USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

AUD/USD currency pair ki daily timeframe chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke kal raat bhi price movement kuch ghanton tak bullish rahi, bilkul usi tarah jaisa pichlay chand hafton main dekhne ko mila hai. Lekin phir price ne downward move kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke market main correction phase shuru ho raha hai. Is haftay market ka trend dekhain to price ziada tar ek hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish rally phase ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yani ke overall market trend abhi bhi upar ki taraf hi move kar raha hai, magar range ziada wide nahi hai.
Market ne Monday ko 0.6670 se trading session shuru kiya aur Thursday yaani kal raat ke session main price level 0.6730 tak pohanch gayi thi. Abhi price level 0.6727 ke qareeb move kar rahi hai. Thursday ki closing price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se upar hai. Is haftay ka candlestick 0.6750 ki level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jis se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas move karne ke chances hain.

Indicators ki readings ko dekha jaye to MACD (12,26,29) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi zero level ke upar hai, magar correction ki wajah se iska size abhi chhota hai. Relative Strength Index (14) ke hisaab se Lime Line ab level 50 se upar chali gayi hai. Isi tarah yellow Simple Moving Average 60 bhi abhi comfortably red Simple Moving Average 150 ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo market trend ki bullish position ko zahir kar raha hai.

Is haftay ke third day ke trading session main market ne thodi downward movement ki magar ziada deep nahi hui. Agar hafte ke start ki trading ko dekha jaye to bearish attempt ne market ko ek highest price zone se nikal diya hai. Price ki decline ka asar next trading decisions par bhi hota hai, khas tor par jab bearish move se pehle market main consolidation hui thi. August ke month main dominant trend bullish tha, aur mere estimation ke mutabiq aglay trend bhi bullish ho sakte hain.

Aaj ki trading main ziada fluctuation nahi dekhne ko mila, kyun ke pechlay month ke bullish trend ki strength ab kamzor hui hai, aur sellers market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh acha mauqa hai ke hum market condition ke hisaab se apni strategy banayen. Abhi price support level 0.6700 ke qareeb hai, jahan se bearish trend continue ho sakta hai agar sellers ne support level ko breakout kar diya. Main abhi bhi bearish market opportunity ke liye optimistic hoon, kyun ke candlestick ne bearish pattern mein move kiya hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi ziada resistance nazar nahi aa raha.

USD/JPY ki girawat US se naye data ke beech aayi hai jo ke July ke liye Unemployment Rate ke barhne ko darshata hai, jo ke US economy mein potential recession ke concerns ko badhawa deta hai. Market ka reaction yeh hai ke Federal Reserve se substantial interest rate cuts ko price in kiya ja raha hai. Investors ab September aur November dono mein 50 basis point (bps) rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain, aur December mein ek additional quarter-point cut bhi expected hai. LSEG ke data ke mutabiq, September meeting mein 50-bps cut ka near 99% probability hai. Yeh zyada aggressive rate cuts ki expectations US Dollar (USD) par downward pressure daal rahi hain.
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai
Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki policy outlook zyada optimistic nazar aati hai. Rabobank analysts ne note kiya hai ke BoJ ki recent policy statement Japan ki economic prospects ke positive assessment ko reflect karti hai, jis mein moderate increases in fixed investment aur corporate profits ki improvements shamil hain. Wage increases bhi mukhtalif regions, industries, aur firm sizes mein phail rahi hain. Yeh optimistic outlook late 2024 ya early 2025 mein potential rate hikes ke liye jagah chhodti hai.

