USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY exchange rate abhi 145.730 par hai, aur yeh bearish trend ko reflect kar raha hai. Recent movements thodi slow rahi hain, jo yeh batata hai ke traders mein kuch hesitation ya uncertainty hai. Bohat se factors is behavior ka sabab ban sakte hain, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan ke economic indicators, global financial trends, aur geopolitical developments.

Yeh bearish trend kai wajah se ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. se economic slowdown ya weak data ka koi ishara mil raha ho, toh yeh dollar ki strength ko affect kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy jo ke U.S. Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hai, iska bhi role ho sakta hai. Agar BOJ apni ultra-loose policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh yeh yen ki value ko dollar ke muqablay mein asar kar sakta hai.

Recent slow movements ke bawajood, kuch asbaab hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ke andar agle chand dino mein ek bara shift aa sakta hai. Ek possibility hai key economic data ka release hona, jaise ke U.S. inflation rates, employment figures, ya GDP growth numbers. Agar in reports mein koi surprising results aate hain, toh traders naye information par react karte hue achanak volatility dekha sakte hain. Iske ilawa, agar BOJ yen ko stabilize karne ke liye koi intervention karta hai, toh sharp moves bhi dekhnay ko mil sakte hain.

Geopolitical tensions aur developments, jaise ke trade disputes ya global market sentiment mein shifts, bhi USD/JPY pair ke andar zyada pronounced movements ka sabab ban sakti hain. Agar koi unexpected announcements ya events hoti hain, toh yeh market mein tezi se shift ka katalyst ban sakti hain, jo ke abhi ke sluggish trend ko tod sakti hain.

Overall, halan ke USD/JPY filhal bearish phase se guzar raha hai, market mein koi bara movement hone ke chances hain. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank policy decisions, aur doosri global events par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke market sentiment ko affect kar sakti hain. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, ek sudden momentum change koi herat ki baat nahi hogi, aur yeh trading ke liye significant opportunities provide kar sakta hai.

**USD/JPY Analysis: October Ki Shuruat Aur Market Dynamics**

USD/JPY ne Monday ko chouthi consecutive din upar ki taraf harkat ki, jo ke 0.58% ka faida darust kiya jab October ka aghaz hua. North American session ke doran low liquidity ke bawajood, yeh pair 149.01 ke daily low se upar uth kar 149.86 par trade kar raha tha jab yeh article likha gaya. Yeh musalsal upar ki taraf jaane wali harkat market ke ongoing dynamics ko darust karti hai, jo ke Japanese yen aur US dollar ko asar andaz karne wale domestic aur international economic factors se driven hai.

**USD/JPY Ke Fundamentals:**

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data agle significant move ko drive karne ke liye tayyar hai, jo ke US dollar par asar dalega. Yeh data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy decisions ke hawale se guide karega jo October mein honge. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke September mein policy normalization ki taraf rukh karne ki umeed hai, lekin agle interest rate cuts ke darjae par abhi tak uncertainty hai. 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing tool ka kehna hai ke 50 basis points (bps) rate reduction ka 34.5% imkaan hai, jab ke zyada traders chhote 25 bps cut par daawa kar rahe hain.

Halaanki Fed ki agle meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ki umeed hai, lekin market is reduction ke daira-e-karar par divided hai. Kaafi traders 25 bps cut ki umeed rakhte hain, lekin kuch minority abhi bhi zyada aggressive 50 bps cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Yeh division global economy mein uncertainty ko darust karta hai, jo currency markets par heavy asar dal raha hai, khaaskar USD/JPY ke liye.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Yeh pair apne 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke lagbhag 149.78 par hai. Is ke baad, ek key downtrend line 148.27 ke qareeb hai. Agar pair in levels ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 148.00 ke monthly low tak ja sakta hai, jahan par further support 147.36 par hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye dekhne ke liye bohot ahem hain, kyunki yeh currency pair ke agle directional move ka ishara de sakte hain.

