usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

currency pair ne mazboot ameerika ki maeeshati data se sath mila lekin. Is data ne traders ko barqarar hone wale ameerika federal reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye unke umeedon ko las band karne par majboor kiya hai, is tarah USD ko mazboot bana diya hai.
Saath he, gharbi Asia ke ilaqon mein husol hune wale siyasi bechainiyan currency markets par asar dalne ki salahiyaat rakhti hain. Al Arabiya ke mutabiq, American officials Hezbollah or Iran ka jawab ane ka tawaqqa rakh rahe hain, shuruati tajjiayen is haftay ke shuru mein ik mumkin tanseeb ki soorat la rai thi. Lekin, taaza istiqlal ne is umeed ko mor kar diya hai, isharat dete hain ke kisi bhi jawab ko mukhir shanivar ya jumeraat ke doran taakhir kiya gaya ja sakta hai. Aise mosarafat safe-haven currencies jese JPY ke liye demand ko barha sakti hain.

America ke interest rate cuts ke gehrafeian ke charon taraf bazaar ki khasosi misalaat ke tor par asar andaz hoti rehti hain. CME ka FedWatch Tool buhat zaiyaa expectation har aik bazaar main federal reserve ki September main 50 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ka mohtawar samjha jata hai, is ke alawa mazeed cuts ka hum bandarana shak hai 2024 ke reht alawa. Ye tezfehmein Greenback par mazeed niche dabaou dal sakti hain, USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar sakti hain.

Technical Analysis and Market Trends

Pair ke august 5 ke low se farigh hone ka dhaga ab tak corrective zaroor lagraha hota hai sustained trend ki bajaay. 143.11 ke level ke takedil tor par guzar jana hali ki short-term uptrend ki sadagi ki shakiyat paida kar sakti hai or taqaruri nazool ki alamat dikhane ki soorat bhi ho sakti hai. Albata, 141.00 ke darj ke nichay girawat price ko 140.00 zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai, mazeed bearish movement ki alamat dene se. Currency pair ne hal he menah ik standard ABC correction puri karte waqt ek base banai hue thi august mein. Agar keemat wave "c" ke high ke darj ko tor de, to ye is correction ke trend ka pata batane wale bara, ummidwar bearing trend mein tabdeel ho ga sakta hai. Aise breakout ke doran price 144.90 level ki taraf tawaja ja sakta hai

Japanese yen ne apne din ke dauran kuch faida khoya, lekin phir bhi mazboot raha, jab ke Federal Reserve ke Wednesday ko ek bara rate cut hone ki umeed barh rahi hai. Ab traders ka rujhan Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ke faislay par hai, jo Friday ko aane wala hai. Umeed hai ke BoJ interest rates ko barqarar rakhega lekin agay rate hike ka darwaza khula chhod dega. August mein Japan ka merchandise trade balance ek bara trade deficit ke sath 695.3 billion yen par tha, jo pichle maheenay ke 628.7 billion yen se zyada tha, lekin market ke 1,380 billion yen ke expected gap se kafi kam. Exports mein 5.6% ka izafa hua, jo no maeeno se lagataar growth dikhata hai, lekin umeed ke 10.0% se kam raha. Imports mein sirf 2.3% ka izafa hua, jo pichle paanch maeeno ka sabse sust rujhan tha, aur 13.4% ke expected izafay se bohot kam raha. Dusri taraf, US dollar dabao mein hai, kyun ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) se umeed hai ke Wednesday ko ek bara 50 basis point ka rate cut announce hoga. CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai ke 25bp rate cut ka probability ab 33.0% par hai, jab ke 50bp rate cut ka probability 67.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo pehle din 62.0% tha.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis:

Aaj ke din USD/JPY pair mein ek tezi se girawat dekhi gayi, jo 14 maeeno ka low 139.56 tak pohch gaya, aur sharp sell-off jari hai. Prices mid-August se downtrend mein hain, aur technical oscillators bhi is rujhan ki tasdeeq kar rahe hain. MACD trigger aur zero lines ke neeche hai, jab ke RSI 30 level se neeche hai. Mazeed downside pressure se bears ko July 2023 ke low 137.25 tak push kar sakta hai, aur phir April 2023 ka psychological level 133.00 tak gir sakta hai. Agar price mein thoda izafa hota hai, toh short-term falling trend line 141.70 par upward momentum ko rokh sakti hai. Traders ko FED data par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market ka faida utha saken.