situation ko dekhein. Pehlay kay movements ko dekhte huay, main assume kar sakta hoon ke price lower limit ki taraf ja rahi hai aur agar yeh limit break ho gayi, toh yeh price kay further neechay janay ki desire ko zahir kare gi. Test ke dauran, main northern direction main rebound par market main entry karnay ka mauqa talash karun ga, specifically chhoti time frame par buying ka koi pattern ho toh. Lekin zyada chances hain ke regulator ne iss haftay intervene kiya jab price bina kisi wazeh wajah ke decline hona shuru ho gayi jab buyers ne heavy EMA 120 ke upar secure kiya tha. Is haftay, main qareeb se dekhoon ga ke price narrowing formation main kaisa behave kare gi aur week ke end tak kis taraf priorities samne aayengi based on price movement in this range. Abhi tak direction dono sides par ja sakti hai, lekin preference ab bhi south yani neechay ki taraf hai. Main dollar yen pair ko weekly chart par dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ascending trend line ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab buyers ne apna profit fix karna shuru kiya, pair ne decline hona shuru kar diya. Yeh bohat actively decline ho kar 141.508 tak pohanch gayi. Chhoti timeframes, jaise kay daily par, mujhe laga kay buyers kay stops le raha tha. Buyers Tuesday kay trading main apni dominance ko maintain nahi kar paye jab price 146.90 kay daily open kay upar gayi, aur sirf 147.22 tak pohanch sakay. Iss area se price ne direction reverse ki aur long weakening dekhi. Sellers ke is pressure ki wajah se EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 par downward cross bana, jo ke negative price flow direction ko indicate karta hai. Kal kay strong sellers ne price ko sirf EMA 200 H1 tak nahi pohanchaya balke isay penetrate bhi kar liya. Magar 145.16 se ek pullback hua jiss ne price ko upar move karwaya, lekin aur aagay nahi ja sakti thi, EMA 12 H1 ne buyers ko roka aur price dobara neechay gir gayi. USD/JPY market finally lower 145.47 par band hua. Aaj ke trading kay doran, USD/JPY market 145.47 par open hui. EMA 200 H1 uske thora ooper cross hua, ie 145.66 par. Asian session main consolidation kay baad bhi, price apne daily open kay neeche thi. European session ke qareeb price neechay move hui aur sab se qareeb support 144.82 par ja kar ruki.Yeh area abhi tak penetrate nahi hua, lekin H1 trend abhi downward hai

USD/JPY Market Forecast Aaj Ke Liye

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair!
Kal USD/JPY market ne 142.00 zone ko touch kiya, jo traders ke liye aik important area hai. Lekin, buyers ka momentum kam ho gaya hai jab se US Core PPI data ka release hua hai jo negative tha. Yeh weaker-than-expected report yeh dikhati hai ke US economy mein inflationary pressure kam hai, jis ka asar US dollar par para hai aur USD/JPY pair ko bhi impact kiya hai. Iss wajah se buying strength mein kami hui hai aur market mein zyada ehtiyaat ka rujhan nazar aaya hai.

Aaj ki market action ka taaluq mazeed economic data releases se hoga, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports se, jo USD/JPY ke direction ka tayun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karengi. Main short-term target ke liye buy order ko pasand karta hoon jo 142.47 hai. Halanki buyers filhal mushkil ka shikaar hain, lekin aanay wali news data unhein wapas momentum dene ka mauqa de sakti hai aur prices ko upar dhakel sakti hai. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein positive change aya, toh US dollar ki demand phir barh sakti hai, jis se buyers apne losses recover kar sakte hain.

142.47 ka level aik qareebi resistance area hai jahan price action temporarily rukne ka imkaan hai jab tak traders agla move decide na kar lein. By the way, USD/JPY buyers ke liye yeh potential hai ke wo apne peechay ke losses ko recover kar sakein agar market mein positive developments nazar aayi. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur inflation expectations aur consumer confidence data ko ghoor se dekhna chahiye taake yeh assess kar sakein ke bullish sentiment barqarar reh sakta hai ya nahi. Dekhte hain aglay kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Stay blessed aur mehfooz rahiye!

USD/JPY Market Forecast for Today
Salam aur Subh Bakhair sab ko!

