USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha

Yeh buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai aur yeh signal milta hai ke price mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Bollinger Bands indicator ke mutabiq, 149.250 ka upper limit reach karne ka imkaan zyada hai. Magar agar fundamental data ka asset par zyada asar hota hai, to price Bollinger Bands ke threshold ko bhi cross kar sakta hai. Aise mein, yeh sochnay ki zarurat hai ke favourable selling prices par short positions open ki jayein. Is strategy mein short positions close karne ka pehla benchmark Bollinger Bands ka lower price hai, jo ke abhi 148.393 par hai. Is liye, jab price ka growth ruk jaye, to higher prices par selling kaafi profitable ho sakti hai. Agar price 148.850 se neeche girti hai, to pehle wale sell positions aur mazboot ho jayenge. Hamare mutabiq, 149.63 par resistance ka test hona mumkin hai, chahe is ke baad price decline bhi ho. USD/JPY pair ka abhi jo rate hai 148.90, woh trading range ke beech mein hai jo ke 148.18 aur 149.63 ke darmiyan hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, price growth cycle abhi bhi jaari hai aur dips ko buy karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai jab tak 149.63 ka resistance test hota hai. Agar yeh level ek ghante tak hold karta hai aur phir chaar ghante ke liye bhi hold rahta hai, to price mein decline ho sakta hai. Is currency pair ne advantageous sales levels ko chhu liya hai, jo ke orders ki market absorption se zahir hai. Asset ki overheated state ko dekhte hue, agar buyers apni koshish chhod dete hain, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke price growth ka peak shayad aagaya hai. Naye buys open karna mere portfolio ke liye risky ho sakta hai, magar 148.912 level se price mein kami par trade karna logical lagta hai. Agar lot size sahi ho, to averaging ka use trading strategy mein acceptable hai.

USD/JPY ka current price lagbhag 148.80 level ke aas-paas hai. Kal yeh 149.33 level se gir gaya tha United States Financial Department ki negative news data ki wajah se. Aaj, USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke kisi bhi unexpected news ya data release se tezi se reversals ho sakte hain, jo risk aur maukon dono ko paida karte hain. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko dekh kar, sellers apni trading decisions ko inform karne ke liye zaroori maaloomat hasil kar sakte hain.

Misal ke taur par, agar aanay wale economic indicators economy ke kamzor hone ya corporate earnings ke disappointing hone ka ishara dete hain, to yeh sellers ke liye achi khabar ho sakti hai, jo unhein profitable trades execute karne ka mauka de sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USD/JPY ke sellers aaj dupahar mein 148.66 ke support ko test kar sakte hain.

Market sentiment aksar market movements ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai, aur investors ke mood ko samajhna trading strategies ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Agar market sentiment pessimistic (negative) hota hai, jo ke negative news ya bearish trends se drive hota hai, to yeh sellers ko aur zyada price declines se fayda uthane ka moka de sakta hai.

Tools jese ke sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya social media sentiment analysis sellers ko valuable insights de sakte hain ke doosre market participants kaise positioned hain, aur is tarah se sellers apni approach ko behtar bana sakte hain.

USD/JPY ke current environment mein, sellers ke paas kai maukay hain market movements se fayda uthane ke liye. Market un ke liye favorable conditions paish kar raha hai, jisme yeh strategically enter karke downward trades shuru kar sakte hain. Agar sellers achi analysis aur clear strategy ke saath trading karein, to woh apne trades ko profitable moments mein execute kar ke achi kamai kar sakte hain

USD/JPY ki current price 148.80 level ke aas paas hai. Yeh kal 149.33 level se gir gaya tha jab United States Financial Department se negative news data aaya. Aaj, USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke koi bhi ghaflati khabar ya data release tezi se reversals trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke dono, risks aur opportunities, ka sabab ban sakti hai. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko monitor karke, bears apne aap ko zaroori maloomat se tayar kar sakte hain taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Maslan, agar aane wale economic indicators economy ke kamzor hone ya corporate earnings ke disappointing hone ki taraf ishara karte hain, to yeh sellers ke liye mauka ban sakta hai, unhein wo momentum faraham karke jo unhe profitable trades execute karne ki zaroorat hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ke sellers aaj dopahar mein 148.66 ka support assist test kar sakte hain. Market sentiment aksar market movements ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karta hai, aur investors ke darmiyan maujood mood ko samajhna trading strategies ke liye critical context faraham kar sakta hai. Agar market sentiment pessimism ki taraf lean karta hai, jo negative news ya bearish trends ki wajah se hota hai, to yeh sellers ko aur zyada empower kar sakta hai taake wo potential price declines ka faida utha sakein.

Sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya phir social media sentiment analysis jese tools dusre market participants kis tarah positioned hain, iski valuable insights faraham kar sakte hain, is tarah bears ke trading approach ko inform kar sakte hain.

Current USD/JPY environment mein, bears, jo sellers kehlate hain, khud ko market movements ka faida uthane ke kai mauqe paate hain. Market in sellers ke liye favorable conditions faraham karta hai, jo ke strategically downward direction mein trades initiate kar sakte hain. Careful analysis aur clear strategy ke sath, sellers key moments identify kar sakte hain taake wo apne trades execute karke profit ke chances ko maximize kar sakein.

Sabko behtareen trading ki dua! Economic pehlu par, USD/JPY pair ne Japanese Statistics Agency ke taraf se inflation par kaafi mazboot report aane ke baad upar ki taraf chadha. Economic calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Japanese producer price index August mein -0.2% se badh kar September mein 0.0% ho gaya, jo ke average estimate -0.3% se zyada hai. Yeh saal dar saal 2.6% se 2.8% tak badh gaya, jo ke median estimate 2.3% se zyada hai. Ek aur report ne dikhaya ke Japan ka consumer price index August mein 2.8% se badh kar September mein 3.0% ho gaya. Yeh saal ke shuruat ke low 2.0% se badh kar hai aur November pichle saal ke baad se sab se uncha point hai.

Ye scenario buyers ke ghulami ko highlight karta hai aur is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke price mazeed barh sakti hai. Bollinger Bands indicator ke mutabiq, is baat ka zoroori imkaan hai ke price 149.250 ke upper limit tak pohnch sakti hai. Magar agar fundamental data asset par khaas asar daalta hai, toh price Bollinger Bands ke threshold se zyada bhi ho sakti hai. Aise mein, favorable selling prices par short positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai. Is strategy mein short positions close karne ka pehla benchmark lower Bollinger Band level hai, jo abhi 148.393 par hai. Isliye, jab price ki growth dheemi ho jaye, toh higher prices par selling kaafi munafa dayak sabit ho sakta hai. Agar price 148.850 se neeche girti hai, toh pehle se khuli sell positions aur zyada mazboot ho jaengi. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke resistance level 149.63 ka test mumkin hai, halaan ke iske baad price decline ho sakti hai.

Is waqt USD/JPY pair 148.90 ke ird gird trade ho rahi hai, jo ke 148.18 aur 149.63 ke trading range ke beech mein hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, price growth cycle abhi tak jari hai, aur dips ko buying opportunities ke tor par istimaal kiya ja sakta hai jab tak resistance level 149.63 ka test nahi hota. Agar yeh resistance aik ghante tak aur phir mazeed char ghante tak qaim rehta hai, toh price mein decline mumkin hai. Currency pair ne pehle hi advantageous sales levels ko touch kiya hai, jo ke market mein orders ke absorption se zahir hota hai.

Asset ke overheated state ko dekhte hue, agar buyers apni koshishen rok dete hain, toh yeh is baat ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai ke price growth ka peak poora ho chuka hai. Nai buy positions kholna meri portfolio ke liye risk ho sakta hai, magar 148.912 ke level se price decline par trade karna logical lagta hai. Agar lot size theek hai, toh averaging is trading approach ke andar ek munasib strategy ho sakti hai.

Akhir mein, jabke bullish momentum is waqt market par haavi hai, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke asset critical resistance levels ke qareeb hai. Price action ko ghore se dekhna aur positions ko adjust karna zaroori hoga taake potential profits capture kiye ja sakein, khaaskar agar 149.63 ke qareeb koi reversal hota hai. Bollinger Bands aur Envelopes indicators dono yeh dikhate hain ke jabke upward momentum abhi bhi chalu hai, ek decline jald aa sakti hai, jo pullback ke liye position lene walon ke liye moqay paida kar sakta hai. Economic side par, USD/JPY pair mein izafa hua jab Japanese Statistics Agency ne inflation par ek kaafi strong report publish ki. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Japanese producer price index August mein -0.2% se September mein 0.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke -0.3% ki average estimate se zyada hai. Yeh 2.6% se 2.8% year-on-year barh gaya, jo ke 2.3% ki median estimate se zyada tha. Ek doosri recent report ne dikhaya ke Japan ka consumer price index August mein 2.8% se September mein 3.0% tak barh gaya. Yeh year-to-date low 2.0% se barh ke apne November pichle saal ke highest point par hai.

qareeb selling pressure ka shikar hua hai. Is se ye andaza hota hai ke pichlay kuch hafton mein dekhay gaye bullish momentum mein kami aane wali hai. MACD (12.26.9) indicator thoda optimistic lagta hai, kyun ke red signal line abhi bhi histogram ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak barqarar hai. Do lambay white candles nazar aaye hain jo aam tor par taqat ki nishani hoti hain, lekin bulls ko 149.41 ke resistance ke samnay apni upward movement ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna hai. Is ke ilawa, H4 chart par ek recent bullish candle ka 50% retracement level wo required buying pressure paida nahi kar saka jo zaroori tha, jis wajah se traders ke liye clear entry aur exit points identify karna mushkil ho gaya hai.Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein ek pullback aasakta hai jab yeh mazeed taqat ikattha kare ga taake ek aur upward move kar sake. Hourly chart par yeh pair positive signs dikha raha hai jab ke yeh bearish flag pattern se breakout karke 55-day moving average ke qareeb stable hai. Halankeh yeh upward movement hopeful hai, MACD ki slight positivity yeh batati hai ke mazeed gains aasakte hain pehle ke ek major trend change ho.Agar price SMA-55 se upar breakout kar leta hai, toh yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo price ko aglay ahem support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 145.95 hai. Horizontal line 147.23 par ek ahem support ka kaam karegi jo price ko ahem resistance levels ke upar qaim rakhne mein madad karegi. Traders pending buy orders 147.23 aur 145.95 par rakhne ka soch sakte hain, kyun ke agar 147.23 level ka break hota hai, toh short-selling opportunities mil sakti hain jo aglay support level 145.95 ko target karein gi.Is waqt USD/JPY ka qareebi resistance level 149.15 hai, aur agar price is se upar break karta hai, toh yeh mazeed mazbooti dikha sakta hai aur 1.3626 ke level tak ja sakta hai, aur us ke baad agla target 1.4228 ka resistance level hoga jo teesra resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, qareebi support level 147.22 par hai, aur main sell signals ko dekhunga 144.5

6 aur 142.00 ke support levels ke ird-gird, jo ke doosra aur teesra support level hai, taake buying opportunity hasil ki ja sake.Halaat

USD/JPY ke pair mein bullish movement ka strong imkaan hai. Meri H4 timeframe ki analysis ke mutabiq, ek tafseeli tasveer samne aayi hai jo ye dikhati hai ke bullish movement ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns, khaaskar jo upward movement guzishta chand ghanton mein dekhi gayi hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke pair faida uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada nahi hui, lekin yeh dikhata hai ke market upar jane ki koshish mein hai.

Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger version

USD/JPY ke pair mein bullish movement ka strong imkaan hai. Meri H4 timeframe ki analysis ke mutabiq, ek tafseeli tasveer samne aayi hai jo ye dikhati hai ke bullish movement ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns, khaaskar jo upward movement guzishta chand ghanton mein dekhi gayi hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke pair faida uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada nahi hui, lekin yeh dikhata hai ke market upar jane ki koshish mein hai.

Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou 145.00 ka mark mazeed selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai. Haal hi mein retracement ke bawajood, broader uptren

/JPY ke pair mein bullish movement ka strong imkaan hai. Meri H4 timeframe ki analysis ke mutabiq, ek tafseeli tasveer samne aayi hai jo ye dikhati hai ke bullish movement ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns, khaaskar jo upward movement guzishta chand ghanton mein dekhi gayi hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke pair faida uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase

ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger version

pullbacks ka ishara de rahe thay. Chart mein kayi liquidity pools ko highlight kiya gaya hai, jo top aur bottom dono taraf se sweep kiye gaye, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke market in imbalances ko fill karna chahta hai. Jab price 140.000 level ke qareeb pohanchi, toh buyers ne August ke aakhri dino mein bane displaced liquidity area ko defend kiya. Yeh level, jo ek strong liquidity grab ke sath coincides karta hai, ne thodi recovery di, jo ke pair ko 144.000 region tak wapas le gaya. Lekin recent rise ko ab bhi pehle ke liquidity areas aur FVGs ke qareeb 148.000 par resistance ka samna hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke agar price in zones ko convincingly breach nahi kar paya, toh ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, displaced liquidity zone jo ke 140.000 ke qareeb hai, ek significant support area serve karta hai. Agar price apni current upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahta hai, toh yeh level dobara test ho sakta hai, aur agar yeh break ho gaya, toh further downside risks badh sakte hain. Agla major support 136.000-137.000 range ke qareeb hai, jahan is saal ke shuru mein pehli baar liquidity sweep hui thi. Aage chal kar, agar USD/JPY 148.000 resistance ko breach karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai aur us FVG ko fill kar leta hai jo us level ke qareeb hai, toh 150.000 aur us se upar ka move zyada likely ho jata hai. Lekin, bias ab bhi cautious hai, aur market participants liquidity zones aur FVGs ko closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price resistance breach karne mein nakam rehta hai, toh renewed selling pressure aa sakta hai, agar agar global risk sentiment negative ho gaya. Overall structure short term mein consolidation ya mild bullish corrections suggest karta hai, lekin longer-term trend liquidity zones ke respect ya violation par mabni ho sakt

EUR/USD currency pair ke current price action ko evaluate karte waqt, zaroori hai ke multiple time frames ko dekha jaye taake iska poora outlook samjha ja sake. Short term mein, market aik consolidation phase mein lagti hai, jahan price movements zyadatar sideways range mein confined hain. Halan ke recently ek noticeable downward correction hui hai, jis ki wajah se price 1.1105 ke critical support level se neeche gir gayi hai. Yeh break significant hai, kyun ke yeh bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara de sakti hai. Medium-term basis par, situation khaas tor par critical hai. EUR/USD aik pivotal point par pohonch gaya hai, jo 4-hour chart par uptrend channel ke lower boundary ka breakdown suggest kar raha hai. Agar yeh breakdown hua, toh yeh pehle ke bullish trend se bearish outlook ki taraf shift ko zahir karega. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, kyunki agar current trend jari rehti hai, toh further declines ho sakte hain.

Image ke liye click karein.

Long-term outlook ke muqable mein, EUR/USD ab bhi ek upward trajectory show karta hai. Resistance level ab 1.1249 par hai, jo market ke stabilize hone par rebound ka imkan zahir karta hai. Magar, kal ka significant downward movement, jo daily chart par ek bari red candle ke tor par dekha gaya, yeh concern uthata hai ke yeh bullish trend kitni dair tak sustainable rahega. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh exchange rate apni girawat ko support zone 1.1009 aur 1.1004 ke darmiyan continue kar sakta hai.

In dynamics ke madde nazar, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo key levels aur market sentiment ko closely monitor karen. Price action 1.1105 ke aas paas bohot telling hoga; agar yeh level ke neeche ek sustained move hoti hai, toh selling pressure aur barh sakta hai, jabke rebound higher resistance levels ka re-test suggest kar sakta hai. Market ko navigate karte waqt, broader economic factors aur geopolitical developments par bhi dhyaan dena zaroori hoga, kyunki yeh currency movements ko bohot zyada influence karte hain.

Akhir mein, EUR/USD pair ki current analysis aik complex scenario ko zahir karti hai. Short-term bearish correction, critical medium-term support break ke sath milkar aane wale challenges ko point out karti hai, halan ke longer-term bullish outlook ab bhi maujood hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur price action aur emerging trends ko dekh kar apni strategies adjust karni chahiye, taake potential opportunities se faida uthaya ja sake

Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger versio