Yeh wajahain hain jis ki wajah se USD/JPY ka price apne low point se decline hua aur aik din mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai. Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta.Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi.

Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka yearly low 139.58 ek key support level serve karega, aur 139.00 ka level ek strong support zone ho sakta hai.

Yeh wajahain hain jis ki wajah se USD/JPY ka price apne low point se decline hua aur aik din mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai. Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta.Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi.
Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka yearly low 139.58 ek key support level serve karega, aur 139.00

mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai. Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta.Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi. Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka yearly low 139.58 ek key support level serve karega, aur 139.00 is

Mujhay lagta hai ke diversity buri cheez nahi hai, lekin abhi tak mere paas itna paisa nahi hai ke mai alag alag jagahon par invest kar sakoon. Jab tak pound aur yen ka muqabla hai, yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kaunsa instrument behtar hai, kyun ke har trader ki apni pasand hoti hai. Aur jab mai news indicators par focus nahi karta, toh yeh masla mere liye ziata ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Mai sirf chart par dekhta hoon aur wahan jo nazar aata hai, us par kaam karta hoon. Mera tareeqa sirf technical analysis par mabni hai, economic news ko main zyada ahmiyat nahi deta. Bus news release ka waqt yaad rakhta hoon. Maine yeh dekha hai ke kisi bhi news ka price direction par koi khas asar nahi hota jab news release hoti hai. USD/JPY ke hawalay se, jab se Bank of Japan ne rate hikes ka aaghaz kiya hai, ek medium-term downward trend ban sakta hai jisse paisa kamaya ja sakta hai. Agar price 149-150 tak barh jaye, toh mai sell karna shuru karunga. Halaanke abhi ek minimal correction hai, lekin technically yeh pair mazeed strong growth dekhna chahiye. Aise trend breakouts ka matlab hota hai ke mazid growth ki umeed hai, lekin filhal mujhe buy karne ka koi dil nahi hai. Technical Perspective se: USD/JPY pair is waqt 144.73 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ko mazeed aage barhne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Agar hum daily chart ka jaiza lein, toh pair ek bearish outlook dikhata hai, jahan technical indicators ek possible decline ki taraf ishara karte hain. Haal hi mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne apni position gain ki, aur 144.57 par close hui, jo 143.67 se barh kar 145.04 tak gayi thi. Yeh price action yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi kuch resilience dikha raha hai, halaanke bearish indicators hain. Traders ko umeed hai ke aaj USD/JPY 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein trade karegi, jab ke ek ahem resistance level 145.70 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level barkarar rahta hai, toh pair ke liye mazeed barhna mushkil hoga. Technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke pair pichlay kuch dino mein koi significant decline nahi dikha saki, jo yeh imply karta hai ke bearish momentum ko market ke halat offset kar sakte hain. Ongoing resistance aur expected trading range yeh highlight karte hain ke market is waqt uncertain hai, aur traders ko resistance levels aur price movements ko ghair-mamooli ehtiyaat se dekhna hoga. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish sentiment toh hai, lekin pair ka resistance levels ke qareeb apni jagah bana kar rakhna complex market environment ko dikhata hai, jo ainday ke trading decisions ke liye mazeed ehmiyat rakhta hai

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Japanese Yen ne guzishta trading week mein apni strength ko continue kiya aur local range tak phir se pohanch gaya. Jab price 143.53 ki barrier tak pohanchi, to ek recovery hui lekin phir decline hote hue price 140.80 tak gir gayi. Wahan se rebound ki koshish ki gayi, lekin dobara downside par return hui aur stabilize hote hue naye levels tak gir gayi. Iss decline ne target area tak poora pohanchne nahi diya, kyun ke kuch points ka increase hone ke baad price stall ho gayi. Is tarah expected reduction ka scenario partially realize hua. Chart abhi bhi super-trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ka control dikhata hai.