USD/JPY market ne kal 142.00 ke zone tak pohanch gaya, jo traders ke liye ek aham area hai. Magar, buyers ne US Core PPI data ke negative release ke baad consistently momentum kho diya hai. Ye weaker-than-expected report US economy mein softer inflationary pressure ko indicate karti hai, jisne US dollar ko wazan diya aur USD/JPY pair ko impact kiya. Is ke natije mein, buying strength kam ho gayi hai aur market mein zyada cautious sentiment ban gaya hai. Aaj ki market action zyada tar economic data releases, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports se mutasir hogi, jo USD/JPY ki direction ko determine karne mein crucial role adaa karengi.

Mujhe short-term target ke sath buy order dena pasand hai, jiska target 142.47 hai. Halankeh buyers filhal struggle kar rahe hain, magar aane wale news data unhe apni strength wapas hasil karne ka mauka de sakti hai aur prices ko upar push kar sakti hai. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein positive shift hota hai to US dollar ki demand revive ho sakti hai, aur buyers apne recent losses se recover kar sakte hain. 142.47 level ek reasonable target hai, kyunke ye ek near-term resistance area ko represent karta hai jahan traders price action ko temporarily rokne ki ummeed kar sakte hain pehle ke next move ka faisla karne se pehle.

By the way, agar market favorable developments dekhti hai to USD/JPY buyers apne previous losses ko successfully aur effectively cover kar sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, inflation expectations aur consumer confidence data ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake yeh assess kiya ja sake ke bullish sentiment sustain ho sakta hai ya nahi. Dekhte hain kuch ghanton ke baad kya hota hai.



struggle kar rahe hain, magar aane wale news data unhe apni strength wapas hasil karne ka mauka de sakti hai aur prices ko upar push kar sakti hai. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein positive shift hota hai to US dollar ki demand revive ho sakti hai, aur buyers apne recent losses se recover kar sakte hain. 142.47 level ek reasonable target hai, kyunke ye ek near-term resistance area ko represent karta hai jahan traders price action ko temporarily rokne ki ummeed kar sakte hain pehle ke next move ka faisla karne se pehle.
Khush raho aur mehfooz raho!

