usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Humara focus abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behtreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua.
Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, jahan officials ne mazeed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautiously approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein balance banana zaroori hai.

Dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, utsilalar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala US non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term US Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. US GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein US non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to US economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact US dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) ka market analysis H1 timeframe par dikhata hai ke sell trade mein profit banane ki bohot achi sambhavnayein hain. Market mein entry ka sabse optimal point chunne ke liye kuch zaroori shartein hain. Sabse pehli aur ahm baat yeh hai ke higher timeframe H4 par current trend ka direction samjha jaye, taake market sentiment ko galat na samjha jaye. Iske liye, hum H4 timeframe ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements milte hain ya nahi. Jab yeh pehli shart poori hoti hai, tab hum yeh keh sakte hain ke aaj market humein short trade kholne ka acha mauqa de raha hai. Agla analysis teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color par based hai. Hum expect karte hain ke Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ka rang red ho jaye, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi buyers se bohot zyada strong hain. Jab yeh signal mil jata hai, tab hum sell order kholte hain.

Trade se bahar nikalne ka tareeqa magnetic levels indicator ke signals par hota hai. Aaj signal execute karne ke liye sabse probable level 137.200 hai. Ab humein chart par price action par nazar rakhni hai jab price magnetic level ke qareeb pohanchti hai. Yahan par humein yeh mushkil faisla karna hota hai ke position ko agle magnetic level tak hold karein ya hasil ki gayi profit ko lock karein.

Potential earnings se faida uthane ke liye, trailing stop ka istemal karna ek achha option hai. Is tarah, agar price unexpected move karti hai, to hum apne profits ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain.

Overall, USD/JPY ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke sell trade kholne ka waqt bohot behtareen hai, agar hum indicators ke signals ko sahi tarah samjhein aur market movements par nazar rakhein. Is strategy ke zariye, traders ko profit banane ka acha mauqa mil sakta hai, jab tak wo apne risk management ko bhi nazar mein rakhte

**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
Price test 143.76 par us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar move karna shuru hua, jo ke dollar khareedne ka sahi waqt tha. Natije mein, pair 50 se zyada pips tak barh gaya aur 144.24 ka level tor dia. Iss level par, maine apni forecast mein kaha tha ke main foran rebound par dollar bechne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se maine market se mazeed 50 pips ka munafa hasil kiya. Aaj, yen ne Japan ki weak manufacturing PMI data par achi react nahi ki, jo economists ki forecast se bhi kharab thi. Relatively behtar services PMI data bhi situation ko nahi sambhal saka. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ka bayan bhi USD ke khareedari ke haq mein interpret kiya gaya. Intraday strategy ke hawale se, mein ziada tar scenario No. 1 aur 2 par bharosa karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Mein USD/JPY ko aaj 144.52 ke entry point (chart par green line) par khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur target 145.04 ke level tak hai (chart par thicker green line). 145.04 ke qareeb main apni khareedaari ko exit kar ke mukhalif direction mein sell karne ka irada rakhta hoon (target 30-35 pips ka back move). Aaj pair ke barhne ki umeed hai, khaaskar BOJ representatives ke speeches ke baad. Important! Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur barhne laga hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Agar 144.16 ke price ka do dafa test ho aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho, toh main USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan karta hoon. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jayega. 144.52 aur 145.04 ke levels tak barhne ki umeed hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Main USD/JPY ko aaj 144.16 ka level (chart par red line) test hone ke baad sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon, jo ke pair ki rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ka key target 143.62 hoga, jahaan main apni selling ko exit kar ke foran mukhalif direction mein khareedaari shuru karunga (targetkey target 143.62 hoga, jahaan main apni selling ko exit kar ke foran mukhalif direction mein khareedaari shuru karunga (target 20-25 pips ka back move). Dollar ke bearish market ka pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai. Important! Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD 20-25 pips ka back move). Dollar ke bearish market ka pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai. Important! Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur neeche move karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Agar 144.52 ke price ka do dafa test ho aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein ho, toh main USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal ki taraf le jayega. 144.16 aur 143.62 ke levels tak decline ki umeed hai.