Yen ne Tuesday ko lower close diya jab US Census Bureau ke data ne better-than-expected US consumer spending show ki, jo retail sales data se driven tha. Yeh data US Dollar ko support kar raha tha, jo most major currencies ke against outperform kar raha tha, kyun ke investors ka khayal tha ke yeh data inflation rebound ka ishara de sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke plans ko derail kar sakta hai. USD/JPY ne Monday ke all-time high 143.4 se retreat kiya aur Tuesday ke session mein 139.40 par finish kiya, jab ke pehle din ka close 139.30 par tha. Iss session mein pair ne high 143.9 touch kiya, jab ke low 142.80 tha.



Abhi prices weekly lows ke neeche marginally trade kar rahi hain. Main resistance zone abhi tak break nahi hua, aur hold nahi kar raha, jo ke bearish trend ko relevant banata hai. Bearish rally ko continue karne ke liye consolidation 141.88 ke neeche zaroori hai, jo key resistance zone ka border bana hua hai. Retest aur subsequent reversal down se ek nayi wave ka raasta hoga jiska target 136.34 aur 133.95 ke areas mein hoga.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 144.97 ka reversal level ke upar chali jati hai, to current bearish scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

USD/CAD ka Technical Analysis
Canadian Dollar ne guzishta week ke trading sessions mein kamzori dikhayi, lekin halki si uptick ke sath agle level par pohanch gaya. Price ne 1.3563 ka level break kiya aur agle level 1.3616 tak upar chali gayi, lekin yahan usko significant resistance face karna para aur wo is level ko break nahi kar payi. Iss wajah se price restricted range mein fluctuate karti rahi. Kinetic energy ki kami ke sabab target area achieve nahi ho saka. Halan ke chart abhi bhi super-trend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ka control dikhata hai.

US Dollar ko major currencies ke against weakness face karni pari jab Federal Reserve ne apni interest rates ko 50 basis points tak cut kiya, jo expectations se zyada tha. Economic activity kaafi strong hai, magar job growth slow ho gayi hai aur unemployment thodi barh gayi hai. US Dollar index gir ke 100.41 par agaya, jo Fed ke decision se pehle 100.95 tha, aur pehle session ke close par jo 100.89 tha. Index ka high is session mein 100.96 tha aur low 100.70.



Abhi prices weekly highs ke qareeb thodi si upper side par trade kar rahi hain. Magar key support area abhi tak test nahi hua hai, aur new levels break hote hue price ne higher low form karna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke uptrend ko relevant banata hai. Bullish trend ko continue rakhne ke liye prices ko 1.3563 ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ab primary support area cross kar chuka hai. Retest aur subsequent rebound ka chance ek nayi upward movement ke liye mauka dega, jiska target 1.3735 aur 1.3793 ke areas mein hoga.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 1.3506 ka reversal level ke neeche girti hai, to ye signal current bullish scenario ko cancel karne ka hoga.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Salaam aur Subah bakhair sabhi Visitors aur Traders ko!
Kal ka din USD/JPY buyers ke liye behtareen raha jab unhoon ne upar bounce kiya aur 141.75 zone ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai.

Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara day.

Dua hai ke aapka Wednesday profitable ho!



image widget

USD/JPY currency pair ka analysis kuch is tarah se hai ke aaj ke din ki shuruaat ke baad pair 142.01 se neeche trade kar raha hai lekin abhi tak daily pivot level 141.73 ke upar hai. Bunyadi indicators upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, aur price MA72 trend line ke upar position mein hai, jahan volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Agar price 141.91 ke upar chali jaye, to yeh resistance level 142.01 ko touch kar sakti hai aur aage chal kar 143.01 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh 141.73 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh 141.41 tak ya phir 140.91 tak bhi ja sakti hai.