Japanese Yen ka Trade Analysis aur Trading Advice
Price test 141.78 par us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar move karna shuru kar raha tha, jo dollar khareedne ka theek waqt tha, taake ek correction ki umeed ki ja sake. Natija mein, pair 60 pips tak oopar chala gaya. U.S. inflation ke data ne din ke dusray hisson mein dollar ki demand ko wapas bahal kiya, jisse pair ki achi recovery hui, jo pehle Bank of Japan ke board member Junko Nakagawa ke bayan ke baad hue tez girawat ke baad thi, jab unho ne Japan mein mazeed interest rate hikes ki zarurat ka zikar kiya. Aaj, dollar mazeed oopar ja sakta hai, lekin ise ek achay moqe ke tor par sell karne ka sochna behtar hoga bajaye is baat par ke pair mein koi badi upward correction hogi. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein ziada scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 par bharosa karunga.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banata hoon entry point 142.87 par (chart par green line) ke qareeb, aur is baat ka target hai ke price 143.73 tak (chart par moti green line) oopar jaye. 143.73 ke aas-paas, mein long positions ko exit karne ka plan banata hoon aur ulte direction mein shorts open karunga, expecting ke price entry level se 30-35 pips ke ulte direction mein move karega. Pair ki growth aaj sirf correction ke daira mein umeed ki ja sakti hai. Ahem baat! Khareedne se pehle, yeh ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur upward movement shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan tab bhi banata hoon agar price 142.37 ko do dafa test kare aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jaye ga. A rise 142.87 aur 143.73 ke opposite levels tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Mein USD/JPY aaj tabhi sell karne ka plan banata hoon jab 142.37 ka level (chart par red line) test ho, jisse pair mein tezi se girawat aa sake. Sellers ke liye key target 141.50 level hoga, jahan mein short positions exit karne ka plan banata hoon aur foran long open karunga ulte direction mein (expect karte hue ke level se 20-25 pips ka ulta move hoga). Pair par pressure wapas aa sakta hai jab tak dollar ka bearish market barqarar rahega. Ahem baat! Bechne se pehle yeh ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur downward movement shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mein USD/JPY aaj tab bhi sell karne ka plan banata hoon agar price 142.87 ko do dafa test kare aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upside potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal ki taraf le jaye ga. A decline 142.37 aur 141.50 ke opposite levels tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY Price Direction
Hamari analysis ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behavior ka haala hai. USD/JPY pair ne recently 144.53 ka support level tod diya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99-point ki girawat ke baad, pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch khoi hui zameen wapas hasil ki 144.53 ke resistance level tak. Is point se, sell positions kholna behtar hai, jiska target 140-141 range tak ka further decline hai. Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound karti hai, to recovery continue ho sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel, jo flag ki tarah lagta hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend resume ho sakta hai. H4 chart par, magar, pair ek descending channel mein hai, jo lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko todti hai, to buying with a target of 145.69 ek viable strategy ho sakti hai.
movement trigger kar sakte hain. Ek primary trigger economic data releases ho sakti hain dono countries se. Key reports jaise inflation data, GDP growth, aur employment numbers market sentiment ko significant impact kar sakti hain aur pair ki direction ko influence kar sakti hain. Central bank announcements, khaaskar RBA aur BOJ se, bhi crucial honge. Agar BOJ apne current policy stance se shift ka indication deta hai, to yeh heightened volatility ko lead kar sakta hai. Global events, jaise geopolitical tensions aur US-China trade relations ke developments, bhi market risk sentiment ko affect kar sakti hain aur pair mein increased movements
**Potential Triggers for Movement**
Kuch potential events hain jo agle dino mein USD/JPY pair mein significant movement trigger kar sakte hain. Ek primary trigger economic data releases ho sakti hain dono countries se. Key reports jaise inflation data, GDP growth, aur employment numbers


market sentiment ko significant impact kar sakti hain aur pair ki direction ko influence kar sakti hain. Central bank announcements, khaaskar RBA aur BOJ se, bhi crucial honge. Agar BOJ apne current policy stance se shift ka indication deta hai, to yeh heightened volatility ko lead kar sakta hai. Global events, jaise geopolitical tensions aur US-China trade relations ke developments, bhi market risk sentiment ko affect kar sakti hain aur pair mein increased movements ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Japanese Yen ka Trade Analysis aur Trading Advice
Price test 141.78 par us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar move karna shuru kar raha tha, jo dollar khareedne ka theek waqt tha, taake ek correction ki umeed ki ja sake. Natija mein, pair 60 pips tak oopar chala gaya. U.S. inflation ke data ne din ke dusray hisson mein dollar ki demand ko wapas bahal kiya, jisse pair ki achi recovery hui, jo pehle Bank of Japan ke board member Junko Nakagawa ke bayan ke baad hue tez girawat ke baad thi, jab unho ne Japan mein mazeed interest rate hikes ki zarurat ka zikar kiya. Aaj, dollar mazeed oopar ja sakta hai, lekin ise ek achay moqe ke tor par sell karne ka sochna behtar hoga bajaye is baat par ke pair mein koi badi upward correction hogi. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein ziada scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 par bharosa karunga.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banata hoon entry point 142.87 par (chart par green line) ke qareeb, aur is baat ka target hai ke price 143.73 tak (chart par moti green line) oopar jaye. 143.73 ke aas-paas, mein long positions ko exit karne ka plan banata hoon aur ulte direction mein shorts open karunga, expecting ke price entry level se 30-35 pips ke ulte direction mein move karega. Pair ki growth aaj sirf correction ke daira mein umeed ki ja sakti hai. Ahem baat! Khareedne se pehle, yeh ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur upward movement shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan tab bhi banata hoon agar price 142.37 ko do dafa test kare aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jaye ga. A rise 142.87 aur 143.73 ke opposite levels tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Mein USD/JPY aaj tabhi sell karne ka plan banata hoon jab 142.37 ka level (chart par red line) test ho, jisse pair mein tezi se girawat aa sake. Sellers ke liye key target 141.50 level hoga, jahan mein short positions exit karne ka plan banata hoon aur foran long open karunga ulte direction mein (expect karte hue ke level se 20-25 pips ka ulta move hoga). Pair par pressure wapas aa sakta hai jab tak dollar ka bearish market barqarar rahega. Ahem baat! Bechne se pehle yeh ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur downward movement shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mein USD/JPY aaj tab bhi sell karne ka plan banata hoon agar price 142.87 ko do dafa test kare aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upside potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal ki taraf le jaye ga. A decline 142.37 aur 141.50 ke opposite levels tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