**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen** **Tajziya aur Japanese Yen ka Karobar Karne ke Tips**

144.52 ke qareeb (chart pe sabz line) entry point par main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, aur is se main 145.04 tak ke level tak izafa dekh raha hoon (chart pe ghani sabz line). 145.04 ke qareeb main apni khareedari band karke ulat direction main sale kholne ka plan rakhta hoon (us level se 30-35 pips ka waapas move target karte hue). Aaj joḍi mein izafa ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab BOJ ke representative apne khitaab karenge. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur ooper ka rukh kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2**
Agar do martaba lagataar 144.16 ka price test hota hai aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke downward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market ooper ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.52 aur 145.04 tak izafa hoga.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**
Main USD/JPY aaj sirf tab sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 144.16 ka level test hoga (chart pe laal line), jo joḍi mein tez girawat ka sabab banegi. Sellers ke liye ahem target 143.62 hoga, jahaan main apni sales band karke ulat direction mein khareedari kholoon ga (target karte hue 20-25 pips ka waapas move). Dollar ki bearish market kabhi bhi wapas aa sakti hai. Ahem! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur neeche ka rukh kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2**
Agar 144.52 ka price do martaba lagataar test hota hai aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY sell karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke upward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market neeche ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.16 aur 143.62 tak girawat hogi.**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
**Tajziya aur Japanese Yen ka Karobar Karne ke Tips**

144.52 ke qareeb (chart pe sabz line) entry point par main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, aur is se main 145.04 tak ke level tak izafa dekh raha hoon (chart pe ghani sabz line). 145.04 ke qareeb main apni khareedari band karke ulat direction main sale kholne ka plan rakhta hoon (us level se 30-35 pips ka waapas move target karte hue). Aaj joḍi mein izafa ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab BOJ ke representative apne khitaab karenge. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur ooper ka rukh kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2**
Agar do martaba lagataar 144.16 ka price test hota hai aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke downward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market ooper ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.52 aur 145.04 tak izafa hoga.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**
Main USD/JPY aaj sirf tab sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 144.16 ka level test hoga (chart pe laal line), jo joḍi mein tez girawat ka sabab banegi. Sellers ke liye ahem target 143.62 hoga, jahaan main apni sales band karke ulat direction mein khareedari kholoon ga (target karte hue 20-25 pips ka waapas move). Dollar ki bearish market kabhi bhi wapas aa sakti hai. Ahem! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur neeche ka rukh kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2**
Agar 144.52 ka price do martaba lagataar test hota hai aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY sell karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke upward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market neeche ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.16 aur 143.62 tak girawat hogi.**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
**Tajziya aur Japanese Yen ka Karobar Karne ke Tips**

144.52 ke qareeb (chart pe sabz line) entry point par main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, aur is se main 145.04 tak ke level tak izafa dekh raha hoon (chart pe ghani sabz line). 145.04 ke qareeb main apni khareedari band karke ulat direction main sale kholne ka plan rakhta hoon (us level se 30-35 pips ka waapas move target karte hue). Aaj joḍi mein izafa ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab BOJ ke representative apne khitaab karenge. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur ooper ka rukh kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2**
Agar do martaba lagataar 144.16 ka price test hota hai aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke downward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market ooper ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.52 aur 145.04 tak izafa hoga.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**
Main USD/JPY aaj sirf tab sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 144.16 ka level test hoga (chart pe laal line), jo joḍi mein tez girawat ka sabab banegi. Sellers ke liye ahem target 143.62 hoga, jahaan main apni sales band karke ulat direction mein khareedari kholoon ga (target karte hue 20-25 pips ka waapas move). Dollar ki bearish market kabhi bhi wapas aa sakti hai. Ahem! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur neeche ka rukh kar raha ho.

** No. 2**
Agar 144.52 ka price do martaba lagataar test hota hai aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hota hai, toh main USD/JPY sell karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is se joḍi ke upward potential ko rokne mein madad milegi aur market neeche ka rukh karegi. Umeed ki ja sakti hai ke level 144.16 aur 143.62 tak girawat hogi.