Pair monthly pivot level 146.25 (jo pehle 153.86 tha) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, weekly pivot level 141.65 (pehle 143.76 tha) ke upar hai, aur daily pivot 141.73 ke qareeb hai, jo corrective phase ka ishara deta hai. Wave structure abhi tak bearish hai, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. August ka low hone ke baad bullish divergence CUI pe nazar aaya, jab ke doosra NPI indicator bhi oversold zone se upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Haal hi mein growth ka aik attempt nakam raha hai, lekin divergence abhi tak mojood hai jo dubara upward momentum ke imkanat ko zinda rakhta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price agle horizontal resistance level 143.84 tak zaroor barhegi, aur doosra target descending resistance line hoga jo pichle do wave peaks ne form ki hai. Ab ke signals ke mutabiq, main intraday trades ke liye buy opportunities pe focus kar raha hoon, jab ke sales ka bhi imkan hai. Bearish trend ke bawajood, main growth ki taraf lean karta hoon kyun ke divergence aksar reversal ka ishara hota hai. Halanki current trend ke sath kaam karna zyada asaan lagta hai, lekin yeh setup kuch aur hi batata hai. Pehle bhi divergence ke bawajood price main zyada decline nahi dekha gaya, lekin ab ke halat upward move ke imkanat de rahe hain. Hourly chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke resistance ab support mein convert ho gaya hai, jo MACD par substantial divergence ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Yeh confirmation pehle hi aa chuki hai, jab price kal ke rally ke baad support tak wapis aayi.

US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ka Tajziya
Jumeraat ko US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein thoda rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve ne unexpectedly 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya. Is ke bawajood, market ka focus ab Bank of Japan ke aane wale jumay ke interest rate faislay par hai, jisse currency pair mein mazeed aham harkatain dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Maujooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair kaafi volatile hai. Magar yeh haqeeqat ke pair ¥142 ke level ke kaafi ooper trade kar raha hai, yeh dikhata hai ke buying interest jari reh sakta hai.

Ek aur ahem resistance point ¥145 ke qareeb hai, jahan kai traders market ko short karne ka soch rahe hain. Magar overall market ka jazba tabdeel hota nazar aa raha hai, aur har pullback par buyers step in kar rahe hain. Jazba mein yeh tabdeeli uptrend ke jari rehne ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, ¥140 ka level mazboot support zone sabit hua hai, jese pehle bhi highlight kiya gaya tha. Yeh area tareekhi tor par ek critical fulcrum ka kirdar ada karta raha hai aur ab bhi apni taqat barqarar rakhta hai. Halya move-up shayad oversold market ki wajah se hui correction ka nateeja hai. Magar, market mein hamesha se chalti noise aur volatility ke sabab ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Bullish momentum jari reh sakta hai, lekin risk ko manage karne ke liye choti positions ke sath market mein entry karna samajhdari hogi.

Mukhtasir mein, jabke US dollar yen ke muqablay mein kuch faida hasil kar raha hai, ¥145 ke level par kaafi bara resistance saamne hai. Traders dips ko buying opportunities ke tor par dekh sakte hain, khaaskar agar ¥140 ka support mazboot rahta hai. Magar, Bank of Japan ka aane wala faisla aur overall market volatility ehtiyaat ka taqaza karte hain.

US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ka Tajziya
Jumeraat ko US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein thoda rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve ne unexpectedly 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya. Is ke bawajood, market ka focus ab Bank of Japan ke aane wale jumay ke interest rate faislay par hai, jisse currency pair mein mazeed aham harkatain dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Maujooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair kaafi volatile hai. Magar yeh haqeeqat ke pair ¥142 ke level ke kaafi ooper trade kar raha hai, yeh dikhata hai ke buying interest jari reh sakta hai.