**USD/JPY Price Analysis**
Spot price ne haal hi mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek pullback dekha hai, aur trading activity subdued rahi hai kyunki Japanese market Mountain Day ke liye band thi. Yeh chhoti si rukawat market activity mein, USD/JPY currency pair ko pichle hafte release hui robust US economic data se support mila hai. Yeh data ne traders ko US Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye apni ummeedon ko thehraane par majboor kiya, is se USD ko madad mili hai.

**Geopolitical Tensions ka Asar**

Geopolitical uncertainties, khaaskar Middle East mein, currency markets ko influence kar sakti hain. Al Arabiya ke reports ke mutabiq, US officials ko Hezbollah aur Iran se response ki ummeed hai, aur pehle assessments ne is week ke shuru mein ek possible attack ka indication diya. Lekin, recent intelligence ke mutabiq, yeh ummeed badal gayi hai aur response ke postpone hone ki baat chal rahi hai, jo shayad Thursday ya Friday ko ho sakti hai. Aise developments safe-haven currencies jaise JPY ki demand ko barha sakti hain.

**US Interest Rate Cut Speculations**

US interest rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ab bhi market sentiment ko shape kar rahi hai. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, market ko September mein Federal Reserve se 50 basis points (bps) rate cut ki umeed hai, aur 2024 ke baqi waqt mein aur cuts ki bhi ummeed hai. Yeh barhi speculation Greenback par additional downward pressure daal sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko influence kar sakti hai.

**Technical Analysis aur Market Trends**

Pair ka August 5 ke lows se recovery corrective lag rahi hai, jo sustained trend ka indication nahi deti. Agar price 143.11 level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh current short-term uptrend ki validity ko shak mein daal sakta hai aur reversal ka indication de sakta hai. Conversely, agar price 141.00 mark ke neeche girti hai, to yeh price ko 140.00 zone ki taraf push kar sakti hai, jo further bearish movement ka signal ho sakta hai.

**Technical Outlook D-1 Chart USD/JPY**

Daily chart par USD/JPY pair ne 28 December ko support zone 140.245 ke paas se bounce karne ke baad apni girawat rok di. Aaj pair upar move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin abinterest rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ab bhi market sentiment ko shape kar rahi hai. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, market ko September mein Federal Reserve se 50 basis points (bps) rate cut ki umeed hai, aur 2024 ke baqi waqt mein aur cuts ki bhi ummeed hai. Yeh barhi speculation Greenback par additional downward pressure daal sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko influence kar sakti hai.

Technical Analysis aur Market Trends

Pair ka August 5 ke lows se recovery corrective lag rahi hai, jo sustained
tak sellers ka pressure buyers ko swing karne nahi de raha. Shayd din ke aakhri tak kuch badal sakta hai, lekin zyada chances hain ke stubborn struggle next Wednesday evening tak jari rahegi. Yeh tab tak chalta rahega jab tak Fed ke rate decision ke baare mein pata nahi chal jata, jo kuch firmer moves ka trigger ban sakta hai. Lekin


general tendency yen ko kamzor karne ki hai, jise Bank of Japan ne revive kiya hai Japanese economy ko. Dekhte hain iska outcome kya hota hai.