**USD/JPY Price Direction**
Hamari tajziya ka mawzoo USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke rawaiye ka jaiza hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne support level 144.53 ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke downtrend barqarar reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, joḍi mein 99-point ki girawat dekhi gayi, lekin baad mein buyers ne kuch zameen wapas haasil ki aur qeemat ko wapas resistance level 144.53 tak le aaye. Iss point se, sell positions kholna behtareen mashwara hoga, aur 140-141 range tak mazeed girawat ka nishana rakha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar joḍi 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound karti hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, jiska agla resistance 146.38 par hoga. Hourly chart pe ek ascending channel (jo flag se mushaba hai) yeh izhar karta hai ke downtrend wapas aasakta hai. H4 chart par bhi, joḍi ek descending channel mein hai, lekin neeche ke hisse se bounce kiya hai. Agar qeemat 144.49 ko tor deti hai, toh buying ka plan karna chahiye, jiska nishana 145.69 hoga.

Aaj mein USD/JPY pair ke price action ko qareebi tor par dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kaafi bearish pin bars local resistance level 144.10 par bane hain, jo ke girawat ke imkaan ko izhar karte hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% se kam rakhnay ka faisla kia hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega, jo yen ki taqat par asar daal sakta hai. Is buniyadi halat ke pehlu mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada mazboot lagta hai. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par bearish engulfing pattern ne bhi mazid girawat ki tasdeeq ki hai. In signalon ko dekhte hue, mein expect karta hoon ke agle hafte USD/JPY mein neeche ki taraf rawaiya hoga. Mera pehla nishana takreeban 50 points ki girawat hai, spread ke ilawa, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aor bhi neeche ka potential hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 144.50 ka 20-day high t kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil 20-daykarne ki koshish ki lekin wo qeemat ko neeche le jane mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area ko identify kiya hai jo 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan hai, jo qeemat ko upar rakhnay mein madadgaar raha hai. Lekin market ke band honay ke qareeb, asset resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein kaamyaab nahi ho saka, aur fiftee minute chart par double tops aur bottoms nazar aaye hain.

USDJPY pair ka technical analysis yeh hai ke price ab bhi us triangle ke andar trade kar rahi hai jo is haftay shuru hui thi. Yeh triangle do channels se bana hai; ek sideways hai jo pichle do hafton ki movement ko darshata hai, aur doosra red channel hai jo sirf pichle haftay ki upward movement ko represent karta hai. Isliye, is haftay ka direction abhi tak tay nahi hua.

Agar triangle ko upward break kiya jata hai aur 4 trading ghanton tak uske upar stable rehta hai, to price ko upward direction samjha ja sakta hai. Agar triangle ko downward break kiya jata hai aur price blue side channel ke andar rehti hai, to price downward ya sideways direction mein samjhi jayegi.

Economically, yen ki girawat ka sabab yeh hai ke Bank of Japan interest rate barhane mein jaldi nahi kar rahi. Pichle haftay, Japanese yen ne 2% se zyada ki girawat dekhi jab Bank of Japan ne 0.25% par interest rate ko steady rakha, jo ke expected tha. Governor Kazuo Ueda ne press conference mein economy mein "kuch kamzori" ka zikar kiya, jo pehle ki statements se thoda zyada tolerant tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq, unke comments ne October rate hike ke chances ko kam kar diya, lekin December hike ab bhi expected hai. Ueda ne yeh bhi kaha ke economy dhire dhire modest recovery ki taraf badh rahi hai, aur agar economic aur price forecasts achieve hote hain, to central bank “easing ke degree ko adjust karta rahega.” Bahar se, yen ko Fed ke aggressive rate cut ke baad rising risk asset prices ka pressure bhi mehsoos hua, jo global economic outlook ko behtar banata hai.

**USD/JPY Market Movements**
Main real-time USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka tajziya kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair 142.01 ke din ke opening se neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin daily Pivot level 141.73 se ooper hai. Primary indicators upward ka ishara karte hain, aur qeemat MA72 trend line ke ooper position mein hai, jahaan volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Agar qeemat 141.91 ke upar chali jati hai, toh pair resistance level 142.01 tak barh sakti hai aur mumkin hai ke 143.01 tak bhi pohanch jaye. Agar yeh 141.73 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh 141.41 ya 140.91 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair monthly Pivot level 146.25 (pehle 153.86) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, weekly Pivot level 141.65 (pehle 143.76) ke upar, aur daily Pivot 141.73 ke qareeb hai, jo ek corrective phase ko zahir karta hai. Wave structure abhi bhi bearish hai, aur MACD indicator abhi tak oversold zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. August ke low ke baad ek bullish divergence CUI par nazar ayi, jabke doosra NPI indicator oversold zone se barhna shuru ho gaya hai.

**USD/JPY Pair ka Hal**
USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek chhoti trading range mein navigate kar raha hai, aur pichlay din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, khaaskar Monday ko. Yeh tabdeeli ziada tar uss wajah se hai ke market Federal Reserve ke aanay wale meeting ke hawalay se intezaar kar raha hai, jo Wednesday ko mutawaqqa hai. Traders in developments ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair ke direction ko asar kar sakte hain. Bunyadi tor par Yen ke liye outlook mazboot lagta hai. Hal hi ke data ne currency ki high demand zahir ki, khaaskar Japan ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 3.0% YoY barh gaya, jo ke October 2023 ke baad se sabse ziada hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy par dubara ghore karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market yehi sochta hai ke interest rates qareebi waqt mein tabdeel nahi honge. Yeh ek aisa


mahaul paida karta hai jahan Yen appreciate kar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain. Doosri taraf, USBank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy par dubara ghore karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market yehi sochta hai ke interest rates qareebi waqt mein tabdeel nahi honge. Yeh ek aisa mahaul paida karta hai jahan Yen appreciate kar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain. Doosri taraf, US Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai. Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki barhti hui umeedon ne Dollar par bearish sentiment ko barhawa diya hai. Market participants apni umeedon ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur US ka economic data jo aaj release hona hai, yeh halat ko aur pechida bana Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai. Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki barhti hui umeedon ne Dollar par bearish sentiment ko barhawa diya hai. Market participants apni umeedon ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur US ka economic data jo aaj release hona hai, yeh halat ko aur pechida bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein khaas volatility ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab Fed ka faisla qareeb hai.

USD/JPY ki recent performance par baat karte hain. Pichlay haftay mein, humne 4-hour chart par ek bullish candle ke sath week khatam kiya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye upward momentum darshata hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment aur long positions ki sambhavana ko signal kar raha hai. Is ke alawa, stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session mein, bulls ne pehla resistance level successfully test aur break kiya, aur ab pair 143.88 par trade kar raha hai. Classic Pivot reversal levels ke mutabiq, intraday indicator yeh darshata hai ke agay aur growth mumkin hai. Mera andaza hai ke agle haftay mein upward movement jari rahegi, aur agar pair dusre resistance level 145.13 ko break kar leta hai, to yeh naya local high 146.47 tak ja sakta hai. Agar market correction hoti hai, to 139.45 ka support level potential declines ke liye crucial hoga.


Daily chart par, USD/JPY pehle ek uptrend channel mein tha lekin 161.597 ke high se retreat kiya. Jab pair ne decline shuru kiya, profit-taking ne ek chain reaction trigger kiya, jis se bohot saari buy stops lag gayi. Sell-off volume bhi notable tha, aur mujhe laga ke pair eventually apni upward trajectory resume karega, targeting 141.726 tak pehle. Hum dekhte hain ke price 139.823 se bounce hua hai pehle low ko surpass karne ke baad. Mera andaza hai ke aur growth hogi, jiska aim 154.540 ka resistance level hai. Bulls recent downtrend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin price 50% Fibonacci level, jo ke 144.58 par hai, ke critical technical resistance ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Jab ke mujhe lagta hai ke bulls is level ko test karenge, lekin yeh strong resistance ban sakta hai aur price ko bearish direction mein dhakel sakta hai.

USD/JPY ki recent performance par baat karte hain. Pichlay haftay mein, humne 4-hour chart par ek bullish candle ke sath week khatam kiya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye upward momentum darshata hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment aur long positions ki sambhavana ko signal kar raha hai. Is ke alawa, stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session mein, bulls ne pehla resistance level successfully test aur break kiya, aur ab pair 143.88 par trade kar raha hai. Classic Pivot reversal levels ke mutabiq, intraday indicator yeh darshata hai ke agay aur growth mumkin hai. Mera andaza hai ke agle haftay mein upward movement jari rahegi, aur agar pair dusre resistance level 145.13 ko break kar leta hai, to yeh naya local high 146.47 tak ja sakta hai. Agar market correction hoti hai, to 139.45 ka support level potential declines ke liye crucial hoga.