Ek aur ahem resistance point ¥145 ke qareeb hai, jahan kai traders market ko short karne ka soch rahe hain. Magar overall market ka jazba tabdeel hota nazar aa raha hai, aur har pullback par buyers step in kar rahe hain. Jazba mein yeh tabdeeli uptrend ke jari rehne ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, ¥140 ka level mazboot support zone sabit hua hai, jese pehle bhi highlight kiya gaya tha. Yeh area tareekhi tor par ek critical fulcrum ka kirdar ada karta raha hai aur ab bhi apni taqat barqarar rakhta hai. Halya move-up shayad oversold market ki wajah se hui correction ka nateeja hai. Magar, market mein hamesha se chalti noise aur volatility ke sabab ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Bullish momentum jari reh sakta hai, lekin risk ko manage karne ke liye choti positions ke sath market mein entry karna samajhdari hogi.

Mukhtasir mein, jabke US dollar yen ke muqablay mein kuch faida hasil kar raha hai, ¥145 ke level par kaafi bara resistance saamne hai. Traders dips ko buying opportunities ke tor par dekh sakte hain, khaaskar agar ¥140 ka support mazboot rahta hai. Magar, Bank of Japan ka aane wala faisla aur overall market volatility ehtiyaat ka taqaza karte hain.

The Story in the Charts: USD/JPY
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price assessment ka mutaala kar rahe hain. 4-hour time frame mein, bulls downtrend ko challenge karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin jese pehle zikar kiya gaya, yeh ab tak ek correction hai, na ke reversal. Bears kisi bhi waqt control wapas hasil kar sakte hain. Price abhi 1/12 angle se neeche hai aur 75% resistance level, jo ke 143.43 par hai, ke neeche hai. Yeh wo level hai jise bulls pehle hit karne ki koshish karenge jab tak bears ek mazboot defense nahi karte aur momentum ko neeche ki taraf shift nahi karte. USD/JPY pair Asian session mein girawat ke baad recover karne laga, aur MA moving average channel ke lower edge ko touch kiya. Bulls ne kaafi bearish movement ko absorb kar liya hai aur ab 142.47 ke resistance level ko dekh rahe hain. Agar buyers is level ko tor dete hain, aur 30-minute ka close iske ooper hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke upward momentum jari rahega, jo 143.74 se 144.21 ke range tak ja sakta hai.

142.47 ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 140.42 ke bearish support level tak dip karti hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ab tak 139.59 tak nahi giri, magar mein is imkaan ko nazarandaz nahi karta kyunke downtrend ab bhi dominant hai. Koi immediate target nazar nahi aata kyunke price ne na sirf 140.19 ko break kiya balke 140.00 ke level se bhi neeche gaya, lekin yeh move sustain nahi kar saka, jo ek false breakout ka signal tha. Kal market ne ek decent recovery dekhi, aur lows se qareeban 300 points ka izafa hua, magar pehle ki girawat ko dekha jaye toh yeh ab tak kafi nahi hai. Aaj focus dollar aur Federal Reserve par hai, jahan rate mein kitni kami hogi, yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai—market mein 0.5 reduction ki umeed hai. Officials ke bayanaat bhi ahem honge. Filhaal, meri position neutral hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 140 ke level tak wapas aane ka imkaan hai, aur mein wahan buy karne ka soch sakta hoon, khaaskar agar stop small ho.

The Story in the Charts: USD/JPY
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price assessment ka mutaala kar rahe hain. 4-hour time frame mein, bulls downtrend ko challenge karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin jese pehle zikar kiya gaya, yeh ab tak ek correction hai, na ke reversal. Bears kisi bhi waqt control wapas hasil kar sakte hain. Price abhi 1/12 angle se neeche hai aur 75% resistance level, jo ke 143.43 par hai, ke neeche hai. Yeh wo level hai jise bulls pehle hit karne ki koshish karenge jab tak bears ek mazboot defense nahi karte aur momentum ko neeche ki taraf shift nahi karte. USD/JPY pair Asian session mein girawat ke baad recover karne laga, aur MA moving average channel ke lower edge ko touch kiya. Bulls ne kaafi bearish movement ko absorb kar liya hai aur ab 142.47 ke resistance level ko dekh rahe hain. Agar buyers is level ko tor dete hain, aur 30-minute ka close iske ooper hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke upward momentum jari rahega, jo 143.74 se 144.21 ke range tak ja sakta hai.

