai lekin yeh ek bara level nahi hai, isliye focus abhi 151.45 mark par hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka action na lena kuch logon ke liye samajh se bahar hai, kyunke yen ne achanak bohot ziada (qareeban 1,400 points, ya 10%) girawat dekhi hai. Halanki BoJ pehle yen ko mazid strong karna chahta tha, ab wo iski further depreciation allow karte nazar aa rahe hain, shayad zyda behtar arbitrage trade ke liye. Yen ke weak hone ki wajah se, traders ne isko leverage karke higher-yield currencies mein invest kiya. Ab jab Japan ki economy grow ho rahi hai, yeh BoJ ke liye ek acha waqt ho sakta hai ke wo apna stance dobara se adjust kare. Kuch log samajhte hain ke BoJ strategic tor par bara players ko waqt de raha hai ke wo adjust ho sake