Daily chart par, USD/JPY pehle ek uptrend channel mein tha lekin 161.597 ke high se retreat kiya. Jab pair ne decline shuru kiya, profit-taking ne ek chain reaction trigger kiya, jis se bohot saari buy stops lag gayi. Sell-off volume bhi notable tha, aur mujhe laga ke pair eventually apni upward trajectory resume karega, targeting 141.726 tak pehle. Hum dekhte hain ke price 139.823 se bounce hua hai pehle low ko surpass karne ke baad. Mera andaza hai ke aur growth hogi, jiska aim 154.540 ka resistance level hai. Bulls recent downtrend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin price 50% Fibonacci level, jo ke 144.58 par hai, ke critical technical resistance ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Jab ke mujhe lagta hai ke bulls is level ko test karenge, lekin yeh strong resistance ban sakta hai aur price ko bearish direction mein dhakel sakta hai.
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Forex Trading ka tajziya: USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ka price behavior ka tajziya zaroori hai. Japan ne September mein interest rates nahi badhaye, lekin saal ke aakhir tak rates barhane ki umeed hai. Daily chart par, bears ne 140.009 ka daily target level hit kar liya hai, aur MACD divergence ki taraf dekhte hue, retracement ki umeed hai. Is waqt ka mahol yen ke haq mein hai, lekin jaldi hi tabdeel ho sakta hai. Girawat bohat tezi se hui, purane fractal support 140.265 ko todte hue, jo pehle ke upward structure ki kamzori ka ishara hai. Itni bade girawat ke baad seedha downside trade karna behtar nahi lagta. Fractal support tootne se market dynamics tabdeel ho gaye hain, aur upside retracement ka mauqa mil sakta hai.

Pullback percentage mein shayad modest ho, lagbhag 50% ki girawat, lekin points ke lehaz se yeh kafi bara ho sakta hai. Ab tak humne decline ka 23.5% bhi nahi retrace kiya. Mere growth objectives ka pichla target is pullback area se milta hai. Maine chart par do Fibonacci grids draw ki hain, kyunki doosre indicators ne Friday se wazeh insights nahi di. Grids map karne ke baad, maine ek green zone identify kiya hai, jo 150.751 aur 151.090 ke levels ke darmiyan potential target area hai—50% aur 261% Fibonacci levels ka darshak. In grids mein ek corrective aur ek impulse hai, jo growth wave par stretched hain. "Head and shoulders" pattern mein right shoulder banne ki sambhavna hai.

MACD indicator ab bhi income ke decrease zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar cross kar chuka hai. Pichle August ke minimum update ke baad, bullish divergence MACD par dekhi gayi thi, aur CCI indicator bhi lower overheating region se upar move kar chuka hai, jo bullish divergence ko confirm karta hai.Last week multi-directional raha, lekin ultimately buyers jeet gaye Aur price ko upward push diya, jabke kai baar decline attempt kiye gaye. Horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, balkay downside par rebound kiya. Lekin neeche se price wapas rebound karke isi level par aa gaya hai, aur abhi isi resistance point par hai. Yeh possibility hai ke jab price is level ko break kare, toh bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho.Filhal yeh area buying ke liye ideal nahi hai, kyun ke price resistance ke pass hai, aur inclined line bhi waves ke crests ke qareeb hai . Best approach yeh hogi ke wait karein jab tak price clearly is level ko upar break kare aur bullish development shuru ho. Mera target level 149.08 hai, lekin selling ka yahan koi point nahi hai kyun ke bearish scenario unlikely hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hoga ke doosri major currencies apni weakness against USD ko support karein. US dollar ke comparison mein, currencies abhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hain. Aaj ka key economic data US Consumer Confidence Index ko 17:00 GMT par release kiya jayega, jo market ke sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. USD/JPY Tuesday ko 143.70 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq pair descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. If price neeche move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko test kar sakta hai jo 143.01 par hai . Is level ke neeche move karne par price 139.58 area ko explore kar sakti hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest point hai. Agar price upar break kare, toh pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne apni best daily performance record ki, jab price 140 level par strong settlement ke baad green mein move kiya. Federal Reserve ka decision between 25bp or 50bp rate cut aaj 18:00 GMT par expected hai. Regular 25bp rate cut ek partial recovery ko support kar sakta hai, jabke pair 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai

ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, jahan officials ne mazeed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautiously approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar