usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek tight trading range mein chal raha hai, aur guzishta din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, khaaskar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals provide karega. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko is currency pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye effective tor par position kar sakte hain.

Main is waqt real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ka price analysis kar raha hoon. Hamari current expectations yeh hain ke hum ek munasib opportunity dekhain jo humein apne trading plans ko ya to upwards ya downwards execute karne ka mauqa dey. Yeh baat mad-e-nazar rakhte hue ke abhi ek strong downtrend chal raha hai, main yeh umeed karta hoon ke ek significant correction bane jo price ko temporarily upar le jaaye, aur phir decline ka silsila wapas shuru ho. Corection ka intezar karna trading mein ek mushkil kaam hota hai kyunki jab bhi price retracement karti hai to yeh us correction ka aghaz hota hai, aur USD/JPY pair ka behavior kabhi kabhi unpredictable ho sakta hai. Isliye ihtiyaat baratna zaroori hai. Main abhi ke current levels par selling mein dilchaspi nahi rakhta, lekin ek achi pullback zaroori hai pehle ke hum naye targets ka ta'aqqub karen.Jis tarah Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke meetings ke natayij aane wale hain, market mein kaafi ziada volatility ki umeed hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, bearish side par abhi bhi mera rujhan hai, lekin ek strong pullback ki zarurat hai. Agar price 145.76 level ke upar chale jaaye, to phir yeh munasib hoga ke selling ko consider kiya jaye.USD/JPY pair Asian session mein ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Yen ne Monday ko dollar ke muqable mein thodi kamzori dikhayi hai. Yeh move un expectations ki wajah se hai jo upcoming Federal Reserve meeting par hain jo ke Wednesday ko honi hai. Pair ab ek correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin mujhe yeh growth sustainable nahi lagti. Yen ke liye demand abhi bhi kaafi strong hai.Aaj ka din, USD/JPY pair ke liye US markets ka khulna intehai ahem hoga. US se kuch important economic data bhi aane wale hain jo currency markets mein significant volatility la sakte hain. Main expect nahi karta ke din ke pehle hissay mein koi bari moves dekhnay ko milengi, lekin overall downtrend ka silsila wapas shuru hone ka imkaan hai.Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai, aur main us level ke neeche selling ka soch raha hoon, jisme targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Aik doosra scenario yeh bhi hai ke agar pair 141.35 mark ko break kar ke us ke upar consolidate kar le, to price ke 141.65 aur 141.85 tak janay ka rasta khul jaye ga. In levels ke mutabiq, main dobara se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

USD/JPY Price Movement Studies

Mein iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time pricing analysis ka jaiza le raha hoon. Hamari current expectations yeh hain ke ek aisi moqa milay jo humein apne trading plans ko execute karne ka mauqa de, chahe upar ya neeche. Downtrend bohot strong hai, aur mein umeed kar raha hoon ke ek significant correction form ho, jo temporarily rise ki wajah banay, phir decline resume ho jaye. Correction ka intezaar karna challenging hota hai, kyunki retracement ka matlab hota hai ke correction ka aghaz ho gaya, aur iss pair ka behavior unpredictable ho sakta hai.

Caution ki zarurat hai, kyunki mein current levels par sell karne ka rujhan nahi rakhta. Ek notable pullback zaroori hai naye goals ko target karne se pehle. Fed aur Bank of Japan ke aane walay meetings ke madde nazar, significant price movements expected hain. Mera bias ab bhi bearish side par hai, lekin ek achha pullback chahiye. Agar price 145.76 ke upar jata hai, tab sell consider karna chahiye.

USD/JPY Pair Ka Asian Session Mein Halat

USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jo kal ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Yen ne Monday ko dollar ke muqable mein weakness dikhayi. Yeh movement Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ke meeting ke intezaar ki wajah se hai. Pair pichle hafte ke end mein girnay ke baad correction phase mein dakhil honay ki koshish kar raha hai. Mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh growth lambi chalegi. Yen ki demand ab bhi high hai. Aaj ka pair US markets ke khulnay ka intezaar karega. USA se ahem data aayega, jo currency markets mein significant volatility la sakta hai.

Pehle Adhay Din Mein Movements Aur Possible Scenarios

Mujhe nahi lagta ke pehle aadhe din mein pair koi bari moves dekhega, aur correction upar ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai. Lekin overall, mera khayal hai ke downward trend wapas shuru hoga. Reversal point 141.35 expected hai, aur mein iss point ke neeche sell karunga, jismein targets 139.85 aur 139.35 honge. Haan, doosra scenario bhi ho sakta hai ke pair upar jaye, 141.35 mark ko break kare, aur merge ho jaye. Phir raasta 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak khul jaye ga. In markers ki buniyad par, mein phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

ستمبر 20 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

جیسا کہ ہم نے 18 ستمبر کو پچھلے تجزیے میں اندازہ لگایا تھا، ین نے اپنی مضبوطی کی حد کو بڑھا دیا ہے اور نزولی قیمت کے چینل سے الگ ہو گیا ہے، جسے باطل کر دیا گیا ہے۔ تاہم، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے رہتی ہے، جو موجودہ اوپر کی جانب رجحان کے اندر ایک اعتدال پسند اصلاح کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔



اصلاح ہدف کی سطح 146.50 کے قریب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک گہری ہو سکتی ہے۔ اس سطح سے اوپر بریک آؤٹ رجحان کو اوپر کی طرف موومنٹ میں بدل دے گا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ایک تنگ رینج (گرے مستطیل) کے اندر رہا ہے۔ ہلکا سبز مستطیل قابل اجازت اصلاحی رینج کی نمائندگی کرتا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ سائیڈ ویز کا رجحان جاری رہے گا۔

قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے اوپر رہتی ہے۔ مارلن مثبت علاقے میں ہے۔ 143.60 سے اوپر مضبوط ہونا 146.50 کی طرف ترقی کی پہلی کوشش کو نشان زد کرے گا۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (141.41) کو توڑنے سے 139.70-140.27 کی حد کو جانچنے کے لیے قیمت کو رفتار ملے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve Inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se sukke barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain. Kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega . Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho saka hai

**USD/JPY Pair ka Market Analysis**

USD/JPY pair aaj subah ki session mein aik tang trading range ka samna kar raha hai, jo pichle din ke closing levels ke nazdeek hai. Haal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi hai, jo khas tor par Monday ko zahir hui. Yeh tabdeeli zyada tar Federal Reserve ke aane wale meeting ki umeedon se judi hai jo Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Traders in developments ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain, kyunki yeh pair ki direction par asar daal sakti hain. Bunyadi tor par, Yen ka outlook mazboot hai. Haal ki data ne currency ke liye unchi demand dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Japan ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 3.0% YoY tak barh gaya, jo October 2023 ke baad ka sab se uncha darja hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par dobaara ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halankeh market umeed karti hai ke interest rates qareeb ke waqt mein unchanged rahenge. Is se aisi halat ban sakti hai jahan Yen ki keemat barh sakti hai agar maashi halaat behtar hoti rahen.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai. Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ke imkaan badh rahe hain, jo Dollar ke liye bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Jab market participants apni umeedon ko adjust karte hain, aaj ke dauran release hone wale US economic data ka asar situtation ko aur complicate kar sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka dekha jana umeed hai, khaaskar jab Fed ka faisla nazdeek hai.

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair filhal correction phase mein ghusne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabke pichle haftay ke trading ke akhir mein isne girawat dekhi. Jabke kuch short-term mein upward movement ki sambhavna hai, lekin overall trend yeh darshata hai ke neeche ki taraf ka rukh jald wapas aa sakta hai. Watch karne ke liye key levels mein reversal point 141.35 shamil hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girta hai, to selling opportunities ban sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 rakhe ja sakte hain.

Agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar leta hai, to bullish scenario ban sakta hai, jo price ko 141.65 aur 141.85 ke uchi resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein dobaara ghusne ki koshish kar sakte hain, umeed karte hue ke broader downward trend continue rahega.

Overall, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan dono buniyadi aur technical factors iski movement ko asar daal rahe hain. Market Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ke asraat ko samajhne ki koshish kar raha hai jabke Japan ki economic performance ko bhi dekh raha hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye jab significant data US se release hota hai.

Din guzarne ke sath, yeh crucial hoga ke dekha jaye ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko todne ki salahiyat agle price action ke liye wazeh signals faraham karegi. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders khud ko effectively position kar sakte hain taake is currency pair ki complexities ko navigate kar saken.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japani yen ne guzishta trading haftay ke dauran apni taqat mein izafa kiya aur apne pehlay highs ko thora update karne mein kamyab raha. Jab price 147.45 ki rukawat tak pohnchi, toh achanak se girawat shuru hui aur aik waqt mein 141.88 tak chali gayi aur wahan support mil gaya. Magar yeh target area tak pohnch nahi saki. Is tarah, girawat ka muntazir scenario hissa tor par pura hua hai. Filhaal, price chart super trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ki taraf se pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar aaj ke 240-minute chart ko dekha jaye, toh hum dekhte hain ke 145.30 ka support level toot gaya hai aur simple moving averages ka negative break dikhayi deta hai, jo girawat ke dobara shuru hone ka ishara hai aur girawat ke imkaan ko support karta hai. Is liye, downtrend ke barqarar rehne ke imkaan zyada hain jab tak ke price pehlay tootay hue support level ke neeche (jo ab resistance level ban gaya hai 145.20 par) kaam karti rahegi, jiska awwal target 142.75 hai. Dusri taraf, agar kam az kam aik hourly close 145.30 ke upar hota hai, toh pair dobara bullish rasta ikhtiyar karegi, aur 146.50 aur 147.50 ka imkaan hoga. Neeche chart dekhein

Price ka 145.91 ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf harakat kar raha tha, jo ke scenario No. 1 ke mutabiq selling ka sabab bana. Nateeja tor par, pair mein 50 pips se zyada ki girawat hui. Jaise ke expect kiya gaya tha, Federal Reserve ke minutes ke jaari hone ke baad dollar par pressure barh gaya, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak le aya. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, manufacturing activity ke kamzor numbers ke bawajood yen thora sa kamzor hua, jab ke Japan ke services sector mein izafi growth dekhi gayi. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thora izafa ka sabab bana. US dollar ki zahiri kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche le jaari hai, lekin kal Jerome Powell ke speech par bohat kuch mabni hai, is liye current levels par short positions ke hawale se ehtiyaat zaroori hai

Jahan tak intraday strategy ka taluq hai, main buy signals ka intezar kar raha hoon, Scenario No. 1 ke mutabiq. Aaj, main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko khareedoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 ke ird gird pohanche, jo ke chart par green line se mark ki gayi hai, aur mera target 146.13 hai, jo ke chart par moti green line se mark kiya gaya hai. 146.13 ke area mein, main long positions ko close kar ke opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, aur umeed karoon ga ke level se 30-35 pips ki harakat ho. Hum aaj pair se upar ki taraf correction ki soorat mein izafa ki tawaqo kar sakte hain. Ahem: Kharidari se pehle yeh yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se upar ki taraf harakat shuru kar raha ho

USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se ehtiyat barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain. kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

Japanese yen ne apne din ke dauran kuch faida khoya, lekin phir bhi mazboot raha, jab ke Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ko ek bara rate cut hone ki umeed barh rahi hai. Ab traders ka rujhan Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ke faislay par hai, jo Friday ko aane wala hai. Umeed hai ke BoJ interest rates ko barqarar rakhega lekin agay rate hike ka darwaza khula chhod dega. August mein Japan ka merchandise trade balance ek bara trade deficit ke sath 695.3 billion yen par tha, jo pichle maheenay ke 628.7 billion yen se zyada tha, lekin market ke 1,380 billion yen ke expected gap se kafi kam. Exports mein 5.6% ka izafa hua, jo no maeeno se lagataar growth dikhata hai, lekin umeed ke 10.0% se kam raha. Imports mein sirf 2.3% ka izafa hua, jo pichle paanch maeeno ka sabse sust rujhan tha, aur 13.4% ke expected izafay se bohot kam raha. Dusri taraf, US dollar dabao mein hai, kyun ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) se umeed hai ke Wednesday ko ek bara 50 basis point ka rate cut announce hoga. CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai ke 25bp rate cut ka probability ab 33.0% par hai, jab ke 50bp rate cut ka probability 67.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo pehle din 62.0% tha.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis:

Aaj ke din USD/JPY pair mein ek tezi se girawat dekhi gayi, jo 14 maeeno ka low 139.56 tak pohch gaya, aur sharp sell-off jari hai. Prices mid-August se downtrend mein hain, aur technical oscillators bhi is rujhan ki tasdeeq kar rahe hain. MACD trigger aur zero lines ke neeche hai, jab ke RSI 30 level se neeche hai. Mazeed downside pressure se bears ko July 2023 ke low 137.25 tak push kar sakta hai, aur phir April 2023 ka psychological level 133.00 tak gir sakta hai. Agar price mein thoda izafa hota hai, toh short-term falling trend line 141.70 par upward momentum ko rokh sakti hai. Traders ko FED data par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market ka faida utha saken.

mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai. Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta.Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi. Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka yearly low 139.58 ek key support level serve kare

USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek tight trading range mein chal raha hai, aur guzishta din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, khaaskar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals provide karega. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko is currency pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye

Mujhay lagta hai ke diversity buri cheez nahi hai, lekin abhi tak mere paas itna paisa nahi hai ke mai alag alag jagahon par invest kar sakoon. Jab tak pound aur yen ka muqabla hai, yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kaunsa instrument behtar hai, kyun ke har trader ki apni pasand hoti hai. Aur jab mai news indicators par focus nahi karta, toh yeh masla mere liye ziata ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Mai sirf chart par dekhta hoon aur wahan jo nazar aata hai, us par kaam karta hoon. Mera tareeqa sirf technical analysis par mabni hai, economic news ko main zyada ahmiyat nahi deta. Bus news release ka waqt yaad rakhta hoon. Maine yeh dekha hai ke kisi bhi news ka price direction par koi khas asar nahi hota jab news release hoti hai. USD/JPY ke hawalay se, jab se Bank of Japan ne rate hikes ka aaghaz kiya hai, ek medium-term downward trend ban sakta hai jisse paisa kamaya ja sakta hai. Agar price 149-150 tak barh jaye, toh mai sell karna shuru karunga. Halaanke abhi ek minimal correction hai, lekin technically yeh pair mazeed strong growth dekhna chahiye. Aise trend breakouts ka matlab hota hai ke mazid growth ki umeed hai, lekin filhal mujhe buy karne ka koi dil nahi hai. Technical Perspective se: USD/JPY pair is waqt 144.73 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ko mazeed aage barhne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Agar hum daily chart ka jaiza lein, toh pair ek bearish outlook dikhata hai, jahan technical indicators ek possible decline ki taraf ishara karte hain. Haal hi mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne apni position gain ki, aur 144.57 par close hui, jo 143.67 se barh kar 145.04 tak gayi thi. Yeh price action yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi kuch resilience dikha raha hai, halaanke bearish indicators hain. Traders ko umeed hai ke aaj USD/JPY 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein trade karegi, jab ke ek ahem resistance level 145.70 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level barkarar rahta hai, toh pair ke liye mazeed barhna mushkil hoga. Technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke pair pichlay kuch dino mein koi significant decline nahi dikha saki, jo yeh imply karta hai ke bearish momentum ko market ke halat offset kar sakte hain. Ongoing resistance aur expected trading ran ge yeh highlight karte hain ke market is waqt uncertain hai, aur traders ko resistance levels aur price movements ko ghair-mamooli ehtiyaat se dekhna hoga. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish sentiment toh hai, lekin pair ka resistance levels ke qareeb apni jagah bana kar rakhna complex market environment ko dikhata hai, jo ainday ke trading decisions ke liye mazeed ehmiyat rakhta hai