Aam tor par, USD/JPY ki current movements aur upcoming economic data releases market ki overall direction ko tay kareinge. Traders ko chahiye ke yeh critical levels monitor karein, kyunki yeh kisi bhi potential breakout ya breakdown ka pata dene wale hain. Aise waqt par informed trading strategies apna kar hi market ke fluctuations se faida uthaya ja sakta hai.

rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga. Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga. Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.

Faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators .

uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators .

USD/JPY

Humari aaj ki guftagu ka mawzu USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Bawajood is baat ke ke bullish side ki taraf ek constant push hai, main ab bhi USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish outlook rakhta hoon. Jabke upward movement dominant hai aur aaj local highs banne ke imkanaat hain, yeh wazeh nahi ke yeh growth kab ruk sakti hai. Aik taraf yen pressure mein hai, aur doosri taraf dollar mein din bhar izafa hota raha hai. Lekin main in price levels par trades mein hissa lene se gurez kar raha hoon, khaaskar buying ke liye. Main expect karta hoon ke price 150 ke upar ja sakta hai, lekin main ziada tar is waqt sell signals ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Main is possibility ko bhi nahi jhurlata ke pair mein decline ho sakta hai. Ho sakta hai ke price thoda aur upper boundary tak jaaye, jo ke 149.03 level hai. Price inverted triangle ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai, jo ke jaldi reversal ka ishara de raha hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to pair downward move karke triangle ki lower boundary ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke 137.47 ka level ho sakta hai.
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Pichlay hafte, Monday ke din hourly chart ne decline show kiya aur 148.635 support ko break kiya, jisse sell signal trigger hua aur target 147.101 ban gaya. Tuesday ko price ne is support tak pohanch gaya, aur signal likely tha. Halankeh price ne exact support level ko touch nahi kiya, lekin usne distance ka ziada hissa cover kar liya aur phir reverse hua. Wednesday ko resistance 148.635 likely tha, jiske baad consolidation hui is level ke upar, jo ke buy signal ka sabab bani towards resistance 151.737. Thursday ko resistance breakout confirm hua, aur Friday ko bhi range possible thi. Monday tak price barh kar 151.737 tak gayi. Yeh target kal ke liye relevant rehta hai. Agar price 151.737 ko break karti hai, to agla buying target resistance 152.785 hoga. Lekin agar support 148.635 likely hoti hai, to agla selling target 147.101 hoga.

Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders

hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish

JPY pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:

USD/JPY H1 time frame par pair 149.22 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur ek mustaqil bearish trend dikhayi de raha hai. Halanki market mein aakhri chand sessions se slow rujhan dekha gaya hai, lekin bohot se traders aur analysts agle dino mein ziyada volatility ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo significant price movements ko janam de sakti hai. USD/JPY ke liye overall sentiment bearish hi hai, jisme pair apne recent highs se dheere dheere neeche ja raha hai. Is bearish momentum ke peeche chand ahem factors hain. Ek ahem factor US monetary policy ke hawale se paida hone wali uncertainty hai, jahan traders closely Federal Reserve ke interest rates par stance ko monitor kar rahe hain. Agar Fed se dovish signals milte hain, jaise ke rate hikes mein waqfa ya economic slowdown par concern ka izhar, to yeh US dollar ko aur kamzor kar sakte hain, jo USD/JPY par mazeed pressure daal sakte hain. Iske ilawa, Japanese yen ko global market uncertainty ke douran safe-haven ka faida mil raha hai. Jab kabhi risk sentiment kharab hota hai, yen mazid taqatwar hota hai kyunke investors safety talash karte hain. Geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, aur global economic growth par pareshani ke saath, yen ko mazeed demand milne ka imkaan hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche dhakel sakta hai.

Technical taur par, H1 time frame par pair lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern bana raha hai, jo textbook downtrend ka aik asool hai. 149.22 ka level filhal pair ki movement ka ahem nuqtah hai, jahan sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke price ko mazid neeche dhakelain. Agar bears is level ke neeche break karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to hum bearish trend mein ek taizi dekh sakte hain. Traders ab key support levels par nazar rakhe hue hain, jaise ke 148.80 ka area, jo agla bara target ho sakta hai bears ke liye. Agar yeh level toot gaya, to agla support zone lagbhag 148.50 par ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is waqt ke levels se bounce karti hai, to hum ek short-term retracement ya consolidation dekh sakte hain pehle ke bearish trend ke dobaara shuru hone se pehle. USD/JPY H1 time frame par filhal bearish trend mein hai, jisme mazid downside movement ka imkaan hai. Halanki market filhal khaamosh hai, lekin aanewale events aur data releases zyada volatility ko trigger kar sakte hain. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par close nazar rakhni chahiye taake potential price action se faida utha sakein, aur market sentiment ke evolve hone ke sath sharp movements ke liye tayar rahna chahiye.

USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ke zyada barqarar rehne ke imkaanat kaafi mazboot lag rahe hain. Mere H4 timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, ek detailed tasveer saamne aayi hai jo clear bullish trend pattern ko zahir karti hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows ke saath bana hai. Yeh setup ek aur mazid strong bullish movement ka ishara de raha hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar chuka hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh is haftay MA 200 ko bhi tod dega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh baat tasleem karli jayegi ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho chuka hai.
Yeh waqt hai buy options par tawajjo dene ka, kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo ke trend reversal ka confirmation hoga. H4 timeframe par bullish movements ki dominance ne ek solid bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jo ke upward continuation ka imkaan de rahi hai. In conditions ko dekhte hue, ek strong directional signal mil raha hai. Buland bullish trend ki formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke baad, is waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ka trigger hone ka imkaan hai.

Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka bullish trend is haftay barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar yeh trend chalta raha, toh hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo ke is dauran samnay aayengi. Humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi aane wali price fluctuations ka intezaar karna chahiye. Apne decisions ko doosre indicators aur key levels ke saath verify karna bhi zaroori hai taake accuracy ko badhaya ja sake aur kamiyabi ke chances mein izafa ho.

Is liye, USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhna zaroori hai aur jab mauqa mile toh action lene ke liye tayar rehna hoga. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 ke resistance area tak push karne ki koshish ki. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunke movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai.

Mere agle trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 area ke aas paas buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns ko analyze karte hue, khaaskar jo upward movement pichlay chand ghanton mein dekhne ko mili hai, yeh batati hai ke pair gains karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada bara nahi hai, magar yeh dikha raha hai ke market upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish mein hai.

Aakhir mein, key resistance levels par close watch rakhna aur multiple indicators ko combine karna humein market ke agle move ka behtareen understanding dega.

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein

**USD/JPY Key Price Levels**

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior aur analysis par baat karte hain. Yeh pair ab phir se apne upar ki taraf ke trend ko jari rakha hai. Halankeh Japan mein kuch halat aise hain jo iski growth ko kuch rukawat de sakti hain, lekin chart ke data ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 149.77 par trade kar raha hai. Aaj shaam ko ismein thodi correction aayi thi, jo ke kafi samajh aati hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair kal se apni growth ko dubara shuru karega. Agla target 150.79 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke kam se kam hai.

MACD indicator sirf ek increase nahi dikhata balki iski growth ko bhi darshata hai. Yeh pair ab Bollinger Band ke upper boundary ke nazdeek hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke yeh ya to sharply rise kar sakta hai ya phir tezi se gir sakta hai. H4 chart par bearish sell level 147.999 ke breakdown ki zarurat hai taake potential decline ko dekh sakein. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to support levels ki taraf jaane ka raasta khulta hai, jahan targets 146.215, 145.369, aur 144.999 hain. Agar bullish trend line breach hoti hai, to 142.396 ke support level tak girne ka bhi imkaan hai.