142.47 ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 140.42 ke bearish support level tak dip karti hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ab tak 139.59 tak nahi giri, magar mein is imkaan ko nazarandaz nahi karta kyunke downtrend ab bhi dominant hai. Koi immediate target nazar nahi aata kyunke price ne na sirf 140.19 ko break kiya balke 140.00 ke level se bhi neeche gaya, lekin yeh move sustain nahi kar saka, jo ek false breakout ka signal tha. Kal market ne ek decent recovery dekhi, aur lows se qareeban 300 points ka izafa hua, magar pehle ki girawat ko dekha jaye toh yeh ab tak kafi nahi hai. Aaj focus dollar aur Federal Reserve par hai, jahan rate mein kitni kami hogi, yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai—market mein 0.5 reduction ki umeed hai. Officials ke bayanaat bhi ahem honge. Filhaal, meri position neutral hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 140 ke level tak wapas aane ka imkaan hai, aur mein wahan buy karne ka soch sakta hoon, khaaskar agar stop small ho.

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya
Equity markets ke dynamics kaafi aham kirdar ada karte hain currency landscape mein, khaaskar Japanese Yen (JPY) par, jo aksar ek safe-haven asset ke tor par dekha jata hai. Magar, equity markets mein achi sentiment ne JPY ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. Iske sath sath US Dollar (USD) mein thoda izafa dekhne ko mila, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye mazid strength ka sabab bana, aur ab ye pair 141.71 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. In factors ka aapas ka rishta currency pair ke future movements ko samajhne mein ek complex analysis ka taluq hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) se kuch halya insights monetary policy ke future par roshni dalti hain. July policy meeting ke summary of opinions mein kuch members ne mazeed rate hikes aur policy normalization ka imkaan dekhwaya. Yeh indicate karta hai ke BoJ apne ongoing economic challenges ko address karne ke liye kuch steps uthane par ghore kar raha hai. Magar, geopolitical tensions ab bhi risk create kar rahe hain, jo JPY ki deeper losses ko roknay mein madadgar hain aur USD/JPY pair ke upward momentum ko cap karte hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Former BoJ board member Makoto Sakurai ne 2024 mein kisi bhi rate hike par shak ka izhar kiya hai. Unhon ne yeh predict kiya ke agla rate increase March 2025 se pehle nahi hoga, aur yeh nazariya halya market volatility aur economic recovery ke dim forecast par mabni hai. Yehi baat BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks se bhi zahir hoti hai, jo kehte hain ke central bank instable market conditions ke doran rates ko nahi barhaye ga, jo JPY par downward pressure daal raha hai aur USD/JPY pair ko support kar raha hai.

BoJ ki June meeting ke minutes mein rising import prices par fikar ka izhar kiya gaya, jo ke JPY ke halya decline ka nateeja hain. In price increases se inflation mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai, aur ek member ne cost-push inflation ke risk ko highlight kiya, jo inflation aur currency strength ke darmiyan ek complex relationship ko darshata hai. Investors ke liye yeh rishta monitor karna bohot zaroori hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko immediate support 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jo ke qareeban 142.00 hai. Agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh bearish sentiment ko mazid barha sakta hai, aur currency pair ko 7-mahina low, jo ke 139.57 hai aur 16 September ko record hua tha, tak le ja sakta hai. Aage girawat 140.34 ke next support level tak guide kar sakti hai, jo traders ke liye ghore ka maqam hai.

Wednesday tak price 141.73 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Daily chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ab bhi 9-day EMA ke upar hai, jo ek short-term bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 se neeche hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke bullish momentum ab tak mazboot nahi hua. Ek sustained increase zaroori hoga taake genuine bullish outlook confirm ho sake.