mai alag alag jagahon par invest kar sakoon. Jab tak pound aur yen ka muqabla hai, yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kaunsa instrument behtar hai, kyun ke har trader ki apni pasand hoti hai. Aur jab mai news indicators par focus nahi karta, toh yeh masla mere liye ziata ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Mai sirf chart par dekhta hoon aur wahan jo nazar aata hai, us par kaam karta hoon. Mera tareeqa sirf technical analysis par mabni hai, economic news ko main zyada ahmiyat nahi deta. Bus news release ka waqt yaad rakhta hoon. Maine yeh dekha hai ke kisi bhi news ka price direction par koi khas asar nahi hota jab news release hoti hai. USD/JPY ke hawalay se, jab se Bank of Japan ne rate hikes ka aaghaz kiya hai, ek medium-term downward trend ban sakta hai jisse paisa kamaya ja sakta hai. Agar price 149-150 tak barh jaye, toh mai sell karna shuru karunga. Halaanke abhi ek minimal correction hai, lekin technically yeh pair mazeed strong growth dekhna chahiye. Aise trend breakouts ka matlab hota hai ke mazid growth ki umeed hai, lekin filhal mujhe buy karne ka koi dil nahi hai. Technical Perspective se: USD/JPY pair is waqt 144.73 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ko mazeed aage barhne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Agar hum daily chart ka jaiza lein, toh pair ek bearish outlook dikhata hai, jahan technical indicators ek possible decline ki taraf ishara karte hain. Haal hi mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne apni position gain ki, aur 144.57 par close hui, jo 143.67 se barh kar 145.04 tak gayi thi. Yeh price action yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi kuch resilience dikha raha hai, halaanke bearish indicators hain. Traders ko umeed hai ke aaj USD/JPY 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein trade karegi, jab ke ek ahem resistance level 145.70 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level barkarar rahta hai, toh pair ke liye mazeed barhna mushkil hoga. Technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke pair pichlay kuch dino mein koi significant decline nahi dikha saki, jo yeh imply karta hai ke bearish momentum ko market ke halat offset kar sakte hain. Ongoing resistance aur expected trading range yeh highlight karte hain ke market is waqt uncertain hai, aur traders ko resistance levels aur price movements ko ghair-mamooli ehtiyaat se dekhna hoga. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish sentiment toh hai, lekin pair ka resistance levels ke qareeb apni jagah bana kar rakhna complex market environment ko dikhata hai, jo ainday ke trading decisions ke liye mazeed ehmiyat rakhta haiClick image for larger ver

Is haftay ke tamam aham bunyadi waqiat ho chuke hain. Bazaar ne ek dafa phir yeh sabit kiya hai ke bunyadi waqiat ki fitrat zyada ma'ni nahi rakhti. Har ek waqia mein, bazaar sirf un asraat ko dhund leta hai jo dollar ke khilaf kaam karte hain, aur baqi cheezon ko nazarandaz kar deta hai. Asal mein, ab bazaar Fed ke rates aur BoE/European Central Bank ke rates ke darmiyan ubharti hue farq ko dekhte hue dollar bech sakta hai. Ab bazaar yeh tawakku karta hai ke Fed British ya European central banks se ziada jaldi apne rates kum karega, jo ek nai bechne ki lehr ko janam de sakta hai. ECB ka ijlaas guzishta haftay ho chuka hai, is liye ECB ki president Christine Lagarde ka aaj ka khitaab bazaar ko koi naya aham maaloomat dene ka imkaan nahi rakhta

Aam Natayej: Is haftay ke aakhri trading din mein, dono currency pairs bohot sakoon se trade kar sakti hain. Bazari rujhan yeh darshata hai ke dono pairs aaj bhi barh sakte hain. Sath hi, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh theek ho jayein. Is liye behtareen tareeqa yeh hoga ke technical levels, formations, aur patterns ki buniyad par trade kiya jaye. Kisi ko nahi pata ke bara players kab tak U.S. dollar bechte rahenge ya Fed ke monetary easing ko kitni der tak price karte rahenge. Jaise ke humne 18 September ke pehle tajziye mein andaza lagaya tha, yen ne apni consolidation range ko barhaya hai aur girti hui price channel se nikal gaya hai, jo ab kaar amad nahi raha. Magar, price ab bhi balance indicator line se neeche hai, jo ke maujooda upward trend mein ek miyanadrajha correction ko darshata hai. Correction aur gehra ho sakta hai, aur MACD line ke qareeb target level 146.50 tak ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar ka breakout trend ko reverse kar ke ek upward movement mein tabdeel kar dega. Marlin oscillator ne ek tang range mein apni position barqarar rakhi hui hai (gray rectangle). Halka sabz rectangle dikhata hai ke kitna corrective range mumkin hai. Hum tawakku karte hain ke sideways trend jari rahega. Price four-hour chart mein balance aur MACD lines ke upar hai. Marlin positive area mein hai. 143.60 ke upar consolidate karna pehli koshish hogi 146.50 ki taraf growth ke liye. MACD line (141.41) ke tootne par price ko 139.70-140.27 range test karne ka momentum mil sakta hai

Main is waqt real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ka price analysis kar raha hoon. Hamari current expectations yeh hain ke hum ek munasib opportunity dekhain jo humein apne trading plans ko ya to upwards ya downwards execute karne ka mauqa dey. Yeh baat mad-e-nazar rakhte hue ke abhi ek strong downtrend chal raha hai, main yeh umeed karta hoon ke ek significant correction bane jo price ko temporarily upar le jaaye, aur phir decline ka silsila wapas shuru ho. Corection ka intezar karna trading mein ek mushkil kaam hota hai kyunki jab bhi price retracement karti hai to yeh us correction ka aghaz hota hai, aur USD/JPY pair ka behavior kabhi kabhi unpredictable ho sakta hai. Isliye ihtiyaat baratna zaroori hai. Main abhi ke current levels par selling mein dilchaspi nahi rakhta, lekin ek achi pullback zaroori hai pehle ke hum naye targets ka ta'aqqub karen.Jis tarah Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke meetings ke natayij aane wale hain, market mein kaafi ziada volatility ki umeed hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, bearish side par abhi bhi mera rujhan hai, lekin ek strong pullback ki zarurat hai. Agar price 145.76 level ke upar chale jaaye, to phir yeh munasib hoga ke selling ko consider kiya jaye.USD/JPY pair Asian session mein ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Yen ne Monday ko dollar ke muqable mein thodi kamzori dikhayi hai. Yeh move un expectations ki wajah se hai jo upcoming Federal Reserve meeting par hain jo ke Wednesday ko honi hai. Pair ab ek correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin mujhe yeh growth sustainable nahi lagti. Yen ke liye demand abhi bhi kaafi strong hai.Aaj ka din, USD/JPY pair ke liye US markets ka khulna intehai ahem hoga. US se kuch important economic data bhi aane wale hain jo currency markets mein significant volatility la sakte hain. Main expect nahi karta ke din ke pehle hissay mein koi bari moves dekhnay ko milengi, lekin overall downtrend ka silsila wapas shuru hone ka imkaan hai.Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai, aur main us level ke neeche selling ka soch raha hoon, jisme targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Aik doosra scenario yeh bhi hai ke agar pair 141.35 mark ko break kar ke us ke upar consolidate kar le, to price ke 141.65 aur 141.85 tak janay ka rasta khul jaye ga. In levels ke mutabiq, main dobara se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.