usd/jpy

USDJPY Ka Tanazur

Haalati Hawala


USDJPY ka chart 4-ghantey ke time frame par bullish trend mein hai. Is waqt ke dauran, price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo ke buland momentum ka imtihan hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upward direction mein hai. Aakhri trading session mein, pair ne apna high update kiya aur doosre resistance level ko tod kar ab 148.96 par trading kar raha hai.
Bulandiyat aur Mukhtalif Levels


Agar dekha jaye to aaj ki trading ke doran, pair ne 149.45 tak choti si bulandiyat banayi hai. Lekin yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke yeh bulandiyat continued rahegi. Is current point se agar price 148.90 ke level tak pohanchti hai to yeh wahan se fall ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar 147.50 ke niche girti hai, to yeh girti ke silsile ko aage barha sakti hai.
Ameer Strategy aur Target


Mera khayal hai ke is trading week ke liye yeh waqt hai ke ek pehlwa khulasa kiya jaye. Pivot reversal levels ke hisaab se, aaj ke liye classic reference point bulandi ke liye hai. Mera andaza hai ke hum 149.51 tak bulandi hasil karenge, agar yeh level breakout hota hai to yeh new wave of growth ko janam de sakta hai, aur pair wapas se local maximum tak ja sakta hai jo ke 151.17 ke aas paas hai.
Bears Ka Intiqam


Agar market mein bears wapas aate hain, to support level jo ke 140.66 hai, yeh current section ke liye ek important reference point hoga. Is point ki taraf girawat hone se, bearish momentum kaaktay hai.

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Khalasa


Filhal ka saaf nazar yeh hai ke USDJPY mein bulandi ka momentum hai, lekin kuch critical levels par nazar rakhna hoga, jahan se bears ka wapas aana ghalat nahin hoga. Yadi buyers apna rukh barqarar rakhte hain, to price aur bulandiyan hasil kar sakti hai.

Market Movements USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base:

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai.

Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.

Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai.

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi.
Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.
Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein trading phase ka aghaz hua, lagta hai ke price mein mazeed izafa hone ke asar hain. Is hafta ke aakhir tak long-term trend ko follow karte hue trading ki tayyari ka soch sakte hain. Buyer ka ghalba abhi bhi market trend ko aage barhane ka mauqa de raha hai taake upar wale target areas tak pohanch sakein.
USD/JPY ke movement ki prediction ke mutabiq, price mazeed bullish trend mein chal sakti hai. Agle movement mein price ke upar jane ka imkaan hai. Lekin, ideal trading position lene ke liye intezar karna zaroori hai jab market mein volatility barhti hai, khaaskar jab European session ka aghaz ho chuka hai. Agle chand ghanton mein agar izafa hota hai, to traheders ke liye yeh acha mauqa ho sakta

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein

USD/JPY currency pair ka analysis:
**Maujooda Market Ka Jaiza:**

Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair 146.91 mark ke aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar Index ki kamzori abhi bhi bearish hai, aur yeh 102.50 resistance level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh pair 161.40 tak barh sakta hai, lekin aaj ek decline bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Charts ka close monitoring zaroori hai, khaas tor par jab European session start hota hai.

**Technical Indicators:**

**Relative Strength Index (RSI):**

RSI is waqt 53.6393 par hai, jo ke market ka uptrend mein hona zahir karta hai. Lekin aglay dino mein downtrend ka bhi imkaan hai.

**Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):**

MACD ka level 6.537 par hai, aur low-volume bar ko zahir karta hai, jo ke market activity ka subdued hona dikhata hai.

**Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):**

Price is waqt 20 aur 50-period exponential moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:**

- **Primary Resistance Level:** 151.84 (Market is level ko target kar sakta hai)
- **Minor Resistance Level:** 161.40 (Agar buy execute hoti hai)
- **Primary Support Level:** 139.83 (Agar price decline hoti hai)
- **Secondary Support Level:** 124.14
- **Tertiary Resistance Level:** 101.10 (Agar price mazid decline karti hai)

**Price Movement aur Predictions:**

Maujooda momentum ke madde nazar, yeh imkaan hai ke market barh kar primary resistance target 151.84 ko test kare. Agar aap buy karte hain, toh price range 161.40 ko target kar sakti hai, aur eventually 171.30 tak bhi ja sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price decline karti hai, toh primary support level 139.83 par positioned hai. Agar selling hoti hai, toh price secondary support level 124.14 tak bhi test kar sakti hai.

**Impulsive Price Movement:**

USD/JPY ne impulsive price movement supply area 147.22 - 146.68 ke andar dikhaya hai. Is movement se yeh andaza lagta hai ke price correct hoke RBS area 144.29 tak ja sakti hai, jahan se upward rally phir se shuru ho sakti hai.

**Golden Cross Signal:**

50-period EMA ne 200-period SMA ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke ek golden cross signal generate karta hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai.

**Stochastic Indicator:**

Stochastic indicator bhi price correction ka imkaan dikhata hai, jahan parameters overbought zone (90-80 level) ke qareeb hain. Yeh signal deta hai ke price ab ek aise level par hai jahan correction hone ka imkaan hai.

**Reversal Patterns:**

Agar koi reversal candlestick patterns, jaise ke bearish engulfing ya dominant break, samnay aate hain, toh yeh price correction ki mazid confirmation provide karenge. Lekin agar Japanese Yen ki outlook kamzor rehti hai aur buyers profit-taking nahi karte, toh price increase supply area ke beyond continue kar sakta hai.

**Trading Strategy:**

Golden cross signal se shuru hone wala upward trend ke madde nazar, aap buy ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Ek entry position RBS area 144.29 par establish ki ja sakti hai jab Stochastic indicator 50 ke level ke qareeb cross kare.

**Summary:**

Caution baratna aur maujooda market indicators ko closely dekhna traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karega.

Hello fellow traders! Sab ka market khulne ka intezaar hai kal shukriya meri trading journal ka zikar karne ke liye aur agar main wapas nahi aa saka ya reply nahi kar saka to maafi chahta hoon usd/jpy pair ne waqai mein pichle kuch mahino mein kaafi tez upar ka safar tay kiya hai investors abhi federal reserve ki tight monetary policy ko le kar pareshan hain kyun ke inflation ko control karna unka maqsad hai aur is wajah se recession ka khauf paida ho raha hai kuch mahino se us dollar ko safe haven ki tarah samjha ja raha hai inflation ke tezi se barhne hawkish fed policy aur ukraine ki jang ki wajah se magar is haftay global financial markets mein barhti hui volatility ki wajah se japanese yen ne phir se apni safe haven position dikhai hai agar technicals dekhein toh 20 day moving average ma ne recently 50 day ma ke neeche move kiya hai jo ke usd/jpy ke liye ek bearish indication hai 147.30 ka level ab immediate support hai aur agar price is level se neeche chali jati hai toh yeh pair 149.50 tak ja sakti hai resistance ke hawale se 148.75 ek strong level hai aur agar yeh break hota hai toh price further 148.30 tak gain kar sakti hai yeh bohot zaroori hai ke apni stop loss levels ko apni risk management strategy ke mutabiq set karein taki drawdowns se bach sakein jahaan tak yields ka taluq hai u.s 10 year treasury yields mein halke se reversal ne usd/jpy ko apni recent peak 148.60 se thoda peeche kiya hai jo ke is haftay ke start mein dekha gaya tha ab u.s 10 year benchmark rate ke gains kuch retrace ho gaye hain aur yeh 4.75% ke qareeb hover kar raha hai jo ke apni peak se lagbhag 40 basis points neeche hai main forum ke feedback ka intezaar karunga in trading signals aur predictions ke bare mein sab log kaise feel karte hain agle haftay ke market conditions ke hawale se best of luck sab traders ko aglay haftay ke liye aur sab tayar rahen ek aur exciting trading week ke liye.

points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart

USD/JPY pair ke pricing pattern ko dekh rahe hain jo ke 4-hour chart par ek mazboot bullish trend dikha raha hai, kyun ke price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo continued upward momentum ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Haal hi ke trading sessions mein, bulls ne aham resistance levels ko tor diya hai aur pair ab 148.96 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai jo ke is bullish strength ko confirm karta hai. Aap ka foran ka target 149.51 hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai toh naye buying orders shuru ho sakte hain, jo ke price ko agle aham resistance 151.17 tak le ja sakte hain.
Pichle hafte ke correction ko ek temporary setback samjha ja raha hai, jab ke pair ne 140.22 ke qareeb strong support build kiya tha. Yeh support base ne recovery mein madad di hai, aur lagta hai ke pair ab apne pehle highs ko retest karne wala hai, jahan analysts 162.00 ko ek long-term target ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Liquidity zone jo 149.26 aur 151.98 ke darmiyan hai, wo bhi ek aham area hai; agar price is zone ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh aur ziada strength aur upward trend ki continuation ka ishara hoga.Iske ilawa, daily chart par Head and Shoulders pattern ki mojoodgi bullish case ko aur mazid mazboot banati hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke agar bulls apna control barqarar rakhte hain toh pair apne pehle highs tak phir se pahunch sakta hai. Halat yeh dikhati hai ke USD ki economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties USD/JPY ke price ko influence kar rahi hain. Bank of Japan ke Ueda ka ehtiyaat bhara bayan bhi monetary policy mein tabdilion ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke 2024 mein traders ke liye ek complex environment bana raha hai.

USD/CHF ke daily timeframe par price movement ka jaiza lete hue, aakhri hafte ki trading sessions mein sellers ka asar zyada dekhne ko mila hai. Ye haalat candlestick ke movement se zahir hoti hai, jo Thursday se Friday tak consistently neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. Agar hum pichle dinon ke daily movement ko dekhein, to ye sideways pattern banata hai, jo bearish situation ko darshata hai aur volatility bhi moderate hai. Haalankeh shuruat mein kuch bullish correction movement dekhne ko mili, lekin aakhri hafte ki bearish movement pichle mahine ke market trend ka jari rukh hai, jo ye darshata hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf barhne ke liye potential rakhta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, jo indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai unki condition ke aadhar par. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line ka direction bilkul wazeh hai; pehle ye line aksar level 50 ke kareeb hoti thi, lekin ab ye level 30 ke aas paas ruk gayi hai. MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bars bhi ab zero level ke neeche hain aur inka shape bearish movement ka izhar kar raha hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market ka haal yeh darshata hai ke price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. USD/CHF ke technical data ke mutabiq, main chhote timeframe H4 par market movement ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Is mahine candlestick bilkul Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin is hafte ki shuruat mein bullish correction ki taraf badhi takriban 0.8515 tak. Lekin seller ki mazboot pressure ne price ko dobara neeche ki taraf le aaya jab tak market ne aaj subah band nahi kiya. Price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se kafi neeche hai, jo is hafte ke market ko bearish dikhata hai. Ek baar phir, main Relative Strength Index (14) ka analysis kar raha hoon

wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 2


Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh

/JPY Price Outlook Iss waqt hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal ke 142.39 ke high se price neeche ki taraf move karna shuru hui. Mera sell zone likely nahi tha, halan ke 14:29 local time par aham khabrein aani thi. Din ke doran aur bhi news items add kiye jayenge, jo previous highs ko retest karne ka momentum barhayein gi. Upar ke level par kai seller positions ikatthi ho chuki hain, aur daily chart ab possible reversal ya growth ki taraf shift hone ke asaar dekhane laga hai. Din ke doran price kaafi barh gayi, jo meri forecast ke mutabiq thi. Mera Tuesday ke liye bhi focus growth tha, kyunke Monday ko price ne 140.178 ke support ko test kiya aur wapas bounce karte hue is level ke upar close hui. Din bhar price barhti rahi, 141.873 resistance ko tor kar iske upar close hui. Aaj ka focus bhi growth par hai, aur 141.873 ke support ko retest karne ke baad, price ab bhi barh rahi hai. Agar aaj ka session is level ke ooper close karta hai, toh agla target 143.746 resistance hoga.

H1 chart par, USD/JPY kal ki impulse candle range mein trade kar raha hai. Mujhe price 142.28 ke resistance ki taraf momentum build karta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ek critical level hai jo market direction ko zahir karega. Agar price 142.98 range ke ooper break kar ke consolidate karta hai, toh ye long positions kholne ka signal hoga, aur bullish rally jari rahegi. Is scenario mein profit targets 143.47 aur 144.55 ke upper extremes honge. Doosri taraf, agar momentum wapas aata hai, toh downside move 141.18 ke low ko test kar sakta hai. Is bearish direction ki tasdeeq tab hogi jab price broken range ke neeche consolidate karegi, jo instrument ke bearish channel mein wapsi ka signal hoga. Market mein growth aur correction ka imkaan hai, aur key levels 141.873 aur 142.98 next move ko determine karenge. Agar price 141.873 ke neeche close karti hai, toh kal ke liye priority decline par hogi, jo 140.178 ke support ko target karegi.

resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

Forex ke Samajh ke Sath USD/JPY Prices

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko real time mein dekh raha tha. Main dollar-yen pair ko four-hour chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Pair ne growth dekhi jab buyer ne second profit-taking ki, jo ke actively apne profits ko le raha tha jese jese price barh rahi thi. Lekin, previous correction highs ko update karne ke baad koi significant profit-taking nahi hui. Iske bajaye, pair ne restraint ke baghair growth ki, jise ke week ke end mein ek zyada substantial pullback follow kiya. Pair support level 160.756 tak pohanchi, jo is baat ka ishara tha ke yeh support se rise karte hue resistance 164.318 tak ja sakti hai. Maine accurately bearish pullback ko predict kiya jo ke resistance line se ascending channel ke breakdown area tak, kareeb 160.115, Friday ke din hua tha. Lekin, ek short position open karne ke liye, maine pehle "bullish doji" ka intezar kiya jo ke channel ki resistance line ki taraf tha, ek possible puncture aur uske baad pullback ko anticipate karte hue.

Maine ek theory ko samjha jo yeh suggest karti hai ke market mein latecomers ke long positions open karne se trend ke sath aur long positions ki recruitment hoti hai. Market ke is perspective ke base par aur channel resistance zone mein bearish divergence ke dauran, maine apni sell limit ko chhupa liya aur trading setup ka intezar kiya. Badqismati se, expected movement materialize nahi hui, aur market ne channel resistance strength ko test kiye baghair pullback ke liye reverse kiya. Maine jaldbazi mein market mein enter nahi kiya aur ehtiyat se kaam liya. Natija yeh raha ke, Friday ko bearish pullback ko correctly identify karte hue, maine is par trade nahi kiya aur poori decline ko market ke bahar se observe kiya. Mujhe is baat ka afsos hai ke maine 160.06 level ke neeche price ko secure nahi kiya. Lekin, main yeh maan raha hoon ke shayad maine zyada intezar kiya, aur sab kuch swiftly unfold nahi hua. Isliye, main apne downward movement ke outlook par barqarar hoon, aur yeh maan raha hoon ke humein ab growth cycle (154.57 se 161.97) mein ek corrective movement par focus karna chahiye. Agar yeh reasoning theek hai, to humein 38.2 level (159.14) ka test dekhna chahiye.

JPY Price Outlook Iss waqt hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal ke 142.39 ke high se price neeche ki taraf move karna shuru hui. Mera sell zone likely nahi tha, halan ke 14:29 local time par aham khabrein aani thi. Din ke doran aur bhi news items add kiye jayenge, jo previous highs ko retest karne ka momentum barhayein gi. Upar ke level par kai seller positions ikatthi ho chuki hain, aur daily chart ab possible reversal ya growth ki taraf shift hone ke asaar dekhane laga hai. Din ke doran price kaafi barh gayi, jo meri forecast ke mutabiq thi. Mera Tuesday ke liye bhi focus growth tha, kyunke Monday ko price ne 140.178 ke support ko test kiya aur wapas bounce karte hue is level ke upar close hui. Din bhar price barhti rahi, 141.873 resistance ko tor kar iske upar close hui. Aaj ka focus bhi growth par hai, aur 141.873 ke support ko retest karne ke baad, price ab bhi barh rahi hai. Agar aaj ka session is level ke ooper close karta hai, toh agla target 143.746 resistance hoga.
H1 chart par, USD/JPY kal ki impulse candle range mein trade kar raha hai. Mujhe price 142.28 ke resistance ki taraf momentum build karta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ek critical level hai jo market direction ko zahir karega. Agar price 142.98 range ke ooper break kar ke consolidate karta hai, toh ye long positions kholne ka signal hoga, aur bullish rally jari rahegi. Is scenario mein profit targets 143.47 aur 144.55 ke upper extremes honge. Doosri taraf, agar momentum wapas aata hai, toh downside move 141.18 ke low ko test kar sakta hai. Is bearish direction ki tasdeeq tab hogi jab price broken range ke neeche consolidate karegi, jo instrument ke bearish channel mein wapsi ka signal hoga. Market mein growth aur correction ka imkaan hai, aur key levels 141.873 aur 142.98 next move ko determine karenge. Agar price 141.87