Aaj ke din, yeh pair kuch upar ki taraf progress kiya aur ek key target tak pohanch gaya. Chart dikhata hai ke yeh pair resistance level 150.01 ko test kiya aur ab 149.74 par trade kar raha hai. RSI middle range mein hai aur downward trend kar raha hai. Yeh signals suggest karte hain ke shayad ek minor pullback ho, aur price support level 148.99 ko test karega.

Pichle hafte H4 chart par meri bullish buy level 145.369 par thi, aur breakout ke baad bulls ne control sambhala, jisne price ko 149.899 ki resistance ki taraf push kiya. Yeh zaroori hai ke yeh samjha jaye ke 149.899 level ek strong resistance hai jo bulls ko challenge kar sakti hai, lekin filhal buyers ka jo priority hai uske chalte, continued growth ka risk abhi bhi bana hua hai. Bull abhi bhi price ko 150.900 resistance tak aur aage 154.899 tak push kar sakta hai.

Yeh sab kuch dekhte hue, humein yeh samajhna hoga ke market ke behavior par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab price levels ke aas-paas trading kar rahe hain. Is waqt price action aur indicators ko dhyan se dekhna hoga taake kisi bhi trend reversal ya continuation ka sahi andaza lagaya ja sake.

Traders ko chahiye ke wo important key levels par nazar rakhein, jaise ke resistance aur support points, kyunki yeh entry aur exit points ki pehchan karne mein madadgar hote hain. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market ka environment kafi volatile hai aur har waqt fundamentals bhi trading decisions par asar dalte hain.

Yeh sab kuch trade karte waqt aapki soch ko behtar bana sakta hai. Umeed hai aap sab trading mein successful rahenge.

Yen (JPY) ne naye haftay ke aghaz mein dollar (USD) ke muqable mein defensive rukh ikhtiyar kiya, aur yeh August ke aghaz ke baad apne sab se neeche level par aa gaya hai, European session ke pehle hisse mein. Is ke bawajood ke follow-through buying ka koi izafa nahi hua, yen ab bhi koi aham faida karne mein mushkil ka shikar hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke mansube par gawahiyon ki kami hai. Is ke ilawa, ek aam tor par positive risk-on tone bhi safe-haven yen ki harkaton ko madham rakh rahi hai.
Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ke easing ko kum karne ki umeed aur November mein 25bp rate cut ke liye barhne wali beton ne US Treasury yields ko buland rakha hai. Yeh US dollar ko do mahine ki bulandiyon ke kareeb rakhne mein madad de raha hai, jis ne low-yielding yen ke faide ko had tak rok diya hai. Is liye, USD/JPY mein mazeed kami ko kharidari ka mauqa samjha ja sakta hai aur yeh limited reh sakti hai.Technical tor par, agar mazeed kami hoti hai, to yeh bargain hunting ko 149.00 level ke kareeb attract kar sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke downside ko 148.55-148.50 area mein limit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Yeh aik key pivot point ho sakta hai, aur agar is ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh ek sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai aur spot prices ko 148.00 area ke neeche drag kar sakta hai, pichle haftay ke swing lows ke kareeb (147.35-147.30 ke aas paas).USD/JPY teen aur aadha mahine ki bulandi par 149.71 tak barh gaya hai, aur paanch musalsal four-hour sessions se green mein trade kar raha hai. Agla bara muqabla psychological level 150.00 par ho sakta hai, lekin agla resistance 151.90 par hai, jo 25 July ka inside swing low tha. Yeh 151.20 hai. Warna, sharp short-term uptrend line aur 20-period moving average ka break 149.00 par bears ko 50-period moving average 148.05 par bhej sakta hai. Aur neeche, traders support level 147.20 tak ja sakte hain, phir wapis medium-term uptrend line 145.90 tak jaane se pehle.