**USD/JPY Market Analysis**
Is waqt, USD/JPY currency pair 144.53 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai aur maujooda trend bearish hai. Yeh darshata hai ke market filhal dheere chal rahi hai, jo ke consolidation ya choti declines ka shikar ho sakti hai. Halanki, is waqt ka bearish sentiment hai, magar USD/JPY pair ke andar agle kuch dinon mein bade movements ki sambhavnayein hain. Yahaan aik tafseeli jaiza hai:

**Maujooda Market Context:**

USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 144.53 ke support level ko break kiya hai, jo bearish trend ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99-point ki girawat dekhi, phir upward correction ki koshish ki. Abhi ke price action se cautious market sentiment ka pata chal raha hai aur agar bearish trend jari raha to further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

**Technical Indicators aur Analysis:**

1. **Resistance aur Support Levels:**
- **Support Levels:** 144.53 level aik key support tha jo ab breach ho gaya hai. Agar pair is level ke upar wapas nahi aati, to price aur zyada decline kar sakti hai aur 140.00-141.00 ke range tak aa sakti hai. Agla significant support level 140.00 ke aas-paas hai jo further downward movement ke khilaf aik strong barrier ban sakta hai.
- **Resistance Levels:** Agar USD/JPY pair rebound kar deti hai, to pehle ke support level 144.53 par resistance face karegi. Is level ke upar break hone se next resistance 146.38 ke aas-paas test kiya ja sakta hai. 146.38 level crucial hai, kyunke iske upar sustained break hone se bearish trend ka reversal signal mil sakta hai.

2. **Technical Patterns:**
- Hourly chart par, aik ascending channel formation dikhai de rahi hai jo ke flag pattern ke similar hai, aur agar price resistance levels ko break nahi karti, to downtrend resume ho sakta hai.
- H4 chart par aik descending channel nazar aa raha hai, jahan price ne apni lower boundary se bounce kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ko break karti hai, to buying with a target of 145.69 ka plan kiya ja sakta hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Potential Developments:**

1. **Geopolitical Tensions:**
- Geopolitical uncertainties, khaaskar Middle East mein, currency markets ko kafi influence kar sakti hain. Agar tensions barhti hain ya naye developments hote hain, to safe-haven currencies jaise ke JPY ki demand barh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakti hai.

2. **US Interest Rate Speculations:**
- Future US interest rate cuts ke hawale se speculations market sentiment ko shape kar rahi hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve se September mein 50 basis points ka rate cut expected hai, aur baqi ke 2024 mein aur cuts ki umeed hai. Yeh speculations USD par additional downward pressure daal sakti hain, jo USD/JPY pair ko affect kar sakti hain.

**Technical Indicators aur Forecast:**

1. **Short-term Outlook:**
- Agar USD/JPY pair resistance level 144.53 ko break karti hai, to yeh aik potential recovery ya reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyunki yeh current bearish trend ka shift indicate kar sakta hai.
- Wahi, agar price decline karti hai aur 140.00 support level ko break karti hai, to further bearish movement 140.00 aur shayad 138.00 ke taraf ho sakti hai.

2. **Long-term Outlook:**
- Overall trend bearish hai, jo ke 50-day moving average ke neeche price trade karne se evident hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure near term mein continue kar sakta hai. Magar, agar market conditions ya economic data mein koi significant change aata hai to outlook change ho sakti hai.

**Conclusion:**


Jabke current trend USD/JPY ke liye bearish hai aur market dheere chal rahi hai, magar agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ki potential hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko dekhna chahiye, relevant geopolitical aur economic developments ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye, aur naye information ke basis par apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions aur geopolitical tensions ko monitor karna USD/JPY pair ke direction determine karne ke liye crucial hoga.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading hafta mein Japanese yen mazid mazboot hota raha aur apni pehli highs ko moderate tareeqay se update karne mein kamiyab raha. Jab price ne 147.45 ka barrier chhoda, toh woh achanak se girawat ka shikar hui, aik point par 141.88 tak pohanch gayi aur wahan support mil gaya. Halanki, yeh target area tak nahi pohanch saki. Is tarah, reduction ka expected scenario hissa tor par mukammal hua. Is dauran, price chart super trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ka pressure dikhata hai.

Agar hum aaj ke 240-minute chart ko dekhein, toh humein 145.30 ke support level ka clear break nazar aata hai, aur simple moving averages ka negative break milta hai, jo girawat ke iqdam ko dobara shuru karne ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh decline ko support karta hai aur girawat ke aglay imkaan ko mazid barhata hai. Isliye, downtrend ka silsila barqarar rahega jab tak price pehle toray gaye support level (jo ab resistance level ban chuka hai 145.20 par) ke neeche trade karti rahegi, aur pehla target 142.75 hoga. Doosri taraf, agar price 145.30 ke upar hourly close karti hai, toh pair ko wapas bullish raaste par le aayegi, jahan hum 146.50 aur 147.50 ka intezaar kar saktay hain.

Chart ka Tajziya:

Abhi filhal, prices gir rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur usne pressure ka samna kiya, apni integrity barqarar rakhi aur girawat ka sabab bana, jo downside vector ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Agay barhnay ke liye, zarurat hai ke price 144.97 ke level ke neeche consolidate kare, jo ab main resistance zone ke border se cross kar rahi hai. Is level ka retest aur uske baad ka reversal down nayi wave ka raasta banayega, jo 138.98 aur 136.34 ke area ko target karegi.

Agar resistance tor diya jata hai aur price 147.45 ke reversal level ko break karti hai, toh current scenario cancel karne ka signal milega.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading hafta mein Japanese yen mazid mazboot hota raha aur apni pehli highs ko moderate tareeqay se update karne mein kamiyab raha. Jab price ne 147.45 ka barrier chhoda, toh woh achanak se girawat ka shikar hui, aik point par 141.88 tak pohanch gayi aur wahan support mil gaya. Halanki, yeh target area tak nahi pohanch saki. Is tarah, reduction ka expected scenario hissa tor par mukammal hua. Is dauran, price chart super trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ka pressure dikhata hai.

Agar hum aaj ke 240-minute chart ko dekhein, toh humein 145.30 ke support level ka clear break nazar aata hai, aur simple moving averages ka negative break milta hai, jo girawat ke iqdam ko dobara shuru karne ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh decline ko support karta hai aur girawat ke aglay imkaan ko mazid barhata hai. Isliye, downtrend ka silsila barqarar rahega jab tak price pehle toray gaye support level (jo ab resistance level ban chuka hai 145.20 par) ke neeche trade karti rahegi, aur pehla target 142.75 hoga. Doosri taraf, agar price 145.30 ke upar hourly close karti hai, toh pair ko wapas bullish raaste par le aayegi, jahan hum 146.50 aur 147.50 ka intezaar kar saktay hain.

Chart ka Tajziya:

Abhi filhal, prices gir rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur usne pressure ka samna kiya, apni integrity barqarar rakhi aur girawat ka sabab bana, jo downside vector ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Agay barhnay ke liye, zarurat hai ke price 144.97 ke level ke neeche consolidate kare, jo ab main resistance zone ke border se cross kar rahi hai. Is level ka retest aur uske baad ka reversal down nayi wave ka raasta banayega, jo 138.98 aur 136.34 ke area ko target karegi.

Agar resistance tor diya jata hai aur price 147.45 ke reversal level ko break karti hai, toh current scenario cancel karne ka signal milega.

USD/JPY Price Action Ka Science
Main USD/JPY currency pair ke live analysis ka jaiza le raha hoon. Yeh acha hota hai jab forecast theek kaam karta hai, iska matlab yeh hota hai ke analysis kaafi productive tareeqay se ki gayi thi aur har choti se choti vulnerability ko reveal kiya gaya tha. Kal ke US job vacancies ka data (JOLTS) aane ke baad September mein Fed ke 0.50% rate cut ke chances barh gaye hain. Aur agar Bank of Japan ke actions ko nazar mein na bhi rakhein, toh yeh kehna safe hai ke USD/JPY pair market expectations ki wajah se girawat ka shikar rahegi, chahe dollar ho ya yen. Fed ke actions se dollar kamzor hoga, jabke Bank of Japan ke actions yen ko mazboot karein ge. Yeh basic fundamental scenario hai jis par market ka focus hai.

Price test 145.91 ka tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche move karna shuru hua, jis se scenario No. 1 ke mutabiq selling execute hui. Iska natija yeh nikla ke pair mein 50 pips se zyada ki girawat hui. Jaise ke expected tha, Federal Reserve ke minutes release hone ke baad dollar par pressure barh gaya, jisne pair ko weekly low tak le jaane mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein yen thoda kamzor hua weak manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, lekin Japan ke services sector mein kaafi achi growth ne isay offset kar diya. Is se composite PMI mein bhi thoda izafa dekha gaya. US dollar ki apparent weakness USD/JPY ko mazeed neeche dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab bohat kuch kal Jerome Powell ke speech par mabni hai, is liye current levels par short positions ke hawalay se ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai.

Intraday Strategy:

Main buy signals Scenario No. 1 ko follow karoon ga. Aaj mein USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 tak pohanche, jo chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur target 146.13 tak ka hoga, jo chart par moti green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 146.13 ke area mein main long positions ko exit karoon ga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, expecting ke level se 30-35 pips tak ki move opposite direction mein hogi. Hum aaj ke din pair ki upward correction ke hissay ke tor par izafa dekh saktay hain.

Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karain ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se upar ki taraf rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Ka Science

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke live analysis ka jaiza le raha hoon. Yeh acha hota hai jab forecast theek kaam karta hai, iska matlab yeh hota hai ke analysis kaafi productive tareeqay se ki gayi thi aur har choti se choti vulnerability ko reveal kiya gaya tha. Kal ke US job vacancies ka data (JOLTS) aane ke baad September mein Fed ke 0.50% rate cut ke chances barh gaye hain. Aur agar Bank of Japan ke actions ko nazar mein na bhi rakhein, toh yeh kehna safe hai ke USD/JPY pair market expectations ki wajah se girawat ka shikar rahegi, chahe dollar ho ya yen. Fed ke actions se dollar kamzor hoga, jabke Bank of Japan ke actions yen ko mazboot karein ge. Yeh basic fundamental scenario hai jis par market ka focus hai.

Price test 145.91 ka tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche move karna shuru hua, jis se scenario No. 1 ke mutabiq selling execute hui. Iska natija yeh nikla ke pair mein 50 pips se zyada ki girawat hui. Jaise ke expected tha, Federal Reserve ke minutes release hone ke baad dollar par pressure barh gaya, jisne pair ko weekly low tak le jaane mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein yen thoda kamzor hua weak manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, lekin Japan ke services sector mein kaafi achi growth ne isay offset kar diya. Is se composite PMI mein bhi thoda izafa dekha gaya. US dollar ki apparent weakness USD/JPY ko mazeed neeche dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab bohat kuch kal Jerome Powell ke speech par mabni hai, is liye current levels par short positions ke hawalay se ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai.

Intraday Strategy:

Main buy signals Scenario No. 1 ko follow karoon ga. Aaj mein USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 tak pohanche, jo chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur target 146.13 tak ka hoga, jo chart par moti green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 146.13 ke area mein main long positions ko exit karoon ga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, expecting ke level se 30-35 pips tak ki move opposite direction mein hogi. Hum aaj ke din pair ki upward correction ke hissay ke tor par izafa dekh saktay hain.

Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karain ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se upar ki taraf rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain,